Metals
XAUUSD Gold Next Possible move is 2759! Read Description Hello Traders!
Gold looks full bearish can hit 2559! We can see a rising wedge in high time frame (H4) also Elliott wave giving same target because B correct move has been completed and times to give C corrective move till 2559-2504 that is the possibility for Gold in the current situation!
Resistance: 2648, 2660, 2685
Support: 2638, 2620, 2597
Stop Loss: 2660
Tp 2622
Tp 2610
Tp 2570
Tp 2504
GOLD traded steadily, notable events and data during the dayOn the Asian market on Tuesday (December 3), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,640 USD/ounce.
Notable economic data and events on this trading day
Today (Tuesday), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This important employment data is expected to cause large fluctuations in gold prices this trading day.
Economists predict that there will be 7.51 million JOLT vacancies in the United States in October, compared with 7.443 million in September, the lowest level since the beginning of 2021.
The JOLTS job vacancy report was one of the labor force indicators that U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen valued most when she was chair of the Federal Reserve. This index is also labor market data that the Fed is very interested in.
Gold traders will also be watching for speeches by Federal Reserve officials. On Wednesday, Fed Governor Coogler will give a speech on the labor market and monetary policy. Chicago Fed President Goolsby will give a speech.
More information
Trump urged BRICS countries not to try to replace the dollar and threatened to impose 100% tariffs if they did not comply. Trump's comments raised concerns that US interest rates will remain high for a long time and this will not be beneficial for non-yielding gold.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, there are almost no structural changes as gold is still maintaining very modest price activity due to the lack of fundamental breakthroughs.
In terms of factors, gold is facing more pressure with the nearest horizontal resistance at 2,644 USD along with the 21-day Moving Average (EMA21), in addition, the main trend currently dominating is the downward trend. by price channel.
In the short term, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci level, it will have conditions to decrease further with a subsequent target of around 2,606 - 2,600USD, which means the nearest support in the short term is also the 0.618 Fibonacci level. % price point 2,634USD.
The relative strength index is still operating below the 50 level, although it is mostly moving sideways but this should also be considered a negative technical signal.
During the day, the technical outlook leans towards the possibility of price decline with notable points listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2661 - 2659⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2665
→Take Profit 1 2654
↨
→Take Profit 2 2649
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
XAUUSDGold prices were under pressure yesterday as the PMI news was released, which was good for the dollar and Treasury yields rose. However, gold prices were supported by the forecast of a December Fed rate cut and geopolitical tensions in Syria and Russia-Ukraine, creating a push into safe havens.
Gold prices are currently moving sideways in a large range between 2633 - 2666, the nearest resistance is still at 2660 - 2665, and there is no clear trend for gold at the moment. If this Sideway zone is broken, Gold may find the nearest resistance at 2683-2688. Consider using the support at 2620 - 2625 to catch up with the uptrend of Gold.
‼️XAUUSD BUYZONE 2624 - 2626
SL 2621
TP 2628 - 2630 - open
‼️XAUUSD SELLZONE 2661 - 2663
SL 2666
TP 2659 - 2655 - 2650
GOLD's recovery is limited, pay attention to this week's dataOANDA:XAUUSD remained stable above 2,600 USD last week, mainly supported by rising geopolitical tensions, but after Donald Trump won the US Presidential election, gold was still under pressure to restrain the possibility of price increases in terms of price. Basically because the USD will be supported by Trump's victory.
Regarding gold's latest recovery, after US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data released earlier this week was in line with expectations, market expectations of an interest rate cut in May 12 by the Federal Reserve increased, pushing gold prices higher.
Currently, the market is pricing in a roughly 66% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, a significant increase from more than 50% a week ago.
Geopolitical tensions in Europe caused by Russia's missile attack on Ukraine also provided support for safe-haven assets such as gold.
The Israeli military said its air force on Thursday attacked a facility in southern Lebanon used by Hezbollah to store medium-range missiles, as the two sides accused each other of violating a ceasefire despite the agreement. previous agreement.
Russia on Thursday launched its second major attack this month on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, causing widespread power outages in the country.
Gold is often seen as a safe investment during times of economic and geopolitical instability.
Gold prices have fallen about 3% this month and hit a two-month low on November 14. This is mainly because the US Dollar has strengthened since Trump was elected and his tariff policies are believed to be likely to push up inflation, thereby slowing down the cycle of US interest rate cuts. Federal Reserve.
