GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,394.60 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Metals
GOLD - Price will bounce from support area and start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price declined to $3220 level and then started to grow, and soon reached $3380 level and even broke it.
Then price started to trades inside wedge, where it at once started to decline and in a short time declined to support line of wedge.
After this, Gold rose and broke $3220 level and continued to move up in wedge, where it also made two gaps before.
Price rose to $3380 level and some time traded very close to this level, but later corrected to support line.
Next, price made a strong impulse, breaking $3380 level and exiting from wedge as well, and continued to grow.
Recently, Gold started to fall, so I think that it will fall to support area and then bounce up to $3500
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Is gold (XAUUSD) building up for a possible push higher?With the economic data sets, which we are getting and will be getting this week, all eyes on gold, and its possible move to the all-time high. Apart from this, the geopolitical tensions are also something that is fueling gold demand. But what are the technical saying? Let's take a look.
TVC:GOLD
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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HelenP. I Gold may correct to support zone and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After rebounding from the trend line, XAUUSD began to grow steadily within the rising structure, confidently pushing through local resistance and breaking above the previous support 2 area. This breakout was backed by strong bullish momentum, with the price clearly holding above the broken level, turning it into a support base. Following that surge, the price entered a short-term consolidation, trading within the upper boundary of the chart, just above the 3400 level. This area now acts as a crucial support zone, and the market is currently hovering slightly above it after a local peak. Given the strength of the recent impulse and the confirmation of previous resistance as support, I expect a brief correction to the support zone before a continuation of the bullish move. That’s why I set my current goal at 3470 points — the next potential resistance area where the price may encounter renewed selling pressure after the rally continues. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 6-17: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a type of topping pattern, attempting to identify resistance, then roll away from that resistance level and trend downward.
I suggest the news related to the conflict between Israel & Iran may continue to drive market trends with traders moving away from uncertainty near these recent highs.
Silver makes a big move higher. Gold will likely follow later this week or early next week.
BTCUSD moves into a sideways FLAGGING pattern - possibly attempting a BIG BREAKDOWN event over the next few weeks.
Overall, the markets look like they are poised for a very big move - just waiting for the GREEN LINK (GO).
Stay safe. Protect capital and HEDGE.
Get some.
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SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.903 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 37.240 .Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Faces Resistance as Israel-Iran Conflict Fails to Fuel RallGold Unlikely to Sustain Long-Term Gains on Israel-Iran Tensions
Despite escalating geopolitical risks, gold’s upside remains limited. Julius Baer's Carsten Menke notes that the recent move is likely driven by short-term speculative and algorithmic flows, not physical safe-haven demand—consistent with historical patterns of brief geopolitical spikes.
Technical Outlook:
Gold is currently trading below 3404, suggesting possible range-bound consolidation between 3404 and 3480.
A 1H close below 3380 could trigger further downside toward 3365 and 3347.
Conversely, a break above 3404 would open the way for a bullish push toward 3448.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3381
• Support: / 3365 / 3347 / 3321
• Resistance: 3404/ 3420 / 3448
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,395.19.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,467.28 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3370
TP 3390-3400-3450
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3370-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,714.4
Target Level: 3,384.5
Stop Loss: 3,933.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | GOLD kept the rising channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rejected the channel roof near 3 435 again, carving a small evening-star and slipping back under the May trend-median 3 370 — a repeat of April/May fades.
● Bearish RSI divergence plus a break of the micro up-sloper (last three sessions) tips for a rotation toward the lower rail/3 295 support; loss of that opens the April pivot at 3 225.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sticky US retail-sales and hawkish Fed comments keep 2-yr yields near 4.8 %, firming the DXY, while CFTC data show specs cutting longs for a second week — limiting bid depth.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies 3 410-3 430; sustained trade below 3 366 targets 3 295, stretch 3 225. Short view void on an H4 close above 3 450.
-------------------
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Why Silver Could Outperform Gold in the Coming Months? Silver recently broke out above the key 34.85 resistance level, and this could be a game changer for the medium-term outlook. With rising concerns over government debt, trade uncertainty, and escalating geopolitical risks, gold rallied strongly from 2000 to 3500. Gold and silver typically have a high correlation, and silver tends to follow gold. However, during the latest tariff-driven rally, gold pushed toward 3500 while silver failed to keep up. So, why did gold outperform silver this time?
The answer lies in the demand dynamics. Gold demand primarily comes from the investment side, while silver demand has traditionally been balanced around 50% investment and 50% industrial use. That balance has now shifted significantly. According to the Silver Institute, only 17.8% of 2025 silver demand is expected to come from investments. If we group jewelry and silverware with investment as a “store of value” category, the mix becomes 61% industrial and 39% investment.
