Plan Your Trade Update For 4-21 : Waiting For The EPP SetupThis video is, hopefully, going to help many of you learn to use the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern more efficiently.
For months, I've been trying to teach all of you to use this pattern to efficiently identify and trade some of the biggest price moves.
Remember, price only does TWO THINGS - TREND or FLAG.
These components are essential to the EPP pattern setup.
First, price must TREND into a peak or trough.
Second, price must pullback from the peak or trough.
Third, price must move into a SIDEWAYS/FLAGGING formation.
Forth, price must break away from the sideways/flagging formation and attempt to TREND into the new consolidation phase.
Fifth, once the new consolidation phase starts, price will trend and flag within the consolidation range for a period of time - before...
Sixth, price will attempt to break up or down to the Ultimate High/Low.
This chart of the ES/SPY will show you how I used my analysis to "front-load" my positions before the Easter holiday weekend.
I've been telling all of you the markets would likely attempt to move a little bit higher, trying to target 525-535 (if we are lucky). Then, price would roll into a topping formation and move downward towards my May 3-6th low (estimate).
Last Thursday, I decided to throw on two positions to protect against any big news that may cause the markets to collapse over the holiday weekend.
I picked up :
4 SDS CALL options @ $23 expiring on May 16
3 XLF PUT options @ $47 expiring on May 16
Both of those trades worked out perfectly this morning. I booked 2 of the XLF and 2 of the SDS for profits near 1030 AM PT. Lovely.
Next, in between phone calls and loading up my car for a short trip, I noticed a beautiful EPP pattern setting up in the ES, and that EPP pattern has already reached what I believe to be the Ultimate Low.
I tried to get into 2 SPY Call options @ $512 and held my breath to see if I timed the entry well.
NOT.
I took a $280+ loss on those two Calls.
I waited a bit longer to see what price did, and after the price setup a base below $510 on the SPY, I loaded up on two more SPY Calls @ $510 and two SSO calls @ $67 about 70-80 minutes before the end of trading.
The way I looked at it, I already had my downside trades placed from last Thursday, and I just added some upside exposure while my downside trades were profitable.
I didn't know if the SPY would rally or not, but the EPP Ultimate Low setup suggested NOW is the time to buy.
So, I kept both downside and upside trades active to protect my account overnight.
The SPY rallied into the close, and I ended up making some nice profits off that EPP Ultimate Low.
Now, I'm going to wait to see what happens tomorrow morning and try to BOOK my upside trades in profits while letting my longer-term downside trades play out into early/mid May.
This is trading. The entire purpose of trading, like I trade, is to position for the best opportunities and try to catch the GIFTS the market throws at you as often as possible.
Nothing is guaranteed, but price ultimately shows us everything we need to know.
Watch this video to see if you understand the EPP Ultimate Low that prompted me to buy my CALLS today.
If so, then you are starting to GET IT, and that is a very big step towards improving your trading skills.
Get some.
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Metals
GOLD holds above 3,400, heading towards 3,500As the US Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD weakened and Sino-US trade tensions raised market concerns about the economic outlook, investor risk aversion increased, pushing gold prices to a record high, breaking through the $3,400/ounce mark and maintaining price action above this level, continuing to target a new all-time high of $3,500.
The US Dollar fell sharply during the day as US President Donald Trump made critical remarks about Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, further undermining market confidence in the US economy. A weaker US Dollar typically makes US Dollar-denominated gold more attractive to holders of other currencies.
On trade, China accused the United States of abusing the tariff tool and warned other countries not to reach broader economic and trade agreements with the United States at the expense of their own interests. Gold, long seen as a hedge against uncertainty and a highly liquid asset, has risen more than $700 since the start of 2025. Gold broke through $3,300 for the first time last Wednesday and the surge has pushed prices above $100 again in just a few days.
Trump is considering removing Fed Chairman Powell and has repeatedly called for interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee has spoken out publicly against undermining the independence of the central bank.
Trump also made some shocking statements. Trump shared his thoughts on the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying, "The golden rule of negotiation and success: he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold rules.
This post about gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media.
Trump also said, "Businessmen who criticize Tariffs are bad at business, but they are really bad at politics. They don't understand or realize that I am the best friend American Capitalism has ever had!"
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to hold above the $3,400 base point and the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level, which is a positive factor for the gold price's bullish outlook. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not sending any signals indicating a possible downside correction, a sign indicating a possible downside correction is the RSI heading below 80.
In terms of current position, gold still has a bullish outlook in the short term with the price channel as the trend and maintaining activity above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level provides conditions for gold to aim for a new bullish target at $3,482 in the short term, more than the raw price point of $3,500.
During the day, the short-term bullish outlook of gold will be focused again by the following positions.
Support: $3,420 – $3,400
Resistance: $3,482 – $3,500
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3517 - 3515⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3521
→Take Profit 1 3509
↨
→Take Profit 2 3503
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3448 - 3450⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3444
→Take Profit 1 3456
↨
→Take Profit 2 3462
Gold at PRZ Again – Correction to $3,227 Possible!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise as I expected in the previous idea and created a new All-Time High(ATH) as usual . How long do you think the upward trend of Gold will continue!? ( Please give your reasons for the rise, I would appreciate it. )
Gold is trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and trying to break the Uptrend line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed another 5-wave impulsive .
Signs of the completion of the main wave 5 can be the presence of Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks, and the break of the Uptrend line (validly) .
I expect Gold to fall to $3,227 in the coming hours.
Note: If Gold can move above $3,420, we can expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Drop in the short termBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 3479, aligning with the 261.8% Fibo extension.
Our take profit will be at 3415.26 , a swing low support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3524.53.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Continuation Setup – Key Support Levels 📊 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Indicators Used:
50 EMA (red): Currently at 3,199.009
200 EMA (blue): Currently at 3,123.168
Support Zone: Around 3,157.786 – 3,123.168
Current Price: Approximately 3,211.90
Focus Point (Target Zone): 3,283.810
🧠 Technical Analysis
🔹 Trend Analysis
Overall Trend: Bullish
Price is trading above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
The EMAs are sloping upward, indicating strong momentum.
Golden Cross previously occurred (50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA).
🔹 Key Support & Resistance
Immediate Resistance Zone: Around 3,240
This area is acting as a potential rejection zone, with minor consolidation.
Support Zone (Highlighted): 3,157 – 3,123
This zone was previously a breakout level and now serves as a retest support.
It coincides with the 200 EMA, adding to its strength.
🔁 Scenarios Presented
Scenario A – Bullish Rejection from Immediate Support (3,199)
Price could hold above or near the 50 EMA.
Break and retest of minor resistance could lead to a push toward 3,283.81 (target).
This is a higher-risk entry as the support is not deeply tested yet.
Scenario B – Deeper Pullback to Major Support (3,157 – 3,123)
A drop below current price into the main demand zone.
Bullish engulfing or strong reaction in this zone would offer a high-probability long setup.
Ideal entry point for swing traders, especially if confirmed by volume or bullish candlestick reversal.
🎯 Trade Strategy Suggestion
✅ Long Setup
Entry Option 1: On bullish rejection above 3,199 with confirmation.
Entry Option 2 (Preferred): At strong support zone 3,157 – 3,123 with bullish reversal signal.
Target: 3,283.81
Stop Loss:
For Entry 1: Below 3,157
For Entry 2: Below 3,100 or 200 EMA, depending on aggressiveness
📌 Conclusion
This chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup with two potential entry scenarios:
A minor pullback and bounce from the 50 EMA.
A deeper retracement into a strong support zone aligned with the 200 EMA.
The uptrend remains intact as long as the price holds above the 200 EMA and the major demand zone. A break below 3,100 would invalidate the bullish outlook short-term
Gold Hits 3430 – Time to Hunt the Reversal or Reload the Bull?💥 “3430 Cracked – Is Gold Flexing or Faking?”
📍 XAUUSD Sniper Plan | April 21 NY Session | ATH Game On
🧾 Macro Overview – Why Gold Is on Fire
Gold just pierced through ATH 3430.34, fueled by:
🔥 Escalating US–China trade tensions (145% US tariffs, 125% China response)
📉 Weakening USD (Dollar Index down 5.2% YTD)
🏦 China’s strategic gold accumulation (tripled reserves to 8%)
📊 Rate cut expectations from the Fed & bond volatility
📈 Goldman Sachs target upgrade: $3700 → $4500 if tensions persist
In short: gold isn’t just bullish—it’s a magnet for global fear, positioning, and central bank demand. But after a vertical sprint, even bulls need to breathe.
🔻 SELL ZONES (Only from Premium + Confirmed Trap Structures)
🔴 Sell Zone 1 – ATH Rejection Trap
🎯 Entry: 3430–3434
🛑 SL: 3440
✅ TP1: 3412
✅ TP2: 3390
✅ TP3: 3360
📌 Key Confluences:
– Final sweep zone above ATH
– H1 OB + M15 FVG
– RSI divergence building
– Psychological exhaustion at major round number
🔴 Sell Zone 2 – Parabolic Extension Fade
🎯 Entry: 3444–3448
🛑 SL: 3455
✅ TP1: 3420
✅ TP2: 3400
✅ TP3: 3375
📌 Key Confluences:
– Fibonacci 1.618 extension
– Unmitigated imbalance
– Microstructure overextension (use only with M5/M15 CHoCH)
🟢 BUY ZONES (Only from Real OB + FVG Zones, No Bounce Traps)
🟢 Buy Zone 1 – Mid-Structure Reentry (FVG/OB Confluence)
🎯 Entry: 3395–3398
🛑 SL: 3386
✅ TP1: 3420
✅ TP2: 3432
✅ TP3: 3444
📌 Key Confluences:
– Clean M15 OB
– FVG support from previous impulse
– Trendline touch + EMA21/50 base
– RSI reset at mid-levels
🟢 Buy Zone 2 – H1 Demand + Deep Discount Opportunity
🎯 Entry: 3360–3365
🛑 SL: 3345
✅ TP1: 3390
✅ TP2: 3412
✅ TP3: 3430
📌 Key Confluences:
– Strong H1 OB zone (unmitigated)
– 38.2–50% Fibonacci retracement
– High-probability trap zone if price flushes aggressively
🧠 Final Thoughts
Don't chase the top. Gold has no problem dragging traders up the hill, then letting gravity take over.
Sniper entries only. No emotion. No FOMO. Just structure, logic, and patience.
💬 Caught the 3430 sweep? Ready to reload or reverse?
👇 Drop your thoughts below — or just leave a 🧠 if this plan helps keep you focused.
Let’s keep trading smart, precise, and together.
— GoldMindsFX Team ✨
GOLD → The rally continues. Waiting for correction to tradeFX:XAUUSD supported by the weakness of the dollar and increased trade tensions between the U.S. and China continues to renew highs. At the moment the market is testing 3400...
After Friday's pullback caused by profit taking, the demand for gold rose again - investors are looking for protection amid the threat of recession in the U.S. and instability in the markets. Additional pressure on the dollar is exerted by the threat to the independence of the Fed, after statements about the possible resignation of Jerome Powell.
It is not worth buying at the highs. Technically, against the background of the uptrend, the market can take a break in the form of a pullback. A bounce from support or a false breakdown of the liquidity zone may provide a good opportunity to enter the market
Resistance levels: 3400, 3410, 3430
Support levels: 3369, 3357, 3344
Undoubtedly, based on the overall fundamental situation, gold is absorbing capital as a safe haven and can continue its growth for a long time. But we should keep an eye on the situation between the US and China, as well as in Eastern Europe. Any de-escalation of the conflict may lead to a correction.
For trading now it is worth waiting for a correction to the above mentioned support levels to find a trading opportunity.
Regards R. Linda!
What if Kid Rock ran the Fed?Gold has broken above $3,400 for the first time, setting a new all-time high as investor confidence in the United States continues to decline.
Citi forecasts gold could reach $3,500 within the next three months. However, this projection might be underestimating Trump’s potential to further undermine confidence in the US.
On Monday, President Trump intensified pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, calling him a “major loser” and demanding immediate interest rate cuts. Last week the President said, "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough,".
A move to dismiss Powell would likely trigger significant market volatility. Markets generally view Powell as a stabilizing figure, and history shows that a less independent central bank is less effective at keeping inflation under control.
I think it might be fair to wonder what a Federal Reserve Chairman Kid Rock would do for the price of gold.
XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review🟨 XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review
🔹 Price Action:
Gold made another aggressive high into ATH 3430, reaching full premium territory with strong upside momentum through London into NY. But the reaction near 3430 was sharp — indicating potential short-term exhaustion.
🔍 What Worked Today
✅ Liquidity sweep complete – Price ran clean through the previous weak high and liquidity above 3425, grabbing the top before rejecting.
✅ Bullish BOS confirmed – Structure remained bullish on all timeframes, with no valid CHoCH break on H1 or H4.
✅ Sniper bias confirmed – Directional buys played perfectly from lower OBs (especially the ones marked pre-Asia and pre-London).
🔍 What Didn’t Happen
❌ No mitigation of lower H1/H4 FVGs – Zones between 3361 and 3387 remain completely untouched.
❌ The 3305–3315 OB area wasn’t retested – Meaning any breakout traders looking for retests were left hanging.
❌ No real signs of reversal structure – Despite the reaction off ATH, we’ve yet to see a proper CHoCH + BOS sequence on H1 or H4.
⚠️ Unmitigated Key Zones
🟦 H1 FVG – 3361
🟦 H4 FVG – 3285.00–3300.00
🟧 H4 OB block – 3224 (untouched, still a strong magnet if sell momentum kicks in)
These levels remain high interest for any future discount buy setups if price starts pulling back.
📉 What Was Rejected Today
🔼 3430 – New ATH. Price wicked into this level and rejected instantly with visible CHoCH on M15 and M5, leaving a clear bearish reaction.
🔼 M15 OB – The supply zone around 3425–3430 acted as short-term resistance with an intraday bearish sequence into NY close.
🧠 Market Sentiment
🔸 Still bullish on HTF, but intraday shows clear profit-taking behavior.
🔸 Dollar weakness and geopolitical premium still holding gold up — but overextension risk is real above 3425.
📍 Summary
Gold remains in a strong uptrend but may be showing short-term exhaustion after hitting ATH 3430. With unmitigated OBs and FVGs below, any deeper pullback will be liquidity-driven, not structural bearishness… yet.
We'll prep the sniper plan separately soon — stay ready. 🧠⚔️
Gold (XAU/USD) Surges to Record Highs – No Signs of Slowing DownGold exploded higher again on Monday, climbing to $3,413, a new all-time high. The uptrend remains unstoppable for now:
🚀 Price is up nearly +2.6% on the day
📈 Strong support from rising trendline and 50-day SMA
📊 MACD is accelerating, signaling strong momentum
⚠️ RSI has entered overbought territory at 76.83, but no bearish divergence yet
The trend is your friend – and for now, bulls remain firmly in control. Traders eye $3,500 as the next major psychological milestone, while any pullbacks may find support near $3,300 or the trendline.
XAUUSD Possible Move 21-04-2025XAU/USD Technical Analysis — April 21, 2025
The Gold shows a bullish trend continuation pattern, with price currently testing a key resistance area. Three key levels have been identified for potential buy entries depending on how price reacts:
🔴 1st Buying Level: $3,396 - Breakout and Retest Zone
Entry Strategy: Buy only if price breaks above this level and successfully retests it.
Condition for Buying: A clear breakout followed by a minor retest confirming support.
Condition for Selling: If price gets rejected at this level and shows weakness on a minor retest, a short position could be considered.
⚫ 2nd Buying Level: Around $3,370
Entry Strategy: Buy if price pulls back to this level and it holds as support.
Note: This is a more conservative buy zone, ideal if the breakout fails and price retraces.
Confirmation Needed: Look for bullish price action like a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle at this level.
⚫ 3rd Buying Level: Around $3,355 (Ideal Entry)
Entry Strategy: This is considered the “perfect” buying level.
Reason: It aligns with previous structure and demand zone.
Best For: Traders looking for a deep pullback with optimal risk-reward potential.
🎯 Bullish Target: $3,425
If price breaks and sustains above the $3,396 level, the next potential upside target is $3,425.
Kindly, follow, comment, and like.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out perfectly completing all our targets.
We started with our Bullish target at 3341 hit, followed with candle body close gaps to 3362 and 3382, as ema5 didn't catch up for the lock due to momentum. However, the body close breaks on each level still gave us enough time for the confirmation. The final gap at 3410 did give us the ema5 cross and lock confirmation above 3384 opening 3410 and then completed the target perfectly!!
This 1H chart idea is now complete. We can now move onto our 4H chart idea for the remaining targets to track and trade throughout the week. However, If we see price fall back into the 1h chart range, then we can continue to use the levels bellow, as they should be respected.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3362 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3362 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3384 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3384 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3410 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.755 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,422.40 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,375.96..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD at its peak, Trump and Powell in focusSpot OANDA:XAUUSD surged, with gold just hitting a new record high of $3,384.62 an ounce. Gold is now up more than $60 on the day. Trump's comments and the Powell "conspiracy" have combined to trigger market activity.
Earlier, US President Donald Trump released his insights into the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying that "the golden rule of negotiation and success is that he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold will have the upper hand. This post on gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media.
Gold prices have surged to a record high as the U.S.-led trade war fuels safe-haven demand and the dollar weakens, Bloomberg reported, and data in the coming days could highlight early signs of damage to the global economy.
The International Monetary Fund is expected to cut its economic growth forecast on Tuesday, while the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) the following day will provide a snapshot of economic activity since U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs.
Gold prices have hit record highs this year as trade conflicts have roiled global markets, denting demand for riskier assets while spurring a rush to safe havens among investors.
Gold ETF holdings have risen for a 12-week streak, the longest such streak since 2022. Central banks have also increased their holdings of gold, supporting strong global demand.
Bloomberg notes that the sell-off in the US dollar intensified on Monday as US President Trump weighs whether to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Powell's possible removal could undermine investor confidence as the Fed's independence is seen as a key factor in investing in US assets. However, given that Trump has previously said he welcomes a weaker currency because it makes US products more competitive, he may welcome a weaker US dollar.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the technical chart, the short correction last Friday ended quickly as gold continued to rise along the short-term price channel.
The increase broke the 0.618% Fibonacci extension, giving gold the conditions to continue to rise with the target of the 3,400 USD price point in the short term, more than the 3,420 USD price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension.
It is difficult to expect a significant correction in the current context, but the RSI down through 80 can be considered a good signal for the expectation of a short-term correction.
However, with the current position, the main technical outlook for gold is still bullish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: 3,372 – 3,357 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,420 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3414 - 3412⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3418
→Take Profit 1 3406
↨
→Take Profit 2 3400
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3312
→Take Profit 1 3324
↨
→Take Profit 2 3330
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – April 21, 2025🧭 Market Overview:
XAUUSD just printed new ATH at 3396, with price now pushing again into premium, currently testing 3392.7–3393.6 — a zone with weak high inducement. Price action is extremely vertical, with no clear pullback since 3285.
📈 H1 Structure:
Bullish CHoCH and BOS series from April 9
Trend is vertical, clean impulsive waves
No internal sign of exhaustion — yet
🧠 Context:
H1 candles show price slowing slightly around the weak high area. Smart money will look to trap late buyers above 3396 if price does not break cleanly.
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🧲 Weak High Zone 3393.6–3396.0 Current zone – may act as final inducement trap
🎯 Fibo 1.0 Extension 3405–3415 First proper extension level for late buyers’ liquidation
🚨 Fibo 1.272 Zone 3445–3455 If we spike irrationally → this zone becomes the macro reversal trap
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Micro Demand 3340–3345 Small M15 OB zone – valid for reaction scalps only
🟢 Confirmed OB Zone 3284–3288 Last valid H1 OB + FVG confluence → strong buy reentry
⚓️ Macro Demand Base 3220–3235 Institutional reaccumulation zone from previous rally
🎯 H1 Bias:
Still bullish — but close to final exhaustion levels.
📌 Look for LTF reversal signs around 3393–3405 to consider safe short entries.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-21 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside Breakaway pattern may not show up as I would expect.
An Inside Breakaway pattern suggests the OPEN will be within the Body range of the previous bar - I don't see that happening today.
The Breakaway portion of the pattern is much more likely to happen today with Gold/Silver moving much higher and BTCUSD moving slightly higher today. It appears Safe-Haven assets are THE THING right now.
That would suggest the US Dollar and US-Dollar based assed would continue to fall (move downward) as devaluation and contraction in the global economy continues to play out.
If you watched my video (posted late last night), you already know my data suggests there is almost no reason for the markets to mount a rally right now. The only thing I can see that would drive a big rally from these lows would be some incredible news that the world is immediately going back to somewhat normal in terms of GCB spending and Global Trade. I don't see that happening.
I know there are a lot of emotions related to these Tariff wars and global trade. Heck, almost anything that goes on in the world right now is full of emotions.
I urge all traders to STEP BACK. Think of the markets like an engine that runs on the quality of AIR, FUEL, SPARK, LUBRICATION, STRUCTURAL MECHANICAL PARTS, & INTAKE/OUTPUT CAPACITY.
If you start to think about the markets (global markets) as a big engine, while thinking of individual economies (by country) as smaller engines, it starts to make a little more sense (at least in my mind).
Every country runs its own engine (see the components above). If some of those components are failing, then that country's economy will falter a bit.
And that faltering economy may put additional pressure on the global economy/engine.
It takes a lot to destroy a functional economy. I mean A LOT. War, Total Destruction of government/law/society. Maybe even some type of internal conflict.
But, even then, the economy will still have roots and will fall back to core elements.
So, don't worry about all of these people telling you "the world is going to CRASH in the next 2 years because of Trump". That is highly unlikely.
What is more likely is that the world will "re-settle expectations" related to future growth and output. Strengthening economies where needed and building up the core elements of global trade/economies over many months.
So, if you are worried or don't know what to do right now, move your positions into CASH and wait it out a bit.
There will be lots of opportunities for you to pick the right time to start trading again.
There is no reason why you have to try to FORCE the markets to adhere to your wants (they never do that anyway).
Just wait it out, keep learning, and plan/time your trade efficiently.
Get some...
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Gold Trades I'm Taking Today 2
Last week was a success. This week, this is my vibe (don't take my trades without proper research) I'm still going for buys at least till a much stronger resistance. Gold has been breaking levels and i don't think she's stopping anytime soon.
In situations like this, we BUY!!!!..
Let me know what you think.
Gold hits new record — Next stop: $4000!Gold has soared above $3,300 per ounce, setting a new all-time high. Since the beginning of the year, XAUUSD has gained over 20% , and analysts are warning: this may just be the beginning of a rally toward $4,000. As geopolitical tensions flare, supply chains for critical minerals falter, and traditional risk assets crumble, the spotlight is back on gold as the ultimate safe haven.
FreshForex analysts have been forecasting this surge since November 2023. We believe gold will remain a strong investment, supported by a range of powerful factors:
Trade war escalation: Donald Trump has signed executive orders targeting the reduction of U.S. reliance on imported strategic minerals like uranium, cobalt, and rare earths — the market reacted instantly. Conflicts, wars, sanctions, and international tension typically drive investors to seek refuge in gold.
Fed at a crossroads: The probability of a rate cut in May is 92.3% (CME data). Lower interest rates reduce returns on traditional fixed-income instruments like bonds, making gold a more appealing option for investors.
Central banks are stockpiling gold: In Q1 2025, global gold purchases surged 41% compared to 2024. Gold ETFs are holding a record $345.5 billion. Many countries are ramping up gold reserves to diversify away from the U.S. dollar, fueling further demand for physical gold.
Inflation and structural debt crisis in the U.S.: The University of Michigan forecasts consumer inflation at 6.7% — the highest since 1981. Rising yields, budget deficits, and political instability are accelerating capital flight from the dollar.
Goldman Sachs analysts (#GoldmanSac) have once again raised their gold forecast. The investment bank expects gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of this year and $4,000 by mid-2026. Meanwhile, FreshForex believes the $4,000 mark could be tested as early as this year!
DeGRAM | GOLD Slows Under Resistance📊 Technical Analysis
GOLD failed to break out above the resistance line near $3 400 and is retreating from overbought levels; low volatility signals weakening momentum and a likely pullback toward support around $3 325.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Short-term macro drivers also tilt bearish. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are making gold less attractive, while hawkish Fed signals fueled by strong U.S. data have strengthened the dollar.
✨ Summary
Technical and fundamental factors point to a short-term bearish correction in XAUUSD.
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