Marketprofile
AUD/CAD: Post-Macro News Analysis With Volume Profile 📊In today’s analysis, I am going to have a closer look at AUD/CAD. There was strong macroeconomic news released in the Asian session today. It was the AUD Cash Rate and RBA Rate Statement. Then later, there was the Annual Budget Release.
All those were strong news which affected the AUD and caused the strong sell-off.
When there is a new trend like we see now, I am always interested in what happened before the trend started.
Volume Profile Analysis
In this case, there was a rotation in which pretty heavy volumes were traded. This indicates that the big guys (big financial institutions) were entering their trading positions there.
At that point, it was not clear whether those positions were Long or Short positions. Only after the strong post-macro sell-off, it became clear that the big guys were entering Shorts.
This represents a nice trading opportunity. When the price makes it back into the heavy volume area, it is likely that it will work as a strong Resistance because the big guys will want to defend their Short positions.
They placed most of them at 0.9530 (that’s the POC of the rotation) and this is also the place where the price is most likely to turn.
Weekly POC
Those big guys weren’t entering their Shorts only a few hours before the news release, but also through the whole previous week.
It is nicely visible if you look at the Weekly Volume Profile.
Our level at 0.9530 represents Weekly Point Of Control (POC) which is a strong level just by itself. It tells us that the heaviest volumes in the previous week were traded exactly at 0.9530.
In our case, having a Weekly POC at our resistance level is a very nice confluence and confirmation.
I hope you guys liked today’s analysis! Let me know what you think in the comments below.
Happy trading!
-Dale
Como colocar seu stop operando Volume Profile/TPO ProfileRespondendo a pergunta mais famosa de quem opera direcional, "onde coloco meu stop/quanto de stop eu coloco?", usando a lógica do auction market theory e as ferramentas de análise de volume/tpo por preço em múltiplos timeframes. De Caio (Jesus) para Tradencia Clube
The Most Important Level On CHF/JPY 🎲CHF/JPY continue with uptrend was formed NEW Volume cluster near price level 115.070.
I hope so that strong buyers which push the marker up..
Will be defend their buying position and on price level 115.070 we will see nice long reaction...
This level is confirmed from the past.. As strong S/R zone from the past...
Another nice support is on the second significant Volume cluster near price 114.500
Happy trading
Dale
EUR/GBP Volume areas 📊On EUR/GBP is nice to see strong sell-off from the price 0.91110, there is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated...
I thing that sellers from this area will be defend this short position...
and when the price come back to this area, strong sellers will be push down the market again...
Strong sellers + Sell-off + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade....
If i see the Biggest Candle in the chart is RED , then i try find some good short trade...
Happy trading
Dale
EURNZD Potential Long SETUPLooking @ the Published Chart. I will be using the Price level of 1.7740 has my inflection point.
I have expectation for continuation to the UPSIDE in as much as we stay above 1.7740.
I expect the following scenario:
If the Market OPEN in BALANCE right where it closes last week,
a) I expect us to test 1.7743,bounce off from here and resume the buying of EURNZD and potentially in a gift case scenario test of 1.7708 which would potentially give me a reason to consider this bearish if I do not see quick aggressive buying
b)I will take a look @ NZD continued weakness will definitely help this trade so it is worth keeping an eye on as well.
EURJPY weak low of the market 🔥🔥🔥On EUR/JPY is nice to see strong sell-off from the price 123.8, there is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated...
I thing that sellers from this area will be defend this short position...
and when the price come back to this area, strong sellers will be push down the market again...
Strong sellers + Sell-off + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade....
Happy trading
Dale
EUR/JPY Volume areas 📊From Volume cluster 2 started nice move up...
After from Volume cluster 1 continued another pushing market up...
So for that reason i want trade long trade...
Volume cluster 1 id done.. There was nice long reaction...
So for now is active just Volume cluster 1 around near price level 124.760..
Where is located my support level...
Happy trading
Dale
XAUGBP Settles at 30 minute POC. Augurs well for bullish moveThe clear "P" shape of the profile and recent news of high profile investors selling banks and buying gold miners suggest quite a strong opening this week in gold.
I find the GBP gold price to be less prone to being pushed around by competing trading strategies that can muddy the USD gold price.
Significant upside to above GBP1580 while unlikely, cannot be ruled out this week, on my read.
High %age trade set up on the short term GBPUSD ProfileComing into NFP (even if it is likely to be a rogue number) there will be a tendency to square up, which means gravitating back to the short term POC.
In the GBPUSD that's around 1.3140. Buy 1.3115
Helping it is the fact we have just completed an 80/20 traverse of the value area - also suggesting a move back to the POC. Stop below 1.3110
XAUGBP at 30 Minute Profile's POC Looking at the XAUGBP market to give some clues as to the resolution to the standoff in XAUUSD. Price has come back to the POC at 1508 only to see the trading volume just lower puch the POC down a tad. Maybe nothing but could give a clue that further downside in XAUUSD may be afoot.