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XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bullish Move Expected XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bullish Move Expected from Support Zone Date: July 29, 2025 Chart Type: Price Action | Smart Money Concept (SMC) | Volume Profile 🧠 Educational Breakdown: 1. Strong Support Zone (Demand Area): Price has entered a clearly marked strong support zone around $3,270 - $3,292. This zone has previously acted as a major demand level, where buyers stepped in to reverse bearish pressure. High volume node from the Volume Profile on the left confirms significant historical interest in this price region. 2. BOS – Break of Structure: Multiple Break of Structures (BOS) throughout the uptrend confirm bullish market intent. The recent decline appears corrective, not impulsive, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. 3. Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG): A Bullish FVG is visible just above current price, acting as a magnet for price action. This imbalance is often targeted before further market movement, supporting the idea of an upcoming bullish move. 4. Liquidity Grab Setup: Price dipped into the support area likely to sweep liquidity (stop losses) before a reversal. This is a common Smart Money trap, where institutional players grab liquidity before moving the market in the intended direction. 5. Target Zone: A clear target is set around $3,418, aligning with previous highs and potential Buy-Side Liquidity. The projected move represents a clean higher high, following the higher low formed at the support zone. Confirmation: Wait for bullish engulfing or displacement candle on lower timeframe (M15-H1). Volume Support: Look for rising volume during the reversal to confirm smart money participation. 📘 Conclusion: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a textbook bullish reversal setup from a high-demand zone. With strong structural support, fair value gap targeting, and buy-side liquidity above, the setup favors bullish continuation toward $3,418.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility. 👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
Institutional Footprint Detected Gold Hits FVG + Breaker Block.GOLD has now entered a significant confluence zone, aligning with both a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a breaker block areas commonly respected by institutional algorithms. In the process, it has also swept sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows, which often serves as fuel for a reversal. This combination of technical factors suggests a high-probability scenario for a bullish bounce from this region. Traders should closely monitor price behavior around the marked Equal Relative Liquidity (ERL) zone for additional confirmation before executing any trades. Always conduct your own analysis (DYOR) and manage risk accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TradeCraft_FX
XAUUSD Trade Idea - 30m Structure with 4H ConfluenceCurrently, price is trading below the 4H descending trendline, respecting bearish structure on lower timeframe (30m). ✅ 1H Order Block (OB) marked between 3335-3340 remains a strong demand zone where price can bounce break the trendline to sweep liquidity above around 3377 to form bullish continuation. 📌 Scenarios I'm Watching: Short-term rejection from the 4H trendline. Potential reversal towards 1H OB. Bullish reaction from OB could trigger a breakout above the 4H trendline. Final upside target remains at the liquidity pool around 3377 zone ($$$). 🟣 Overall Bias: Bullish after liquidity sweep. Watching for bullish confirmation at OB before executing buys.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Erin_Gold_Vault
1
GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan 20/07/2025🪙 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan 📊 Market Context: Price is currently forming an accumulation pattern. The purple zone marks a key weekly demand zone, and I expect a potential bounce from that level. I'm closely watching for trendline deviations to determine the directional bias. 🎯 Game Plan: If price drops below the trendline and bounces from the weekly demand, I’ll look for longs targeting the bearish trendline. If price taps the bearish trendline and shows clear rejection, I’ll look for shorts targeting the bullish trendline. I'll wait for LTF confirmations before entering any position. ✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
ES Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 20/07/2025ES Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment Market Context: ES continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment. 📊 Technical Analysis: Price is currently in price discovery, and the weekly structure remains strongly bullish — so I prefer to follow the strength. We might see a minor retracement before pushing further above the all-time high (ATH). 🎯 Game Plan: I'm expecting a potential retracement to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is the discount zone in a bullish environment. Interestingly, the 4H liquidity zone aligns perfectly with the 0.5 Fib level — this confluence suggests price may gather enough energy from there to make new highs. ✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
NQ Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 20/07/2025NQ Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment Market Context: NQ continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment. 📊 Technical Analysis: Price is currently in price discovery, and the weekly structure remains strongly bullish — so I prefer to follow the strength. We might see a minor retracement before pushing further above the all-time high (ATH). 🎯 Game Plan: I'm expecting a potential retracement to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is the discount zone in a bullish environment. Interestingly, the 4H liquidity zone aligns perfectly with the 0.5 Fib level — this confluence suggests price may gather enough energy from there to make new highs. ✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
GOLD FULL UPDATE – July 15, 2025 | Post-CPI TrapPost-CPI Flip Zone Battle Hello dear traders 💛 Today has been one of those heavy CPI days — full of volatility, sweeps, and doubt. But if we read it structurally and stop chasing candles, everything makes sense. Let’s break it all down step by step, clearly and human-like. Current Price: 3330 Bias: Short-term bearish, reactive bounce underway Focus Zone: 3319–3320 liquidity sweep + key decision structure unfolding 🔹 Macro Context: CPI came in slightly hot year-over-year (2.7% vs 2.6%) while monthly stayed in-line at 0.3%. That gave the dollar a short-lived boost, and gold reacted exactly how institutions love to play it — sweeping liquidity under 3320, then pausing. Not falling, not flying. Just... thinking. That reaction matters. Why? Because it shows us indecision. It tells us that gold isn’t ready to break down fully yet, and every aggressive move today was part of a calculated shakeout. 🔹 Daily Structure: Gold is still stuck below the premium supply zone of 3356–3380. Every attempt to rally there for the past few weeks has failed — including today. The discount demand area between 3280–3240 is still intact and untouched. So what does this mean? We are in a macro-range, and price is simply rotating between key structural edges. 🔹 H4 View: The rejection from CPI at 3355–3365 created a micro CHoCH, signaling the bullish leg is now broken. After the 3345 fail, price dropped to 3320 — but it hasn’t tapped the full H4 demand at 3310–3300. H4 EMAs are tilting down, showing pressure. This isn’t a breakout. It’s a correction inside a larger range. 🔸 Key H4 Supply Zones: 3345–3355: liquidity reaction during CPI 3365–3375: untested OB + remaining buy-side liquidity 🔸 Key H4 Demand Zones: 3310–3300: mitigation zone from the CHoCH 3282–3270: deep discount and bullish continuation zone if current fails Structure-wise: We are in a correction, not a clean uptrend. That’s why every bullish attempt fails unless confirmed. 🔹 H1 Real Structure This is where things got tricky today. Price formed a bullish BOS back on July 14, when we first pushed into 3370. That was the start of the bullish leg. But today, we revisited the origin of that BOS, right near 3320. This is a sensitive zone. If it holds → it’s still a retracement. If it breaks → we lose the bullish structure and shift full bearish. So far, price touched 3320, bounced weakly, but has not printed a bullish BOS again. 🔸 H1 Zones of Interest: Supply above: 3340–3345: micro reaction zone 3355–3365: CPI origin rejection 3370–3375: final inducement Demand below: 3310–3300: current flip test 3282–3270: if this breaks, bias flips bearish Right now, we are between zones. Price is undecided. RSI is oversold, yes — but that alone is never a reason to buy. We need structure. We need BOS. 🔻 So… What’s the Truth Right Now? ✅ If 3310–3300 holds and price builds BOS on M15 → a clean long opportunity develops ❌ If 3310 breaks, and we lose 3300, structure fully shifts and opens downside to 3280–3270 On the upside: Only look for rejections from 3355–3365 and 3370–3375 Anything inside 3325–3340 is noise. No structure, no clean RR. Final Thoughts: Today’s move was not random. It was a classic CPI trap: induce longs early, trap shorts late, and leave everyone confused in the middle. But we don’t trade confusion — we wait for structure to align with the zone. If M15 or H1 prints a BOS from demand, that’s your green light. If price collapses under 3300, flip your bias. The chart already told you it wants lower. No predictions. Just real reaction. — 📣 If you like clear and simple plans, please like, comment, and follow. Stay focused. Structure always wins. 📢 Disclosure: This analysis was created using TradingView charts through my Trade Nation broker integration. As part of Trade Nation’s partner program, I may receive compensation for educational content shared using their tools. — With clarity, GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
2
Trend Line Tested Twice Is AUD/USD Ready to Rally?📈 AUD/USD Market Insight – Potential Bullish Breakout Ahead? The AUD/USD pair has respected a key trend line, bouncing off it for the second time — a sign of potential strength. If the price revisits and successfully retests this trend line, we could see a bullish momentum (a pump) play out. On the flip side, if the pair maintains its current trajectory without pulling back, focus shifts to the 0.65415–0.65455 resistance zone. A clean breakout above this range could open the doors for a move higher — potentially targeting swing highs and key liquidity zones. 🚀 Watch closely — the next move could be significant. 🔎 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research). This is not financial advice.
Long
by Peter_Wade
Eyes on 1.16300: EUR/USD Prepares for the Next Move.📉 EUR/USD Technical 📈 The pair has broken a strong support level and is now finding footing around 1.15970, forming a fresh bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) at this zone. At the moment, EUR/USD is moving within a bearish FVG. Here's what to watch next: 🔻 If the market dips from here, we could see a reversal from the lower edge of this FVG. 🔼 But if it holds and pushes higher, breaking above 1.16300 — the CE (Continuity Equation) level of the bearish FVG — that could unlock further bullish momentum. 🚨 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.15970 Resistance/Breakout Zone: 1.16300 📊 Stay alert — price action at these levels could define the next move. 👉 DYOR – Do Your Own Research 📌 Not financial advice.
by Peter_Wade
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap.📈 Gold Market Daily Outlook 💰 Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and clearing liquidity below recent lows. 🔥 Price is now heading into a key bearish FVG zone on the 4H chart. 📊 Key Level to Watch: If $3339 breaks with strong bullish momentum, we could see a further push towards $3350 and beyond. ⚠️ Reminder: This is not financial advice — always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation SetupGold is moving within an ascending trendline, showing strong bullish momentum. Price is approaching a Bearish Order Block near 3,370, which may trigger a short-term pullback 📉. If price rejects from this zone and retests the trendline (around 3,355), it could offer a high-probability long setup for a continuation move toward 3,380+ 📈🚀. 🔍 Key Levels: Resistance: 3,368–3,370 (Bearish Order Block) Support: 3,355 (Trendline area) 💡 Trading Idea: Look for price action confirmation near the trendline for potential buys. Break above the order block could fuel further upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Evelyn_Trading_Room
1
Gold just played an interesting game on the 4-hour chart!🚨 GOLD Technical Outlook – 4H Chart Insight! 🕵️‍♂️✨ 📉 First, we spotted a Bearish Engulfing pattern that created a strong Sell Zone, signaling downward pressure. But guess what? The market wasn't ready to give up just yet… 📈 From the lower end, a powerful Bullish Engulfing stepped in like a hero, offering solid support and pushing the market back up! Now here's where it gets exciting: 🔥 Gold has formed another bullish engulfing pattern, and the price is once again knocking on the door of that Sell Zone. 🤔 What's next? A rejection from this sell zone could trigger another drop 📉 But keep an eye on the overlapping support zone below — if price revisits and holds there, we could see a bullish bounce toward the upside again! 🚀 📌 Key takeaway: We’re at a decision point. The next move could be explosive — up or down. Stay sharp! 🔍 ⚠️ DYOR – Do Your Own Research! 🚫 This is not financial advice — just a trader's perspective.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Peter_Wade
Gold Analysis Bullish Breakout | Trendline & OB Setup📈 Gold Analysis We are currently seeing price action within a descending channel, testing key support at the M30 OB (Order Block). The price is pushing higher after bouncing off the support level, and the trendlines suggest a potential breakout to the upside. 💡 Key Levels: Support Zone: 3326 Resistance Zone: 3342 The market is primed for a possible rally, indicated by the upward momentum and price breaking out above the trendline. Watch for confirmation as we approach the liquidity level for further bullish movement. ⚡ Trade Idea: Look for a long entry if price closes above the trendline for a continuation towards the next resistance.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
1
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟 Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing. Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis: Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes. Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry. Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉 Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈 Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward: 1. Trade-War Uncertainty What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar. Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid. 2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold. 3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions. Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend. 🎯 Outlook Summary Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints. Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame 🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily) Zone: $3,348 – $3,400 Why It Matters: Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400. 📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups Short at Resistance Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high) Stop-Loss: Above $3,420 Breakdown Short Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250 Targets: TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level) Stop-Loss: Above $3,290 🔵 Potential Long Opportunities Defensive Long (Aggressive) Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 Targets: TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance) TP2: $3,400 (key resistance) Stop-Loss: Below $3,230 Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative) Trigger: Daily close above $3,400 Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,450 TP2: $3,500+ Stop-Loss: Below $3,360 📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price remains capped under $3,400. Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts. A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026). Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability): Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally. Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades. Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside. Just a Heads-Up: This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮. Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅 We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments! Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈 Each one, teach one. — Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by PFXteam
Dow Could Be Gearing Up for a Run Toward 50,000We’ve seen it before—and we might be seeing it again . The Dow Jones is showing a familiar pattern, and here’s what’s happening: The index has been repeatedly hitting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from previous ranges. Right now, we’re approaching the 100% extension between the last swing high (~45,000) and swing low (~36,600). If the Dow breaks above that previous high at 45,000, there's a good chance we’ll see the pattern repeat—with 50,000 as the next target. It’s all about that breakout confirmation. Until then, we watch and wait. This market has a memory—let’s see if it chooses to repeat it again.
DJ:DJILong
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
4
PLTR 1D — When the tea is brewed and the handle’s in placePalantir’s daily chart is shaping up a textbook cup with handle pattern — one of the most reliable continuation setups in technical analysis. The cup base was formed over several months and transitioned into a consolidation phase, building a rectangle structure where smart money likely accumulated positions before a breakout. Now here’s the key: price has not only broken out — it’s settled above all major moving averages, including EMA 20/50/100/200 and MA 50/200. The breakout candle was supported by surging volume, signaling strong participation from institutional buyers. When all the averages start bending upwards, it's usually not by accident. The breakout above the $121 resistance zone unlocked a pathway toward a target at $187 , derived by projecting the height of the cup upward from the breakout level. This kind of structure, once confirmed, often fuels aggressive continuation — and this one’s got the setup locked in. From a fundamental perspective, Palantir is holding solid ground: strong earnings reports, expanding government and commercial contracts, and aggressive development in AI services. Institutional interest is rising steadily, and that momentum is visibly reflected in price action. To sum it up: price has launched cleanly out of the consolidation zone, pierced all critical MAs and EMAs, and continues to gain momentum. While the market sips its tea, this cup is boiling hot. Just don’t forget your stop loss — this is a trading desk, not a tea party. If you enjoy posts like this, drop a like, share it around, and let’s hear your thoughts below. It keeps ideas moving and the content flowing — free, sharp, and relevant.
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
11
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has primarily exhibited downward trends during this week’s abbreviated trading session, narrowly failing to reach the targeted Mean Support level of 5940, as outlined in the previous Daily Chart Analysis. Currently, the index exhibits a bearish trend, suggesting a potential direction toward the Mean Support level of 5940, with an additional critical support level identified at 5888. Contrariwise, there exists a substantial likelihood that following the accomplishment of hitting the Mean Support of 5940, the index may experience recovery and ascend toward the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate a resilient rally, ultimately topping in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073, thereby enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level situated at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SOL/USDT Rejected at Key Fib Zone – Bulls’ Last Stand at SupportRecap and Bias The short-term bullish “orange” bounce scenario from the previous analysis failed to materialize. Solana’s price was rejected near 150, printing a lower high, and has since dropped back into the mid 140s. This confirms that the recent rally was a dead-cat bounce rather than a trend reversal. The updated bias is cautiously bearish. This stems from rejection at resistance, weakening momentum, and a deteriorating volume profile. Unless price reclaims the 148 to 150 zone with strength, the bears remain in control. Only a decisive breakout above that level would shift the short-term outlook back to bullish. Macro Context Global risk sentiment remains fragile. The sudden escalation between Israel and Iran in early June, including reports of missile strikes, sparked a flight to safety. Solana’s rally quickly reversed, with price dropping over 15 percent since June 11. Other geopolitical flashpoints also continue to weigh on investor confidence. The protracted war in Ukraine and ongoing disruptions in Red Sea trade routes have fueled broader market caution. This is contributing to periodic risk-off moves and spikes in volatility across both traditional and crypto markets. On the economic side, uncertainty around US monetary policy is adding to pressure. Although May inflation cooled slightly, investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming Fed decisions. Crypto assets have traded weakly into these events, reflecting a wait-and-see approach. Taken together, this geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop is driving elevated short-term volatility and a higher risk premium in the crypto space. In this context, market participants are increasingly hesitant to take large directional bets without a clear catalyst. One such catalyst may be the potential approval of a Solana ETF. Optimism has grown, with prediction markets now placing the likelihood of approval near 76 percent by late July. If approved, this could be a game-changing event that re-rates SOL’s medium-term valuation and breaks it out of its current downtrend. Until then, traders should remain cautious and assume headline risk is elevated. Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook Daily and 4H Trend The high timeframe structure shows a clear downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows are intact. A double top formation from May broke down cleanly. Most recently, Solana was rejected at a key Fibonacci confluence zone around 149 to 151, which included the 0.618 retracement, the 20-day SMA, and a well-defined supply zone. After that rejection, SOL has traded along the lower Bollinger Band with increasing volatility. The 20 SMA is now acting as dynamic resistance. All major trendlines have broken. 2H, 1H, and 30m Perspective Shorter-term charts show SOL attempting to base near 143 to 145 support. Several oversold RSI conditions have triggered bounces, but these have lacked momentum. Harmonic pattern recognition shows that a bearish Deep Crab completed near 152, which marked the local top. Currently, price remains pinned below descending trendlines and the 1H 20 EMA. Bullish momentum has yet to reappear in any meaningful way. Key Technical Factors Resistance: 149 to 151 This zone holds multiple levels of confluence. It includes the 50 to 61.8 percent retracement of the last swing, a 1.272 Fib extension, the 20-day SMA, and prior supply. The rejection at 151.7 was sharp and decisive. Unless price reclaims this zone, it remains a ceiling. Support: 142 to 145 This is the last meaningful support zone holding price up. It is the neckline of a 12H Head and Shoulders pattern and the base of a previous multi-week range. It also coincides with the lower bound of a prior rising channel. The 50-day MA and 0.236 Fib retracement are also near this zone. If this area breaks, sellers will likely target 130 to 135 next. Momentum: RSI 14 with MA Overlay Daily RSI rolled over from above 70 with bearish divergence as price topped. RSI is now below its MA across all timeframes, reflecting negative momentum. On the 4H chart, RSI dipped below 30 and remains weak despite minor relief bounces. Lower timeframes show early divergence but no confirmed reversal signals. Trend Structure Price continues to make lower highs and lower lows. The 200-day MA was lost weeks ago. The 50-day is now flattening near 140. A death cross recently printed on the 12H chart, confirming bearish short-term pressure. Volume and PVT Volume favors the bears. PVT is in decline, showing more volume on down days than up days. The rally to 150 occurred on weak volume, while selloffs continue to show increasing size. This signals distribution, not accumulation. Harmonic Patterns A bearish Deep Crab pattern completed at the recent high. No bullish harmonics are confirmed yet. Traders should monitor the 130 to 125 zone for potential bullish completion patterns like a Gartley or Bat. If those form with oversold signals, they could mark the bottom. Green Scenario: Bullish Breakout Path Bias Only valid on confirmed breakout Trigger Break and hold above 150. Ideally, an hourly close above 150 or daily close above 152 confirms the move. Confirmation Rising volume, RSI reclaiming 50, and a PVT uptick. A retest of 148 to 150 from above would reinforce the breakout. Targets First target is 155, which aligns with the 12H 50 EMA. Second target is 162 to 165. Extended targets include 170 to 180 and eventually the 200 psychological level if ETF news hits. Stop Loss Below 147 or back inside the 143 zone would invalidate the breakout and suggest a failed move. Logic If bulls reclaim 150 with strength, this would invalidate the lower-high structure. Shorts would begin covering and momentum could quickly shift. Breakout entries should focus on confirmation and volume expansion. Red Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Continuation Bias Default scenario Trigger Clean break below 142. Daily close under 140 confirms the H and S neckline break. Confirmation Failing retests of 142, rising sell volume, and RSI staying suppressed. Price action showing impulsive red candles validates the move. Targets First target is 130 to 135. Second target is 115 to 120. Final measured move would project into the 100 to 110 zone if trend acceleration continues. Stop Loss Any reclaim of 145 to 148 would likely invalidate the breakdown and trap late sellers. Logic If this support fails, shorts will press. Bounces will likely be sold into. Traders can enter on the break or the first failed retest of 142. Consider scaling out near 135 and trail stops from there. Strategy Summary Current Bias Leaning bearish unless bulls reclaim 150 Key Levels 148 to 150 is breakout zone 142 to 140 is breakdown zone Trading Strategy Range traders can play 144 to 150 but must be nimble Breakout traders should wait for confirmation above 150 Breakdown traders can short under 140 with stops over 145 Risk Management Volatility is elevated. Trade smaller size. Use tight stops and trail them. Wait for confirmation, not anticipation. Watch ETF news closely. If delayed, expect continued weakness.
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by Apedapp
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H FVG!🚨 GOLD TRADE SETUP INSIGHT 🚨 Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H Inverse Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Daily Bullish FVG—two powerful zones that are shaping price action right now. 🟡📈 Recently, price dipped into the lower Daily Bullish FVG, grabbing liquidity from previous lows — classic move. 🧠💧 Right after that, the market gave us a clean Market Structure Shift (MSS) and formed a solid Breaker Block (BPR) 🔥 📍 Price has tapped into this BPR zone, and all signs point toward a potential bullish move from here. Eyes on the prize — the swing highs above look ripe for targeting. 🎯📊 💡 This setup is packed with confluence, but as always... DYOR – Do Your Own Research. Don’t trade blindly. Trade smart. ✅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish FVG.Gold Market Update: The gold market is currently moving upward after previously sweeping the liquidity below the previous day's lows. This liquidity grab typically signals the exhaustion of bearish momentum, and in this case, it appears to have served as a springboard for the current upward movement. Notably, the bearish PD arrays (Price Delivery Arrays)—which are often indicative of bearish structure and order flow—are currently failing to hold. This failure suggests a weakening of bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment toward bullishness. At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and successfully closed above it. This is a significant development, as it often implies that the price is rejecting lower levels and building strength to push further upward. In simple terms, the market has absorbed the bearish imbalance and chosen to go higher, showing strong bullish intent. Given this scenario, it's reasonable to interpret that the market is now aiming for higher levels, specifically toward the previous weekly high—marked on the chart with the line labeled "WH" (Weekly High). The price action suggests that the market is in the mood to test or reach that level in the near term. However, this is not a guarantee. It's essential to watch the market closely for further confirmation signals before making any trading decisions. Additional confirmations could come from continuation patterns, bullish structure formations, or order flow alignment. --- Reminder: Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any financial decisions. This is not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade