Defining Target for Risk Reward: Maybe you shouldn't?The trade plan is broken up into parts. We have an objective and consistent entry, stop, and exit plan. Here I will be talking about the exit plan and setting targets that will give you a particular risk/reward ratio. There are no absolutes when it comes to what risk/reward you should be aiming for, a lot has to do with how you handle risk and loss and your overall understanding of markets.
Defining the stop (risk) is relatively easy compared to defining the target (reward). Mostly you need a clean set of statistics on an objective method. This will give you an average distance that the swing will run in relation to your method. The reward part of the equation is a function of how far your stop is to your entry.
There is no one-size-fits-all when it comes to trading. For many, it may be best not to set a target, but instead use something simple and objective like a moving average to exit the trade. This way, you get what the market gives you while incorporating consistency and objectivity into your exit plan. Keep it simple, objective, and consistent, and learn as you go. In the video, I make something up on the spot that may give you some ideas. I use a 20ema as a profit stop only after price has made a new high. It's simple, principle-based, and it's objective.
No matter what your method, knowing where you are in the swing cycle will help in defining entry, stop, and target, and this will directly influence the risk/reward ratio.
Shane
Marketstructure
EURCAD-Ready to Short!We got a bearish trend change for EC.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
We got the 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
The 50% retracement and FVG are in line with previous support turned resistance- thus adding another confluence on this trade.
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Nq Watch After High Impact newsprice is now at my first AOI with possibilities to go to 1hr ob want to see a bsl sweep and a candle close below the candle that made the sweep preferably price taking Asian buy side at the right time of day,
price did everything I wanted to see in the asian session and ran to the pdl sell side in the London session then the price reversed creating a bullish order block after 8:30 high impact news that can be seen on the 4hr on down. Price has taken out PDH as well so I'm expecting some sort of bearish retracement in the New York session into either 1hr MSS or 1hr bullish ob level preferably for a bullish continuation
USDJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!UJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for:
1) At least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap: Checkmark
2) A Liquidity sweep of previous days low
3) Market structure shift on the hourly and attack
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Ethereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and BeyondEthereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and Beyond
In this idea post, we delve into Ethereum's promising signs of a bullish future based on its recent technical achievements and market dynamics. Ethereum, a cornerstone of blockchain innovation, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential. This analysis focuses on Ethereum's breakthrough in breaching the Fibonacci golden zone, the formation of bull season support through trendline analysis, a strong bounce from its weekly moving average (MA), and the implications of the ETHBTC valuation.
Breaching the Fibonacci Golden Zone
Ethereum's recent price action includes a significant move above the Fibonacci golden zone, a pivotal area identified by traders for its potential market reversal implications. This achievement is a clear bullish indicator, suggesting Ethereum's momentum for sustained upward movement. The golden zone, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels, is crucial for identifying support and resistance levels that can predict future price movements.
BINANCE:ETHUSD.P Has tested golden zone retracement and broken above
Bull Season Support Formation
Through trendline analysis, we observe the formation of a bull season support for Ethereum, indicating a strong foundation for potential future price increases. This pattern, marked by consecutive higher lows, reflects growing buyer interest and market confidence in Ethereum's value proposition and its underlying technology's capabilities.
BINANCE:ETHUSD Has formed its Potential Bull Season Channel and right now is trying to break above the Midline
Strong Bounce from Weekly MA
Ethereum's vigorous recovery from its weekly moving average underscores significant buying pressure and investor confidence. This bounce from the weekly MA highlights the market's responsiveness to Ethereum at current price levels, suggesting a bullish sentiment and a potential shortage that could propel prices even higher.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD Ran 20%-50% at each test of the weekly MA
Upward Adjustment of Long-Term Targets
Given these positive technical indicators, the long-term price targets for Ethereum are being revised upwards. This optimistic reassessment stems from Ethereum's technical strengths, foundational role in the burgeoning DeFi and NFT markets, and its overall market performance, which hint at a much higher valuation potential than initially anticipated.
ETHBTC Valuation: A Buying Opportunity?
Despite the overall bullish outlook, Ethereum's valuation relative to Bitcoin (ETHBTC) is currently under pressure, indicating that Ethereum may be undervalued compared to Bitcoin. This underperformance in the ETHBTC ratio might present an attractive entry point for investors, signaling that Ethereum, at its current price relative to Bitcoin, could offer significant upside potential.
BINANCE:ETHBTC Indicates Strong Bounce on Mega Support
Concluding Thoughts
Ethereum's journey through the cryptocurrency landscape is marked by continuous innovation and a steadfast position at the forefront of the blockchain revolution. The analysis of its technical indicators and market dynamics paints a bullish picture for its long-term price trajectory. While the ETHBTC valuation suggests Ethereum is currently undervalued relative to Bitcoin, it also underscores a potential opportunity for growth.
Investors and enthusiasts watching Ethereum's progress will find these insights crucial for understanding its market position and future potential. As always, it's important to approach investment decisions with caution, armed with thorough research and a clear understanding of market risks.
Check Out Latest Analysis & Educational Publications
Disclaimer: This idea post is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty50 Very bearish - Short call - PE18000Nifty 50 is very bearish -- Next week seem mark open with 200 points gap down.
So, option trader wait for call trade entry.
Open PE21000 position for swing trading week wise.
After every swing High you short this and book profit
Don't greed price go 17800 level In 3 months
For for chart update comment me in this post.
STX IS CLEAR FOR LAUNCHLook at this weekly chart. What can i really say about it that you cant already see. And well if you cant then its time to buy some more. Holding up to the trend you can see price this week with a strong bounce to the topside. New ATH? possible. This is one of my best preforming investments. Bought this well under a dollar and i dont think it will ever see red. Its a big bull for me on STX
What Is an Expanding Swing?Markets move in contraction/expansion. Small swings can be thought of as a form of contraction and the bigger swing is a form of expansion. An Expanded Swing is simply a reaction leg that is bigger than the previous reaction leg or legs. Its minor swings growing up to be major swings.
This represents a change in behavior that often causes confusion among the shorts and the longs. The shorts are fearful cause the market is now backing up on them and the longs are fearful cause they see a market now turning up and getting away from them. This confusion creates an opportunity for those that are sitting back with a plan.
To see this price action on a chart, it helps to have some simple and objective definitions for mapping the market and i show this in the video. First, we use market structure to read the market, and then we use a trading structure (trade plan) to structure the actual trade where we manage risk.
Shane
How to Become Rich in 2024 ? Best Altcoins to HODL !!!What is Altseason and Why is it Important?
Altseason is a period of time when altcoins (alternative cryptocurrencies to Bitcoin) outperform Bitcoin. This usually happens during bull markets, when investors are more willing to take on risk. Altseason can be a great time to make big profits, but it's important to do your research and only invest in coins that you believe in.
6 Altcoins to Watch for the Bull Run
1. DYDX
DYDX is a decentralized derivatives exchange that is built on the Ethereum network. It offers a variety of features that make it a popular choice for traders, including margin trading, perpetual contracts, and spot trading. DYDX has been on a tear in recent months, and it shows no signs of slowing down.
DYDX has been in a clear uptrend since the beginning of the year. It has broken out of several resistance levels and is now trading at all-time highs. The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 70. This indicates that DYDX is overbought, but it could still continue to rise in the short term.
2. OP
OP is a layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum that is designed to increase throughput and reduce fees. It is still under development, but it has the potential to revolutionize the way that Ethereum is used. OP is one of the most anticipated altcoins of 2023, and it could be a huge winner in the bull run.
OP is currently trading in a large megaphone pattern. This is a bullish pattern that indicates that OP is likely to continue to rise in the short term. The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 65. This indicates that OP is overbought, but it could still continue to rise in the short term.
3. ARB
ARB is an Ethereum-based project that is developing a decentralized rollup solution. Rollups are a type of scaling solution that can significantly increase the throughput of Ethereum. ARB is one of the most promising rollup projects, and it could see significant growth in the coming months.
ARB has been in a long accumulation phase. It has been slowly building a base of support, and it is now ready to break out. The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 55. This indicates that ARB is not overbought, and it has room to run.
4. SOL
SOL is a high-performance blockchain that is designed to support fast and scalable transactions. It has been one of the best-performing altcoins of 2023, and it shows no signs of slowing down. SOL is a good choice for investors who are looking for a fast and scalable blockchain.
SOL has recently broken out of an ascending triangle pattern. This is a bullish pattern that indicates that SOL is likely to continue to rise in the short term. The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 60. This indicates that SOL is not overbought, and it has room to run.
5. DOT
DOT is the native token of the Polkadot network. Polkadot is a sharded blockchain that allows developers to create and connect their own custom blockchains. DOT is a good choice for investors who are looking for a blockchain that is interoperable and scalable.
DOT has been slowly recovering from its all-time high. It is now trading in a range, and it is likely to break out soon. The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 50. This indicates that DOT is not overbought, and it has room to run.
6. AVAX
AVAX is the native token of the Avalanche network. Avalanche is a platform that allows developers to create and launch their own blockchain projects. AVAX is a good choice for investors who are looking for a blockchain that is fast, scalable, and secure.
AVAX has recently broken out of a descending triangle pattern. This is a bullish pattern that indicates that AVAX is likely to continue to rise in the short term. The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 65. This indicates that AVAX is overbought, but it could still continue to rise in the short term.
Conclusion
These are just a few of the many altcoins that have the potential to explode in the coming bull run. It's important to do your own research and only invest in coins that you believe in. However, if you're looking for a place to start, these 6 altcoins are a good option.
💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your experiences with risk management, ask questions, and join a community committed to fostering intelligent and secure trading practices. 🌐✨
Nothing Works, Either The Trader Works or Doesn't WorkThis post is a trade plan of IOT. Making a consistent trade plan helps to structure ourselves as traders. This give us some control in the ever-changing uncontrollable environment of markets. At first, it may seem tedious to do all this work, but that is only because our mind resists any kind of structure. The title of this post is saying to quit chasing after the perfect method and spend some time setting our own foundations.
Implementing a focused consistent method is like a framework that you can learn from and even design new methods from within that framework. The key is the focus and consistently in what we do.
In the video, I also talk about the components and process of a swing and how I use them to design my methods. Don't think in terms of technical analysis, think about it in terms of structuring simple buyers and sellers to see who is in control at any given time.
The end of the video gets cut off a bit because i tend to babble too much and run out of time but there will be more as I go through the 30 trades exercise.
Shane
EURCHF - Looking for Shorts Again ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURCHF has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge pattern in green.
At present, EURCHF is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper green trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper green trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURCHF is around the green circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a top bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURAUD | Daily | OutlookLooking at EURAUD from a purely technical observation we can take note of the fact that the EURAUD has broken out of our long standing bullish monthly trend line which has started to point us towards a new bearish sentiment/bias in the long term, now looking further into it we can also notice that on top of breaking out of our monthly bullish trend we can notice that on our weekly chart we’ve also managed to identify the breakout of an ascending channel which was formed on the weekly chart further adding on to our newly founded bearish sentiment/bias.
Now with all that said we look further down moving to our daily time frame we can see that at the beginning of the year EURAUD found some support at our 1.61213 level after the market broke out of our ascending channel in November last year and started trading upwards where we saw that bullish momentum take a pause when the market reached our 1.66xxx & 1.668xx respective area creating what looks like a consolidation between the 1.668xx and 1.635xx levels which is now our current trading range.
With the above observation in mind we can see EURAUD bounce off near the top of our range at 1.66xxx where we can expect EURAUD to push downward a bit to bounce off the bottom of our current minor range before pushing up to our 1.712xx to 1.72xxx respective area where we’ll look towards the market creating a new resistance which will further confirm our overall bearish sentiment which we’ll be looking to take advantage of over the long term.
Please note that the current analysis and observation is comprised solely of my own personal opinion, sentiment and bias of the market; so please be sure to confirm with your own analysis before taking any trading decisions based on the above information as I am not liable for any profit or loss you may incur while using the provided information.
bitcoin longConstantly analyzing Bitcoin involves posing a singular question: Where is Bitcoin headed?
Presented here is a technical analysis of Bitcoin utilizing Elliott Waves. Currently, we anticipate a price correction in the form of an ABC pattern before the upward trend resumes.
It is crucial to note that despite market fluctuations, Bitcoin is not up for sale; every decline serves as a favorable buying opportunity.
However, it's imperative to understand that our analysis does not provide explicit buy or sell signals. We encourage you to thoroughly study the market and form your own perspective before making any trading decisions