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MCD

McDonald's:A Time-Tested Investment Recipe for Long-Term SuccessMcDonald's: A Time-Tested Investment Recipe for Long-Term Success McDonald's, an iconic symbol of the fast-food industry, has not only defined the sector but has been a consistent performer, enriching investors globally. Despite its historical success, a prudent investor must evaluate the potential for future returns. Here are three compelling reasons why McDonald's deserves consideration for a long-term investment strategy. 1. Robust Dividend Growth: While rapid stock price surges might not be the norm for McDonald's, its dividend story stands out. With a quarterly dividend of $1.67 and a yield just below 2.2%, McDonald's has a reliable dividend with a positive trajectory. What sets it apart is its consistent annual dividend growth for 47 consecutive years, a trajectory that positions it to achieve Dividend King status. The recent 10% boost to its dividend is a testament to a decade of doubling its payout. The reasonable payout ratio of 53% further ensures stability, allowing for strategic business initiatives. 2. Global Expansion Through Localization: From its humble beginnings in San Bernardino, California, McDonald's has become a global giant with a presence in over 115 countries. Key to its global success is an astute strategy of localization, tailoring its offerings to suit local tastes. Menu adaptations like the Ebi Filet-O in Japan or the McSpicy Paneer in India showcase this approach. In Q3, McDonald's reported sales growth outpacing the US, underscoring the effectiveness of its localization strategy. 3. Franchisee-Centric Business Model: Despite its vast global reach, McDonald's directly operates only a fraction of its outlets. The majority are owned by franchisees, providing McDonald's with a dual revenue stream from franchisee fees and rental income. This shift to a more franchisee-centric model has positively impacted gross profit margins, with rental income carrying higher margins than operational income from food sales. This strategic move enables shareholder-friendly practices like substantial share buybacks and dividends, ensuring enduring value for investors. McDonald's continues to serve up success with a blend of dividend consistency, global adaptability, and a franchisee-centric model. Its ability to evolve with local tastes and navigate the complexities of global markets positions it as a compelling long-term investment. As the golden arches continue to stand tall, McDonald's remains an enduring symbol not just in the fast-food industry but also in the portfolios of savvy, forward-thinking investors. Compared to the current market price of 286.60 USD, McDonald's Corp is Overvalued by 30%.
NYSE:MCDLong
by FOREXN1
1
CMG - it might be expensive but the value is there LONGCMG on the weekly chart has been uptrending for a year after being rangebound sideways for a year. It has seen a volume spike and corresponding price action with the current earnings beat Price rose 60% in the past year and 16% YTD. This is not linear and nor is it parabolic. The MACD supports the bullish momentum observation in the price action while the RS indicator shows good strength in both shorter and longer time frames. This is a blue chip megacap for sure. While it is not technology like the MAg7, the food business is lucrative. the CEO in the earnings call announced plans to expand to 7000 stores nationally. This is ambitious. Those who are ambitious investors or traders and are well funded could consider adding some shares or even a few options of CMG. I am going with a few options OTM at $3000 six months out. I believe that I will be well rewarded for the risk taken especially given the expansion plans and the historical track record here.
NYSE:CMGLong
by AwesomeAvani
McDonald's Faces Headwinds as Global Sales Miss for the 1st Time McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ), the global fast-food giant, has hit a speed bump in its impressive growth trajectory, reporting its first quarterly sales miss in nearly four years. The challenges stem primarily from sluggish international business, particularly in the Middle East, China, and India, impacting its bottom line. While overall net profit increased by 7% in the fourth quarter, concerns are emerging about the company's ability to navigate geopolitical tensions, regional conflicts, and changing consumer behaviors. Slow Growth in International Markets: McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) faced unexpected headwinds in its International Developmental Licensed Markets segment, which includes the Middle East, China, and India. Comparable sales in this crucial business division rose only 0.7% in the quarter, significantly missing the estimated 5.5% growth. The Middle East market experienced a notable decline, attributed to the Israel-Hamas conflict and the resulting misinformation affecting the brand's perception. The fallout from these geopolitical tensions has put a dent in McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) international expansion plans. China's Economic Challenges: China, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) second-largest market, poses another challenge as consumer spending remains weak despite government support measures. The slow recovery in China has mirrored trends seen by other Western brands, such as Starbucks, highlighting broader economic concerns in the region. Impact of Geopolitical Tensions on Brand Perception: CEO Chris Kempczinski pointed out the "meaningful business impact" caused by the conflict in the Middle East and surrounding regions. The company is among several Western brands facing protests and boycott campaigns due to perceived pro-Israeli stances. This not only affected sales but also raised questions about the long-term impact on McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) brand image and consumer loyalty. Struggling U.S. Business: Even in its home market, signs of weakness are emerging. Traffic at McDonald's U.S. stores saw a significant decline, slumping 13% in October and continuing to decline in November and December. While comparable sales in the U.S. climbed 4.3% in the fourth quarter, just shy of estimates, concerns about sustained growth are starting to surface. Global Same-Store Sales Disappointment: The global same-store sales increased by 3.4% in the quarter, missing estimates of a 4.9% rise. This represents the slowest sales growth in about three years, indicating broader challenges beyond specific regional issues. McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) will need to reassess its strategies to reinvigorate growth and respond to evolving consumer preferences. Conclusion: McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ), a global icon of fast food, is facing a challenging period as it grapples with geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and shifting consumer behaviors. The first sales miss in nearly four years underscores the need for the company to adapt swiftly to these changing dynamics, reevaluate its international strategies, and address concerns in both emerging and mature markets. As McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) navigates these challenges, investors and industry observers will be closely watching its initiatives to regain momentum and sustain its position in the competitive global fast-food landscape.
NYSE:MCD
by DEXWireNews
MCD, WILL EARNINGS INCLUDE A HAPPY MEAL?On quick glance, maybe a little bit of a happy meal, but they definitely gonna forget the toy. Why does this chart look like a child drew it? Well, it was drawn on my one of the streams I did back in oct and since the lines are still holding and trends are still holding, I figured I'd share it again. my last post was deleted because I used a bad word. which is fair. Price is sitting right under major rejection, if it breaks over, the rocket can continue, but if it can't, lookout. I think it's getting close to the top and earnings takes it maybe up a little past 300, but more than likely, we start to see the downside take over for a bit. Again, fully depends on the trend and what happens with earnings because things can change fast with these numbers but as of now. I'd say bears get favoring.
NYSE:MCD
by nicktussing77
McDonald's Recipe for Success: A Golden Future on the HorizonIn the ever-evolving landscape of the fast-food industry, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) emerges as a beacon of resilience and growth. As the iconic brand prepares to unveil its fourth-quarter results on February 5, 2024, the anticipation is high, and all indicators point to a recipe for success. Let's delve into the key ingredients that make McDonald's a compelling investment in the current market scenario. Solid Q4 Performance: McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is expected to showcase robust performance in its Q4 results, building upon the momentum from the previous quarter. The projections suggest a 4.79% increase in overall same-store sales, with an impressive 4.45% growth in US sales. This follows the trend set in Q3 when same-store sales soared by 8.8%, surpassing analysts' expectations. Financial Outlook: The financial outlook for Q4 is promising, with adjusted earnings per share expected to jump by 7% to $2.82. Total revenue is projected to grow by 9% to reach $6.5 billion. Looking ahead to fiscal 2023, Wall Street anticipates total revenue to climb to $25.53 billion, showcasing a significant uptick from the $23.18 billion reported in 2022. Global Expansion and Ambitious Goals: McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is not resting on its laurels but is instead eyeing a global footprint expansion. With an ambitious plan to reach 50,000 locations by 2027, the company is poised for sizzling growth. At the end of Q3, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) boasted 41,198 worldwide locations, with over 39,000 of these operated by franchisees. Analyst Confidence and Market Perception: Despite challenges faced by the fast-food industry in 2023, including concerns over consumer sentiment, food inflation, and potential impacts of weight-loss drugs, Wall Street remains optimistic about McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ). Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan emphasizes the brand's resilience, noting that it's "hard to see McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) not ‘winning’ in any consumer environment." Jefferies’ Andy Barish goes further, naming McDonald's the "best defensive and offensive play in restaurants" and a top pick for 2024. Strategic Initiatives: McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) strategic initiatives include a focus on digital transformation, delivery services, drive-through efficiency, and expanding its chicken product offerings. The emphasis on innovation, loyalty programs, effective marketing, and operational excellence is expected to sustain same-store sales growth in the near term. Return of Breakfast Diners: As workers gradually return to the office, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is experiencing a resurgence in breakfast diners. Data from Placer.ai reveals an increase in store visits during breakfast hours, with 16.7% occurring between 7 a.m. and 10 a.m. in 2023, up from 15.9% in 2022. Conclusion: McDonald's (4MCD) is not just a fast-food giant; it's a resilient force navigating the challenges of an ever-changing market. The company's Q4 results and the fiscal outlook for 2023 paint a promising picture of growth and financial strength. With an unwavering commitment to innovation, strategic expansion, and adaptability, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) seems poised to continue its legacy as a global leader in the fast-food industry. As investors eagerly await the upcoming results, it appears that the golden arches are set to shine even brighter in the years to come.
NYSE:MCD
by DEXWireNews
$MCD Double Top Short With A Tight StopThe NYSE:MCD (McDonald's Corporation) stock is exhibiting a double top pattern, which is often interpreted as a bearish signal in technical analysis. This pattern is characterized by the stock reaching a high price point twice, with a moderate decline in between, forming an 'M' shape. Given this pattern, a trading strategy could be to enter a short position, capitalizing on the anticipated downward movement following the formation of the double top. However, it's crucial to implement a tight stop-loss order to minimize potential losses. This stop-loss could be set just above the level of the blue line that marks the recent highs, as shown on the daily chart. If the stock's price closes above this blue line, it may invalidate the double top pattern and suggest a potential upward trend, triggering the stop-loss and limiting the downside risk of the short position. This strategy hinges on the assumption that the double top pattern will lead to a price decline, but it's important to be prepared for alternative scenarios, which is where the tight stop-loss comes into play.
NYSE:MCDShort
by AlgoTradeAlert
2
Why I Buy MacDonalds With Both HandsMCD tanked impressively lately. I had no clue why. Then I checked the News, which I very rarely do. There was one article that made absolutely no sense to me: "Concerns about weight-loss drugs: There are some concerns that the growing popularity of weight-loss drugs, such as Ozempic and Wegovy, could take away demand from food companies like McDonald's." To me, this writer has inverse Logic. Why? Because if I would love the (crappy) MCD Food, and I could just take a Pill and loose weight, I would probably eat more at MCD. However, I buy with both hands since MCD is a the Center-Line of this Pull-Back Fork, as soon I have some indication. (Heads Up: Earnings ahead!) And remember: You can buy, even when you sell (...hint: Puts). It's the Buffet way. If price close in the money at end of DTE, you got the Put's premium, AND the Stock for a way cheaper price. If price is closing out of the money after DTE, you keep the premium....double Whopper §8-) Away for a healthy Burger at $MyOneKitchen.
NYSE:MCDLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
McDonald (MCD) Aiming Higher McDonald's (MCD) beat earnings estimates for the third quarter as higher menu prices boosted sales growth. Global systemwide sales — which include sales at company-owned and franchised restaurants — increased 11%. Global same-store sales jumped 8.8%, higher than analysts' estimates of 7.79%, per Bloomberg consensus data. Revenue jumped 14% year-over-year to $6.69 billion, higher than estimates of $6.52 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at 3.19, up 19% from last year. Shares of McDonald's are down nearly 3% year-to-date, trailing behind Restaurant Brands International (QSR) which is up nearly 2% year-to-date, but ahead of YUM! Brands (YUM) shares, which are down nearly 7%. As consumers buckled down on where they spent their money, McDonald's says it got a boost in the US. In the US, sales benefitted from higher menu prices, new marketing campaigns, and growing digital and delivery orders. Beginning in August, the company launched its As Featured In Meal campaign that showed meals that have appeared in films, movies or TV shoes. Baird analyst David Tarantino said McDonald's typically gains foot traffic when there are "mounting macroeconomic uncertainties" in a note to clients, adding that the Golden Arches is "one of the best positioned brands...to navigate a tougher backdrop." During the financial crisis from 2008 to 2009, sales growth averaged 3.4% in the U.S. and 6.9% in Europe, he said. The company also reported systemwide digital sales — which includes sales made on the app, delivery or on the kiosk — totaled $9 billion across its six biggest markets, making up 40% of total sales. That's more than Q2, which saw $8 billion in digital sales. Price Momentum MCD is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average. Investors have been pushing the share price lower, and the stock still appears to have downward momentum. This is a negative sign for the stock's future value, but we may expect a consolidation move after reaching its Lower Low (LL) we will expect an upward momentum.
NYSE:MCDLong
by DEXWireNews
MCDONALDS Very rare yearly buy opportunity close to be confirmedMcDonalds Corporation (MCD) has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since late 2020 and since the May 2023 High, has started a correction that twice in October hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. On the October 06 bottom in particular, the 1D RSI reached 20.00, which means massively oversold on strength. Since the 2020 COVID crash, the RSI approached/ hit this level another 3 times, all of which have been enormous buy opportunities on an annual basis. The respective rebounds that followed quickly hit first the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before going for a new All Time High (ATH) and the buy confirmation every time has been the RSI breaking above its Lower Highs trend-line. As a result, we are waiting for that closing above it (right now it has marginally broken) in order to enter a (still) low risk buy and target 288.00 (0.786 Fib) on the medium-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:MCD
by TradingShot
3
MCD breaking meaningful supportMcDonald’s Corp. (MCD) presently approaching meaningful long-term support, able to absorb monthly selling pressures. From here, (MCD) can rotate higher to our next notable resistance level, eliciting gains of 10 - 15% over the following 3 - 5 months, and gains of 20% over the following 5 - 6 months. Inversely, a weekly settlement below key support would place (MCD) into a sell signal where losses of 20% would be expected over the following 3 - 5 months.
NYSE:MCD
by SpecialeAnalysis
McDonald's: Unwrapping the Unique Investment Opportunity Unwrapping the Unique Investment Opportunity: The McDonald's Story McDonald's, the golden arches that symbolize fast food worldwide, may not shine with the glamour of tech giants, but it offers a distinct investment opportunity. Beyond its role as a fast-food behemoth, McDonald's operates on a unique model that sets it apart from traditional restaurant businesses. In this article, we'll uncover three key facts about McDonald's stock that make it an intriguing investment prospect. McDonald's Is Not What It Seems While many might see McDonald's as just another restaurant chain, a closer look reveals a different story. In reality, McDonald's functions more like a real estate investment trust (REIT) masquerading as a restaurant company. The company owns the physical buildings housing its franchisees' operations and collects rental income from these properties. Additionally, McDonald's takes a percentage fee based on sales and an initial fee when a new franchise is established. These real estate-related activities contribute significantly to McDonald's income, anchoring its success to the stability of the real estate market. The steady stream of rental payments also provides a reliable source of income. This unique structure shields McDonald's from the volatility of the restaurant industry, helping it weather industry ups and downs more gracefully. McDonald's Financial Health In the first half of 2023, McDonald's reported impressive revenue exceeding $12 billion, with a remarkable 62% stemming from its franchise operations. The remaining 38% is attributed to the 5% of restaurants it directly owns. What's particularly intriguing is that, despite company-owned restaurants accounting for slightly over half of its total expenses, they contributed only a fraction to its operating income, which totaled approximately $5.6 billion, primarily driven by its franchised locations. After accounting for interest, non-operating expenses, and taxes, McDonald's achieved a GAAP net income of $4.1 billion in the first half of the year, marking a significant 78% surge compared to the same period the previous year. McDonald's also stands out as a dividend payer, offering an annual payout of $6.08 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.3%, surpassing the S&P 500's 1.6% yield. Notably, McDonald's has consistently increased its dividend annually since 1976, signaling that rising profits are likely to fuel further dividend growth. McDonald's Presents an Attractive Valuation Beyond its financial prowess, McDonald's offers an appealing valuation. Excluding the brief dip in early 2020, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24 is near its five-year lows for this earnings multiple. This valuation places it in a similar range to peers like Restaurant Brands International and Yum! Brands. This relatively low P/E ratio enhances McDonald's attractiveness, especially considering its consistent dividend growth and steadily rising profits, which have contributed to its outperformance compared to both the S&P 500 and its industry peers. Conclusion McDonald's success story is rooted in its astute business strategy. By focusing on real estate ownership and a franchise-centric model, the company has not only bolstered its revenue but also established a remarkable degree of stability in an otherwise unpredictable industry. This unique approach has resulted in consistent growth in revenue, net income, and dividend payments. Coupled with its comparatively low P/E ratio, McDonald's emerges as an attractive option for investors seeking opportunities in the restaurant sector or those searching for a reliable source of dividend income. In summary, McDonald's has effectively harnessed its distinctive business model to create a compelling investment proposition, making it a stock worthy of consideration for discerning investors.
NYSE:MCD
by FOREXN1
9
McDonald's Corp: Bearish Deep Crab with Double PPO ConfirmationWe have a Bearish Deep Crab with a PPO Confirmation Arrow and a Circle with MACD Bearish Divergence and have broken below the faster moving EMAs. I would next expect this to make at least a 61.8% Retrace, which would take it back to about $185. This makes the third major Dow 30 Stock that has signalled something ultra bearish like this; the other two being UNH and MSFT, which can be seen below: We are likely looking at a major correction coming to the Dow Jones Industrial Average very soon.
NYSE:MCDShort
by RizeSenpai
1
MCD Entry, Volume, Target, StopEntry: with price above 298.80 Volume: with volume greater than 2.12M Target: 318 area Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; 292.42 gets you 3/1 Reward to Risk Ratio. This swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
NYSE:MCDLong
by tradepatiently
Can CMG recover from the post earnings drop?CMG had earnings today which were a beat but apparently less than expectations of investors and traders. On the 15-minute chart, the indicators support a reversal with a bounce on the dual time frame RS lines showing a bit of bullish divergence. Decelerating bearish momentum on the MACD with lines converging under the histogram suggests a reversal is impending. Further, the mass index indicator is in the reversal zone but not yet triggering the signal with a drop below the zone. I will take a long trade of CMG. They say trade what you know, My local CMG is always buzy and a love either food. I believe that CMG is ready to give me a big rebate on my patronage. I will take a call option expiring 8/18 striking $2100. I expect to realize a large profit having done a similar trade on CMG more than once in the past. The expected premium of $7300 will be about $700 of risk given a stop =loss but I expect a reward of 4-6 times that if not more.
NYSE:CMGLong
by AwesomeAvani
MCD McDonald's Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold MCD Head and Shoulders here: Or reentered here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MCD McDonald's Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 300usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-8-18, for a premium of approximately $3.75. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:MCDLong
by TopgOptions
MCD short opportunityNot financial advice. When price reaches $290.32, i expect to see a strong rejection. Price could reject to one of three levels $286 $283.63 or $273.26 Nothing is guaranteed, but I've posted further analysis on the chart for those interested. This is all on a daily timeframe, so act accordingly. It should be noted that i am not looking to see NYSE:MCD create a lower low and initiate a change of structure, this is simply an accumulation type move following the previous higher low.
NYSE:MCDShort
by Wayt0Dark_
MCD are you rdy for short sell sell 🧨Wow, wow, after a few years, what will happen in McDonald's big company? McDonald's company has taken enough of its profits from the stock market and Wall Street. The global economic recession will start soon. Do you think that 70% of McDonald's shares will not fall? I will tell you. Be prepared for the fall of McDonald's shares. I think you should sell your shares today and buy and eat a McDonald's sandwich and laugh at the fall of the company's head. The targets he will see start at $219.20, then move to the next target of $127.72, and that's where everyone says it's over, but I say he will see the third target, and that target is $91.73. Don't sell $35.
NYSE:MCDShort
by ManochehrAzar
McDonald's:A Promising Investment Option Amidst Economy DownturnThe nation's slow economic growth rate of 1.1% in the first quarter and increasing interest rates and spending cutbacks indicate that a recession may be inevitable. Nevertheless, McDonald's appears to be a resilient company that can withstand the economic downturn. Despite price hikes, the fast-food giant has demonstrated strong sales, making it a worthy addition to any investment portfolio. McDonald's impressive same-store sales growth rate of 12.6% during Q1 2023 indicates robust demand. Even during the Great Recession, the company outperformed the S&P 500 and earned positive returns. While the company's shares are currently trading at a high earnings multiple, its cost-cutting efforts and potential future earnings growth suggest that the stock may still prove to be an excellent long-term investment option. Additionally, McDonald's dividend provides a reliable source of recurring cash flow for investors. Overall, McDonald's stock may be one of the most promising investment opportunities during a recession.
NYSE:MCDLong
by FOREXN1
3
McDonald's Reaches Upwards Sloping Resistance LineHere we are looking at MCD on the Daily TF… As you can see, MCD has run into its macro resistance, at a current price of 298.47. This is the third time MCD has tested this upwards sloping resistance line. Each of the previous two tests led to a sharp sell-off. Not only is MCD reaching this upwards sloping resistance, but it is also very over extended. For this reason, my bias is bearish, and we can likely expect a sell-off from this level. I will continue to monitor this chart, and will update you all as I see fit. Trade safely! Cheers!!
NYSE:MCDShort
by GarethSolowayOfficial
4