EURUSD 60 mins Mod-Schiff median linesEURUSD 1H Mod-Schiff retest
X= last structure support
B= price breaks structure
Once B prints we look for a pullback to create C
C= Is this the pullback?
Add the Mod-Schiff set to see if we get some frequency.
D= A strong test and rejection of the UML.
Place immediate sell order.
This can be at the UML (1.0734) or slightly in front of it depending on your preferences. I choose a couple of ticks inside (1.0731)
The S/L must be above C as no other structure to hide behind. C is also not structure at this point. It’s just a pullback high which seems to have sellers showing up.
E= The retest of the UML gives me an entry.
F= an alternative entry also at the UML. You could put a stop above C or D ( 20 or 15 pip risk)
Once price breaks the energy coil, and touches the ML, I move to B/E.
G= T/P at the LML.
Medianlines
USDJPY 4H Counter Trend Median LineCounter Trend Median line trade.
Any tests of the LML needs to show a strong rejection with signs
that buyers are showing up. A grinding sideways movement usually signifies
that price has just paused before continuing. Taking counter trend trades on weak
tests will deplete your trading account quickly.
A red WRB probes the LML after the recent low. Price zooms back from it significantly.
There are signs of buyers here. I leave a buy order just above the close of the red WRB.
That’s where buyers showed up, and in case sellers want to test their resolve a 2nd time.
You can place your s/l either under C to give full protection, or under the test of the LML.
Either is fine and it will reflect in the final RR of the trade, 3.7 v 6.4.
I get long at 127.80 but must hold it over the weekend. No Monday morning price surprises.
Price drifts, before bears get bored, or new buyers get tempted into the market.
P1 & P2 are profit stops along the way to the target.
DLO - Medianline Rejection? Target!"If price reaches "a" ML, it will either gap (trade) through it, or bounce and trades back from where it came."
ML = Medianline. This can be the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel) or the L-MLH (Lower-Medianline-Parallel) or the CL Centerline.
Knowing the Framework of the pitchforks holds definitely $alue §8-)
#learntoearn
Long on ZN (10 Year Notes) futuresPrice is Pulling back from the low in REACTION LEG of Swing.
Price is Pressing higher into the 2nd half/Growth zone of the Reaction Leg.
Trading a quick Long into the High of the Reaction Leg.
Price is PUSHING so Buyers will be quick to exit if Price starts to eat back into their position .
Keep STOP tight and look for a 3:1 trade up into the Stops of the Sellers.
SOFI about to break out at $17.17?NASDAQ:SOFI intra day is trading at >$16 as I type this.
On December 10th SOFI was printing below $15.46
Since then, it has tested the $15.46 level twice since its initial drop below that level (a 20 calendar-day period).
Lets back up in time some for context:
On Nov 11 SOFI printed intra day at $24.63
Since then, SOFI has been trending downward and has fallen as low as $13.67 (on Dec 17)
Dec 03 was the first time since Sept 22 SOFI was printing <$15.46.
After consolidating in between the $14-15.50 range, SOFI seems to have broken out to the upside.
Historically (although a small sample of history due to it being a new stock) $17.17 will be the next major area of resistance if SOFI continues to rally to the upside.
Historically, SOFI has had 13 major upward/downward tests of $17.17 on the monthly candles, it is no stranger to this level.
Of those 13 attempts to break through $17.17:
Bullish Breakouts: 4
- Monthly candle open below and closed above $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle open and closed above $17.17
Bearish Breakout: 2
- Monthly candle open above and closed below $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle open and closed below $17.17
Positive Backtests: 4
- Monthly candle opens above $17.17
- Monthly candle either has a wick or body that closes below $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle opens below but closes above $17.17
Negative Backtests: 3
- Monthly Candle opens below but closes above (or has a wick in the case) that prints above $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle closed below $17.17
Overall Bullish reactions: 8
Overall Bearish Reactions: 7
Total # of Bullish runs: 3
Total # of Bearish runs: 3
The picture I am painting is the IMPORTANCE of the $17.17 level for SOFI.
Take-aways:
As SOFI moves above $17.17 and breaks $18.65 there is a high historical probability that it tests 24.63 or higher.
As SOFI moves below $17.17 and breaks below $15.46 there is a high probability that SOFI tests $13.67
SOFI's price action seems to be condensing over time very slowly and is trading within a symmetrical wedge pattern in its most macro sense.
SOFI's median price is (technically 17.54) but the $17.17(range) acts like a magnet, accelerating both bullish and bearish momentum
The chart is very Sine-wave-ish, the cycles are apparent.
Bulls as of now seem to have taken control and are looking to again test $17.17
Last thing of note: the wave-like nature of the stocks entire history is very similar to what we see in an accumulation/distribution phase B of a Wyckoff pattern.
My predication is that $17.17 is tested in the next 30-60 days and will signal a massive bull run to new ATH's under one condition: THE NATIONAL BANK CHARTER gets FULLY approved. If the bulls can continue momentum through Jan., come Feb. there MAY BE a chance that we get word on this news which would accelerate SOFI past 18.65 and attempt to break the ATH of $28.26. If the bulls lose control at $17.17 I would look to $15.56 as support.
This said, I will be looking at jumping into ATM SOFI calls (early) @ >$17.50 or OTM (late) at >$18.65
ATM Puts would be considered <$15.46
Of course, chart and news depending as that time approaches (if it does at all)
Not financial advise. Do your of analysis and DD before entering or exiting any trade of your own.
Current Long Micro AUD/USD FuturesIn this publication I show a drawn up trade that is currently open on my account.
I use the principles of price action, where price is in extremes through expansion and contraction.
NO squiggyly lines just pure price action is quite simple and beautiful. To me it is an art form being in touch with the charts ebbs and flows.
Before every trade I practice a discipline called objective discovery where I read bar by bar to feel the buyers and sellers emotions in each bar.
This is my first post, Im thinking of starting a continuous blog where i post live trade ideas and go through the principles of price action and swing trading.
EUR.USD H4 Short 13CCI tlb, fib trgtH4 13CCI crossed down thru an up-trendline on the CCI. Given that, the entry short on EUR.USD is immediate for experienced eyes, or as soon as CCI came below +100 on CCI for conservative traders. The price now is on S/R going back thru July, and is on or close to a median line for pitchfork starting Aug 18, depending on your software.
The S/R area may hold price up temporarily. A break below might aim for a 38.% retracment of move up from mid-June to Sept 1, 2020, possibly near price intersection of the 38.2% retr. line and the lower median line possibly the end of this week or early next week ~~~1.17-1.166
The exit would be a CCI tlb of an up-trendline or a fib target
GBP/USD :DSimilar setup for the GU, as you can see it is forming a "Head and shoulders pattern" (I don't trade chart patterns) . Price is moving in a very organized way and that's curious to see. Hope you like me analysis even though it is hard to understand xD.
Feel free to ask me anything about my analysis :D.