This week the US will release key economic data including job vacancies, the ADP jobs report and the nonfarm payrolls report, which could provide guidance on the Fed's policy outlook.
Economic data to watch out for this week
Monday: ISM manufacturing PMI
Wednesday: ADP Working Data, ISM Services PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will participate in a panel discussion at the New York Times DealBook Summit
Wednesday Thursday: Claim weekly unemployment assistance
Friday: US nonfarm payrolls report, preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is trying to recover but is still limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci level and EMA21. Note to readers in yesterday's edition.
In terms of overall structure, gold is still inclined to a bearish outlook with the main trend from the price channel, main resistance from EMA21, while the Relative Strength Index has not yet been able to surpass 50. Because So in terms of trends and dynamics, gold still has the prospect of decreasing in price more than increasing.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, it does not technically have enough room for a long-term rally, so rallies should only be considered short-term rallies.
In the immediate future, if gold falls below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, the next downside target will be noticed at around the original price of 2,600 USD.
In summary, the technical outlook on the daily chart of gold prices leans to the downside with notable highlights listed as follows.
Support: 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
Gold → The correction is gaining momentum. The next target is 24Hello, dear traders, Ben here!
Gold faced significant supply on Monday and broke a four-day winning streak, indicating that gold prices are ready to reach lower levels, such as down to 2547-2470. What has happened and what will happen?
Demand for the dollar has increased at the expense of gold. At the same time, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for November still rose 2.8% year-over-year, higher than the forecast and the Federal Reserve's (FED) target of 2%. These factors could make the FED more cautious in continuing to cut interest rates in the short term.
In the medium term, the focus is on the non-farm payroll report; if the data shows a robust labor market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is more likely not to cut interest rates. That will boost the USD and could negatively impact gold.
On the H4 chart, gold is in a local downtrend channel and below the psychological resistance level of 2643. If the bears keep the 2633-2643 region under control, gold may continue to weaken towards the 2547 - 2470 level.
Technically, after a week of low liquidity due to the holidays, this metal may enter a consolidation phase, for example, in the 2643 - 2623 area, but it is still noteworthy to pay attention to the resistance and support levels from which strong moves can form...
XAUUSD Bull Flag to break into a new Channel Up High.Gold / XAUUSD is trading inside a Channel Up since November 25th on the 1hour chart.
At the moment it is on a Bull Flag, which was part of both prior bullish waves.
The 1hour RSI just crossed under its MA and on the next lower low, the price should have already bottomed.
Buy and target 2669, which is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (the last Higher High of the pattern).
Previous chart:
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GOLD → The bears are gaining weight. Resistance retestFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false break of the resistance of the range. The fundamental background is mixed and does not yet allow to form a clear medium and long term strategy, BUT! ...
Trump's policies create new risks. Before taking office, he has already signaled the growth of tariffs for the whole world (Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, BRICS countries). The growth of geopolitical risks also affects the price of metal. On the background of the dollar growth and expected reduction of interest rates by the Fed, gold is declining and confirms the bearish structure of the market. The markets' attention is focused on the ISM manufacturing PMI index in the US. Data from the US
Technically, the price is breaking the ascending support line as well as the 2636 zone, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming and we should pay attention to the key resistance, liquidity and imbalance zones
Resistance Levels: 2636, 0.5-0.7 Fibo, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the previously broken structure and zone of interest is forming. False breakout of 0.5-0.7 fibo (retest) can provoke active selling on the background of the newly growing dollar. But, globally, gold is still in a sideways range without a clear trend direction...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Seize the opportunity to continue shorting goldBros, gold fell as expected and touched the short-term support area of 2635-2630, and then rebounded again. Currently, gold is running around 2639.
At present, gold is repeatedly bullish and bearish in the short term, and neither the rise nor the fall is sustained. The overall market can be classified as a volatile market. However, from the perspective of the strength of gold's rebound, gold is relatively weak, and it has never effectively broken through 2650 during the rebound. So in short-term trading, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound.
Then the area we focus on first is the 2645-2650 area, followed by the 2660-2665 area. As long as gold remains below 2660, I think the short energy is still slightly better, so at the right time, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 and 2660-2665 resistance areas.
Bros, are you as bearish on gold as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Hold on to short gold positionsBros, as I said in my last opinion, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 resistance area. I have already shorted gold at 2645 and 2651 as planned.
Although gold has not fallen effectively so far, it still remains above 2640. But we can see that gold has not effectively broken through 2650 in many rebounds, so I think that after consuming a certain amount of long energy, gold will fall again.
So I am still very confident in my short position. Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD | 15M | TECHNICAL CHARTI have prepared a OANDA:XAUUSD analysis for all of you. I have marked my target and stop-loss levels on the chart. Thanks to everyone who likes and supports my work. I work hard for you here and I will never give up on you.
We will continue to win together. All I ask is that you show your support with a like.
Gold Technical Outlook: Bullish Momentum with Key Levels toWatchGold Technical Analysis
The price action indicates a continuation of the bullish trend following a retracement from the key support level at 2622.
As long as the price remains above 2638 and 2622, the bullish outlook prevails, with potential targets at 2661 and 2678.
For a bearish reversal, the price would need to stabilize below 2638, which could lead to a retest of 2622. A confirmed hourly candle closure below 2622 would likely extend the downside move toward 2612 and potentially lower levels.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2644
Resistance Levels: 2661, 2678, 2706
Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook: Uptrend
The current trend remains bullish, supported by strong price action above critical support zones.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed, allowing us to buy dips from our weighted level bounces.
We started the day with the bearish gap below at 2647 being hit followed 2631 retracement range test at 2631 weighted Goldturn giving us over 40 pip bounce like we always state and all the way into 2647.
We need to keep in mind that ema5 has also locked below 2631 leaving the swing range open. However, we are seeing the bullish Goldturn 2647 being tested. If we see a lock above 2647 then we are likely to see the upper targets or failure to lock above 2747 will see a re-attempt on the lower Goldlturns, also keeping in mind the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: 2/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2627
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold prices quickly hit the 2666 mark in the Asian and European sessions and fluctuated sideways. The US session was suppressed and closed below the 2660 mark. Today, the gold price fell directly at the opening of the Asian session and broke through the 2650 mark and continued to fall back to the vicinity of 2640. After rebounding for two consecutive trading days last week, the short-term gold price entered a suppressed adjustment pattern.
At present, from the 4-hour trend, the pattern of continuous rise in gold in the early stage has basically ended, and the short position will continue to ferment. From the perspective of the market, after the gold price fell below 2645, the original support point turned into the first reference pressure. Relying on this position, the main short position continued to fall downward. The lower target position first focused on whether the 2627 mark could be broken. If the 1H line breaks through, it can be further shorted. If 2627 is not broken, it will still maintain a volatile operation. The short-term watershed between long and short strength is 2639. Before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Keep participating in the trend
SELL: 2639near SL: 2643
SELL: 2624near SL: 2627
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD (02/12) | Bears are Gaining Momentum. Retesting the ResistaXAUUSD is declining after falsely breaking the resistance level of the range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for the formation of a clear mid- to long-term strategy.
Trump's policies are creating new risks. Before taking office, he signaled the possibility of raising tariffs globally (on Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, and BRICS countries). Increased geopolitical risks are also affecting metal prices. On the backdrop of a strengthening U.S. dollar and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates, gold prices are falling, confirming the bearish structure of the market. The market's attention is focused on the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI index.
Technically, the price is breaking below the ascending support line as well as the 2636 level, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming, and we should pay attention to resistance zones, liquidity, and key imbalances.
Resistance levels: 2636, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the broken structure and the previously significant levels is forming. A false breakout of the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci retracement (retest) could trigger aggressive selling due to the newly strengthened U.S. dollar. However, globally, gold is still within a sideways range without a clear trend.
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2651 - 2652
⚰️SL: 2656
⬆️TP1: 2644
⬆️TP2: 2639
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2580 - 2581
⚰️SL: 2575
⬆️TP1: 2586
⬆️TP2: 2591
This concludes the article. Best wishes for a healthy, joyful, and happy weekend.
SILVER Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 30.622 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 30.343
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver Moving Up to 37 & 44Weekly chart has a confirmed inverted H/S during the long consolidation from 2020 and 2021 highs, it successfully broke and then tested the neckline at $25.85 and then moved up.
It's possible that 28.3 gets tested if it doesn't hold above the prior wick high at ~30.5.
As long as 28.3 holds, and especially if 25.85 continues to hold, silver should move up to 37 and 44 approximately.
SILVER What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 30.514 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 30.292
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker DollarGold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Drive the Recovery
Gold prices have rebounded after a recent dip, which followed reports of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. Despite this temporary pullback, the broader dynamics supporting gold remain intact, driven by geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and central bank policies.
Geopolitical Tensions Support Gold
One of the primary factors behind gold’s continued strength is the persistence of geopolitical risks. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets, with gold standing out as a key hedge against global instability. Even with temporary easing of tensions in the Middle East, the broader geopolitical landscape remains a strong support for gold prices.
US Dollar Weakness Boosts Gold
US economic data presented a mixed picture, which weakened the dollar and provided a boost to gold prices:
- **US GDP QoQ (2nd Estimate):** 2.8%, in line with forecasts, indicating steady economic growth.
- **US Initial Jobless Claims:** Reported at 213K, slightly better than the forecast of 215K, showcasing a stable labor market.
- **US Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, below expectations of 0.5%, signaling a softer investment demand.
- **US PCE Price Index YoY:** Rose to 2.3%, matching forecasts but higher than the previous 2.1%.
- **US Core PCE Price Index YoY:** Climbed to 2.8%, in line with expectations but up from the prior 2.7%.
- **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2.
- **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4.
- **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M.
- **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10.
- **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast.
- **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market.
- **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing.
These figures weakened the US dollar, which typically moves inversely to gold, making the precious metal more attractive to global investors.
Inflation Concerns and Central Bank Activity
Inflation remains a key driver for gold. Planned tariffs on imported goods, proposed by future President Donald Trump, could exacerbate inflationary pressures in the US, further boosting gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Moreover, gold continues to benefit from a global environment of falling interest rates. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, while central bank purchases add strong, consistent demand to the market.
Emerging Market Demand Strengthens Gold
Emerging economies, such as China and India, play a critical role in gold’s price trajectory. In these regions, gold holds significant cultural and investment value, and rising wealth levels contribute to increasing demand. This structural support further solidifies gold’s position as a long-term investment choice.
What’s Next for Gold?
Gold’s rebound highlights its resilience amid shifting global dynamics. While geopolitical developments like the ceasefire in the Middle East can trigger short-term volatility, the broader drivers—geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and central bank policies—remain firmly in place.
As the dollar shows signs of softening, gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum in the long term. Is this the beginning of a renewed rally for gold, or will further global developments bring new challenges? Share your insights in the comments!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-2: Tmp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to move a bit higher after finding support in early trading.
The one BIG event over the past 5+ trading days is the SPY rallying above the Ultimate High level - breaking into a confirmed Bullish price trend.
This is part of what I'm trying to teach you: the patterns, techniques, thinking, and logic behind my decisions are based on mechanical price structures/processes. Once you understand the structures and price patterns, it is simple to try to understand.
Fibonacci Price Theory teaches you to follow price as the ultimate indicator - measuring and marking ultimate, unique, and standout highs/lows as trigger points.
AnchorBar theory teaches us to watch for breakaway or breakdown bars as precise indications of price trend direction/momentum.
The Excess Phase Peak patterns represent a more nuanced price pattern that can assist us in determining the current "phase" of the markets and how we can expect prices to react to that phase.
If you understand these three concepts, I believe you, as a trader, can unlock any price action and determine what type of trend we are currently in for any symbol/interval and where your opportunity lies for potential trades.
I will continue to delve further into trading and teaching techniques to reinforce these techniques in the future.
Stay cautious as the markets are still struggling to find a post-election trend.
The Anomaly Event is still likely, but the probability of such an event has fallen to about 30-40% overall.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
EURJPY | 30M | TECHNICAL CHART |I have prepared a FX:EURJPY analysis for all of you. I have marked my target and stop-loss levels on the chart. Thanks to everyone who likes and supports my work. I work hard for you here and I will never give up on you.
We will continue to win together. All I ask is that you show your support with a like.
HelenP. I Gold can grow a little and then drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then turned around and started to grow. In a short time price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and even entered to this area, and some time traded inside. Later Gold rose to the trend line and then started to decline. Price quickly fell lower 2725 level, breaking it, and continued to decline to the support level. When the price reached the 2615 level, it broke this level and fell until to 2536 points, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the 2615 level and broke it again. Then price continued to move up to the trend line and when it reached this line, it turned around and made an impulse down to support the level back. But a few moments ago it started to move up. So, at the moment, I expect that XAUUSD can rise a little more and then turn around and fall to the support level. That's why I set my goal at 2615 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️