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NFP Incoming - Will SPX Smash 6100?NFP Incoming – Will SPX Smash 6100? | SPX Market Analysis 7 Feb 2025 The bulls keep charging as SPX edges closer to 6100. But with the NFP report dropping pre-market, things could get lively. Will we blast through resistance or bounce back down? Expect some whipsaw chaos before the market settles – but with a bullish trend already in play, we should at least get one more push toward target exits before the dust settles. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📈 Bullish Move On Track SPX has ridden the momentum train all the way from the range lows to the range highs. Now, we’re staring at 6100, the key level where decisions will be made. 🚀 NFP Report – A Market Mover Today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data drops just before the opening bell. This is one of the bigger monthly catalysts, meaning we could see: A breakout past 6100 if the market likes the numbers. A sharp rejection back into the range if traders get spooked. A whipsaw shakeout, with wild swings before settling. 🔄 Short-Term Expectation? A Push Higher Even if volatility kicks in, the existing bullish momentum should at least give us a final nudge up toward target exits. Whether we smash through 6100 or stall out, we’re in prime position to lock in profits. ⏳ The Good Kind of Waiting Once again, we’re in a holding pattern, waiting for the market to tip its hand. But this is strategic patience – the kind where we’ve done the hard work and now simply let the market do its thing. The setups are in place – now, we sit back and watch the magic unfold. --- Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? In 2010, a trader accidentally caused a $1 trillion stock market crash in just 36 minutes – all because of a fat-finger trade. 💡 The Lesson? One typo, one misclick, or one overleveraged position can cause chaos. Always double-check your trades, because even the pros have hit the wrong button before.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
$FESX1! EURO STOXX 50: 7 WEEKS OF GAINSEUREX:FESX1! EURO STOXX 50: 7 WEEKS OF GAINS 1/7 The EURO STOXX 50 is on track for its seventh consecutive weekly gain! 📈⚡️ This winning streak continues despite global trade war jitters and shifting market sentiment. 2/7 Why the optimism? 🤔 Investors appear cautiously confident about U.S. trade policy developments, with Europe seen as a more stable option amidst American economic uncertainties. 3/7 Key influences to watch: • U.S. Jobs Data: Friday’s payroll numbers may affect overall risk sentiment. • Trade War: Trump’s tariff talk + a one-month reprieve for Mexico & Canada = a temporary sigh of relief? 4/7 Currency factors also play a role. 💱 The Yen’s strength due to expected BoJ rate hikes could affect export-related optimism if the Euro shifts in tandem. 5/7 Commodities? Gold remains steady near record peaks, signaling some investors are still seeking safe havens—even as equities rally. 6/7 What’s driving the EURO STOXX 50’s resilience? 1️⃣ Diversified European economy 2️⃣ Stable/dovish monetary policy 3️⃣ Shift to Europe as a “safer” bet 4️⃣ Combination of factors Vote below! 👇✅ 7/7 Market watchers see Europe’s diverse economic base 🏭🛍️ shielding stocks from U.S. volatility. Plus, the possibility of more accommodative European monetary policy adds extra support.
EUREX:FESX1!Long
by DCAChampion
1
Markets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout BeginsMarkets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout Begins? | SPX Market Analysis 3 Feb 2025 Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Markets are waking up in full meltdown mode, all thanks to weekend tariff mayhem and rising tensions throwing a wrench into global trade. SPX futures are deep in the red, but that’s not necessarily bad news if you’re positioned right! With bear swings already paying out big and bull swings needing some management, the real question is—do we get follow-through selling, or is this just another knee-jerk overreaction? Let's dig in! SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🔥 Trade War Whiplash Hits Markets Hard The overnight futures carnage was triggered by new tariff disruptions, retaliatory measures, and escalating trade war tensions—all set to take effect on Tuesday. The global market reaction was swift and brutal. SPX Futures: Hit a low of -120 points before bouncing to -80 points (-1.3%). Similar Pattern to Last Monday: Another huge gap down breaking out of last week’s range. Bearish Follow-Through or Bullish Bounce? Watching for a continuation lower or a bounce. 💰 Trade Plan: Profits on Bear Swings, Managing the Bullish Side Friday’s range reversal gave us an edge before the market even opened: ✅ Bear swings from Friday = Near-maximum gains at the open. ✅ Rolling the bull swing may be required—assessing once we see price action. ✅ Large gap downs = Risky entries—patience required before placing fresh trades. ⏳ Key Levels to Watch 📌 Gap Fill Potential: Do we snap back into the prior range or confirm a deeper decline? 📌 Early Flush or Fakeout Rally? Let the first 30-60 minutes set the tone before making big moves. 📌 Fast Forward Group Call Strategy: Real-time assessment of market direction at the open. For now, the plan is patience and precision—we wait for confirmation before making the next move. Fun Fact: 📉 The Worst Market Drop from Tariff Wars? In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act triggered a global trade collapse, slashing world exports by 66% and worsening the Great Depression. Lesson Learned? Tariffs are rarely good news for markets. Every major tariff war in history has caused volatility, market corrections, or outright crashes. Whether today’s chaos is temporary or the start of something bigger remains to be seen! Happy trading, Phil Less Brain More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
XRP/USD -Learnig from Mistakes and Refining Entries (30M TF)In trading, losses are just as important as wins when it comes to learning and improving. Here's a breakdown of a recent setup I analyzed on XRP/USD that didn't play out as planned-and how I refined my approach to get it right. What Went Wrong (Bottom Chart): =I initially identified a break of Major Higher Low (HL) with a strong volume candle. =I assumed this would lead to bearish momentum toward my target, but price failed to deliver. =The issue? I overlooked key liquidity points and entered permaturely without a proper confirmation of intent. What Worked (Top Chart): =After reviewing the chart, I spotted the correct setup: a proper HL break, which swept Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) / (IDM). =Price tapped into a well-defined supply zone (order block) after taking liquidity, signaling a high-probability reversal. =This approch aligned with the market structure and led to TP being smashed. Key Takeaways: 1. Watch for liquidity sweeps and inducements before committing to a trade. 2. Confirm intent by combining structure breaks (CHoCH) with zones of interest like supply/demand zones. 3. Review losses thoroughly-they often hold the key to improving your entries and view. Let me know your thoughts, or feel free to share your experiences below. Always learning, always evolving!
COINBASE:XRPUSD
by Juicemannn
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone, What an incredible day on the charts—smashing all our targets exactly as anticipated! We kicked off the week by hitting our bearish targets, pulling back into the retracement zone for support. From there, we identified the key weighted level rejection, which fueled a strong bullish push. This move broke past our Entry Level, successfully achieving TP1 and TP2. Now, with EMA5 locked above TP2 (2788), we are closely watching as it heads towards TP3 (2801). Whether it reaches swiftly or after a pullback to the Golden Line support remains to be seen. With this in mind, we will continue to capitalize on dips, leveraging our updated and weighted levels to track price action and catch profitable bounces. Our strategy remains simple yet effective—buying dips at support and securing 30 - 50 pips per trade. As we've emphasized, each level structure consistently provides 25 - 35 pip bounces, offering excellent entry and exit opportunities. A quick back test of the levels shared in recent weeks will show just how accurately they align with short to mid-term trends and reversals. Be sure to monitor multiple time frames—many targets have already been hit, while a few are still in progress. Patience is key! Trade smart, stay disciplined, and trust the process! The Quantum Trading Master
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Nothing bad happendThe US markets fell sharply today. The S&P500 lost almost 2%. Many investors, especially on social media, are wondering whether the “Trump Rally” is now over. I think this is extremely unlikely. As is so often the case, markets tend to exaggerate, both upwards and downwards. The price slide was triggered by news from China. Th AMEX:SPY ere, the start-up “DeepSeek” has announced that it has AI models that work just as well as their US counterparts at a much lower price and with less data. This will certainly not have a lasting impact, but it should make us aware that the AI party will be over at some point.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Ichimoku-Trading
Market Update: UK 10Y Yields Back on Nov 4th, we highlighted a potential triangle pattern on UK 10Y yields. 📈 At the time, we noted that a weekly close above 4.75% would complete the pattern, offering a potential longer-term upside target of 6.6%. Last week, we got a weekly close above 4.75%! While a monthly close would strengthen the case, for now, as long as yields stay above 4.50%, I'm leaning into this scenario. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
TVC:GB10YLong
by The_STA
Will History Repeat as Major Currencies Dance Toward Parity?In a dramatic shift that has captured the attention of global financial markets, the euro-dollar relationship stands at a historic crossroads, with leading institutions forecasting potential parity by 2025. This seismic development, triggered by Donald Trump's November election victory and amplified by mounting geopolitical tensions, signals more than just a currency fluctuation—it represents a fundamental realignment of global financial power dynamics. The confluence of diverging monetary policies between the U.S. and Europe and persistent economic challenges in Germany's industrial heartland has created a perfect storm in currency markets. European policymakers face the delicate task of maintaining supportive measures. At the same time, their American counterparts adopt a more cautious stance, setting the stage for what could become a defining moment in modern financial history. This potential currency convergence carries implications far beyond trading desks. It challenges traditional assumptions about economic power structures and reevaluates global investment strategies. As geopolitical tensions escalate and economic indicators paint an increasingly complex picture, market participants must navigate a landscape where historical precedents offer limited guidance. The journey toward potential parity serves as a compelling reminder that in today's interconnected financial world, currency movements reflect not just economic fundamentals but the broader forces reshaping our global order. Conclusion The current landscape presents unprecedented challenges for the EUR/USD pair, driven by economic fundamentals and geopolitical tensions. One significant concern is the potential release of sensitive footage from Israel (by the Israeli National Security Agency (NSA) from Hamas body cameras, containing graphic atrocities from the October 7th incident.), which could threaten European stability. These developments go beyond simple market dynamics and have the potential to reshape the social and political fabric of Europe. Market professionals emphasize the importance of adaptable strategies and the vigilant monitoring of key indicators. Investors must prepare for increased volatility while maintaining strong risk management frameworks. The pressure on the euro-dollar relationship is likely to persist, making strategic positioning and careful market analysis more crucial than ever in navigating these turbulent waters.
