Potential Spread TadePotential Pairs Trade setup:
Long: 100 shares of AAL
Short: 272 shares of JOBY
Target would be 1-2$ of the spread
Mean-reversion
$ISV - Breakout play for +10 to 30% Technical Analysis (TA)
The monthly and weekly was oversold and price pushed higher with significant momentum after a consolidation phase.
Retracement to $25 is expected However, the push to $30 would require catalysts to increase momentum.
We could hit $25 and then come back down or go through another consolidation phase before further upside to $30.
Price Target
Entry: $22-$23
Target 1: $25
Target 2: $30
$ATLY - Oversold with +40% upside potentialTechnical Analysis ( TA)
Weekly William and RSI look very oversold so I am expecting a mean reversion to at least 0.20
Daily chart is showing initial signs of the mean reversion/reversal but its not let confirmed on the reversal until we cross the 50EMA.
Price Target
Entry: 0.175 - 20.5
Target 1: 0.25 (+40%)
Fundamental Analysis (FA)
Financial Metrics look good.
S&P 500 ---→ IN FOR A DEEP CORRECTION. MEAN REVERSION PENDING.S&P 500 IS IN FOR A DEEP CORRECTION.
Monthly SPX Regression Channel, spanning 40 years, with bands of +4/-4 standard deviations.
This is a long-term channel showing a Normal Distribution of SPX price occurrences.
At least 95% of the price occurrences occurred within the Comfort Zone, the blue area between +2/-2 stdev as it should be.
For 14 months (3.54% of the total bars) price has come out above the Comfort Zone, and even beyond +4 stdev.
In an uptrend channel this type of action commands a Mean Reversion most of the time.
Because this channel and its bands are dynamically calculated, the only alternative is for the price to stay out of the Comfort Zone until the channel adapts or accommodates (widens) to engulf the new prices, but in this case everything points to a MEAN REVERSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 to 24 months.
THEREFORE SPX IS GOING LOWER.
Currently the Comfort Zone is between 3632 / 1818
Bear markets are not cleared up in a few days or weeks. They take time to unwind.
Bear market rallies: Trade'm, but don't Trust'm
We wrote an article about this channel on Feb-21-22
Mean Reversion ETH BTCBINANCE:ETHBTC
Using Mean Reversion to enter at oversold (Diverge to under -4000 ) ETH and sell when ETH overbought (Diverge above +5000)
Profit in USD : 22%
IN USD BTC PRICE BTC AMOUT ETH BTC PRICE ETH AMOUNT USDETH Price USD OUT
1000 41924.13 0.023852612 0.06488 0.367641983 0.000284967 1290.121893
Thanks to @wolneyyy Mean Deviation Detector - Throw Out All Other Indicators
Trade Pull Backs To The Trend Line And MeanEnter at 161.89
Exit at 170.29
Stop Loss at 159.00
EMA 10 Close Price: 162.57
EMA 20 Close Price: 161.01
Close Price: 161.89
Trend Line Price: 159.00
Still downward trend is at hand!I don't know much about technical analysis yet, but I think measuring mean of price alterations during a period of time is good for future price behavior here is my simple idea:
✔ 14 hour mean, price is not even close to it yet
✔ 6 hour and 3 hour means, price is between these if goes lower than 3 hour mean then we still have the downward trend
Even deviation can help you here, good luck on investing... ✌😉
The 200 day, what's that?It's one of the biggest moving averages that the market seems to revert to. Just from looking at the chart this seems to be the longest a furthest stretch ever that we have been away from it. Who is ready for the mean reversion?
Short BTCUSD with macro tailwinds and stretched technicalsMomentum/Volume drying up similar to mid 2019 environment with extremely stretched technicals. Macro environment (rising rates & inflationary expectations) also stacked against stretched (especially levered) assets. DeFi growth/institutional adoption will keep happening, but BTCUSD will likely enter a multi-year correction / consolidation period.
$IWM vs $QQQ tactical trade... assymtrical risk/reward 15:11st time $IWM is above relative 200 day MA (SPY) in 1 yr
Great setup using previous high as stop; 15:1 risk reward (aggressive) for end of year bounce
ETH prediction based on well-respected long term fib levelsI thought this recent move might be it, but it's not climactic enough. So continue being short but expect a retrace.
Based on long term fib level which is holding well, it'll either go down to around 320 from here, or retrace and then go back down to 320-ish. Hoping for the retrace from here, to offload at 390 to 415.
Reversion to the mean.
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)Mean reversion
Reason: Only possible scenario which can conjectured..
Chance of success: 65%
Entry & Risk management : to be updated
Target: highlighted on chart
WTC set to bounce off of the 50RSI is on the long term support since its been in an uptrend and price is right on the 50.
Stop loss could be based on RSI breakdown and retest that puts the uptrend in doubt.
Back to the gapRSI bearish divergence.
Looking for a pullback back to the gap after the FOMO dies off and gives back.
Bull Flag Fractals: Signals price reverting to the mean.I love fractals. Here we have a micro bull flag embedded within a med. term flag embedded within a greater macro flag, wow. I called the recent btc price jump to 10k on my first video. I am calling this move to 11k. Price reverts to the mean and the mean is up not down - relatively speaking. Don't believe me, just watch.
These times are only estimates:
Target 1: by Nov 4
Target 2: by Nov 11th
Target 3: by 30th
HAIR - OverreactionThis looks like a nice technical setup for mean reversion coming straight out of an overreaction.
The volume by price range shows the 3 clear points with a lot of price memory. Most holders that haven't sold will feel they are owed money and be looking to relieve the tension of the loss at those points.
AFL - Bull Put Spread - Weekly & Daily Chart SetupBack from Hols - Back to Trading - Back to Profit..!!!
Weekly (W) Chart, Post Earnings showing good Pullback towards Mid BB%.
W RSI is <10.
Looking for S/R around the 52 level.
Looking for Reversal to mean back higher.
Aiming for 52.50 /50 Put Credit Spread with 55 Calls for directional Bias higher.
Exp SEPT - As this is weekly Chart, looking to leave time to run well into Profit.
Exit around W RSI level 50/60.70 depending on levels and PA.
Good Luck - Watch your $$$ RISK.
AIONBTCAt the end of a major long term resistance / falling wedge / bull flag
Possible return to the mean of the downtrend channel
Could easily POP, set you sell order to catch it! =)
BTC Long Term Pitchfork TrendCurrently I am expecting a mean reversion, sub $5k feels almost certain upon viewing this chart. I have used a line chart instead of bars in order to keep this clean. But all 3 pivots to this pitchfork are anchored to significant wicks (you just can't see them).
If it is looking like price will hold above the mean I will look for a long term entry to hold for at least at least a decade.
BTCUSD longBTCUSD has hit the necessary checkpoints that I needed to take a trade. It has finally completed another mean reversion and returned to its 52 day SMA mean. It also completed a long overdue 61.8% Fib retracement. Even though its in my buying zone I would prefer to see a deeper dive into oversold territory to feel all warm and fuzzy about this trade. With that being said I an watching for the classic break-check-go setup as my trade trigger. Twice in 2017 BTC did the same thing (returned to the mean, hit 61.8% Fib and got into oversold territory) so this is the trade that I have been waiting on. Remember trade only what you can afford to loose and plan your trade and trade your plan. Thanks to all!
EURUSD LONG - THREE TRADE SETUPSThe Horizontal Rays shows you the trade setup with ENTRY/BLUE-STOP/RED-TARGET/GREEN.
If we can manage to get a CLEAN break above the BLUE BOX - Look for a rounded retest for a run up to the first high initiated in red.
If we are going lower then the mean reversion trade - spread your long entries in the lightblue box with a master stop where you think you dont want to be bullish on the euro anymore.