This shift has been driven by a surge in silver demand from the electrical and electronics sector. The growth of clean energy and AI technologies has accelerated silver usage. In fact, the electrical and electronics sector is projected to account for 40.5% of total silver demand in 2025. This explains why slowing global trade and economic activity have had a more negative effect on silver compared to gold, pushing the gold/silver ratio to historically high levels.
That said, this same dynamic could fuel silver’s rise in the coming years, supported by long-term trends in clean energy and advanced technology.
The breakout of 34.85 is a significant technical development . Silver has been in an active uptrend channel since 2024, but the 34.85 level repeatedly capped upward moves since October. With this breakout, silver now has room to rise gradually toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially reaching near 40. Key support levels to watch are 34.85 and 34.45. As long as they hold, the primary direction remains upward. The moves may be gradual but could include sharp surges and continuation patterns like flags.
Gold Rebounds on Safe-Haven Flows – Is the Uptrend Back?Gold attracted some dip-buying interest during Tuesday’s trading session, reversing part of the previous day’s losses as rising geopolitical tensions reignited demand for safe-haven assets.
The market is increasingly pricing in the expectation that the Federal Reserve will begin a rate-cutting cycle in September — a scenario that favors non-yielding assets like gold. However, a modest recovery in the U.S. dollar could act as a headwind in the short term.
If conditions align, XAUUSD may capitalize on its recent upward momentum to resume the broader bullish trend, especially after completing a healthy pullback near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — in line with Dow Theory continuation.
Gold is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,360 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,360 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD H1 compression BUY/HOLD TP1 +100 TP2 +200 pips low risk🏆 GBPUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
Short-term: BULLS active; resistance forming mid‑1.3600s, consolidation below 1.3600s
Mid-term: Neutral to slight bullish bias; bulls seek 1.3600–1.3700/1.3730 zone
Status: Narrow trading range (tight band) ahead of key UK CPI, Fed & BoE meetings
🔥 Latest Forex Updates
GBP/USD is consolidating in a narrow range around the mid‑1.3500s ahead of this week’s UK CPI and central bank meetings.
The pair holds defensive below 1.3600, with dovish BoE bets capping gains while the Fed is expected to stand pat.
GBP/USD sits near a 40‑month high (~1.3600), boosted by geopolitical risk tone, but lacking momentum to break much higher.
GBP/USD hit ~1.3600 after rebounding from 1.3515 amid renewed Middle East tensions and a weaker US dollar.
Live charts show a mild bullish tilt, awaiting central bank outcomes.
💡 Trade Recommendation
Buy GBPUSD at 1.3530 (recommended entry near 1.3530)
Take Profit at 1.3730 → +200 pips profit target
Stop Loss: 50 pips (around 1.3480)
This trade aligns with the current structure: shallow dip followed by rebound, positioning ahead of central bank catalysts. Momentum above resistance could propel GBP/USD toward 1.3730.
📌 Market Overview
Metric Details
Current Price ~1.3565–1.3600
24H Range 1.3515–1.3600
Central Event Risks UK CPI (Wed), US Retail Sales & Fed (Wed), BoE (Thu)
Geopolitical Middle East tension supports USD weakness, aiding GBP
📈 Forecast Highlights
Support Levels: ~1.3530 (100‑period SMA), ~1.3460, ~1.3425
Resistance Levels: 1.3600, 1.3630 static ceiling, followed by ~1.3700–1.3730 for bulls
🧭 Final Take
GBP/USD sits in a tight range, awaiting central bank clarity. The recommended long trade at 1.3530 aims to capitalize on upside momentum toward 1.3730, supported by technical confluence and a softer USD. Manage risk with a 50‑pip stop loss.
Gold XAUUSD Move 16 June 2025Market Structure:
The market isin a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows until a recent break of the ascending trendline, signaling a short-term structural weakness.
Current price is in a retracement phase, heading towards previous demand zones.
🔹 Zone 1 (3408–3414):
Confluence of:
Broken trendline retest (former support).
Minor order block / demand zone.
Overlapping price reaction area.
Risk: This zone may act as a liquidity inducement before price sweeps deeper into Zone 2.
Entry trigger: Bullish engulfing or LTF market structure shift on 1m/5m.
🔹 Zone 2 (3380–3384):
Stronger demand zone:
Aligned with previous accumulation base.
Larger imbalance (FVG-type area) and bullish impulsive origin.
More convincing for high-RR entries.
