Metals Could Catch Everyone off Guard Expect big fireworks these final weeks of the advancing stage of an intermediate cycle
Metals
Be the Choosy trader on Gold!Price is dragging on dropping. being very indecisive. Looks like the entire market is waiting on News to help give it a push. I need to see price break out of value before I can get a read on a sold move. in the mean time this is sclaping conditions. You can hold trades. Have to cut them short quick with this price action. Since we have some USD news tomorrow that indicates that the market might be waiting for that before proceeding on any decisions. Patience is key!
Mid-Week Analysis March 27-28: USD FX Majors Stock Indices, ...In this video, we look back on the forecasts from this past weekend, and check how they are playing out to this point in the week.
USD Index, S&P500, Nasdaq ,Dow Jones, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Copper, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPY.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Copper Bounce? $HG1! at Key Demand Zone!Back at a strong demand level on COMEX:HG1! (Copper futures). The key invalidation is a 4-hour close below 3.92, so I'll be watching closely to manually close.
I'm looking for a potential bounce from here, and if the weekly candle closes bullish, I may consider this a reversal setup. The confluence between the weekly support and the current demand zone gives me confidence to take the trade.
If the move fails, my next level to watch is 3.7 for another potential entry.
Let’s see if COMEX:HG1! behaves this time.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 3,032.57
1st Support: 2,998.40
1st Resistance: 3,047.35
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (VIDEO UPDATE)If you remember on the last update, I showed the possibility of the previous Wave 4 low getting taken out, which did happen. I’ve now re-counted the waves, as analysed on the video above.
⭕️3 Sub-Wave Correction (A,B,C) relabelled.
⭕️Wave 4 Low relabelled.
⭕️Main Supply Zone highlighted.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today, allowing us to bounce between the Goldturns, inline with our plans to buy dips. Not much to report as we are seeing Gold range sideways consolidating ready for a breakout.
We still have the gap left open at 2999, which fell short by a few pips. We will continue to use the lower Goldturns to buy dips until we see the weighted levels cross and lock to confirm the next range. Failure to break 3032 will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release
The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment.
These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices.
📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000
Entry: $3,025 (already opened)
Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels.
Why This Short Trade Makes Sense:
1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar
The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience.
A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices.
2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts
These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts.
Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold.
3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum
Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times.
If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon.
📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss
🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level)
🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: $3,025
Target: at least $3,000
RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade.
🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade
⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens:
If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold.
⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase:
Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher.
📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold
Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high.
🟢 Plan:
Short at $3,025 is active.
Target: Below $3,000.
Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3007.8
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3020.9
My Stop Loss - 3000.6
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it reached the $2880 level and broke it.
Next price bounced from this level and some time rose in the channel, but then it made a correction, exiting from this channel.
After this, price turned around and continue to move up in another rising channel, where later it reached $3000 level.
Then Gold broke this level and made retest, after whcih it rose to resistance line of channel and then fell to support area.
Recently price started to decline, so, I think that Gold can decline to the support level and then bounce up to $3095
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
DeGRAM | GOLD forms an ascending wedgeGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving away from the dynamic support.
The chart forms an ascending wedge.
We expect XAUUSD to rise further before continuing the correction.
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Gold’s rebound is an opportunity for short sellingGold is still oscillating, and a rebound is an opportunity for short selling. Since gold is still oscillating within the box, you can go short if it rebounds to a high level. Gold is still oscillating within a large range for 1 hour. Since gold has not effectively broken through, you can continue to short after rebounding. If it breaks through the box shock, then gold will consider taking advantage of the trend and go long.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-26-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern for the SPY/QQQ suggests the markets will consolidate in a sideways channel, generally drifting downward.
As I've been warning all of you for the past month+, the market will likely roll over into a topping formation over the next few days, then start an aggressive downward trend targeting $525-535 on the SPY.
Today's video covers some details related to my expectations and how traders can prepare for the bigger moves I see pending.
Gold and Silver are poised for a potentially BIG BREAKOUT move to the upside. And I still believe Gold/Silver are going to rally another 15-20% within the next 30-45 days.
Bitcoin should follow the SPY/QQQ into a "rollover top" type of pattern then shift into a downward price trend over the next few days.
Everything is following my predictions/expectations almost perfectly.
Now, we try to profit from some of these big moves.
Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
XAGUSD Channel Up aiming for the new Higher High.Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for exactly year (since the March 27 2024 Low). Its current Bullish Leg started on the December 31 2024 (Higher) Low after almost touching the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Once the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on January 28 2025, it remained above it ever since, which is what happened on both previous Bullish Legs. We expect a +30% rise and a test of the 1.382 Fibonacci extension as the previous Higher Highs. Our Target is just below that at 37.000.
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Why XAUUSD is Bullish ?? Detailed analysis XAU/USD currently trading at approximately $3,030, forming a bullish pennant pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further upward movement. This pattern emerges after a strong price surge, followed by consolidation marked by converging trendlines. A breakout above the pennant's upper boundary could propel gold prices toward the target of $3,100, aligning with the prevailing bullish trend
Fundamental factors support this optimistic outlook. Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns over escalating inflation have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, including potential interest rate cuts, has weakened the U.S. dollar, making gold more attractive to investors. These elements collectively contribute to the bullish sentiment surrounding gold.
Technical indicators further reinforce this perspective. Gold has recently surpassed the significant $3,000 threshold, reaching new all-time highs. The formation of the bullish pennant suggests a continuation of this upward momentum. Key support levels to monitor include $2,961 to $2,965, while resistance is anticipated around $3,021 to $3,030. A decisive break above these resistance levels could confirm the pennant breakout, paving the way toward the $3,100 target.
Traders should exercise prudent risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
GOLD - Eyeing Two Levels!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 XAUUSD remains overall bullish in both the short and medium term, trading within the rising channels marked in orange and green.
🔍 Here are two key levels I'm watching for potential trend-following long setups:
1️⃣$3,000 – A psychological round number that aligns with the lower orange trendline.
2️⃣$2,950 – A support level that intersects with the lower blue trendline.
Let’s see if the bulls hold the line! 🐂✨
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
High Risk, High Reward: Shorting ATH in a Bullish Copper Market.Copper just broke above its all-time high, triggering my short entry at 5.3010. While the macro trend is undeniably bullish, past price action has shown that each major high was followed by aggressive selloffs. This might not be the case this time – but that’s exactly why we have a stop-loss in place.
This is a tactical counter-trade: not about fighting the trend but playing a potential rejection from a psychological and technical key zone. Let’s see if history rhymes or the red metal keeps melting resistance!
Technicals:
• Daily timeframe breakout above ATH triggered the short at 5.3010.
• Strong vertical rally into major supply – parabolic move often cools down.
• Previous ATH levels have consistently attracted heavy selling.
• If price invalidates with a continuation above 5.61, the setup is out.
• Volatility around this zone is expected – precision and SL management are key.
Fundamentals:
1. Trump’s Proposed Copper Tariffs:
• Tariffs of up to 25% could disrupt global trade flow and introduce price instability.
• Market already priced in a bullish narrative, so any delay or uncertainty could spark a correction.
2. Panama’s Cobre Mine Shutdown:
• The mine accounts for 1% of global supply, and uncertainty around reopening may already be priced in.
• The government is holding off public visits, which adds operational risk but no clear bullish resolution yet.
3. China Smelter Closures:
• While bullish in nature, these are known factors – any shift or reversal from China could cool the demand-side speculation.
4. Overbought Sentiment:
• Prices surged rapidly, creating a gap between LME and NY copper prices, reaching record spreads.
• Speculative exhaustion could trigger a short-term pullback or deeper correction.
Risk-Managed Play. Let’s see if this time is different – or just the same old Copper story in a new macro wrapper.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAUUSD: 26/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057-3100, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3032, support below 3014
Gold news analysis: The market is reassessing the potential impact of the latest US tariff policy on global commodity liquidity. Yesterday, US President Trump signed an executive order announcing that a 25% "secondary tariff" would be imposed on countries that purchase oil from Venezuela, a move that could significantly increase the import cost of Indian goods. At the same time, gold ETFs saw rare inflows at the end of the first quarter, laying the groundwork for price trends in the second quarter. After experiencing a rapid rise at the beginning of this year, both gold and silver fell and pulled back in the past week. Although increased risk appetite, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar are widely used to explain recent price movements, correlation analysis suggests that there may be other factors driving prices back down. Due to the relatively light economic data release schedule and the end of the quarter approaching, the exchange market did not show a clear upward or downward trend.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3032 and the four-hour level 3038 line, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 3014. Overall, we rely on this range to maintain a high-sell-low-buy strategy and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3014near SL: 3020
Buy: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small-size transactions
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,024.22.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,056.10 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
eurusd alternative 5 wave outlook buy dips tp 1100🏆 eurusd Market Update / Wednesday
📊 Alternative Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H12
🔸0230/0530 w1, 0530/0290 w2, 0290/0935 w3
🔸0935/0675 wave 4 pullback now
🔸0675/1100 - final wave 5 pump
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 0675/0665
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1100 USD in Wave5
💶📉 EUR/USD Mini Market Recap – March 2025
🔹 🛑 Fed Holds Rates
📉 No rate cut yet, but hints coming soon 🏦📊
🔹 💵 USD Strength Rising
💪 US data strong + tariff optimism = dollar gains 💼📈
🔹 📉 EUR/USD Weakens
⚠️ Testing 1.0798 support, 1.06 may come next 🚨📉
🔹 📊 Key US Data Ahead
🕵️♂️ Core PCE inflation data could move EUR/USD fast 📆📊
🔹 🌐 Trade Tensions Return
🧨 Tariff talk adds pressure to euro and dollar 💣💬
XAUUSD _ GOLD analysisTechnical Analysis:
Bearish Order Block at 3,045
A Bearish Order Block is marked at 50% of a previous price range around 3,045.
This indicates potential resistance, where price may face selling pressure.
Current Price Action
The price is currently 3,023, showing slight bullish momentum (+0.11%).
The market seems to be testing previous highs but struggling to break through.
Trade Setup (Risk-Reward Analysis)
A long position (buy trade) appears to be placed.
The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 3,018.50.
The Take Profit (TP) is set around 3,045.00.
The Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio is favorable, aiming for a higher profit target.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Around 3,021.30
The FVG at 3,021.30 suggests a liquidity area where price might react.
If price holds above this level, the bullish move may continue.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If price maintains above 3,021.30 and gains momentum, it could reach the order block at 3,045.
Bearish Case: If price breaks below the FVG and 3,018.50, selling pressure could take it lower.
Gold is eyeing highs after a bullish daily candleThis is def a consolidation range so keep your eyes sharp and pay attention to what happens as we break into the highs. Will we displace with longs or will be be saturated by the bearish imbalances above the current hourly range?
Share with a friend in need 🔑
Silver Rises as Markets Eye Trump TariffsSilver rose above $33 on Tuesday, rebounding as trade and economic concerns supported safe-haven demand. Hopes that Trump may adopt a more targeted tariff plan ahead of the April 2 deadline offered some relief, though his new pledges to tax autos and pharmaceuticals added uncertainty. Expectations of further Fed rate cuts also supported silver. Markets now anticipate one cut in June, another in September, and growing chances of a third in December.
If silver breaks above $33.80, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases.
