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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-1 : Bottom-104Today's Bottom pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move downward - trying to find support. Even though it may appear my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern will not happen as I expect - this is a very good lesson for traders. I'm not 100% accurate all the time. Sometimes, the markets do things that are not aligned with my research/patterns and sometimes the markets can be far more irrational than traders expect. For example, I believe this current rally is more of a speculative rally in the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD. There is nothing I'm seeing in the Crash Index (or TRAN) to support this upward price move other than traders attempting to "buy the dip". Ultimately, I believe the current contraction in the global economy based on policies, tariffs and economic disruptions will continue to drive a consolidation, basing type of price trend, traders are buying into this dip and attempting to drive price upward on expectations of a growing global economy. Time will tell how things play out - but my longer-term modeling systems are still Bearish. I will be on the road with my father today - so I'm not going to be as available to answer questions. Watch this video twice if you need to. It will be interesting to see how the next 5+ days in the markets play out. As I stated, I'm not 100% accurate all the time. I do my best to try to help guide all of you through these market trends with my research and cycle patterns - but, that is not enough to guarantee 100% accuracy on any trade. That's just how it is in the world. No one is 100% perfect at predicting market moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
20
SILVER Is Very Bearish! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,304.4. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,212.0 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Dollar Doomsayers Are Dead Wrong: Why USD Will Crush It in 2025.Road To a Million fam! It’s your boy, back from the wilderness after a hiatus that felt longer than a bear market in a crypto crash. I’m pumped to be here, ready to drop some truth bombs, dissect the markets, and—most importantly—help us all make some serious bank. Buckle up, because there’s a ton to unpack, and we’re diving headfirst into the biggest elephant in the room: the U.S. dollar (USD). Spoiler alert: it’s not dead, it’s not even close to dead, and anyone saying otherwise is probably shorting it while crying into their latte. Let’s get into it! The Dollar Drama: What’s the Deal? If you’ve been anywhere near a financial newsfeed in 2025, you’ve heard the doomsday choir singing, “The dollar is done! Kaput! Finito!” The Dollar Index (DXY) is down 8% this year, and the Twitter (sorry, X) finance bros are out here proclaiming the end of the greenback’s reign as the world’s reserve currency. They’re screaming about de-dollarization, BRICS taking over, and gold mooning like it’s 1971. Meanwhile, I’m over here sipping my coffee, looking at the charts, and laughing. Why? Because the dollar’s obituary is the most exaggerated piece of fan fiction since Twilight. Let’s cut through the noise and get to the meat. The USD has taken a beating, sure, but an 8% drop in a year doesn’t mean it’s packing its bags and moving to the Bahamas. The dollar is still the king of global trade, the backbone of international commerce, and the currency you need if you’re, say, India buying oil from Saudi Arabia. No one’s trading rupees for barrels, folks. They’re selling rupees, buying dollars, and getting that black gold. That’s the reality, and it’s not changing anytime soon. So, why the panic? Why is everyone acting like the dollar’s about to be replaced by Dogecoin or a shiny new BRICS coin? Let’s break it down, roast the naysayers, and then talk about how we’re gonna make money off this drama. Because, let’s be real, that’s why you’re here. Why the Dollar’s Down (But Not Out) First, let’s address why the DXY is down 8% in 2025. The Dollar Index, for those new to the game, measures the USD against a basket of major currencies—56% euros, plus some GBP, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, and a sprinkle of others. It’s like a currency Thunderdome: one dollar enters, a bunch of others try to take it down. When the DXY drops, it means the USD is weakening relative to these currencies. But why? Interest Rate Shenanigans: Central banks are the puppet masters of forex markets, and their interest rate moves are like plot twists in a soap opera. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points to 4.25–4.5% on December 18, 2024, signaling a slightly dovish stance. Meanwhile, the Eurozone slashed its rate to 2.25% on April 17, 2025. That’s a 2% differential in favor of the U.S., which is huge in forex land. But the market’s been spooked by the Fed’s cut, thinking it’s the start of a softening cycle, while other central banks (like the ECB) are also cutting, creating a weird global rate limbo. Inflation Tug-of-War: Inflation in the U.S. is at 2.4%, while the Eurozone’s at 2.2%. That means U.S. investors are getting a real return of about 2% (4.25% interest minus 2.4% inflation), while Eurozone investors are basically breaking even (2.25% minus 2.2% inflation). Money flows where it’s treated best, and right now, the U.S. is the VIP lounge. But short-term traders are freaking out over inflation fears and potential rate cuts, which has pressured the USD. Trump’s Tariff Tantrums: Oh, Donald. The man’s back in the White House, tweeting (X-ing?) up a storm about “Making America Great Again” with tariffs left, right, and center. His trade war threats—10–20% tariffs on imports, 60% on Chinese goods—have markets jittery. A stronger dollar could make U.S. exports pricier, so some traders are betting on a weaker USD to balance things out. Spoiler: I think they’re wrong, and I’ll explain why later. De-Dollarization Hype: The BRICS bloc (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and friends) has been pushing for a non-USD trade system, with talks of a new currency or gold-backed system. This has fueled the “dollar is doomed” narrative. But let’s be real: a BRICS coin? Good luck getting China and India to agree on anything, let alone a unified currency. And gold? It’s ripping higher (more on that later), but it’s not replacing the USD for global trade anytime soon. So, yeah, the dollar’s been punched in the face a few times this year. But it’s like Rocky Balboa—it’s taken worse beatings and still comes out swinging. The question is: Is this the end of the dollar’s dominance, or is it just warming up for a comeback? Let’s look at the big picture. The Dollar Ain’t Going Anywhere (Here’s Why) Listen up, because this is where I get on my soapbox and preach. The dollar is not dead. It’s not even on life support. If anything, it’s doing push-ups in the gym, getting ready to flex on the haters. Here’s why I’m so bullish on the USD, and why you should be too. 1. The Reserve Currency Superpower The USD is the world’s reserve currency, and that’s not just a fancy title—it’s a superpower. Over 88% of global transactions (SWIFT data, 2024) are settled in USD. When Russia wants to sell gas to China, they often price it in dollars. When Brazil buys soybeans from Argentina, guess what? Dollars. Even countries with beef against the U.S. (looking at you, Iran) hold USD reserves because it’s the only currency universally accepted for trade. Why does this matter? Because every country needs USD to play in the global sandbox. India’s not paying Canada for oil in rupees. They’re converting to USD or dipping into their dollar reserves. This creates constant demand for the greenback, and that demand isn’t vanishing overnight. Could it fade in a decade? Maybe. But in 2025? No chance. And let’s talk alternatives. Bitcoin? Ha! It’s a speculative asset, not a stable currency for trade. Gold? It’s mooning (up 25% in 2025, per Bloomberg), but you’re not paying for a tanker of crude with gold bars. A BRICS currency? Good luck getting 10+ countries with conflicting agendas to agree on a logo, let alone a monetary policy. The USD’s reserve status is a fortress, and it’s not crumbling anytime soon. 2. Interest Rate Domination Let’s talk money—specifically, where it flows. The U.S. has a Fed funds rate of 4.25–4.5%, while the Eurozone’s at 2.25%. That’s a 2% gap, which is like the Grand Canyon in forex terms. If you’re an investor, where are you parking your cash? In the U.S., where you’re earning a 2% real return (4.25% minus 2.4% inflation), or in the Eurozone, where you’re getting a big fat zero (2.25% minus 2.2% inflation)? This is why the Eurozone’s in trouble. The ECB’s stuck in a trap—low rates to prop up struggling economies like Spain and Italy, but that makes the euro less attractive. Meanwhile, the U.S. is the cool kid at the party, attracting capital like moths to a flame. And don’t forget: the Eurozone’s a mess of 20 countries with one monetary policy but wildly different fiscal policies. Spain’s productivity isn’t Germany’s, no matter what the ECB pretends. The euro’s gonna weaken against the USD, mark my words. 3. Trump’s Dollar Rocket Fuel Love him or hate him, Trump’s policies are about to light a fire under the USD. His “America First” agenda includes bringing manufacturing back to the U.S., which means building factories from scratch. Those factories need raw materials—steel, copper, you name it. And guess what currency they’ll use to buy that stuff? Ding, ding, ding—USD! Plus, Trump’s tariffs (10–20% on imports, 60% on China, per Reuters) will reduce U.S. imports, meaning fewer dollars flowing out of the country. But foreign countries still need USD to repay their dollar-denominated debts (global USD debt is $13 trillion, per the BIS). Less USD supply, same demand? That’s a recipe for a stronger dollar. Trump’s shaking markets like a toddler with a snow globe, but in this case, it’s bullish for the USD. 4. Contrarian Goldmine Here’s a little trading wisdom: when everyone’s screaming the same thing, they’re usually wrong. Right now, 99% of the finance world (or at least the loud ones on X) is saying the dollar’s toast. That kind of extreme sentiment is a red flag. Markets love to screw over the crowd, and when everyone’s shorting the USD, it means the bottom is either in or damn close. I’m calling it: the DXY’s either bottomed already or will soon, probably around 97. When sentiment’s this bearish, it’s like the market’s handing you a gift-wrapped opportunity. And I’m not about to let it pass. The Charts Don’t Lie: DXY Technical Breakdown Alright, enough macro talk—let’s get to the fun stuff: charts. I’ve been staring at these squiggly lines for 20+ years, and they’re telling me the USD’s about to go on a tear. Let’s break it down, from the big picture to the nitty-gritty. Long-Term View: The 20-Year Monthly Chart Zoom out, fam. When in doubt, zoom out. I’m looking at the DXY on a monthly chart, going back to 2005. Each candle is one month, and the trend is crystal clear: up. The DXY’s been cruising in an ascending channel for two decades, like a train chugging along at 200 miles an hour. Sure, it’s hit some bumps—2008, 2011, 2020—but the direction’s undeniable. Right now, the DXY’s sitting around 100, down from its 2024 highs. But it’s still within that bullish channel. I’m drawing trendlines here: a lower trendline connecting the lows (around 97–98) and an upper trendline around 120–125. The price is hugging the lower end, which screams “buying opportunity” to me. My big-picture call? The DXY’s heading to 115–117 by late 2026 or early 2027, maybe even sooner (Jan 2026, anyone?). Why? Because a 20-year trend doesn’t reverse overnight. The dollar’s not dying—it’s just taking a breather before the next leg up. If you disagree, hit the comments. Let’s duke it out. Short-Term View: The 4-Hour Chart Now, let’s zoom in to the 4-hour chart for the past couple of months. The short-term trend’s been down, no question—DXY’s been sliding like a kid on a waterslide. But here’s where it gets juicy: I’m seeing a textbook inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. For the newbies, that’s a bullish reversal pattern, and it’s already played out like a charm. Pattern Breakdown: The left shoulder formed in early April, the head hit a low around April 10, and the right shoulder wrapped up by April 21. The neckline (resistance) was around 99.8–100, and guess what? The DXY broke it like a champ. Trendline Break: On top of that, the DXY smashed through a short-term downtrend line, confirming the bullish vibes. RSI Divergence: Check the Relative Strength Index (RSI). From April 10 to April 21, the price made lower lows, but the RSI was making higher lows. That’s a classic bullish divergence, screaming, “The momentum’s shifting!” We jumped in when the trendline broke, and boom—profits are rolling in. Price Targets and Trading Plan Here’s the game plan, fam. The DXY’s already broken the neckline, so we’re in. Now, we’re watching these levels: Immediate Target: 100.28 The DXY needs to close above 100.28 by the weekend (May 2–3, 2025). If it does, it’s go time. I’m telling you, go all in (responsibly, of course). This level’s key because it’s a minor resistance from prior price action. A close above it confirms the breakout. Next Target: 103–103.5 This is the big one. The 103 zone is a major inflection point—tons of price action and clutter from earlier this year. If the DXY breaks 100.28, it’s got a clear path to 103. Expect some resistance around 100.27 (a support-turned-resistance level), but once it clears that, it’s smooth sailing to 103. Probability: I’m giving this an 80% chance of heading higher, 20% chance of a pullback. Those are odds I’ll take any day. Long-Term Goal: If the DXY follows its 20-year channel, we’re looking at 115–117 by 2026–2027. That’s not a pipe dream—that’s history repeating itself. Trading Tip: We’re already positioned from the trendline break. If 100.28 breaks, scale up. If it pulls back to 97 (the lower trendline), that’s a dream buy zone. But don’t get caught in the daily noise—Trump’s tweets, CPI reports, whatever. Focus on the big picture. Gold, Tariffs, and Trump: The Side Characters I know you’re itching to talk gold, tariffs, and Trump’s wild ride. I’m saving the deep dive for another post (stay tuned!), but here’s the quick and dirty. Gold: Gold’s up 25% in 2025 (Bloomberg), and everyone’s like, “See? Dollar’s dead!” Nah, fam. Gold’s ripping because of tariff fears, geopolitical chaos, and central banks hoarding it like Smaug. It’s not a dollar killer—it’s just doing its own thing. We’ll break it down soon. Tariffs: Trump’s tariff plans (10–20% on imports, 60% on China) are shaking markets. They’ll make imports pricier, reduce USD outflows, and boost domestic demand for dollars. Bullish for USD, bearish for emerging markets. More on this later. Trump: The man’s a market wrecking ball. He’s out here calling for lower rates one day, tariffs the next, and probably tweeting about aliens by Friday. But his manufacturing push and tariff policies are USD rocket fuel. Ignore the noise—focus on the policy. Why You Should Care (And How to Profit) Look, I get it. You’re not here for a PhD in economics—you’re here to make money. So, why should you care about the USD? Because it’s the backbone of the forex market, and where the DXY goes, opportunities follow. A stronger dollar means: Forex Trades: Go long USD/EUR, USD/JPY, or even USD/CAD. The euro’s toast with that 2.25% rate, and the yen’s stuck in Japan’s low-rate purgatory (0.25%, per BOJ). Stock Market Impact: A stronger USD could pressure U.S. multinationals (exports get pricier) but boost domestic firms. Think Walmart, not Apple. Commodities: Oil and metals (priced in USD) could dip as the dollar rises. Short crude if you’re feeling spicy. Emerging Markets: Countries with USD debt (like Turkey or Argentina) are gonna feel the heat. Avoid their currencies like the plague. Here’s how we’re playing it at Edge-Forex: Long DXY: We’re in at the trendline break, scaling up if 100.28 breaks. Target 103, then 115 long-term. Risk Management: Keep stops tight below 99.5 (short-term) or 97 (long-term). Don’t bet the farm—markets love surprises. Stay Nimble: Watch for Fed signals, ECB moves, or Trump’s next X rant. We’ll adjust as needed. The Big Picture: Don’t Get Lost in the Noise I know it’s tempting to get sucked into the daily drama—Trump’s latest outburst, a hot CPI print, or some X influencer shilling a “dollar crash” thesis. But trading’s about cutting through the noise. Zoom out. Look at the 20-year DXY chart. Look at the interest rate gap. Look at the USD’s reserve status. The dollar’s not going anywhere, and it’s about to remind everyone why it’s the boss. My advice? Get out of the short-term clutter. Stop refreshing X every five minutes. Focus on the trends that matter: central bank rates, capital flows, and technical setups. The DXY’s setting up for a monster move, and we’re gonna ride it like surfers on a tsunami. Wrapping It Up: Let’s Make Some Freaking Money Alright, Edge-Forex fam, that’s the deal. The dollar’s not dead—it’s just been napping, and it’s about to wake up with a vengeance. The DXY’s forming a bottom, the charts are screaming “buy,” and the macro setup (rates, Trump, reserve status) is a bullish trifecta. We’re already positioned, and if 100.28 breaks, we’re going big. I’m back, baby, and I’m here to drop regular updates, roast the haters, and help us all stack some serious profits. Got questions? Drop ‘em in the comments. Disagree with my DXY call? Bring it on—let’s debate. Just don’t be that guy shorting the dollar while the rest of us are cashing checks. Stay tuned for the next post (gold’s getting its moment soon), and let’s make some freaking money together. Out!
TVC:DXYLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
9
GOLD market update: range locked / breakout pending🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Market Overview ▪️broke above 3 000 USD ▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well ▪️Tested 3500 USD key S/R ▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R ▪️pullback in progress currently ▪️locked inside range trading ▪️3275/3365 usd active range ▪️break below 3245 - BEARS take over ▪️break above 3385 - BULLS take over ▪️Bulls targets - 3450/3550 USD ▪️Bears targets - 3050/3150 USD ⭐️Recommended strategy ▪️Wait for a breakout ▪️LONG/SHORT after breakout 🔥 Key Drivers to Watch 🌍 Geopolitics & Trade 🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand 🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade 💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment 🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks 🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement 🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects ☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal 🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome 🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
37
GOLD → Trend reversal, downward distribution, and new targetsFX:XAUUSD breaks through 3270 and enters a distribution phase amid a rising dollar. We are most likely at the beginning of a trend reversal... On Thursday, gold remains under pressure, trading at a two-week low, as the market reacts to Trump's statements about potential trade agreements with a number of countries, including China. Optimism surrounding the negotiations is boosting risk appetite, reducing interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. Even weak US GDP and inflation data failed to halt the rise in gold prices, as traders' attention is focused on the trade agenda and upcoming labour market statistics. Gold is changing its trend due to the rise of the dollar and a shift in the fundamental background. A breakout of the local low could reinforce the decline. The first target is 3190. There is a possibility of a retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 3268 before the decline continues. Resistance levels: 3245, 3270 Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167 A breakout of the local low of 3221 could trigger a further decline. The first stop could be around 3190. From this level, a small correction or consolidation may follow before the decline continues. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3245-3270 before the decline continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
XAUUSD- Signal to go down - 24/04/2025- With any macro economy problem, Gold & BTC are always the key asset to to shelter cash flow. - From Gold H1 chart, It showed strong selling pressure recently. A short plan is reasonable with Gold. Of course, any plan can be wrong, but as a trader & value investor, we have to have the plans to deal with it and prepare to buy more good stocks, assets - Explain the chart as - NCI system: 1. Strong momentum comes to down key level of H1 2. Big money comes in, Key level has not broken yet. But high probability Gold will go down. 3. Zone & Trend are shown on chart. Please refer on it for more detail This analyzation is my personal view as a trader - investor, it's not a recommended deal.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Jayce_Pham
2
Gold continues to lose value, pressured by USD and China dataWorld gold prices fell to $3,279/ounce, down $31 from the previous session's peak. The USD increased slightly along with the decline of crude oil and US stocks, making gold less attractive. In addition, weak economic data from China raised concerns about falling physical gold demand - contributing to the price decline. On the daily chart, gold is falling from the peak, approaching the EMA34, warning of the risk of a deeper correction if it fails to hold this support level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by vandogeve
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl 3228.Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week. I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41). Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders. And some data: The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%. The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week. Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
27
Gold - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure. This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov
4
GOLD - Trio Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel. 📚 As Gold approaches the $3,100 - $3,150 support zone, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as it is the intersection of three rejections: 1- The lower bound of the falling red channel 2- The lower bound of the rising orange wedge 3- $3,100 - $3,150 support zone 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
12
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell! Hello,Traders! GOLD formed a bearish Triangle pattern and then Made a bearish breakout Hinting at a coming bearish Correction that was long Overdue so we are bearish Biased and we will be expecting A local bearish move down After a potential pullback Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
Gold - Bearish continuation towards a strong support!Gold has been in a strong and consistent uptrend, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and a favorable risk environment. However, on the lower timeframes, price action is showing signs of temporary weakness following a sharp sell-off a few days ago. Currently, on the 4h chart, Gold appears to be forming a bearish continuation pattern, specifically a pennant. This type of consolidation after a fast drop often suggests potential for further downside. If the pennant breaks to the downside, the projected target aligns with the golden pocket of the latest bullish move, between $3,165 and $3,147. Notably, this level also coincides with a strong support zone, making it a high-interest area for potential long setups. Despite the bearish pennant, the broader trend remains bullish, which means a break to the upside is still possible. However, given the current 4h structure, I'm leaning cautiously bearish in the short term and will be watching closely for signs of strength at the key support. My plan is to look for long opportunities near the golden pocket, but only if certain criteria are met, primarily, signs of downside exhaustion such as a bullish candlestick formation on the lower timeframes. It's critical not to "catch a falling knife"; confirmation is essential before entering any long trade. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Youriverse
52
GOLD - FVG-Based Long & Short Setup Within Range ContextPrice action remains range-bound with well-defined FVG zones acting as both support and resistance, offering reactive trading opportunities on both sides. --- 1. Upper FVG as Resistance — Short Setup Trigger Zone The highlighted upper green zone marks: - Fair Value Gap (FVG): A clear inefficiency from the previous bearish impulse. - Structural Significance: Price has struggled to break and hold above, showing signs of supply reactivation. This zone is likely to attract sellers upon revisit, offering a clean risk-defined short opportunity. --- 2. Lower FVG as Support — Long Setup Zone The lower blue zone serves as: - FVG Rebalance Area: A region where price previously left inefficiency, now acting as strong support. - Accumulation Interest: Smart money often reloads in such imbalanced areas on retests. This zone is optimal for positioning into the next bullish leg should price dip lower. --- 3. Liquidity Sweep Mechanics — Trap Both Sides The market structure hints at: - Step 1: Induce buyers into breakout longs into resistance. - Step 2: Reverse from FVG, triggering short entries and trapping longs. - Step 3: Collect liquidity from lower range, potentially initiating new accumulation. This movement pattern is characteristic of engineered liquidity grabs in both directions. --- 4. Mid-Range Reaction — Key Pivot Area Price currently hovers around the mid-range zone: - Serving as a temporary balance point before volatility expansion. - Acting as a launchpad for the next impulsive move, depending on order flow dominance. Patience here is key — waiting for clean confirmations near FVGs provides optimal entry quality. --- 5. Summary: - Upper FVG Resistance → Short Bias - Lower FVG Support → Long Bias - Structured Reactions Around Imbalances Suggest Smart Money Activity This is a dual-sided setup ideal for reaction-based traders awaiting price confirmation at extremes.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Louigi_24
41
GOLD drops sharply to $43, important support areaOANDA:XAUUSD encountered a sudden sell-off in early Asian trading on Thursday (May 1). The current price of gold is around $3,245/ounce, down sharply by $43 on the day and at a key technical position. OANDA:XAUUSD fell for a third consecutive day as signs that trade talks between the United States and China may be progressing reduced demand for safe-haven assets, Bloomberg reported on Thursday. China Central Television said the United States has been in touch with China through various channels. Bloomberg noted that concerns about the global trade outlook were also eased by news that the Trump administration was close to announcing the first of a series of deals that would reduce planned tariffs on several countries. OANDA:XAUUSD have risen about 25% this year, largely as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset as U.S. President Donald Trump’s rapidly shifting trade policies have roiled markets and stoked fears of a global economic slowdown. However, inflows into gold ETFs, central bank buying and strong speculative demand from China will also provide fundamental support for gold prices. Looking ahead, Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report could reveal the initial impact of Trump’s trade policies on the economy. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is trading at a crucial support area for long-term bullish expectations with support from Ema21 converging with the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. If gold is sold below $3,228, it could continue to decline further with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, the price point of the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also approaching the 50 level after a period of correction, which in this case acts as the nearest support. It can be said that with the current position, gold has the most support with EMA21 converging with Fibonacci retracement 0.50% in terms of trend, and RSI approaching 50 is support in terms of momentum. During the day, the current position still shows that gold has the potential to increase in price and the notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,245 - 3,228 USD Resistance: 3,267 - 3,292 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3295 - 3293⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3299 →Take Profit 1 3287 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3281 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3195 - 3197⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3191 →Take Profit 1 3203 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3209
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD/GOLD | 4H | SWING TRADEHey There, Guys, I advise you to just wait for the breakout in gold. This is swing trading. I am just waiting for a breakout; if this breakout is to the downside, the target will be at least 3.215 level. I hope this matches your desired tone. Don't forget to click the like button at the bottom of this post to stay up to date with the latest changes! Dear friends, your likes are always the biggest motivation for me to share my analysis. Therefore, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please keep your likes coming. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
FX:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
Wide fluctuations, short at high levels and long at low levelsIn terms of news, we need to pay close attention to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the recent conflict between India and Pakistan. Initial jobless claims and PMI data will be released on Thursday, and the unemployment rate and non-farm data for April will be watched on Friday. Technical side, from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of 3320-3330, and further focuses on the suppression of 3345-56. The intraday rebound relies on 3320-3330 to short and continue to fall. The lower support is 3300-3290, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3270-3260. Before the daily level loses this position, continue to see long-short fluctuations, and participate in high-altitude low-multiple cycles. Do not chase orders. Intraday trading strategy SELL 3320-3330 TP 3300-3290 BUY 3260-3270 TP 3300-3310 If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell