GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation
Gold is retesting a recently broken trend line of a bullish flag
pattern that I shared with you earlier.
A double bottom pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
provide a strong intraday confirmation.
I think that the price may rise to 3392 level.
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Metals
Mechanical rangesMany traders will talk about things like "Smart Money Concepts" (SMC) and think they have found something new.
The truth is, everything in trading stems back to Liquidity.
There is no "Algo" nobody is out to get you specifically. The market is always right, where you position yourself is your own choice.
I have written several posts on mechanical trading, recorded a number of streams. The more mechanical you can make the process, the less the emotions have a chance to kick your ass.
Let me give you a very simple method of being able to identify the ranges. Ignore the timeframes as this will work on any of them, on most instruments. (I say most, as some behave differently due to how it attracts liquidity). Lets assume high end crypto such as Bitcoin (BTC) and of course Forex in the general sense, stocks, commodities etc.
This is simple - only 2 rules.
You start by zooming out and giving yourself a general feel for the trend.
Let's say this looks to be an uptrend - we now need to understand the rules.
An opposing candle can simply be defined by a different colour. If the trend is up (Green) and we see a red candle - then it's an opposing candle.
The inverse is true, if we are down and the trend is Red. Then a Green candle would be opposing.
This is only half of the story. The second rule is a pullback candle or even a sequence of candles. This simply means either the very same opposing candle that doesn't make a new high or low (depending on the trend up not making fresh highs or down not taking new lows).
In this image, you can see we have in one candle both an opposing and pullback in one candle. This means we can now mark the high of the range. Working backwards to identify the swing range low.
This easy method means I can draw a range exactly the same and mechanically every single time.
Giving me a mechanical range.
We could then get a lot more technical by looking for liquidity, 50% of the range or places such as supply or demand areas.
But these are all for other posts.
For now, getting a range on the higher timeframes means you can work down and down into a timeframe you are likely to want to trade on.
These ranges will give clues to draws and runs of liquidity.
This will also help identify changes in the character and fresh breaks of structure.
Here's another post I posted on the mechanical structures and techniques.
More in the next post.
Have a great week!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
XAUUSD H4Gold is forming a bullish structure on the 4H chart. Price is consolidating at a key reversal zone (Point C). If we get bullish confirmation, I’m targeting:
$3,400 short-term
$3,500 next
$3,560+ final leg (Point P)
Support at $3,300 must hold—below that, I’ll re-evaluate.
Watching closely for a breakout and retest above the trendline before entering.
Not financial advice – just my view.
DeGRAM | GOLD bullish takeover from support📊 Technical Analysis
● The XAUUSD 4-hour chart, as shown in the upper right corner, presents a clear bullish structure within a well-defined rising channel. Price action has consistently respected both the lower and upper boundaries of this channel, with multiple bounces off support levels reinforcing the trend. Recently, the chart highlights a “bullish takeover” after a brief pullback, where price found support at 3,345.47 and quickly reclaimed ground above the channel’s median. The forecasted path, illustrated by the projected arrows, suggests a continuation toward the resistance zone at 3,431.14, with the channel’s upper boundary acting as a dynamic target. The presence of higher lows and the swift recovery from the latest dip further confirm the underlying bullish momentum.
● The technical setup is strengthened by the clear identification of support and resistance levels. The 3,293.50 area has repeatedly served as a strong base, while the 3,431.14 level is marked as the next significant resistance. The rising channel itself provides a visual framework for the ongoing uptrend, and the recent bullish engulfing pattern at support signals renewed buying interest. The chart’s structure, with its clean trendlines and labeled zones, points to a high-probability scenario for further gains as long as price remains within the channel.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for continued upside in gold. As of June 22-23, 2025, gold is trading near 3,364, with market sentiment buoyed by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent global economic uncertainty. While Citi has revised its long-term gold forecasts downward, Bank of America maintains a bullish outlook, citing safe-haven demand amid US military actions and inflation concerns. Additionally, the latest data shows that gold remains above key moving averages, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding near neutral, suggesting room for further upside. The combination of technical resilience and supportive macro factors continues to attract buyers to gold as a hedge against volatility.
✨ Summary
● XAUUSD is poised for a move toward 3,431.14, with the rising channel and recent bullish takeover pattern supporting the case for further gains. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above 3,345.47, with 3,293.50 serving as a critical support. A sustained break above resistance could open the path to new highs, while a drop below channel support would warrant a reassessment of the trend.
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 23Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3450, support 3338
4-hour chart resistance 3395, support 3342
1-hour chart resistance 3373, support 3345
Today's gold trend, due to the geopolitical risk aversion caused by the weekend news, the gold price quickly rose and then fell, opening high and moving low. Today, the gold price fell to a low of 3347 and rebounded. At present, the gold price remains in the range of fluctuations. The trend of short-term gold prices fluctuates and falls. In terms of operation, don't rush to chase high prices. Although conflicts in the Middle East have been frequent recently, it seems that the impact on gold prices has also begun to weaken! The short-term key support position below is near 3340, and the important pressure position is near 3370-75
SELL:3372near
SELL:3400near
BUY:3350near
Safe-Haven Flows Lift Silver Near $36.10Silver (XAG/USD) rose near $36.10 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak as rising Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. The gain followed US airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites Sunday. Iran vowed to respond, while Trump warned any retaliation would be met with greater force.
Escalation risks continue to support silver. Additionally, Fed Governor Waller signaled a possible rate cut as early as July. Dovish Fed comments and lower rates tend to increase silver demand by making it more affordable globally.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Middle East Conflict Keeps Gold ElevatedGold traded near $3,360 per ounce in choppy conditions on Monday, as investors closely watched developments in the intensifying Middle East conflict following U.S. involvement in Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Over the weekend, U.S. forces targeted Iran’s three main nuclear facilities, with President Donald Trump warning of further action unless Tehran agrees to peace. The eruption of war between Israel and Iran has added new fuel to a rally that has pushed gold prices up nearly 30% this year.
Resistance is seen at $3,395, while support holds at $3,316.
Gold:bullish wedge inside a rising channel-double trap for bearsInside the major upward channel, gold formed a falling wedge — and, of course, faked a breakdown. But the move reversed quickly: price reclaimed the wedge, surged on volume, and held above the key 3363–3368 area. This isn't just a bounce — it's a structural reclaim in line with the broader trend.
Price is now in the upper part of the rising channel and has broken a local downtrend line, reinforcing the bullish signal. Consolidation around 3380–3395 might be the last pause before acceleration. Above that lies a volume gap — no resistance until 3452.
MACD is flipping bullish, RSI turning upward, and volume confirms smart money presence. Classic: trap below, breakout above. As long as 3363 holds — longs remain in control.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be ideally be looking for the market to open, give us a high into that red box region 3455-60 and then give the reaction we wanted for the short trade. We didn’t quite hit that level falling just shy, but the move did present itself and as you can see all the bearish below red box targets were completed as well as KOG’s bias of the week targets which was bearish below 3465.
We then posted the FOMC KOG Report in which we suggested looking for price to continue the move as long as the bias level stood, which it did and we got another move downside, but again, falling just shy of the level we wanted to then attempt that swing long.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
As we suggested on Friday, it would be a good idea for traders to be sitting neutral on the markets with minimum to zero exposure anticipating gaps and glitches across the markets on open. This news was expected so those who played discipline should be cash in account, which is also a position in the markets.
We have key levels now 3350-55 support with extension 3340 which will need to break downside for us to go lower, while support there should take us up towards the 3385-90 level initially, which is the level to look for a potential RIP for the scalp short. This will give us the flip, red box activation 3380-75 which if held should allow us to complete the move to break through the 3400 level with red box target 3445 and above that 3451. This is based on there being a completely aggressive move from the open upside.
On the flip, break below key level here 3335 and 3320 is the first level to consider which will continue the path we wanted from last week. Ideally, not for this news and potential for this to spike upside, we would have stuck with the plan from last week. Difference now, we need more buyers higher up and a potential test on that high again.
Key Levels:
Red box defence 3375-80, needs to be broken
Red box defence 3350, needs to be broken
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375, 3390, 3395 and above that 3410
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3310, 3306 and below that 3298
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3375 for 3378, 3390, 3395, 3406, 3410 and 3419 in extension of the move
Break below 3365 for 3355, 3350, 3340, 3336, 3330 and 3323 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD descending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is compressing in a descending wedge at the channel floor (3 343-3 350). Repeated long-tailed rejections hint at seller exhaustion while RSI makes higher lows, flagging hidden strength.
● A 30 min close above the wedge roof (≈ 3 357) should trigger a measured move to the intra-channel resistance band at 3 371, then the prior pivot at 3 383.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Thursday’s softer US Philly Fed index and a slip in 2-yr real yields cooled the dollar, reviving bullion bids; meanwhile Chinese customs data show May gold imports up 18 % m/m, underscoring physical demand.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 345-3 355; wedge breakout >3 357 targets 3 371 ➜ 3 383. Long view void on a 30 min close below 3 335.
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XAUUSD – Is Gold About to Break Out of Balance? Market Overview As the U.S. dollar maintains its upward momentum fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for an extended period, gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading near the key Point of Control (POC) for June. The consolidation around the $3,350–$3,360 zone indicates a temporary balance of supply and demand, and the market appears to be gearing up for a strong directional breakout in the upcoming sessions.
Detailed Technical Analysis ✅ Volume Profile & Price Structure
POC (highest volume level): $3,360 – the central volume area for the week/month
Current price: $3,353 – just below the POC, reflecting selling pressure dominance
Price is reacting to the demand zone at $3,343–$3,345, with significant volume support below
Short-term reversal signals from ParLE and ParSE indicators suggest a potential market shift
🔍 Key Resistance Levels:
$3,360 – POC and immediate resistance zone
$3,398 – previous supply zone with strong rejection history
$3,451 – Fibonacci extension high and the strongest resistance for the month
🔍 Key Support Levels:
$3,345 – high-volume support cluster
$3,343 – Fibonacci and dynamic support zone
$3,276 – final support before mid-term structure breakdown
🎯 XAUUSD Trading Strategy for Today (June 23, 2025) 🔻 Primary Scenario: SHORT based on short-term bearish structure
Entry: $3,358–$3,360 (on POC retest + bearish rejection candle)
Stop Loss: $3,370
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,343
TP3: $3,327
Probability: High, if price remains below POC
🔺 Alternative Scenario: LONG if price holds $3,343 support
Entry: $3,343–$3,345 (strong bullish candlestick setup in demand zone)
Stop Loss: $3,330
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,360 (POC)
TP2: $3,383
TP3: $3,398
⚠️ Risk Warning & Macro Factors to Watch
The USD Index is surging – applying downward pressure on gold
Fed's short-term rate projections (FedWatch Tool) reflect “no cut” expectations through Q3
Traders should maintain tight risk management within high-volume zones to avoid false breakouts
Follow @Henrybillion ” to stay updated with the most accurate and actionable XAUUSD trading ideas every day!
Gold in a Tug of War – Consolidation or Comeback?After a quiet trading week, XAUUSD is hovering around 3,368 USD, trapped between hawkish central bank policies and prolonged geopolitical tension in the Middle East.
Despite safe-haven demand sparked by the Israel–Iran conflict, Fed, BOE, and SNB holding interest rates high conti
From a technical perspective, gold is struggling to break through the 3,385 USD confluence resistance zone. A rejection at this level could trigger a short-term pullback toward 3,330 USD or lower.
In my view, this is a healthy consolidation phase—not a reversal. Don’t underestimate the bulls. The long-term uptrenpullbacks may offer strate.
What about you—do you believe gold is gearing up for another rally? Drop your take below.
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones.
🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold?
📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold.
💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors.
⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market.
📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume.
Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond.
Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback.
✅ Trade Setup
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
⚠️ Final Thoughts
The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike.
Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis-23 June 2025Gold (spot XAU/USD) is currently trading around $3,358. On the 4-hour chart, price has been range-bound between $3,356 and $3,400. Recently, gold attempted to break higher (up to around $3,394) but quickly reversed — a sign that the breakout may have been a smart money trap. Technically, the structure saw a break below $3,380 in mid-June, leading to a push toward the $3,323 region. This reflects a short-term bearish wave followed by stabilization near the lows.
Bias: The market is currently neutral-to-bullish, depending on key supports. As long as price holds above the $3,322–$3,330 swing-lows, dips are considered buying opportunities. Notably, an order block/demand zone around $3,357–$3,360 appears to be holding well and attracting buyers. On the upside, $3,400 acts as a strong resistance level. A break above $3,400 would shift the bias firmly bullish, while a break below $3,338 would suggest bearish momentum returning.
🔑 Key 4H Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance:
• $3,400 – Major round number and recent high
• $3,434–$3,435 – Next resistance above $3,400
• $3,451–$3,452 – Recent swing top
• $3,500 – All-time-high level
Supply Zone:
• $3,388–$3,394 – Minor resistance and previous support turned supply
Demand Zone (Order Block):
• $3,357–$3,360 – Major 4H demand area showing strong buyer interest
Support:
• $3,338 – Critical support level below the order block
• $3,322–$3,323 – Multi-source key swing support
• $3,280–$3,300 – Lower targets if support fails
• $3,260 or below – Worst-case downside projection if breakdown accelerates
📈 1-Hour Intraday Trade Setups
Buy the Dip
• Entry: $3,357–$3,360
• Confirmation: Bullish reversal candle on 1H
• Stop Loss: Below $3,336
• Targets: $3,380 → $3,400
Sell a Rejected Rally
• Entry: Near $3,400 (only if clear rejection is seen)
• Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or price stalling
• Stop Loss: Above $3,400
• Targets: $3,360 → $3,330
Breakdown Short
• Entry: If price breaks below $3,338 with strong 1H close
• Stop Loss: Above $3,345
• Targets: $3,323 → $3,300
Bullish Breakout Trade
• Entry: Break and retest above $3,400
• Confirmation: Clean 1H close above $3,400
• Stop Loss: Just below $3,400
• Targets: $3,434 → $3,452
✅ Final Takeaway
Gold is currently trading inside a $3,330–$3,400 range. The best intraday opportunity is to buy dips into the $3,357–$3,360 demand zone with a stop below $3,330, targeting $3,400+. If support breaks, flip to short toward $3,320–$3,300.
GOLD recovers market overview, key outlookOANDA:XAUUSD is under downward pressure, and ended last week's trading session with a decline. With tensions in the Middle East easing slightly and the Federal Reserve giving a hawkish signal, the safe-haven demand in the gold market tends to weaken, and investors' profit-taking intentions increase, these are the main reasons why gold recorded a significant correction this week.
Gold prices fell last week as safe-haven demand weakened as tensions in the Middle East temporarily eased. President Trump said he would decide on military action against Iran in the next two weeks, a concession that helped ease fears of an escalation. Although Iran continued to launch missiles at Israel, the situation has not spread. However, the Middle East conflict remains risky and is unlikely to end completely.
Gold prices are under pressure due to the Fed's hawkish tone. Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Chairman Powell warned of inflation risks, especially from Trump's new tax policies. At the same time, Mr. Chris Waller's statement showed that the possibility of a July interest rate cut also depends on the inflation situation, causing market expectations to decrease and negatively affecting gold - a non-interest-bearing asset.
Central banks and institutions maintain bullish medium- and long-term expectations
Despite short-term pressures, most institutions maintain positive medium-term expectations for gold. Goldman Sachs reiterated its target of $4,000/oz by 2025, while Citigroup believes gold could fall below $3,000/oz by 2026.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has once again bounced from the EMA21 and reached its initial upside target at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement of $3,371, as noted in previous editions. For now, for gold to qualify for its next upside target at the raw price of $3,400, it needs to sustain price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, which means the 0.236% Fibonacci level is also the closest resistance at present.
Once gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will be in a position to continue its short-term rally with a target of around $3,435, rather than the all-time high of $3,500.
In terms of overall structure, gold still has a bullish outlook with the price channel as the main trend and RSI remaining above 50 and well away from the overbought zone, suggesting that there is still plenty of upside ahead.
In the case of a sell-off, if gold is sold below the EMA21, it could test the $3,320 support in the short term, more so the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level converging with the lower edge of the price channel. Therefore, early long positions may be considered in terms of volume as well as protection of open positions.
Finally, technically, gold is still trending with an overall bullish outlook, with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,320 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 – $3,500
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3312 - 3314⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3308
→Take Profit 1 3320
↨
→Take Profit 2 3326
Gold Slumps Sharply – Has the Rate-Cut Hope Faded?Gold prices are under intense selling pressure after the Bank of England, the Swiss National Bank, and the Federal Reserve all decided to keep interest rates elevated. This unified stance underscores persistent inflation concerns, driving up the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. As a result, investors rushed to take profits, sending XAUUSD down over 200 pips in just one session.
Adding fuel to the fire, the Fed’s latest monetary policy report to Congress warned that inflation could rise to 3% by year-end, higher than previous projections. Moreover, the Fed trimmed expectations for rate cuts in 2025 and beyond, signaling a longer road to policy easing.
🔎 What does this mean for gold's short-term outlook?
With high rates here to stay and the Fed's cautious stance, gold remains vulnerable to further downside in the near term. However, if upcoming U.S. economic data shows signs of significant weakness, gold may regain favor as a safe-haven asset.
At the time of writing, XAUUSD is trading around $3,347, a critical zone that may determine whether the current drop continues or finds a bottom.
Do you believe this dip will deepen—or is it a golden opportunity to buy the pullback? Share your thoughts below!
New Week! New Opportunities on GOLD! With the recent activity in the middle east expecting prices to continue bullish. I was looking for this move last week but it seems the holiday delayed the process. If we can get a full breakout above the previous daily High level that will be confidence that we are moving bullish for the rest of the week.
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish ReversalBased on the M15 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 3367-3365, a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3346.73, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 3384.55, a pullback resistance.
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Weekly Market Forecast: Wait To Buy S&P, NAS, & OIL!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 22-28th.
The tensions in the Middle East take center stage, as Iran has signaled they are willing to discuss limitations on there Uranium enrichment program. This could allow outflows from safe havens and inflows to risk assets.
Keep and eye on Silver for shorts, in the near term, though.
Let's see if the market tilts its hand early next week. Monday should bring clarity.
Wait for confirmations before entering trades. A break of structure would be ideal! Enter on the pullback to that structure point.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold Under Pressure – Will the 3,385 Zone Hold?Hello everyone, let’s dive into gold price action together!
Following decisions from the Fed, BOE, and SNB to hold interest rates steady, gold continues to face downward pressure. High interest rates reflect a firm stance on inflation, pushing short-term capital away from non-yielding assets like gold.
On the chart, gold closed the session near $3,368, showing little change from previous candles. The precious metal is still being rejected at a key confluence resistance zone (EMA 34, EMA 89, and a prior consolidation area). As long as price fails to break above $3,385, the downside scenario remains favored.
If this resistance holds, my next move would be to sell, targeting a drop to $3,300—a zone where buyers previously stepped in.
What about you? Do you see gold heading lower too?