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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing EMA5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2668 and a gap below at 2647. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2668 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2696 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2713 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2733 BEARISH TARGETS 2647 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2631 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2609 - 2592 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2665 and a gap below at 2612, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2665 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2694 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2736 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2736 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2785 BEARISH TARGETS 2612 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2612 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2566 - 2519 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATE.Hey Everyone, Please see our mid to long term daily chart update. After completing our bullish targets 2629 and 2686 we were left with a candle body close above 2686 leaving a gap above at 2760 last week and stated that we needed ema5 cross and lock to confirm this or a rejection will see the lower Goldlturn levels for support. - EMA5 failed to cross 2686 with a turn confirming the rejection. We are enow seeing a test at the 1st stage of the retracement range at 2629 and expecting a reaction here for a bounce. EMA5 cross and lock below this level will confirm test for the full retracement range. Failure to lock below will see bounce from this retracement range inline with our plans to buy dips. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, This is an update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and playing out exactly like we analysed. Last week we stated that this chart allowed us to project the long term corrections and direction. We were able to track our bullish targets until no ema5 lock to confirm rejection into the retracement range below for the correction. We also remined everyone that we had been suggesting over the last few weeks that we will be looking for the channel top and the retracement range to provide the support for a reactional bounce. - This played out perfectly last week with the weekly candle testing the channel top and then wicked out for the support and bounce like we analysed. Overall the channel top is providing the support like we analysed. Although we saw candle body closes below the channel there was no ema5 break into the channel, which allowed us to identify the fake-out and confirm the support. This is the beauty of our Gold channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than the price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future.. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 02 - Dec 06]This week, international OANDA:XAUUSD fell quite sharply from 2,721 USD/oz to 2,605 USD/oz, then increased slightly and closed the week at 2,650 USD/oz. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply in the early sessions of this week was because President-elect Donald Trump nominated Mr. Scott Bessent, a traditional Wall Street financier, to hold the position of the US Treasury. The market expects Mr. Bessent to contribute to stabilizing the US economy and increasing the strength of the USD. Besides, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, announced earlier this week, also eased worries about geopolitical tensions, reducing the appeal of gold as a safe haven. In particular, Mr. Trump threatened to impose a 25% tax on Mexican and Canadian goods imported into the US and proposed imposing a 10% tax on all products from China, also increasing concerns about a tariff war. , causing the FED to delay reducing interest rates, or even increase interest rates again. In addition, the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) in November still increased by 2.8% over the same period last year, higher than forecast and much higher than the FED's target of 2%. This may make the FED more cautious in continuing to cut interest rates in the short term. Many people believe that the gold market will have some unpredictable fluctuations in the near future as it continuously reacts to Mr. Trump's comments before his inauguration. In the short term, gold prices next week will continue to be dominated by statements posted on social networks by Mr. Trump. In addition, the market will focus on important US economic data, such as manufacturing and service PMI index; Employment indexes: ADP, NFP, unemployment rate... If US employment figures, especially NFP, increase stronger than expected, it may cause the FED to delay cutting interest rates at the December meeting. coming, causing gold prices to come under pressure to adjust next week. On the contrary, if US employment figures continue to decline sharply, it will cause the FED to continue cutting interest rates, thereby positively supporting gold prices next week. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold price may still fluctuate between 2,500 - 2,750 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,600 – 2,606 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,693 – 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2751 - 2749⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2539 - 2541⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2535
