DJI + Indicators Vs NDQ Vs BitcoinHi Investors & Traders
Although this is a chart of the Dow, it will mainly focus on the interactions of Bitcoin with the Dow and the Nasdaq.
I'm taking a slightly different look at the market here with this chart. This is the monthly chart of the Dow Jones, Nasdaq and Bitcoin, but the 4 indicators on the bottom are corresponding of the Dow. The four indicators as follows...
STOCHASTIC RSI
FEAR AND GREED
CM ULTIMATE MACD
CM ULTIMATE RSI
In this chart we can really see the parabolic growth of Bitcoin especially against the Nasdac and the almighty Dow Jones. Way back in 2017 the markets were in a rally non bigger than Bitcoin, and as we can see it Pierced through the Nasdaq and was pretty much met as resistance by Dow with a fairly strong rejection from it. It then found some support off the Nasdaq but it ultimately fell through and bottomed out. The next move to re pierce the Nasdaq and it co mingled with it for about one and half years before it inevitable broke out above it and met with the Dow Jones and went on to pierce it as well. Bitcoin then corrected right back to the Dow as support for months into it's second attempt to another break out f new highs @ 69k. Not long after Bitcoin once again falls to the Dow as support once more, makes a small move and then plunges with the rest of the markets and goes down bellow the Dow as similarly did with the Nasdac back in 2018. Comparing to the Nasdaq drop of 2018 Bitcoin fell 51% under. This year in 2022 it has fallen about 56% under the Dow. At 5% more is this enough to call it a bottom? I guess we will see in due time.
The good news
3 out of the 4 indicators are showing signs of recovery for the Dow with only the MacD not crossing yet. As we can clearly see in the recent history of a decade these indices tend to move together with the Dow leading the way. The thing is market sentiment can switch on a dime. Waiting for the MacD cross is still not a guarantee of new highs but it lowers the downward risk just bit more.
Bitcoin and it's interaction with the Dow going forward will be very important in my opinion s I think it might have a tough time passing and the Dow. I will most likely mingle and battle with the Dow for a few years before it can eventually break above and make it support. Then and only then should the next parabolic move from Bitcoin will follow.
Update
I also added the SPX just for good measure. We can see that Bitcoin did have a small interaction with it for 3 months before it ultimately broke above and then dropped within 26% at the bottom in 2018. Comparing the Bitcoin drop of the SPX to the Nasdaq is 28% this year, only 2% off, fairly close so far.... But is it over?
I don't normally include so many indicators but to get a good indication without making many charts I though it would be necessary to gauge the market from Dow with multiple angles. I want to add that bitcoin could interact with these indices for a long time or permanently for all we know at this point.
Thanks for viewing
leave comments and or questions down below
WeAreSat0shi
Marketstructure
Trade Plan 12/22/2022
P-Shape Formation = Short Covering + Strong Buyers
*Possible end to a downtrend if we can confirm the market structure change.
TP1> If we manage to Trade/Bid above MAIN POC 3905, I want to see a break above previous POC 3914 (BEARS LIS) to support the upside trade. After than we can go for 3934 > 3960 > 3980 3995.
TP2> If we manage to Trade below MAIN POC 3905, the downside is 3886 > 3874, where maybe we can have a BULL Fight, if lost we can ride back to 3858 > 3850 Naked POC.
*All trades must be taken after IB (Initial Balance) 9:45am-10:00am
#tradesafe #sizekills
GBPUSD - Short opportunityHi traders, lets take a look at GBPUSD on the 1h timeframe. we have price on a bearish trend. After an impulse move there is always a correction phase and currently the market created a bearish flag which is a continuation pattern to the downside. we will be looking for a sell once the candlestick closes with a bearish confirmation
US 30 - Double Top patternOn US30, there is a double top formation with the break and retest of the neck line.
EURUSD short analysisHi,
last fridays chart closed bearish so it makes sense to look for sells today.
On the intraday levels we see candles print lower lows and lower highs too so i will be looking to capture sell signals.
However, i may look to capture buy signals if we see price close above 1.0660 as a new high will have been formed.
its monday so most of the day we will be waiting to see what direction the market will make
BTC Long term Vision! Bulltrap alert!!What Makes Bull Traps Happen? Wishful Thinking
Bull traps can emerge after a market downturn appears to have been exhausted. In the wake of steep declines, there’s often clamoring among investors to grab an early seat for the ride back up, get in at what appears to be a bargain price, and/or pick a bottom.
These initial buying spurts may push prices above certain chart levels, and these “breakouts” can trigger more buying. But such breakouts may actually be false signals, and the price soon resumes a downward path.
So, what is a bull trap? A bull trap fools some traders into thinking a market or an individual stock price is done falling and that it’s a good time to buy. But then it turns out it’s not a good time, because the price soon resumes its descent, catching buyers in a money-losing trap. In many ways, it’s the opposite of a “bear trap,” which can fool traders into selling out too soon in the midst of a bull market.
Here, we can go and print 25k..even 30kish..still I'd say it is going to be a bull trap! I also see the overall market conditions and it doesn't seem good.
Do you agree or disagree?! Comment down below!!
LTC - Good Key To Feel The Market!🔑Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
I always keep an eye on Litecoin to feel the overall crypto market.
LTC has been trading inside the blue flat rising broadening wedge pattern , and we lately rejected the 85.0 supply zone.
After breaking below the last major low from H4 (in gray) the bears took over. So we are currently bearish medium-term.
As we trade lower, we will be approaching the lower bound of the rising broadening wedge.
Moreover, 50.0 is a strong weekly support zone .
So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support zone and lower blue trendline. (acting as non-horizontal support)
As per my trading style:
As LTC approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
Then we will be expect a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC Update - DXY, US500, & USDT.D Analysis Inside! 🔎Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis, I mentioned that BTC would be overall bullish from a short-term perspective as long as we are trading inside the red rising channel.
Now since the lower trendline and minor support in gray are broken, let's make a quick update.
For the bears to remain in control, and take over from a medium-term perspective, we need a break below the orange zone. If broken, a movement till the 16k support would be expected.
Moreover, the overall situation isn't helping. Let me clarify:
📌US500 - we all know that the crypto market is positively correlated with the stock market.
📉Previously, I have posted this US500 analysis and the sell setup would get activated if we break below the last low in orange.
📈Update => US500 broke below the orange zone this morning. Now a bearish movement till the first minor support around 3750 would be expected.
📌DXY - well, no need for an explanation here. almost everything is valued in terms of USD. XAUUSD / USOIL / EURUSD / BTCUSD ...
📉Previously, as mentioned, USD index is approaching a strong demand zone
📈Update => We are still around the blue demand zone. For the bulls to take over, we need a break above the orange trendline and zone. If this happen, I will be expecting a bullish movement till the first minor support around 108.0 which would be make the situation worse for the crypto and stock market.
📌USDT.D - are traders investing in coins/tokens? or shifting it to USDT?
📉Previously, as mentioned, USDT.D is sitting around a strong support zone in blue. For the bears to remain in control, we need a break below the zone. Meanwhile, the bulls can still kick in!
📈Update => USDT.D rejected the blue support, and now breaking above the last high in orange. If this H4 candle closes above the zone, then expect further bullish movement till around 8.7%
What do you think might happen next? Eager to hear your thoughts and opinions!
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDJPY - Potential Bullish Reversal!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
on MONTHLY: Left Chart
USDJPY is sitting around a demand zone in blue so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: Right Chart
For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the orange neckline.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, USDJPY can still trade lower.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Advanced Bitcoin analysisHello traders
We have a strong bullish impulse and an expanding corrective pattern, so we can expect another bullish wave, knowing that the price has breached the upper level of the support area on the weekly chart that we mentioned before.
It is compatible with the command block responsible for breaking the structure
Our data indicates a high success rate
Trade Plan 12/15/2022
TP1>
if we manage to Trade/Bid above MAIN POC 4078, we can test > 4108 > 4141 > 4186 > 4207 > 4221
TP2>
if we Open/Trade below MAIN POC 4078 > we can test > 4054 > 4035 > 3995 > 3980 > 3960 > 3934 > 3914 (LIS - Bulls Trapped)
Volume Profile 12/14/2022
- Unfair High 4091 (Below Y High) FOMC DUMP, and no BUYERS.
Volume accumulation setup > It is forming since yesterday when SELLERS were super aggressive,
strong SELLERS entering their positions in Rotation Area, with a clear change on the Volume Profile TREND.
Strong Sellers who were accumulating their positions are likely to defend
their positions and their interests. So, when the price returns to the volume accumulation
area > MAIN POC 4078 (12/14) and MAIN POC 4054 (12/13), Strong Sellers start to defend their positions aggressively.
This means that strong buyers start aggressive buying activity to drive the price upwards again. Strong sellers defend
their short positions by aggressive sell-off which moves the price lower again. Here is a picture
to demonstrate this (Short trade scenario):
*This is a 50/50 Game, trade plan & risk management and trade management is mandatory
#USDCAD will it continue going lower??As far as market structure concerns we have 1H timeframe bearish impulsive move which broke the low and as a result formed a Lower low. since then price is in bullish corrective move which by the way shows price non-intention of going higher (otherwise it would be as an impulsive move)
Now price is at 4H timeframe Clean Break area which provides important resistance and also we had one very strong reaction off of this area which showed us how powerful is this area. now we are going to test that area once more and hopefully we can see the liquidation from above the previous wick so then we can open our short position.
Just remember price closing above the arrow means that the idea has failed and we need to wait for more confirmation.
#GBPJPY here we go again...The chart can talk for it self I'm pretty sure about it. But lets dive into more detail and see what confluences we can find to back up our trading idea...
1- Price is getting very close to structure point means it used to act as support before but now shifted to a resistance
2- Also the area can be considered as a static and classical resistance area, since it's been able to hold price lower every time price got close to the area.
3- Price is at bullish channel middle line which could add to a resistive cluster.
4- From fundamental aspect JPY can gain more power as central banks around the world going to reduce the pace of rising interest rate.
5- other than GBPJPY other JPY pairs are also in resistance area which give us intermarket confluence.
But be aware its very likely that price goes above the last high which showed on the chart by an arrow and then turn to the downside and this is only for liquidity taking activity and to capitulate long traders. However if price can manage to close above the arrow then we can say the chance that resistance area wont hold the price will increase.
BTC - Trend-Following Setup! 📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the the 18k resistance and upper red trendline of the channel.
Now What?
We are still overall bullish trading inside the rising channel, and we currently entered a correction movement.
As BTC approaches the lower bound / lower red trendline, we will be looking for buy setups.
And this lower trendline also intersects with the previous highs marked in gray which makes the zone stronger.
As per my trading style:
As Bitcoin approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
We would be overall bullish, UNLESS we break below the orange zone, in this case a movement till the lower bound of the range (around 15500) would be expected.
Which scenario do you think is more probable and why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich