Important breakdown in the Gold & Silver ratio !!!This is a heads up that concerns the PM sector as well as all other assets.
An important breakdown just happened in the Gold & Silver ratio. This means precious metals bull resumes and SILVER will now overperform gold !! We are now in back test mode !
For the other asset classses this is good news also, because this breakdown in the ratio signifies the return of (asset) inflation. So this is good for stocks and crypto also.
It remains to be seen whether PM's will outperform stocks. My guess is YES.
Metals
Skeptic | Gold Analysis: Risk Management Amid Weakening MomentumWelcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and today we’re analyzing XAUUSD.
In my previous analysis , our long trigger at 2994.16 was activated, and by now, you should be sitting on an R/R above 5. The major trend on the daily timeframe is s till uptrend , but we’re sensing more trend weakness than ever.
⚠️ This doesn’t mean we skip a long position when our trigger activates—just that we should manage risk more cautiously.
On the 1H timeframe , it seems we’ve formed an upward channel , with clean reactions to the mid-line, ceiling, and floor. It’s worth noting that during the formation of this channel:
RSI has been declining
ADX is also decreasing
This indicates reduced trader interest in maintaining the bullish channel and hints at potential trend weakness. Considering all this, we have a slight short bias today, meaning we might assign a bit more weight to the short side.
Short Setup:
Trigger: Break below 3024.52 (coinciding with RSI entering the oversold zone)
Long Setup:
Trigger: Break above 3057.64
Thanks for sticking around! Let me know your thoughts, and see you in the next analysis! 💪🔥
Happy Eid to all my Persian friends! <3 :)))
XAUUSD Technical insights and possible trading strategies **1. Trend Analysis (Bullish setup)
- The price is currently in an **uptrend**, confirmed by the **higher highs and higher lows**.
- The **ascending trendline** acts as a dynamic support level.
- The **price is above the 50 EMA**, which usually signals a bullish trend.
- However, it's currently testing support, and a break below could shift momentum.
**2. Key Support & Resistance Levels**
- **Support Zone ($3,042 - $3,046, marked in red)**
- Price has previously bounced from this area.
- The **50 EMA** is also near this support, adding strength.
- If this level holds, it could act as a buying zone.
- **Resistance Zone ($3,050 - $3,060, marked in green)**
- Price faced rejection from this zone earlier.
- A breakout above this resistance could signal further upside.
- If the price fails to break, it may consolidate or retrace.
**3. Moving Averages Analysis**
- **7 EMA ($3,048.844) & 21 EMA ($3,047.889)**
- Short-term EMAs are **very close to price action**, indicating consolidation.
- If the **7 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA**, it could signal short-term weakness.
- **50 EMA ($3,042.649)**
- A **critical dynamic support** level.
- If the price bounces from here, the bullish trend remains intact.
- A breakdown could trigger a deeper pullback.
**4. Possible Trading Strategies**
**📈 Bullish Setup (Buy Scenario)**
- **Entry:** Look for **bullish confirmation (green candle, higher low)** near the support zone ($3,042 - $3,046).
- **Target:** Initial target near resistance at **$3,050 - $3,060**, then **$3,070+**.
- **Stop-Loss:** Below **$3,040** (just under the trendline and 50 EMA).
**📉 Bearish Setup (Sell Scenario)**
- **Entry:** If price **closes below $3,042**, it could indicate a breakdown.
- **Target:** Next support area around **$3,030** or lower.
- **Stop-Loss:** Above **$3,050** (in case of a false breakdown).
**5. Volume Confirmation**
- **Low volume near support** → Risk of breakdown.
- **High volume breakout above resistance** → Strong bullish move.
- **Divergence (price rising but volume dropping)** → Weak trend, possible reversal.
**Conclusion:**
- **Watch price action near $3,046 support**—a bounce could lead to new highs.
- **If support breaks, be ready for a pullback to $3,030 or lower.**
- **Confirm moves with volume before entering trades.**
XAUUSDTrade Setup:
Entry: Around $3,046 (current price region).
Stop Loss: $3,039, below a key support area (FVG zone).
Take Profit: $3,077, targeting a higher resistance level.
Key Zones:
FVG (Fair Value Gap) at $3,039: This is an area where price may find liquidity and potentially bounce.
Support at $3,045.59: Price is holding this level, and a break below might indicate further downside.
Resistance at $3,077: The take-profit level aligns with previous resistance.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Bias: The price may continue upwards if it holds above $3,045.
Risk-Reward: The setup has a favorable risk-reward ratio, with a stop loss around $3,039 and a target at $3,077.
keep stop lose
Gold Holds Near Record $3,050Gold hovered near a record $3,050, supported by Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. The Fed reaffirmed plans for 50 bps cuts this year amid rising economic uncertainty, driving gold.
Middle East tensions escalated as Israel resumed ground operations in Gaza after an airstrike ended a two-month ceasefire. The US continued strikes on Houthi targets, with Trump warning Iran over future incidents.
Trade concerns persisted ahead of new tariffs in April, following the US’s 25% duty on steel and aluminum in February.
Key resistance stands at $3082, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.
Gold: Key Levels to Watch TodayGold is rising, forming a series of flag-like patterns. Only a few hours remain until the FOMC decision, which could determine the next leg of this move or break the short-term cycle, leading to a retest of the 3000 level. Key levels to watch are 3025 as support and 3045 as resistance.
On the downside, the first target is the 3000–3006 zone, which includes both the psychologically significant 3000 level and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
On the upside, a breakout could target 3075, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Could the price drop from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 3,052.78
1st Support: 3,020.46
1st Resistance: 3,059.37
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone?📊 XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup
🔹 Market Structure: Gold has been in a strong uptrend, with price currently consolidating near a key demand zone.
🔹 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance: $3,050 - $3,060 (Potential target)
🟣 Demand Zone: $3,030 - $3,035 (Support area)
🟠 Deeper Support: $3,025 (Break below weakens bullish bias)
📈 Potential Trade Setup:
1️⃣ A possible pullback into the demand zone could attract buyers.
2️⃣ Price may wick below liquidity before reversing.
3️⃣ If support holds, we anticipate a move toward $3,050+.
✅ Entry Zone: $3,030 - $3,035
🎯 Target: $3,050 - $3,060
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $3,025
⚠️ Watch for price action confirmation before entering. A strong bullish candle from support could signal entry. Let the market show its hand! 🚀✨
$Gold: Approaching A Pivotal Level - 3/19/2025Gold is approaching a pivotal milestone: the $3,060 mark! Since the bull run began in January 2016 at $1,046, prices have surged an impressive 190%. The big question now is—will this be the peak that signals the end of the rally and the start of a correction? Only time will tell as we near this critical level! 📈✨
Let's watch closely to see how the story unfolds. Cheers!
#Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends"
Gold Above $3,000 and MoreAccording to the World Gold Council, more than 600 tons of gold — valued at around $60 billion — have been transported into vaults in New York. Why are they doing that?
Since Donald Trump election in November, there is around $60 billion worth of gold that has flowed into a giant stockpile in New York.
The reason why physical gold is flowing into the US is because traders are afraid Trump might put tariffs on gold.
Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: GC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
Micro Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 er troy ounce = $1.00
1Ounce Gold Futures
Ticker: 1OZ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 per troy ounce = $0.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
XAUUSD: Topped. Correction to 2,815 imminent.Gold is overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 72.881, MACD = 47.430, ADX = 30.048) and is headed for the top (HH) of the 3 month Channel Up. The 1D RSI is on the very same LH formation as the top of the previous Channel Up on October 30th 2024. That resulted to a 1D MA100 pullback on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Consequently, we turn bearish here, aiming for the 0.5 Fib (TP = 2,815).
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart levels are being respected and playing out, as analysed in true level to level fashion.
After completing all our Bullish targets 2993, 3011 and 3029, all confirmed with cross and lock, we then confirmed a lock above 3029 opening 3049 yesterday. We got the nice move up but just short of the full gap, which then followed with a rejection into the lower Goldturn for the bounce, giving us plenty of opportunities to milk the bounces just like we stated.
We still have the gap remaining open and we are seeing price play between two weighted levels. We will now look for either level to be tested and broken with cross and lock to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3029 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3029 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Trading Is Not Gambling : Become A Better Trade Part IOver the last few weeks/months, I've tried to help hundreds of traders learn the difference between trading and gambling.
Trading is where you take measured (risk-restricted) attempts to profit from market moves.
Gambling is where you let your emotions and GREED overtake your risk management decisions - going to BIG WINS on every trade.
I think of gambling in the stock market as a person who continually looks for the big 50% to 150%++ gains on options every day. Someone who will pass up the 20%, 30%, and 40% profits and "let it ride to HERO or ZERO" on most trades.
That's not trading. That's flat-out GAMBLING.
I'm going to start a new series of training videos to try to help you understand how trading operates and how you need to learn to protect capital while taking strategic opportunities for profits and growth.
This is not going to be some dumbed-down example of how to trade. I'm going to try to explain the DOs and DO N'Ts of trading vs. gambling.
If you want to be a gambler - then get used to being broke most of the time.
I'll work on this video's subsequent parts later today and this week.
I hope this helps. At least it is a starting point for what I want to teach all of you.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SILVER Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend but the price
Made a bearish correction
And will soon hit a horizontal
Support of 33.35$ from where
We can go long with the
TP of 33.93$ and SL of 33.13$
Buy!
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What is Gold Waiting For? Is This the ATH 3045? In our group, we secured profits in two rounds when gold hit an all-time high of $3045. Currently, we are still focusing on selling at $3040-$3045, as this is the liquidity grab zone for sellers.
I believe we can still trade within the sideway range, and be cautious of the two liquidity sweep zones as I have marked in the image.
Sell Liquidity 3040-3045: We can place Sell Limit orders in this area.
Buy Liquidity 3020-3025: We can place Buy Limit orders in this area.
The reason for this sideway phase of gold is that the market is awaiting the Fed meeting at 1:30 AM tomorrow, March 20th. After that, a strong trend will emerge. My plan is still leaning towards the Buy side, as the market is currently concerned about a potential economic recession in the US.
Therefore, we can focus on making small profits during this sideway period and wait for the next upward wave.
Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
BUBBLE RUN of global marketsTheory! I just like to visualize similar global market events.
NASDAQ:NVDA now vs. Cisco from 1991-2002 — it looks almost identical.
The years 2026-27 could mark the final stage of the current “bubble run”:
> an enormous number of crypto ETFs (even for worthless shitcoins)
> overleveraged funds, from small players to industry leaders
> AI projects with minimal revenue but insanely high infrastructure costs
> soaring Gold prices alongside a decade-long decline in the U.S. manufacturing index, all while the stock market remains expensive
> OpenAI, crypto exchanges, and AI companies with no real revenue planning IPOs in 2026+
I believe we are currently in a Bubble Run!
This could be great for Bitcoin, because historically, Gold (over the past 100 years) has reached all-time highs during the final phase of a stock market bubble and continued rising until the market’s final dip. Then, smart money starts a new bull cycle — selling gold to buy cheap stocks.
GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3029.5
Stop Loss - 3024.7
Take Profit - 3039.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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