Meta
Meta stock plunge 14% in Premarket RoutThe tech world was rocked as Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ) saw its shares nosedive by as much as 15% in premarket trading, sending shockwaves through US futures markets. The precipitous drop came from lackluster revenue guidance and concerns over CEO Mark Zuckerberg's ambitious AI spending plans.
Investors expressed skepticism over Zuckerberg's vision to pour tens of billions into artificial intelligence initiatives, fearing it would drive up costs and erode profitability. Meta's first-quarter earnings report, while boasting profits of $4.71 per share and revenue of $36.5 billion—beating analyst expectations—failed to assuage concerns as the company provided subdued revenue guidance for the upcoming quarter.
Meta's revenue forecast of $36.5 billion to $39 billion fell short of analysts' projections, dimming the optimism that had propelled the company's stock to record highs. Zuckerberg's announcement during the post-earnings conference call about ramping up AI investment further rattled investors, leading to a mass sell-off.
The market reaction was swift and brutal, with Meta's stock plunging to just over $426, marking a potential $160 billion loss in market value if sustained until the opening bell. This abrupt downturn punctuates Meta's remarkable stock performance over the past year, with shares soaring 107% in the last 12 months and 42% year-to-date, until the recent setback.
Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, highlighted investor concerns about Zuckerberg's perceived lack of financial discipline and the sudden pivot from cost-saving measures to aggressive AI spending. The reversal of sentiment underscores the fragility of investor confidence in Meta's management strategy, dampening the company's recent efforts to project financial prudence.
The fallout from Meta's downturn rippled across broader indexes, with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures tumbling, signaling a turbulent trading day ahead. As investors brace for further earnings announcements from tech giants like Microsoft and Alphabet, coupled with the release of US GDP estimates, the uncertainty surrounding Meta's future trajectory casts a shadow over the broader tech sector.
In conclusion, Meta's sharp decline serves as a cautionary tale of the perils of investor sentiment and the delicate balance between innovation and financial stewardship in the tech industry. As the dust settles, all eyes will be on Meta's next moves and its ability to regain investor trust amidst heightened scrutiny and market volatility.
✏️ Weekly Report: Weak Bounce & Weak $META MARKET OVERVIEW
A weak bounce in the market this week, which lifted stocks modestly off their lows though most stocks are struggling to recover a significant portion of their recent losses.
Tonight, Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ) is adding more downside pressure on growth stocks after it announced weak guidance numbers and the stock collapsed $75 lower in afterhours trading.
Let’s start the charts with Nasdaq-100 above (QQQ)
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
NASDAQ:META
NASDAQ:SMTC
Constructive pattern. Closed just above the $33 buy point, however I would like to see more volume pick up from here.
NASDAQ:MSFT
The stock needs strong earnings today to get past $431 would be a place to open a position. However, slicing through the support level at $395 is a sell short point for aggressive traders
GOOGL
Massive weekly Cup with Handle base. Earnings are coming today. Technical buy place is $160.25 if earnings are good and we have good volume.
NASDAQ:KLAC
This company reports earnings tomorrow. A move above the $687 is a buy point. However, weak earnings below $680 is a logical short.
NASDAQ:NVDA
Bounced to the 50D SMA (red) and turned down. Aggressive play for the intraday traders is a move over the $880 on a strong volume.
NYSE:GS
GS is just a little bit extended over the proper buy point. If the market starts rallying this could be a good short trade. I would be extra tight with stops here (around $414 level) if I was to play this.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin is performing a tight pivot. Over the blue line is a technical buy point (if we have good volume too)
META breaks Nasdaq. Can MSFT and GOOG fix it today?EASYMARKETS:NDQUSD NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META when ARK did that:
nor bought the META before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $24.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$META 13 Count ending Friday April 12th9-13 Reversal Possible. If Price Action remains stable, the 13 count 10D candle will end on Thursday, April 11th. For now, stay patient while price chops around this area. Loses $500, will head for 480s. Hourly suggests a pullback to $498 based on MACD plateau.
META: Is it the top or one more high leftTechnically META top could be in. Like NVDA, it can keep sliding until a critical support level breaks and waterfall ensues. However, the last wave 5 of 5 did not quite end in a blow off top type fashion; something you would expect from a major primary degree top. There was however, significant RSI bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, that tells us it was some kind of a top. I am not sure if it was a wave 5 of 5 top or a wave B or 4 type of top on the minor degree. One way to tell would be for $460 - $450 support to hold. If that does not hold and stock slides to fill the large gap, then that weakness would be very difficult to overcome and one thing would lead to another thing and next thing we know, price will be in the 200s. So, that is my line/zone on the sand. This is however, a bit scary to stay long and potential upside is limited at the moment. It is better to see how things play out and eventually not in a distant future, there will be a great opportunity like late 2022 to get in this stock for a really life changing growth.
TESLA lays off more than 10% staff. Is this its 'META moment'?It was reported this morning that Tesla (TSLA) "will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce, an internal memo seen by Reuters on Monday shows, as it grapples with falling sales and an intensifying price war for electric vehicles".
The market has so far reacted with strong selling of more than -3% in early trading. But is this really bad news?
Not so long ago (November 09 2022), another high tech giant that was heavily decimated at the time, Meta Platforms (META), announced lay offs of around 13% of the company (more than 11000 employees). This was just 5 days after the November 04 2022 market bottom. The result (chart on the right) was an aggressive recovery above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which turned into a Support for 240 days straight.
Of course the fundamental difference is that the 2022 Low for Meta was the Bear Cycle bottom of the Inflation Crisis while Tesla's Channel Down has been the picture of its underperformance for almost a year relative to the rest of the market (and the Magnificent 7 in particular).
However it shouldn't be overlooked that such cost driven news are fundamentals capable of turning the profitability of a company around and Meta's case is such a representative example. Meta was massively oversold in November 2022 (-75% from ATH) and similarly Tesla is massively oversold now (-60% from ATH). Meta managed to completely recover and smash through to new All Time Highs (+38% from previous ATH). In November 2022 it was all doom and gloom for the social media giant and it is worth searching for news headlines at the time to see the similarities with Tesla's situation today.
Time will tell of course, but we wanted to bring this comparison to you and help you draw your own conclusions.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
🗓️Weekly Report: Key levels & Trade IdeasGENERAL MARKET REVIEW
Concerns over a potential military attack by Iran on Israel triggered a gap down in the market at the beginning of trading on Friday. Following these events, there was a surge in oil prices, which then led to widespread sell-offs across the board. Virtually all stocks took a hit, with growth stocks experiencing declines ranging from $2 to $72, notably including MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR .
For this evening's analysis, we'll begin by examining the charts of the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) and the S&P-500 (SPX).
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
SPX-500
The SP:SPX has been movig lower and plundged to the 50-day Simple Moving Average (red) on Friday. Holding this line could lead to an oversold bounce on the market.
However, should a broader market selling start, then it is very possible that we test the 5000 psychological level or even the 4700 level that was rejected in August 2023 and February 2023.
💡Another interesting fact SP:SPX has created 22 all time highs this year (2024) and returned more than 25% over the past five months and has gone more than 1 year without experiancng a 1 day decling more than -2%. This is the 6th longest such streak since 1965. If you are wondering when are the other times:
2007, 1986, 1996, 2018, 1993. On average the index makes only 29 consecutive trading days without a 1 day that has more than -2% decline💡
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
QQQ
Very similar as it is clinging on the 50-day Simple Moving Average. QQQ and SPX are holding much better than the IWM or DIA, which have been consistently underperforming on their Relative Strength against the SPX.
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
META
Meta has earnings on 24April (Wednesday). It has been holding very well and is a constructive pattern. You can see a triangle forming. Pay attention to the volume pattern. When the stock is moving up in this base the volume bars are higher than when the stock is moving lower
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
NVDA
Too choppy for anything more than a quick trade. Next Technical buy point for me is at the $974 on heavy volume. I could start nibble on it with a quarter or a half position size as it is making constructive formations within this forming base. Constructive formations = higher highs, tight pivots. This is very watched stock so it would have high correlation to the general market
META: TikTok-Induced Correction Afoot It looks like NASDAQ:META has found a meaningful top as more technical signals agree a short setup has formed.
Three significant trendlines have been broken, and today a significant fib retracement level was neatly rejected as TikTok drama continues its inevitable path of escalation.
It's tempting to immediately target the gap below, but there is a POC on the 4H that is perfectly confluent with the .786 fib retracement level that I would expect to act as a strong support level temporarily.
Technicals aside, META will certainly get caught in crossfire of some sort from further regulation of social media. Social media companies will likely struggle in sympathy as the situation continues maturing.
With an extraordinarily overheated macro backdrop, and an incredibly delicate geopolitical landscape, NASDAQ:META is liable to be put under additional pressure on its decline.
NVIDIA SL 850 TO 1000 ENTER BETWEEN THIS LEVELS Dominance in AI and Software Solutions: NVIDIA stands out as a leader in software and AI solutions. Its technology is crucial for various applications, including AI training, autonomous driving, and the metaverse. The company’s strong position in these areas provides a solid foundation for growth1.
Beat-and-Raise Potential: NVIDIA is expected to deliver a strong earnings report. Despite high demand for its artificial-intelligence hardware, the company may still outperform expectations. Analysts anticipate a beat-and-raise scenario, which could drive the stock price higher1.
Long-Term Tailwinds: The secular trends favoring AI, autonomous driving, and the metaverse are long-term tailwinds for NVIDIA. As these technologies continue to evolve, NVIDIA’s revenue streams from software and AI solutions are likely to grow consistently1.
Trade Strategy
Entry Point: Consider entering the trade when NVIDIA’s stock price is around the current market price (approximately $434.86).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss at $850. If the stock price drops to this level, exit the position to limit losses.
Take Profit: Aim for a take profit target of $1000. If the stock reaches this level, consider selling to lock in profits.
META: Potential 5 to 10 Bagger in 2024Fundamentals:
If the NFP numbers explode up on Friday, then that means that the FED might have to increase rates, putting pressure on US companies' earnings. This may cause META to topple a bit before earnings. If not, then the same rate for longer. It is the first Friday of the week.
Sales have accelerated in META and earnings are above 20% q/q. However, its three-year earnings are below 5%. But if this changes when earnings come out in April 2024, then that will renew META as a super stock for 2024. It will be added to the two I already have: NOW, and NVO.
Technical Market Scenario:
The SPX500 has a 2.5%-10% market correction. Then rallies to Around 6000 By End of 2024.
Technicals:
ON the daily chart, META broke out and pulled back with higher volume, signaling caution for tomorrow. If it does not continue tomorrow, then I anticipate consolidation for the month in META, then an earnings breakout.
uHd with extreme bullish indicator.
META bounced off of daily 486 horizontal support.
Daily flag pole breakout
Daily Chart:
Weekly Chart:
Comment:
If the above scenario plays out and insider and investor expectations increase or are solid, then I expect META to be at $600 to $1000 within 12 months. However, If META topples, then there is a large buy zone area to watch at $400; a confluence area of a 50% fib, horizonal support from September 2021's all-time high and kijun support.
Meta Surged to New Heights is there Room for Continued Growth Meta and Amazon stocks have risen following an increase in their price targets by a Wall Street analyst team. Jefferies, the analysts, reiterated a buy rating for Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) and raised their price target for the Facebook parent company to $585 from $550. Additionally, they raised their price target for Amazon stock to $225 from $190. Meta's stock has risen more than 3.5% to $525.62, and Amazon's stock is up more than 1% at $184.88, approaching an all-time high above $188 reached in July 2021.
Jefferies' report stated that Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has too many advantages to count compared to competitors in the digital advertising market. Meta's revenue is mostly driven by ads, and the company has been investing in artificial intelligence tools to help drive more engagement and ad sales on its applications. They include Facebook, Instagram, Reels, WhatsApp, and Threads. As a result of these investments, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has developed several strategic advantages over peers, such as a strong artificial intelligence-based recommendation engine for its Reels short-video product that is driving more time spent on Facebook and Instagram.
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is set to report its first-quarter earnings on April 24 and has seen a 47% increase in its stock price this year. In addition, Meta Platforms Inc. ( NASDAQ:META ) is reintroducing cash bonuses for content creators on its social media apps. The company is testing the "Spring Bonus" initiative in the United States, South Korea, and Japan, rewarding creators on Instagram for engagement not just on videos and reels, but pictures as well. The maximum creators can earn in thirty days is $30,000. The company will also similarly reward select creators for engagement on Threads, its Twitter-like social app, and content labeled as "collaboration" or "branded" will not be eligible for monetization.
Technical Outlook
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) for 20 weeks now has been trading above the 200, 100 and 50-day Moving Averages respectively with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63 indicating strong bullish sentiment.
META to $455Overview
META is approaching a possible landslide that may take the share price to around $455. An influx of insider liquidation paired with healthy market skepticism supports the possible correction.
Fundamentals
Overall the company appears healthy according to their 2023 Annual Report. The only filings that I found concerning was the abundance of 144s that indicate insider liquidation. As of late, insider liquidation has been heavily present amongst most of the Magnificent Seven companies (GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, and TSLA)
Technicals
A bear flag is forming after the rally momentum rounded out and is now beginning to develop a descending triangle. The oscillators don't support a breakdown at the current time so a possible bounce back to the triangle's resistance line around $505-510 is possible as the pattern continues to develop.
Meta Madness: Big Crash or Further Surge After the Mega Rise?Meta is a particularly intriguing stock that experienced a significant selloff at the end of 2021, with an overall pullback of 77%. Since then, however, we've witnessed an extraordinarily robust surge of 444%, which is remarkably strong. Yet, this rise came without any interim corrections, raising questions about when such a correction might occur. We've concluded our Wave I in September 2020 and have since formed an ABC correction, ending Wave II at $88.41. Following this, we've seen a rise to, and here's where it gets interesting, two possible scenarios: either an overshooting Wave (B)—note that this would mean Wave 1 isn't where it currently is, but rather at the Wave (B) level of $384. If Wave (B) precisely hits 138% at $496, which we've exactly reached without exceeding, this is where our concern lies. We'd like to see Meta invalidate this scenario by surpassing the $496 mark for a larger pullback to occur. Primarily, however, we're inclined to believe that we're heading into a Wave (2) correction, expected to lie between 50 and 78.6%, that is, between $288 and $174. Following this, the trajectory for Meta is anticipated to climb significantly, but this remains a scenario for the distant future.
EU Launches Probe Into Meta, Apple and GoogleIn a landmark move under the newly enacted Digital Markets Act (DMA), the European Union has initiated a comprehensive investigation into tech behemoths Apple, Alphabet (Google's parent company), and Meta (formerly Facebook). The probe, which marks the EU's first under the DMA, aims to scrutinize potential anti-competitive practices and ensure fair competition within the digital ecosystem.
The investigation, announced on Monday, encompasses a range of issues spanning from Apple's App Store policies to Google's search engine practices and Meta's advertising model. At the core of the probe are concerns regarding anti-steering rules, self-preferencing, and the implications of Meta's "pay or consent" model on user privacy and choice.
Apple and Alphabet, in particular, face scrutiny over their implementation of anti-steering rules, which prevent businesses from informing users about cheaper alternatives outside of their app stores. This investigation underscores the EU's commitment to fostering a level playing field for businesses and consumers alike, amidst growing concerns about the dominance of tech giants in shaping digital markets.
Notably, Apple's recent run-ins with the EU, including a hefty 1.8 billion euro fine for anti-competitive practices related to music subscription services, underscore the regulatory pressure facing tech giants operating within the European market. The probe into Apple's App Store policies and Safari browser further highlights the EU's focus on ensuring user choice and fair competition within the iOS ecosystem.
Meanwhile, Alphabet faces scrutiny over potential self-preferencing in Google search results, raising questions about the company's adherence to fair competition principles. With the EU probing whether Google's display of search results favors its own services over rivals', the investigation sheds light on the complex dynamics of digital markets and the challenges of regulating tech giants with vast influence over online ecosystems.
In the case of Meta, the investigation centers on the company's ad-free subscription model and its impact on user consent and data privacy. The EU's scrutiny of Meta's "pay or consent" model reflects broader concerns about the accumulation of personal data by tech gatekeepers and the need to provide users with meaningful alternatives.
As the EU's investigations unfold, tech giants are bracing for potential fines of up to 10% of their total worldwide turnover, highlighting the significant financial implications of regulatory non-compliance. Moreover, the probes underscore the evolving regulatory landscape facing tech companies, as policymakers seek to address concerns about market concentration, data privacy, and consumer welfare in the digital age.
META could fall from ATH SHORTMETA on the weekly chart is at the ATH which is as a consequence at the third upper VWAP line.
The RSI indicator shows the faster line crossing under the slower line. The relative trend
index has topped out. Both represent bearish divergence. META makes its money with
advertising dollars for revenue. There are increasing challengers to split revenues that could
go down if a recession happens. Other headwinds are the federal regulatory blaming META
for issues such as foreign interference in our elections, or child molestors floating on
the platform without adequate protections for minor or collusion in a monopoly with other
high flying targets. I find this to be a good juncture to take a short trade in META on a swing
looking for it to last until the next earnings period.
Short METAThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short upcoming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck
META/ Facebook Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
--------------------
1-17-2024
RED UMVD pulling the price DOWN deep into Green TrapZone. Lets see if GREEN UMVD shows up and buyers rescue this retrace !
META: $440 is the least sellers can target.META Platforms may have turned neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 53.558, MACD = 15.800, ADX = 23.681) but remain extremely overbought on the 1W (RSI = 76.808). The stock hit the HH trendline that dates back to January 2018, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross. During these six years, the stock has had five standard corrections (excluding the 2022 Bear Cycle) between -15.90% and -44.00%.
The minimum one was the most recent in August 2023. We expect at least such a -15.90% correction before buyers start accumulating again above the 1W MA50, so our sell target is placed accordingly (TP = 440.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Meta Platforms:From Struggle to Surge - 2024 Investment OutlookIn 2022, Meta Platforms faced turbulent market conditions amid doubts surrounding CEO Mark Zuckerberg's metaverse ambitions, resulting in a significant 64% decline in share prices. However, the company's trajectory has undergone a remarkable transformation since hitting rock bottom, with shares soaring by 321% since the close of 2022.
Despite this impressive rebound, Meta's shares continue to present an attractive investment opportunity, supported by several compelling factors.
Meta stands out as one of the top-performing stocks in 2023, trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 25.6, representing a discount compared to the Nasdaq-100 index's average forward P/E of 30.4. Wall Street analysts anticipate significant growth for the company, with projected compound annual rates of 14% for revenue and 21.3% for earnings per share over the next three years.
Moreover, Meta's unparalleled dominance in the social media landscape is a key driver of its appeal. With Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, and Messenger boasting over 4 billion monthly active users collectively, Meta's reach is unmatched, engaging nearly half of the global population.
The company benefits from formidable competitive advantages, including powerful network effects and a substantial data advantage, positioning it as a leader in digital advertising. With $132 billion in revenue in 2023, Meta has become the preferred platform for advertisers seeking targeted advertising and value for their spending.
Meta's robust financial performance further enhances its investment appeal, with a 2023 operating margin of 35% and $43 billion in free cash flow. The company's strong finances enable it to return capital to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends, reflecting its commitment to delivering value to investors.
In conclusion, Meta Platforms emerges as a compelling investment opportunity in 2024, offering an appealing valuation, unparalleled social media reach, and robust financial performance. With its leadership position in the digital landscape and strategic investments in the metaverse, Meta is poised for continued growth and success in the years to come.