Medias
PVR - towards 780PVR was holding 950 levels from one month, which it broke in today's session with good volume and the stock closed near its low.
The next support i see in the stock is around 780 levels.
RSI is well aligned with the price.
STEEM/BTC (STEEM token) Cycles, Tigers & Bear$ Oh My!STEEM/BTC (STEEM token) 720 minute/12 hour semi log scale, candlestick wicks removed for wave clarity.
05/17/18, 9:00 PM EST, by Michael Mansfield.
Hi trader friends! Looks like we have more sell offs with this token, if these cycles are correct.
Steem is a token from the blockchain enabled social media site, SteemIt.com, which, is kind of like a cross between Facebook & Medium, add YouTube (via Dtube) and you have a winner. Check out our page there, but not right now.
ELLIOTT WAVES & PATTERNS:
The most likely pattern appears to be larger ABC or ABCDE contracting wedge pattern, that should be heading lower now, in line with the cycles shown at the top of the chart.
I’ve used the shorter ABC Elliott Wave corrective pattern for now. However, if STEEM breaks any of the black horizontal breakout lines up or down, or the GANN 1:1 diagonal resistance line up, or the upper or lower blue wedge diagonal trend-lines, then a new trend trust in the direction of the breakout/breakdown is very likely underway.
If a breakout looks imminent, I'll try to do a new post for that potential event or update this post with a new forecast.
THE DOWN KEY:
The dashed horizontal blue line just below yesterday’s low must be breached for this down wave pattern to continue as forecasted, else, it could be full "Steem" ahead.
CYCLES:
Blue cycle = general trend momentum thus far.
Green cycle aligned with the 3 major prior lows.
Red cycle tends to catch intermediate highs.
There is definitely longer and smaller cycles than shown, but the data history is too limited to determine the larger cycles at this time.
Currently, these three cycles are heading down. Thus, the path of less resistance and the highest probability is lower prices until mid August (10-13th ), when the green cycle is due to bottom, or late September (26th exact date), around the time the longer-term blue cycle is due to trough.
SHORT ACTION: Look for short opportunities now, or wait for buy opportunities around the expected cycle low dates in August or September, mention above.
TRADER TIPS:
Cycles are about potential energy shifts, not always the direction of a perfect sine-wave. Sometimes cycles invert, called a cycle inversion or flip flop, whereby an originally expected cycle top turns out to be a cycle low. This occurs more with short-term cycles, than longer-term ones. Sometimes cycles are amazingly accurate, but don't use them alone. They yet are another confirmation and planning tool to tilt the odds in a trader’s favor.
Case in point: Years ago when I was a commodity broker, (can’t tell you when, but before I became a CTA), gold and silver had an almost perfect 7 week cycle, low to low. They both went up 4 weeks, then down 3 weeks. This went on for around 9 months. I was able to exit virtually all of my many clients out of the metals market at a 2-3 day double/triple top on the days surrounding the 4 week high. This particular "time & price area" occured after 5 Waves up in Elliott Wave terms, it was also around the time for a seasonal top for gold, and gold hit a Gann or Andrews line and held.
After selling out everyone that would listen to me, which was 90%+ of my clients, guess what happened. Gold and silver then crashed 30%! How long did the crash take? You guessed it, three weeks! The 3 week cycle low came right on time! After that, the cycles changed and were less consistent, so I moved on to other markets.
THREE MORE CYCLE TIPS:
Gold has a very consistent cycle of 8 to 8.6 years, top to top.
Commodities tend to have more consistent cycle highs than lows.
Many digital assets (cryptos) trade more like commodities and currencies, than stocks, but have been far more volatility. Still, tops often seem more consistent than lows for many tokens, but not with all tokens.
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Cheers!
Michael Mansfield CIO
Twitter double bottom + fundemetals. Twitter has been getting a lot of firm interest lately. With JP Morgan raising their price target and the CEO of Goldman Sachs tweeting a photo at twitter headquarters, many investors think more institutional money will be funneled into the stock. The rumors of firms acquiring more twitter shares have short sellers scaling back and because of this twitter has begun to rally. On the technical side the stock looks decent with a double bottom in price and exuberant upside during 2017. Investors buying into twitter at the moment are buying off of speculation, as the company only in the last two quarters have achieved profitability. An earnings report beating analysts expectations at the end of 2018 I believe could send the stock into the 40$ range.
After 3 straight years of negative earnings reports twitter has finally started making profit in the last two earnings reports. To me this signals a change of direction for the company changing from acquiring more users to acquiring more advertisers. Exuberance will come back into the stock if Twitter can keep up its profitable earnings reports. The company is relying on profitability NOW in 2018 in order to succeed.
I can see twitter doing what many other companies have done and "claim blockchain". The CEO of Twitter, Jack Dorsey, tweeted that he is a bitcoin bull. Since the CEO of twitter realizes block-chains potential, twitter integrating a blockchain advertising system eliminating middle men is not impossible and I think would help the company achieve profitability. Investors tend to get exuberant when a company "claims blockchain" so this could be good for twitter's stock as well. Of course this is an unlikely prediction but nothing is impossible.
Twitter had a 10% run up on the 17th, a few days before its earnings report, the 25th. The reason the stock is down on earnings day is because Twitter did not beat their earnings last quarter and traders swinging earnings reports sold the stock. Twitter is forming a steady trend line (kudos to DevinBoule55). And i think that even though Twitter did not beat its last earnings report, it is showing profitability and there is many green earnings reports to come.
Overall I am Bullish on Twitter. 28$ is not a bad buy. My price target for the end of 2018 is 40$, That could easily be raised depending on future earnings reports.
Possible wedge breakout for DisneyOver the past few years it seems like the market has been punishing Disney for removing content from streaming services and acquiring companies. With no shows on Netflix investors fear Disney will not beat its earnings from last year. I think the reason Disney is starting their own streaming service and acquiring companies is to become the manager of their own content on the internet. Disney s own streaming service would increase profit margins for Disney's movies and ultimately increase their earnings reports down the line. With Netflix making its own movies and shows it has become a major competitor for Disney, a competitor Disney can not afford to ignore.
If Disney manages to keep the hype up for their streaming service they could entice investors to buy in. Disney could definitely have a breakout of the wedge it is in if investors get excited. With Disney releasing an ESPN streaming service in 2018 and many similar media services in 2019 investors could buy in to the hype. Although as a crypto investor one thing I have learned is that development takes time. Even for a company as big as Disney. We will have to wait and see if Disney can deliver on their streaming services.
Beware the biggest bubble of all times!Cringe. Btw people are comparing Bitcoin price to stocks indicators? Crypto whole market cap chart doesn't look the same...
Did you know gold started at 0, back in prehistoric times it was just a rock, a shiny rock sure, but not valued at 1350$ like now.
GOLD BIGGEST BUBBLE OF ALL TIMES.
This is so cringe, don't have much to add.