Meta
Incompetent Management + Payed partnerships = MaticOpinion:
- Bad management bleeding money ->over 250mn in treasury in 2022 -> lay-offs in early 2023
- Treasury mostly held in Matic
- Social media storm brewing (#SANDEEP)
- End of $META partnership hype (Ca. Nov 2022) and begining of speculation over payed partnerships.
I will be writting a full thesis on this trade idea soon
Each level L1-L3 (S1-S3) and TP1-TP3 has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's and L's these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
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META Potential for Bullish Continuation | 20th February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for META is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 155.50, where the overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 124.63, where the overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Take profit will be at 224.28, where the intermediate high is.
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TOWN pumping. Metacoin related to GALA and co-founder of ZyngaTOWN is moving well even when the market had a pullback
Triangle breakouts are a standard chart pattern and can result in strong pushes up when they break out
TOWN Is related to GALA and the co-founder of Zynga is behind both
TOWN is only listed on a small number of exchanges with OkEx being the largest.
This is a chance to get in early on a Metacoin instead of coming in late after it has gone up 1000% and pumps like crazy as it moved on to more exchanges
This coin is so new that I had to zoom all the way in to 30 minute time unit to see some detail.
Get in now while its just a baby and hold on tight for mega growth
META: FUNDAMENTALS + NEXT TARGETUnlike most major technology companies, Meta Platforms' stock has risen in response to its recent earnings report.
Facebook's parent company did not report particularly impressive results. Revenue fell 4% to $32.2 billion for the quarter, and earnings per share fell 52% to $1.76, though when adjusted for restructuring costs, earnings per share fell 18% to $3, which was better than expected.
Looking ahead to the first quarter, the company anticipates another modest drop in revenue, owing to macroeconomic headwinds in the advertising market and its decision to ramp up its Reels short-form video product, which is monetized at a lower rate than other "surfaces" such as news feeds and stories.
But there was something else noteworthy in the report and earnings call.
Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Facebook, has shifted his focus to the company's core business, a family of apps that includes Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger.
Under Zuckerberg's leadership, the company changed its name from Facebook to Meta Platforms just over a year ago, signaling that the metaverse would become a core business.
Around the same time, the company restructured its financial reporting structure, separating Reality Labs, which manufactures Oculus VR headsets and deals with the metaverse, from the app family segment. Reality Labs was exposed as a smoldering money pit as a result of the move, and things have only gotten worse since then. Reality Labs lost $4.3 billion in the fourth quarter, capping off a year in which it lost $13.7 billion.
As a seasoned politician, Zuckerberg appears to have learned that the best way to deal with bad news is to change the subject. In this case, he appears to be doing exactly that.
During the earnings call, the company discussed its investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and cost-cutting and efficiency initiatives, such as a more cost-effective data center architecture. According to the report, almost all of the company's capital expenditures, which are mostly for data centers, are for the app family, not Reality Labs.
In the earnings release, Zuckerberg also made no mention of Reality Labs, saying: "We're making good progress on our AI discovery engine, and Reels is a big part of that. Aside from that, our management theme for 2023 is 'The Year of Efficiency,' and we are working hard to become a stronger and more agile organization."
During the earnings call, Meta's CEO discussed the company's recent work in the metaverse, but it seemed to take a back seat to Meta's other projects when he summarized the company's priorities, saying: "Okay, here are the areas we're focusing on: AI, including our discovery engine, advertising, business messaging, and increasingly generative AI, as well as future metaverse platforms."
Meta's metaverse plans are far from dead. Indeed, it released Quest Pro, its newest headset, late last year.
There are several reasons why Zuckerberg appears to have returned to his core business. So far, the metaverse project has failed, not only at Meta, but also elsewhere. The value of the associated market of NFTs has plummeted, and the idea that people want to spend time in virtual worlds has yet to gain traction, while public interest in the metaverse appears to have faded after Zuckerberg initially hyped it. The metaverse's struggles are also visible in the recent attention paid to ChatGPT and generative artificial intelligence, which appear to be transformative technologies with real-world applications.
Perhaps Meta's CEO is reacting to the stock's precipitous drop. The stock dropped roughly 75% in a year after the company changed its name to Meta, with investors concerned that Zuckerberg would risk the entire company for his metaverse experiment.
He appears to have persuaded investors that this is not the case, which is why the company's stock has risen. While investing in Reality Labs, the company intends to steadily increase overall profits. It's a reasonable strategy that doesn't overshadow Meta's lucrative digital advertising business.
Although Metaverse will continue to smear red ink on reports, investors are now viewing the company through rose-colored glasses following Zuckerberg's encouraging speech. If the advertising industry can return to growth, as appears to be the case with Reels, the company's stock should continue to rise.
Meta approaching resistance premium level!$META is one of the strong movers this week showing crazy gains in the past few days!
price currently on the premium level in confluence with the order block levels
I am expecting a small correction near the R1 and R2 level oscillator in the overbought area.
Meta to close it's gap?Meta - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 156.56 (stop at 144.94)
We have a Gap open at 02.02 from 153.12 to 183.38.
Bespoke support is located at 155.
A higher correction is expected.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Remains bullish while above last week's low.
Traded to the highest level in 34 weeks.
Our profit targets will be 184.88 and 189.88
Resistance: 197.16 / 200.00 / 205.50
Support: 180.16 / 170.00 / 155.00
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AMPG, fresh name in Quant/real 5g space. Watch moving averages$AMPG is a microcap ($24mil) company that reportedly designs, manufactures, and sells components important to the aerospace (sat com), telecom (real 5g), and quantum/AI space. This weekly chart demonstrates price bullishness (double bottom), but limited buy volume. The chart shows how weekly moving averages can suppress or support price action. Price recently has crossed a major resistance barrier by breaking through 50 week SMA, which is now support. However, 200SMA is proving exceptionally resistance, especially without buyers showing up in force.
Fundamentally, things look sound, IMO. Cash on hand, profits increasing. Low outstanding shares about 9mil
NASDAQ:AMPG
*Not financial advice
Amazon AMZN - Manufacturing SupportAmazon is a company I frankly do not like anything about. I feel it's like the North American version of the Chinese Communist Party's Aliexpress and roughly exists to rely on a network of fake reviews to push junk made in the CCP's factories through North America for the purposes of letting the Party keep people employed so they don't rebel and to allow the regime a financial lifeline.
I personally make a point of buying elsewhere under all circumstances and have found no reason to use Amazon. The prices aren't even good anymore.
However, when it comes to trading, I don't care. I care about price action, because I believe that the price action fractal reflects the combined knowledge of all market participants.
If it was a buy and hold kind of market, I would stay away from it, but I think Amazon is actually presenting a major opportunity manufacturing support at the COVID-low double bottom and has produced something you go long on profitably.
In early November, I made a strong call on Amazon amid the price action following the Q3 earnings dump that ended up working out for a ~15% gain.
AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and Gloom
The long opportunity at present is even larger, and is primarily based on the fact that I believe that indexes are set for an 8-10%+ jump before we see the real nightmare of 2023 from a broken global economy unfold before our faces and the happy days never come back.
SPX500 / ES / SPY - Enjoy the Party While It Lasts
The basis for the idea is simple. Markets at large do not seem to want to go down. Amazon ran its November post-earnings dump low and has consolidated above the 2020 COVID hysteria panic dump low.
Additionally, Friday's NFP dump was met with a sharp 5%+ reversal, leading to Amazon closing the week above the $85.88 low. The MMs still have not ran the bottom, which indicates they're long from the COVID low and this point will be saved for future considerations once they're short.
The most obvious target for an upside area for the purposes of selling short is the gap at $105, which the previous bounce most notably, conveniently, and only slightly missed. A run to this area already amounts to 25% gain on a time horizon that I would expect is within the period of now to February FOMC.
But additionally, AMZN has a breakaway gap in the $120s that it can target, should that $105~ gap fill and Amazon acts like META has and not retrace.
However, should a pump not transpire in either Amazon or the indexes in general, the best case scenario for Amazon is $75-65. Should this unfold, it may either take a long time for recovery; It may also never recover.
With any long trade, I have to caution readers that the situation in Mainland China under the Communist Party is very severe, as the world's largest and most important nation has been sacked by Wuhan Pneumonia for the last three years.
The situation is not getting better, it's getting worse.
The amount of people and high ranking Party members who have perished is scary, so much scarier than the little bit that comes out from behind the Great Firewall's censorship system.
Should the flames of the pandemic suddenly accelerate one day and cause the fall of key CCP cadres, up to and including Xi Jinping, you should always remember that 6:00 PM Beijing time is right before the NYSE 7:30 open, and thus all long trades are at risk of a significant and unprecedented gap down.
*Sighs* ... Human beings tend not to believe anything until they can see it. So long as their prejudices believe something is "not possible," they won't even consider it can happen until it starts unfolding before their very eyes.
However, then it's already too late.
The problem with Wuhan Pneumonia is the English-language propaganda machines ("media") will not report the truth of the situation in Mainland China and will help the Party cover up the pestilence until the plague is so serious that the Party collapses and nobody can keep a lid on the real disaster befalling the Central Kingdom.
When that day comes, it will imperil more than your PnL and the state of your portfolio.
It's simply just too critical that before that day comes, you do your part to reject and oppose the Chinese Communist Party and the Marxist-Leninist ideals and systems it has spread throughout the world.
For when that day comes, it will be too late for regret.
Hope for the future lies in the present.
Just your choices in the present. It's a test of your heart and soul.
Meta and Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT
If we compare just yearly timeframes Meta and Btc
Meta drop and absorb previews 6 years move. 77% from top.
Btc 77% from top.
When everyone called Meta is dead now its 59% move.
59% on BTC its around 26300$.
Yearly Timeframe.
I’m not waiting BTC over 36K this year. All global analysis for BTC 2023 posted.
Crypto correlate with Stocks almost in every single move but with lag of time.
Meta and Tesla Priced richly again, dow ignored, fear lowForward growth seems to be priced back into these hot high volume in the news stocks. Both Tesla and Facebook/meta have almost doubled in the last month.
Dividend dow is not shunned and ignored as hot stocks are back in style.
Fear in vix and junk bonds is low.
META You were warned. This is a V-shaped recovery.Meta Platforms (META) stock is surging through the roof following the encouraging Fed outlook on future rate hikes and Zuckerberg's promises on stock buy-backs, cost cutting and focus on profitability.
We warned META was an excellent buy last month after closing two straight green monthly candles as well as back in November when we advised to buy at the bottom, an article that naturally made the Editor's Pick of TradingView:
Now that our $173 target got hit, which was calculated on the Inverse Head and Shoulders dynamics, we will again look at the even wider picture on the 1M time-frame:
The price has smashed through the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the next technical target is the 0.618 Fib, with the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) right above it. We don't expect that to happen overnight but by the end of Q2 and of course there will be weekly pull-backs to take advantage of and the red 1W RSI overbought zone can really help estimating them as it has been extremely accurate since April 2019.
Then depending on whether or not the Fed pauses on its rate hike policy, we can see an end of the year rally above the 0.786 Fib, which by that time will have set in motion a complete gap fill on the $385 All Time High.
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META Meta Platforms Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META at $341:
Then I think that META Meta Platforms will announce massive layoffs at the earnings date, which the market loves.
Mark Zuckerberg will continue spending billions on building the Metaverse, but the market won`t care as long as they fire people.
Another reason for a happy earnings ending is the FOMC decision to hike the interest rates by 25bps instead of 50bps (I assume).
Otherwise, META loses more ground against TikTok, which took over the globe.
But Mark Zuckerberg doesn`t care about that, because if TikTok really becomes a threat for META (sorry, for the economy), regulators will declare it a spy app, threatening the US national security.
So eventually META will prevail.
If the authorities won`t intervene to help META, i think the stock should end the year around $120.
All the above considered, looking at the META Meta Platforms options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $150 strike price Puts with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$7.45 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.