Gold H4 - Long Setup Gold broke resistance last week. Technically was trying to reject the H4 resistance of 1738.60, however poor USD retail sales saw a gold break this zone after initially rejection it in the morning. DXY in-between a key zone to trade from too, 100.30 is a key S/R zone. Possible gold longs after a clean retest a support hold on 1738.50
Markets
Ethereum, Trend-Line Broken, Further Continuation-Possibility! Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about the current price-action in ethereum and what we can expect the next time. There are some meaningful events which happened the last days and as ethereum found some important support currently there are other signals which given an overall bearish bias for the further continuation of ethereums trend as ethereum was one of the weakening cryptocurrencies the last days we have to keep it in mind for a possible entry. We are looking at the globally daily picture, I already made an analysis regarding this subject on the 4-hour time-frame which I recommend you to see to have also the shorter time frame price-action registered:
Alright, at the moment we can watch ethereum stabilizing and consolidating above the 200-EMA which you can see in my chart marked in blue, this is an important EMA for ethereum because when we break it to the downside we have a higher likelihood given that we will test lower levels but currently it is still above the EMA and therefore we can anticipate that it will test at least some 190-200 range as I already described in the 4-hour timeframe analysis, this range is also building a coherent resistance-cluster with the 400-EMA which you can see marked in my chart in orange. When we visit this resistance-area we can expect a counterreaction there as this is still a fundamental level of resistance which should not be disregarded.
Furthermore, we can intercept that ethereum is building an overall range between the 180 and 200 USD price-level which is also matching with the 200 and 400-EMA support/resistance range. The whole structure is at the moment more bearish than bullish because we had this high volatile bearish breakdown to the downside crossing the 58 day old trend-line which hold the past up-trend up bearish to the downside and now we see ethereum struggling at the 200-EMA, this gives an overall bearish bias. When we break the current support to the downside there is a higher possibility that we continue bearish at least testing some lower levels, the first next important support-zone in this scenario will be the 61.8% Fibonacci-support at the 153 level, there we can see a reversal or minimum stabilization but when we do not get decent bullish signs in that level there it is still probable that we will visit lower levels at least testing the 78.6% Fibonacci-support.
When looking on the bullish side of things there is a possibility given that we break to the upside and continue with the in fact bullish up-trend we had built before but this possibility is at the moment not high, to get it in play we first have to take out the huge resistance we see at the 200 USD and therefore 400-EMA level otherwise the whole structure is still more bearish. This is what the price gives at the moment and we can't say 100 % for sure that it will continue bearish but this is at the moment the highest likely scenario! There are many people saying the price will stabilize and we will see a next bull-run catapulting ethereum to 1000 USD, this is mere speculation and we need to elevate ourselves above this illogical market-approach.
Thanks for watching, support for more market insight and all the best!
Markets are a mixed favor in the modern economy.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Bullish Bitcoin..I am quite bullish on BTC right now..
Might deploy some capital here..
Grinding up slowly after the halving, every attempted dump so far has been bought back up and now we are showing no weakness to the downside.
Indices across the world are starting to look bearish, is this where we see a decoupling of bitcoin and legacy markets?
--
MNLZ
ADAM20 Bitmex - 4hr ChartLooking at the 4HR chart for ADAM20 on Bitmex, I've noticed the following;
1) Fib retrace to 61.80% has occurred
2) Higher Low has been made
3) Downtrend line has been broken
4) 4HR Candle close above Mid Boillinger Band
5) Waiting for Higher Higher and Higher Low to be made
6) MacD & RSI looking like buyers are coming in
7) Potential for a nice full retrace to 620 sats if Uptrend continues
First chart published, feedback would be great.
Sell SHOP - management must agree the valuation is crazy.By issuing shares at these prices, shortly after reporting a good quarter, management must either see tough times ahead, or are just being greedy. Either way, diluting shareholders opportunistically is not a good sign. Expect more equity dilution from other tech darlings.
EURAUD: WITHIN A MAJOR CHANNEL!
In April the pair has returned back within the boundaries of a major rising channel.
now the price is retesting its resistance and chances are high that the price may drop from that.
goals for sellers:
1.664
1.631
if the price breaks above the resistance,
bias switches to bullish!
Dow Jones.Alright for all these people who have no idea what actually happens right now.
We are at the beginning of the biggest recession we've ever seen.
We have roughly lost 55% on the DJ after the housing bubble popped.
So my estimation with about a 50% decline in DJ doesn't seem far stretched off right?!
We even have a big support line there?! Coincidence? I don't think so.
So my target for a healthy correction would be about 15k DJ
If you draw a fiblevel from 2009 low to 2020 high. You can even see 0.618 around that target.
Then again we have many factors to take in. Will covid-19 magical disappear or will it mutate and get even more dangerous.
I'm no doctor, but if we need at least a year to finde a vaccine I could see us drop even more crazier. Perhaps to 2nd support level.
Until then with best regards
Health is more important than wealth
(I prefer to make videos so I don't forget everything I have in my mind.
