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Medianline

Crude Oil Is SandwichedPrice is currently between the white centerline and the long-term support/resistance level. Since the price is near the centerline, we're seeing a kind of pullback to it. According to the Medianline framework, this is expected after trading below it. The downside target would be the orange CL, as that aligns with the organic target. However, between the current price and the CL target, the long-term support level is quietly sitting there—possibly waiting to trap shorts. What should a trader do now? a) We could stay on the sidelines, observe, and learn. b) We could go short, reasoning that the price is trading below the white CL and has made a textbook pullback to it. My stop would be placed above the orange bar that broke through the white CL. A long position is not an option for me, as we are still below the white CL. By the way: Look to the left and notice how the current situation mirrors past price action: 1. Break below the CL 2. Retest the CL 3. Move downward
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
DAX - Bullseye! Next Act: The Decline?Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself… The German Dax has reached it's Centerline. It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it. Whenever this happens, we the Market a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this case the Lower-Medianline-Parallel. or b) trades through it, most of the time comes back to it, and continues in the origianl direction, which in this case would be up. To me, this is the time to watch the DAX more closely. If you are a follower, you now that I have a Bias - which is not always helpful in my trading. But yes, I tend to lean to the short side. Specially in these over hyped, over invested times. So I stalk a short, but in the same time be open for a long after a confirmation on the daily time-frame. Let's see, let's be patient and don't listen to your gardener... 🌱👨‍🌾 🌿👩‍🌾
XETR:DAXShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
MSTR - Back to a new short levelAfter hitting Profit Target 1 (PTG1), it’s time to make a decision about the remaining position. The fact is, MSTR tested the 1/4 level for the second time and found solid support there. Now we’ve moved higher, back to the centerline. For me, it’s clear: if we get an Open and Close — a full bar — above the CL, I’ll close the rest of my short position. I still think MSTR is heavily manipulated. Besides the fact that this Bitcoin catalyst isn’t following BTC’s moves the way it should, it’s cheating investors for profits. That said — if there’s weakness, I’ll continue building the position. If I had no position, this is the place where I would open it on a Short trigger. If there’s strength, I’ll close it.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
3
ADBE - Pullback From The BalanceNo, I don’t like Adobe. But it doesn’t matter at all which company I like or don’t like. My only goal is to make money in the markets. Let’s take a look at what we have on the chart: Adobe has reached the centerline. The market is in balance and has reached Pivot 3. According to Andrew's Framework, P5 is considered a reversal point, whereas P3 is expected to see a relatively smaller pullback before P5 ultimately unfolds. Nevertheless, a reversal is likely at the centerline. Additionally, we are in a support/accumulation zone after the market has dropped over 40% from its 2022 high. I'm stalking a long entry and put my money to work. Long ADBE <--- ME §8-)
NASDAQ:ADBELong
by Tr8dingN3rd
RUT - Russel is in a similar "Dump" patternIn 2021 we saw the Russel creating this Dump Pattern: 1. Sideways 2. Break the high 3. Dump Watch how it looks now. To me it's very, very similar. Any other confirming signals? Yes! Price reached the white Center-Line and started to go south. Here's my game plan: If the weekly TB is broken on a close, and an Open is below the TB afterwards, I'm looking for a short entry. PTG1 is at the red Center-Line and a runner with a definite PTG2 at the green support line. My weapons will be the Options, not the Futures. It gives me much more leeway and freedom of flexibility.
TVC:RUTShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
MSTR keeps digging its own grave.Well, since my last post about MSTR, the trolls have been having a field day. What a blast! §8-) I stand by my previous post about MSTR because, honestly, I see no future in this SCAM. Especially now that Bitcoin is teetering on the edge of a deep pullback (see my last post about Bitcoin for more). So, what do we have here? MSTR broke through the centerline and tried to claw its way back up. Then came the decisive breakdown. An open and close below the centerline paved the way for a trip south. Thanks to more hype and yadda-yadda reports, we saw a pullback up to the centerline — which, by the way, was perfectly in line with the trading framework of forks. But after that failed pullback, the price went the other way, and MSTR has been digging its way further south. For those who took profits at the 1/4 line, you can now look forward to PTG2 with confidence. Or, if you’re convinced that MSTR is headed for a reckoning with regulators in the medium term (although that seems doubtful since they all seem to be napping...), you might consider doubling down on your short position. Wishing everyone a profitable and exciting new trading week!
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Crude Oil breaks and follows projectionAfter the long consolidation time, CL finally broke the Trend-Barrier (TB) and is now on the move to the upside. It's not stupid to aim for the 1/4 line as PTG1. But for sure I would only close a portion of the position, since the upside potential is far higher. And if you don't know how much to bank, just go with 50% of your investment. If it's going higher, you're still participating from the move. If it goes sour, you have already banked 50%. Just create a plan and follow it.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
YELP projection long and good momoPrice is in a clear up-trend with wide pullbacks. Since July price was holding at the TB and L-MLH. The weekly momentum looks good to me. Although, a little concern could be the rejection at the 1/4 line. But this happened also in the past, and then, after a new attack, price took off. So, this definitely needs patience to play out. I maybe start with a little "feeler" position today. Above the 1/4 I would add more. Above the CL even more.
NYSE:YELPLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
BTCUSD - Bitcoins volatility is increasingFirst of all, a heartfelt thank you for all the boosts and a warm welcome to the new followers. I truly hope I’m providing value that makes your decisions and trading ideas easier to navigate. Now, let’s dive into the chart: The bars are growing larger and volatility is picking up. We’ve got solid support at the centerline, but this support might soon give way. If that happens, Bitcoin will drop below the centerline, setting the stage for the following scenarios: 1. Panic sets in, and the market falls** – likely down to the 1/4 line (PTG1). 2. A pullback to the centerline. If the market fails to close above the centerline, we’re back to Scenario 1. On the other hand, if we see an open and close above the centerline, it’s very likely we’ll witness a rocket-like surge upward. What’s the move here? My thinking remains the same as last time: If you take 50% profit off the table, it doesn’t matter what happens next. If the market drops, you’ve secured 50% profit. If it rallies, you’re still in with 50%. Wishing you all the best of luck!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Tr8dingN3rd
Nasdaq under pressure and aims for 18'400NQ is being pushed down, and a rebound doesn’t seem possible at the moment. There are some fundamental factors supporting this weakness. However, as a chart analyst, I focus on the signals within the chart itself. What I see is a possible target around 18,400, which aligns with the L-MLH. With the weakness of the MAG7, the Nasdaq is unlikely to make further gains. The options are sideways or down. The latter is what I trade according to the rulebook.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
Gold’s Next Move: Upward Momentum Building at Key SupportGold is reacting exceptionally well to the Fork. It has not opened and closed below the L-MLH within a single bar, which eliminates any immediate downside expectations. Instead, we observe a condensed, slanted trading range or coil, indicating that price is being gradually pressed to the upside. In my previous post about Gold, I anticipated a rocket-like breakout. Since then, price has simply moved down to the L-MLH, finding support there. This price action, coupled with the ongoing upward pressure, confirms my analysis—albeit slightly delayed. As NQ and S&P approach their respective targets, as outlined in my other analysis, I expect Gold to start moving upward, with targets at the CL and U-MLH.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
1
S&P 500 struggles at the 1/4 Warning LineLet's not make trading harder than it is. All we can do is project - or read the Coffee ground. I'll prefer to use my projections with the Medianlines, using the Fork as my main tool. The nice part with this is, that I can relay on a proven framework with rules. Adding some risk & money management to it and the soup is ready to enjoy. So, I follow the same process with the ES. I see that price got rejected at the 1/4 line of the WL (Warning Line), and that price missed it to reach the WL1, which is a HAGOPIAN. That makes me lean on the rule, that price will go farther in the opposite direction than from where price came from (U-MLH). I outlined the scenarios with the arrows what to expect in the next weeks. Personally I'm overall very, very bearish, and I see the move to the Centerline coming. But this is just my opinion.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
1