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Gold Surging - Will the RSI Overbought Matter?📈 Gold Extends Gains in Strong Uptrend Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,938, continuing its rally within a well-defined ascending channel (orange lines). Price remains above both the 50-day EMA ($2,776) and 200-day EMA ($2,576), reinforcing bullish momentum. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: $3,000 → Psychological level, upper bound of the channel. Support: $2,900 → Lower channel trendline. $2,850 → Stronger support if the uptrend weakens. 📊 Momentum Check: RSI at 71.56 → Overbought territory, a pullback or consolidation is possible. Price hugging the upper trendline, suggesting a short-term correction could be healthy. 🚀 What’s Next? Bulls want to see $2,900 hold as support to sustain the trend. A break below the channel could trigger profit-taking toward $2,850 or even the 50-day EMA ($2,776). Gold’s trend remains bullish, but overbought conditions warn of potential volatility. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold on the 4H TF is within its final Wave 5 bullish move, there’s no arguing with that. The only thing to debate is how high can Wave 5 push up before reversing? While it’s possible that Wave 5 has now peaked at $2,942 & ready for a major correction, on the 1H TF I see a small possibly of it creating a new ATH toward $2,954. HIGH RISK TRADE. Confluences👇🏻 ⭕️Distribution Schematic Taking Place Between Wave 3 High, Wave 4 Low & Wave 5 High. ⭕️Wave E Rejected From Psychological Number Of $2,940 (LQ Trap). ⭕️No Strong Sell Off Yet To Indicate A Reversal Has Started.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-20 : Rotation PatternSorry for my delay this morning. Everything is fine over here - just a bit hectic this morning, and I had to drive my son to his work at 530am - which interrupted my plans. OK, so here we go. This video helps to organize my analysis/thinking into more clearly presented data for my followers. I use the Fibonacci Price Theory as a basis for all my analysis. On top of that, I use other techniques (anchor bars, my SPY Cycle Patterns, and my custom indexes) to help identify when and where opportunities exist for the best trades. I've been getting comments related to my labeling these videos as Bullish or Bearish which may go against the primary trend direction presented on the charts. So, now I've added a TEXT LABEL that tells you what every chart is doing on a Short, Intermediate, and Long-term basis. This will help all of you follow my analysis/thinking going forward (I hope). Today's Rotation Pattern suggests the markets will slide into a sideways price rotation phase. This rotation could be a stalling pattern after the recent rally to new ATHs. I'm still very cautious of a breakdown/pullback in trend after this move higher. As I keep saying, I don't believe the markets have sufficient momentum to continue a massive rally phase. And I really believe this new ATH level is a BULL TRAP - setting up longs to jump into this rally mode before a bigger pullback/breakdown takes place. Gold and Silver are struggling to move higher with a fairly broad rotating range - but they are still pushing higher. I believe Gold and Silver will make a big move higher over the next 30+ days. So, be prepared for volatility - but stick with long trades for metals as I believe Gold will rally to levels above $3100 very quickly. Bitcoin could be shifting into a new Excess Phase Peak pattern off recent lows. The FPT trends for Bitcoin are still BEARISH, but we are starting to see a base setup that may become a new Excess Phase Peak low. Watch this video and please comment if you have any questions. Again, sorry for my delay this morning. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 19.02.2025📊 Market Structure & Price Action Analysis: Uptrend Confirmation: Gold has been respecting the ascending channel since $2,880, indicating strong bullish momentum. Key Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, which aligns with the trendline support and has held twice. Rejection from Resistance: $2,939, suggesting a temporary pullback before another bullish leg. Potential Buy Zone: If price revisits $2,923 - $2,925 and holds, it presents a good long opportunity. 📈 Intraday Scalping Trade Signal (BUY Setup) ✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (Wait for confirmation with bullish price action) 🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,939 (Short-term target) 🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,946 - $2,950 (Channel resistance) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $2,915 (Trendline breakdown invalidates setup) ⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher 🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entry: ✅ Bullish Candlestick Formation (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar at support) ✅ Trendline & Support Hold at $2,923 - $2,925 ✅ Volume Increase on Buy Pressure ✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Additional Confirmation ⚠ Risk Management: Exit immediately if price closes below $2,915, as it would indicate a trendline breakdown. Move SL to Breakeven once TP1 is hit. Avoid Chasing Entry if price already starts moving higher without touching the buy zone. 📌 Trading Tip: Monitor gold's reaction at $2,923 - $2,925; a strong bounce confirms bullish strength. 🚀 Like, follow and comment your concern.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quinn901
GOLD - After correct to support line, price can bounce to $2930Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to grow inside upward wedge, and soon reached $2855 level and broke it, after which made retest. Then Gold some time traded near this level, corrected to support area and then continued to move up. Later it reached resistance line of wedge, before making a gap, after which price turned around and dropped. Price almost fell to support line of wedge and then bounced up to resistance area, after which quickly fell back. Next, price in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking $2930 level, but then started to decline. In my opinion, after a breakout of $2930 level, Gold can bounce up to $2970 from support line and exit from wa edge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
3
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 2941.7 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2952.86 Recommended Stop Loss - 2937.0 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold’s Rally Continues – Next ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) again managed to form a new All-Time High(ATH) . Are you used to this? Gold has already managed to break the Uptrend line . But as long as Gold is above 100_SMA(1-hour) , we can hope for the continuation of the upward trend . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 3, so that the main wave 3 was extended . I expect Gold to start rising again after a temporary decline from the levels I charted and create a new All-Time High(ATH) . Note: If Gold can go below 100_SMA(1-hour) again, we should expect more dumps. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
Gold Market analysis and short-term forecastsIn the early Asian session on Thursday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range, and the current price is around 2943. After setting a new record on Wednesday, it fell back. Although US President Trump's latest tariff threat made investors nervous, the US dollar continued to rebound, prompting some longs to take profits. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that the potential impact of Trump's policies has caused the Federal Reserve to worry about rising inflation. Policymakers generally believe that changes in trade policies, immigration policies and geopolitical risks may push up inflation, and companies generally said that they will pass on the cost of import tariffs by raising prices. This uncertainty makes it less likely that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the short term. More importantly, Trump asked "dictator" Zelensky to act quickly to ensure peace, otherwise there will be no country to govern. The Kremlin said that Putin and Trump may meet before the end of February. Concerns about the geopolitical situation have cooled down, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for international gold investment! On this trading day, we need to continue to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and news related to the situation between Russia and Ukraine. In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending February 15 will be released. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, St. Louis Fed President Musallem and Fed Governor Kugler will give speeches, which gold investors need to pay attention to. Gold prices have a very good upside as expected, and broke through the high point of 2942 that has not been reached many times in the previous period. The NY market fell and rebounded strongly to close above 2930, forming a wide range of fluctuations at the high of 2918/2946. The current highest gold is around 2947. Although there was a slight decline in the US market yesterday, it has been repaired at the opening today. Therefore, the basic principle is temporarily maintained, and the rise will not guess the top. At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. From the technical point of view, after the rise in the first three trading days of this week, the daily line has been above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, forming an absolute strength. In the short cycle, if there is an effective adjustment today, you can continue to go long if the trend is maintained. Today's trading callback mainly participates in the trend of low-long, and the high-altitude layout is coordinated! Starting this week, the gold price remained above $2,900 per ounce, but the relative strength index (RSI) showed that it was in the overbought area. The gold daily K-line closed higher continuously, and the weekly line was also controlled by the physical K-line. The resistance seen above was only the upper rail of the 4-hour Bollinger band at 2948, and the upper rail of the monthly Bollinger band at 2960. The upper rail of the daily Bollinger band even extended upward to 2975! The daily line maintained a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintained a golden cross upward; the weekly line was a strong pattern of seven consecutive rises, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment was high. Then the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of ​​callback. Key points: First support: 2926, second support: 2910, third support: 2903 First resistance: 2948, second resistance: 2956, third resistance: 2968 Operation ideas: BUY: 2923-2926, SL: 2915, TP2950-2960; SELL: 2956-2959, SL: 2968, TP: 2940-2930;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD - Gold, no competitors!Gold is located in a 2 -hour timeframe, above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. Gold reform to the demand range will provide us with a good risk position for us. According to Tom Stevenson from Fidelity International, gold remains resilient despite challenges such as high interest rates and a strong dollar, continuing its march towards the $3,000 mark. However, while these fundamental factors persist, he believes that silver could be a more attractive investment option in the future. Stevenson notes that gold prices have increased tenfold since 2000 and have surged by over $1,000 since late 2023. Yet, he argues that fundamentally, gold should not be this expensive. He explains: “Historically, precious metals tend to underperform when interest rates rise. This is because, unlike bonds, stocks, cash, or real estate, gold does not generate income for investors. When other assets offer appealing returns, there is less incentive to hold onto what economist John Maynard Keynes once referred to as the ‘barbarous relic.’ This situation remains true today, yet gold continues to set new record highs.” Stevenson also believes that gold should benefit from a weaker dollar. He states: “Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, when other currencies strengthen against the dollar, their purchasing power for gold increases.Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, global demand for gold should decline. However, despite Trump’s policies reinforcing the dollar, gold remains on an upward trajectory.” He concludes that this signals something important to the market: “Gold’s performance suggests that not everything is as stable in the world as some may think. It indicates investor concerns, and history has shown that ignoring gold’s signals during times of uncertainty is a mistake.” Stevenson further emphasizes that central banks around the world are taking steps to hedge against risks. Since the onset of the Ukraine war and subsequent sanctions, countries like Russia, China, India, and Turkey have increased their gold purchases in an effort to reduce their dependence on the U.S. dollar. He points out that gold has long been recognized as a valuable store of wealth and a diversification tool, as it carries no credit risk unlike paper currencies. According to him, central bank gold purchases in 2024 have surpassed 1,000 tons for the third consecutive year. Meanwhile, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and head of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has shared memes resurfacing old conspiracy theories regarding the status of the U.S. government’s gold reserves at Fort Knox. In response, a prominent politician seized this rare opportunity to call for greater transparency. Senator Rand Paul, a Republican representative from Kentucky, replied to one of Musk’s posts advocating for an annual audit of Fort Knox, writing, “Let’s do it.” So far, no evidence has surfaced to support Musk’s theory of missing gold, but the status of these reserves remains highly classified.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Gold's Crucial Test: Break Below $2930 for a Bearish Shift? hello guys! as I published before: the downward movement didn't happen as I expected! in return the top line of pattern breakout! if this candle close lower than $2930.24 area then this scenario will happen! 1-Triangle Formation with Key Level at $2930.24 Gold is consolidating within a triangle pattern, with the top line acting as resistance and the bottom line as support. $2930.24 is the key level to watch. If the price closes below this level, it could signal a breakdown from the triangle. 2-Support Areas to Watch: If the breakdown happens, the first support area near $2923 will be tested. A further drop could lead to the next support area around $2899. 3-Bearish Scenario: A close below $2930.24 would suggest a shift in momentum, likely leading to a deeper correction and testing the support levels below. Conclusion: If Gold fails to hold above $2930.24, expect a bearish move with the potential for further declines to $2899. Watch this level closely for confirmation!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
5
GOLD Approaching New Highs | Will It Hit $3000 Soon?GOLD Analysis | February 20, 2025 Gold continues its strong uptrend, pushing above the ATH and confirming its bullish momentum as we mentioned before. The price is currently trading around 2951, holding above the pivot line of 2935, indicating stability within the breakout structure. Bullish Scenario: As long as 2935 holds as support, the price is expected to continue its movement toward the resistance zone of 2956 - 2975. A strong breakout above 2975 could signal further bullish momentum, with the next key target around 3000. Bearish Scenario: A rejection from the ATH could lead to a retest of 2935 and 2918. If a 4H candle closes below 2918, this may trigger a correction toward 2873 before any potential rebound. 📌 Key Levels: 🔹 Pivot Point: 2956 🔹 Resistance Levels: 2975, 2985, 3000 🔹 Support Levels: 2935, 2918, 2873 💬 Will Gold sustain its momentum and reach new highs, or is a correction coming? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
GOLD Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,953.88. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,994.97 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If we see a correction, we can re-enter the silver purchase and accompany it to the ceiling of the ascending channel. Then we can sell within the specified supply zone with an appropriate reward for risk. In recent weeks, analysts have warned investors that gold prices breaking strongly above $2,800 suggest an overbought market.Therefore, it is not surprising to see some profit-taking finally occurring, especially since gold prices have surged by more than 11% since the beginning of the year. In contrast, silver has been notably underwhelming. Despite having strong bullish fundamentals, it has not experienced price increases on par with gold. Moreover, silver is more unpredictable, as its volatility is twice that of gold. In recent days, U.S. President Donald Trump has taken bold steps in trade and foreign relations. On Tuesday night, he announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductor chips. This decision comes at a time when global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainties, while hopes remain for an end to the Ukraine conflict. A 25% tariff on imported cars could significantly impact the global automotive industry, which has already been facing challenges. Trump has long criticized what he perceives as “unfair treatment” of American car exports in foreign markets. For instance, the European Union imposes a 10% tariff on imported cars—four times higher than the 2.5% tariff the U.S. levies on passenger vehicles. Similar tariffs are planned for pharmaceuticals and semiconductor chips, starting at 25% and set to increase significantly next year. However, Trump did not specify an exact timeline for implementation, stating that he wants to give pharmaceutical companies and chip manufacturers time to establish production facilities in the U.S. to avoid these tariffs. Beyond their immediate impact on specific industries, these tariffs could have long-term repercussions, such as higher business costs and rising prices for consumers. Trump also indicated that he expects major corporations to invest more in the U.S. soon, although he did not provide further details. Amid these trade developments, Trump has initiated negotiations with Russia, signaling a potential shift in diplomatic relations between the two nations. On Tuesday, senior officials from both countries took steps toward rebuilding ties, agreeing to collaborate on ending the Ukraine conflict, increasing financial investments, and restoring diplomatic relations. This meeting marks a significant shift following three years of U.S. efforts to isolate Moscow. Meanwhile, a massive influx of gold and silver has entered the U.S., as major banks and market players hedge against potential tariff threats. This surge in demand has driven up gold and silver prices, creating notable premiums in North American markets. However, a research firm argues that concerns over tariffs may be exaggerated. In a report by BCA Research, commodity analysts revealed they had taken a short position in silver as a contrarian play against tariff fears. They stated, “There is a strong likelihood that the U.S. will not impose import tariffs on gold, silver, platinum, or copper. There is no compelling economic or political motivation for the U.S. to take such action.” They added, “Since the recent surge in precious metal prices has been driven by tariff concerns, investors may react negatively to these price increases.” BCA also noted that if the U.S. were to impose tariffs on gold and silver, they would likely be introduced alongside steel and aluminum tariffs. Analysts concluded, “The silver market is relatively shallow and less liquid, making it more vulnerable to short-term price declines than gold. However, any short-term weakness presents an attractive opportunity for cyclical and structural positioning in this precious metal.”
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Ali_PSND
GOLD's rise has been steady, limited by its all-time peakDuring the Asian trading session, OANDA:XAUUSD spot delivery at about 2,930 USD/ounce; Yesterday the price of gold skyrocketed to 36USSD. On this trading day, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market. On Tuesday, as US President Trump's tariff plan sparked market concerns about US economic growth, funds poured into the gold market in search of a safe haven. Spot gold closed up 36.28 USD, equivalent to 1.25%, at 2,934.87 USD/ounce. The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its January monetary policy meeting at 02:00 Hanoi time on Thursday. The market expects more information from the minutes on how decision-makers assess the risks of a global trade war that could be triggered by Trump's tariff policy. Last week's data showed the US consumer price index (CPI) rose at its fastest pace in nearly 18 months in January, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's stance that it is in no rush to cut interest rates. The minutes will be closely scrutinized for clues about the Fed's path forward, especially in light of recent data showing solid price growth, weak consumer sentiment and weaker-than-expected retail sales. If the Fed meeting minutes have a tough stance, the US Dollar could be boosted, which would put gold prices at risk of falling. And vice versa, if the minutes show the possibility that the Fed will continue with its goal of cutting interest rates, the USD will weaken and create room for gold prices to increase. CME Group's FedWatch tool now shows that the market actually sees no chance of a rate cut in March and about a 20% chance of a 25 basis point cut in May. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold's gains were temporarily halted by its all-time high but the technical outlook remains overwhelmingly bullish. The technical structure remains unchanged with the price channel as the main trend and main support by EMA21. As long as gold remains within the price channel, above EMA21, pullbacks should only be considered short-term corrections without changing the trend, and should be seen as a buying opportunity. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not really sent out any reliable signals for a possible downward correction. To summarize, the intraday technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,911 – 2,900 – 2,881USD Resistance: 2,942USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 →Take Profit 1 2943 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2937 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2904 - 2906⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2900 →Take Profit 1 2912 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2918
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 17 - Feb 21]OANDA:XAUUSD have leveled off after a series of record increases, ending the week below 2,900 USD/oz due to strong profit-taking activities. The main reason is that geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe have eased, reducing the need for safe havens. President Donald Trump had a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin about ending hostilities in Ukraine and suspending tariffs until a review is completed in April 2025. Gold prices may continue to adjust in the short term, but in the long term, safe haven demand due to economic instability and trade war will push prices up. In addition, central banks stepped up gold purchases, with more than 1,000 tons in 2024 - much higher than the average level in the 2010-2021 period, contributing to supporting the rise of gold. China launched a pilot project allowing 10 insurance companies to invest up to 1% of assets in gold. It is forecast that these companies can buy up to 28 billion USD of gold (about 300 tons), accounting for 6.5% of annual physical gold demand, contributing to boosting the market. SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Index (economic index measuring business conditions of the manufacturing industry in New York state, USA. This index is announced monthly by the US Federal Reserve (FED) New York branch, based on a survey of manufacturers in the region). Wednesday: US housing data (New homes and construction permits), FED meeting minutes. Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey. Friday: S&P Flash PMI, US Existing Home Sales 📌Technically, on chart D1, after surpassing the peak at 2790, the gold price increased another 150 and tends to adjust again. Currently, the support level to pay attention to is around the dynamic resistance level as well as the hard resistance level at 2790, while the resistance level is set around 2942. Next week, if the gold price maintains the trading level above the 2800 threshold, it is expected that the momentum will increase to set a new record high price. In case the price declines and adjusts too deeply, there is a risk that the gold price will be subject to downward selling pressure. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,881 – 2,857USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2789 - 2791⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2785
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1