Gold trend analysis and top and bottom signal sharingGold has risen for the seventh consecutive week. The RSI indicator is at a high level close to 80. The price is at the upper track of the Bollinger Band and exceeds the line. The price deviates from the MA10 daily moving average. Once the weekly RSI indicator forms an overbought or top divergence, and considering that the 7-week rise has reached a critical time window, we need to be careful of short-term peaks!
From a technical perspective, the short-term trend structure of the daily chart remains intact, but the price indicator has reached the end. We need to pay further attention to the subsequent policy impact of Trump's new policy. Once the top divergence is established, it will usher in a short-term wide-range downward shock and trend reversal!
The bullish upside space exceeds 330 $, and we need to start considering the bulls entering the end. At present, the transaction is still in the trend of participating in the short-term transaction of buying at a low price. The key resistance or historical high pays attention to the mid-term short opportunity of the band!
The gold market came a little late last Friday night. NFP bottomed out and rebounded directly to break through the new high, breaking the shock pattern! Gold hits a new high in the short term, and the bullish energy is very strong. The first wave of piercing is just a test, and there may be another pull-up and breakthrough in the future!
Gold fell after the short-term piercing, but the current gold price has begun to weaken its downward energy near 2855, and this intraday trend also shows that there is a strong support effect at the 2850 line. In the short term, gold is supported by 2850 and has not fallen below the NFP market low of 2852. It is easy to bottom out and pull up again, so the later short-term layout should first refer to the purchase above 2850!
Key points:
First support: 2853, second support: 2845, third support: 2830
First resistance: 2878, second resistance: 2888, third resistance: 2906
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2855-2858, SL: 2847, TP: 2870-2880;
SELL: 2890-2893, SL: 2902, TP: 2870-2860;
Metals
Bitcoin is mimicking gold: Fractals are bullish!Bitcoin is following gold in its pattern formation. Fractal analysis of gold and Bitcoin reveals similarities in both charts. While gold is slightly ahead of Bitcoin, the same pattern is emerging on Bitcoin’s chart. If Bitcoin follows gold’s performance, it is likely to break out of this widening wedge pattern and reach new all-time highs, aligning with my previous analysis.
Silver's Next Big Move? Dont Miss This High Probability Short!In this analysis, I break down my short trade setup on Silver (XAG/USD) using a multi-timeframe approach to identify key levels, structure shifts, and liquidity targets.
• Monthly Outlook: Strong bullish close in January, but price is trading within a range between 32.67 - 28.77.
• Weekly Structure: Consecutive bullish candles since December with no real retracement, signaling potential liquidity grab to the downside.
• H4 Breakdown: Clear market structure shift with a lower high at 32.65, rejecting key resistance and breaking prior lows.
• Entry & Target: Shorting from 32.07, with stops above 32.67, targeting a 1:2 risk-reward down to 30.68 initially, with a possible extension toward 29.69.
Looking for liquidity sweeps and a healthy pullback before further continuation. Already in profit—let’s see how it plays out!
If you find this useful, make sure to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments!
xausd key areas to watch with detailed analysisHere's an analysis of XAU/USD at 2,861 as of February 10, 2025, incorporating technical and fundamental insights from the search results:
Current Context
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near 2,861, a critical juncture given recent market dynamics. This level aligns with forecasts and technical patterns discussed in the search results, offering insights into potential bullish or bearish scenarios.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support:
2,861: Coincides with the lower bound of February 2025’s forecasted range (2,861.25–2,991.30). A hold here could signal bullish resilience.
2,746–2,695: Deeper support zones if a correction occurs, based on Fibonacci retracement levels and trendline analysis .
Resistance Levels:
2,868–2,900: The next psychological and technical hurdles, with 2,868.56 (R2) noted as a swing high target .
2,991–3,000: Upper bound of February’s projected range and a key breakout target .
Long-Term Trend:
Gold remains in an ascending channel (up ~27% since 2024), supported by geopolitical uncertainty and central bank demand .
The 100 SMA is above the 200 SMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating underlying bullish momentum .
Bullish Scenario
Triggers:
Fed Policy & Inflation: Continued dovish signals from the Fed (e.g., rate cuts) and persistent inflation could drive gold higher .
Geopolitical Risks: Escalating tensions (e.g., Middle East conflicts, U.S.-China trade policies) may boost safe-haven demand .
ETF Inflows: Positive gold ETF flows, as seen in late 2024, could reignite upward momentum 3.
Technical Outlook:
A bounce from 2,861 could target 2,900–2,991, aligning with February’s forecast .
A break above 2,991 opens the path to 3,000+, with institutions like JPMorgan forecasting $3,150 by year-end .
Bearish Risks
Triggers:
USD Strength: A stronger dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. data or hawkish Fed rhetoric) may pressure gold .
Profit-Taking: Overbought signals (RSI at 57) and resistance at 2,868 could trigger short-term pullbacks .
Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: Easing geopolitical tensions or risk-on sentiment might reduce gold’s appeal .
Technical Outlook:
A breakdown below 2,861 could test 2,746–2,695 (Fibonacci and trendline support) .
Sustained selling might invalidate the uptrend, risking a drop toward 2,625 (critical 100-day SMA).
Macro Drivers to Watch
U.S. Economic Data: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), CPI, and Fed rate decisions will influence USD and gold .
Geopolitical Events: Developments in Ukraine, Middle East, and U.S. trade policies under Trump .
Central Bank Activity: Continued gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, India) may stabilize prices
Short-Term Forecast
Base Case: Consolidation near 2,861–2,900 as markets digest recent gains and await catalysts.
Upside Bias: Favored if gold holds above 2,861, targeting 2,991–3,000 .
Downside Risk: A close below 2,861 could trigger profit-taking toward 2,746
Conclusion
At 2,861, XAU/USD is at a pivotal level. While the broader trend remains bullish (supported by inflation, geopolitics, and central bank demand), short-term volatility from USD fluctuations and technical resistance could dominate. Traders should monitor 2,861 as a key support and watch for breaks above 2,900 or below 2,746 to confirm directional bias.
support and resistance for short term:
Resistance:
2872
2885
2894
2900
2911
2920
these resistance points can be used as bullish targets
Support:
2855
2851
2841
2833
2830
2819
2800
2782
these support points can act as bearish targets
LIKE BOOST AND SHARE US SUPPORT US
Trade Idea : XAUUSD Long PositionTechnical Analysis
• Daily Chart:
• The price is in a strong uptrend with the RSI near overbought levels (78), but momentum remains intact as shown by a bullish MACD.
• Continuation of the bullish trend is more likely since there’s no clear sign of reversal yet.
• 15-Minute Chart:
• The price maintains an upward structure with higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD and RSI are stable near neutral levels, indicating room for price continuation.
• 3-Minute Chart:
• Short-term pullbacks are seen, but the general structure remains bullish.
• RSI divergence isn’t evident, and MACD shows slight consolidation, not a significant reversal.
Fundamental Outlook
• Gold has likely been supported by inflationary concerns, geopolitical events, or a weaker dollar environment.
• Unless there’s unexpected macroeconomic news or a change in Federal Reserve policy, gold’s bullish momentum seems intact.
Trade Recommendation
Position: Long XAU/USD (Gold)
• Entry: 2903.70
• Stop Loss (SL): 2890.00 (Below recent support levels)
• Take Profit (TP): 2929.00
This setup offers a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, with the SL placed conservatively below the nearest support on the 15-minute timeframe.
XAUUSD: 11/2 resistance and support30-minute resistance 2915, support 2893
1-hour resistance 2923, support 2880
4-hour resistance 2950, support 2880
Short-term overbought, be cautious to follow long positions. Pay attention to the buying opportunities in the 2880-2890 support zone first, and follow the buying if it breaks through 2923.
SILVER Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the SILVER next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 31.808
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 32.031
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Is this the Pull Back Zone On Gold XAU GC1! In this video I highlight the potential area for a pull back on Gold Using the TR Pocket and Trend based Extension tool . Using these tools combined we were able to establish a zone of perfect confluence for a downside reaction on Gold. Also I use the new Demonstration Cursor released by Tradingview to highlight the levels on the chart of where my fib pulls were made.
In addition to the above I noticed after completing the video that we have yearly pivots that are untapped around $2580.
CPI on Wednesday may give us the narrative for the reaction up at those highlighted highs and to begin cooling off . I welcome your engagement Boosts comments + follows . Enjoy Ty
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-10: EveningStar Island PatternThroughout the past week and a half, I've been watching the markets as I prepare for what I believe will be a sudden and fairly aggressive Deep-V setup between 2-10 and 2-13.
Yes, that means RIGHT NOW we are sitting on top of a potentially aggressive type of FLASH market move to the downside.
Will it come from news, or someone's comments (think Fed comments or news), or will it come from some other source - if it shows up at all.
I'm sticking to my Deep-V analysis because I have no reason to believe it is wrong. We may see a mild type of Deep-V pattern, but I believe it will happen anyway.
So, as we move into this week's trading, I want to urge everyone to stay very cautious of a potential FLASH breakdown into my Deep-V type of price activity.
As you may get trapped into longs and feel comfortable entering some solid bullish price trends/trades, be aware that this FLASH breakdown (Deep-V pattern) may still be lurking behind what appears to be a solid uptrend (for now).
Gold and Silver are falling - which is perfect for my Expansion Phase rally to $4400+ (gold).
Bitcoin is stalling - preparing for a breakdown.
This is the time to prepare for the rest fo 2025. Follow my research to know when you JUMP INTO the markets for greater success.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
XAU/USD : Possible Correction Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that after yesterday's last analysis, the price corrected to $2858 as expected. However, it quickly rebounded, surging 240 pips to reach a new all-time high at $2882!
Today, we finally witnessed some correction from $2882 down to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the price manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and experiences a strong rejection from this level, we might even see a correction down to levels below $2850.
With increased market volatility and key macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should stay cautious. Price action around these levels will be critical in determining the next move, as gold continues to react to fundamental drivers such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price behavior near support and resistance levels will be essential for identifying potential trade opportunities.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD : First SELL, then BUY! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 3-day EUR/USD chart, we can see that, as expected, the price has resumed its correction and is currently trading around 1.03. I still anticipate further downside movement in this range.
The key demand zones are 1.02, 1.005, and 0.99. So, the strategy remains: first, look for SELL opportunities, and then wait for a solid BUY trigger at these levels! 🚀
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Platinum Prices Poised for Decline as Seasonality & Supply ZonePlatinum prices are currently approaching a key Supply zone as the Futures contract PL1! retraces following an initial bearish impulse. This price action suggests that the market may be poised for further downside movement.
Analyzing seasonal trends reveals a potential for bearish behavior, consistent with patterns observed over the past decade. Historically, this time of year has often been associated with a decline in platinum prices, making the current setup particularly noteworthy.
With these indicators in mind, we are actively monitoring the market for short setups. The convergence of the price approaching the Supply zone and historical seasonality trends reinforces the possibility of a downward move in platinum. As the market unfolds, we aim to position ourselves accordingly to take advantage of any shorting opportunities.
✅ Please share your thoughts about Platinum in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a declining topGOLD is in a local descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from resistance at $2870 and the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart is holding in the channel and trying to form a descending top.
On large Timeframes the indicators indicate overbought.
We still expect a correction.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD recovered strongly, Trump stimulated risk aversionDuring the Asian trading session on Monday (February 10), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot has recovered strongly after a short decline. Gold price has now recovered to about 2,874 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of about 15 USD during the day.
US President Donald Trump said on Sunday local time that he would announce a 25% tariff on all imported steel and aluminum on Monday.
Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that the tariffs would apply to metal imports from every country. He did not specify when the tariffs would be applied. Trump also said he would announce corresponding tariffs later this week for countries that impose tariffs on U.S. imports.
These comments stimulated the market's risk aversion, the Asia-Pacific stock market and the US stock futures market fell, and the two safe-haven assets, the US dollar and gold, recovered together.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD recovered after receiving support from the upper channel edge, and in terms of technical structure nothing changed from previous releases with a bullish bias dominating the technical chart.
Maintaining price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci extension provides the conditions for continued upside with the next target being at $2,891 the 0.382% Fibonacci extension, more so than the original price point of $2,900.
With the price channel making a short-term uptrend, along with the Relative Strength Index providing no signs of a strong downside correction, gold is expected to continue searching for new all-time highs. The positions will be noted as follows.
Support: 2,869 – 2,844 – 2,834USD
Resistance: 2,891 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2906 - 2904⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2910
→Take Profit 1 2899
↨
→Take Profit 2 2894
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2829 - 2831⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2825
→Take Profit 1 2836
↨
→Take Profit 2 2841
SILVER Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 32.270.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 30.893 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD → First declines, then continues to conquer $2,900OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving slowly on a bullish trend platform, with the price fluctuating around $2,868 and rising by approximately 0.45% on the day.
Inflation remains on an upward trajectory, and gold is responding as a safe-haven asset. "Gold is on track to reach $2,900 per ounce, and market sentiment remains highly optimistic, despite the short-term strength of the U.S. dollar."
Furthermore, recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate that major policy uncertainties—including tariffs and other issues stemming from the early days of former President Donald Trump's administration—are among the biggest challenges in determining monetary policy direction in the coming months.
Currently, the market's focus is on the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released on Friday, which will provide further insights into the overall strength of the economy and the Fed’s policy path. Theoretically, a disappointing jobs report could strengthen the case for interest rate cuts in the U.S., thereby boosting gold prices. However, the opposite scenario is also possible.
From a technical standpoint, gold prices may decline from the $2,870 resistance level to accumulate liquidity and prepare for further upward movement. Specifically, the price could react to lower trend boundaries and the previously broken resistance of the ascending channel. There are no fundamental or technical reasons to break the current trend, and growth may resume after a potential false breakout.
Regards Bentradegold!
XAUUSD correction to the 1H MA50 technically needed.Gold (XAUUSD) stayed unaffected by the Tariff War, as we mentioned on last week's analysis (Feb 03, see chart below) and easily hit our 2845 Channel Up Higher High Target:
This time a new, more aggressive Channel Up, on the 1H time-frame has emerged and is already on its 2nd Bullish Leg. Technically, the 1H RSI being overbought at 80.00, calls for a short-term correction.
We expect a technical pull-back to the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), which will be the next buy entry fir the final +3.90% run and a Channel Up Higher High at 2945.
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GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GOLD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2,816.028 level.
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