ARGT: Great long entryI'm long $ARGT indirectly, recently added to all my shares in the local market (yesterday on close to be precise). I anticipate a massive rally from here onwards. People have been pannicking lately, this increased to monstrous levels with the upcoming parliamentary elections, and now the talk of thermonuclear war. Recently I read an anecdote from Mike Epstein, at Tom McClellan's twitter feed. The key point, was that, the market will probably bounce if nuclear war doesn't start...and if it does, who cares if we lose on this trade, right? :/
Here's a link to the tweet, I suck at narrating stuff: twitter.com
Anyway, Argentina is in a very strong uptrend, and the recent pullback is a terrific uptrend for the very significant growth potential it has, discounting political risk and currency risk, if the government eventually delivers. I'm betting they won't disappoint investors.
Best of luck to all of us...
Ivan Labrie.
MERV
ARSUSD: Hold pesos, term deposits yield 17% per yearI'd hold pesos now, personally. As part of my currency holdings. I wouldn't be in USD if possible, and would prefer other assets, like foreign currencies, EEM shares vs SPY shorts, TLT longs, gold/silver/bitcoin/ethereum, undervalued selected stocks, TSLA shares, VLKAY shares, perhaps the new COIN etf shares once they are released, Argentinian stocks on corrections or dips, names like BMA, CRES, IRSA are my favorites. I'm out of them, but looking to rebuy on dips.
People are terrified, they fear a crisis, they fear the local currency and stocks, they fear Trump...Many are closing businesses they recently opened, out of fear of the government's actions but I think it's a sentiment extreme and should be faded. I remain optimistic.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
USDARS: Update, we broke the key levelThis doesn't bode well for my local currency, the Argentine Peso. It's possible this week triggers a weekly time at mode uptrend signal, that forecasts a rally to at least 16.052 within ten weeks, starting with this week as #1.
With the fundamental events this week, it's possible this is the start of the acceleration and breakout of this range, specially now that RgMov has shifted into an uptrend in the daily chart, and that we're above the fundamental key levels originated from local events (presidential speeches).
Good luck to us all (mostly Argentinian residents that have to deal with hyperinflation).
Ivan Labrie.
OIL/ARS: Uptrend spotted, YPF going up?Seems like the case here, we could see a prolonged rally in YPF and OIL expressed in ARS.
If you drive, sorry for you...hopefully, you have been buying USD and/or GOLD as per my reccomendation before this devaluation surge started.
Good luck, we'll need it.
Ivan Labrie.
MERV: Looks toppy hereIn one week, the Merval index will be in a weekly downtrend, as long as the close is below 15561. Rgmov had fired a short signal 4 weeks ago, and this rally is a good opportunity for Argentinian investors to either unload longs, or even go short the index.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USDARS: Argentinians, sell your dollars!We have a clear scenario, get out of dollars, get pesos, or get any of the assets in here except for gold and yen (or at least, get lesser amounts of these, since they have already gained a lot of strength).
Play catch up, play it smart.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Time at Mode FX.