Short
by UDIS_View
Will the Australian Dollar Survive the Perfect Economic Storm?In the intricate dance of global financial markets, the Australian dollar stands at a critical crossroads, facing a confluence of economic challenges that threaten its stability. The convergence of complex factors—including the Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy, China's economic headwinds, and Australia's domestic economic pressures—creates a perfect storm of uncertainty that challenges traditional economic assumptions and investor strategies. The current landscape reveals a nuanced battleground where geopolitical tensions, central bank decisions, and macroeconomic indicators intersect with unprecedented complexity. Projections suggest the Australian dollar could potentially decline to 62 cents against the U.S. dollar in early 2025, a forecast that speaks to deeper structural challenges facing the Australian economy. The Reserve Bank of Australia's delicate balancing act—managing persistent inflation, maintaining economic growth, and responding to global economic shifts—epitomizes the sophisticated challenges confronting modern monetary policy. Beyond just numbers, this economic narrative reflects a significant test of resilience and adaptability. Investors and economic strategists face a unique moment of transformation, where conventional economic models are being challenged by unprecedented global dynamics. The interaction between U.S. monetary policy, China's economic challenges, and Australia's domestic economic strategy creates an intriguing intellectual puzzle that requires sophisticated analysis and a forward-thinking approach. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the Australian dollar's journey becomes a microcosm of broader economic transformations. This is not simply a story of currency fluctuation, but a testament to the complex, interconnected nature of global financial systems—where every decision, from central bank policies to geopolitical strategies, can send rippling consequences through international markets. The true measure of economic strength lies not in avoiding challenges but in the ability to navigate them with insight, agility, and strategic foresight.
Short
by signalmastermind
Niffy 50 ABC UP world markets BREAKING DOWN SOON The chart posted is that of the niffy 50 .I post months back of the blowoff to outside the long term channel and that A major top based on EW as well this rule on PCT outside the bands and channel called for a major decline .Since then I showed a clear 5 wave down ending wave 1 or A and now we have have what looks to be the ending of the ABC rally back into fib targets . What next we should start to see a rolling over and new DOWN leg to much lower levels . in a wave 3 or C .
NSE:NIFTY
by wavetimer
Can Political Tremors Rewrite Global Financial Markets?In the intricate dance of global finance, South Korea's recent political upheaval serves as a compelling microcosm of how geopolitical dynamics can instantaneously transform economic landscapes. The Kospi Index's dramatic 2% plunge following President Yoon Suk-yeol's fleeting martial law declaration reveals a profound truth: financial markets are not merely numerical abstractions, but living, breathing ecosystems acutely sensitive to political breath. Beyond the immediate market turbulence lies a deeper narrative of institutional resilience and adaptive governance. The swift parliamentary intervention, coupled with the Bank of Korea's strategic liquidity injections, demonstrates a remarkable capacity to pivot and stabilize in moments of potential systemic risk. This episode transcends South Korea's borders, offering global investors a masterclass in crisis management and the delicate art of maintaining economic equilibrium amid political uncertainty. The broader implications are both provocative and instructive. As heavyweight corporations like Samsung Electronics and Hyundai Motors experienced significant share price fluctuations, the event underscores an increasingly interconnected global financial system where local political tremors can rapidly cascade into international market movements. For forward-thinking investors and policymakers, this moment represents more than a crisis—it's an invitation to reimagine risk, resilience, and the complex interdependencies that define our modern economic reality.
KRX:KOSPIShort
by signalmastermind
EURUSD 1HR CHART UPDATEThe euro (EUR) has shown mixed performance recently, with potential for further pullbacks depending on evolving economic factors. Market sentiment is cautious due to persistent weaknesses in the Eurozone's manufacturing and services sectors, especially in key economies like Germany and France. Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain a dovish stance, including possible rate cuts in the near term, which could limit upward momentum for the euro. On the other hand, if U.S. Federal Reserve policies lean toward easing interest rates in 2024 due to moderating inflation, the dollar could weaken, providing some support to the euro. Analysts forecast the EUR/USD pair could reach a range of 1.15 to 1.21 by late 2024, but downside risks remain if Eurozone economic recovery falters or if the ECB signals more aggressive monetary easing. This scenario underscores the importance of closely monitoring central bank policies and economic indicators for trading or investment decisions.
Short
by SadarExplore
MARKET LAST 2 DAYS Over the last two days, XAU/USD (gold against the US dollar) has experienced a relatively stable trading range. The price hovered around $2,640–$2,642 per ounce. The slight movement reflects cautious sentiment among investors. Factors influencing gold include geopolitical developments and mixed signals about economic conditions globally. Recent news of a temporary ceasefire in the Middle East exerted downward pressure on gold as geopolitical risks eased slightly, though the metal remains sensitive to changes in the U.S. dollar and Federal Reserve policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SadarExplore
XAUUSD LAST WEEK FEDERAL RESERVESLast week, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure was the newly announced personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). PCE increased 2.8% over the past 12 months, higher than expected. The US central bank indicated in its latest meeting minutes that higher-than-expected inflation could force it to adjust the pace of its easing cycle. The market still predicts the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and will continue cutting until early 2025. In addition to Trump's social media posts, markets will focus on key economic data this week such as jobs data. If the employment situation is not as expected, gold prices may increase again. A stronger labor market could make an interest rate cut unlikely this month.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SadarExplore
The History of Forex Trading: How It All Began Ever wondered how forex trading became the massive, 24/5 global market we know today? Here’s a quick look at its fascinating journey: 1️⃣ The Gold Standard Era (1870s–1930s) Forex trading originated when countries began linking their currencies to gold. This system created fixed exchange rates but collapsed during the Great Depression due to economic instability. 2️⃣ Bretton Woods Agreement (1944–1971) After World War II, nations agreed to peg their currencies to the US Dollar, which was backed by gold. This made the USD the world’s reserve currency and gave rise to modern foreign exchange systems. 3️⃣ Floating Exchange Rates (1971–Present) When the Bretton Woods system ended, currencies began to "float," meaning their values were determined by supply and demand in the market. This shift created today’s forex market, where traders speculate on fluctuating currency prices. 4️⃣ The Rise of Retail Forex (1990s–2000s) The advent of the internet and trading platforms like MetaTrader brought forex to individual traders. What was once reserved for banks and institutions became accessible to anyone with an internet connection. 5️⃣ Today’s $7.5 Trillion Market (2020s) Now, forex is the largest financial market in the world, with $7.5 trillion traded daily. Traders from every corner of the globe participate, using advanced tools and strategies to navigate this dynamic market. Forex has come a long way, and we’re part of its exciting evolution. What do you think the future holds for forex trading? AI tools? Crypto integration? Let me know in the comments!
by Safaric
Ripple can continue rising or ?...This place of price can be the Most risky spot for all people not Whales This is for who trading rarely and watching the market as weeks and trading every 2weeks or checking the market every week . As the picture we have 2 scenarios I am bearish about xrp now and drawing the purple scenario for my myself! A good handled and mathematics sell Position can be Good now But the yello scenario can happen and after some ranges we can see the sharp Pump of xrp again!! If the yellow one happen the potential of xrp will rise of 2.5$ Good luck
by Unknownzeros
5
Bitcoin price Must surpass $100KBitcoin's price is seeing increased volatility around GETTEX:97K , and some crypto experts believe it’s on track to surpass $101K in the near term. Renowned analyst *PlanB* recently highlighted that Bitcoin’s current trajectory aligns with historical post-halving trends, suggesting significant upside potential. Similarly, a prominent advocate for Bitcoin, emphasized that growing institutional interest and adoption could fuel BTC’s rise past $101K. Our forecast anticipates Bitcoin reaching $100K by the end of 2024, driven by strong market sentiment following the halving event, with a potential to touch $270,593 by 2030 as institutional investments gain momentum.
WHITEBIT:BTCUSD
by IPatrice