AUDUSD AUDUSD is trending downAUD increased slightly on October 12 when Australian banks may increase interest rates to 4.35%
Australia is committed to ensuring a stable energy supply to Japan during the 5th Japan-Australia Ministerial Economic Dialogue. The above agreement reflects the strategic partnership between the two countries, emphasizing the important stable and reliable flow of energy resources, which may include sectors such as coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG)
Marketstructure
#JPY upside potentialHi, dear traders and colleagues,
Let's take a look at the JPY basket and analyze its potential implications in relation to other currencies.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been weakening for a considerable period due to the policies implemented by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). However, given that we are now at the end of the hiking cycle in other central banks, it is reasonable to assume that the interest rate differential between JPY and other currencies will start to decrease. This shift could potentially lead to the JPY gaining strength.
To support this hypothesis, we can examine the chart, where the price recently broke above a long-standing bearish channel with an impulsive move. This breakout suggests that there might be further bullish momentum in store.
Another noteworthy factor that adds confidence to the authenticity of this upside breakout, unlike the previous false breakout marked within the box, is the current price action. During the previous false breakout, the price formed a V-top chart pattern, resulting in a bullish impulsive move followed by a bearish impulsive move. This indicated that the breakout was driven by news events and was not sustainable. However, in the current scenario, we see the price consolidating after the upside breakout and not immediately retracing back into the channel range. This gives us reason to believe that this breakout is more likely to be genuine and mature over time.
Now, in terms of trading, an upside move in the JPY basket implies that currencies paired against the JPY are likely to face challenges and experience downside movements. This includes currency pairs like EURJPY, GBPJPY, CHFJPY, and so on.
To identify potential entry points, we are currently monitoring two key areas. The first area of interest is marked by the arrow line, which points to yesterday's low. We are keen to observe how the price reacts around this level. The second area to watch is the 4-hour timeframe supply area, which coincides with the upper line of our bearish channel. This area could serve as a potential retest point for the price.
Keep a close eye on these areas for potential trading opportunities, and remember to adapt your strategy as the market evolves.
Happy trading!
Market Update - October 6, 2023
Bitcoin and ether have another rollercoaster week: Following a pop early in the week as the US Congress narrowly avoided a government shutdown, bitcoin and ether were up and down, settling around $27.5k USD and $1,600 USD, respectively, by Friday.
Sam Bankman-Fried’s saga continues as trial starts: SBF’s criminal trial began this week in New York City. In opening statements, the defense argued that “Sam didn’t defraud anyone,” while the prosecution described SBF’s crypto empire as a “house of cards … built on a lie.” The trial is expected to last up to six weeks.
Ether futures ETFs go live for trading: The first ether (ETH) futures-based exchange traded funds (ETFs) were launched on Monday by VanEck, ProShares, and Bitwise Asset Management. The total volume traded on the first day of launch came in just under $2 million USD.
Judge rejects SEC’s attempt to appeal Ripple ruling: The SEC faced a setback this week as a federal judge dismissed its bid to appeal the highly publicized Ripple ruling that deemed XRP sold on public exchanges is not a security. XRP rallied over 5% following the news.
Hiring slows in September, lowering interest rate hike expectations: Employment data from ADP showed far fewer private sector jobs were added in September than expected, and the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index slowed slightly for September. Expectations for another interest rate hike in November now sit around 20%.
➡️ Read more here
How To Analyze Any Chart 📚 Gold Example 📹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Today we are going to go over a practical example on #GOLD , but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument.
Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode.
📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly!
~Rich
Déjà Vu of 2021's Bearish Shift? 📉📉📉The Eerie Resemblance:
If you've been in the crypto game for a while, you might be experiencing déjà vu. In 2021, Bitcoin was riding high before it underwent a profound transformation from a bullish to a bearish trend. What followed was a period of intense volatility and uncertainty. 🐻
The Bearish Divergence:
One of the key signals of concern is the emergence of a notable bearish divergence. This phenomenon occurs when an asset's price makes higher highs while an oscillator, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), forms lower highs. It suggests weakening buying momentum and is often a precursor to a trend reversal. 📊
What Lies Ahead:
While history doesn't always repeat itself, it can offer valuable lessons. The current market sentiment, combined with the bearish divergence, is a reminder of the importance of caution in crypto investing. 🚦
Trading Strategy:
Risk Management: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders and defining clear risk tolerance levels.
Diversification: Consider diversifying your portfolio to spread risk across different assets.
Stay Informed: Keep a close watch on market news and developments that could influence Bitcoin's price.
Conclusion:
The crypto market is inherently volatile, and it can shift rapidly. While the current situation may appear similar to 2021, it's essential to approach it with an open mind and a well-thought-out strategy.
Remember, trading and investing in cryptocurrencies carry risks, but they also offer opportunities. Stay vigilant, stay informed, and adapt to the evolving market conditions. 🌟
The future remains uncertain, but it's our ability to navigate the unknown that sets us apart as crypto enthusiasts.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE❗️ Link below🔑
Market Update - September 29 2023
Bipartisan Group in Congress urges spot Bitcoin ETF approval as SEC punts: Bitcoin saw a mid-week bump as a bipartisan group of Congressmembers urged SEC chair Gensler to immediately approve a Bitcoin ETF. The SEC delayed a number of spot ETF application decisions as a US government shutdown looms. By the end of the week, bitcoin was trending higher, sitting above FWB:27K USD.
MicroStrategy adds to its bitcoin coffers with purchases totalling ~$150 million: MicroStrategy, one of the largest bitcoin holders, bought 5,445 bitcoins for ~$147.3 million USD, at an average price around $27,053 USD. The purchases were made between August 1 and September 24. The company said it was considering buying even more.
Leading NFT brand Pudgy Penguins to sell toys at Walmart: Pudgy Toys collection will be available in 2,000 Walmart stores across America. Each toy comes with a QR code, which once scanned gives the user access to the online virtual Pudgy World.
Curve had a solid week as its founder closed out debt positions on Aave: Curve (CRV) rallied this week, trading up 17%, after Curve founder Michael Egorov paid off his entire debt position on the DeFi lending protocol Aave.
➡️ Read more here
Bitcoin Dominance Drops: Are Altcoins Poised to Shine? 🚀The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with anticipation as Bitcoin's dominance shows signs of decline. 📉🔍
The Shift in Dominance
Bitcoin's dominance has been a cornerstone, but it's now on the decline.
This shift suggests a potential opportunity for altcoins to steal the spotlight. 🌟💰
Altcoin Season: What to Expect
As Bitcoin dominance wanes, "Altseason" becomes a tantalizing possibility.
Altcoins could experience significant price surges, making them a focal point for traders and investors. 🚀📈
Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to Bitcoin's dominance decline, including rising interest in altcoins and exciting blockchain projects.
Ethereum, Binance Coin, and other top altcoins are driving this change. 💎💼
Trading Strategy: Navigating Altseason
Traders should diversify their portfolios, keeping an eye on promising altcoins.
Risk management remains key in this volatile environment. 💼📊
Conclusion: A Shifting Crypto Landscape
Bitcoin's dominance decrease hints at a potential altcoin resurgence. But remember, the crypto market can be unpredictable.
As we anticipate Altseason, keep a close watch on the evolving landscape. Diversify your investments wisely, manage risk effectively, and prepare for exciting opportunities in the world of altcoins! 🌐🚀
The Power of Candlestick Encapsulation in Trading: Utilizing theTrading is a captivating and intricate field that demands a profound understanding of financial markets, investment strategies, and technical analysis. Among the many techniques employed by traders, candlestick encapsulation is one that can prove to be particularly powerful. In this article, we will explore the concept of candlestick encapsulation and how one can harness the 50% of the first candle's length as a potential support or resistance level.
What Is Candlestick Encapsulation?
Candlestick encapsulation, also known as an "inside bar," is a price pattern that occurs when a subsequent candle develops within the boundaries of the preceding candle. In other words, the price range of the second candle is entirely contained within the range of the first candle. This pattern can appear on any time frame, from daily candles to one-minute candles, and is often used by traders to identify potential turning points in the markets.
How to Identify Candlestick Encapsulation?
To identify candlestick encapsulation, follow these steps:
* Examine the First Candle: Begin by observing the most recent candle on your price chart. This will be the "mother candle."
* Take a Look at the Next Candle: Next, examine the candle that follows the mother candle. This candle should have a price range that is completely contained within the range of the mother candle.
* Confirm the Pattern: To confirm candlestick encapsulation, the second candle must close within the range of the mother candle.
Using the 50% Level as Support or Resistance
Now that we understand what candlestick encapsulation is, let's explore how to leverage the 50% of the first candle's length as a potential support or resistance level.
* Calculate the Length of the First Candle: Measure the length of the mother candle from its high to its low.
* Calculate 50% of the Length: Now, calculate exactly 50% of this length. You can do this by adding the high and low of the mother candle and dividing by two.
* Draw the Horizontal Line: Plot a horizontal line on your price chart at the level you calculated as 50% of the mother candle's length.
* Observe Price Behavior: This horizontal line represents a potential support level if prices move below it or a resistance level if prices stay above it. Observe how prices react when they reach this level.
Interpretation and Strategy
The use of the 50% level of the mother candle's length as support or resistance can be applied in various trading strategies. Here are some important considerations:
* Breakout Strategy: If prices break above the 50% level, there may be a potential bullish breakout. In this case, traders may look for buying opportunities.
* Pullback Strategy: If prices return to the 50% level after a breakout, this could be an opportunity to enter positions in the direction of the prevailing trend.
* Stop Loss and Take Profit: Traders can use the 50% level as a reference point to place stop-loss or take-profit orders.
Conclusion
Candlestick encapsulation is a technical analysis technique that can provide valuable insights into potential turning points in financial markets. By using the 50% level of the mother candle's length as support or resistance, traders can add another tool to their trading toolkit for making informed trading decisions. However, it is important to remember that no technique is foolproof, and trading always involves a degree of risk. Therefore, it is advisable to combine this technique with careful risk management and a solid understanding of financial markets.
How To Analyze Any Chart 📚📹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Today we are going to go over a practical example on #JNJ , but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument.
Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode.
📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly!
~Rich
#CHFJPY bullish continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in all pairs.
As you can see in the chart price broke above short-term bearish trendline with strong 4H time frame Marubozu like candlestick which revels buyers strength.
This bearish move since the completion of 4H time frame candle can be interpreted as pullback to test the broken trendline and its possible to be looking to buy in this area.
Advanced Analysic for GBPAUD! BUY HERE!My analysis of the GBPAUD forex pair is as follows:
Market Structure: I have identified the MINOR wave structure, marked in BLUE on the chart. The corrective wave structure, labeled 0A-BC and marked in RED, is also evident. By employing additional techniques, I anticipate that the correction will conclude at the designated point C.
Price Action Momentum Channel: On the chart, I've identified a bearish momentum channel. I anticipate that the price will reach the lower boundary of this channel, and this could present an opportunity for buyers to enter the market.
Fibonacci Analysis: I've identified significant price reaction zones using Fibonacci analysis. In conjunction with other analytical methods, I predict that the price will react notably at two critical levels, particularly in the presence of substantial economic news.
SUPPLY & DEMAND BLUE MINOR STRUCTURE: ~ Fibonacci 0.618 reversal.
Other Secrect analysic.
Thank you for considering this analysis.