$USDJPY ‘s value is lower$USDJPY made excess high on 30th Oct, which indicate a liquidation. I am little bit late on this but to turn this pair to much deeper, we need to see new seller while USDollar Index is weakening. Otherwise the Pair will loose momentum for bearish move.
$JPY is the weakest currency among the major forex pair, let see if there is more buying on JPY , which is sellers on USDJPY.
Many retail traders jump on selling USDJPY without seeing the strength of the currency and don’t monitor the follow through. We can’t just trade base on the pattern only. We need to check any related instrument. If buyers of USDollar index come back aggressively, this pair turn very quickly.
Marketprofile
$Gold try to make a change to upmove$GOLD. Here is can be a trap for many traders who are aggressively buying or selling at 1495 price Zone. I need price to get acceptance between 1495 to 1500 price area.
This is important “if Gold can’t make a change at mentioned zone” the Seller may came back and take control. I don’t want to be the first here. I will see who will take the control from here : “Buyer or Seller”.
$GOLD will likely go lower$XAUUSD didn't make a good change on last Friday. Yesterday , Monday, was another liquidation day. No Aggressive buying. and I think today, will not much different. If Strong buyers don’t appear immediately , I think we will see 1465 , which is a the bottom of bigger balance as mentioned on previous post.
$DAX is the most bullish index Europe $DAX break 12800 level. This key level is very important. SInce EUROSTOXX and FTSE are still within the range, I need to see acceptance above this key level. then 13000 - 13200 will be next destination. The serious failure above this key level will make DAX index just looks too high and too expensive. The profit taking , liquidation and new money selling will make this bullish pattern become ugly. but for now, I will trade with the bulls.
$GOLD need to make a change$Gold has been in balance range for 8 days, 1475 bottom - 1495 top is my small balance, and 1515 top for wider range. The value is in lower half of wide balance, but the buyer still aggressive from every low. i need to see a change above 1495 ; either an acceptance or rejection. This uncertainty kills the hope of medium time frame traders. But note that 1 October was a good excess low. This spring need to bring the price to move above 1515, otherwise that spring will be penetrated. all we can do right now is ping pong trading. News catalyst is need here.. let's wait.
EURUSD long levelHere is my Bonus level from my mebres section for intraday trading.
After nice move up is in the move significant Volume cluster, where is accumulated lot of orders.
I hope, that when the market will make pullback to this area, strong buyers will be defend their long position and push the marked up.
Daily uptrend
H4 uptrend
H1 uptrend
M30 uptrend
This is why i prefere better long trade :-)
$XAUUSD keep falling at 4 dqys High Value area- Weakening sign$Gold keep Falling at 4 days high value area, today, Gold need to take and break those high, if not, likely we will see Gold down to below 1460 as i mentioned before. Today is Wednesday, I like to see serious tail either bullish or bearish between today or tomorrow - Thursday.
$EURUSD for breakout 3 days balanceI expect $EURUSD to break the high of 3 days balance, which is 1.100. We have weekly spring (excess low), and if this scenario work together, we may see 1.110 area.
Above are my benchmark for bullish scenario. If those are not achieved, I expect the monthly bar will still be bearish.
$XAUUSD at important decision line$XAUUSD is held at 1489-1490 area since late US Session. Yesterday daily bar broke 2 days balance, and I was expecting the price will reach extreme low @ 1470-60 area or even more deeper @ 1440-00. But if 1490 is held , and trade above it , I will consider the daily formation is re-accumulation, and we may see the break of 1550s.
DXY ready for Changing behaviour$DXY made an excess high (circled), and this indicate the chart is about to turning down. Ideally DXY will turn down to 98.50 area. if it's so the formation will be a changing its behaviour (COB). But I don't see and an aggressive selling on the following day (today), will it surprise us to the upside ? Excess high or Upthrust shall initiate a down move, if not it shows that the demand is still high ..
For now, I like to find low risk for selling the USD, then will work on the following chart.
$USDJPY potential for excess low$USDJPY is potential for making an excess low (spring) at daily structure. if there is a new buyer, this will bring USDJPY to the 109 level which I consider as an axis line, which mean 108.45 resistant zone is expected to be broken. This resistant I consider as a poor high. This Bullish bias will not be easy, because we need $DXY , the US dollar index to go higher too. Otherwise, the bearish will still in control an it may test 105.50-105 support zone. This is not clear yet as $DXY do have a responsive buyer after breaking the structure.
We need to see $USDJPY to trade above 107 to see bullish power, otherwise it will trade lower.
AUDUSD for bullish biasI start long for $AUDUSD as I have bearish bias on $DXY , but i must take a note that Ausie has no strong excess low (Spring), at higher TF, I must monitoring the position more closely. I can say that AUDUSD have a poor low which may be revisited and penetrated. I also like to see REMX to make bullish reversal for me to keep long on AUDUSD.
Gold is about to decide an important directionGold 1490 is an important key level , here, is the price. trade above it, it will form re-accumulation on daily chart. but if now, Gold may drop to 1440-1400 area. Today , we will see the decision for gold auction price.
Lets play with dinapoli level. The level, 1490 is a cluster fibs, or a fibs note. and aslo a COP from bottom, on 30 mins chart. last see if this COP will hold and throw back the price down.
AUDUSD volume clustersHere is the most significant Volume cluster from the last week.
I expect on both of them short reaction.
Short_1 level is the strongest level from the week, after consolidation followed move down around 30 pips.
The last week was ended so bad for AUDUSD ... The week candle is closed at the bottom. What mean the market is in short trend.
For that reason i want to trade on short side.
Happy trading
Dale
USDCAD fight about price levelPerfect level for short is around strong volume cluster about price 1.3321.
There is nice to see strong sellers activity, where the market move down around 100 pips in very short time.
Around price 1.32222 can you see fight right now. Because this is the secound biggest volume cluster during move down.
For me is tested before, almost 3-4 times before...
Better waiting for clearer enter for short level.
Happy trading
Dale