GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,341.44 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Metals
Gold price rises by more than $100, will the bull run continue?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
The NY session is about to begin, and there are two things we need to pay attention to. First, the PMI data, and second, the talks between global central bank governors. If Powell again hints that the inflation outlook is weaker than expected, this will increase the Fed's easing bets and trigger a new round of decline in the US dollar. The dovish tone may help gold prices to further rebound. On the contrary, if Powell makes some hawkish or cautious remarks, this may exacerbate the recent downward trend in gold prices. The key point at present is the 3350 mark. If the 4H closing line of the NY session remains below 3350, then in the short term we are expected to continue to retreat to the 3330-3320 range. If the 4H closing line is above 3350 and stabilizes, gold may rebound to the 61.8% position, which is around 3372.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350-3355
TP 3330-3325-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350-3372
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025
Introduction
BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K
Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K
Context 2: Technical Confluence
Liquidation Zone: 106.2K
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K
Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K
Context 3: Market Structure
Pattern: Bullish flag
Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation
Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K
Bullish Scenario
Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone)
Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low
Retests resistance for continuation
Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest
Bearish Scenario
Breaks below 106.2K and flag support
Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K
Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone
Summary
BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a
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Key Technical Insights:
1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone):
Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows).
This area has historically pushed price downward.
2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line):
Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows.
A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal.
3. EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, price is testing resistance — a rejection could flip momentum bearish.
4. Bearish Rejection & Projection:
The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support.
Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79).
A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Trading Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322)
Confirmation: Break of trendline support
Target: 3,228
Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline)
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pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Gold 30 Min Engaged ( Dual Entry's Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3309
Volume Poc + Value
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3284
Volume Poc + Value
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish Wave Coming From Now : 3333
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )
Gold, GC!, Sideway to the Downside (Long Term)06/30/2025, 10:30 PM PT
GC! is currently at its max around 3,500.
On the Weekly MACD, the crossover between MACD lind signal line already happened. There is also a bearish divergence on weekly chart.
On the Daily chart, RSI just crosses below 50 on RSI, and MACD shows weakness on the bull (it still not in the bear's territory just yet).
Reversasl to bear side may happen if price stays below 3,200
Bullish will continues if price break out of all time high
Current range for big timeframe from 3,200 - 3,500
Plan for swing trade:
Bullish Case (short term): break trendline. If hold above 3,360, price could go up to 3,400 -> 3,450
Bearish Case (short term): If price rejects and stays below 3,360, price could go down 3,310 -> 3,280
***Disclaimer: This analysis and trade plan are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Move From Resistance
Gold went overbought after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A formation of multiple bearish imbalance candles on an hourly time frame
signifies a local dominance of the sellers.
The price will continue retracing at least to 3323 support.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-1 : Post Market UpdateToday was a very powerful day for the Cycle Patterns - particularly for Gold and BTCUSD.
Gold rallied as the Cycle Pattern predicted a RALLY in TREND mode.
BTCUSD collapsed on a CRUSH Cycle Pattern.
The SPY Cycle Pattern predicted a Gap Reversal pattern. We did see the Gap today and a moderate reversal in price. But the SPY, as usual, continued to try to melt upward.
I highlighted a very interesting TWINNING pattern in Bitcoin in this video. Pay attention.
Get some.
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Riding Wave (5) Toward 3380 Before ABC Correction📌 Market Context
The current chart shows wave (5) of a larger impulsive structure is still in progress, with price rising from the bottom of wave (4). After a clean wave (1)-(2)-(3)-(4), the market is now pushing upward, targeting the 3380 zone as a likely wave (5) completion.
🟢 Entry Levels (End of Wave 2)
First Entry: 3298
Second Entry: 3279.6
What is Inflation Climate and Weather? Copper is NextThe key driver of most markets — and a major influence on their trends — is inflation.
Once we understand the difference between short-term inflation weather and long-term inflation climate, we can better recognize where risk meets opportunity.
On this half yearly chart. We can see as the close on 30th June, copper settled firmly, closed above its $4.44 resistance that has been tested for years.
This study indicates that copper could be at the beginning of an uptrend. I will be looking out for buying-on-dips opportunities whenever they arise.
Mirco Copper Futures
Ticker: MHG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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Failed Breakout Sets the Stage for Bullish Continuation"Boost it, if you like it (Thanks)"
Gold is showing resilience after a failed breakout attempt, bouncing strongly off the 3,250 support zone. This 4H chart suggests bulls are regaining control, with momentum building toward the next key resistance.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Failed Breakout (Failed MTR Structure): Price briefly dipped below the trendline but reversed sharply, invalidating the bearish move.
Dynamic Support: The ascending trendline near 3,250 has held firm, reinforcing bullish structure.
EMA Structure:
15 EMA: 3,323.84
60 EMA: 3,331.61 Price is now trading above both EMAs, signaling bullish momentum.
Current Price: 3,339.0
Target: 3,434.34 – the first major resistance zone before ATH retest.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This setup reflects a classic “shakeout” – weak hands were flushed out below support, only for price to reclaim the level with strength. This often precedes a strong directional move as confidence returns.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: On a confirmed break above 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,325
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3385
Final TP(x): 3,434.34
⚠️ Watchlist:
Monitor price action near 3,360–3,370 for signs of rejection or continuation.
A clean break above 3,434 opens the door for an ATH retest.
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FailedBreakout #SupportAndResistance #EMA #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldBulls #MarketPsychology
GBP/USD : First Long, Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.3625. I expect a new Fair Value Gap (FVG), formed by the recent sharp drop, to be filled soon.
The first target for this potential move is 1.3650, with the next bullish zone between 1.3670 and 1.3730.
Supply and demand zones are marked on the chart — keep a close eye on how the price reacts to these key levels!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Another beautiful, bearish rejection from our resistance zone on Gold. Our 1st resistance zone of $3,350 is still holding.
If buyers take out this level, another zone to watch out for is the $4,006 - $4,022 zone as there is a lot of pending liquidity sitting around that zone.
XAUUSD: Eyes $3,800 based on this 2 year pattern.Gold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.131, MACD = 4.646, ADX = 13.719) as after last week's selling, it recovered yesterday its 1D MA50, restoring the bullish trend. The long term trend has been extremely bullish after all and the past 2 months have simply been a consolidation stage through a Triangle pattern that worked as accumulation for the next bullish wave. On this 2 year pattern, typical waves rose by at least +22.57%. Once the 1D MA50 turns into a support again, we anticipate that a new Channel Up will push Gold to a TP = 3,800.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Gold retreats as expected, how to trade in the future📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
Our short orders have achieved profits. I closed the position near 3337, turning losses into profits. Interested friends can follow my previous post. In the short term, I am still optimistic that gold will retreat below 3335-3325. Today, gold rose sharply, and the rebound momentum was strong, while the short-term correction was slightly weak, so the space for a second decline in the short term will be limited. If it falls to the 3333-3323 range during the day and gets effective support, you can consider going long. The short-term upper resistance is 3360-3375.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3333-3323-3315
TP 3341-3355-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
GOLD – Bullish Flag Breakout After Demand Zone Test
Price pulled back into the major demand zone (blue area), rejected with a strong wick, and formed a bullish flag structure. The breakout above the flag channel suggests continuation toward recent highs.
Trade Plan:
✅ Entry:
Above 3344 (breakout confirmation)
✅ Stop Loss:
Below 3332 (last swing low)
✅ Target:
3357–3360 (previous resistance zone)
Context:
• Demand zone respected
• EMA support aligning
• Clear breakout candle with volume
Risk Management:
Max risk per trade: 1%
Zoom in M5:
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MJTrading #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading
XAUUSD - Eyes on 3,392 USDAfter breaking out of a multi-day downtrend channel, XAUUSD confirmed a strong bullish breakout and surged toward the 3,333 USD level.
Now, the market appears to be entering a healthy pullback phase, likely revisiting the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 support zone between 3,302 and 3,315 USD before continuing higher.
If this support holds firm, the next upside targets are:
🎯 TP1: 3,358 USD
🎯 TP2: 3,392 USD
Let’s see how price reacts — stay sharp and trade safe!
As expected, it will fall and form a head and shoulders bottom📰 News information:
1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data
2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments
3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market
📈 Technical Analysis:
Yesterday we expected gold to retreat to the 3330-3320 area. Today, gold hit a low of around 3328 during the Asian session, which is in line with our judgment of the market trend. In the short term, gold may still fall. First, it may test the 3323 support line. If it falls back to this position during the day, you can try to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3315-3305 long-short dividing line below. If gold gets effective support below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The short-term decline will accumulate momentum for the future rise. Pay attention to the ADP data during the NY period
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3323-3315-3305
TP 3340-3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,389.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take prpofit: 3,294.89
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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A LITTLE MORE RALLY?After price closed strong bearing the previous week, we have witnessed a massive rally back up into weekly highs. Even after 2 days of rally, this strong bullish pressure doesn't seem to be over looking at today's strong daily closure. We might just see price extend a little further into weekly highs as shown and now based on strong confirmations, a plunge back down into April's lows.
A continuation of the rally may be seen after price taps into the current daily demand region as indicated on the chart. Fingers crossed for confirmations
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)While we currently hold a bearish bias, let's not forget what I said on this previous 'bullish bias' post. I said Gold bullish structure is only invalidated AFTER we see price go BELOW $3,245. Price came very close to our 'Wave 2 low' but did not surpass it.
Just keep an eye out & always be prepared.
ADA/USDT : Get Ready for another Bullrun (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Cardano chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $0.59. After sweeping the liquidity below $0.51, our bullish outlook for the next upward wave has strengthened significantly.
I'm now expecting a strong move from ADA, with short-term targets at $0.61 and $0.76, and longer-term targets at $0.93, $1.05, and $1.33!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban