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Silver May Face More Weakness After A Corrective RallySilver is making sharp reversal down from recent highs, even breaking a lower trendline support of an ending diagonal which is an important indication for a top in place. As such, we are aware of much lower prices, maybe even back to the start of a diagonal at around 27/28 as drop from 4h time frame has an impulsive bearish structure into wave A/1. But we see some bounce now that can be an A-B-C irregular/expanded flat correction into wave B/2, where subwave (C) can be now in progress. Resistance is then around 31.60-33 area, and from where we will have to be aware of further weakness within wave C or 3.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by ew-forecast
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-12: Breakaway PatternToday's video goes into detail related to the general SPY/QQQ trending and the continued potential for a price Anomaly Event. It is likely that the markets continue a Santa Rally phase - attempting to push higher throughout the end of 2024 and into 2025. I want everyone to understand that the anomaly event I keep suggesting may happen is an outlier event. It would be driven by some news, political, financial or other type of market event. If that event does not happen, then the markets will likely continue to push higher and higher. So, remember, the markets want to push higher into the typical Santa Rally. My Anomaly event would be a potential outlier event - driving a moderate pullback in price. Gold and Silver should move into a moderate topping pattern today - possibly pulling downward a big. This would be a goo setup for the next rally phase higher. That rally may come tomorrow or into early next week. Bitcoin is trapped within a consolidation range. The rally yesterday was nice to see, but right now we are seeing Bitcoin struggle below resistance. So, we still need to be cautious about rolling downward. Yet, the general trend for Bitcoin right now is upward. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
Trend resistance analysisGold closed positive on the daily line. A new high was reached in the Asian session. If we look at the trend from the perspective of the K-line, the triangle breakout bulls will continue, so the idea is to mainly buy low today. Is this low buy more after a decline or directly buy more? The support is currently at 82-76! Gold started to break through strongly in the US session yesterday. Gold is obviously strong. Now it is still strong. It continues to buy more after a decline in the Asian session. Now it has risen sharply. Many friends are concerned about where gold will rise. There is no need to guess. Just continue to buy more with the trend. Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward. Gold bulls continue to be strong. The previous high of gold at 2676 now forms support. Today, it falls back to 2676 and continues to buy on dips. Gold can start to buy more after falling back to around 2690 in the Asian session. First support: 2690, second support: 2676, third support: 2662 First resistance: 2710, second resistance: 2721, third resistance: 2735
TVC:GOLD
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
GOLD to extend it's gains?Gold - 24h expiry There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains positive. 5 positive daily performances in succession. Price action continues to trade around significant highs. We look for gains to be extended today. A break of the recent high at 2728.5 should result in a further move higher. We look to Buy a break of 2728.5 (stop at 2708.5) Our profit targets will be 2778.5 and 2788.5 Resistance: 2726.3 / 2735.7 / 2750.0 Support: 2710.0 / 2695.0 / 2675.5 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by OANDA
Gold Price Hits Monthly HighGold Price Hits Monthly High The XAU/USD chart shows: → A notable peak in November near the $2716 level (indicated by the first arrow); → Yesterday, gold surpassed this peak, reaching a new one-month high. Factors Supporting Bullish Sentiment → Yesterday’s US Consumer Price Index data met analysts’ expectations. This bolstered market speculation about a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, enhancing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. → Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, along with uncertainty surrounding the policy direction and tariff plans of newly elected US President Donald Trump, are contributing to gold’s safe-haven appeal. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD Gold prices have been rising since August within a channel, with the lower boundary marked as Support 1. However, in November, Support 2—a line with a gentler slope—gained relevance, potentially signalling waning demand strength. If buyers are indeed losing momentum, a price reversal from the fresh high could occur. This would suggest a false bullish breakout above the mid-November peak near $2715. Early trading action on the XAU/USD chart this morning lends weight to this potential scenario. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
2
XAIISD: Today's Market Analysis and StrategiesTechnical analysis of gold Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627. Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2686 Gold operation suggestions: From the 4-hour analysis chart, we focus on the 2725 line for upper pressure, and the 2700/2686 line for lower support. The operation is mainly based on pullback buying, trading with the trend, and focusing on the 2725 pressure. BUY: 2701near BUY: 2686near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Interest rate expectations and geopolitics still drive GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD corrected after rising sharply as the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next week increased significantly after the release of US CPI data. CME Group's "FedWatch" tool shows traders see a 98.5% chance the Fed will cut another 25 basis points at its December 17-18 meeting, a significant increase from the 86% chance before CPI data is released. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year in November, both in line with market expectations. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones previously expected this number to increase an average of 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year. Excluding food and energy costs, the US core CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year in November and was up 0.3% month-over-month. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones on average expect core CPI to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 3.3% year-over-year. The market is now focusing on today's (Thursday) US Producer Price Index (PPI) data to shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut roadmap. Geopolitical news once again boosted OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold corrected after approaching the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and temporary upside was limited by this technical level. However, in terms of overall structure, the gold price has enough technical conditions to increase after breaking the falling price channel and bringing the main activity above the EMA21 line. Along with that, the Relative Strength Index also rose above 50, which should be considered a positive signal for the bullish outlook of gold prices. On the other hand, gold is likely to open a new bullish cycle when it breaks above the $2,730 level of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement then the target is the Volume profile POC point, more so the $2,761 level and all-time highs. era established earlier. During the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish with notable points listed below. Support: 2,700 – 2,693 – 2,676USD Resistance: 2,730 – 2,742 – 2,761USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2745 →Take Profit 1 2734 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2729 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2669 - 2671⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2665 →Take Profit 1 2676 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2681
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold Supported by Fundamentals, Testing Key Technical ResistanceTechnical Analysis Gold is trading at $2,719, approaching a critical resistance level at $2,735 (Fib 0.786). A breakout above this resistance could pave the way for further upside toward $2,743 and $2,758, marking significant levels for long-term trend continuation. On the daily chart, the price has held firmly above the 50-day SMA, supported by a bullish RSI, indicating the potential for continued strength. - Key Resistances : - $2,735 (Fib 0.786). - $2,743 and $2,758. - Key Supports : - $2,700 (short-term support). - $2,693 (Fib 0.618). In the short term, gold has encountered resistance at $2,720 and shows signs of a possible pullback. The RSI in the overbought zone suggests that a correction toward $2,700 and potentially $2,693 is likely before any continuation to the upside. --- Fundamental Analysis Gold prices remain near two-week highs, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, and expectations for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. Markets are now pricing a 95% chance of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed next week , per the CME FedWatch tool, with a further 22% chance of another cut in January. Key Developments Driving Gold: 1. Chinese Central Bank Gold Buying: The People's Bank of China resumed gold purchases in November, adding 160,000 fine troy ounces to its reserves. This significant move has bolstered global gold demand and added upward momentum to prices. 2. Middle East Geopolitical Tensions: The collapse of the Syrian government and subsequent military actions by Israel have increased investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. 3. US Inflation Data (CPI): November's CPI data showed a 2.7% YoY increase, aligning with expectations and reinforcing the case for rate cuts. The core inflation rate remained stable at 3.3%. These figures have kept gold's bullish momentum intact. --- Upcoming Data to Watch The Producer Price Index (PPI) for the US, scheduled for release tomorrow, will provide further clues about inflation trends. - Forecasts: - Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (previous: 0.3%). - PPI m/m: 0.2% (previous: 0.2%). - Unemployment Claims: 221K (previous: 224K). Potential Scenarios for PPI: 1. Stronger-than-expected PPI (above 0.2%): Higher PPI could indicate persistent inflationary pressures, potentially boosting the US Dollar and pressuring gold prices lower. In this case, gold may test short-term supports at $2,700 or $2,693. 2. Weaker-than-expected PPI (below 0.2%): A weaker PPI could further strengthen the case for Fed rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar and providing additional upside for gold. A breakout above $2,735 would open the path toward $2,743 and $2,758. --- Conclusion Gold remains strong in the long term, with $2,735 as a critical resistance level. A breakout above this level could trigger a rally to $2,743 and $2,758. However, in the short term, the price is expected to correct to $2,700 or $2,693 before resuming its uptrend. The upcoming PPI report is pivotal and will shape market sentiment ahead of the Fed's rate decision next week. Recommendation Monitor the PPI report and Fed commentary closely. A pullback to $2,700 may offer a buying opportunity, with targets set at $2,743 and $2,758 if bullish momentum persists.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by uPaSKaL
15
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733.Colleagues, the previous forecast is still active, but I decided to make a new one to show in more detail what exactly is going on. I believe that the price is in a five-wave upward movement and now we are expecting a lower and middle-order wave “3”. Therefore, I believe that the upward movement will continue and the price will reach the level of 2717.733. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
38
XAUUSD: 11/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627 Four-hour resistance 2704, support below 2676 Gold operation suggestions: 4-hour chart bottomed out and rebounded, it is expected that the probability of falling below the 4-hour low of 2675 is not high, then look for opportunities above 2675 to continue to arrange long orders, and there may be opportunities to short if the daily high of 2704 is not broken. Radicals can try it, and admit defeat and exit after breaking the daily high of 2704 From the current 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term pressure focuses on 2700-2720, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2676 first-line support. The operation is mainly based on retracement and long Pay attention to avoid the time of CPI news release to prevent hitting SL due to high market liquidity BUY:2660near BUY:2678near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
GOLD NEXT MOVEDear Friends, Let’s take a closer look and trade accordingly. From the chart, we are witnessing a promising setup as the price has successfully broken out of the consolidation phase, reaching the $2726 level. Theoretically, based on Elliott Wave Theory, the pair is currently moving within Wave 4, a corrective wave following the completion of Wave 3, which closed below the $2722 level. What’s next? The price is likely to test a key liquidity zone, building momentum for a strong Wave 5, targeting $2758—a compelling and significant resistance level. Good luck, and may you achieve abundant profit:)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader-Briannnn
Gold → Breaking through channel resistance. New ATH target?Hello everyone! Ben here! Today, gold has officially broken out of the price channel, while the bulls are striving to maintain control, defending the key support level around 2665. This level was formed in the context of a weakening USD after signs of correction. The precious metal is now facing significant growth potential, with the opportunity to distribute prices at local highs in the near future. Macroeconomic factors are playing an essential role in supporting gold prices. Concerns over rising tensions in the Middle East continue to drive safe-haven demand, making gold a highly sought-after asset. Meanwhile, the U.S. jobs report released last Friday has fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might consider cutting interest rates in its December policy meeting, which is generally a positive signal for gold prices. However, gold's growth outlook still faces short-term challenges. Investors are currently awaiting key inflation reports, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI). Both reports are expected to provide critical signals for the Fed's monetary policy direction and could create substantial market volatility. From a technical perspective, the main trend remains bullish, but prices are currently testing strong resistance. To reinforce upward momentum, gold needs to break out of this resistance zone and sustain above it. If this happens, prices could quickly move to new highs. However, if prices fail to break through, a retest of key support areas around 2677 (Fibonacci 0.618) and 2663 (Fibonacci 0.5) should be anticipated before the uptrend can continue. Share your evaluations and questions about XAUUSD so we can discuss further!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
1
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 2675.12, which is an overlap support close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 2720, a swing high resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 2641, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FXCM
Gold Analysis Today DECEMBER 12, 2024 Strong Growth or Collapse?SPDR Gold Trust Gold Fund bought 2.59 tons of gold yesterday, December 11 Important resistance: 2733 - 2740 - 2750 Important support level: 2680 - 2675 - 2700 XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD trading strategy around price area: BUY XAUUSD around 2700-2701 Stoploss: 2695 Take Profit 1 : 2710 Take Profit 2: 2720 Take Profit 3: 2730 “If there is a break through the 2728 area during the day, we should watch to sell around the 2749-2750 area in a long-term channel.” SELL XAUUSD around 2749-2750 Stoploss: 2756 Take Profit 1 : 2745 Take Profit 2: 2740 Take Profit 3: 2733 Note: Always install Stoploss in all cases to be safe!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
ANALYSIS OF GOLD TREND TODAY, DECEMBER 12, 2024: UP OR DOWN?Technical Analysis from the Chart: The price has broken through the previous descending trendline (yellow line) and is now in a recovery trend. Currently, the price is approaching a strong resistance zone at $2,710 - $2,725, an area where selling pressure has been prominent in the past. Key Levels: Main Resistance: $2,710 - $2,725 (previous highs and key Fibonacci zone). Nearby Support: $2,680 (MA200 and Fibonacci 0.618). Strong Support: $2,650 (previous lows and psychological support level). Indicators: RSI: Currently near the overbought zone, signaling a potential price pullback in the short term. Stochastic: In the overbought zone and showing signs of a possible reversal. Price Action Pattern: The price is currently testing a strong resistance zone. If it fails to break through, there is a chance it will correct back to support. Trading Strategy for XAUUSD in the Current Price Range: SELL XAUUSD around the $2,720 - $2,721 zone: Stoploss: $2,726 Take Profit 1: $2,715 Take Profit 2: $2,710 Take Profit 3: $2,700 “If the price breaks above $2,728, look for a sell around $2,749 - $2,750 in a longer-term channel.” BUY XAUUSD around the $2,679 - $2,680 zone: Stoploss: $2,674 Take Profit 1: $2,685 Take Profit 2: $2,690 Take Profit 3: $2,700 Note: Always set a stoploss in every trade to ensure safety! @Henrybillion wishes you a successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Henrybillion
1
GOLD just passed $2,700, pay attention to CPI dataWednesday (December 11) on the Asian market, OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery increased again in the short term. Gold price has just surpassed the important milestone of 2,700 USD/ounce, reaching the highest level of the day as of the time this article was completed at 2,703.65 USD/ounce. Attention is turning to the US consumer price index (CPI) today (Wednesday) and the producer price index (PPI) on Thursday, both data will be important in influencing the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates. According to market surveys, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to increase 0.3% in November, with year-on-year increases expected to be 2.7% and 3.3%, respectively. %. Overall and core producer prices in the United States are expected to increase 0.2% month-on-month in November, with year-over-year increases of 2.6% and 3.2%, respectively. CPI data in line with expectations is unlikely to hinder interest rate cuts, but if the data shows inflation progress is slowing, the likelihood of a third consecutive rate cut by the Fed may decrease. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool" shows that the futures market expects an 86% chance that Fed Chairman Powell and his colleagues will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at their meeting on August 17-18. /12. In addition, gold prices also skyrocketed when the Chinese central bank resumed gold purchasing activities. Meanwhile, the geopolitical situation plays an important role and still has many potential risks after Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was overthrown. Gold is considered a safe investment during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty and tends to appreciate in low interest rate environments. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has initial conditions for a bullish outlook as it broke out of the falling price channel after a long period of sideways accumulation. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index also rose above the 50 level, which should be considered a positive signal for the future growth prospects as it will move towards the 75-100 area. With that, EMA21 which was the previous resistance has now become the most notable support. Gold prices are pushed above the original price level of 2,700 USD, keeping price activity above the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level will provide conditions for a new bull cycle with the target then around 2,730 USD where the Fibonacci retracement is located. 0.236%, more than the Volume Profile POC level. During the day, gold has all the technical conditions to increase in price and is temporarily limited by the original price of 2,700 USD. The notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,693 – 2,676 – 2,663USD Resistance: 2,700 – 2,730USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2721 - 2719⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2725 →Take Profit 1 2714 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2709 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2655 →Take Profit 1 2666 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2671
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1