all that glitters is not gold 🥇Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📌 Weekly: Left Chart
From a long-term perspective, Gold appears to be confined within a range, currently nearing its upper boundary.
As long as the 2100.0 resistance holds, the possibility of a bearish correction persists. Confirmation of a bearish reversal setup would depend on lower timeframes.
📌 H1 : Right Chart
From a short-term perspective, the Gold market structure has been clean lately.
Every time a low or high is broken, it signals a short-term trend reversal.
If we follow the same logic, the bulls are currently in control.
For the bears to take over, a break below the last low highlighted in red is needed. In this case, we anticipate a bearish movement till the 1985.0 demand zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Metal
Gold Rush with AI: Is a Bullish Trend broken?Dear Esteemed TradingView Members,
I n the intricate dance of financial markets, recent analytics hinted at a potential dip in Gold prices towards the next support zone, resting delicately around the current trendline and $1920. In a broader view of gold, the prevailing trend remains steadfastly bullish. The recent descent, therefore, wasn't a harbinger of a bearish trend but rather a retracement within the overarching bullish narrative. Retracements, akin to ripples in a vast river, move against the current without altering its course.
I n this light, the bullish trajectory of Gold persists, despite the transient shadow of bearish developments. The true nature of this episode—whether a mere retracement within a bullish trajectory or the inception of a bearish divergence—might unveil itself by the first quarter of 2024. For those inclined towards the former, signs may include ascending RSI values, dwindling volume bars, and price actions hovering modestly above the demand zone.
H owever, should this unfold as a pivot towards a bearish trajectory, anticipate a descent where RSI mirrors the fall in price, breaching the demand zone, and volume maintains its pressure at a consistent or escalating level? While my inclination leans towards the bullish scenario, it's imperative to remain vigilant of the alternate narrative.
N avigating the dynamic terrain of financial markets involves intuition and a judicious blend of analytical prowess and cutting-edge tools. In my recent analysis, I utilized Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) to sculpt the contours of my demand zone, adding a layer of sophistication to the predictive landscape.
So, what are GBMs?
G radient Boosting Machines stand as a formidable force in machine learning. A distinguished member of the ensemble learning family, GBMs artfully weave together multiple decision trees, harmonizing their collective insights to refine predictions. While their computational prowess is undeniable, it's worth noting that GBMs tread on the more resource-intensive side, making them a powerful yet demanding ally in the quest for accuracy.
A dvantages of GBMs include the capacity to attain high accuracy levels and tackle intricately woven datasets with finesse. However, this prowess comes at a cost—GBMs can be computationally demanding during the training phase and exhibit sensitivity to the choice of hyperparameters.
I n tandem with GBMs, my analysis delves into the nuanced language of financial indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume. RSI, a stalwart in technical analytics, gauges the magnitude of recent price changes, offering insights into the overbought or oversold nature of an asset. Volume is the heartbeat of market movements, signaling the intensity and sustainability of price shifts.
T ogether, these tools form a symphony of insights, guiding us through the intricate dance of market dynamics. As always, this isn't investment advice but a shared exploration of market intricacies. Your funds are your responsibility, and understanding the tools at your disposal empowers you in this journey.
It isn't investment advice but a nudge to delve into your research. Your funds are your responsibility—handle them with care. Embrace risk-management strategies, explore available safety nets, and prioritize the preservation of funds over fleeting gains.
Warm regards,
Ely
Gold Rush with AI: Analyzing a Bullish TrendIntroduction
G old has always been an intriguing asset for investors, often seen as a store of value and a hedge against economic uncertainty. In this analysis, we take a closer look at a chart showing the price of Gold (OZ) on the Gold-USD market compared to USD ($) to identify trends and potential scenarios for gold's future price movement. So, let's dive into the chart and explore the dynamics of the Gold market.
Bullish Momentum
T he chart reveals a powerful bullish trend in the Gold market, culminating in a local bullish double top pattern on October 27 and October 31, with the price reaching around $2010. This bullish momentum signals a robust demand for gold, driven by various factors like geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty.
A Double Top Formation
T he double top formation represents a potential turning point in the market. While there are no immediate signs of a bearish reversal, the double top could trigger a consolidation phase. This consolidation might occur within the price range of $1952 (support line) to $2010, forming a support zone indicated by the blue rectangle on the chart.
T he consolidation period is depicted by the white arrow on the chart and could extend until December. This consolidation isn't necessarily a sign of weakness but can be seen as a sign of increasing investor interest and strengthened buying power.
Investor Opportunity
A prolonged consolidation provides an opportunity for both new and existing investors to consider buying into the market. It allows gold to gather sufficient funding, and as long as the investor sentiment remains positive, there's a chance that the price could break the resistance zone (purple rectangle on the chart) between $2002 and $2010.
Further Upside Potential
E ven if the price breaks through this resistance zone, it doesn't necessarily mark the end of the bullish trend. It could trigger further consolidation or higher resistance zones as potential targets. The next significant resistance zone to watch out for is between $2055 and $2065.
Bearish Concerns
H owever, if gold falls from the support zone, it raises doubts about the sustainability of the bullish trend. In such a scenario, the next support zone could be around $1904, where a possible bearish reversal might be considered.
Volume and Investor Sentiment
A part from price and technical indicators, the chart analysis also considers trading volume. In October and November, the volume has been consistently high, suggesting a global need for diversification with gold in portfolios containing indices and other assets. Investors continue to view gold as a valuable precious metal for diversifying complex portfolios, particularly in uncertain economic times.
Key Drivers for Gold Investment
S everal factors are driving investor sentiment towards gold. These include concerns about high inflation in national currencies, increasing oil prices, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, and the long-standing belief that gold tends to rise during times of war.
Conclusion
W hile this analysis provides insights into the current gold market trends, it's essential to remember that investing in gold is a long-term strategy. The precious metal serves as a hedge in complex portfolios and aims for long-term appreciation rather than fast gains.
P lease note that this analysis is not investment advice, and historic results do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your research and consider various safety measures when making investment decisions.
Kind regards,
Ely
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an endorsement of any specific investment. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Montly candle closure! In a couple hours we will have montly candle closure. GOld is forming new grounds. If we look at the montly timeframe, notice that al the previous montly candles closed below 1993. This will be the first time a montly candle closes above! This indicates strong support will create around that level
SO what does this mean, what is next for gold?
Today 2050 was the zone i adviced to short the market. Sellers will try bring the market down before montly candle closes. From 2050 gold fell as low as 2030(200pips) My view is 100% bullish. After a correction the next bull wave will start. I am aiming around 2022 zone to go long or 2005 zone. With targets 2048 and 2067(around ATH). We can expect a good rejection around ATH like 3 times in the past, but this time i think it will be different rejection. Not as powerfull as before. In the long run 2070 will break and gold will move in a complete new area wich has never been seen before.
In the past we had 3 times testing the ATH zone off approx 2070(tripple top) In the near future we will see new ath 2100+
*The given long posititions are indications not signals.
Resistance: 2050, 2070(ATH)
Support: 2030, 2022, 2005, 1992
Gold - Macro View 🌎Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📌 Monthly: Left Chart
From a macro perspective, Gold has been generally bullish, trading within the rising brown channel.
For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the 2075.0 level is essential. In this scenario, a continuation toward the upper boundary of the brown channel can be anticipated.
📌 Weekly: Right Chart
Meanwhile, from a medium to long-term perspective, Gold appears to be confined within a range, currently nearing its upper boundary.
As long as the 2075.0 resistance holds, the possibility of a bearish correction persists. Confirmation of a bearish reversal setup would depend on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
What's next for gold. Retracement? or bearish movement ahead.Last week was a very good week for us. We targeted mutipe levels and suceeded. 1935 was my last target for bears. Before market closure gold manage to hit our target.
So whats next? in my opinion 2 scenario's. 1932's is a support level were a posible pullback can follow. We need to follow priceaction after market openings to decide we go long. Target for bulls are 1964 and 1976 in the longrun.
THe second scenario is were the bearish momentum continueus If 1932's get broken with confirmation we need to add more sells for targets 1915 and 1905.
We also need to pay atention to the current Bearish channel. FOr bulls to regain power we need a break of this channel.
Stay tuned.
Resistance: 1947,1964, 1976,
Support: 1932, 1915, 1905
ALUMINIUM PRICES MIGHT BE PULLED UP DUE TO CHINA DEMANDChina's aluminum market in 2023 stands out for its resilience, with prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) bucking global trends by climbing over 1%, while the London Metal Exchange (LME) saw an 8% slump. This divergence is largely credited to the strength of China's green sector and decarbonization efforts. An open arbitrage window, created by SHFE outperforming LME, has led to a substantial increase in aluminum imports into China, mainly from Russia due to sanctions imposed by Western buyers after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Despite the surge in imports, domestic aluminum production in China has reached new highs, partly due to an improved hydropower supply in Yunnan province. However, potential disruptions during the upcoming dry season could impact production and increase imports. Low domestic aluminum inventories underscore robust domestic demand, with SHFE stocks at their lowest levels since March 2019.
Beijing's decarbonization initiatives have driven aluminum demand, particularly in renewable energy-related manufacturing. Notably, the rapid growth of China's new energy vehicles (NEV) sector and the critical role of aluminum in battery electric vehicles highlight its significance in this industry. The solar sector, another major aluminum consumer, continues to expand, with China leading in solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity additions. This growth in green sectors is expected to counterbalance weaknesses in traditional sectors, sustaining demand for aluminum. China's aluminum market exemplifies a unique blend of domestic resilience, increasing imports, and a strong emphasis on green industries, all contributing to the sector's dynamics in 2023.
On a technical note, MACD and RSI are still in the neutral and sell zone, but are rising up and buy signals are starting to form.
If the trend continues, the price might reach levels of 2241, in the opposite scenario the price might revert to levels of 2178.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Gold - was, is and will always be our Safe Haven!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on Daily: Left Chart
After rejecting the 1800.0 support, Gold has been bullish especially after breaking above 1900.0.
Currently, XAUUSD is sitting around a strong resistance in green.
For the bulls to remain in control, we need a break above 1960.0.
📈 In this case, a movement till the 2000.0 round number would be expected.
on H1: Right Chart
Meanwhile, the bears can still kick in. To be confirmed if the last low in gray at 1934.0 is broken downward around.
📉 In this case, we will be expecting a correction till the 1900.0 support.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold - Real gold is not afraid of the melting pot 🪔Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last picture and video analysis (attached on the chart), we have been looking for buy setups around the lower bound of the channel.
This week, XAUUSD rejected the lower blue trendline and round number 1800, and traded higher.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the zone 1900.0 is a previous major low and round number.
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the orange previous major low and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
As per my trading style:
As XAUUSD approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold - We Want our Safe Haven Back ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
XAUUSD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in blue, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the zone 1800.0 is a strong support, demand and round number.
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As XAUUSD approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SILVER, Confirmed H&S-Formation, Looking For Targets To Reach!Hello Traders Investors And Community,
Welcome to this analysis where we are looking at SILVER 1-hour timeframe perspective, where I detected some worthwhile signs recently important for the confirmation and next steps in the structure to be expected. As mentioned already SILVER will increase bearishness as it established sudden breakdowns where usually more downside follows up within this case I found the important levels and scenario we should consider now.
Looking at my chart you can watch there that SILVER just broke below the neckline of its huge head and shoulder top formation and pulled back to move on with bearishness, this is just a really good confirmational setup with a very high possibility to continue. Furthermore, you can see that SILVER has the 100-EMA as resistance above and it shows up like SILVER is building a smaller head and shoulder formation here again where the neckline is marked in grey, these factors adding to the bearish environment which will continue further after a bounce of the 100-EMA and pull-back below the neckline of the smaller head and shoulder formation. This head and shoulder confirmation just activated the downside targets SILVER will now reach, these are marked in my chart at the 24.7 level in black where also the 800-EMA in red lies, when SILVER has reached these downside targets it has to be elevated if more downside is ahead or stabilization in this level can occur.
This setup is actually confirming the established bearishness SILVER has also on the higher timeframe perspectives where bigger pull-back scenarios aren't fully out of sight now, these factors making a bearish continuation overall more possible and new highs aren't highly possible to be reached within the smaller to middle timeframe schedules.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, all the best!
"If you have the conditions, you get the results."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
PLATINUM, Moving In Solid Trend, Potential To Continue Further! Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis about the current structure and price-action we have in platinum, there are some interesting and significant signs which I determined and which will affect the price-action further. Platinum is still moving in a steady uptrend since we had the bear-trap and bottom building at 560 we saw some good volatility and percentual price-jumps. Let's have a look at the locally 4-hour timeframe and see how we can continue with platinum.
When looking at my chart you can see that platinum currently trades at the important resistance at 855 which you can see marked in my chart with the grey level, this is a resistance-level which platinum has to build in the past price-swings and is actually a strong resistance which shouldn't be ignored therefore we can expect minimum a pull-back to lower levels here and providing excellent correction for new entry-points.
In considering the pull-back we can expect the meaningful support-level between 780 and 800 to hold not only do we have there a strong past resistance level which is now support but also it is supported by the 100 DEMA and 200 DEMA which building together with the support a logical and coherent confluence-cluster here which will highly likely be respected as such and provide a decent bounce when touched in that level.
Overall we can say that platinum is in still in a strong uptrend level here which did not already confirm to the downside or shows any serious reversal signs which will shift the overall price-structure to the downside, the correction awaited is completely natural and will highly likely show that the price continues to the upside and reach the target which you can see in my chart. Remember that we need to confirm the support with a clear break of the current resistance level this will initiate the strengthening of further growth.
Thanks for watching everybody, support for more market insight, and have a good day! ;)
Science is organized knowledge. Wisdom is organized life.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Mtl Looking Bullish Mtl Looking Attractive Here For Midterm At least
Currently Testing 2 years + Trendline And Expecting Breakout Soon Incase Of Successful Breakout Expecting Massive recovery
and incase Of Successful Breakout Expecting 260 to 280% bullish Rally Keep Eyes On Mtl For confirmed Breakout
GOLD - Is History Repeating Itself ⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After rejecting the 2080 resistance, GOLD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound / trendline.
Moreover, the zone 1980 is a strong resistance.
🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
As per my trading style:
As GOLD approaches the "3" zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
For the bulls to kick in and invalidate the bearish scenario, we need a break above the blue resistance.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Copper: A bit lower 🪜The copper price is back in our blue target zone and dedicates itself to extending the low of its blue wave (c). After this fall, we expect significant rises in the context of the magenta wave (y) above the resistance at $4.19. In the short term, speculative opportunities are thus given here on the long side with the active blue target zone. Subsequently, however, new downward movements to our green target zone will be interesting for long-term investors.
GOLD - One More Correction ?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis, we were waiting for GOLD to approach the 1935 support to look for buy setups.
🏹 The 1935 is a strong rejection zone because it is the intersection of the blue support and lower red trendline.
📈 For the bulls to take over and start the bullish correction, we need a break above the last major high in gray.
In this case, a movement till the upper red trendline would be expected.
Meanwhile , until the buy is activated, GOLD would be overall bearish and can still trade lower and even break the blue support downward.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD - Strong Support Ahead 💪Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
GOLD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling broadening wedge in red, and it is currently approaching the lower trendline.
Moreover, the 1935 level is a strong support.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue demand and lower blue trendline.
As per my trading style:
As GOLD is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD will buy morepreviously gold on a massive uptrend and it was manipulating on a consolidating area between 1961 and 1954..By the way according to the daily prospective gold made a huge impulse without and correction and now it is time to correction.We knwo that the any market do not continue it own trend without a correction so we may see a correction then it will continue its trend .
XAUUSD (GOLD)Hi traders,
Gold at the range between support and resistance , now testing resistance if can’t break the resistance can drop to support and break the support after breaking the support it’s work as resistance price getting test to resistance and drop again to next support zone , but if can break resistance can rise more to next resistance and will reject from here and drop to support zones , we need confirmation if opened 4H candle bellow the resistance we can entry short but if can break and open 4H candle above resistance can rise to next resistance and we entry to long .