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GOLD corrects in 2 days, still has bullish conditions next weekOANDA:XAUUSD fell as the USD held steady at its highest level in more than 2 weeks. However, the market expects the Federal Reserve will still cut interest rates next week and gold prices still have conditions for a possible increase in price. OANDA:XAUUSD has broken multiple record highs this year, supported by Fed monetary policy, strong central bank buying and safe-haven demand. Traders currently assess a 96% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 17-18 meeting. Focus will also be on Chairman Jerome Powell's comments as market participants analyze US monetary policy in 2025, especially given President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans , is very likely to add to inflation. Central banks often keep interest rates high to curb inflation, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold. Pay special attention to the upcoming Fed interest rate decision The Fed's monetary policy statement next week could be the last major impact for gold this year outside of unforeseen geopolitical surprises. Next Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after a two-day policy meeting. The Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. The Fed will also release a revised Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), known as a Dotplot chart. In September, SEP showed that Fed officials' median forecast for the policy rate at the end of 2025 was 3.4%. If the 2025 interest rate forecast is revised downward, i.e. cutting interest rates by more than 100 basis points, it could have a direct negative impact on the Dollar and this would push gold prices higher. Markets will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. If Powell takes a cautious approach to further policy easing, emphasizing a gradual approach, the dollar is likely to remain strong as it remains supported by President-elect Donald Trump. On the other hand, the US Dollar will come under selling pressure if Powell expresses growing concerns about the cooling labor market and its potential negative impact on the growth outlook. Data next week Next Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revised data on gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter, and next Friday will release the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE). The economic calendar needs attention next week Monday: Empire State manufacturing survey, S&P flash PMI Tuesday: US retail sales Wednesday: Federal Reserve monetary policy decision Thursday: Bank of England monetary policy decision; US weekly unemployment claims; US Q3 GDP, Philly Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey, Existing Home Sales Friday: Personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold closed the week in a crucial position for upside as it still has bullish conditions. Specifically, the daily chart still shows that gold prices maintain activity above EMA21 and above the technical level of 2,644 USD. Note to readers in the previous edition. In addition, the Relative Strength Index decreased but stayed above 50, which does not show any negative signals. In the near term, if gold brings price activity back above the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the conditions to recover more to the $2,676 level in the short term, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci level and the original price point. 2,700 USD. Overall, gold still has a bullish outlook. However, a negative situation is likely to appear once gold breaks below the 0.618% Fibonacci level because it will tend to retest the 0.786% Fibonacci level with a price point of 2,591USD. Therefore, open long positions will need to be protected when this situation occurs. In the coming time, the technical chart of gold prices will be noticed by some notable patterns as follows. Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2684 →Take Profit 1 2673 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2668 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2617 →Take Profit 1 2628 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2633
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold futures: Neutral. Very strong rally Mo-Wednesday just to almost completely reverse and close the week 11 points above the open. Rallies getting stuffed hard now and bulls will only try so many times until we test lower prices. 2630 is the price for bears to break and bulls need anything above 2760 again. It’s much more likely that we close 2024 around 2700. Market has also formed another triangle on the daily/weekly chart, so don’t expect a trending market for the next 3 weeks. Quote from last week: comment : I won’t waste much time with this market this week. Clear triangle and market is in total balance around 2660. Wait for the breakout or play the range. My best guess would be that we both see 2600 and 2700 in the next 3 weeks. comment : Quick and dirty again. Bulls had the perfect setup for 2800+ but blew it. Big bois selling the rips and market formed another triangle. I doubt it will go anywhere in the next 3 weeks. Likely yearly close around 2700. Play the range or don’t trade this at all. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2620 - 2750 bull case: Bulls blew it. The setup from last weeks Friday was perfect and Mo-We we had amazing follow through. Thursday was a huge bear surprise and bulls just gave up on the rally. They got stuffed big time now two times over the past 5 weeks, which makes me believe that there are probably not many more bulls who want to try a third time. Sideways is the most likely and reasonable thing to expect here. Invalidation is below 2630. bear case: Strong bears selling the rips but I don’t expect them to really try and push this below 2600 again. 2630 was huge support the past weeks and even if they print below, they would still have to break through the big bull trend line from August. Invalidation is above 2763. outlook last week: short term: Neutral inside given range. → Last Sunday we traded 2659 and now we are at 2675. Market went much higher than expected but nowhere on the week, so outlook was ok. short term: Neutral inside given range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-07 : No bigger opinion on this for the rest of 2024. Market is in balance until we see a new impulse. Likely close around 2700. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down. Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move. Trade safely and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Gold Technical Analysis: Volatility Ahead of Fed Rate DecisionGold Technical Analysis The market will remain volatile this week due to the impact of Fed Rate Decision and GDP data. Gold's direction will hinge on these events, particularly the Fed's stance on interest rates. Bearish Scenario: Continuation Conditions: - Price needs to stabilize below 2653 (Pivot Point). - A further breakdown and 1H or 4H candle close below 2638 will open the door to 2623. - Bearish momentum could strengthen further if the Fed rate remains at 4.75% or signals a hawkish stance. Bullish Scenario: Continuation Conditions: - A rate cut of 25 bps by the Fed will support bullish sentiment, driving prices upward. - Price needs to break and hold above 2653, targeting resistance levels at 2665, 2678, and 2690. Key Levels Pivot Point: 2653 Resistance Levels: 2665, 2678, 2690 Support Levels: 2638, 2623, 2612 Trend Outlook - Bearish: If the price stabilizes below 2653 and key support levels break. - Volatile: Driven by the Fed's decision and market reaction to GDP data. Summary - Bearish Trigger: Close below 2638, targeting 2623 and potentially 2612. - Bullish Trigger: Fed cuts rates by 25 bps, and price breaks above 2653, aiming for 2665 and higher levels. previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from. Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now! Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities. Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.
by PipSurfingSociety
Falling towards overlap support?COPPER is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 4.1153 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 4.0489 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 4.2065 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:COPPERLong
by VantageMarkets
GOLD - Price can little fall and then bounce up to $2690 levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to decline from resistance line, breaking $2690 level, and fell to $2535 points, breaking $2605 level too. Then price turned around and started to grow inside wedge, where it broke resistance line and soon reached $2605 level. Price broke this level and rose to resistance line of wedge, after which made a correction to support level. Next, price some time traded and then fell to support line of wedge, after which made upward impulse. Gold rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking $2690 level, but recently it turned around and fell to support line. Now, I think that Gold can fall little below support line of wedge and then bounce up to $2690 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
8
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 16 - Dec 20]At the beginning of this week, OANDA:XAUUSD quite strongly from 2,627 USD/oz to 2,726 USD/oz, but then dropped sharply to 2,645 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,648 USD/oz. The reason why international gold prices increased sharply in the first sessions of this week was because investors reacted to the fact that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) returned to buying 5 tons of gold in November after many months of temporarily stopping buying. reserve gold. Even with the six-month hiatus, the PBoC bought 34 tons of gold this year and remains one of the top central banks buying gold in 2024. However, gold currently accounts for less than 6% of China's total foreign exchange reserves. This shows that the PBoC's room to continue buying gold reserves is still very large, especially when US-China tensions are increasingly escalating when President-elect Donald Trump threatens to impose very high tariffs on China. However, after rising to 2,726 USD/oz earlier this week, gold prices once again fell sharply because US inflation remained persistent, affecting expectations of the FED's monetary easing cycle. While the decision on FED monetary policy will receive more attention next Wednesday, the gold market will also receive important economic data that can impact the FED's monetary easing cycle, such as retail sales, revised third quarter GDP of the US... 📌Technically, the gold price still maintains an uptrend on the Daily technical chart, as the price is still above the EMA89 moving average. However, on the H4 chart, the movement of the moving average shows that the price is accumulating sideways, the resistance area to pay attention to is around the 2725 mark, while the important support zone is around the round resistance mark of 2600. In the coming week Many influential information can cause gold prices to fluctuate strongly beyond this sideways range. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2751 - 2749⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2575
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2666and a gap below at 2645. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2666 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2666 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2682 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2697 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2697 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2719 BEARISH TARGETS 2645 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2645 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2628 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2628 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2606 - 2586 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
28
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing ema5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2693 and a gap below at 2656, which is already done with candle body close but need ema5 to cross and lock below to confirm the move further down. Weighted Goldturns will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2693 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2693 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2726 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2765 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2765 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2795 BEARISH TARGETS 2656- DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2656 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2613 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2613 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2561 - 2519 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range. After completing a nice run of bull targets over the last few months, we last updated this chart stating we were playing between two weighted levels 2629 and 2686 and 2629 was still providing support with no ema5 lock below leaving a the gap open again at 2686. 2686 was hit again last week completing this target one again with no further lock above 2686 confirming the rejection for the move down. We will continue to see play between 2629 and 2686 until we see a break with ema5 lock to confirm the next range. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on our monthly chart idea for our long term/range analysis that we last updated last week on month start. Last week we stated that this month also started with a detachment to ema5 below for a correction, which was nearly completed and can be pulled up to complete, also highlighted with a small mini circle on the charts for visual purpose. - This detachment to ema5 was completed perfectly. We also stated that the area above 2589 is a strong level of support with ema5 providing dynamic support now for a bounce. - This also played out perfectly with ema5 providing dynamic support and above our 2589 support level for the push up, perfectly hitting our axis target 2702. We will wait for month end to look for a body close above 2702for a further continuation or if momentum allows to compete the axis targets above before hand. However, we will keep in mind the channel top that may require a support test. We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
SILVER IS BULLISH TO $34!Silver Long / buy idea On high timeframes monthly & weekly silver is bullish and currently at a higher low which also aligns very nicely with a strong support level which is being rejected. On the daily timeframe the SMA's have crossed and the market does look to have pulled back and is currently rejected that price level which is good confluence that the trend is changing on the lower time frames to a bullish trend, which again is confluence of a bullish market due to the overall trend being bullish as shown on higher time frames On the daily & 4hr the fib also aligns very nicely with other technical factors, the market has touched the 61.8% retracement level and looks to be rejecting that area. The fib gives a target price of $34 which is slightly under the ATH. I would st stop at around $29 to give some protection from the support level, if price does pull back down then the support is there to act as a barrier to rebound the market and stop us from bing stopped out. 1:4 RR on this trade with a potential 12% ROI.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by h77nry
GBPUSD - Nothing Can Stop It, It's All The Way Up!Here we have the monthly chart for GBPUSD. GBPUSD 'recently' completed a major ending diagonal. We know this as it was a 5 wave pattern in the form of a wedge. Now that the bottom is in, we're expecting multiyear bullish price action. Wave 1 can be an impulse or a leading diagonal. For GBPUSD, we are seeing a clear leading diagonal pattern = 5 waves. We are anticipating one final move up to complete wave 1 and then we'll be seeing a wave 2 correction (as shown in the chart) Trade Idea: Trading the 5th wave of the Leading Diagonal - Watch for bullish price action to appear - Confirmations such as trendline break or BOS can be used to gain an entry - Once entered, put stops below wave 4 - Target: 1.36 (1,100pips) Once wave 1 leading diagonal is complete, we'll be back with an update! If this post gets enough engagement, we'll post lower timeframe charts. Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
3
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 2689.1 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 2657.2 Safe Stop Loss - 2708.9 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2648.6 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2675.4 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
The Importance of Stop Loss and Emotional Discipline in TradingThe Importance of Stop Loss and Emotional Discipline in Trading “The market doesn’t care about your emotions; it follows its own rules.” One of the most critical aspects of successful trading is setting a stop loss and sticking to it. Here's why: Protect Your Capital Trading without a stop loss is like driving without brakes. A stop loss helps limit your losses and keeps your trading capital safe for future opportunities. Stay Disciplined Many traders make the mistake of moving their stop loss further away out of fear of being stopped out. This is a slippery slope that can lead to even larger losses. Stick to your plan, no matter what. Remove Emotions from Trading Fear and greed are your worst enemies. By predefining your stop loss, you eliminate emotional decision-making in the heat of the moment. Focus on Risk Management Before entering a trade, always ask yourself: What’s my risk-reward ratio? How much am I willing to lose if the trade goes against me? Learn to Accept Losses Losses are a natural part of trading. A stop loss isn’t a failure; it’s a tool to protect you and keep you in the game for the long term. Key Tip: Never remove your stop loss hoping the market will “come back.” Hope is not a strategy—discipline and planning are. Let your emotions stay out of your trades. Protect your capital, trade your plan, and let the market do the rest.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by WaveRiders2
1