Marriot
AIRBNB - Great Company to Invest In!-All sectors are seeing newbies that are bringing innovative changes to the sector. The Hospitality industry hasn't seen any changes for decades until the new player in the game, AIRBNB. Airbnb has changed the sector from the cores, the landlords. You don't have to be a millionaire hotel owner to operate in the hospitality sector anymore! The simple homeowners are now their own Hotel owners.
-Travellers mostly miss the home environment while they are travelling, the welcoming environment that they leave behind. Airbnb has also eliminated that struggle as the hosts are sharing their warm homes full of history and travellers are staying in a more colourful environment that feels like home and more importantly, is more private.
-The total revenue growth from 2016 to 2019 was 80%, 54%, 42% and 31% respectively.
-Most importantly while searching for a place where to invest, one should follow the steps of the giants and analyze the places that they are investing heavily into. Bill Ackman, the big short gainer that made over $3 billion during the COVID-19 tried to get the big piece before Airbnb opened to the public. He offered the Airbnb funds and asked them to not pursue the IPO and instead accept him and his fund as the investment resource. However, Airbnb has declined the offer and continued filing for the IPO. The lesson to be taken from here and based on what Ackman says, Airbnb is believed to be the future of the Hospitality Sector, the player that will take over the many Hiltons and Marriots.
-Current price of the stock is pretty attractive, however, it can continue to bleed further due to the whole market situation and a potential upcoming market crash. For the value and growth investors, the current price should still be attractive while the short-term volatilities shouldn't mean much. Ideally, we see a perfect entry around 125-130.
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Accor in the + despite global hotels chains fallingMy most recent post was also about Accor(AC), and since the most recent news about Marriott I'm assured we have a long way to go. with Mariott now down with 65% which I estimate will bounce between 5-10%. this realistically still leaves room for another 10-20% drop for Accor hotels. take my news as you want, but Accor made big investment into buying another hotel group last Friday, of which I estimate the price was based on the early-corona stages.
asides from this the Accor group has a total revenue of about 5,5bil, where the services are responsible for about 1,5 bil. which leaves a large quantity of their business very vulnerable.
bottom is around €18 current puts based on a price around €22,8