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META Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16META Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a synthesis of the analyses from all the models and a corresponding actionable trade idea: ────────────────────────────── Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points • Grok/xAI Report  – Noted that META’s price is well below its moving averages with a bearish MACD and near oversold RSI on the M5 chart.  – Emphasized downside pressure with heavy put volume and a max pain at $540.  – Recommended a bearish weekly trade with an emphasis on buying a put option—in their case, the $485 strike. • Claude/Anthropic Report  – Highlighted sustained downtrend (–13% over 5 days, –22% over 30 days) and all key EMAs trending lower.  – Confirmed technical weakness with bearish MACD crossovers and RSI readings on both 5‐min and daily charts, despite a hint of potential short-term bounces.  – Suggested buying a put option (their primary suggestion centered around a $480 put, though they mention liquidity and risk using nearby strikes). • Gemini/Google Report  – Noted that although META’s price touched lower Bollinger Bands and the RSI is near oversold territory, the dominant trend is bearish.  – Confirmed heavy put open interest and significant recent declines.  – Proposed a weekly trade buying put options near the $482.50 strike (ask ~$0.55) as the best balance between cost and risk/reward. • Llama/Meta Report  – Reiterated that technical indicators (price, EMAs, MACD, and Bollinger Bands) show a moderately bearish environment.  – Favored the $482.50 put option with an ask around $0.55 because it fits within the ideal premium range and provides sound liquidity.   • DeepSeek Report  – Pointed to a sustained downtrend with consistent bearish signals on both the technical and sentiment fronts.  – Recommended a weekly bearish put trade—selecting closely between a $485 or $482.50 strike—with defined risk targets. ────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Between Models • Points of Agreement  – Every model sees META trading in a moderately bearish environment, with price action well below key moving averages and bearish MACD/Rsi signals.  – All reports confirm that the short-term sentiment (supported by high volatility measured in VIX and heavy put open interest) leans toward further downside.  – All agree that a weekly options trade is appropriate—and each favors a put option trade with strikes in the low-to-mid 480s range.  – Liquidity and risk/reward are key, with the models collectively favoring strikes whose premiums fall in or near the ideal $0.30–$0.60 range. • Points of Disagreement  – There is a slight difference in strike selection: recommendations ranged between the $480, $482.50, and $485 puts.  – Some emphasis was placed on avoiding a near-term bounce (with stop‐losses set at different levels); however, the differing exit strategies are minor and stem mostly from risk tolerance variations rather than a fundamental disagreement on the bearish bias. ────────────────────────────── 3. Clear Conclusion & Trade Recommendation Overall Market Direction Consensus: All models converge on the view that META’s short‐term outlook is moderately bearish with technical indicators (price below major EMAs, bearish MACD, and relatively low RSI levels) coupled with the high-volatility environment pointing toward further decline. Recommended Trade: • Instrument: META weekly options • Strategy: Buy single-leg, naked put options • Expiration: Weekly options expiring on 2025‑04‑17 • Selected Option: The $482.50 put (with an ask of ~$0.55) is favored. It offers a premium within the ideal range, and its “distance” of about 5.3% below current price fits a downward scenario. • Entry Timing: At market open • Risk/Reward Guidance: We target roughly a 100% gain (profit target around $1.10) on the premium while protecting with a stop-loss around $0.30 if the premium erodes significantly. • Confidence Level: 70% • Key Risks and Considerations:  – A near-term bounce or oversold reversal (as indicated by the RSI and Bollinger Bands) could force a premature exit.  – The max pain level of $540, while distant, is noted but considered less significant given the strong technical weakness.  – Market volatility remains high; hence, strict adherence to the stop-loss is recommended to limit adverse moves. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "META", "direction": "put", "strike": 482.5, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.10, "stop_loss": 0.30, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.55, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by henryzhang99
META Slow recovery but $900 possible this yearMeta Platforms (META) had a strong -35% correction in the past two months, dipping even below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). By doing so, it reached the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up and rebounded instantly. The rebound has stopped so far on the 1D MA200 where it got rejected. This keeps the market neutral and the long-term bullish sentiment can only be resumed if the market breaks and closes above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Until then we are neutral but only as long as the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) holds, below it the bearish trend is resumed and the correction can potentially reach -50% to -70%. If however we close above the 1D MA50, expect a +90% rally, similar to the first Bullish Leg of the Channel Up, slow at start but aggressive after half point. Target $900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:META
by TradingShot
Meta - The Correction Is Officially Over!Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is retesting the previous all time high: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For more than 7 years, Meta has been perfectly trading in a reverse triangle formation. And just three months ago, Meta once again retested the upper resistance trendline and reversed towards the downside. But with the retest of the previous all time high, this correction is over. Levels to watch: $500, $800 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:METALong
by basictradingtv
12
So here’s what I’m doing: Not Panicking.This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research. Listen, the US has survived the depression of WWI, the Great Depression, the depression of WWII, oil shocks, the dot com bubble, the GFC, the COVID-sell off. It’ll likely survive this. In the scope of history, that $1 survived very well indeed. Panicking and running for the hills does not do so well. Winston Churchill was a great and flawed man but a terrible investor; he bought and sold shares prior to the 1929 crash in such speculative investments as mining companies, railways, and so on — most of them lost money (hence why Churchill continued to write at such a pace — to fund his Champagne-and-spec stock lifestyle). Hetty Green, on the other hand, (known as the “Queen of Wall Street”, managed to do very well her time — her quote? I buy when things are low and no one wants them. I keep them until they go up, and people are crazy to get them. Now, that’s something I can get behind. Nobody wanted Meta a few years ago. I wrote an internal memo, close to its plummet in ‘22 (it got to $99 or so a share!). I wrote this: ii) Yet what if we were to tell about about a company with this set of heuristics? Let’s call it “Company A” Company A has a 31% return on equity and a 20% return on capital. It has a net income margin of 37% and a FCF margin of 21% Its income has a compounded annual growth rate over the last 5 years of 41% If we add in numbers, now, let’s say the net income for 2020 was $29 billion, and $10 billion of that was used to repurchase stock from shareholders? Let’s say the unlevered FCF is around $6 billion per quarter, and let’s say the debt to equity ratio is about 9x. In other words, Company A is grows at a quick clip, and has done sustainably for the majority of its life. Its return on capital and return on equity would make any investor happy. Its FCF is an absolute machine. Would you buy Company A? Company A was Meta . You would’ve roughly made 4x or 5x’d your money if you’d bought around then. The point is, the fundamentals of a business matter, and right now there a quite a few exceptional businesses with good fundamentals trading at a good price. Alphabet (Google) trades at ~16x earnings. LVMH trades at ~18x earnings. And so on. Brown-Forman trades at ~15x earnings. These are all “inevitables” — Google will continue to be a dominant advertising platform, LVMH will continue to sell luxury, and Brown-Forman will continue to sell Jack Daniel’s and so on. I talked to my ma in the weekend. She is not really a share person. Her portfolio is a bunch of “inevitables”. It’s done very well. She said “aren’t you worried about this stock market?”, and I said “You love supermarket shopping, Mum. If you see something at a 25% discount you buy it. You come home, and you’re delighted that you found some mince on special²” She was like, “oh, that makes sense”. The problem is you have a lot of people looking at charts and catching worry that the world will end. The world, I am delighted to say, has a magnificent disposition to carry on.
SP:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
2
QQQ: Tariff ReactionNASDAQ:QQQ As China strikes back with a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting April 10, the global trade landscape could see some serious turbulence. This follows Trump's tariff moves, and the market's already feeling it: QQQ’s daily chart shows capitulation volume on the table, suggesting a potential bounce— IF tariffs ease. But until these trade tensions subside, it's likely to be a rocky ride. Tariffs push prices up, inflation lingers, and the Fed finds itself boxed in. The outcome? A market crash, recession, and stagflation—yet, there's still hope for a bounce, depending on how these factors play out. Manage the levels with us at ChartsCoach.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by KobesyTrades
META Screaming CAUTION!The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price. As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION! Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade. Bulls should take their profits and smile. Bears short as high as possible with the internet to short more should it form a double top. The chart has spoken. Like it or not. Remember I am a macro trader so don't expect tomorrow to play out. My trades take time but have much bigger moves. ;)
NASDAQ:METAShort
by RealMacro
9
META Can it hold its 1W MA50?Meta Platforms (META) has been trading within a 1-year Channel Up and yesterday it hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line), breaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which held the correction last week. Even though the bottom of the Channel Up is currently $40 lower, holding he 1W MA50 is critical because it has been kept intact since the February 02 2023 bullish break-out. The first signs are encouraging as the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, despite the stock's Lower Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence. So as long as this Channel Up bottom Zone holds, we expect META to initiate its new Bullish Leg and test initially its previous Resistance (ATH) as it did on July 05 2024 and August 22 2024. Our Target is $740. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradingShot
$KRE CRASH COMING ... Not yet tho..we'll find out..Regional Banks seem to be heading on a slippery path identical to the most previous crash pattern back when they needed all the loan Bailouts. Now that all the loans have stopped, I'm sure some banks may be heading towards loan restructuring perhaps, maybe defaults, I'm not sure honestly. I just know that the chart never lies and I've been watching and waiting for a long while. I predicted the first crash back then and I currently have no doubts with the current chart ahead of me. As always, I will do my best to provide the best insight possible into these speculations. Currently we have the Daily breaking trend and the bar count getting close to the previous 141 bars. The only difference is that we bounce off the 100% retracement. If we continue to lose the 1.27, we'll be headed for the 1.61..... updates soon.
AMEX:KRE
by TazmanianTrader
Meta Stock Goes 'Untoward', Fall Off The Cliff 200-Day SMAMeta's Descent into Bearish Territory. Understanding the 2025 Stock Crash Meta Platforms has recently slipped into bearish territory, with its stock experiencing a significant downturn in early 2025. As of March 31, 2025, Meta shares trade at $576.74, reflecting more than 20.0% decline over the past month and erasing all year-to-date gains. This analysis examines the key factors driving Meta's bearish turn and what it means for investors. Disappointing Financial Outlook and Investment Costs Meta's stock decline comes despite previously strong performance, with the company's shares shedding 22% from their February 18, 2025 peak. Although Meta reported robust Q4 2024 profits, its outlook for Q1 2025 has significantly disappointed investors. The company's forward-looking EPS for Q1 2025 is projected at $5.25, raising sustainability concerns despite the previous quarter's EPS of $8.02 beating estimates. A major contributor to investor anxiety is Meta's massive capital expenditure plans. The company has projected spending $60-$65 billion in 2025 on AI infrastructure alone, raising concerns about cash flow strain if revenue growth falters. These high fixed costs associated with AI investments, including data centers and engineering talent, create particular vulnerability during economic downturns. Metaverse Losses Continue to Drain Resources The company's Reality Labs division, responsible for virtual and augmented reality initiatives, continues to be a significant financial drag. This division lost $13.7 billion in 2022 alone with no clear path to profitability. Despite CEO Mark Zuckerberg's continued commitment to the metaverse vision, investor sentiment has soured on these costly experiments as they continue to consume capital without generating meaningful returns. Broader Market Pressures and Industry Positioning Meta's decline isn't occurring in isolation. It represents the last of the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks to turn negative for the year, with the Bloomberg Magnificent 7 Total Return Index down 16% in 2025. The Nasdaq Composite has faced significant correction, declining 7.3% year-to-date and over 12% from its peak. This market-wide pressure stems from persistent inflation concerns, Federal Reserve interest rate policies, and growing recession fears, creating a particularly challenging environment for growth-oriented technology stocks like Meta. Influential Market Moves and Analyst Adjustments Notable market participants have signaled caution regarding Meta's prospects. Cathie Wood's ARK Invest sold over $7 million in Meta stock (12,000 shares) on March 18, 2025—its first Meta sell-off in nearly a year. This high-profile divestment has further fueled bearish sentiment among investors. Similarly, analysts have begun adjusting their outlook. KeyBanc Capital Markets recently downgraded its price target on Meta from $750 to $710, citing "greater macro uncertainty" and competitive pressures. This downgrade reflects growing concerns about Meta's ability to maintain growth momentum in the current economic climate. External Challenges Mounting Meta faces increasing competitive threats from platforms like TikTok and Snapchat, which continue to draw user attention and advertising dollars. Additionally, regulatory headwinds loom large, with an upcoming FTC trial on April 14, 2025, potentially forcing Meta to divest Instagram and WhatsApp—a prospect that has further spooked investors. In conclusion, Meta stock now stands at a critical juncture, with investors carefully watching whether this represents a temporary correction or the beginning of a more prolonged bearish phase. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:META
by PandorraResearch
5
META at Trendline Support - Will Buyers Push Toward $696?NASDAQ:META is currently undergoing a corrective phase following a sharp rejection at the upper boundary of its ascending channel. The recent pullback has driven the price back toward the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in. If buyers manage to defend this support level, we could see a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next key target at $696. A break above this midline would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, potentially bringing the price back toward the upper boundary. However, a failure to hold trendline support could weaken the bullish outlook, leading to a potential breakdown and further downside pressure. Price action near this critical zone will be key in determining the next directional move. Traders should monitor candlestick formations and volume for confirmation. As always, managing risk effectively is essential when trading this setup. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
NASDAQ:METALong
by TrendDiva
27
Meta Platforms (META): A Leading Force in AIKey Supporting Arguments Deploying AI tools enhances user engagement, drives up ad revenue, and strengthens Meta’s profit margins. Meta's in-house development of AI chips is poised to lower capital outlays associated with purchasing Nvidia chips and diminish the costs involved in developing proprietary AI models. Meta's stock has approached a support level, suggesting a potential reversal in its price trajectory. Investment Thesis Meta Platforms (META) stands as one of the world’s largest technology companies, specializing in social media, digital advertising, and AI development. It owns major platforms like Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger, which together engage over 3.3 billion users daily. While advertising remains its primary revenue stream, the company is strategically investing in emerging areas such as generative AI and augmented reality. Continued Commitment to AI Development as a Key Growth Driver. Meta is strategically channeling investments into AI, spearheading the development of open-source Llama models and deploying generative content across its social platforms. These advancements are anticipated to enhance targeting precision and bolster user engagement, subsequently driving a surge in advertising revenue. In 2025, the company intends to allocate up to $65 billion toward AI infrastructure, reinforcing its leadership stature in the competitive AI market. Focus on Proprietary AI Chips to Lower Capital Costs and Enhance AI Model Development. Meta has initiated trials of its proprietary AI training chip, marking a significant move toward minimizing reliance on suppliers like Nvidia. This new chip is tailored for specific AI tasks, offering enhanced energy efficiency over conventional graphics processing units. By developing its own chips, the company stands to lower expenses and potentially capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI processing by selling surplus capacity. Stock May See a Rebound from Current Levels. Following the market correction triggered by concerns over a deteriorating macroeconomic landscape in the United States, the company's share price is stabilizing around the $600 mark. We anticipate that this threshold may establish itself as a significant support level, potentially serving as a springboard for the shares to rebound and continue their upward trajectory. Furthermore, the relatively modest forward P/E ratios, approximately 21-23x, underscore the oversold condition of Meta shares and suggest a possible reversal. Our price target for META over a 2-month horizon is $685, accompanied by a "Buy" recommendation. We advise setting a stop-loss at $530.
NASDAQ:METALong
by FreedomHolding
Meta: Further DownwardWe locate the META in a broader wave IV correction, which should unfold in a three-part - - structure. The current wave should push the price below the key support at $547.57. Once that level is broken, we anticipate a corrective rebound during wave , which should temporarily lift the price back above $547.57. The wave top should be followed by wave , which is expected to complete the overall correction with a final low inside the beige Target Zone between $491.53 and $414.50. This bottom should mark the end of wave IV. However, if the stock instead breaks out to the upside and overcomes the resistance at $740.91, we will have to expect a new high in wave alt.III before wave IV resumes its downward course (30% probability).
NASDAQ:META
by MarketIntel
MetaRekt- They said " Cryptos are volatile and Dangerous ". - was meaning like, buy Stocks they are more stable, like Facebook 😂. - Everything is in graph - Meta went down -75%, Elon Musk bought Twitter, what a coincidence. - i wouldn't take the risk to touch it before it goes to 70-80$. - Well in fact, i won't touch it at all, Facebook Golden Age is already behind them. - Decentralization will be the major key to upgrade our future social medias in Web3.0. - Without us, they are nothing. Happy Tr4Ding !
NASDAQ:META
by thecryer
2
META to $740 - Chance for Strong BounceNASDAQ:META Meta has hit the trend line from November 2022 after a price loss of 20% and has shown with a first small bounce that it is still relevant. At the same time, the SMA200 is also at the same point. Last but not least, the 0.238 Fib is also located in this area (from the entire upward movement from November 2022). Technically, we can therefore definitely expect a bounce that could take us to the previous ATH at $739. Fundamentally, Meta is also not overvalued due to its strong growth. As with many of the Mag7s, there are still problems with the AI strategy, which does not appear to be well thought out in either monetary or structural terms. However, Meta is a good candidate for actual efficiency gains due to its affiliation with the advertising market. However, the general growth is already reason enough to buy. Support Zones $580.00 $541.00 Target Zones $740.00
NASDAQ:METALong
by LGNDRY-Capital
2