Metals
We Need a Retrace before the breakout IMO on GoldI want to go long. I am long on gold. but I need to see it pull back and establish a low for he week first before I'm interested in attempting the long. This would make for a much stronger move. Just have to be patient and wait for it all to line up inside of the killzone.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with the lower Red box support which was active holding price and giving the push up early session completing the first red box target. Since that we've experience accumulation and ranging which allowed us a short trade on the indicator and then a nice long to end the day, which is now protected and managed.
We'll stick with the plan at the moment expecting a spike up with the first region being 3006 and above that 3010. Again, a bit high to even attempt a long as traders will want to see if we can hold above the 3000 level, until then, we'll look for the potential RIP.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2995 with targets below 2970, 2965, 2955 and below that 2950
Bullish on break of 2995 with targets above 3003, 3006, 3010, 3016 and above that 3020
RED BOXES:
Break above 2995 for 2997✅, 3003, 3009, 3016 and 3021 in extension of the move
Break below 2980 for 2975, 2971, 2965, 2959, 2955 and 2945 in extension of the move
Short and simple this week, let’s see how the week plays out and remember, your risk model is there to protect you, use it, keep your losers small and your winners big!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start top the week with our chart idea already kicked off with our first Bullish target hit at 2993. We are now seeing a lock above 2993 opening 3011. Failure to lock above will follow with a rejection to find support at the lower Goldturns for bounce and then further cross and locks will confirm the next range for us.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3039
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3039 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold's Battle for $3,000Gold is currently trading at $2,996 per ounce, sitting in a phase of consolidation after recently touching the big $3,000 level. Over the last few sessions, the price has been bouncing between $2,985 and $3,005, showing that traders aren’t quite sure which way it’ll go next. This comes after an impressive rally where gold broke past $3,000 for the first time ever, fueled by trade tensions and talk of U.S. interest rate cuts making it a go-to safe-haven asset. But since it couldn’t hold above that milestone, the market seems to be taking a breather, waiting for something new, like economic news or global events, to push it one way or the other.
Technical Levels and Indicators
Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold is testing the upper edge of a descending channel, a pattern where the price has been making lower highs since its recent peak. Right now, it’s just below a key resistance at $3,000, which has been tough to crack, while $2,980 acts as a solid support level where buyers have stepped in before. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 55, meaning momentum is neutral, not too hot or too cold. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a slight bullish signal, hinting that an upward move could be on the cards. Keep an eye out: a strong break above $3,005 could spark more buying, but a dip below $2,980 might mean a pullback is coming.
Market Sentiment and Fundamentals
Traders seem split on gold right now. Some are optimistic, pointing to ongoing global risks and central banks leaning toward looser policies, which could lift prices higher. Others are cautious after gold failed to stay above $3,000, with chatter on platforms suggesting a possible drop to $2,950 or even a bounce around $2,993 where big orders might be sitting. On the fundamental side, gold’s strength as a safe-haven shines when the economy feels shaky or inflation worries heat up. But watch out, a stronger U.S. dollar or hints of rising interest rates could put the brakes on gains. The next big economic report or geopolitical headline could be the trigger that decides gold’s next move.
GOLD: Short Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 2996.0
Stop Loss - 3001.2
Take Profit - 2986.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2,989.37
Target Level: 2,923.90
Stop Loss: 3,032.89
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold (XAU/USD) INTRADAY trading close to ATHThe Gold price action exhibits bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action indicates a phase of sideways consolidation near the previous resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Support: 2960 (previous consolidation range)
Immediate Resistance: 3000
Higher Resistance Levels: 3034, 3081
Downside Support Levels: 2909, 2883, 2830
Bullish Scenario:
A corrective pullback toward the 2960 level, followed by a bullish bounce, could reaffirm the uptrend and target the immediate resistance at 3000. Sustained momentum could further drive the price towards 3034 and ultimately 3081 over the longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below the 2960 support level, along with a daily close beneath this mark, would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could trigger a deeper retracement towards the next support levels at 2909, 2883, and 2830.
Conclusion:
While the overall sentiment remains bullish amid the prevailing uptrend, traders should closely watch the 2960 level for signs of bullish continuation or a potential bearish breakdown. A sustained close below this level would signal caution and shift the focus to lower support zones.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver Climbs on Weak Inflation DataSilver surged toward $33.90 an ounce, its highest since late October with ongoing trade tensions and rising Fed rate cut expectations after weak U.S. inflation data.
Trump threatened 200% tariffs on European wines in response to the EU’s 50% tariff on U.S. whiskey, further heightening market uncertainty. U.S. producer prices remained flat in February in the meantime, consumer inflation rose just 0.2%, and jobless claims declined, signaling a resilient labor market.
If silver breaks above $34.00, the next resistance levels are $34.85 and $35.00. On the downside, support is at $33.80, with further levels at $33.15 and $32.75 if selling pressure increases.
Gold's Record Week: $2,980 MilestoneGold surged above $2,980 per ounce, hitting a record and heading for a 2% weekly gain as risk aversion and Fed rate cut expectations grew. Trump escalated trade tensions, threatening a 200% tariff on European wines after the EU's 50% tax on U.S. whiskey.
February's PPI and CPI data showed easing inflation, increasing Fed flexibility for rate cuts, and raising gold's appeal. Strong ETF inflows and continued central bank purchases, with China extending its buying for a fourth month, further supported prices.
Key resistance stands at 3000, with further levels at 3045 and 3100. Support is at 2980, followed by 2916 and 2885.
XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949.
Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target.
2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923.
This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 3-17: GAP PotentialAs we start moving into the Excess Phase Peak pattern consolidation phase, I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt a moderate rally for about 3-5+ days, then roll into a deep selling mode after March 21-24.
I don't believe we have reached a bottom - yet.
I do see a lot of people talking about "the bottom is in" and I urge all of you to THINK.
What do you believe will be the basis of US and GLOBAL economic growth starting RIGHT NOW?
Can you name one thing that will be the driver of economic expansion and activity?
I can't either.
Thus, I suggest traders prepare for more sideways consolidation range trading over the next 60+ days as hedge assets and currencies attempt to balance risks.
BTCUSD, Gold, Silver should all be fairly quiet this week. I'm not expecting any huge price moves this week.
I expect the SPY/QQQ & BTCUSD to move a bit higher while Gold and Silver melt upward a bit further.
Then, after March 21, I expect bigger volatility and a broad rotation in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin where Gold/Silver will start a bigger move higher.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gold Devours Stocks and Outshines Crypto with 40% Gains. Why So?Gold OANDA:XAUUSD has returned 40% in the past twelve months — that’s more than four times the S&P 500’s SP:SPX 9% increase.
Besides leaving stock bros with a sour taste in their mouths, gold is also serving a cold dish of revenge to the crypto heads who had for years been slamming it for lack of appeal. It crushed the $3,000 mark last week, pumping to the rarefied air of $3,005 per ounce.
The market’s digital gold — Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD — is up 26% in the past year. Gold is certainly having a moment here with just about every star aligning for its upside swing. War tremors, inflation jitters, consumer uncertainty and lower interest rates have come together to make gold great again.
Catch the drift? Yes, we mean US tariffs. Trump’s tariff drama is perhaps the biggest driver right now for the shiny stuff. Anxiety over gold getting slapped with a tariff has sent traders, dealers and investors scrambling to get more of it.
The US President has floated some comments on gold but not to the point where he even remotely hints at imposing a tariff. Around the end of February, Trump said he suspects someone might’ve actually been stealing gold from Fort Knox. His remarks came after Elon Musk, designated as a “special government employee,” raised some alarming questions.
“Who is confirming that gold wasn’t stolen from Fort Knox? Maybe it’s there, maybe it’s not,” Musk wrote on X . “That gold is owned by the American public! We want to know if it’s still there.”
Trump chimed in and said in an interview they’re planning to visit Fort Knox soon. “We’re going to go into Fort Knox, the fabled Fort Knox, to make sure the gold is there. He added that “if the gold isn’t there, we’re going to be very upset.”
Fort Knox is the equivalent of Scrooge McDuck’s impenetrable fortress full of gold collectibles. Only that Fort Knox staff doesn't backstroke through the piles of coins (or do they?). The vault holds a total of 147.3 million ounces worth roughly $430 billion today. To those who’re asking why not sell it and pay off some debt — America has a staggering $36 trillion debt burden . Selling gold to pay it off wouldn’t even return a blip on the chart.
According to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (who’s also a hedge fund manager) the gold at Fort Knox is audited “every year” and “all the gold is present and accounted for.”
All American gold is stored in a number of vaults, which collectively add up to a total of 261.5 million ounces (8,100 tons), according to Federal Reserve balances. That’s around a $770 billion piece of a market that’s worth nearly $20 trillion.
So is the gold rush exaggerated and maybe a little overrated?
In practice, gold is a pet rock with an added flair. It doesn’t generate yield, produce earnings or pay any form of interest to those who hold it. But gold has a solid history of being the ultimate store of value.
Gold’s supply is more or less fixed as miners are only able to dig out about 1% to 2% a year at best. All the gold ever unearthed in the world is a little over 216,000 tons , according to the World Gold Council. One way to picture that is 64,200 Tesla Cybertrucks. Or, if we were to melt it all, it would be enough to form a cube that’s 25 yards (23 meters) on each side.
You be the judge now — do you think gold is overpriced? Or are you a gold bug who believes that $3,000 could be the start of a new mega cycle for the precious metal? Share your comments below!
DeGRAM | GOLD hit $3000GOLD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart has consolidated above the upper trend line.
We expect the growth to continue until reaching the upper boundary of the channel.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold day trade short Gold has been exhibiting a strong bullish trend; however, I’ve noticed some divergence today, suggesting a potential high for the session. Based on this observation, I’ve entered a short position, anticipating a pullback in gold prices.
I'm targeting the 2957 level, as there is significant liquidity below Friday’s lows, which serve as a key support level. I believe these levels need to be taken out before gold can continue its upward trajectory.
I’d love to hear your thoughts—let me know what you think! If you found this analysis useful, feel free to give it a boost.
Thanks!
stocks vs gold race to recession safety since fed did its last rate cut in december 2024 fomc, Stocks down gold up
this is classic recession trade - dump risk assets and buy safe heaven
gold hit $3000 on recession panic market crash
if stocks bounce, panic may price out
if stocks fall more, panic selling will trigger which could slow the speed of gold rally
this market action and recent gold bars flying to New York from london may be recession panic buying not the tariff inflation hedge
in 2020 market crash everything went down but when recovery started gold proved better than stocks.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said it would be a difficult one to decipher so we suggested traders wait for the break, trade into the levels given and then look for the RIPs. This worked particularly well for us giving us the move into the lower level as analysed on the break, using the red boxes for direction and then giving us the tap and bounce that we wanted to take the long trades back up into the new all time highs we witnessed towards the end of the week.
We managed to compete all of our bias level targets, getting a pin-point move from KOG’s bias and on top of that completing Excalibur targets and the red box targets. Not a bad week at all on Gold.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’ll be looking for a retracement on the move, however, we are not discounting a curveball move from immediate support to clear liquidity from above. We have the resistance level above 2990 and lower support 2980 which could be the play for the opening. If we break above 2995, we’ll be looking for price to attempt that 3010 and above that 3020 region before attempting to short it again.
On the flip, if we do reject that higher level and can break below 2980, we’ll stick with the plan from last week where we’re looking to continue the retracement back down first into the 2965 level and below that 2950-55. If you look on the chart, we have highlighted a lower level which is sitting around 2935-20, an aggressive move downside can take us there on the manipulation move, so please trade with caution this week and keep an eye on the levels.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2995 with targets below 2970, 2965, 2955 and below that 2950
Bullish on break of 2995 with targets above 3003, 3006, 3010, 3016 and above that 3020
RED BOXES:
Break above 2995 for 2997, 3003, 3009, 3016 and 3021 in extension of the move
Break below 2980 for 2975, 2971, 2965, 2959, 2955 and 2945 in extension of the move
Short and simple this week, let’s see how the week plays out and remember, your risk model is there to protect you, use it, keep your losers small and your winners big!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
WHY NZDJPY IS BULLISH??? DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 85.900, forming a descending channel pattern, signaling a potential breakout. This pattern often leads to bullish reversals, and once the price breaks above the resistance zone, we could see strong upside momentum toward the 90.000 target. A successful breakout with increased volume will confirm the bullish wave, leading to an anticipated gain of 300+ pips.
From a technical perspective, the pair is testing key resistance levels within the descending channel, and a breakout will align with major trend continuation signals. If buyers maintain control, we could see the price rally towards 87.500 first, followed by a push toward 90.000 psychological resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candles, RSI divergence, and volume spikes to validate the breakout.
On the fundamental side, market sentiment and risk appetite are favoring jpy pairs, with the New Zealand dollar benefiting from commodity price stability and global risk-on sentiment. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on monetary tightening keeps jpy under pressure, further supporting upside potential for nzdjpy. If risk sentiment remains positive, the pair could maintain its bullish outlook, making the 90.000 target highly achievable.