MELANIA Looks Bearish (1H)The situation with the meme coin MELANIA doesn't look good.
There is limited data available for this meme coin, but on the chart, 3 ABC waves of a pattern can be identified.
If wave C drops to the 0.618 or 0.786 Fibonacci levels of wave A, it may reach the specified targets on the chart.
The chart currently lacks a trigger for entering a position.
For a sell/short position, it's better to wait for the price to reach the red zone. For a buy/long position, we need to see reversal patterns along with confirmations.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Melania
MELANI- Chart - Identifying Bearish Trend and Potential TradeMELANIA/USDT Chart Analysis
Greetings, let's take a closer look at the MELANIA/USDT chart and unpack the key details:
Overview
The chart displays an interesting pattern - a clear descending channel formation with lower lows and lower highs over the past few days. This suggests a strong bearish momentum in the MELANIA MEME.
Key Levels
1. Resistance: The yellow descending trendline acts as a key resistance level. Breaking above this trendline could signal a potential trend reversal.
2. Support: The zone around $2.65 appears to be an important support area. A break below this could lead to further downside.
3. Stop Loss: Given the bearish structure, a stop loss order placed slightly above the previous swing high at $2.5 would be prudent.
Price Targets
1. TP1: $6.3 - This level represents the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent downswing.
2. TP2: $7.2 - This is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, which is a common target for bullish reversals.
Trading Strategy
Based on the current chart structure, a bearish bias is warranted. A potential trading opportunity could be:
Entry: Short on a break below the $2.6 - $2.8 support zone.
Stop Loss: Slightly above the previous swing high at $2.5
Take Profit 1: $6.3
Take Profit 2: $7.2
It's important to note that the crypto market is highly volatile, so proper risk management is crucial. Always do your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Phemex Analysis #55: How to Trade MELANIA Like a ProThe cryptocurrency world was shaken on January 20, 2025, when Melania Trump, the incoming First Lady of the United States, launched her own meme coin, $MELANIA ( PHEMEX:MELANIAUSDT.P ). Riding the wave of excitement surrounding her husband Donald Trump’s inauguration as the 47th U.S. President, $MELANIA surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $14.50 within hours of its launch, boasting a market capitalization of over $2 billion. However, the hype was short-lived as the token plummeted by more than 76%, stabilizing around $3.40 by January 23. This dramatic rise and fall highlight the extreme volatility of meme coins like $MELANIA.
Now, with traders closely watching its next moves, we explore two possible scenarios for $MELANIA’s price action and how you can trade it like a pro.
Bullish Breakout: A Resurgence in Momentum.
After its sharp decline, $MELANIA may be setting up for a bullish breakout. As of January 23, the token has formed a second low with a higher Relative Strength Index (RSI) compared to its first low on January 21. This signals that buying power is returning to the market. If $MELANIA breaks above the key resistance level of $4 with high trading volume, it could indicate strong bullish momentum and open the door for further gains.
In this scenario, traders should watch for resistance levels at $5, $5.9, $8, $9.2, $10.8, and $12.9 as potential profit-taking zones. Positive sentiment around the token—possibly driven by media coverage or endorsements—could fuel further price increases.
If you’re a short-term trader, consider gradually taking profits at each resistance level to lock in gains during the rally. For long-term holders who believe in the token’s potential or its association with Melania Trump’s public profile, holding through volatility may yield greater rewards.
Bearish Drop: A Chance to Buy the Dip.
On the flip side, there’s also a risk that $MELANIA could face another sharp decline if selling pressure intensifies. If the price falls below $3.29 with high trading volume and a lower RSI (below 19), it could signal further bearish momentum. In this case, psychological levels such as $3, $2, and even $1 might serve as key support zones where traders can look to buy the dip.
However, caution is essential here—if the price slows down near these levels with lower volume and higher RSI compared to previous dips, it may indicate that $MELANIA is attempting to build a support base. This would present an opportunity for traders to accumulate tokens at discounted prices before any potential recovery.
Conclusion.
Trading meme coins like $MELANIA is not for the faint-hearted—it’s a game of high risk and high reward. With its dramatic price swings and speculative nature, this token reflects both the opportunities and challenges of trading in volatile markets.
As Melania Trump garners attention in her new role as First Lady and continues to promote her digital asset, traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies based on evolving market conditions. Whether you’re riding bullish waves or buying dips during corrections, staying disciplined and informed will be your greatest advantage.
For those willing to embrace the risks, $MELANIA offers an exciting opportunity to trade one of the most talked-about tokens in crypto history—so gear up and trade MELANIA like a pro!
Tips:
Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Is the American Coin Memecoin $USA Prime for a 1000% Surge?The Solana-based memecoin NYSE:USA , a parody token with no direct affiliation to the United States, has captured the attention of the crypto world. With a current market cap of $88 million, this coin surged to prominence, recording a staggering 1300% increase during the week the official Trump and Melania coins were launched. However, this meteoric rise was followed by an 81% retracement, leaving investors wondering about its future potential.
Recent Market Trends and Technical Indicators
Since former President Donald Trump’s inauguration last night, NYSE:USA has seen a sharp decline, dropping 55% in the past 24 hours. Despite this downturn, there are signs of a potential trend reversal. The daily candlestick pattern indicates the formation of a new candle, suggesting a possible surge of 252% in the short term and a 1000% increase in the long term, provided the broader crypto market stabilizes.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
- Support Level: $0.00000194, aligning with the one-month low. A breakdown below this level could trigger catastrophic losses for $USA.
- Resistance Level: $0.000019755, coinciding with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A breakout above this point could set the stage for a long-term 1000% rally.
- RSI: At 66, the Relative Strength Index suggests that NYSE:USA is holding strong against bearish pressures, leaving room for further upward momentum.
Fundamental Insights
NYSE:USA ’s unique positioning as a parody token and its community-driven nature have been instrumental in its popularity. Its association with significant events, such as the Trump and Melania coin launches, underscores its speculative appeal. However, the token’s lack of intrinsic value and high volatility remain critical risks.
Market Activity and Liquidity
NYSE:USA tokens are available on decentralized exchanges, with Orca being the most popular platform. The trading pair DEFAI/USA on Orca recorded a 24-hour trading volume of $93,766.70. Other options include Meteora and Raydium (CLMM).
Trading Volume
The 24-hour trading volume of NYSE:USA is $18,866,936, marking a 93.90% decrease from the previous day. This significant drop highlights a decline in market activity.
Historical Price Performance
- All-Time High: $0.00002545, recorded on January 19, 2025. The current price is 70.12% lower.
- All-Time Low: $0.0000002267, recorded on August 21, 2024. The current price is 3,254.68% higher.
Outlook for NYSE:USA
The future of NYSE:USA hinges on its ability to capitalize on market momentum and maintain investor interest. While the current technical indicators and market dynamics suggest a potential for significant gains, the token’s high volatility and reliance on speculative trends present substantial risks.
Conclusion
NYSE:USA represents a unique blend of humor, speculation, and community engagement in the crypto space. Its recent performance and technical indicators suggest potential for a strong rebound, but investors should exercise caution, keeping an eye on key support and resistance levels. As always, conducting thorough research and considering market conditions are essential before making investment decisions.
Solana ($SOL) Cup and Handle offers 65% Gain PotentialTaking a look at Solana on the Weekly timeframe, i've drawn out this cup and handle pattern:
As we can see here, the swing low of $8 to the swing high of $264 provides a measurement we can use from the recent low of $169. When we pair that with a fib extension we have a perfect 1.618 that aligns with this price target of around $400. Notice, however, that we also have another potential swing low and a 1.272 fib extension with a price target of around $350.
Given the bullishness of CRYPTOCAP:SOL , being the best crypto in the space, and the catalyst $TRUMP has brought, introducing the general public to its fantastic user experience, low fees, and quick transfer speeds, the bull case for SOL is quite apparent.
Howevever, I would be remiss not to point out the bear case that is showing itself here. At least for the short term:
As you can see, this daily rising wedge has been forming since April. We've fallen out of it, bounced off the bottom, and rocketed back into it only to hit the top of the inside of the wedge at $295 and be rejected back below the previous ATH of $264.
I see the 200-day MA (Purple line) as my key support level to remain bullish, and has proved to be a strong buy level. I managed to catch it at $175 on the latest attempt to breach that led to a massive move to $295.
One should always consider both the bull and bear cases and manage risk accordingly.
This is for informational purposes only and not a suggestion or recommendation to buy or sell any asset or otherwise. You are responsible for your own decisions no matter where you get information. Never invest if you can't afford it and consider all investing gambling.
- Shadowfigure
Trump and Pump or Trump and Dump - You choose?I don't normally post Meme coin analyses. Especially new borns.
They are still finding their feet, there isn't enough data to go around for analyses.
But, there are signs of SUPER upside or a crash. Right now we are in the middle of it.
So, either the price breaks above the Neckline of the W FOrmation and heads to the first target of $115.00.
Or it turns into an M Formation and heads downhill to $0.00.
I think America will give the coin the benefit of the doubt, and will support Trump and what he is going to promise.
Such as 1. Keeping TikTok alive (Possible merger with META?)
2. Improving Government efficiency with Elon Musk.
3. Bringing Crypto more in the legal space and welcoming it with acceptance into office.
But we'll have to see. Hence, I am on the fence, but will stay bullish for I doubt the administration will allow the coin to go to $0.00.
$TRUMP - Forming a continuing Head and Shoulders pattern
A continuing head and shoulder pattern has formed on the intraday time frame.
The best point to enter the trade is when the neckline breaks and touches it again.
Also, if the $36 support line is touched again and a price rejection is seen from it, it can be another technical entry point.
This is only a technical analysis and is in no way an investment or trading recommendation.