Higher probability: If Zone 1 fails or only wicks price, Zone 2 may provide the main entry opportunity.
Entry trigger: Shift in LTF structure with volume spike or breaker flip.
✅ Trade Signal Suggestions
🟦 Setup 1: Buy from Zone 1
Entry: 3410 (upon bullish confirmation)
SL: 3400 (below structure low)
TP: 3434 (prior high)
RR: ~2.4R
Note: Only take if price forms bullish structure (MSS or BOS) on lower timeframe.
🟦 Setup 2: Buy from Zone 2
Entry: 3380/3384 (upon confirmation)
SL: 3372 (below demand zone)
TP: 3411 or 3434 (scalp to intraday swing)
RR: ~1:3 or better
Note: Wait for clean rejection or reversal candle from this zone.
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk 0.5–1% per trade.
Use entry confirmation such as:
Bullish engulfing
Fair value gap reaction
Break of internal structure
Gold Market Update – Technical Breakdown in FocusGold has broken below the ABCD harmonic pattern structure, a classic sign of a potential trend reversal. This bearish move is now approaching the critical support at $3385, which has acted as a structural pivot in past sessions.
Adding to this bearish outlook, the Momentum oscillator has crossed decisively below the 100-line, confirming a shift in directional strength and reinforcing downside potential.
🔽 TradeIdea – XAUUSD Short Setup
Entry Trigger: Initiate short positions only if price closes below $3385 on strong volume.
Take-Profit Target: $3360 – near the lower harmonic projection and previous demand zone.
Stop-Loss Idea: Above $3412 (structure invalidation level)
This setup aligns with both pattern-based analysis and momentum confirmation, increasing confidence for short-term bearish continuation.
XAUUSD: June 17 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3450, support below 3355
4-hour chart resistance 3420, support below 3372
1-hour chart resistance 3403, support below 3375
The recent rise and fall of gold is completely controlled by market news. The next move of Israel and Iran directly affects the rise and fall of gold. It rises under the stimulation of the escalation of the situation and begins to pull back when the situation eases. The long and short positions form a short-term tug-of-war pattern, but the fundamentals have not changed. Gold is still in a bull market.
Today's rebound high is in the 3405/03 area. This position has formed a top and bottom conversion position. It is bound to have a certain suppressive effect on the rebound of gold prices. You can refer to the 3403/05 area for shorting during the day. Pay attention to the vicinity of 3370 below. If you hold this support level, you can buy short-term. The intraday volatility is not expected to be large, which is suitable for fast-in and fast-out transactions!
SELL: 3402near SL: 3407
BUY: 3370near SL: 3365
GLD Weekly Trade Setup — June 16, 2025🪙 GLD Weekly Trade Setup — June 16, 2025
🎯 Instrument: GLD (SPDR Gold Shares)
📉 Strategy: Short Bias via Puts
📅 Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence Level: 65%
🧠 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
Current Price: $311.78
5-Min Chart: Below EMAs (10/50/200); RSI ≈ 34 → short-term oversold
Daily Chart: Above 10EMA ($309.94), RSI ≈ 56 → neutral-to-bullish
Bollinger Bands: Near lower band on M5 → volatility likely
Support/Resistance:
• Support: $311.68 / $307.28
• Resistance: $312.20 / $313.00
🗞️ Market Sentiment Overview
VIX: Elevated at 20.82 → high risk premium environment
Options Flow: Heavily put-weighted near $305–$310 strikes
Max Pain: $285 → bearish options bias into expiration
News: Geopolitical tensions increase flight-to-safety temporarily, but fading momentum fuels retrace setups
🔽 Recommended Trade: GLD PUT
Parameter Value
🎯 Strike $307.00
💵 Entry Price $0.84
🎯 Profit Target $1.25–$1.70
🛑 Stop Loss $0.50
📅 Expiry June 20, 2025
📏 Size 1 contract
⚖️ Confidence 65%
🧷 Trade Plan
📥 Entry: At market open
📈 PT Zone: $1.25 to $1.70 premium, based on drop to $306–307
🛑 Stop: If premium drops to $0.50 OR GLD breaks above $313
💰 Risk Mgmt: Keep exposure <2% of total account equity
⚠️ Key Considerations
Upside Risk: Sudden bullish shift or risk-off headlines can drive reversal
Time Decay: Premium erosion risk is higher if GLD consolidates
Volatility Drag: VIX dropping could suppress put premiums quickly
🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "GLD",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 307.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-20",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.25,
"stop_loss": 0.50,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.84,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-16 16:15:17 UTC-04:00"
}
💡 If GLD struggles to reclaim $312.20 at the open, the put setup becomes attractive. Breakout above $313? Exit quickly.
Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move?
After an aggressive rally fueled by geopolitical FOMO headlines, gold (XAUUSD) saw a sudden pullback — but what looked like weakness might actually be a setup for smart accumulation. The market narrative is shifting, and price action is sending important signals...
🌍 Global Drivers Behind the Volatility
Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, prompting global safe haven flows. Evacuation warnings and nuclear deal pressure add more uncertainty to the mix.
Despite bullish news, gold failed to hold its highs — a potential bull trap as institutional players took advantage of retail FOMO to offload.
Big capital may now be rotating from gold into other sectors like energy (oil) and discounted equity assets.
📉 Price Action & Technical Outlook (M30–H1)
After topping around 3442–3440, price snapped back into the mid-range — a sign of liquidity hunting rather than a full reversal.
The EMAs (13/34/89/200) on the M15–M30 timeframes are showing early signs of bearish crossover, hinting at further short-term weakness.
Below current price sits a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) that could act as a magnet — aligning with a high-probability buy zone.
🎯 Trading Playbook
✅ BUY Setup – "Smart Money Entry Zone"
Buy Zone: 3342 – 3344
Stop Loss: 3338
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360
→ 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3380+
💡 Look for price to tap into the FVG and form a base with bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence, or rising volume) before entering.
❌ SELL Setup – "Fade the Overhead Resistance"
Sell Zone: 3440 – 3442
Stop Loss: 3446
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3436 → 3432 → 3428 → 3424
→ 3420 → 3415 → 3410
⚠️ Only short on a strong rejection or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance — do not short blindly.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
The initial Asian-session rally was likely a news-driven liquidity event.
Institutions appear to be rotating capital, using emotional retail entries as exit liquidity.
Current market conditions suggest a shakeout before a longer-term bullish move.
📌 Final Note
Don’t chase price. Let it come to your zones. This market is being driven by geopolitical narrative and smart money behavior, not just technicals alone.
✅ Stay patient.
📊 Trade with logic.
🧘♂️ Let others FOMO — you focus on levels and confirmation.
👉 Follow for real-time London session updates and reaction-based entries.
GOLD recovers from $3,371, risks remain highOn Tuesday (June 17) in the Asian market, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the price of gold once fell below 3,380 USD/ounce. As investors watched the hostile situation between Israel and Iran, US President Trump called for an immediate withdrawal of troops from Iran and ordered officials to be ready in the situation room, boosting demand for safe-haven assets.
Trump posted on his social media platform "Real Social": "Iran should sign the 'deal' I asked them to sign. What a shame and waste of lives. Simply put, Iran cannot have nuclear weapons. I have said this over and over again! Everyone should evacuate Tehran immediately!"
Axios News reported that shortly after Trump's tweet, Iranian media reported explosions and heavy anti-aircraft fire in Tehran. It is unclear whether there is any connection between Trump's tweet and the attack.
According to the latest report from Fox News, US President Trump asked the National Security Council to be on standby in the White House Situation Room after he cut short his trip to the G7 summit and returned to Washington earlier than expected.
The White House Situation Room is a conference room and intelligence management center located in the basement of the West Wing of the White House, with a total area of about 460 square meters.
The main purpose of the White House Situation Room is to provide a working space for the National Security Council, including the President of the United States, the Vice President, the White House Chief of Staff, the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, the National Security Advisor, etc., to quickly discuss and respond to sudden domestic and international events affecting the national security of the United States. It has advanced and complete security communication facilities, allowing the President of the United States to control the United States military around the world at any time.
WTI crude oil prices rose about 3.00% on the day after Trump told officials to be ready in the situation room.
These market risks clearly leave plenty of room for gold to rise, and the current decline, which is being driven by profit-taking, is unlikely to last.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After a sharp decline, gold has recovered from the support level noted to readers in the previous issue at the price point of 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, and currently the original price point of 3,400 USD is the nearest resistance at present.
If gold breaks above 3,400 USD, it will have the conditions to aim for the target of 3,435 USD in the short term.
Currently, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend with the price channel as the short-term trend, while the price channel as the long-term trend and the EMA21 as the nearest support at present.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and is far from overbought territory, suggesting that there is still plenty of room for upside ahead.
The current declines should still be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a full-fledged trend, or as a buying opportunity.
During the day, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following positions.
Support: $3,371 – $3,350
Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3420 - 3418⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3424
→Take Profit 1 3412
↨
→Take Profit 2 3406
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3364