I edited this text like 5 times after release. Gonna stick to videos for the future)
GOLD (XAUUSD) Great Opportunity To Short!
hey guys,
I keep holding my short trade on gold but I know that many of you have missed the opportunity or were hesitant to enter.
here goes a very nice breakout based setup:
the market has broken below 1712 structure support and has surely traded below that for two days.
now the market is retesting a broken level forming a tiny h&s formation.
1703 is a neckline.
wait for 1H candle to close below that and short on pullback aiming at 1692 (recent low) and 1680.
good luck!
Apple to drive the markets higher???At the end of this week apple is expected to announce it's earnings report for the end of Q1. Taking into consideration that it's one of the market leaders there is a possibility that the markets are going to move higher best on the below. Do you believe my wave counting is valid at the moment?
SPY bull trapSpy is finalizing a bull trap.
This is a zombie, autopilot market driven by Fed liquidity and too much optimism on a V shaped recovery, with a rally on descending volume, pricing in only the best scenarios and a tremendous discrepancy on valuations with a very big hit on future earnings.
Weekly Preview: Good News Keep Coming!The market is coming back to its previous bullish trend, two proves of that:
- Nasdaq is already in neutral territory YTD
- Volatility is around 48%, well below its peaks
- Some companies, specially American technology are regaining ground effectively sooner than expected which is also good news.
The two pillars within this environment that are working are two:
1./ Central bank aid (this was expected to work immediately)
Stimulus from central banks and governments has brought confidence to the market
2./ Covid-19 numbers
Trend of better daily numbers of new cases are consolidating and some businesses are starting to reopen
- Bearing in mind this, the market doesn’t react to an economy, it foresees what the economy will do and act base on that.
Current Context:
March was harmful, April is better with consolidation taking place. Even times are going better than expected with numbers improving faster than expected. Again, Nasdaq has already recovered those YTD loses and this is important because normally it brings the rest of indexes with it. First the DOJ, which represents more classic companies with high dividends, and after Europe.
Then, short term facts are being positive too.
1. Gilead Sciences has reported successful treatment of Covid patients and can be a ray of hope.
2. American attitude, they are focused in reopening the economy and that creates big expectations.
To finish, we´ll have some economic indicators with more government meetings that will still bring more confident to the market and strengthen this faster than expected recovery.
FXCM's EMBASKET Showing Signs of Weakness on H1The left chart show's FXCM's emerging markets currency index, EMBASKET is black below its 50-day SMA. Moreover the SMA is pointing down with the RSI on the bearish side of 50 (blue rectangle). The right chart shows the hourly time frame. Here the green 5-hour EMA has crossed below the orange 10-hour EMA (green ellipse) and the RSI has moved below 50 (bright green rectangle). These are bearish developments and if the EMAs develop further angle and separation, the index will be showing further weak
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Monthly Chart TrendTo hell with Corona, Super-cycle
uptrend is intact as long as price
kept trading inside the channel.
However multi weeks sustain
trading below the 20,000 price tag,
then we can say the historical
top has been already seen and
a new major bearish trend has
established.
bitcoin future losing steamBTC will probably fall and reach the 2k goal I have been talking about for a while now. depending on the situation we might even go sub 2k like really sub 2k but that will be the last great buying opportunity for BTC for the foreseeable future. we should not go above 7k and stay there, same for the market as everyone with stocks are scrambling for cash and then scrambling to buy gold and silver, btc should catch the second wave and skyrocket along with many other commodities. cash is king at the moment and looks like it will gain in strength.
Bitcoin Is Hanging Around There, This Is The Proper Scenario!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update analysis about bitcoins recent price-movement, as I already mentioned in past analysis BITCOIN confirmed bullish on the locally time-frame, in my charts about this movement you can watch these confirmations documented, this is why technical analysis is a working science which can be applied successfully on the markets when done right. What do we have now? We have an overall bullish shape on the short-term perspective although BITCOIN is consolidating, we can expect a breakout in the next time, now that does not mean we are completely bullish on the long-term as I already said but there are some good signs that we will have a bullish continuation as bitcoin had some good confirmations. If you didn't see these ideas of mine I highly recommend to you that you go to my account and check these ideas out, then you have a full perspective on the current situation. It is always wise to look at the short as well as the middle and long-term-perspective to have a good encounter on where the markets are heading, the big importance in this structure is the overall resistance above us, that I why we see BITCOIN continually consolidating although we have a bullish shape. This is a simple logic because sellers selling on recent buy-prices to get out of the market with no loss, therefore we have a consolidation phase before moving in the next direction. In my chart you can see that bitcoin has confirmed bearish as the EMA-signal provided it, when you look at this signal it can be applied on paster trend reversals also, working pretty well, now we are still hanging in this EMA structure but we confirmed the 20 and 25 EMA which is a good sign at all, after this current consolidation we can expect bitcoin to confirm more than only the 20 and 25 EMA, but what will happen when we break down in the structure? When we break down in the structure we can expect that bitcoin is finding support in the support zone which you see in my chart marked with the orange box, this support zone is between 5550 and 5940, also it matches with the 50 % and 61.8 % retracement of the Fibonacci-retracement of the current wave-structure. When bitcoin enters this important structure we can expect that it will firstly confirm it as support after that we have to watch out for more signs which can be applied to the chart and if bitcoins cultivates to reverse in this position.
So now here we go with the current bitcoin situation, I see many people calling that we are in a bull-market or bear-market, that is not a technical analysis at all, stocks and indices are in a confirmed bull-market yes but that does not mean the cryptocurrency-market is in a confirmed bear-market as well, we need to elevate our selves above the mere speculative aspect and watch the markets with the best determination to get the best results. Therefore as I already mentioned we are still in the consolidation, we cant define the current price movement as 100% bearish or bullish and that we will see bitcoin taking another leg of 90 % to the downside the next week, both scenarios are unimaginable therefore we need to cultivate ourself above the talking of so many people spreading unbelievable rumors and take opportunities when they arise with the proper smart management that is necessary for the markets.
Thanks for watching my analysis, feel free to support my friends and don't forget as I always say:
The ambition to transform opportunities into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader.
In this manner FAREWELL
Information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Bitcoin is enticing bearsI am not impressed with the pennant breakout confirmed on the daily chart on Thursday. While it is a bullish continuation setup, the shape of the Thursday's candle, which confirmed the breakout, is indicative of buyer fatigue. Its the long upper shadow that takes the shine off the breakout.
Also, rallies into or above $7,000 continue to be sold into. The cryptocurrency has failed at least 4-5 times to penetrate or keep gains above $7,000.
All in all, its no longer a constructive chart and suggests scope for a fresh drop. Prices may drop to $6,138, under which a major support is seen near $5,850.
I would consider buying once I see a convincing candle – one with small or no upper shadow – on the hourly chart or a green marubozu candle on the 15-min chart, marking a breakout above $7,000.
SPY - Daily Chart UpdateThe markets saw an automatic rally bounce off the lows from all the panic selling caused by the COVID-19 issues impacting the world & shutting down the economy.
I was targeting a bullish bounce of around 50% which would have taken price to the $265 range. The highs hit $262.80 before Friday's inside day candle. Japanese candlestick analysis would label Friday's candle as a high-wave candle which is a sign of indecision in the market, the price can go either way from here. If you take Friday's candle within the context of Thursday's price action then it would be considered a harami which is a reversal signal. The blue line denotes the 20-EMA line which may be providing resistance as well.
At this point, I am looking to see where the price moves from here. I am expecting a further breakdown in price as the market re-tests its recent lows. My initial price target is the previous gap price of the $229.60 level. After that, I am targeting the prior low of $218.26. This expectation gets negated if we can see the price continue rising above the 50% Fibonacci level & the 20-EMA line.
SP 500 Monthly TF AnalysisAt recent crash, SP500 index found it's first support and %10 bounced at Fibonacci 0.618 extension level of last decade. It wouldn't be much surprising if 1.618 level will try to hold with all that old price action area nearby and the purple potantial support. RSI still has a room to say oversold, check the green boxes at RSI. I'll be monitoring well dipped stocks besides tourism industry which is too early for me to rely on yet.
This would be a short after the rejection of the 6.8kThe bullish momentum has disappeared a bit, the rejection of the price in the area of 6.8k-6.9k.
The breakdown of the ascending channel, and the formation of a bearish pennant, suggests to me a bearish continuation.
Return 6.6k we'll probably go higher.
BTCUSD - Uncertain situationWell, I am really not sure what is going to happen the next days.
The BTC indicators I am currently seeing are:
- Fear and Greed Indicator is very low and 5-10 levels normally is a good buying opportunity
- Bitcoin on Google Trends is rising very fast, which could potentially mean a rising interest
- If we keep that level, this could be the biggest triangle and continuation I have ever seen. For that reason, I will keep my leveraged long open, just in case we skyrocket in seconds.
- Having lost important EMAs, we could as well be in a bigger bearish channel or something similar, that's why I'm saying that I really don't know which side to take position on.
- The 1h chart is contracting, which let's me believe, that there is going to be some action very very soon.
Overall market signals that I see:
- Not just stock markets have lost value, so did Gold. Which leads me to think that an economic crisis is on it's way. These would not end well for Bitcoin either.
- The inverted yield curve (cross from 2 year and 10 year treasury bonds) triggered already, which historically has always been the start of a recession.
- I expect certain markets such as DJI to recover a bit (maybe to 23500) and this could push us back up for a while. On the other hand, I don't believe in it too much, because COVID-19 is not yet over and this negates the pull-back IMO.
- The altcoin market has the potential to drop to 14B, which would be another 65% drop or around 40B of lost money.
If COVID-19 is not rapidly gone from mother earth or at least made treatable, markets are going to bleed more and more till the day we manage it.
It is probably better to stay on the sideline with bigger positions.