Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, forming a gap up on the daily chart. It showed a strong, one-directional rebound up to the 5-week moving average on the weekly chart.
Since the 5-week MA overlaps with the 60-week MA, it's unlikely to break through easily without a short-term correction.
On the daily chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, meaning that even if a pullback occurs, the strategy should remain buy-on-dip oriented.
There is still an open gap down to 19,960, which could be filled at any time—so it's important to consider the possibility of a retest of that level. If the gap is filled, that area could be a good support zone to buy from.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum entered around the zero line, confirming a breakout after basing in a range. Therefore, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred approach in this structure.
Crude Oil
Crude oil continued its upward move, closing higher on the daily chart.
With strong support around the $68 level, the market could potentially rise toward the $70 zone, and possibly test resistance between $70–$71, which is a key area to watch closely.
Overall, traders should continue to buy on dips, but be cautious with chasing long positions above $70. If taking short positions, they should be managed with tight stop-losses.
On the 240-minute chart, oil appears to be in the midst of a third wave rally, so any short positions should be considered above $70, while buying pullbacks remains valid.
Current Middle East tensions and U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil are contributing to a supply risk premium in oil prices.
Since the market is recovering from the lows and showing a positive technical setup, short trades should be managed carefully with proper risk control.
Gold
Gold closed lower, remaining within its range-bound structure. On the daily chart, gold is currently trading between the 3-day and 5-day MAs above, and the 10-day MA below, forming a narrow consolidation zone. This makes sell-at-highs and buy-at-lows strategies effective.
Since there's room for a pullback to the 5-week MA on the weekly chart, chasing longs is not advised. If the MACD crosses below the signal line, this could create a bearish divergence, leading to potential sharp downside, so caution is warranted.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is failing to break above the signal line and continues to decline. However, since the signal line remains above the zero line, a rebound attempt is likely, even if the MACD dips below zero.
Given the current slope and distance, it's unlikely that a golden cross will form soon. Also, traders should keep in mind that major economic data such as GDP and PCE reports are scheduled later this week, which could influence market direction.
If you can understand the daily chart structure, you can better anticipate intraday high/low ranges and potential wave patterns. Make it a habit to perform thorough daily chart analysis each day, and prepare a trading scenario that suits the market’s behavior. As always, questions are welcome.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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Metals
gold! with its enchanting shimmerAh, gold! 🤩 My dear friend, the darling of everyone, with its enchanting shimmer. ✨ Currently trading around $3,010, gold has shown a remarkable respect for Fibonacci levels, reacting logically to each one. 📈 It's like watching a carefully choreographed dance, where every step is precise and calculated. 💃
Personally, I'm seeing a selling opportunity here, with the first target at $2,971. 📉 While I can't say exactly when, it could be within a few days, or perhaps a bit longer. Time will tell! ⏳
Now, folks, remember to trade safely! 🛡️ Strict adherence to risk and capital management is crucial. These markets can be unpredictable, and we need to protect our investments. 💼
And a friendly reminder: this is not financial advice! 🙏 Please, please, please do your own research before making any decisions. Knowledge is power, and in the world of trading, it's your best ally. 🧠 Always be responsible and informed! 🧐
Daily bias for Spot gold #xauusd I have spotted an absolute Low so we should definitely see some bullish pressure on gold for the rest of the day
Take a look at my markup as I have marked previous day high and low and from experience determined that the previous days low is an absolute low so we should definitely see some bullish pressure building up as the day goes on.
GOLD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GOLD made a retest of the
Horizontal support of 3000$
And we are seeing a bullish
Reaction so we are bullish
Biased and we can enter
A long trade with the TP
Of 3023$ and the SL of 2997$
LONG🚀
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Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 24.03.2025Gold has been dropping today as I said would happen last night! So what's next?
Option 1: A continuation lower towards $2,980 next which is a huge support zone.
Option 2: Gold pushes a little higher towards $3,040 before it starts to drop.
Which option do you agree with more?
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 24.03.2025Gold has been moving bearish as I said it would & hit our previous TP. So what's next?
Option 1: Gold keeps dropping towards $2,980 next which is a huge support zone.
Option 2: Gold pushes a little higher towards $3,040 before it starts to drop.
Which option do you agree with more?
XAU/USD Analysis: Bearish Pullback Towards $3,000 SupportXAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) Technical Analysis - 1H Chart
1. Price Action & Trend Analysis
The market has been in a strong uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Recently, the price faced resistance near the $3,040 level, leading to a rejection.
A pullback is currently in progress, suggesting a possible retracement to a demand zone.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Zone (Supply Zone): Around $3,040 - $3,045 where price has been rejected multiple times.
Support Zone (Demand Zone): Around $3,000 - $3,005, a previous accumulation area.
Current Price: $3,023.695
3. Market Structure & Expected Move
The price tested the resistance zone, failed to break above, and is now reacting downward.
A bearish projection (as shown in the chart) suggests a potential move toward the $3,000 - $3,005 support zone.
If the price reaches this level and finds buying pressure, we could see a reversal or continuation of the uptrend.
4. Indicators & Confluence Factors
Support-Resistance Flip: The previous support at $3,000 could act as a strong support again.
Bearish Momentum: Short-term price action suggests sellers are gaining control after rejection at resistance.
Liquidity Zones: The highlighted purple zones represent institutional order blocks where significant buy/sell orders exist.
5. Trading Plan & Strategy
Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $3,000, we could see further downside pressure.
Bullish Scenario: A bounce from $3,000 could provide buying opportunities for another attempt at breaking $3,040.
6. Conclusion
The market is currently retracing from resistance, and a short-term bearish move is expected toward $3,000.
Traders should watch for price reaction at $3,000 to determine if it holds as support or breaks for further downside.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Possible Reversal from Resistance XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-day timeframe and shows an ascending channel with key price levels and technical annotations.
Key Observations:
Trend Direction:
The price has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024.
It is currently near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Liquidity & Market Structure:
INT.LQ (Internal Liquidity): This suggests an area where liquidity is expected to be taken before a potential move.
MB Unfilled (Market Balances Unfilled): These indicate inefficiencies in price movement that the market may revisit.
Projected Price Action:
The chart shows a potential short-term pullback from the upper boundary.
Expected retracement towards the "fair value range" around $2,800–$2,850.
If this scenario plays out, it would align with price rebalancing and a healthier uptrend continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $3,050, which aligns with the upper trendline.
Support Zones: Around $2,950 and deeper at $2,800.
Potential Trading Strategy:
Bearish Case: If rejection occurs at $3,050, short opportunities could exist targeting $2,900–$2,850.
Bullish Case: If price retraces and finds strong support in the fair value range, it could resume its uptrend.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Outlook: Key Levels to WatchBuddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾 🗺️
This chart represents the price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showing potential areas of resistance, support, and liquidity zones. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
Analysis of the Chart:
1. Resistance Level (3,023-3,030 zone)
The price has reacted multiple times (red arrows), indicating strong selling pressure.
A fair value gap (FVG) is present, suggesting potential mitigation before further movement.
2. Current Price (3,011.76)
The price is trending downward after rejecting the resistance level.
It is approaching the diamond zone, a potential short-term support before continuation.
3. Key Support Levels:
Diamond Zone (~3,000 region)
Could cause a temporary bounce before further decline.
Order Block (~2,952-2,938 zone)
This is a strong demand zone and a potential target area for price action.
4. Target Levels:
The analyst expects a downward move toward 2,952, aligning with a liquidity grab scenario.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 44.27, suggesting bearish momentum, with the possibility of further downside.
A break below 40 RSI may confirm more selling pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Risk Management Considerations:
Entry: A possible short entry could be around the FVG level (~3,020-3,030) if price retraces.
Stop Loss: Above 3,035 to avoid being trapped in a fake breakout.
Take Profit: Around 2,952-2,938 as per the target point.
USD Update & Impact on Gold:
If USD strengthens, gold may drop further due to their inverse correlation.
Key upcoming economic data (interest rate decisions, inflation reports) could increase volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Platinum- While everyone is chasing Gold’s rally, I’ve got my eyes on Platinum.
- That doesn’t mean Gold is a bad investment, it just means it’s already had its moment.
- Platinum feels “delayed,” but its time is coming.
- Observe closely, this simple graph reveals a tightening triangle.
Remember my first rule: Buy the blood, not the moon.
Stay sharp. Diversify. Never go all in.
Happy Tr4Ding
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,983.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,952.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,028.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We got our Bullish target hit at 3032 with no cross and lock above confirming the rejection after the hit. We also got our Bearish target hit at 3015 now also following with a cross and lock leaving 2999 Goldturn open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Very smooth flowing price action right now for Gold. After price reached our Wave 5 zone within the green resistance box, we saw bullish momentum slow down & a bearish rejection take place.
We're now seen a break below + a retest of the green resistance zone. We should see bearish momentum continue to the downside in the coming weeks!
GOLD short-term market analysis and signalsGold continued to fall on the daily line, bottomed out and rebounded on Friday. After a sharp retracement of the 3000 mark, the gold price closed above 3020. The daily closing price was still above the MA10/7-day moving average, and the RSI indicator was running at a high value of 70. As of now, the MA10/7-day moving average still remains upward, at 3023/3000 respectively!
In the short-term four-hour chart, the gold price is in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the MA10/7-day moving average opens downward. The current resistance point is 3028 and the middle track of the Bollinger Band is 3032. The RSI indicator returns to the middle axis 50 value for consolidation. The hourly chart RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the price is in the middle track of the Bollinger Band. It is expected that the market will be consolidated in a large range at the beginning of this week!
After the market rose to the 3057 line, long positions took profits, and the market ran downward, with the lowest price reaching 2999. The current decline is just a correction to the previous rise. After the correction, continue to be bullish!
As for whether the correction is over, from the perspective of form, considering the current technical side is bearish, short-term operations are mainly sold at high levels below 3038, and then consider buying at low prices.
Key points:
First support: 3013, second support: 3005, third support: 2992
First resistance: 3030, second resistance: 3035, third resistance: 3046
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3000-3003, SL: 2992, TP: 3020-3030;
Sell: 3037-3040, SL: 3048, TP: 3020-3010;
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would anticipate a potential curveball and that being that price may just support on the open at the immediate support level and give the move upside into the 3010 and above that 3020 region which was achieved. We then updated traders with the FOMC report suggesting a further move upside into the 3050-55 region which is where we suggested the potential short will come from.
After the push up into the level and then some accumulation, Friday gave us the volume we needed to break away from the range and complete the move downside to end the week.
Again, nearly all of our bias level targets were completed, the bias level worked well, Excalibur performed well and the red box indi’s worked a dream, even in the choppy market conditions.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have an issue with gold at the moment, although it’s broken the immediate range, it’s still above 3000 with a larger range low around the 2990 and below that 2970-75 region. That potential swing point below is an area of interest for us this week and leading up towards the end of the month. For that reason, if we can support at the first red box below, and continue the move that started on Friday up into those 3025, 3030 and above that 3035-7 price points we’ll want to monitor this careful for a reversal to form. If we can get it, an opportunity to add or take the short may be available to traders, this time in attempt to break below the 3000 level into those lower support level mentioned and shown on the chart, which also correspond with the red boxes. As many of you have seen over the last year or so, we’ve been sharing these indicator boxes on the 4H for the wider community for free, as they are extremely powerful in identifying turning points and entry and exit points for traders. So let’s keep an eye on them this week for the break and closes, RIP’s and rejections.
We’re mostly looking for this one move to complete, however, there has to be a flip! This week, the flip is breaking above that 3035-37 level which will also be this week’s bias level. If we do breach, we’ll be looking at this to then continue higher, breaking 3050 and then resuming the move into the active Excalibur targets above which ideally, we don't want to see happen yet!
So, we know we want higher, what we do want though is better entry levels for the longs, until then, if we can capture these short trades we’ll of course gratefully take them.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 3040 with targets below 3010, 3006, 2997, 2985 and below that 2978
Bullish on break of 3040 with targets above 3050, 3055, 3063 and above that 3067
RED BOXES:
Break above 3037 for 3040, 3047, 3050, 3055, 3063 and 3066 in extension of the move
Break below 3010 for 3006, 3000, 2997, 2990 and 2985 in extension of the move
This should give you an idea of your levels, please use them!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
HelenP. I Gold will continue to move up in rising channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong bullish rally, Gold broke above the resistance around 3000 and continued moving inside the ascending channel. The price reached the 3060 area before starting a correction. This pullback brought the price back to the previously broken resistance — now acting as support — and also to the trend line and lower boundary of the channel. Buyers quickly reacted from this zone, confirming their strength and interest in higher levels. Now the price is trading above the Support Zone, and the overall market structure remains bullish. The reaction from the 3000 level shows that this area is well protected by buyers, and the trend line continues to hold. This setup creates a high-probability scenario for a further upward move. As long as the price stays above 3000 and within the channel, I expect XAUUSD to continue rising toward the 3080 points — my current goal. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and represents the next resistance area, where we may see some profit-taking. Given the recent price action, the impulse move, and the bounce from the support zone, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold has reached the TOP? Time to short Gold?Gold has reached the TOP? Time to short Gold?
Gold has been bullish for more than 28 months strike. It has also been topped the 3000 level.
When everybody rush for gold, I think we need to examine our position again.
If we look further on the lower timeframe, let's say H1; we can see vividly gold is creating the perfect Head and Shoulders pattern. I think, it's time to take a reverse position to start shorting the gold.
GOLD INTRADAY, Overbought sideways consolidation capped by 3060Trend Analysis:
Gold price action exhibits a bullish sentiment, underpinned by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday movement appears to be a corrective sideways consolidation, suggesting that the bullish momentum remains intact despite short-term profit-taking and consolidation.
Key Level (3000):
The critical trading level to watch is 3000, which marks the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish bounce, would reaffirm the strength of the uptrend and could trigger further buying interest.
Resistance Levels:
If the bullish sentiment prevails and the price bounces back from the 3000 level, the upside targets include:
3060 - Immediate resistance level.
3082 - Secondary resistance level.
3100 - Long-term bullish target.
Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, a confirmed loss of the 3000 support level, accompanied by a daily close below it, would negate the bullish outlook. This breakdown could pave the way for a deeper retracement, targeting:
2984 - Initial downside support.
2951 - Major support zone.
Conclusion:
The Gold market remains bullish amid the prevailing uptrend, with the 3000 level acting as a critical support. A successful bounce from this level would likely see the continuation of the upward movement toward 3060, 3082, and 3100. However, a confirmed break below 3000 could trigger a deeper correction, opening the way for a retest of 2984 and 2951 support levels. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 3000 mark to gauge the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold starts to pull back, continue to shortSince gold has already started to adjust at a high level, and gold bears have gradually started to exert their strength, can gold fall below 3000 again? We will wait and see.
Operation ideas:
It is recommended to go short at 3035-3030, stop loss at 3045, and target at 3005-3000;
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-24-25 : Bozu Trending PatternToday's Bozu Trending pattern suggests a very aggressive price move is likely. I believe this move will be to the upside after my weekend research suggested we are moving into a "blow-off" topping pattern that will act as a Bull Trap.
Overall, I belive the SPY/QQQ have about 2-3 days up upward price trending early this week, then the markets will suddenly roll into a topping pattern and start to aggressively move downward.
The next base/bottom of the continued downward price trend sets up in early/mid April. The March 21-24 base/bottom is likely the minor base/bottom we have seen over the past 3-5+ days.
I believe the breakdown in the SPY/QQQ late this week and into next week will result in a new lower low - causing the Consolidation phase of this downturn to extend down to the 520-525 level on the SPY.
Bitcoin is very close to my $88,000 upper target level (only about $250 off that level). Get ready, BTCUSD should make an aggressive move downward after stalling near the FWB:88K level peak.
Gold and Silver are moving into a trending mode. I believe both Gold and Silver will rally this week and into the next few weeks as we expand into the Expansion phase.
Buckle up. If my research is correct, we are going to see a BIG ROLLOVER this week.
Get some.
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