EURJPY Aug 27-31This will be the first of many markups...
I'm looking at EURJPY on the 4hr...
I see a clear downtrend with 3 touches of the trend line...
Price retraced up to the 71% level perfectly and closed the week on a bearish candle... (Not engulfing but I'm convinced she's running out of steam)
I see price dropping to the 61% region before double topping and retesting the 71%...
I then see price moving swiftly to the downside...
THAT IS PLAN A.
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PLAN B is the complete opposite...
Break of the trendline and a push up to the 78% region before dropping again to retest the 71%...
Then price will make another push higher...
Hope that made sense...
Any questions about anything hit me up!
Markup
Bitcoin Cause & EffectCause and effect the cornerstone of Wyckoff methodology. Time to get physical, Isaac Newton famously once said ‘For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction’. With that in mind, let's use it analyse the previous cycles on BTC…
Aprils accumulation (cause) and markup phase (effect). Accumulation lasted 13days and markup lasted an equal amount of time. NOTE: dropping volume on markup
Mays distribution (cause) and markup phase (effect). Distribution lasted 26days and markdown lasted 23days. :thonking
June/Julys accumulation (cause) lasted 34days. Markup is yet to be defined but based on these findings I think there's a strong chance that this markup cycle lasts a similar amount of time. NOTE: Expanding volume on markup
Obviously, this is highly speculative but most definitely worth keeping in mind when calling distribution, the top or have weak shakey childs like hands. :thonking
Twitter feed here -> twitter.com
TRON (TRX) - MOONING SOON?Tron is currently on the markup phase, or so it seems. We should be seeing rapid price action and volume in the next few days.
If you are trading or are planning to, please use a stop loss. I think around 430 would be a good place, you could also use a tighter one, around 460 if you prefer.
Entry: 480-520
TP1: 696
TP2: 877
TP3: 1200
SL: 430/460
Take profits, don't HODL. If you are stopped out, get out.
If you agree with this idea please give thumbs up! Would love to hear what you think in the comments!
*Not intended as trading advice, this is just MY trading idea. Use your own judgment when trading real money.
EURUSD MarkupThis top-down analysis on the EURUSD pair was marked up, 3/31/2018. I haven't been using my TV for awhile so during this markup I was also getting re-acclimated to the entire system. Getting a start on my S&R levels before the new trading week begin. Any helpful suggestions & constructive criticism is welcomed.
SDRL # Price marked up from previous low breakdown failure(less volume are interested to the breakdown).
# Mark up is supported by volume spike showing interest.
# RSI higher high. MACD lines up below 0, histogram converge.
# News: Restructuring plan.
Condition:
1. If price gaps up high at pre-market or market open, I will cancel the orders and wait for a gap up pullback on 1min/5min timeframe with good R:R ratio to get in again.
2. If my entry is triggered with weakness or potential trapped, I will watch the move for the next 30min and get out of the trade if strong selling occurs. Hold the S1 position if weak selling follows through.
3. If no sign of strength and weakness on both sides, my order will remain.
4. If further weak selling is coming, I will find a better LWP for entry.
5. If strong selling follows, orders will be cancelled and reassessment is needed.
AUDUSD May Form A Bullish ButterflyFinal markup for AUDUSD longterm. My last post was vague, and I apologize for that. Looking at where things are now based off of the daily there will be some pull backs but strong bullish movement up towards the my 88.6 PRZ. If this happens, with all of my other confluences thus far, we are in for some pips! Current push came very close to the 78.6 PRZ, and hitting a quarter point. Currently hitting the 38.2 PRZ based off of my 1H and 4H analysis, with huge wicks on the previous candles, I'm looking for it to retrace based off a 1H and 4H double top formation, and re-test that has already taken place. Also, the quarter point has to be re-tested (see .75000). I hope this and my markup puts things more in perspective, hope everyone is in profit!
ZECUSD Accumulation Breakout & MarkupBITFINEX:ZECUSD
ZEC analysis shows us that the current ZCash breakout was signaled after the three of four phases of price movement: accumulation, markup, and distribution. A potential markdown may be incoming. Similar to BTC, understanding price positioning for the overall market and stock couldn't be more important. In this scenario, we witnessed a price reversal around the beginning of September which initiated a false short breakout before correction within the demand and supply zone. There was significant shorting accumulation which tells me that there are a good number of short positions set by traders that were not filled making this an area of interest. The break above the moving average signaled an upward breakout which was overrun by bulls to set the current price point, with a peak of about $410 at the time of writing this. Similar to BTC, the overall markup trend is positive and a potential markdown may follow after sell interest overwhelms buy interest.
BTCUSD Accumulation, Breakout & MarkupBITFINEX:BTCUSD
BTC supply and demand analysis over a long period of time shows us some interesting trend patterns developing over time and repeating themselves. There happen to be four phases of price movement: accumulation, markup, distribution and markdown. Understanding the price position for the broad market and the individual stock before initiating a trade is rather important. Think of it this way, you wouldn't go down to your favorite retail store to pick up a brand new TV before fully understanding the specifications on that TV and what you will get in value for your money. The same can be applied here. Long positions are usually preferred when the broad market is in a markup stage, which we can see quite evidently within the price history of BTC.
Outside of the markup stage, there are about five other buy points that offer a good risk-reward ratio. Aggressive traders attempt to pick a bottom by buying on the spring. Trend followers would buy on the breakout that signals the beginning of a trend. Once the breakout has completed its' cycle, chart enthusiasts can look into establishing long positions during the throwback, re-accumulation phases or corrections.
$xlp further short term breakdownhigher time frame is showing defined uptrend with an over-extension on breakout pulling back
mid time frame is showing markup to distribution to consolidation for the next leg down
descending triangle is forming against downtrend line and multiple test of support is showing weakness
possible breakdown to breakout level of 55.7x on higher time frame- first level 56.2x
lower time frame is showing range bound action with sellers slightly in control
descending triangle is also forming- worth monitoring price action
NZDUSD mark-up looking for good pip movesThere is consistent dominance of demand over supply. Signs of strength with widening price spreads and increasing volume. The reactions (LPSs) have smaller spreads and diminished volumes. We are moving away from the trading range resistance lines. Based on this I think we are in the mark-up phase. Looking for some good pips on the way up.
AUDUSD mark-up startingPrice has moved away from the resistance line and yearly PP. Price has retested these levels and is now moving away from the resistance and trading range. There is consistent dominance of demand over supply. Signs of strength with widening price spreads and increasing volume and reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes is still observed. The 'TDI indicator is showing all lines sentiment lines above 50% but not over bought and move up. In the following weeks if the Wyckoff view was correct should see significant price increases.
NZDUSD the breakout before the mark up?On the weekly time frame the price has broken the Kumo but the Chico Span still has to break. We could see some consolidation at the final resistance before the final mark up. Looking at the daily time frame the final consolidation before the mark up could occur before the final breakout of the 55 Day Oscillation frequency (OF). The Kenjen sen, Tenken sen and Senko Span B are all up. The market is currently following the 21 Day OF. Up moves are support by volume increases and pullbacks with volume declines sowing signs of strength. A Wyckoff Analysis also indicates a final breakout to occur.