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Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟 Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing. Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis: Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes. Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry. Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉 Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈 Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward: 1. Trade-War Uncertainty What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar. Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid. 2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold. 3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions. Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend. 🎯 Outlook Summary Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints. Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame 🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily) Zone: $3,348 – $3,400 Why It Matters: Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400. 📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups Short at Resistance Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high) Stop-Loss: Above $3,420 Breakdown Short Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250 Targets: TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level) Stop-Loss: Above $3,290 🔵 Potential Long Opportunities Defensive Long (Aggressive) Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 Targets: TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance) TP2: $3,400 (key resistance) Stop-Loss: Below $3,230 Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative) Trigger: Daily close above $3,400 Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,450 TP2: $3,500+ Stop-Loss: Below $3,360 📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price remains capped under $3,400. Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts. A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026). Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability): Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally. Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades. Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside. Just a Heads-Up: This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮. Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅 We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments! Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈 Each one, teach one. — Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by PFXteam
15Min OB Setup on XAUUSD 🔻 After the NFP-induced sell-off, Gold is still respecting the overall bullish trend. The drop likely served as a liquidity sweep before a potential reversal. 🟩 Key 15Min Order Blocks (OBs): Upper OB (Supply): 3,309 – 3,313 – Possible resistance zone Lower OB (Demand): 3,293 – 3,296 – Strong demand area for potential buy setup 📌 Expecting price to tap into lower OB before a move up 🚀 🎯 Target Zones: 3,340 & 3,350 🧠 Wait for confirmation before entry ✅ Stick to risk management rules!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GOLD_INVESTOR_ACADEMY
Dow Could Be Gearing Up for a Run Toward 50,000We’ve seen it before—and we might be seeing it again . The Dow Jones is showing a familiar pattern, and here’s what’s happening: The index has been repeatedly hitting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from previous ranges. Right now, we’re approaching the 100% extension between the last swing high (~45,000) and swing low (~36,600). If the Dow breaks above that previous high at 45,000, there's a good chance we’ll see the pattern repeat—with 50,000 as the next target. It’s all about that breakout confirmation. Until then, we watch and wait. This market has a memory—let’s see if it chooses to repeat it again.
DJ:DJILong
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
4
PLTR 1D — When the tea is brewed and the handle’s in placePalantir’s daily chart is shaping up a textbook cup with handle pattern — one of the most reliable continuation setups in technical analysis. The cup base was formed over several months and transitioned into a consolidation phase, building a rectangle structure where smart money likely accumulated positions before a breakout. Now here’s the key: price has not only broken out — it’s settled above all major moving averages, including EMA 20/50/100/200 and MA 50/200. The breakout candle was supported by surging volume, signaling strong participation from institutional buyers. When all the averages start bending upwards, it's usually not by accident. The breakout above the $121 resistance zone unlocked a pathway toward a target at $187 , derived by projecting the height of the cup upward from the breakout level. This kind of structure, once confirmed, often fuels aggressive continuation — and this one’s got the setup locked in. From a fundamental perspective, Palantir is holding solid ground: strong earnings reports, expanding government and commercial contracts, and aggressive development in AI services. Institutional interest is rising steadily, and that momentum is visibly reflected in price action. To sum it up: price has launched cleanly out of the consolidation zone, pierced all critical MAs and EMAs, and continues to gain momentum. While the market sips its tea, this cup is boiling hot. Just don’t forget your stop loss — this is a trading desk, not a tea party. If you enjoy posts like this, drop a like, share it around, and let’s hear your thoughts below. It keeps ideas moving and the content flowing — free, sharp, and relevant.
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
11
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has primarily exhibited downward trends during this week’s abbreviated trading session, narrowly failing to reach the targeted Mean Support level of 5940, as outlined in the previous Daily Chart Analysis. Currently, the index exhibits a bearish trend, suggesting a potential direction toward the Mean Support level of 5940, with an additional critical support level identified at 5888. Contrariwise, there exists a substantial likelihood that following the accomplishment of hitting the Mean Support of 5940, the index may experience recovery and ascend toward the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate a resilient rally, ultimately topping in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073, thereby enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level situated at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SOL/USDT Rejected at Key Fib Zone – Bulls’ Last Stand at SupportRecap and Bias The short-term bullish “orange” bounce scenario from the previous analysis failed to materialize. Solana’s price was rejected near 150, printing a lower high, and has since dropped back into the mid 140s. This confirms that the recent rally was a dead-cat bounce rather than a trend reversal. The updated bias is cautiously bearish. This stems from rejection at resistance, weakening momentum, and a deteriorating volume profile. Unless price reclaims the 148 to 150 zone with strength, the bears remain in control. Only a decisive breakout above that level would shift the short-term outlook back to bullish. Macro Context Global risk sentiment remains fragile. The sudden escalation between Israel and Iran in early June, including reports of missile strikes, sparked a flight to safety. Solana’s rally quickly reversed, with price dropping over 15 percent since June 11. Other geopolitical flashpoints also continue to weigh on investor confidence. The protracted war in Ukraine and ongoing disruptions in Red Sea trade routes have fueled broader market caution. This is contributing to periodic risk-off moves and spikes in volatility across both traditional and crypto markets. On the economic side, uncertainty around US monetary policy is adding to pressure. Although May inflation cooled slightly, investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming Fed decisions. Crypto assets have traded weakly into these events, reflecting a wait-and-see approach. Taken together, this geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop is driving elevated short-term volatility and a higher risk premium in the crypto space. In this context, market participants are increasingly hesitant to take large directional bets without a clear catalyst. One such catalyst may be the potential approval of a Solana ETF. Optimism has grown, with prediction markets now placing the likelihood of approval near 76 percent by late July. If approved, this could be a game-changing event that re-rates SOL’s medium-term valuation and breaks it out of its current downtrend. Until then, traders should remain cautious and assume headline risk is elevated. Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook Daily and 4H Trend The high timeframe structure shows a clear downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows are intact. A double top formation from May broke down cleanly. Most recently, Solana was rejected at a key Fibonacci confluence zone around 149 to 151, which included the 0.618 retracement, the 20-day SMA, and a well-defined supply zone. After that rejection, SOL has traded along the lower Bollinger Band with increasing volatility. The 20 SMA is now acting as dynamic resistance. All major trendlines have broken. 2H, 1H, and 30m Perspective Shorter-term charts show SOL attempting to base near 143 to 145 support. Several oversold RSI conditions have triggered bounces, but these have lacked momentum. Harmonic pattern recognition shows that a bearish Deep Crab completed near 152, which marked the local top. Currently, price remains pinned below descending trendlines and the 1H 20 EMA. Bullish momentum has yet to reappear in any meaningful way. Key Technical Factors Resistance: 149 to 151 This zone holds multiple levels of confluence. It includes the 50 to 61.8 percent retracement of the last swing, a 1.272 Fib extension, the 20-day SMA, and prior supply. The rejection at 151.7 was sharp and decisive. Unless price reclaims this zone, it remains a ceiling. Support: 142 to 145 This is the last meaningful support zone holding price up. It is the neckline of a 12H Head and Shoulders pattern and the base of a previous multi-week range. It also coincides with the lower bound of a prior rising channel. The 50-day MA and 0.236 Fib retracement are also near this zone. If this area breaks, sellers will likely target 130 to 135 next. Momentum: RSI 14 with MA Overlay Daily RSI rolled over from above 70 with bearish divergence as price topped. RSI is now below its MA across all timeframes, reflecting negative momentum. On the 4H chart, RSI dipped below 30 and remains weak despite minor relief bounces. Lower timeframes show early divergence but no confirmed reversal signals. Trend Structure Price continues to make lower highs and lower lows. The 200-day MA was lost weeks ago. The 50-day is now flattening near 140. A death cross recently printed on the 12H chart, confirming bearish short-term pressure. Volume and PVT Volume favors the bears. PVT is in decline, showing more volume on down days than up days. The rally to 150 occurred on weak volume, while selloffs continue to show increasing size. This signals distribution, not accumulation. Harmonic Patterns A bearish Deep Crab pattern completed at the recent high. No bullish harmonics are confirmed yet. Traders should monitor the 130 to 125 zone for potential bullish completion patterns like a Gartley or Bat. If those form with oversold signals, they could mark the bottom. Green Scenario: Bullish Breakout Path Bias Only valid on confirmed breakout Trigger Break and hold above 150. Ideally, an hourly close above 150 or daily close above 152 confirms the move. Confirmation Rising volume, RSI reclaiming 50, and a PVT uptick. A retest of 148 to 150 from above would reinforce the breakout. Targets First target is 155, which aligns with the 12H 50 EMA. Second target is 162 to 165. Extended targets include 170 to 180 and eventually the 200 psychological level if ETF news hits. Stop Loss Below 147 or back inside the 143 zone would invalidate the breakout and suggest a failed move. Logic If bulls reclaim 150 with strength, this would invalidate the lower-high structure. Shorts would begin covering and momentum could quickly shift. Breakout entries should focus on confirmation and volume expansion. Red Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Continuation Bias Default scenario Trigger Clean break below 142. Daily close under 140 confirms the H and S neckline break. Confirmation Failing retests of 142, rising sell volume, and RSI staying suppressed. Price action showing impulsive red candles validates the move. Targets First target is 130 to 135. Second target is 115 to 120. Final measured move would project into the 100 to 110 zone if trend acceleration continues. Stop Loss Any reclaim of 145 to 148 would likely invalidate the breakdown and trap late sellers. Logic If this support fails, shorts will press. Bounces will likely be sold into. Traders can enter on the break or the first failed retest of 142. Consider scaling out near 135 and trail stops from there. Strategy Summary Current Bias Leaning bearish unless bulls reclaim 150 Key Levels 148 to 150 is breakout zone 142 to 140 is breakdown zone Trading Strategy Range traders can play 144 to 150 but must be nimble Breakout traders should wait for confirmation above 150 Breakdown traders can short under 140 with stops over 145 Risk Management Volatility is elevated. Trade smaller size. Use tight stops and trail them. Wait for confirmation, not anticipation. Watch ETF news closely. If delayed, expect continued weakness.
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by Apedapp
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H FVG!🚨 GOLD TRADE SETUP INSIGHT 🚨 Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H Inverse Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Daily Bullish FVG—two powerful zones that are shaping price action right now. 🟡📈 Recently, price dipped into the lower Daily Bullish FVG, grabbing liquidity from previous lows — classic move. 🧠💧 Right after that, the market gave us a clean Market Structure Shift (MSS) and formed a solid Breaker Block (BPR) 🔥 📍 Price has tapped into this BPR zone, and all signs point toward a potential bullish move from here. Eyes on the prize — the swing highs above look ripe for targeting. 🎯📊 💡 This setup is packed with confluence, but as always... DYOR – Do Your Own Research. Don’t trade blindly. Trade smart. ✅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish FVG.Gold Market Update: The gold market is currently moving upward after previously sweeping the liquidity below the previous day's lows. This liquidity grab typically signals the exhaustion of bearish momentum, and in this case, it appears to have served as a springboard for the current upward movement. Notably, the bearish PD arrays (Price Delivery Arrays)—which are often indicative of bearish structure and order flow—are currently failing to hold. This failure suggests a weakening of bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment toward bullishness. At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and successfully closed above it. This is a significant development, as it often implies that the price is rejecting lower levels and building strength to push further upward. In simple terms, the market has absorbed the bearish imbalance and chosen to go higher, showing strong bullish intent. Given this scenario, it's reasonable to interpret that the market is now aiming for higher levels, specifically toward the previous weekly high—marked on the chart with the line labeled "WH" (Weekly High). The price action suggests that the market is in the mood to test or reach that level in the near term. However, this is not a guarantee. It's essential to watch the market closely for further confirmation signals before making any trading decisions. Additional confirmations could come from continuation patterns, bullish structure formations, or order flow alignment. --- Reminder: Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any financial decisions. This is not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook – June 9, 2025Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continues to maintain its bullish structure, now trading around $106.6K. While price action looks strong, the market is approaching a key resistance zone between $110K–$120K, with technical signals hinting at a possible short-term rejection before further upside. 🔍 Technical Overview Current Price: $106,654 Resistance Zone: $110K – $120K Support Zone for Pullback: $98K – $100K 200 EMA & 100 EMA: Still trending up and providing strong base support The chart suggests a potential "rejection-retest-rally" structure forming, where BTC may temporarily pull back before making a fresh push toward new highs. 📊 Momentum & Indicators Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe recently bottomed and is starting to curl back up — a potential bullish shift in momentum Volume remains stable — no signs of aggressive distribution or FOMO activity yet 💬 Sentiment & Structure The current structure remains healthy, with HH-HL (higher high - higher low) formation intact. Market sentiment is optimistic but not yet euphoric, which is ideal for continued accumulation. Short-term traders may look for a pullback opportunity near the $98K–$100K zone before re-entering. 🎯 Mid-Term Outlook If BTC holds the $98K–$100K range during a pullback, it could act as a springboard toward the $120K target in the coming weeks. ✅ Summary 🔵 Bullish trend intact 📉 Possible short-term pullback before breakout 📈 Mid-term target remains: $120K 🚫 Avoid chasing breakouts — position wisely at key supports Let the price come to you. Patience pays more than FOMO.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by x_Akki
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook – June 2, 2025 Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is holding strong above the psychological $100K mark, maintaining its bullish market structure on the weekly timeframe. However, technical indicators are flashing early signs of a possible short-term correction before another leg up. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Current price: $105.1K Key support zone: $89K (strong demand area + weekly structure retest) Resistance to watch: $120K (major weekly supply zone + psychological level) Stochastic RSI is currently overbought at 94+, which historically tends to trigger a healthy retracement before further upside continuation. 📊 Market Structure: BTC remains well above the 200-week EMA, keeping bullish momentum intact Higher Highs and Higher Lows are still in play Volume is steady, showing no major distribution at the moment 📈 Sentiment Check: Fear & Greed Index: 64 (Greed) → Suggests bullish sentiment is high → Greed often precedes short-term pullbacks or consolidation 🧭 Outlook: A short-term correction toward the $89K–$92K zone is likely, as part of a healthy market cycle. If support holds, BTC could rally back up with a mid-term target around $120K. ✅ Summary: 🔵 Bullish structure still intact ⚠️ Overbought signal = possible retracement 🎯 Mid-term target: $120K 🧘‍♂️ Don’t chase — wait for price to breathe, not break Let the market come to you. Trade smart, not just hopeful.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by x_Akki
We could see an upward move up to $3350!There is a lot of buy-side liquidity resting in the gold market. There are 2 to 3 daily highs currently unchallenged, and even a weekly high is in place. The market has already moved downward and created inducement (a trap or manipulation to draw sellers in), which now makes the market appear bullish from this point. We could see an upward move up to $3350 or even higher—especially if a 4-hour candle closes above $3360. At this point, it’s better to wait for clear displacement (strong movement indicating a direction). After that, we’ll see how the market develops. Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
SWDY Rebound AnalysisSWDY stock is trying to peak up, but unfortunately, it's rebounding back from the resistance line 80.081. In case of falling, it'll break the 1st support line 79.982 till reaching the 2nd support line 79.922, then the 3rd support line 79.832. In case of rising, it'll breach the 1st resistance line at 80.193, the 2nd resistance line at 80.344, and the 3rd resistance line at 80.464, which is more recommended due to its latest collaboration with Modon Holding to build an industrial zone for Egypt's Ras El Hekma on 10 Million square meters.
EGX:SWDY
by RowaynaAhmed
We've observed the formation of an Order Block(OB)Gold Market Daily Timeframe Analysis The gold market, on the daily timeframe, is currently exhibiting price action consistent with an IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) to ERL (External Range Liquidity) model. Price has swept the IRL and then moved upward by tapping into a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This price action suggests a smart money liquidity grab followed by a reaction to an imbalance. Subsequently, the market formed another FVG and executed a tap once more after taking out the initial target structure (TS), continuing its bullish move. Recently, we’ve observed the formation of an Order Block (OB), indicating a potential area where institutional orders may reside. It’s expected that price might return to this OB, and if a Market Structure Shift (MSS) is confirmed on lower timeframes, there could be a strong bullish continuation. In such a case, we may witness the market reaching towards the $3430 level in the coming days. It’s essential to monitor how the market reacts to these key zones especially the OB and the surrounding liquidity structures. Such movements could provide confirmation or invalidation of the projected move. As always, this is a personal market perspective based on price action and liquidity concepts. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice. And by the way what are your thoughts on this analysis? Does it align with your outlook?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
BTC UpdateLooking at historical data, we’re at a similar point as in 2021 — diverging RSI, declining volume, and signs of exhaustion. The key difference now is the level of institutional involvement: hedge funds are heavily in, MicroStrategy keeps buying, and even nation-states have exposure. Despite the bullish narrative, I believe we’re heading down. Price action isn’t convincing — we're still trading below the January monthly candle close, volume is drying up, and RSI continues to diverge. Each 5–10% pump is followed by a sharp spike in open interest (OI), then a brutal liquidation cascade wiping out $500M–$1B. This is starting to look like a leveraged casino, not a healthy uptrend. That said, I wouldn’t rule out a final wick toward $120K to trap late longs and suck in liquidity before the real move down. I called the top after the January rally — they called me a madman. Still, I was right. Mastery tends to be a funny thing, seems like on a long enough timeframe you cant lose. Stay safe everyone.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ccgp-investments
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Market Update & Daily Plan – May 13, 2025🔹 Bias: Intraday bullish (HL forming) 🔹 Context: Price is reacting from the 3215–3228 zone (OB + discount) after confirming CHoCH at 3284. We’re in a retracement phase — next move could target 3240–3280 if structure holds. 🔵 BUY ZONES (reaction areas, not sniper): 3215–3228 ✅ Confirmed H4 OB ✅ Discount zone + EMA200 confluence on H1 ✅ HL structure still valid 📌 If price retests with bullish confirmation → long toward 3240+ remains valid 3175–3195 🔵 Strong H4 demand zone 📌 Only if 3215 fails — last area to defend the bullish bias Wait for structure to hold — don’t panic buy into weakness 🔴 SELL ZONES (broad reaction areas): 3285–3300 🔺 Previous high + unfilled FVG 🔺 Potential inducement zone before rejection 📌 If price rallies fast, watch for rejection — solid area for short pullbacks 3340–3355 🔺 Strong H4/D1 supply 🔺 Untested premium OB 📌 Only valid if price breaks above 3300 — aggressive short if NY overextends 🧠 Summary: We’re in a bullish retracement. If 3215 holds → price may push toward 3280+. If that fails → 3175–3195 is the final defense zone before larger structure shifts. Sell zones are reactive — wait for signals, don’t jump in early. 💬 Stay calm, stay patient. Don’t trade the zones — trade the reaction. 🔔 Final Thoughts for Tuesday The levels are marked. The structure is clear. Now it’s up to you to stay calm and let price do the talking. We don’t chase moves — we let the market knock on our zones. 📍 Whether you're buying from discount or selling from premium — let logic lead, not FOMO. And remember: structure doesn’t lie... but your emotions might. 💬 Got questions? Drop them — this is a team effort. Let’s stay sharp, focused, and prepared. See you on the charts, — GoldFxMinds 🧠⚔️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
Bitcoin Flips $94K Into Support — Bullish Momentum BuildsStructure Strengthens: Bitcoin's technical structure has improved significantly, with price now holding firmly above the $94,000 level — a former resistance that has flipped into solid support after multiple successful retests. Bullish Trend Confirmation: This move reinforces the ongoing bullish trend, driven by a broad bottoming formation from February to April and a clear series of higher lows since March. Investor Confidence: The consistent accumulation signals strong buying interest from long-term investors, suggesting that market participants are positioning for further upside. Outlook & Targets: As long as Bitcoin maintains levels above $94,000, the bullish outlook remains intact. The next near-term targets lie in the $110,000–$115,000 range. Bitcoin appears well-positioned for the next leg of its rally. 🚀📈 #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #Support #Breakout #MarketUpdate #PriceAction #CryptoMarket
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
1
STOCKS | MARKET WATCH | Why Long-Term Investing Still Wins🤯 The start of 2025 was a bit of a rollercoaster for stocks. Global markets got seriously rattled in the first few months by some sudden jitters. When President Trump announced those aggressive tariffs, it caused significant concern among investors, sending stock markets tumbling and prompting a flight to safety. Like Reuters said, April was "epic" for crazy market swings – the VIX fear index shot up to levels we hadn't seen since 2020 and 2008, and then just as quickly dropped back down. Markets went wild. But then, by late April, the panic kind of ... disappeared. Once President Trump paused the implementation of the most severe tariffs, stocks bounced back pretty sharply. The S&P 500 recovered most of what it lost. After that nasty drop, it ended April only about 5% lower than it started the year. The Nasdaq, with all its tech stocks, pretty much ended the month where it began. So, after all that drama, major US stock markets weren't far from their all-time highs, showing how fast that "fear" can vanish. 📊 How key indexes did S&P 500 (USA): 📉 Dipped in early April but bounced back late. Ended April around -5% for the year, after almost hitting a bear market. Nasdaq Composite (USA): 📉 Similar story. Tanked on the tariff scare, then rallied when things calmed down, ending April pretty much flat for the year. MSCI World (Global developed markets): 🤷‍♂️ Had its ups and downs along with the US markets. By the end of April, it was pretty much flat for the year – no big moves for the overall world index. MSCI Emerging Markets: 📉 Didn't do as well as developed markets. Asian stocks, especially, took a hit early April because of trade war worries, so this index lagged, even though it recovered a bit by the end of the month. FTSE/JSE All-Share (South Africa): 🇿🇦 The odd one out! The JSE jumped about +5% in the first three months of 2025, mainly thanks to mining stocks. It even hit a record high in March. The April craziness shook it up too, but because it did so well earlier, it was still slightly up for the year by late April. Takeaway? Global stocks were jumpy, but they mostly recovered. By late April, most major indexes were close to where they started the year. South Africa's market was the exception, having a good first quarter that helped it weather the April storm. ⏳ Staying invested beats trying to be a stock Wizard All this back and forth can make investors nervous. You start thinking, "Should I just sell now before it drops even more?" But history usually says that's the wrong move. Just sticking with it usually works out better than trying to guess the market's next move. BlackRock's iShares recently pointed out that "waiting for the 'right time' to invest might mean missing out on the best days," while staying invested lets you benefit from that "compounding" thing and get through the short-term bumps. Simply put, if you sit on the sidelines during big swings, you often miss the big rebound days. One study even showed that if you missed just the five best market days over 20 years, you'd end up with way less money than someone who just stayed in the market. The legendary investor Charlie Munger put it simply: "The first rule of compounding: never interrupt it unnecessarily." Trying to jump in and out of the market around all the volatility is super tough – the biggest up days often follow right after the biggest down days. On the other hand, patient investors who just ride out the noise tend to grab more of those long-term gains. After all, with compounding, those small gains build on each other over time. 💰 The awesome power of compounding over time Compounding basically means the sooner you invest and the longer you stay invested, the more your returns build on each other like a snowball rolling downhill. For example, the total return JSE All-Share index was up almost 23% over the last year. That kind of gain shows how just staying invested during good times can really grow your wealth. If you'd panicked and pulled out, you would have missed most of that growth. Over longer periods, like 5 to 10 years, the JSE has almost always gone up. The big lesson is that it's about "time in the market," not trying to "time the market," that really makes your returns grow and smooths out those bumps along the way. 🌍 What's driving the markets and the economy There were a few big things happening that explain why the markets moved the way they did. 🇺🇸 US GDP Slowdown: The US economy actually shrank a bit in the first quarter of 2025. A lot of people blamed this on a big surge in imports as businesses bought stuff ahead of those potential President Trump tariffs. Even though this news spooked the stock market briefly in late April, underlying consumer spending was still looking pretty decent. 📈 US Company Profits: On the bright side, US companies reported some pretty strong profits. Analysts were expecting good growth in earnings for the S&P 500 in the first quarter, even with the economic slowdown. And it turned out even better – a lot of companies beat expectations, and overall earnings were up quite a bit from last year. This helped keep stock prices from falling too much during the pullbacks. 🇪🇺 European Spending Boost: In Europe, governments are starting to spend more. Germany, for example, proposed a huge fund for infrastructure and energy. The EU is also loosening its spending rules and increasing defense budgets. Some experts think this could actually boost Europe's economic growth a bit each year, which would mean better profits for European companies. Some even think European companies might see faster profit growth than US companies in the next few years because of this spending. 🇨🇳 Asia and Trade Wars: Asia was the weak spot. China's economy showed some signs of trouble, with a survey suggesting its manufacturing activity might have shrunk in April after a couple of months of growth. This seemed to be a direct result of the US tariffs. Asian stock markets took a hit on the tariff news, which dragged down the overall emerging markets index. Basically, tariffs and trade tensions hurt growth in Asia and its markets, which then affected returns in emerging markets globally. ✅ The bottom line Early 2025 reminded us that markets can freak out quickly – but they can often bounce back just as fast. The swings felt scary, but history tells us that just sticking with your investments usually pays off. Major stock markets are pretty much where they were a few months ago, while economies and company earnings are still moving forward. For long-term investors, that wild week in April just reinforced an old lesson: stay invested and let compounding do its thing. As some experts say, "get invested and stay invested" because the most volatile times often have the biggest market gains. By sticking to your plan, you avoid missing those big up days when the "fear" fades and markets recover. _________________________ SP:SPX Sources: Recent market reports and data including the April SATRIX 2025 market newsletter “Once Again, Volatility Blinked and Fear Lost., nasdaq.com, reuters.com, ishares.com, insight.factset.com, reuters.com, iol.co.za
SP:SPXLong
by Crypto-Check-
Bitcoin Confirms Breakout — Bullish Trend Gains StrengthStair-Stepping Uptrend: Bitcoin has confirmed a breakout above the critical $88,000–$90,000 resistance zone, forming a classic pattern of higher lows and higher highs. This technical structure signals a decisive shift in market sentiment. Momentum Builds: The breakout marks a clear resurgence in bullish momentum after months of consolidation following January’s highs. It suggests that the market is regaining strength and preparing for a sustained move upward. Key Support Level: As long as Bitcoin holds above $92,000, the bullish structure remains valid. This level now acts as a critical threshold for traders to manage risk and assess continuation. Outlook: With the trend now clearly favoring the bulls, Bitcoin is well-positioned for further upside in the near term. Continued strength could open the door to retesting previous all-time highs and potentially reaching new ones. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #CryptoMarket #SupportAndResistance #MarketUpdate #PriceAction
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official