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Gold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Gold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Drive the Recovery Gold prices have rebounded after a recent dip, which followed reports of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. Despite this temporary pullback, the broader dynamics supporting gold remain intact, driven by geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and central bank policies. Geopolitical Tensions Support Gold One of the primary factors behind gold’s continued strength is the persistence of geopolitical risks. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets, with gold standing out as a key hedge against global instability. Even with temporary easing of tensions in the Middle East, the broader geopolitical landscape remains a strong support for gold prices. US Dollar Weakness Boosts Gold US economic data presented a mixed picture, which weakened the dollar and provided a boost to gold prices: - **US GDP QoQ (2nd Estimate):** 2.8%, in line with forecasts, indicating steady economic growth. - **US Initial Jobless Claims:** Reported at 213K, slightly better than the forecast of 215K, showcasing a stable labor market. - **US Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, below expectations of 0.5%, signaling a softer investment demand. - **US PCE Price Index YoY:** Rose to 2.3%, matching forecasts but higher than the previous 2.1%. - **US Core PCE Price Index YoY:** Climbed to 2.8%, in line with expectations but up from the prior 2.7%. - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast. - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing. These figures weakened the US dollar, which typically moves inversely to gold, making the precious metal more attractive to global investors. Inflation Concerns and Central Bank Activity Inflation remains a key driver for gold. Planned tariffs on imported goods, proposed by future President Donald Trump, could exacerbate inflationary pressures in the US, further boosting gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Moreover, gold continues to benefit from a global environment of falling interest rates. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, while central bank purchases add strong, consistent demand to the market. Emerging Market Demand Strengthens Gold Emerging economies, such as China and India, play a critical role in gold’s price trajectory. In these regions, gold holds significant cultural and investment value, and rising wealth levels contribute to increasing demand. This structural support further solidifies gold’s position as a long-term investment choice. What’s Next for Gold? Gold’s rebound highlights its resilience amid shifting global dynamics. While geopolitical developments like the ceasefire in the Middle East can trigger short-term volatility, the broader drivers—geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and central bank policies—remain firmly in place. As the dollar shows signs of softening, gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum in the long term. Is this the beginning of a renewed rally for gold, or will further global developments bring new challenges? Share your insights in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestMate
1
USDJPY - A Whole Lotta Pips in 2024!USDJPY has been one of our favourites to trade! We've managed to catch the start of the swing points for each wave since the beginning of 2024. Our entry method remains the same. Break of Trendline. Simple yet very effective if used correctly. Since our last setup, we've moved +600pips in our direction. We're currently holding it at breakeven and riding out the wave! See below for our past setups. Trade 1: Trade 2: Trade 3: Trade 3 (Public Post): Trade 4 (Public Post): Trades 3 and 4 have been public setups. Well done to those that were paying attention and caught it! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
2
USDJPY - A Whole Lotta Pips in 2024!USDJPY has been one of our favourites to trade! We've managed to catch the start of the swing points for each wave since the beginning of 2024. Our entry method remains the same. Break of Trendline. Simple yet very effective if used correctly. Since our last setup, we've moved +600pips in our direction. We're currently holding it at breakeven and riding out the wave! See below for our past setups. Trade 1: Trade 2: Trade 3: Trade 3 (Public Post): Trade 4 (Public Post): Trades 3 and 4 have been public setups. Well done to those that were paying attention and caught it! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
XAU/USD 27.11.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, A quick update on gold: Wave Orange A is definitely completed. I’m now looking for bullish momentum, either as a 12345 setup (as I’ve drawn) or potentially as an ABC formation leading to my Orange B. The Fibonacci zones remain consistent regardless of the scenario. At the moment, I already have two buy positions. My current target is the retracement level of Wave B. Once I can confirm whether the structure is forming an ABC to B or a 12345 setup, I’ll adjust my target accordingly to the relevant Fibonacci extension level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
Gold Short Term Analysis December 1stI discussed more of the fundamentals that have impacted the Gold price in my long-term analysis post and how this might play out leading up to Trump's inauguration. In this post I wanted to look at some interesting technical insight that emerged late in Friday's trading session. We saw Gold drop from a high of around 2721 at the start of the week in the NY session as news of the Israel Hezbollah ceasefire filtered through and Scott Bessant as Trump's pick for Treasury Secretary was parsed by the markets. Looking at the Fib retracement levels established following that dip, the recovery in the Gold price has found resistance at each level. I've been playing with LuxAlgo's Smart Money suite of indicators and, in particular, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Structure indicators. This has provided some interesting price action insights in the later half of this week. We saw the Asia/London session on Friday send the Gold price up to 2665 with two notable FVGs develop on the 1H chart. The second of these overlapped a Break of Structure (BOS) in the uptrend and the 38% Fib level leaving a liquidity gap in the process. The NY session saw a retracement back to this level as the Fair Value gap was closed. This appears to be a strong indicator of resistance at arounf the 2650 level and a likely sign of a rebound when trading resumes on Monday. With little significant economic news next week, lower yields and US dollar and an increased likelihood of a US rate cut in December it appears that the Gold Price is primed to rise in short-term trade. If the price stays above 2650 into the Asian session this should prove to be a good entry for a long trade with fib levels at 2660, 2677 and 2693 offering useful TPs for anyone looking to play along.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by dgowty
Gold Long Term Analysis Dec 1stWe saw another week of volatile movements for Gold. This time, the movement appeared to be influenced by news of Trump's pick for Treasury Secretary and the Ceasefire announced between Israel and Hezbollah. This resulted in a sudden drop in the Gold price at the start of the week before we saw some significant economic news released towards the end of the week. The announcement of the ceasefire resulted in some some risk-on movement of money as the market viewed this as an easing of tension in at least one geopolitical hotspot. Some sabre rattling from Russia, mean that this was short lived. Whilst the reaction to Trump's nomination of Scott Bessant for Treasury Secretary seemed a little confused given his more muted comments about the use of tariffs and stated desire to reduce the budget deficit. Both of these, on the face of it, would help to ease inflation and make the Fed's job of lowering rates much easier and should have been a support for the Gold price. Towards the end of the week it appears that the market had better parsed the implications of this pick. On the economic front we had inflation, GDP and labour market numbers broadly come in at expectations along with the FOMC minutes talk of a potential slowing in rate cuts. The probability of a December rate cut increased slightly as yields and the US dollar both dropped. It is possible that the the observed volatility in Gold prices continues in the short-term leading up to the Fed's interest rate decision in December and the economic implications of Trump's policy statements and cabinet picks continue to be debated. Looking at the current trend, we have seen periods of sideways movements following an upwards movement in the price and it is likely that we are entering another phase leading up to the innaguration of the president elect. It has been pointed out the the last seven years have seen a rally in Gold prices, but it is unclear whether the conditions are present for an eight. If the Fed chooses to hold off on a rate cut in December, then there's a good chance we won't. I will look at the likely price movement leading into next week in another post.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by dgowty
Gold Becomes the Second Largest Central Bank Reserve AssetGold's importance as a reserve asset for central banks is on the rise According to Bank of America, gold has now overtaken the euro to become the second largest reserve asset, To be more precise, B of A should have specified that it is the eastern hemisphere Central Banks that are diversifying out of the U.S. dollar and the euro and buying gold and yuan. Currently, gold accounts for 16% of global bank reserves, while the dollar has dropped to about 58%, down from over 70% in 2002. Poland emerged as the largest buyer of gold in the second quarter of this year (though the specific amount purchased by China's PBoC remains undisclosed). Additionally, Poland is requiring that the gold it acquires be delivered directly to its Central Bank, rather than being stored by London banks. Turkey is another significant gold purchaser, and several African nations have also announced plans to increase Central Bank gold reserves. While it may not happen immediately, there’s potential for gold to surpass the dollar as the top reserve asset, especially if the BRIC nations and other Eastern hemisphere countries go forward with their rumored plans for a gold-backed trade currency. A BRICS Summit will be held in Kazan, Russia, from October 22nd to 24th, where discussions on a new trading currency may take place, though this has not been officially confirmed. On September 5th, Russia announced plans to ramp up its daily gold purchases from $13.5 million to $93 million (1.2 billion rubles to 8.2 billion rubles) for the next month, using surplus revenue from oil and gas. This information was reported by the Russian news agency, Interfax. This move seems to align with the potential development of a BRICS gold-backed trade settlement currency, or even a broader gold-backed currency system. I raise this point because the U.S. Federal Reserve is in a difficult position. It’s facing immense pressure from the market and Wall Street to reduce interest rates, but doing so could trigger a sharp decline in the value of the dollar. The chart referenced above shows a 5-year daily performance of the US dollar index, with the dollar currently testing the 100 level—a key technical support since early 2023. If the Federal Reserve begins cutting interest rates, it's highly likely the dollar will fall to 90, a level last seen in mid-2021. This decline would likely push gold prices toward $3,000 and silver toward $50. A weakening dollar presents several challenges. First, it could accelerate the reduction in the dollar's role as a reserve asset for global central banks. Even more concerning for the US, a depreciating dollar coupled with lower interest rates would make it harder to attract foreign investment to finance additional Treasury debt, a challenge that is already becoming evident. Additionally, the Fed is aware that inflation is running higher than what is reported by the CPI. Reducing rates will further drive real interest rates deeper into negative territory. While the official CPI suggests real rates are positive, using more comprehensive measures like the Shadow Stats Alternative CPI, real rates are currently at -3% using the 1990 CPI method and -6% based on the 1980 version. Negative real interest rates fuel price inflation, contributing to its persistence. Cutting rates further would likely intensify this inflationary pressure. This is one reason gold has been reaching new all time highs almost daily since the Fed cut rates earlier this month. Silver, similarly, is on the verge of breaking into the high $33 range. Precious metals markets are anticipating more than just optimistic Fed rhetoric about a strong economy and lower inflation; they are also predicting a potential return to money printing policies
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by moonypto
The Psychology of Wealth 🔸The psychology of wealth centers on cultivating a mindset that aligns your thoughts, beliefs, and actions with abundance, financial success, and prosperity. 🔸The affirmations you’ve mentioned—such as "money comes easily," "I deserve success," and "I’m in control of my future"—are key components of a wealth-oriented mindset. This approach isn’t just about positive thinking; it’s about rewiring your brain, creating empowering habits, and developing the emotional resilience needed to achieve financial and personal success. 🔸Here’s a breakdown of how these affirmations and principles relate to the psychology of wealth: 1. "Money Comes Easily" ▪️Belief in Ease and Flow: This statement fosters a belief that financial opportunities are abundant and accessible. When you believe money can come easily, you’re more likely to notice opportunities, attract resources, and act on them confidently. ▪️Shift from Scarcity to Abundance: Many people operate with a scarcity mindset, feeling money is hard to earn. By affirming that money comes easily, you break free from this limiting belief and open yourself to creative solutions and ideas. 🔸Actionable Steps: ▪️Identify opportunities in your field or new markets. ▪️Develop skills that make earning money simpler and more sustainable. 2. "I Deserve Success" ▪️Self-Worth and Wealth: Believing you deserve success ties your financial achievements to your sense of self-worth. If you subconsciously feel undeserving, you may sabotage your efforts or settle for less. ▪️Breaking Limiting Beliefs: Many people are conditioned by childhood experiences or societal expectations to believe success is reserved for others. Reaffirming that you deserve success challenges these limiting beliefs. 🔸Actionable Steps: ▪️Reflect on past achievements and recognize your value. ▪️Engage in self-care and personal growth activities to reinforce your worthiness. 3. "There Is an Abundance of Money" ▪️Abundance Mentality: This statement helps shift from a scarcity mindset to an abundance mindset. Believing there’s enough wealth for everyone fosters collaboration, innovation, and generosity. ▪️Law of Attraction: When you focus on abundance, you’re more likely to act in ways that attract wealth and prosperity into your life. 🔸Actionable Steps: ▪️Practice gratitude daily to focus on what you already have. ▪️Seek out stories or examples of abundance to reinforce this belief. 4. "Nothing Can Stop Me from Success" ▪️Resilience and Determination: This affirmation builds a mindset of resilience and perseverance. It reminds you that challenges are temporary and that you have the power to overcome obstacles. ▪️Reframing Failure: By adopting this belief, you view setbacks as opportunities to learn and grow, rather than insurmountable barriers. 🔸Actionable Steps: ▪️Break big goals into manageable steps to maintain momentum. ▪️Develop a "growth mindset," where challenges are viewed as essential for improvement. 5. "I’m in Control of My Future" ▪️Empowerment and Responsibility: This belief emphasizes personal accountability and the ability to influence your financial destiny. It counters feelings of helplessness and external blame. ▪️Focus on What You Can Control: While you can’t control every external event, you can control your reactions, decisions, and efforts. 🔸Actionable Steps: ▪️Set clear financial and personal goals. ▪️Continuously educate yourself about wealth-building strategies, such as investing, saving, and entrepreneurship. Final Thoughts The psychology of wealth is about more than financial gain—it’s about cultivating a mindset of abundance, gratitude, and empowerment. By believing that money comes easily, you deserve success, and you are in control of your future, you set the stage for proactive behaviors and sustained growth. Pair these beliefs with practical strategies, and you’ll find yourself on a path toward financial freedom and personal fulfillment.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
16
GOLD increased thanks to the weakening of the USDOANDA:XAUUSD rose, boosted by the weakening of the USD and safe-haven demand due to concerns about persistent geopolitical tensions. Despite recovering in the final trading session of the week, gold still recorded its worst month of performance since September 2023. The US Dollar Index fell to its lowest in more than two weeks, but was still up 2% in November as Republican Donald Trump's victory earlier this month boosted expectations of big fiscal spending. , higher tariffs and tighter borders. This month, gold prices have fallen more than 3%, the worst monthly decline since September last year. After Mr. Trump's victory, the USD continuously increased in price and triggered a strong sell-off in the gold market. OANDA:XAUUSD forecast Geopolitical instability is still increasing, gold prices may still increase in the near future. Gold is often considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical instability such as trade tensions or conflict. The new administration's policies in the US can impact economies, causing the central bank to increase gold reserves. This prompted a sharp increase in gold trading by central banks. This is the group that bought the most gold on the market recently. BCA Research recommends buying gold when prices fall due to long-term prospects. Gold is a commodity that benefits from the policies of the new administration in the US. Increased global policy uncertainty will support gold buying demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading