Metals
Gold (XAU/USD) Holds Above $3,000, But Momentum Slowing?Gold prices are holding firm above $3,000, with the metal last trading near $3,021.80, up 0.33% on the day. The broader trend remains bullish, supported by an ascending trendline and the 50-day SMA around $2,881, but price action has flattened out in recent sessions.
🔹 MACD is still above zero, but fading slightly—momentum may be cooling.
🔹 RSI at 65.63 is elevated but no longer overbought.
🔹 Price remains well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the uptrend.
Support Zones:
$2,960 (trendline support)
$2,880 (50-day SMA)
Resistance:
$3,040 (recent swing high)
$3,100+ psychological level
Gold remains in an uptrend, but the bulls may need a catalyst to extend the rally meaningfully from here. Watch for a trendline break or momentum divergence as early warning signs.
-MW
Staying above $3,000, risk cools but still supports GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD prices corrected lower and then recovered slightly, maintaining price action above the $3,000 flat level, which is an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, as US President Trump eased his stance on imposing tariffs on trade partners and market risk appetite increased significantly, putting pressure on safe-haven assets such as gold. In addition, gold prices were also dragged down by the US Dollar hitting a more than two-week high.
OANDA:XAUUSD prices have hit a record high 16 times this year, reaching an all-time high of $3,057.21/oz last week.
Trump May Exempt Some Countries from Tariffs, Wall Street Optimistic
Trading sentiment on Wall Street was positive as US President Trump suggested a partial delay in some tariffs originally scheduled to be imposed on April 2.
According to the Wall Street Journal, US President Trump said he may reduce retaliatory tariffs scheduled to be imposed on US trading partners next month and some countries may be exempted.
According to Bloomberg, US President Trump announced on April 2 that he would impose tariffs on specific countries instead of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. These measures target the so-called “Dirty 15” trading partners.
Trump’s tariff policy stance has shown signs of softening, easing investors’ concerns about the risk of a global trade war.
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe investment during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged last week, signaling the possibility of two 25-basis-point cuts this year.
U.S. and Russian officials are holding talks in Saudi Arabia in hopes of making progress on a broad ceasefire in Ukraine. Washington also hopes to negotiate a separate maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea before reaching a broader agreement.
Overall, the market is showing some signs of cooling down, providing the possibility of a correction for gold prices after a long period of consecutive increases. However, in terms of the overall market picture, gold is still fundamentally on the rise, as potential risks still appear frequently and any unexpected impact from geopolitical and trade risks will also cause gold prices to increase strongly.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold corrects lower but remains fixed above the base price of 3,000 USD, which is noted as an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, sent to readers in the previous issue.
In the short term, the upside target is around 3,021 USD, the price point of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension, once this level is broken on gold, it can continue to increase with the target of 3,051 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high then the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
Overall, as long as gold remains within the price channel, above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, the current price declines should only be considered as a short-term correction without changing the main trend.
During the day, the technical uptrend of gold will be focused again as follows.
Support: 3,000 – 2,977 USD
Resistance: 3,021 – 3,051 – 3,057 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3037 - 3035⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3041
→Take Profit 1 3029
↨
→Take Profit 2 3023
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2978 - 2980⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2974
→Take Profit 1 2986
↨
→Take Profit 2 2992
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3028.77
Stop Loss - 3035.59
Take Profit - 3013.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold - Short Term Sell Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 20th I shared this idea "Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Lower"
We expected to see retraces and further continuation lower. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-25-25 : Top PatternToday's Top Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will find resistance slightly above yesterday's closing price level and attempt to roll over into a bearish price trend.
Watch today's video to see which levels I believe will be the top for the SPY & QQQ.
I do expect metals to rally over the next 3+ weeks and I'm watching for this morning's bounce to carry onward and upward.
Bitcoin should be rolling downward off that FWB:88K top level I predicted months ago.
We are moving into a topping phase - so get ready for the markets to attempt to ROLL DOWNWARD over the next 5+ trading days into a deeper low price level.
Get some.
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XAUUSD: 25/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3025, support below 2999
Gold news analysis: On Monday, boosted by the news that the next round of US tariffs will be more moderate, the gold price was trading around 3,030 in the US market, but as economic data hinted at the hidden risks of tariffs, the gold price fluctuated sharply, falling more than $15 in the short term. The latest data released on Monday showed that the initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March was 49.8, a three-month low. The initial value of the US S&P Global Services PMI in March was 54.3, a three-month high. The initial value of the US S&P Global Composite PMI in March was 53.5, a three-month high. Although the market remains vigilant about the geopolitical reshaping that Trump may cause and the impact of tariffs, investors continue to pour into the gold market for risk aversion. Since 2025, the price of gold has risen by about 15% and fell below the $3,000 mark for the first time. According to informed officials, the Trump administration's tariff plan may be more targeted rather than the comprehensive, global taxation previously envisioned. This adjustment is expected to ease inflationary pressure and increase the room for future interest rate cuts, which is good news for gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions yesterday and fell under pressure at the 3033 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 3020 mark and reached near the 3002 mark. The daily chart closed with an adjustment decline for three consecutive trading days.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3025 and the four-hour level 3038, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 2999. Overall, rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3025near SL: 3030
Sell: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small size transactions to avoid risks
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection Expected fThis chart represents an analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Below is a breakdown of the key elements:
Key Observations:
Downtrend Formation
The price is trading within a downward channel, marked by two descending trendlines.
The overall trend appears bearish, indicating potential further declines.
Supply Zone (Resistance) Around $3,025 - $3,030
The price is approaching this key resistance area.
If the price fails to break above, it could lead to a rejection and continuation of the downtrend.
Demand Zone (Support) Around $3,000 - $3,006
This is the target area where buyers may step in to support the price.
A downward move towards this zone is anticipated.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
A rejection from the supply zone is expected to push the price downward.
The final target is the demand zone near $3,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The price is currently in a downtrend, with the expectation of a rejection from resistance and a move toward the lower support zone.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for price action signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlesticks, to confirm the downward move
GOLD to turnaround?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support at 3030 now becomes resistance.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Bearish Inverted Hammer Bottom on the Daily chart.
A higher correction is expected.
The RSI is trending lower.
We look to Sell at 3029.5 (stop at 3050.2)
Our profit targets will be 2970.2 and 2960.2
Resistance: 3020.8 / 3033.3 / 3047.4
Support: 3014.5 / 2999.3 / 2978.4
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XAU/USD: First Long, Then SHORT! (PLEASE READ THE CAPTION)Gold's 2-hour chart shows that the price successfully reached a new high of $3057 today before retracing to $3025. Currently, gold is trading around $3037, and I expect a short-term push towards $3049 before looking for a trigger to potentially ride a correction down to targets below $3022. Stay tuned—this analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold (XAU/USD)– Bearish Setup Against the Main Trend (High Risk)hello guys.
In this 4-hour chart, we can see a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. The price has broken below the neckline of the pattern, suggesting a potential downside move. Additionally, the price is currently trading inside a descending channel, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Bearish Scenario
A potential pullback to the upper boundary of the descending channel (around $3,030-$3,035) could serve as a selling opportunity.
The first target for the decline is around $3,000, a psychological level and previous support.
If momentum continues downward, the price could drop further to $2,962-$2,965, which aligns with strong historical support.
in higher timeframe:
The volume has noticeably declined towards the end of this uptrend, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum. As prices reach new highs, the decreasing volume suggests that buyers are becoming exhausted, which often precedes a correction or reversal. This divergence between price action and volume indicates that the recent upward movement may not be sustainable, increasing the likelihood of a pullback in the near term.
Why This Trade is Super Risky?
Main Trend is Bullish – The overall market structure remains in an uptrend, so this short setup is against the major trend.
Liquidity & Buyer Pressure – The price could find strong buying pressure around $3,000, leading to a false breakdown.
Risk Management is Crucial – If entering a short position, risk should be minimal, with a tight stop-loss above $3,035-$3,040 to prevent excessive losses in case of invalidation.
📌 Conclusion:
This setup offers a potential short trade, but high caution is needed due to the bullish macro trend. Entering with low risk and tight stops is essential to manage exposure. If the price breaks above the descending channel, the bearish idea is invalidated.
Silver H1 | Falling to swing-low supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.85 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 32.54 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 33.56 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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DeGRAM | GOLD decline from the retracement levelGOLD is under an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance.
The chart maintains a descending structure and reacts downward on reaching the 50% retracement level.
We expect the decline to continue.
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Tariff Fears Drive Silver to $33.10Silver rose above $33.10 per ounce on Tuesday, snapping a four-day losing streak. The market focused on U.S. diplomatic efforts in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating violence in the Middle East after an Israeli airstrike on a Gaza hospital.
A weaker U.S. dollar also supported silver, with concerns growing that Trump’s proposed tariffs could slow economic growth, fueling speculation of further Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, investors assessed China’s outlook after Premier Li Qiang urged global cooperation to stabilize economic conditions.
If silver breaks above $33.75, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases.
Gold Nears $3,010, PCE in FocusGold hovered around $3,010 per ounce after three straight losses as markets observed Trump’s mixed tariff signals. He suggested possible levies on cars and Venezuelan oil but hinted some countries may be exempt from next week’s reciprocal tariffs, creating uncertainty.
Gold remained supported, though pressure came from Fed official Raphael Bostic, who forecast slower inflation progress and just one 25bps rate cut this year. Friday’s PCE data is now awaited for more clues on the Fed’s next move.
+250 pips EURUSD XABCD Short From Resistance ADVANCED🔸Hello traders, let's review the 12 hour chart for EURUSD. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/B.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 1140 point A 0240 point B 0935 point C 0425 point D/PRZ 1390 still pending. C also pending.
🔸Advanced short from point B targeting point C of the sequence.
Higher risk trade setup, use protective SL and adjust to PE at +50 pips.
🔸Recommended strategy for EUR traders: short sell rips / short sell
at market now, target is +250 pips or point C of the XABCD structure.
Later will update the setup for the BULLS for a potential ride to 1390.
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XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Holds with Breakout PotentialXAU/USD closed its third straight bullish week, with price testing Tuesday’s low before rebounding and closing near the 50% mark of the weekly range. Despite a brief dip, the candle closed above last week’s high, showing continued strength. A breakout above the 3,000 level raises the potential for further gains, especially if the market opens with a gap up.
On the daily timeframe, Friday's candle recovered after early weakness, resembling a previous pullback seen earlier this month. With a 1.90% retracement, the structure suggests possible upward continuation. The market is currently moving sideways within Friday’s range, hovering around the 3,030 key level.
While high-impact news could cause volatility, any pullback toward the 3,000 support zone—aligned with the trendline and previous week’s high—may offer buying opportunities. A breakout from the inside bar pattern forming on the daily chart could target the 3075 resistance zone
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,314.3
Target Level: 3,276.5
Stop Loss: 3,339.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,998.31
1st Support: 2,954.94
1st Resistance: 3,051.82
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Gold Trend for Today : 25th March '25On Tuesday, March 25, 2025, I don’t have real-time market data to confirm the exact trend for gold (XAUUSD) today, but I can analyze the levels you’ve provided—upper resistance at 3035–3060 and a downward trend toward 3000 and 2960—based on available context, recent forecasts, and sentiment.
Current Drivers:
Bearish Pressure: A stronger USD (possibly tied to Trump’s tariff rhetoric, per News18) and reduced safe-haven flows if geopolitical tensions ease could push gold lower today. X sentiment notes a “fluctuating upward trend” turning into a high adjustment, hinting at consolidation or a dip.
Bullish Counter: Industrial demand and central bank buying (World Gold Council: 1,000+ tons in 2024, accelerating in Q4) might limit the downside, keeping 3000 as a floor unless a major catalyst shifts sentiment.
Conclusion
Gold’s trend today, per your levels, suggests a bearish tilt: testing resistance at 3035–3060 and moving toward 3000, potentially 2960 if support fails.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, forming a gap up on the daily chart. It showed a strong, one-directional rebound up to the 5-week moving average on the weekly chart.
Since the 5-week MA overlaps with the 60-week MA, it's unlikely to break through easily without a short-term correction.
On the daily chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, meaning that even if a pullback occurs, the strategy should remain buy-on-dip oriented.
There is still an open gap down to 19,960, which could be filled at any time—so it's important to consider the possibility of a retest of that level. If the gap is filled, that area could be a good support zone to buy from.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum entered around the zero line, confirming a breakout after basing in a range. Therefore, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred approach in this structure.
Crude Oil
Crude oil continued its upward move, closing higher on the daily chart.
With strong support around the $68 level, the market could potentially rise toward the $70 zone, and possibly test resistance between $70–$71, which is a key area to watch closely.
Overall, traders should continue to buy on dips, but be cautious with chasing long positions above $70. If taking short positions, they should be managed with tight stop-losses.
On the 240-minute chart, oil appears to be in the midst of a third wave rally, so any short positions should be considered above $70, while buying pullbacks remains valid.
Current Middle East tensions and U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil are contributing to a supply risk premium in oil prices.
Since the market is recovering from the lows and showing a positive technical setup, short trades should be managed carefully with proper risk control.
Gold
Gold closed lower, remaining within its range-bound structure. On the daily chart, gold is currently trading between the 3-day and 5-day MAs above, and the 10-day MA below, forming a narrow consolidation zone. This makes sell-at-highs and buy-at-lows strategies effective.
Since there's room for a pullback to the 5-week MA on the weekly chart, chasing longs is not advised. If the MACD crosses below the signal line, this could create a bearish divergence, leading to potential sharp downside, so caution is warranted.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is failing to break above the signal line and continues to decline. However, since the signal line remains above the zero line, a rebound attempt is likely, even if the MACD dips below zero.
Given the current slope and distance, it's unlikely that a golden cross will form soon. Also, traders should keep in mind that major economic data such as GDP and PCE reports are scheduled later this week, which could influence market direction.
If you can understand the daily chart structure, you can better anticipate intraday high/low ranges and potential wave patterns. Make it a habit to perform thorough daily chart analysis each day, and prepare a trading scenario that suits the market’s behavior. As always, questions are welcome.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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gold! with its enchanting shimmerAh, gold! 🤩 My dear friend, the darling of everyone, with its enchanting shimmer. ✨ Currently trading around $3,010, gold has shown a remarkable respect for Fibonacci levels, reacting logically to each one. 📈 It's like watching a carefully choreographed dance, where every step is precise and calculated. 💃
Personally, I'm seeing a selling opportunity here, with the first target at $2,971. 📉 While I can't say exactly when, it could be within a few days, or perhaps a bit longer. Time will tell! ⏳
Now, folks, remember to trade safely! 🛡️ Strict adherence to risk and capital management is crucial. These markets can be unpredictable, and we need to protect our investments. 💼
And a friendly reminder: this is not financial advice! 🙏 Please, please, please do your own research before making any decisions. Knowledge is power, and in the world of trading, it's your best ally. 🧠 Always be responsible and informed! 🧐