Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,626.87
1st Support: 2,585.55
1st Resistance: 2,664.92
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Metals
XAUUSD on the way to 2900 Price LevelThe currency pair in focus is XAU/USD, representing the exchange rate between gold (XAU) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price of XAU/USD is 2611, meaning one ounce of gold is valued at 2611 US Dollars. The target price is 2900, indicating a projected increase in gold's value to 2900 USD per ounce. The expected gain is 2000 pips, with each pip representing a small price movement in the currency pair. The pattern being observed is a Symmetrical Triangle, a chart formation that indicates a period of consolidation. In this pattern, the price moves between converging trendlines, suggesting that the market is uncertain and waiting for a breakout. A breakout occurs when the price breaks above the upper trendline or below the lower trendline, signaling a strong price movement. Traders are watching for this breakout, as it could push the price toward the target of 2900. The symmetrical triangle pattern typically leads to a significant price movement once the breakout occurs, making it a key technical indicator. This setup is used by traders to anticipate the direction of the next major move in the market.
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2620.44, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% FIbo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2600, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2636.34, a pullback resistance level.
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GOLD trading liquidity is low during the Christmas holidayAmid sluggish trading during the holiday season, OANDA:XAUUSD decreased slightly, dragged down by the strength of the US Dollar and high US Treasury bond yields. And the market needs to wait for clearer signals from the Federal Reserve's 2025 monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, this signaled fewer rate cuts in 2025, sending gold prices to their lowest since mid-month 11 last week.
While non-yielding gold benefits from the low interest rate environment, the market will need to readjust expectations for the year ahead.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 have weighed on gold prices, and gold will face pressure during the holiday week.
Interest rate cuts initially boosted gold prices, but the Fed's forecast of only two rate cuts by 2025 (down from four in September) sparked a sell-off that sent gold prices to lows. lowest since mid-November.
With economic data limited this week due to the Christmas holiday, gold prices are expected to remain in a tight range. Liquidity remains low, reducing volatility and keeping price action subdued.
Gold has hit multiple record highs this year and is up 27% year to date, its best annual gain since 2010, thanks to strong central bank buying, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy monetary easing by major banks.
President-elect Donald Trump will take office on January 20. The market is about to return to trading in a Donald Trump environment, we cannot forget the trading period when he was in office, how the market fluctuated with his emotions on each line.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to maintain activity below the confluence resistance area noted by readers in yesterday's publication at the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci level, to maintain the trend. main discount.
While the recovery has been limited, gold is also trading above the $2,613 technical level, and gold could fall a bit further with a target of around $2,591 as it is sold below $2,613.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating below 50, which should be considered a negative signal for the trend of gold prices.
During the day, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci, it remains inclined towards a bearish outlook with notable technical points listed as follows.
Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,591USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,643USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2650
→Take Profit 1 2639
↨
→Take Profit 2 2634
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2594 - 2596⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2590
→Take Profit 1 2601
↨
→Take Profit 2 2606
Gold is experiencing a massive sell-off, today's market analysisGold fluctuates in a wide range. The hourly chart forms a converging triangle. Pay attention to the range of 2603-2630 to buy low and sell high. The market will be closed early today on Christmas Eve and will be closed all day tomorrow.
Gold bulls are powerless, and the main market is still under the control of bears. The gold 1-hour chart hit 2633 twice and was blocked. Then the short-term gold has formed a double top. Gold may fall further. The gold moving average resistance now moves down to around 2632!
First support: 2608, second support: 2600, third support: 2588
First resistance: 2620, second resistance: 2632, third resistance: 2646
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2603-2601
SELL: 2628-2630
World gold prices slightly decreased as the USD increasedHowever, the precious metal is under some pressure as the dollar index rose sharply and US Treasury yields rose slightly.
The Conference Board reported on Monday that its US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7, down from a revised 112.8 in November. The reading was weaker than expected, with economists predicting the index would be largely unchanged.
“Expectations that consumer confidence would continue to recover were not realized in December, as the index fell back to its two-year average,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board.
Gold is struggling to find its way amid the holiday lull, said James Hyerczyk, an analyst at FX Empire.
“The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and forecast of fewer rate cuts in 2025 are keeping gold under pressure. The precious metal will face key support tests during the holiday week
XAUUSD: 23/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall technical side of gold ushered in a wide range of long and short shocks. After the continuous decline and plunge on Thursday, the previous day, breaking the 2600 mark, it rebounded slightly throughout the day on Friday. It ushered in an accelerated high breakthrough before and after the US market and stood above the 2610 mark to continue the bullish rebound. It closed near 2622 last Friday. Today, gold opened in the Asian session and was not strong. It began to fluctuate. Gold has not had a unilateral market for the time being.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support below is around 2627, focusing on the 2600 first-line support, and the upper pressure is around 2650-60. It is bullish above the 2627 daily level long-short watershed. Because Christmas is coming soon, gold can be bought on dips.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2622near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
GOLD recovered quite strongly, falling after FOMCOn the Asian market today (Thursday, December 19), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading recovered strongly after a sharp decline in the previous trading day. Gold price reached its highest level at the time of writing at 2,618 USD/ounce, an increase of nearly 30 USD during the day.
The market will next receive US economic data, including final third-quarter GDP and weekly unemployment claims.
Market attention will then turn to Friday's release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which will boost the U.S.'s copper performance. US Dollar and gold in the short term.
FOMC
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected and predicted less policy easing in 2025. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the threshold for the next rate cut could be higher, which sent the US Dollar and US Treasury yields soaring, while at the same time, Gold fell more than 2% to a one-month low in trading on Wednesday.
Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates for a third straight time on Wednesday, but lowered their forecast for the number of rate cuts next year, signaling they are increasingly cautious about being able to reduce spending. How quickly does the loan cost?
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 11-1 on Wednesday to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted against, in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged.
In the FOMC policy statement, Fed officials noted that economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace. Labor market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low. Inflation has made progress toward the committee's 2% target but remains high.
The new Dotplot chart shows some officials expect fewer interest rate cuts next year than they estimated just a few months ago. Fed officials currently expect the benchmark interest rate to be between 3.75% - 4% by the end of 2025, which, according to the median estimate, would mean two rate cuts of 25 points each. basic.
Jerome Powell
The Fed will cut interest rates only twice next year amid rising inflation, according to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, a forecast consistent with Trump's wait-and-see approach when he returned to the White House in January.
Powell said Fed policymakers want to see more progress in reducing inflation when considering future rate-cutting strategies.
US federal funds rate futures have reflected that the Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at its policy meeting on January 28-29 next year.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Thus, gold has enough conditions to decrease in price after falling below the 0.618% Fibonacci level and bringing price activity back below the EMA21 moving average, with a sudden impact from fundamental factors.
In the short term, although gold recovered from the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,591, which was the bearish target noted by previous readers, it could still continue to decline further with a target around $2,538. . When the Relative Strength Index dropped below the 50 mark and was quite far from the oversold area, it showed that there is still plenty of room for price decline ahead.
During the day, gold price increases as long as they do not surpass the 0.618% Fibonacci level and EMA21 should only be considered short-term recovery.
Along with that, the downward trend in gold prices will be noticed again by the following technical levels.
Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD
Resistance: 2,624 – 2,634USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2635 - 2633⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2639
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2623
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2549 - 2551⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2546
→Take Profit 1 2556
↨
→Take Profit 2 2561
Gold Price Today, December 24: Unexpected Reversal and DeclineHello everyone, Merry Christmas!
Let's update the gold price for today: Gold is currently at $2,616 per ounce, down by $16 from the highest point of $2,629 per ounce during yesterday’s trading session.
Gold is under pressure from the strengthening USD and rising U.S. bond yields, as investors await signals regarding the potential for U.S. interest rate cuts in 2025. In my view, the rate-cutting path may pause in January or March.
At the moment, the USD Index has risen by 0.4%, reaching 108.08 points, which has reduced gold’s appeal. U.S. bond yields have also increased to 4.58%, attracting capital into bonds and decreasing the flow of funds into the gold market. As a result, the gold price continues to decline today.
Looking at the technical chart, the EMA 89 has crossed below the EMA 34, indicating a clear downtrend. With resistance at $2,626, the price of gold has been pushed down to $2,610, and maintaining support at this level seems challenging. If there are no significant changes, the price is likely to break through the support and continue falling to the previous support level at $2,585. If this trend persists, gold could decline further and potentially break through the $2,585 support level.
$XAUUSD #XAUUSD GOLD LONGS MONDAY post NYSE 12/23/2024 been intraday bullish on gold eyeing this 2610 level post NYSE open sellside this morning looking to play longs targeting 2620/2625 intraday and potentially 2630+ if we get a big move with some pre Christmas volume my invalidation is around 2607 and i will stop out and take the loss if we break down 2610 into 2608/2607 if we take out the low then fly I'll be mad but such is life
Definitely not financial advice
Trade at your own risk
Be safe much love and happy Holidays
Just going to be using TradingView more often as a personal journal going into the New Year
SILVER Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 29.498 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable SILVER continuation.
Target - 30.247
Recommended Stop Loss - 29.150
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2603.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2632.7
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD - 15m | SELL SELLSimple trading - Wyckoff Event
This is an extremely short-term pattern, and there is not much to explain here. Other than this, the pattern/event happens when the market makes a big dip and starts to consolidate. AKA "accumulation phase"
Expect the market to fall back down to the previous support area 2595-2585. After this fall the market should reject support and continue its bullish trend to ATH
12.26 Gold Trend Trading Strategy
🎈Currently, spot gold is trading sideways at a high level, and the current price is 2617 US dollars/ounce. The support and pressure levels are high selling short and low buying long. The pressure level is 2633 and the support level is 2600. On Monday, gold opened at a low level in the Asian morning, and tested the support of the 2608 area. On Tuesday, it opened again in the 2613 area, indicating that the support below is strong. The support area is still bullish. Focus on the upper 2626 and 2633 points. The retracement is also expected. Without the retracement, the bulls can't go far. Due to the Christmas holiday, the bulls have no strength during the day and return to the range of shocks.🔴
🎈There are two scenarios for tomorrow's opening:
The first scenario is that the Asian morning session directly jumps up and opens above 2620, and then rises sharply in the morning session, breaking through 2626 and then trading sideways in the 2633 area. The European session exerts force again, directly breaking through 2633, and continues to rise to 2642. After the US session retests around 2633, the bulls exert force three times to directly probe above 2650. In terms of operation, hold the long orders in hand, break through 2626 and 2633 tomorrow and continue to go long. The first time it touches 2642, go short, and look at 2635-33. The US session retests around 2633 and directly goes long again, looking above 2650!🔴
🎈In the second case, the Asian market opened at a normal high in early trading. After a small retest of the 2613 area in the morning, it rose directly to the 2642 area in the early trading. The European market fluctuated and consolidated above 2633. The bulls in the US market made a second effort and broke through the 2650 area again.🔴
🎈Gold strategy:
Go long when gold retests near 2613, target 2642, 2650, 2664; go short if 2642, 2650, 2664 are given for the first time; go long in batches if 2610, 2607, 2601 are given; more real-time layout is subject to the actual market;🔴
🎈The difference between these two situations is whether it opens with a gap or opens at a normal high, which determines the strength of the bulls and how far they can go. If it opens with a gap, the strength of the bulls basically stops at the 2650 area, and if it opens at a normal high, the expected limit of the bulls can be seen in the 2670 area!🔴
12.26 Gold Trend Trading Strategy
🎈Currently, spot gold is trading sideways at a high level, and the current price is 2617 US dollars/ounce. The support and pressure levels are high selling short and low buying long. The pressure level is 2633 and the support level is 2600. On Monday, gold opened at a low level in the Asian morning, and tested the support of the 2608 area. On Tuesday, it opened again in the 2613 area, indicating that the support below is strong. The support area is still bullish. Focus on the upper 2626 and 2633 points. The retracement is also expected. Without the retracement, the bulls can't go far. Due to the Christmas holiday, the bulls have no strength during the day and return to the range of shocks.🔴
🎈There are two scenarios for tomorrow's opening:
The first scenario is that the Asian morning session directly jumps up and opens above 2620, and then rises sharply in the morning session, breaking through 2626 and then trading sideways in the 2633 area. The European session exerts force again, directly breaking through 2633, and continues to rise to 2642. After the US session retests around 2633, the bulls exert force three times to directly probe above 2650. In terms of operation, hold the long orders in hand, break through 2626 and 2633 tomorrow and continue to go long. The first time it touches 2642, go short, and look at 2635-33. The US session retests around 2633 and directly goes long again, looking above 2650!🔴
🎈In the second case, the Asian market opened at a normal high in early trading. After a small retest of the 2613 area in the morning, it rose directly to the 2642 area in the early trading. The European market fluctuated and consolidated above 2633. The bulls in the US market made a second effort and broke through the 2650 area again.🔴
🎈Gold strategy:
Go long when gold retests near 2613, target 2642, 2650, 2664; go short if 2642, 2650, 2664 are given for the first time; go long in batches if 2610, 2607, 2601 are given; more real-time layout is subject to the actual market;🔴
🎈The difference between these two situations is whether it opens with a gap or opens at a normal high, which determines the strength of the bulls and how far they can go. If it opens with a gap, the strength of the bulls basically stops at the 2650 area, and if it opens at a normal high, the expected limit of the bulls can be seen in the 2670 area!🔴
12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance
🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴
🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593;
2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance
🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴
🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593;
2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
12.23 Gold price fluctuates and seeks direction
Gold's overall technical outlook last Friday saw a roller-coaster ride of long and short shocks. After a continuous decline on Thursday, which fell below the 2600 mark the previous day, gold fluctuated slightly throughout the day and rebounded. The U.S. market experienced an acceleration in the breakthrough and breakthrough. Standing above the 2610 mark and continuing the bullish rebound, it It closed near 2622 on Friday. Gold was not strong after opening in early trading in Asia today. It is still too early for gold to say that the trend has reversed.
Gold has begun to fluctuate. There is no unilateral market trend for gold at the moment. Still a trading strategy of selling high and buying low. Gold is under pressure in the short term at 2638-42 and continues to be short. Gold focuses on the resistance near 2650, and the support of the 2600 first-line mark is the first focus below.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 2610-08, with a focus on the support line of 2586-92, and the upper pressure is around 2638-42. The overall trading strategy is to maintain high short selling as the main transaction and low long buying as the auxiliary trading strategy based on this range. The main tone of cyclic participation remains unchanged. The middle position is always patiently waiting for cautious orders and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short sell gold at the rebound line of 2638-2642, stop loss 2651, target 2588-2593 line;
2. Buy gold at the retracement line of 2586-2593, stop loss 2575, target 2630-35 line;