EURCHF - Looking for Shorts Again ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURCHF has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge pattern in green.
At present, EURCHF is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper green trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper green trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURCHF is around the green circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a top bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Marketstructure
EURAUD | Daily | OutlookLooking at EURAUD from a purely technical observation we can take note of the fact that the EURAUD has broken out of our long standing bullish monthly trend line which has started to point us towards a new bearish sentiment/bias in the long term, now looking further into it we can also notice that on top of breaking out of our monthly bullish trend we can notice that on our weekly chart we’ve also managed to identify the breakout of an ascending channel which was formed on the weekly chart further adding on to our newly founded bearish sentiment/bias.
Now with all that said we look further down moving to our daily time frame we can see that at the beginning of the year EURAUD found some support at our 1.61213 level after the market broke out of our ascending channel in November last year and started trading upwards where we saw that bullish momentum take a pause when the market reached our 1.66xxx & 1.668xx respective area creating what looks like a consolidation between the 1.668xx and 1.635xx levels which is now our current trading range.
With the above observation in mind we can see EURAUD bounce off near the top of our range at 1.66xxx where we can expect EURAUD to push downward a bit to bounce off the bottom of our current minor range before pushing up to our 1.712xx to 1.72xxx respective area where we’ll look towards the market creating a new resistance which will further confirm our overall bearish sentiment which we’ll be looking to take advantage of over the long term.
Please note that the current analysis and observation is comprised solely of my own personal opinion, sentiment and bias of the market; so please be sure to confirm with your own analysis before taking any trading decisions based on the above information as I am not liable for any profit or loss you may incur while using the provided information.
bitcoin longConstantly analyzing Bitcoin involves posing a singular question: Where is Bitcoin headed?
Presented here is a technical analysis of Bitcoin utilizing Elliott Waves. Currently, we anticipate a price correction in the form of an ABC pattern before the upward trend resumes.
It is crucial to note that despite market fluctuations, Bitcoin is not up for sale; every decline serves as a favorable buying opportunity.
However, it's imperative to understand that our analysis does not provide explicit buy or sell signals. We encourage you to thoroughly study the market and form your own perspective before making any trading decisions
AUDCHF ShortReason:
Liquidity grab
Break of structure
FVG (imbalance)
1 Fundamentally CHF is stronger than the AUD
2. COT Data showed me that over the past week CHF has been bought by smart money and the AUD been sold
3. Retail sentiment are majority long on this pair
Keep in note that price might drop further so if that happens adjust your fibonacci retracement tool. this is just an idea
The importance of trading with the trend + Suppy/Demand zonesA trend can be defined with price action or indicators. Understanding that all indicators lag and price behaviour is key I prefer price action to tell me if we are up trending, down trending or trading in a range. Before understanding the basics of market structure it is important to know that its more likely for a trend to keep going on than for the trend to reverse. That is why professional traders look for areas to jump on the trend not areas to go against it. Also, keep in mind what time frame are you using to define the trend, for example, if your trades don't last more than an hour would you jump on the weekly chart trend ? what happens in 1 hour won't affect the weekly chart. So if you are trading the 5 or 15 min chart you can trade with the trend of the 1 or 2 hour chart.
How to define the trend ?
• An up trend is when price is making higher highs and higher lows
• A down trend is when price is making lower highs and lower lows.
• If there is no way to define the trend then you can say it is in a trading range with no clear
direction.
When has the trend changed ?
To explain a trend change we will consider the chart below. First we can notice a clear up trend making higher highs and higher lows (1,2,3) then we create a new lower low (4) where we break below previous higher low (2) then price fails to create a new higher high and instead creates a lower high (5), finally when price breaches the previous lower low at (6) we can consider a change of structure. opposite situation happens in a down trend market.
ABCD CORRECTION PATTERN
There is a very common pattern that pretends to be a change of structure but really it is just a correction pattern to continue the uptrend. Look at the example below. An up trend creates a higher high (A) and a higher low (B). Then creates a lower high (C) and finally a lower low (D) before continuing its up trend.
What did not happen that the trend didn't change ?
If the high after (C) had been also a lower high and then it breaks below (D) and (D) acts further as resistance then the trend had changed.
What is more important here is to understand that trading a continuation of the trend has a higher probability of working, on the example shown the correction ended right at a 4hr demand zone that was valid because the trend was still skewed to the upside.
High positive correlation between gold price and gold stockAs it can be seen in the chart we have a high positive correlation between gold prices and Barrick Gold Corporation as they move together.
Previously as stock prices formed a new high gold price failed to do so and this represents a bearish divergence between prices and caused stock price to move lower sharply while gold price remained roughly around the prices it was.
Now as Gold stock price creates a new low and broke bullish structure to the downside we could expect gold spot price to follow the move and also break the structure to the downside.
EURUSD: Possible bullish moveEURUSD: here on this pair I see a possible bullish move. 4H candle swept liquidity and could not close below the major 4H swing low so we could trade after breaking the internal swing high in 1H which is the same as 4H and also swing high in 15min chart. So we need a candle close above the shown level and after that we need a liquidity zone in order to be able to buy at the highlighted zone.
Thanks
BTC Eyes up 40K level With multiple rejections of this level I can see price targeting the 40k level. That level IMO will give better idea to the price of BTC and or its next move. Im still on the fence cause i still see the 32 level . There is alot of data fling around this week so take that into consideration as well.
if you agree please throw me and boost ideas and comments welcomed
ENVX.... Looking bullish This is my next trade im looking to get into. Price has tested this level and everytime we get a nice action. On the higher time frames you can see the nice retest of the order block and a possible "W" formation for the win. MACD signaling buy and RSI coming out of the dirt is giving nice confluence I have a 30$ price target
Please boost if you support this idea and feel free to comment like and follow
JK TYRE - Cup & Handle Breakout Cup & Handle pattern breakout done in JK TYRE
Please kindly wait for Retesting the level 205
You just keep an eye on this stock
I will update instantly about this stock
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HAPPY TRADING GUYS
GBPAUD: GET READY TO SHORT!We got a confirmed bearish trend change for GC (2 LL and 2 LH is what I look for to ensure I do not fall for the trap of a fake trend change!)
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a market structure shift on 15min and ATTACK!
The 50% retracement and is also in line with the breaker block.
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Crude oil 4H Symetrical triangle, breakout of a down channelOn this 4H chart for Crude oil you can notice that the price has been moving in a very obvious down trend channel for a while. Recently the price broke out of it and started consolidating above the down tren resistance ( now a support ). In the proces the price formed a symetrical triangle. It is important to observe this triangle in the following hours as it can provide a breakout.
Usually, when having a symetriacal triangle, it's better for the pattern to break in the direction of the movement that lead into it. If you observe the first green line, you will notice that this was an increase. If the pattern produces a Buy entry, this will also align with the breakout from this down trend channel.
If the price starts increasing, it can encounter the first resistance around 75.80 - 76, this is the current major high point. If the price manages to surpass it, this will create a new bullish market structure and it can set the for a new bullish trend.
The price can also correct from it. If it does, it can retrace to around 73 - 74 before getting the chance to bounce to the up side again.
The development in the following days will be important not only for this setup, but possibly for the next 2 - 3 weeks. If the price breaks above the 76, the new bullish market structure can send it on an up trend. If the price breaks bellow the triangle and it goes back in the channel, then it can continue on a down trend.
EURJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!EJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)