Consolidation Phase in XAU/USD with Bullish PotentialFollowing a period of strong bullish momentum, XAU/USD is currently trading sideways, remaining confined within the price range established between Friday and Monday. This consolidation suggests the market may continue ranging in the short term.
However, if the price dips below the lows of the past two days and breaches the ascending trendline, there is a strong potential for a rebound and continuation to the upside. An alternative scenario could see the formation of a triangle or rising wedge pattern near the current resistance zone.
Despite short-term uncertainty, a key support area around 3170–3180 remains critical. A bounce from this zone could signal the resumption of upward movement. Traders are advised to monitor these key levels closely for confirmation of the next significant directional move. The next target is the resistance zone near 3285
Metals
The latest gold strategy analysis and precise guidanceAfter the surge, the bullish momentum weakened. The price fell back to around $3,100 during the European session, testing the lower support of the channel. Although the CPI data is bullish, if the inflation rises and strengthens the Fed's expectation of delaying interest rate cuts, it may suppress the upside of gold prices. Technically, if it falls below the 3100 support, it may fall back to the 3080-3078 range; on the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to rebound to the 3150-3154 resistance line.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold at 3145-3155. Target 3115
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3225.9
Sl - 3218.11
Tp - 3240.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3201.5
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3216.0
Safe Stop Loss - 3194.0
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 📌 Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 💰📉
🔍 Current Trend and Short-Term Risk
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, although minor corrections remain possible in the short term. A key driver for sustaining the uptrend will be the strength of buyers at support zones like 3196 and 3204.
However, if the market fails to hold above 3135, we could see a deeper retracement. In such a case, a drop toward the 311x region could offer an attractive buying opportunity — particularly if bullish price reactions are confirmed near that level.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
3135 Support: A break below this zone with strong momentum could signal potential bearish continuation. Any move toward 311x should be closely monitored for a bullish reversal setup.
311x Zone: If price pulls back to this range and we observe reaction or rejection, it could present a high-probability buy opportunity to rejoin the broader uptrend.
🌍 Impact of a Quiet News Week
With no major economic releases on the calendar, market direction will likely be determined by volume flows and price action near key technical zones. Areas such as 3195, 3204, and 3245 will be pivotal in shaping short-term sentiment.
Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these levels, especially during London and New York sessions where most volume is concentrated.
🛠️ Tactical Plan for the Week
Asian & European Sessions Focus: Look for momentum plays or reaction signals at key intraday support levels (e.g. 3196). Sharp pullbacks may offer buy setups with solid risk/reward ratios.
Sell Scenarios at Resistance: If price breaks above 3245 with weak follow-through and fails to hold, that could provide an opportunity for tactical short entries — but only with confirmation via volume or rejection patterns.
Stick to Your Plan: Despite the current volatility, it’s critical to adhere to your strategy. Avoid emotional trades, always manage risk, and respect your TP/SL levels.
💡 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong upward trend with active buyers around key support zones. While short-term pullbacks are expected, they could offer new opportunities to scale in.
Stay patient, trade with discipline, and let the market offer confirmation before committing to a position. Even in a quiet news environment, well-prepared traders can take advantage of high-quality setups by focusing on structure and risk management.
Gold fluctuates at a high level, how to choose the direction?This week, the gold market showed a high range oscillation pattern. After opening at 3210 on Monday, it quickly rose to the historical high of 3245, but the daily line closed with a negative cross needle, indicating that the long-short game intensified. The gold price fluctuated and fell in the Asian and NY periods. Although the NY period showed a short-term illusion of a high rise, it failed to break through 3227 and plunged to 3193 under pressure. The rebound in the late trading recovered some of the lost ground.
The current price of gold is running in the range of 3245-3193, and it continued to consolidate in a narrow range at 3215 today. It is worth noting that the market generally expects the unilateral 100-point market last week to reappear, but ignores the characteristics of this week's oscillation and energy storage. Blindly chasing ups and downs is easy to fall into passivity. From the technical form, the upper 3237-3245 constitutes a strong resistance zone, and the lower 3193-3188 forms a key support. It is recommended that everyone maintain the thinking of range operation, rely on support and resistance to choose the opportunity to buy low and sell high, and wait patiently for the market to clarify the direction before making trend layout.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at rebound 3225-3230, SL: 3237, TP: 3200-3190.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at callback 3190-3185, SL: 3177, TP: 3210-3220.
XAGUSD Silver: Navigating Transition from Rally to Correction.Technical Analysis: XAGUSD (Silver)
📈 Silver (XAGUSD) is displaying bullish momentum following a significant rally. The precious metal has pushed into higher territory, creating an overextended condition on the price chart.
💹 Currently trading at a premium level, Silver appears ripe for a potential retracement. This elevated positioning suggests buyers may be exhausting their momentum, creating favorable conditions for a corrective move.
🔄 From a Wyckoff perspective, we're observing a classic distribution pattern with price action ranging sideways after the strong upward move. This horizontal consolidation often precedes a change in direction, as smart money potentially distributes positions to retail traders at these premium levels.
⚠️ Particularly noteworthy is the potential for a spring formation. If price breaks below the current range only to reverse sharply higher, this false breakdown could trap shorts and fuel further upside momentum. Conversely, a decisive break below market structure could confirm distribution is complete.
🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor the 30-minute timeframe for a clear break of market structure to the downside. Such a breakdown following this sideways ranging behavior would align with Wyckoff distribution principles and could signal the beginning of a more substantial correction.
🔍 Entry on confirmation of the breakdown with targets at key support levels would provide a measured approach to capitalizing on the potential reversal from these premium prices.
Gold – Potential Bearish Continuation After Lower High FormationMarket Context:
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, but the current price structure hints at potential exhaustion. After forming a possible lower high near the $3,220 zone, price action has started to roll over, and the market may now be transitioning into a distribution phase.
Technical Breakdown:
- The chart shows a clear uptrend leading into the $3,220 region, followed by a rejection and initial breakdown.
- A lower low has already been printed, signaling a potential change in character (CHOCH) from bullish to bearish.
- A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been left behind on the move down, sitting between approximately $3,160–$3,180. This area could act as a supply zone if price attempts a retracement.
Bearish Scenario Development:
Price is expected to retrace back into the FVG (imbalance), where selling pressure may reappear. This area also aligns roughly with a 0.28 Fibonacci level from the recent impulse down — a common retracement point for corrective moves in a shifting market.
Should this retracement hold and show rejection (e.g., wick rejections, bearish engulfing, displacement), the market could resume downward movement, continuing the developing bearish trend. The next potential liquidity target sits around the $3,060–$3,040 zone, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the prior bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
- Supply/FVG zone: ~$3,160–$3,180
- Current resistance region: ~$3,220 (prior swing high)
- Potential demand zone: ~$3,060–$3,040 (0.618–0.65 retracement)
- Deeper retracement zone: ~$3,000 (0.786 level and prior structure confluence)
What to Look For:
- If price retraces into the FVG and shows weakness, this could confirm the lower high and continuation of the bearish leg.
- A clean break of the $3,060 level would further validate the bearish bias, likely drawing price toward deeper retracement zones.
- If, however, price reclaims and holds above the FVG zone, the bias may shift back to bullish, and a reevaluation would be necessary.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently setting up a possible bearish continuation following a lower low and signs of exhaustion. The upcoming reaction to the FVG zone will be crucial. If the market respects this supply region, it could offer a clean move toward the $3,060 area and possibly lower. As always, let price confirm before acting—structure and reaction at key zones remain vital in this unfolding setup.
XAUUSD: 15/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3300, support below 3176
Four-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3190-3150
One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3210
Gold news analysis: Gold prices remained above 3200 on Monday, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic. The main factors driving this round of market conditions include uncertainty in the global trade environment, a weaker dollar, and continued warming of safe-haven demand. During the session, investors' reactions to the latest tariff remarks intensified gold price fluctuations, but fundamental and technical support remained solid, and the strong pattern of gold did not show any significant shakes. The trend of the US dollar played an important role in this round of gold price fluctuations. The US dollar index hit a three-year low, making gold denominated in US dollars more attractive to overseas buyers. Behind the weakness of the US dollar, there are both market concerns about the outlook for the US economy and the drive of diversified reserve needs of global central banks. Analysts from well-known institutions said that the weakening of the US dollar and global economic uncertainty constituted a solid support for gold prices. In addition, the global central bank's demand for gold purchases remains strong. Since the beginning of this year, many central banks have continued to increase their gold reserves to cope with potential currency fluctuations and geopolitical risks.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold opened lower yesterday and touched 3209 and then began to rise. It reached the historical high of 3245 again and then began to adjust and adjust. It retreated slightly in the European session and continued to accelerate in the US session. It bottomed out and began to rise after reaching 3193.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3250 mark, and the lower support focuses on the one-hour level 3210 and the four-hour level 3190 support. In terms of operation, continue to buy in line with the trend when stepping back to this position. At the same time, gold is currently in a severely overbought state and beware of a sharp correction.
Buy: 3210near SL: 3205
Buy: 3190near SL: 3185
GOLDMASTERS1 | GOLD 15M OUTLOOK ---
GOLD 15M OUTLOOK:
Price is currently rejecting from the Bearish Order Block (3,232 - 3,236), showing signs of short-term weakness after tapping into supply. If bearish pressure holds below this zone, the price may retrace down toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3,214 — which could act as the next reaction point for a bullish bounce.
If the FVG fails to hold, the next strong support lies at the Bullish Order Block (3,206 - 3,210) and a deeper one at 3,198 - 3,202.
On the upside, if bulls reclaim the Bearish Order Block and break above it, the next target would be the Buyside Liquidity at 3,244.339.
Bias:
Below 3,232 = Bearish short-term.
Above 3,236 = Bullish continuation toward liquidity.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,232 - 3,236 (Bearish Order Block)
Support: 3,214 (FVG) | 3,206 - 3,210 | 3,198 - 3,202 (Bullish Order Blocks)
Target: 3,244.339 (Buyside Liquidity)
GOLDMASTERS1---
Gold short-term analysis. From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction during the strong rise last week, but it was quickly recovered and then went higher, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall.
There are signs of a retracement, but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of rebounding and shorting. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10 daily moving average; if it cannot break through, it will continue to pull back in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track; if the 1-hour candle entity cannot fall below the 3193 support, it will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Key points:
First support: 3210, second support: 3200, third support: 3192
First resistance: 3232, second resistance: 3246, third resistance: 3268
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3200-3203, SL: 3192, TP: 3220-3230;
Sell: 3245-3248, SL: 3257, TP: 3220-3210;
XAGUSD H4 | Be arish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 32.71, a pullback resistance
Our take profit is set at 31.25, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 34.52, a swing high resistance.
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XAUUSD M30 I Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3223.18, which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.85 Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3190.47, a swing low support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3246.28, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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XAUUSD Gold in Overdrive: Awaiting a Critical Pullback for a BuyDaily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, XAUUSD has surged to new highs, signaling an overextended market as gold rallies far above previous price swings. The price is now trading at a premium, which indicates that much of the bullish momentum may already be priced in. As a result, there is potential for a pullback toward a more attractive entry area. Specifically, a retracement into a discounted zone—ideally below the 50% level of the previous swing—may offer a better long opportunity rather than entering at these extended levels. 📈⚠️
4-Hour Chart Analysis
Examining the 4-hour timeframe reveals more granular price action that aligns with the daily trend. Here, gold displays signs of potential exhaustion with the recent impulsive moves. The market structure hints at the possibility of a short-term setup if the price begins to reverse, aligning with basic Wyckoff theory principles. This suggests that while there might be an interim short play if the reversal is confirmed, the expectation remains that a healthy pullback will eventually pave the way for a new long opportunity once the price finds support. 🔻🤔
Integrating Price Action, Market Structure & Wyckoff Theory
Using elements of Wyckoff theory, it's clear that the current rally has pushed the market into an overbought state.
• The price action indicates a likely initiation of a distribution phase, where selling pressure might temporarily take over.
• A pullback into the discounted zone (particularly under the 50% retracement of the prior range) would be an ideal opportunity to look for a buying setup.
• On the flip side, if the shorter-term setup solidifies, a conservative short play could be considered until signs of accumulation emerge.
This dual perspective underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and monitoring short-term reversals while keeping an eye on the broader trend. 🔍📉💡
Summary of Key Takeaways
XAUUSD is currently overextended with a strong rally to new highs. While the momentum is robust, the premium pricing compared to previous swings suggests caution. A pullback into a discounted zone, specifically below the 50% retracement level, could provide a more enticing entry point for those looking to go long. Concurrently, the 4-hour chart offers potential setups for a short play should price action indicate a reversal. Coupling these observations with Wyckoff theory fundamentals can allow for a balanced, dynamic trading strategy. 🔄
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
SILVER Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and the price is
Now consolidating above
The horizontal support
Of 31.80$ and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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GS raises gold target to $4,000, UBS to $3,500 Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued another round of bullish forecasts for gold, citing ongoing market uncertainty (i.e., tariffs).
Goldman analysts now expect gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $4,000 by mid-2026. UBS holds a slightly more conservative view, projecting $3,500 by December 2025.
Technically, gold has pulled back from new all-time highs seen during the Asian session but potentially remains in a strong uptrend. With prices trading well above both the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, shallow retracements may find support, especially as tariff-related risks persist for at least the next 90 days.
XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025🟡 XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025 (End of NY)
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend (HTF): Still bullish on H4 with a strong impulsive leg from 3120 → 3248. Current pullback is testing premium zone around 3205–3215.
LTF Structure: M15-H1 shows a textbook liquidity sweep + internal CHoCH, followed by BOS. Price is currently in a reaccumulation phase between 3205 and 3215.
Range: Price is bouncing between the weak high @ 3247 and key support zone @ 3172–3180. Volume thinning out during late NY.
🧠 Key Observations
Fakeout sweep @ 3215: Clear internal liquidity grab followed by CHoCH on M5–M15, triggering short-term upside.
3209 Entry Zone Rejected: Price swept that level without reaction — confirms liquidity engineering.
Premium Distribution Active: H4 OB + FVG zone between 3233–3247 still unmitigated — price may revisit before broader move.
Daily FVG below: Unmitigated bullish gap around 3172–3180, aligning with M30-H1 demand and FIB 61.8 retracement.
🔵 Mitigated Zones
🔹 3205–3210 (EQ zone from earlier CHoCH): Fully mitigated.
🔹 3188 (micro OB): Mitigated and invalidated — no longer valid.
🔹 3215 (fakeout + sweep): Fully played.
🔴 Unmitigated Zones
🔸 3233–3247 (H1–H4 OB + Premium + FVG): 🔥 Active supply area.
🔸 3172–3180 (Daily Imbalance + H1 demand): Strong bounce candidate.
🔸 3120–3130 (Deep discount + demand): Only if a deeper correction forms.
🧭 Current Bias
Short-term bullish into potential rejections near 3225–3233.
Overall market still bullish, but a correction toward 3172–3180 is healthy before continuation.
⚠️ What to Watch
3233–3247: If price spikes into this supply area and shows M5/M15 CHoCH → potential reversal.
3215–3220: Micro liquidity zone may induce late buyers → be cautious.
3172–3180: Strong bounce or continuation zone — RSI confluence and clean M30 imbalance.
🧾 Summary
XAUUSD is currently consolidating between key supply (3233–3247) and demand (3172–3180). Price is sweeping intraday liquidity, hinting at another attempt toward the upper zone before a deeper correction. Patience is key — sniper entries only around the unmitigated OBs with clear M5 confirmation.
Stay sharp, stay selective. Don’t chase, let price come to your zone.
🔔 Like this style of analysis? Drop a comment, follow and subscribe, or share your views with the community. Let’s grow together. 🫱🏽🫲🏽
#GoldMinds #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #FVG #SniperEntry
Bullish continuation?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,156.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,083.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,242.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.