XAU/USD Short Trade Setup – Bearish Rejection from ResistanceGold is showing **signs of weakness** near the **$2,903 - $2,863** resistance zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous price action. This setup favors a short position, aiming for a deeper retracement.
### 🔹 **Trade Setup:**
- **📍 Entry:** Around **$2,903 - $2,863**, key resistance levels.
- **🛑 Stop Loss:** Above **$2,942**, to avoid false breakouts.
- **🎯 Take Profit Targets:**
- **First TP:** **$2,843** (early support zone)
- **Second TP:** **$2,824** (-0.5 Fibonacci level)
- **Extended TP:** **$2,785** (-1 Fibonacci level for a deeper correction)
### 📊 **Trade Rationale:**
✅ **Key Resistance Zone:** Price is struggling around $2,903 - $2,863, suggesting a potential reversal.
✅ **Fibonacci & Market Structure:** The setup aligns with key retracement levels and past support zones.
✅ **Bearish Confirmation Needed:** Watching for rejection wicks or lower timeframe breakdowns before full commitment.
### ⚠️ **Risk Management:**
- If price **breaks above $2,942** with strong momentum, I will **exit** the trade.
- Monitoring **volume and candlestick patterns** for additional bearish confirmation.
Let’s see how this setup unfolds! 🚀📉
Would you adjust any levels, or does this match your plan? 🤔
Metals
Roughly another $50 and we are at $3000The recent performance of TVC:GOLD has been spectacular. It seems, the precious metal can't find a ceiling. MARKETSCOM:GOLD has a good chance of travelling towards the psychological 3000 mark.
Let's dig in!
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USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Targeting 0.94000USDCHF is currently trading at 0.90200, with a bullish flag pattern forming, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.94000 target. The bullish flag is a continuation pattern that typically follows a strong upward move, followed by a period of consolidation before the next leg higher. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s upper trendline, it could trigger a bullish wave, pushing USDCHF toward its next resistance levels.
From a technical perspective, the flag’s consolidation phase suggests temporary indecision in the market. However, as long as the price remains above key support levels and breaks out with strong volume, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. A confirmed breakout above the resistance could provide an entry opportunity for traders aiming for the 0.94000 target.
Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate cuts. Recent economic data from the US, including inflation figures and labor market strength, have kept the dollar strong against the Swiss franc. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a relatively dovish stance, which could further weaken CHF and support the bullish case for USDCHF.
In summary, USDCHF is forming a bullish flag pattern, awaiting a breakout for further upside movement. A strong breakout above the resistance level could trigger a rally toward 0.94000, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should closely monitor price action and key economic events to confirm the bullish continuation.
Gold Analysis GOLD Analysis and Trade Setup
Gold is currently testing a historically significant resistance level that has repeatedly acted as a barrier to price advancement. Given the strength of this resistance zone, it is reasonable to anticipate a potential rejection or pullback. Historically, such levels often prompt a reversal, particularly after a retest of the structure, which could further confirm the resistance's validity. The likelihood of a rejection at this level is supported by the principles of technical analysis, as repeated tests of a resistance level tend to reinforce its significance. In summary, while the current setup suggests a potential pullback from the resistance level, traders should remain cautious and monitor key technical and fundamental factors.
$BTC have a gold fractal!Please pay attention to the Bitcoin chart and the Gold fractal! It's incredible, but it looks very similar. The level of correlation is quite high! Similar formation of tops, bottoms, breakout without retest and then now breakout phase with retest. The retest was successful. Very soon there will be the strongest growth! Good luck!
Horban Brothers!
GOLD steadies at high levels despite FOMC looks toughDuring the early morning trading session on Thursday (February 20), spot gold prices suddenly increased rapidly in the short term and gold prices stabilized above 2,940 USD/ounce, approaching the historic high set in the previous trading day.
Trump just issued another tariff threat
On Wednesday evening local time, US President Trump reiterated that he will announce tariffs on cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals.
“I will announce tariffs next month or sooner on autos, semiconductors, chips, pharmaceuticals, lumber and a number of other items that have a significant impact on the United States,” Trump said.
On Tuesday, Trump said he intended to impose tariffs of "about 25%" on autos, along with similar tariffs on imported semiconductors and pharmaceuticals.
Earlier this month, the United States announced a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.
Gold prices hit a record high on Wednesday, but the Fed meeting minutes sent gold prices down a bit
Gold prices hit an all-time high in early trading on Wednesday as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs rattled investors, but later retreated from record highs as the dollar strengthened following a tough Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
"Participants said that, as long as the economy remains near maximum employment, they would like to see inflation progress further before making additional adjustments to the target range of the federal funds rate," minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's Jan. 28-29 meeting said.
Assessment: The meeting minutes highlight the cautious approach of policymakers after they cut interest rates by 100 basis points in the final months of last year. Some officials have said they want to see inflation continue to fall toward the Fed's 2% target before supporting another rate cut.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting showed concerns about inflation risks, dampening expectations for interest rate cuts. Gold prices decreased after the Fed meeting minutes, but in general this is not a significant impact because the market is still accepting risks from President Trump.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Technically, gold is up 0.30% on the day, temporarily in front of the 0.382% Fibonacci extension considered the nearest resistance.
Once gold breaks above $2,946, it will likely continue to renew its all-time high with a target then around $2,971 in the short term.
The intraday technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,921USD
Resistance: 2,942 – 2,971USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop ?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2942.88, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 2928.91, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2955.79, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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GOLD Set to make new Highs before the week ClosesI was looking for a bigger pullback but we didnt get it. The way price is moving and based on the FOMC news I think the pull back is over and price is ready to continue bullish. We just came into the killzone and things look like they are lining up. Trailing stop along the way.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Trend: Strong bullish trend with price making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD: Strong bullish momentum, MACD line above the signal line.
• RSI (71.53): Overbought zone but no divergence, indicating strong bullish momentum.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Trend: Bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD: Positive but showing signs of slowing momentum.
• RSI (64.04): Neutral to slightly overbought, room for further upside.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Trend: Recent pullback followed by a bullish continuation.
• MACD: Slight bullish crossover.
• RSI (76.04): Overbought, indicating potential for minor pullback but still bullish.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold drivers:
• Market sentiment remains bullish on gold, possibly due to inflation concerns, safe-haven demand, or weakening USD.
• Without major negative catalysts, the bullish trend is likely to continue.
Trade Setup:
Given the strong bullish trend on the daily and the bullish continuation on lower timeframes, a long position offers the highest probability.
• Position: Long (Buy) XAUUSD
• Entry: 2935.00 (Wait for a slight pullback from current levels for better RRR)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2920.00 (Below recent support on M15 and psychological level)
• Take Profit (TP): 2965.00 (Recent psychological resistance and aligns with 2:1 RRR)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher within its range, finding support at the 5-day moving average. While the daily buy signal remains intact, the market showed some corrective movement following yesterday’s doji candle, with selling pressure continuing on the lower time frames.
As the index approaches previous highs, profit-taking is occurring, leading to a temporary consolidation phase. Market flows remain mixed, which could make it difficult for the Nasdaq to break through resistance decisively. However, as long as the index continues to hold the 5-day MA, the potential for a continued rally remains.
On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal remains active, and the market is consolidating within a range. Since the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, further upside attempts are likely.
For now, a range-trading strategy—buying near support and selling near resistance—remains the most effective approach.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, breaking above the $72 level. On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet confirmed a bullish crossover, making it too early to fully confirm an uptrend.
Although oil has formed a double-bottom pattern, market flows remain mixed, and since the MACD and signal line are converging near the zero level, a strong breakout or breakdown could occur soon. Given that the weekly MACD remains in an uptrend, buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have both moved above the zero line, confirming strong buying momentum. If oil breaks above the neckline at $73, a strong bullish move could follow. However, if the market fails to hold above $73, it could settle into a range-bound structure.
For now, buying on dips remains the most favorable strategy, but traders should be cautious, as today’s crude oil inventory report could introduce significant volatility.
Gold
Gold failed to break above its previous high, closing lower. The market remains in a range-bound structure, with the MACD initially turning upward but now shifting back toward the signal line.
If the MACD forms a bearish crossover, gold is likely to remain in a consolidation phase, and the next key question will be whether gold finds support at the 20-day moving average or moves even lower to test previous breakout levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is pulling back toward the signal line, showing signs of weakening momentum. Additionally, the market appears to be forming a triple-top (head-and-shoulders) pattern, meaning that if the neckline breaks, a further decline could follow.
Given these conditions, the best approach is to trade within the current range, favoring selling near highs while only considering long positions at key support levels.
Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day! 🚀
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For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
50% DISCOUNT BUY?As illustrated, Im trying to visualize a falling wedge pattern into the 50% retracement of Monday's impulsive push, for what could be a potential buy point to continue the uptrend.
Nothing to get fancy about. This is just a chart analysis based on a potential corrective pattern that could take place within the next 24 hours and into tomorrow's NY session.
It could be NY to make the strong bounce tomorrow THU with the unemployment news as catalyst.
Remember; news don't mean anything. They are just gas / power for the market to distribute and manipulate (find liquidity) ...
..
GOOD LUCK
Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥 Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥
📢 Let's talk: FOLLOW ME, COMMENT, and DROP A BOOST! Because in here, we help each other and we mean business! 💪🔥
Welcome to the PipGuard Guide , the only one that tells it like it is: no filters, no fairy tales, just a pinch of sarcasm. Gold is playing hard to get (what a shock, right?), but trust me, sooner or later, it wakes up—and when it does, fireworks will follow.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
🚀 Bullish resistances: $2947 / $2943
🛠️ Bullish support: $2924
📉 Bearish resistances: $2918 / $2906
⚔️ Make-or-break level: $2906-$2905 ➜ Above? Bulls take charge. Below? Bears lurking.
💎 PipGuard Targets:
🎯 Bullish Premium: $3015
🔻 Bearish Premium: $2856
Watch out for $2906: that’s the thin line between paradise and disaster.
📌 If we hold above: bulls have room to run, aiming for $3015.
📌 If we break below: bears take over, dragging us down to $2856.
💡 So, what’s the move? Wait for a strong signal, then act—no hesitation. We're dancing above $2906, but if we slip… expect a hard fall. The market is either slapping us in the face or rewarding us with solid gold. And you? Ready to take your position?!
🔥 DROP A BOOST and COMMENT BELOW! What do you think? Sleeping gold or ready to strike? See you on the battlefield!
🚀 PipGuard
Is History Repeating? XAUUSD on the Verge of a Breakout!📌 Description:
Gold's price action is aligning with a familiar historical pattern, hinting at a potential breakout. Let’s break it down:
1️⃣ Historical Precedent – Looking back, a similar market structure led to a significant bullish move. Recognizing these patterns can provide an edge in anticipating market behavior.
2️⃣ Recurring Structure – Once again, the chart is shaping up in a way that mirrors past price action. If history is any guide, this could be a pivotal moment.
3️⃣ Bullish Pennant Formation – The current price action suggests the formation of a bullish pennant, a classic continuation pattern. When combined with historical context, the probability of a breakout strengthens.
🔍 Fundamental Factors:
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: Rising tensions and macroeconomic instability continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
- Interest Rate Expectations: With potential shifts in central bank policies, any dovish signals could fuel further upside in XAUUSD.
- Inflation & USD Strength: Any weakness in the dollar or persistent inflation could further support gold’s bullish case.
⚡ Is this the next major move for gold? Let’s discuss! Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Gold reacts to unserious peace talksThe United States and Russia recently held peace talks in Saudi Arabia without Ukraine’s participation. Russian officials did not mention offering any concessions and U.S. officials did not claim to have scored any in Tuesday's meeting.
Adding to the unseriousness of the talks, Donald Trump called Zelensky a “dictator,” and suggested that Ukraine is responsible for the war, echoing obvious Russian talking points.
Gold rose above $2,930 per ounce on Wednesday, just shy of last week’s record high of $2,940.
Technical indicators remain in extreme overbought territory, although extreme geopolitical uncertainty may call for extreme readings for longer. In the near term, the pullback appears corrective, with XAU/USD still holding above all key moving averages on the 4-hour chart.
Gold - This Breakout Will Lead To $5.000!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is preparing a major breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than one and a half decades, Gold has been respecting the structure of a rising channel pattern with one exception. Back in 2010 we saw a bullish breakout followed by a parabolic rally and as we are speaking, Gold is starting to break out of the channel once again.
Levels to watch: $2.900, $5.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Testing Key Resistance at 2,935 - !!XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) – 30-Minute Timeframe Analysis
Current Market Context:
The XAU/USD pair has been in an overall bullish trend, evidenced by the price being positioned above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating the dominance of buyers in the market. However, the price action currently suggests a potential reversal or consolidation at key resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: The price has approached a significant resistance area near 2,935, which has historically served as a reversal zone. The market is currently struggling to maintain bullish momentum at this level, with a recent rejection visible.
Support Zone: A clear support level can be identified around 2,920, where price has previously found buying interest. A break below this could indicate a deeper retracement towards lower levels.
Technical Indicators:
200 EMA: The price is trading above the 200 EMA, which traditionally signals an uptrend. However, the recent pullback suggests the market could be testing this level for support.
Price Action: The formation of lower wicks and the rejection at the resistance zone may suggest waning bullish momentum, which could trigger a pullback or consolidation in the short term.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If the price successfully breaks above the resistance zone (around 2,935), we could expect a continuation towards higher levels, targeting 2,940 or beyond. Confirmation of this move would require a strong close above the resistance with increased volume.
Bearish Reversal: Should the price fail to break above the resistance and begin to show signs of rejection (as seen with the current price action), a potential short-term bearish move could occur. The first target would likely be the support around 2,920, with a deeper retracement towards 2,915 if the market sentiment turns more risk-averse.
Conclusion:
At present, XAU/USD is at a crucial juncture. The key resistance zone at 2,935 is critical for determining the next directional move. A failure to break above this level could lead to a short-term bearish retracement, while a successful breakout would reaffirm the bullish trend. Traders should monitor for price action confirmation near these levels to assess the most probable market direction.
XAUUSD: 3,400 could be the top of this Cycle.Gold is overbought both on its 1W (RSI = 75.261, MACD = 100.240, ADX = 43.694) and 1M (RSI = 79.749) technical outlooks and has entered the final (and perhaps most aggressive) phase of the latest bullish wave. With the 27 year pattern being a Channel Up we can calculate the next high to be within the 3.0 and 3.5 Fibonacci extension levels. Last time the price crossed over the R1 level, it peaked just under the 3.5 Fib. This gives a final target (TP = 3,400) close to the end of 2025.
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