My Bullish GBP/USD Strategy Using X1X2!You have no idea how many opportunities are there when you're simply following "X1X2"!
I invite you to engage with me in this analysis!
Current Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias on GBP/USD:
1. Positive UK Economic Data: Recent reports indicate that the UK's GDP expanded by 0.2% in August, aligning with analyst expectations. Additionally, industrial production and manufacturing have shown growth, which supports the Pound's strength against the Dollar.
2. Diminishing US Dollar Strength: The US Dollar has faced selling pressure, particularly in light of recent mixed macroeconomic data. A softening inflation rate and rising initial jobless claims have raised concerns about the US economy, contributing to a bullish outlook for GBP/USD.
3. Market Sentiment Shift: An improving risk mood among investors has led to optimism regarding potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. This sentiment has weakened the Dollar, allowing GBP/USD to gain traction above key support levels.
Utilizing Probabilities in My Swing Trading Strategy:
In my trading approach, I employ a system known as X1X2, which focuses on probabilities to determine optimal entry points for long positions in GBP/USD.
In conclusion, my bullish bias on GBP/USD is supported by favorable economic indicators from the UK and weakening US economic data. By leveraging probabilities through my X1X2 system, I aim to position myself effectively for potential long trades in this pair.
1W:
3H:
Mechanicaltrading
ETHUSD: Bullish Bias with 58.65% Probability of Hitting TP1I'm feeling bullish on ETHUSD and looking to take some long positions.
My approach is all about using probabilities based on solid math and historical data from my charts.
Why probabilities?
They help me make smarter decisions by showing how often certain price levels have been reached in the past. This gives me a clearer idea of where I might want to enter and exit trades.
By analyzing past price movements, I can build my confidence in this trade and keep emotions in check.
With a 58.65% probability of hitting TP1, this setup looks like a great opportunity to ride the potential upward movement in Ethereum!
12M:
2W:
1H:
for more information check out my BIO!
Trade Idea for BTCUSDMy sentiment about BTCUSD is firmly bullish.
I plan to utilize probabilities to strategically position myself into long positions. This approach allows me to leverage statistical analysis and market behavior to enhance my trading decisions.
Several key fundamentals are currently influencing the market in a direction that aligns with my bullish bias on BTCUSD:
Institutional Adoption: There has been a notable increase in institutional interest in Bitcoin, with major firms investing heavily. This trend suggests growing confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term asset.
Economic Uncertainty: Global economic conditions remain volatile, leading many investors to seek alternative assets like Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.
Technological Advancements: Innovations in blockchain technology and increased acceptance of cryptocurrencies for transactions are contributing to a more robust ecosystem, enhancing Bitcoin's utility and attractiveness.
Conclusion
In summary, my bullish stance on BTCUSD is supported by both statistical probabilities and current global fundamentals. By strategically using probabilities, I aim to position myself advantageously in the market. This method not only enhances my trading strategy but also aligns with broader economic trends that favor the growth of Bitcoin.
Let’s dive into the top-down analysis together! Your thoughts and feedback are always welcome!
1D:
Hourly Timeframes:
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Breakout Retest, A+ setup explained with todays R5 Silver longFull recap of my todays NY session showing my preparation, my shortlist, my thinking process into my entry window and a detailed breakdown of the trade, including a detailed explanation of the setup, what to look for and how to trade it. One more trade for your playbook!
Texas Instruments - Full analysis for December 2022 Daily ChartExpectation of Texas Instruments ($TXN) & Potential Strategy Ideas:
---This is my first post, if you like my breakdown and mechanical analysis please comment other tickers you want to see---
$TXN is a bit in decisive now with pressure from buyers and sellers to either cash out close to the ATH (all-time-high) of $199.86 or wait to catch a small upside-push expected from $TXN Q4 report out in early 2023. Currently $TXN is still holding steady over DOW and S&P by 1.56% during general market recovery. New contracts with $TXN and DoD will increase revenue on Q4 report, if market recovery continues at a steady or slower rate buyers win for Long-Term hold on $TXN while sellers will try and either convert to buyers trying to get in before the Q4 report or like we have seen in other markets create a mass sell-off either through a whale with Put options or large stake in the market or community sell-off (i.e. the AMC/GameStop massive market flooding except as a mass selling). For December we can expect to continue to see this fight between sellers and buyers as the pressure builds towards Q4, buyers have the upside with countdown to Q4 and also typically winter/holiday season we see less inverse-traders in the market meaning less active sellers. Price will maintain until end of December (watch for false breakouts look at yellow ceiling line we see 2 have already happened and we will see more) with slight push upside.
Strategy Ideas: -
Bull's : hold for upside from a long position until Q4
Bear's : short position you can take advantage of the false breakout's occurring but act quickly so keep an eye on the 15min / 1hr chart and compare that to your daily trends and anticipate only small moves toward downside for risk mitigation.
Call Option's: with false breakouts occurring more frequently while sellers fight back increasing pressure so no weekly options but you can go long until Q4 report (look for a date 2-3 weeks after report as buffer to have time to cash out the most you can w/o worrying about expiring your option). Or if you can't get an option far out and need a shorter term then you can catch a very small upside out after an expected false breakout make sure your order is filed at the lowest PP (price-point from the false breakout) and exercise option before expiration date.**For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's**
Put Option's: since we are approaching ATH for $TXN you can buy Put's for under $195 PP on the short-term position this way you mitigate risk if we do break out toward upside after Q4 report, since there's a lot of indecisiveness take advantage and set your ceiling key-levels as your strike price this way you can collect while being safe. **For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's**
Inverse Trades: preferably stay out until you can catch a good sighting of market, too much indecision to make any big swing moves. Watch volume on the daily and 4hr chart so you can track when to enter and leave for short and small profits. However, indecisiveness is not good for inverse.
NASDAQ:TXN
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/20/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2022
- PR High: 15055.75
- PR Low: 14993.25
Evening Stats (As of 1:23 AM)
- Gap: = N/A
- Session Open ATR: 333.89
- Volume: 55k
- Open Int: 233k
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -10.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as a range)
- Long: 16677
- Mid: 15333
- Short: 14961
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
NZDJPY long in progress 📈🙌We are using our trend following EDGE strategy for this trade.
Entry details are shown on the chart.
Working the 30M time frame on this strategy.
We're only looking for TP3.
The trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
Previous trades can also be seen on chart. The long found TP and the sell hit SL.
Lets see how this trade plays out.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren.
GBPNZD long ongoing👆👍Trade details for current trade are shown on the chart.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little blue long arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
Previous trades can be seen on chart also.
The long trade on the chart was covered in an idea yesterday.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
NZDUSD: updateIn the previous post, I said I was anticipating a decline in these prices. Once we saw a break of the structure, I quickly changed my bias from short to long. Considering the situation we are currently in, on a fundamental level, it seems to make more sense buying this market rather then selling it.
I managed to get a decent entry on this pair at 0.606:
On the technical side, we have the pennant in play with support coming in at a 38.2% ret, plotted as a 61.8% level on the chart, around 60.6. I am hoping stops are safe at 60.500, which is a very psychological level.
If we take a look at a 4H chart, its clear that the short term direction is up, with prices trading in an ascending channel. We see a rejection at a 61.8% ret. level, while bulls slowly managed to break the resistance sitting at the 61.8% ret.
We are still making our way through the supply, once broken price is potentially going to rally up to around 61.700. This is the projected target for the pennant chart pattern.
Good luck to all trading NZDUSD