Silver is risingSilver is rising and reaching to the level of about $35 as the resistance trendline is waiting for it, after that we might see downside movement
Metals
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 2921.35-2919, a pullback resistance close to the 61.8% Fibonacci projectio and 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Our take profit will be at 2909.26, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 2931.62, above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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Gold price stabilizes at 2900, will test historical highs againGold rose sharply to 2909 in the late trading, breaking through the 2900 mark and closing stable. The daily line rebounded and closed. Gold returned to the long structure channel. After the daily line pulled back to the MA5/7-day moving average, the NY market closing price stood above the 2900 mark again. The moving average still remained open upward, and the price ran along the middle and upper track of the Bollinger Band channel!
In the short-term four-hour chart, gold retreated and tested the lower track of the Bollinger Band at 2865/63, forming a V-shaped reversal. With the reversal of the price, the MA10/7-day moving average re-formed a golden cross and the price closed above the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 2897. The RSI indicator retreated to the 50 value of the middle axis and then stabilized and turned upward!
The hourly moving average opened upward and the price extended the MA10-day moving average upward. In intraday trading, the main thing is to buy at low prices during callbacks, and secondly, consider selling at high prices! The overall rhythm is to buy at low prices during intraday pullbacks, and then sell after the European and American markets hit the key resistance level or historical high!
Last night's CPI data still failed to play a key role in the gold market. Under the premise of a big negative, gold only fell rapidly and then pulled back. The market volatility caused by the data did not continue! Although the CPI data is negative, the price of gold has bottomed out and rebounded by more than 30 US dollars. Bulls still hold on to the key position. On the market, gold looks more like it has rebounded after the last wave of bottoming! In the short term, the bulls are still quite strong!
The current price is still above the short-term moving average, and there is no condition for the top. In the short term, gold is just adjusting and has not broken down. It will naturally continue to rise after the adjustment. This clarifies the direction of our future layout. In the later stage, we will continue to buy when the opportunity arises. The lower point is still focused on the 2886 point. There are many false breakthroughs in the market recently. Conservative operation points can be selected near 2880!
Key points:
First support: 2893, second support: 2886, third support: 2876
First resistance: 2916, second resistance: 2923, third resistance: 2936 Operation ideas:
BUY: 2886-2889, SL: 2878, TP: 2910-2920;
SELL: 2925-2928, SL: 2937, TP: 2910-2900;
XAU VS XAGyou can see support which brought in more liquidity had a sweep then pushed up fast whichever pair gets to zone last is the one i am going to take
People still want to invest in gold.World gold prices at times dropped sharply when inflation data in the US heated up. Specifically, the consumer price index (CPI) in January 2025 increased by 0.5%, higher than the forecast increase of 0.3%.
This information has reinforced the message of the US Federal Reserve (FED) not to rush to reduce interest rates due to the unstable economy.
"Higher-than-expected CPI in the US put pressure on gold prices and market expectations for any interest rate cuts were almost extinguished."
The recovery of world gold prices from lows in the past two days shows that investors continue to favor having a safe asset to combat inflationary pressures.
Gold Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2870 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2870 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD set to Make New Highs!Now that we have gotten past the fed news Im looking for a entry to continue bullish action. but we must wait for killzones.
Gold and Silver Out of Sync-Extreme Sentiment and Runaway Movesgold and silver futures chart analysis and why gold may no longer predictably be used to time the silver moves at this period in time; though there are several ways for silver to reach 37-43 and ultimately 50, as gold is likely set to overshoot 3000.
GOLD Potential Short!
HI,Traders !
GOLD is going up now
But will soon hit
A horizontal resistance
Of 2909.51from where
We will be expecting
A local bearish correction !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• RSI at 76.04 is in the overbought territory, indicating a potential reversal.
• MACD shows bullish momentum but is at a high level, suggesting a possible pullback.
• The price has reached a key resistance area around 2905.74 after a strong bullish run.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• RSI at 60.94 is approaching overbought conditions.
• MACD shows weakening bullish momentum, hinting at a potential reversal.
• Price has made a lower high compared to the previous peak, indicating bearish divergence.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• RSI is neutral but showing signs of divergence.
• MACD is flattening, suggesting momentum is fading.
• Price action shows a failure to break above the recent high.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold is at a historically high level, increasing the probability of profit-taking and a corrective pullback.
• Recent bullish momentum may face resistance due to overbought technical indicators.
• There are no significant fundamental drivers supporting a continued rally at this resistance zone.
Trade Details:
• Entry: 2905.00 (Near the resistance level, anticipating a reversal)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2915.00 (Above the recent high, to avoid false breakouts)
• Take Profit (TP): 2885.00 (Key support area and maintaining a 2:1 RRR)
Reasoning:
• The overbought RSI on the Daily and 15-min charts suggests limited upside potential.
• The resistance at 2905.74 aligns with historical levels, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.
• Bearish divergence and fading momentum support a short position with a favorable risk-reward setup.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold Analysis – Potential Pullback Within Ascending ChannelKey Observations:
Current Price: $2,900.48
Recent High: $2,907.29
200 EMA (Red Line): $2,758.59 (Strong support level)
Projection: Price may correct lower towards the channel’s lower boundary (~$2,875)
Analysis:
📊 Short-Term Bearish: A pullback could happen before further upside if the trend holds. If price breaks below the channel, a deeper correction towards the 200 EMA might follow.
🔍 Trading Idea: Traders might look for buying opportunities at the lower trendline (~$2,875-$2,880) if price shows support.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,908.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,943.41
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 2,880.64
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday we completed our 1H chart idea and today we update you on our 4h chart idea that we shared earlier this week.
Once again we started with our Bullish target hit at 2867 followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2894, which was hit perfectly with a further cross and lock above 2894 opening 2924 also hit completing this range. No further cross and lock above 2924 confirmed the rejection for the move down.
The lower Goldturns are providing support for the bounce and establishing a range between 2867 and 2924. We will look for a test and cross and lock on either level to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2867 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2867 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2894 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2924 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2924 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2952
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2952 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2979
BEARISH TARGETS
2833
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2833 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2800
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2800 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2771 - 2743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#2)Today’s market saw extreme volatility following the USD CPI data release. Inflation appears to be rising due to Trump’s recent tariff actions on countries like Canada, Mexico, and China, adding further pressure to markets. This led to a major sell-off in crypto and stocks, while pairs like USD/JPY surged.
📉 BTC 4H Analysis – Holding Support or Breaking Down?
BTC dropped hard to $94K after the CPI release but found some rejection and is now still holding above the 4H support at $95K.
📊 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ If BTC stabilizes above $95K, we could see a breakout above $98,500, triggering long setups.
2️⃣ If $95K fails, expect a test of lower supports at 92K and possibly $85K if rate cuts don’t continue.
📌 Recommendation: Stay cautious and wait for clear structure before entering.
🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Bullish Recovery After Support Test
Gold remains in a major uptrend and recently completed a price correction to the $2,884 support zone. After a fake breakout, it is now recovering and pushing higher.
📊 Trade Idea:
✅ Long trigger above $2,910 for confirmation.
✅ More aggressive entry: Buy early if we see higher highs forming.
⚪ XAG/USD (Silver) – Momentum Building for a Breakout
Silver has been forming an accelerating uptrend curve, indicating increasing bullish momentum. This suggests the potential for high R/R trades if we catch the right move.
📊 Key Trade Setup:
✅ Breakout above $32.19 = Long Entry.
✅ Aggressive traders: Enter before breakout with stop-loss below the trendline.
📌 GBP/CHF Update – Holding for Bigger Move
📊 Our GBP/CHF long position triggered, but we didn’t enter just for a small range move—the goal is to catch a breakout of the daily range for at least R/R 2.
✅ Stop-loss remains below the 4H range bottom.
✅ Holding position unless market structure shifts.
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
⚠ Markets are volatile after CPI—don’t FOMO.
⚠ Keep stop-losses tight & follow structure.
⚠ See you tomorrow with another breakdown!
📌 If you missed yesterday’s analysis, go check it out for better context!
⚠ Disclaimer : These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice . If you don’t have a solid risk management plan , these triggers may not be suitable for you . Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
CPI vs. Core CPI: The Gold Market MoversConsumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI are key economic indicators that significantly impact XAUUSD (gold prices). CPI measures the overall change in consumer prices for goods and services, reflecting inflation’s pace. Core CPI, however, excludes volatile food and energy prices, providing a clearer view of underlying inflation trends. When CPI or Core CPI figures are higher than expected, it signals rising inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to consider tightening monetary policy by raising interest rates. This typically strengthens the US dollar and puts downward pressure on XAUUSD, as gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. Conversely, lower-than-expected inflation can weaken the dollar, driving up gold prices as investors seek inflation hedges and safe-haven assets. Traders closely monitor these releases to anticipate XAUUSD movements and adjust their strategies accordingly. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
LONG ON SILVER (XAG/USD)Just clean uptrend price action.
Break and retest of old resistance now acting and be respected as new support.
Plus the orange man policies will cause silver, steel, aluminum and other metals to rise.
Im buying Silver.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days.
I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week.
I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up.
So, you get this content as a substitute.
Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support.
Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern.
Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase.
Get some.
Gold Price ActionHello Traders!
Let’s break this down in a simple and friendly way. If you’ve noticed, gold is dropping even though the overall market is in an uptrend. Here’s what you can do:
1. Switch to the 2-hour timeframe and use my Supply and Demand Analyzer Indicator. You’ll see that the price has reversed from a fresh demand zone, which is a good sign.
2. Now, check the 30-minute timeframe. You’ll notice liquidity at the top, along with fresh supply zones. If the price continues to follow the overall trend, there’s a high chance it could move upward.
3. Always manage your risk! Even if your win rate is around 30-40%, solid risk management can keep you ahead in this business. Remember, protecting your capital is key to long-term success.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Stay disciplined and trade smart. 😊
GOLD Bearish Bias!
HI,Traders !
GOLD broke both the
Rising and horizontal
Support line which are
Now resistance areas
And the breakout is
Confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Gold Awaits CPI – Will 2,872 Hold or Break?✅ Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – CPI Impact in Focus
Gold is currently facing bearish pressure, with expectations of a 3.00% CPI release, which could negatively impact prices. A break below 2,872 is required to confirm further downside movement.
📉 Bearish Scenario (CPI at 3.00% or Higher):
If price breaks below 2,872, it will enter a bearish zone.
A confirmed stabilization below 2,872 will extend the drop toward 2,859 and 2,840.
Further bearish pressure could drive prices to 2,823 if inflation remains high.
📈 Bullish Scenario (CPI Below 3.00%):
If price holds above 2,872, a recovery toward 2,896 and 2,918 is possible.
A break above 2,918 could push gold back toward 2,938 in a bullish reversal.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2880
Resistance Levels: 2896, 2918, 2938
Support Levels: 2860, 2840, 2823
Trend Outlook:
Bearish if CPI remains high (≥3.00%) & price breaks 2,872
Bullish if CPI drops below expectations & price holds above 2,872
💬 How will CPI impact Gold? Will it break down or reverse? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇🔥
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 Chart - Channel Breakout (12.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2835
2nd Support – 2797
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🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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Thank you.
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3).
This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Main Elements of Profitable Trading Strategy (Forex, Gold)
There are hundreds of different trading strategies based on fundamental and technical analysis.
These strategies combine different tools and trading techniques.
And even though, they are so different, they all have a very similar structure.
In this educational article, we will discuss 4 important elements and components every GOLD, Forex trading strategy should have.
What Do You Trade
1️⃣ The first component of a trading strategy is the list of the instruments that you trade.
You should know in advance what assets should be in your watch list.
For example, if you are a forex trader, your strategy should define the currency pairs that you are trading among the dozens that are available.
How Do You Trade
2️⃣ The second element of any trading strategy is the entry reasons.
Entry reasons define the exact set of market conditions that you look for to execute the trade.
For example, trading key levels with confirmation, you should wait for a test of a key level first and then look for some kind of confirmation like a formation of price action pattern before you open a trade.
Above, is the example how the same Gold XAUUSD chart can be perceived differently with different trading strategies.
3️⃣ The third component of a trading strategy is the position size of your trades.
Your trading strategy should define in advance the rules for calculating the lot of size of your trades.
For example, with my trading strategy, I risk 1% of my trading account per trade. When I am planning the trading position, I calculate a lot size accordingly.
Position Management
4️⃣ The fourth element of any trading strategy is trade management rules.
By trade management, I mean the exact conditions for closing the trade in a loss, taking the profit and trailing stop loss.
Trade management defines your actions when the trading position becomes active.
Make sure that your trading strategy includes these 4 elements.
Of course, your strategy might be more sophisticated and involve more components, but these 4 elements are the core, the foundation of any strategy.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
