CADCHF Completing CorrectionAre we good to go? Is it a higher low, nicely placed at the lower median line parallel of the blue fork? It looks like CADCHF has found nice support at the 0.382 retracement, which is way above the half-way of the May rally and thus seems to be a factor conducive to further up trend advancement. I find the CAD to be very strong and to have a lot of latent bullish potential, and yet it is way oversold. The CHF is still relatively weak, although not as weak as the NZD. I expect this market to make it to the prior high (the green level) or even to the blue median line. The stops for this trade idea should be kept below the lows to the left, ideally below 0.8155.
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Disclaimer:
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading forex. I assume no responsibility or liability for any trading or investment results. My posted statements and charts may unintentionally include inaccuracies. All content posted is for educational purposes only and is not a financial advice. The presented set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. Rather, you should use the information only as a starting point for doing additional independent research, your own due diligence, in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding trading decisions. No assumption should be made in relation to the performance or accuracy of the methods shown. No claims are made as to the success or profitability of any of my posts.
Medianlines
NZDUSD - Possible retracement to 0.83173Kiwi took a beating along with Aussie during the week. China's PMI might have provided some temporary relief but technical resistance at 0.8613 is likely to push Kiwi down to retest 0.83173 region which was past resistance which gave way, but was not tested for support. This retracement should provide a good opp. to long the pair again. The final target comes in at 0.9
Above set up offers a small counter trend trade if the high of 0.86944 is untouched targeting 0.84.
AUDCHF - When to go LongFrom the larger timeframe, AUDCHF formed an inverted H&S pattern. It failed to rally and retraced back to 38.2% of the rally. This tells us that the inv. H&S is still in play. Switching to H4 charts, with the help of the median line we see how price has been playing out.
A risky trade would be to long at 0.822 - 0.8219 regions with stops below 0.81209.
A safer entry would be to wait for price to interact with 0.8280 which should see a small resistance and then put in a pending buy at 0.822 and 0.825.
Targets come in at 0.845 and 0.8538
Note: An ideal set up would be for RSI to test 40 from above (look to the left).
Risk: If 60 RSI puts in a resistance, it could be indicative of RSI dropping back to 40 for support or the start of a downtrend. Therefore, once price moves considerable distance, cover long positions to BE.
USDNOK - Time to shortUpdate from the previous chart for USDNOK, we see three patterns confirming the target of 5.83530,
Risks:
20/05: Norway GDP release forecast 1.34%. Prev 1.1% y/y | forecast 1.52%. Prev -0.2% q/q
22/05: Unemployment rate. Its been stable at 3.5%, so any downside reading could pose some threats to this trade.
GBPUSD Trending Slowly UpI expect this market to either retrace to a lower sliding paralel and then make a nice rally up, or go up right from where it is now. Those new highs didn't make much progres to the upside, so it looks like it wanted to retrace deeper, before it makes any further advancements.
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Disclaimer:
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading forex. I assume no responsibility or liability for any trading or investment results. My posted statements and charts may unintentionally include inaccuracies. All content posted is for educational purposes only and is not a financial advice. The presented set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell.