Gold Closes the Week Strong – Breakout Toward $3300 Coming?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025
Gold rebounded strongly during Friday’s session, climbing from early lows around $3,177 to reach a high of $3,237. This bounce followed a brief correction the day before, as buyers stepped back in near key psychological levels. The move was partially driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for safe-haven assets.
At the moment, gold is trading around $3,212, holding its gains firmly into the weekly close. The broader market remains bullish, with the uptrend still intact unless key supports are breached.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After Thursday’s pullback, Friday’s strong bullish candle suggests renewed momentum. Price is still moving within an ascending structure, and the sharp recovery could be an early signal of a continuation toward new highs.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$3,237: Immediate resistance. Friday’s high. A break above this level could trigger further bullish continuation.
$3,280: Potential upside target if momentum continues.
$3,300: Psychological resistance and potential long-term target.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$3,177: Intraday support. If gold pulls back again, this level may provide a bounce.
$3,150: Near-term support and a key structural level.
$3,095: Deeper support, marking the bottom of the previous breakout area.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
Friday's bullish engulfing candle signals strong buying pressure, especially after Thursday’s correction. If buyers defend current levels early next week, we may see a bullish continuation. However, failure to break $3,237 may trigger another consolidation phase.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If gold breaks and holds above $3,237, this could trigger a move toward $3,280 or even $3,300. Buyers remain in control as long as price stays above $3,177.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If gold fails to push above resistance and breaks below $3,177, we could see a retest of $3,150, and possibly deeper toward $3,095 if bearish momentum increases.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold showed resilience on April 11, recovering sharply from a brief dip and closing the week on a strong note. The market structure remains bullish, and a sustained break above resistance could lead to fresh all-time highs. Traders should continue to monitor geopolitical news and dollar strength for clues on short-term direction.
💬 What’s your take on gold heading into next week? Will bulls take control again, or are we in for more consolidation? Drop your thoughts below!
Let me know if you want a version ready for TradingView or with hashtags and emojis for social media!
Metals
GOLD (XAU/USD) Hits ATH – Discover the Market EdgeHi Guys,
I’ve been testing my edge for the past 5 months, and it’s been crazy what I’ve discovered so far. It might sound a little wild, but there’s a way to compare another market that leads 3–5 days ahead and gives clear trend signals for Gold Futures — which moves in tandem with XAU/USD, with only a few dollars' difference.
You can see a pullback here, but sometimes it shoots straight to an all-time high. Taking current geopolitics into consideration, the markets are extremely volatile. Before Trump started the trade wars, I opened an account with 1:500 leverage (starting capital $150, grew to $500) and made significant profits just by catching the moves and trends I was able to predict.
From a math standpoint, if it were just coincidence, I would’ve been liquidated a long time ago. I’ve been through everything — this isn’t luck. I remember one day, I was watching Bloomberg live and the news anchor said, “I can’t believe gold is dropping,” — but I had predicted that move days earlier, haha! That was triple confirmation that I have an edge and that algorithms are actually following it.
There were also days when I expected a small pullback the next day, but it happened during the NY session because of some news — and it couldn’t push lower. Sellers in the TradingView chat was going crazy. The next day, during the London session, it started reaching the ATH (as I predicted). The pressure was intense, but the algorithm didn’t allow it to go lower than the previous low — and that structure came from my leading market edge!
In this case, the pullback might not happen — and if it doesn’t, we’ll break the current ATH and easily go long after that. As I mentioned, in these volatile markets, with tariffs going back and forth, the buying pressure and constant news are so intense that the market sometimes doesn’t even have time to make a pullback! If you have good capital and trade with low leverage, you can easily go long now and keep adding to your position with every pullback until we hit the new ATH!
Now, gold is going to reach a new ATH again — that’s 110%. I believe we’ll easily hit $3200+, followed by a pullback to around $3100.
Next gold move:
ATH: $3200 – $3350
Pullback: ~$3100
Re-test of ATH area — consolidation in that zone until the next major news event.
Gold ETF(GLD) - Gold is the Safe Haven?Is Gold the safe haven from all the market turmoil? Looking at the chart, it would appear that Gold is unfazed by current market conditions. Price is still making All-Time Highs as price continues to swing above the 25(green), 100,(yellow) and 200(blue) day EMAs. Further fears in the Bond market may increase interest in Gold as a stable asset. What are you thoughts? What are some other assets that are defying 'gravity'?
SILVER (XAGUSD): More Growth is Coming
Following Gold, Silver formed a strong bullish pattern on an hourly time frame.
I found the ascending triangle formation and a breakout of its neckline
as a strong bullish confirmation.
I expect growth at least to 31.7 level now.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Important Resistance Levels
Gold updated the All-Time High yesterday and trades
in the no-man's land again.
Here are the next potentially significant resistances
based on psychological levels.
Resistance 1: 3247 - 3252 area
Resistance 2: 3397 - 3302 area
Important historic supports:
Support 1: 3128 - 3167 area
Support 2: 2953 - 2982 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAG/USD Climbs on FOMC WorriesSilver prices climbed above $31 per ounce on Thursday, extending gains for a second straight session as commodities rebounded following President Trump’s rollback of his reciprocal tariff policy. The new measure lowers tariffs on most trade partners to 10% for 90 days to support negotiations. However, China, a key silver consumer, still faces a steep 125% tariff, keeping geopolitical tensions elevated and sustaining safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, FOMC minutes revealed growing concerns about stagflation and the impact of Trump’s trade agenda on the Fed’s dual mandate of price stability and full employment.
Resistance starts at 31.50; if breached, the next levels are 32.15 and 33.30. Support sits at 30.20, with 29.50 and 29.20 below if that level gives way.
Gold Surges, Hits Record Above $3,200Gold spiked to a new record above $3,200 per ounce on Friday, driven by safe-haven demand and a weakening dollar amid intensifying U.S.-China trade tensions. The U.S. hiked tariffs on China to 145%, while easing duties for other partners. At the same time, U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly fell in March, fueling bets on a Fed rate cut in June and a full percentage point cut by year-end. Despite this, inflation risks remain due to ongoing tariff pressure. Gold is set for its strongest weekly gain since November.
Key resistance is at $3,250, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. Support stands at $3165, then $3135 and $3090.
Silver at a Crossroads: More Pain or a Rally Above 34?Silver is undergoing a potential trend change. The previous yellow uptrend channel has been broken, and a new, nearly flat-slightly downward channel (marked by blue lines) appears to be forming. While it may be too early to confirm this as an established trend, the structure is developing with increasing clarity.
Silver is now at a crossroads. The former trendline is being retested, and just above it lies a confluence of resistance: a previous demand zone and the 200-day moving average. These former support levels have now merged into a strong resistance area.
Unless this resistance zone is broken, downward pressure is likely to persist. However, a breakout could open the door for a medium-term move toward the 34 level.
Please check gold/silver chart for longer term understanding:
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,113.45.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,137.18 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,222.46
Target Level: 3,072.99
Stop Loss: 3,322.30
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
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CFD Gold Chart Analysis: Wave 4 in FocusHello friends, let's analyze the Gold CFD chart from a technical perspective. As we can see, the higher degree Cycle Wave III (Red) has completed, and we're currently in Cycle degree Wave IV (Red). Within Wave IV, we expect a Primary Degree ((A)), ((B)), and ((C)) in Black. Wave ((A)) has completed, Wave ((B)) is almost complete, and Wave ((C)) is expected to follow.
Within Wave ((B)) in Black, we have Intermediate Degree Waves (A), (B), and (C) in Blue. Waves (A) and (B) are complete, and Wave (C) is nearing completion. Once Wave (C) in Blue completes, Wave ((B)) in Black will end, and Wave ((C)) in Black should begin.
According to theory, Wave ((A)) came down and then wave ((B)) retraced upwards so now Wave ((C)) should move downwards, forming a zigzag correction. The equality level is around $2858. However, we don't know if it will reach this level or extend/truncate.
The invalidation level for this view is 3169.23. If the price breaks above this level, our analysis will be invalidated.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not trading advice. There's a risk of being completely wrong. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
XAU 1M Gold price formation history and future expectationsGold , or as denote the main trading pair XAUUSD , has been gaining a lot of attention around itself in recent years.
As soon as major analysts or hedge fund top-managers begin to say that the next crisis is near, investors immediately start buying gold as a defensive asset, and its price, accordingly, goes up.
Let's walk a little through the history of the Gold price.
We finished drawing the graph, to what exists on tradingview.com, based on the data that is freely available.
1) In 1933, to overcome the crisis after the "Great Depression", US President Roosevelt issued a decree on the confiscation of gold from the population. The price for an ounce of gold is set at $20.66.
2) In 1971, a real rise in the value of gold begins. After decoupling the US dollar rate from the "gold standard", which regulated the cost of 1 troy ounce of gold at $35 for a long period from 1934 to August 1971.
3) 1973 - "The First Oil Crisis" and the rise in the value of gold from $35 to $180 - as the main anti-crisis instrument, a means of hedging investment risks.
4) 1979-1980 Islamic Revolution in Iran (Second Energy Crisis). The cost of gold, as the main protective asset, in a short period of time grows more than 8 times and sets a maximum at around $850
5) During 1998-2000, the world swept through: the "Asian economic crisis", defaults in a number of countries, and the cherry on the cake - the "Dotcom Bubble". During this period, the price of gold was twice aggressively bought out by investors, from the level of $250. It was a clear signal - there will be no lower, next, only growth!
6) And so it happened, from 2001 to 2011 there was an increase in the value of gold from $250 to $1921 . Even the mortgage crisis of 2008 could not break the growth trend, but only acted as a trigger for a 30% price correction.
Looking at the XAUUSD chart now, one can assume that large investors were actively buying gold in the $1050-1350 range during 2013-2019.
It is hard to believe that investors who have been gaining long positions for 6 years will be satisfied with such a small period of growth in 2019-2020.
For ourselves, we establish a Gold purchase zone in the range of $1527-1600 per troy ounce, from where we expect the growth trend to continue to the $3180-3350 region
What are your views on the future price of gold? Share them in the comments!
Gold touches all-time high. Overbought or poised for more upsideGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has soared to a new all-time high, marking the launch of its next bullish phase. This powerful uptrend began on September 26, 2022, and is unfolding as a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern, a technical framework traders use to predict market movements. The first wave (I) climbed to 2081.82, showing strong momentum. Then, a corrective wave (II) pulled back to 1810.58, setting the stage for more gains. The third wave (III) was the most explosive, rocketing to 3167.74, driven by global demand for the safe-haven metal. Wave IV followed, forming a zigzag pattern—a typical correction where prices dip before resuming the trend. This correction found its low at 2954.62 after a structured decline.
Now, gold is advancing in wave V, the final leg of this impulse. The first sub-wave, wave (1), hit 3132.59, with smaller waves within it showing steady progress. A brief wave (2) dip ended at 3103.17, and now wave (3) is pushing prices higher. As long as the key support at 2954.6 holds, pullbacks should attract buyers, particularly in 3, 7, or 11 swings—technical levels where dips often reverse. This suggests more upside ahead for gold, appealing to both traders and investors watching this historic rally.
What Next For Gold?So I went back to the weekly after yesterday's success and ath (all time high) and had to re-draw my channel to get a little insight to where she's headed. To be honest, i see a move to 3300 happening (not a prediction). So I have this little vibe. watch the video to see my entry..
TC/GOLD: Could 1 BTC Reach 6,000 oz of Gold by 2027 ($19.2M US)The chart tracks Bitcoin (BTC) priced in ounces of gold (oz) on a logarithmic scale, revealing its historical growth and a speculative projection. As of April 2025, 1 BTC equals approximately 25 oz of gold, which translates to $80,000 per BTC at an implied gold price of $3,200/oz (derived from the projection).
The chart forecasts a dramatic rise to 6,000 oz of gold by 2027, a 240x increase from the current level. At $3,200/oz for gold, this would value 1 BTC at $19.2M, resulting in a market cap of $378 trillion (19.7M BTC in circulation). Historically, Bitcoin has shown exponential growth, with significant spikes during bull cycles (e.g., 2017-2018 and 2024-2025, as circled). Factors like Bitcoin’s capped supply, post-2024 halving scarcity, and potential for increased adoption as "digital gold" could support such a run.
What are your thoughts? Could Bitcoin achieve this monumental target, or is the projection too optimistic? Let’s discuss!
TL;DR: BTC/GOLD ratio is set to ****ing pump! From 25 oz now to 6,000 oz by 2027—1 BTC could hit $19.2M. Buckle up for a wild ride!
Trade tensions escalate, GOLD receives support to break $3,200As trade tensions escalated, market risk sentiment suddenly spiked, with spot OANDA:XAUUSD surging above $3,200.
Data released on Thursday in the United States showed that the consumer price index (CPI) unexpectedly fell in March.
Data showed that the US CPI fell 0.1% month-on-month in March, the first decline in nearly five years, compared to expectations of 0.1% and the previous reading of 0.2%.
In addition, the US CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year in March, lower than the expected 2.5% and the previous reading of 2.8%; the US core CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year in March, lower than the expected 3% and the previous reading of 3.1%.
After the US CPI data was released, traders bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again in June, potentially totaling 100 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year. Low interest rates are generally beneficial for gold because the metal does not pay interest.
Gold prices continued to rise above $3,200 an ounce in early trading in Asia on Friday, breaking the record set in the previous trading day.
Gold prices hit a new high as investors turned to safe-haven assets amid concerns about the impact of tariffs on the global economy, Bloomberg reported on Friday.
Gold’s safe-haven status has been hit again this week, Bloomberg reported. US President Trump’s erratic rhetoric on his tariff agenda has sparked a sell-off in stocks, bonds and the US dollar, as concerns about a global recession spread across Wall Street.
Even after Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs on dozens of trading partners, risks and uncertainties remain, with tariffs on all imports from China now at a rate of at least 145%.
The White House clarified to CNBC at noon ET on Thursday that the Trump administration's tariffs on China under the name of reciprocal tariffs are 125%, but this does not include the 20% tariffs that the United States imposed on China twice in early February and early March of this year due to the fentanyl crisis.
Therefore, during Trump's second term, the cumulative tariffs that the United States has applied to all Chinese goods exported to the United States have reached 145%.
The CNBC report also emphasized that the 145% tariff does not include the US tariffs on China before Trump's second term as US president, including various tariffs imposed on China during Trump's first term and the Biden administration.
Given the current market environment, gold is still going to continue to rise strongly. As a wise man at a coffee shop in Vietnam (TLTV) predicted, this war must be 500% to negotiate. If so, we could soon see gold approaching the $3,500 mark.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has surged above the $3,200 base, and at its current position, it is likely to continue its upward move with the nearest target being the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level of $3,223. Whereas, once the $3,223 level is broken, gold will be in a position to continue its upward move with the next target around $3,295 in the short term.
On the technical front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping upwards without any weakness as it approaches the overbought zone, indicating strong demand in the market and sending a positive signal for the bullish trend.
For the day, as long as gold remains above $3,167, it remains bullish in the short term, and any dip in the current scenario that does not take gold below the EMA21 should be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a trend, or as a buying opportunity.
The notable positions for the intraday uptrend will be listed again for readers as follows.
Support: $3,167
Resistance: $3,223
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3250 - 3248⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3068
→Take Profit 1 3056
↨
→Take Profit 2 3050
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3134 - 3136⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3130
→Take Profit 1 3142
↨
→Take Profit 2 3148
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following news of additional tariffs on China. On the daily chart, the index failed to break above the 20-day moving average and pulled back to the 5-day MA, continuing its box-range movement. Since the 5-day MA is still acting as support, the current trend can still be seen as a sideways consolidation, with 18,500 acting as a central pivot level.
The MACD on the daily chart has not yet clearly broken above the Signal line, so it remains uncertain whether it will make a golden cross with additional upward momentum, or turn downward again. Thus, it’s best to adopt a neutral range-bound trading strategy, keeping strict stop-losses on both sides.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have moved above the zero line, entering a key area to observe whether the third wave of MACD upside begins after this box-range consolidation. Since the current price is correcting after a rebound from a double bottom, and is maintaining the center of the prior bullish candle, buying remains more favorable. Unless the previous day’s low is broken, it’s better to stay buy-biased.
Please note that today's PPI data release is scheduled, which may lead to increased volatility around the announcement time.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower with a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, it failed to hold the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, breaking below the 5-day MA. The MACD continues its downward slope, and unless oil clearly reclaims the 10-day MA, the market will remain bear-biased.
There is resistance now at the 3-day and 5-day MAs, so it’s important to see whether further downside unfolds. As previously noted, the $59 level is a key support zone — watch closely for any breakdowns.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is trending up and pulling the Signal line along, but both remain below the zero line. If oil continues in a box range but the MACD turns downward again and forms a dead cross, there could be another leg lower. For now, continue to focus on buying near the $59 level, and maintain a range-trading approach until further confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed higher with another strong rally. On the daily chart, the MACD has now crossed above the Signal line, generating a buy signal. However, this signal will only be valid if today’s candle closes as a bullish bar, so watching the daily close is critical.
Gold hit new all-time highs during the pre-market session, with the long-awaited 3,216 level, which has been the target since March, now within reach. Beyond this level, we enter the overshooting zone, where it’s difficult to define a precise top. Therefore, it's best to stick to dip-buying strategies, as safe-haven demand continues to surge.
Even though the MACD has crossed bullishly, divergence may form if the current MACD fails to exceed the previous peak. Avoid chasing long positions at the top; instead, look for entries during pullbacks.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has climbed above the zero line, showing a strong one-way bullish trend. RSI across intraday charts is now in overbought territory, so it’s best to avoid short positions entirely for today.
Market Sentiment & VIX
Looking at the VIX index, the daily candle has once again broken above the 5-day MA, indicating that volatility could expand further at any time. With Trump’s remarks shaking markets, it’s impossible to predict what new developments might emerge over the weekend.
Avoid holding overnight positions due to heightened headline risk, and make sure to wrap up this trading week with solid risk management.
Wishing you a profitable trading day!
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XAUUSD D1 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3226.16, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension
Our take profit will be at 3170.13, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3307.54, above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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