Metals
Follow up on the current strategy I employed for XAUUSDAs mentioned in previous post, I tried to keep it simple and further trust and learn the system I currently uses. From my perspective, one should trust their system, the most lethal of technical aspect is not fully understanding the potential of your system.
Trade results from my recent buy bias for XAUUSD.
Volume, Trend, Impact - determine these areas and you will surely get as much higher percentage of winning.
Gold Trend Analysis and Free SignalsDon't chase the rebound high easily now. Continue to short the Asian session rebound. The 4-hour moving average of gold is still in a downward dead cross. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to around 2645. As long as gold does not break through the upper resistance of the shock, it will continue to be short. Gold has been under pressure near 2640 and has fallen back many times. If there is no strong breakthrough above 2640, gold may still be blocked and fall back.
First support: 2620, second support: 2613, third support: 2605
First resistance: 2638, second resistance: 2645, third resistance: 2653
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2619-2617
SELL: 2638-2640
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-2-25 : Inside Pause PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will stall a bit after the overnight reversion move.
If you were following my research, you already knew I was expecting the markets to rally a bit over the past 3-5 trading days. But that didn't happen as the low liquidity end of year trading prompted another downside price event.
In my opinion, this was all due to a lack of market liquidity. When there is very low liquidity, the MMs can move price more easily as the number of buyers and sellers drops (creating a wider price spread). It is also the type of market environment where FLASH CRASH types of events can take place.
Now that we are into early 2025, liquidity will deepen (more active traders) and this will result in a possible reversion event (upward) in price leading to the Inauguration event (IMO).
Just like I've been suggesting over the past 2-3+ weeks.
Gold and Silver are recovering nicely. I believe Gold and Silver will move back towards their recent highs over the next 30+ days.
Bitcoin is still struggling just below $100k, but I believe the ultimate move for Bitcoin will be a retracement to the downside before finding support near $72k and then starting a bigger rally above $120k.
In 2025, I've made a commitment to do more to help more traders. I'm working on new TIMING tools to assist in developing better analysis for everyone. If this research/work plays out well, I'll try to make these new tools available to everyone.
Remember, trading is all about managing capital, expectations, and risks. If you are still struggling with your trading - follow my research and learn how to time/execute better trades.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Silver Short Setup: High-Probability Sell Targeting SSLFollowing the HTF bearish bias, silver is presenting a high-probability short setup. Price has respected both LTF and HTF Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), aligning with the overall downtrend. Additionally, the 30 MA has been decisively broken, adding confluence to the bearish narrative.
Key Points:
- HTF bearish bias confirmed with respect to FVGs on multiple timeframes.
- Price broke below the 30 MA, signaling a shift in momentum.
- High-probability sell setup targeting previous day’s low, where sell-side liquidity resides.
- Equal lows (EQL) observed at the target level, increasing the likelihood of a liquidity sweep.
Trade Idea:
- Entry: Around 29.30 after price confirms rejection from FVGs.
- Target: Sell-side liquidity at 28.78 (previous day’s low).
- Risk: Ensure proper risk management with a stop loss above the FVGs for protection.
- The setup aligns perfectly with ICT principles, leveraging liquidity sweeps and fair value gaps for high-probability entries. As always, DYOR before taking any trades.
DYOR :)
Is silver about to go BONKER!!??Good Day, Fellow traders and followers,
IS SILVER ABOUT TO TO GO BONKERS?!?!?!?
This chart is kind of busy, I don't normally make busy charts, but there is so much going on in this monthly chart. Lets dig in!!
First off, lets start with the price action, it has clearly broken through resistance (blue line). Also, the price action is in a purple cup, that's actually the handle of the GIANT 40 YEAR cup and handle it has been in. The green lines are the support and resistance areas. Also I have added what seems to be a pattern of 50 bars bottom consolidation that does also happen to resemble a Wyckoff a pattern before a break out.
Lets move on to the indicators
RSI - I have drawn in a support band for the silver RSI. IT really likes the 46, 50 to 55 level before a break out. Going below here is either very bearish or the best buy in bull market.
STOCHASTIC RSI - has had a massive cross recently on which chows momentum coming in to this market.
RSI 3 LINES - WOW!! This looks like a serious power play for silver, ever since the RED line crossed down through the GREEN, it found support on the blue and turned right back up in big way!! Also it look like the BLUE could follow suit very soon which would confirm bullish movement for this asset as all the colors would be aligned.
THE LAZY BEAR - This one is kind of a no brainer. Breaking out above and holding the 0 level usually leads to big moves higher!!
ASO (SENTIMENT) - It looks like there is a 50 bar pattern here and within it could be another 12 bar pattern right before a break out.
Please keep in mid every bar is monthly, so what might seem like a small pattern could be a year long.
I want to add, I do believe there is a fairly substantial move coming to silver. I'm not sure where it would be going to0, however I do know that the last true resistance is at aprox $35 usd Getting above that on a monthly level could or should lead to NEW ALLTIME HIGHS in short order well above $50 usd to possibly $70 to $80 before a correction. Any Correction at that point would be considered a buying opportunity !!
Please like and share this chart to all silver lovers!
Also, any questions or comments are welcome down below!!
Kind Regards,
WeAreSat0shi
XAUUSD Forecast: The Bulls Are Gaining Momentum!
We're seeing some impressive price action on XAUUSD! 📈 The market is currently respecting a strong 4H trendline, showcasing the power of the ongoing bullish momentum. The technicals are aligning, and the market seems poised to continue its upward push.
Keep an eye on this setup—it’s looking like an excellent opportunity for those riding the trend! Don't miss the chance to capitalize on the next move. 💰
GOLD WANNA FALLING ONCE AGAINAs i published an idea that gold will fall, and gold fall my entry was at 2637, stop loss was 2651 and target was 2585, but that setup gave us 450 pips.
Now I'm back with another idea, my idea is gold will fall when it touches the price 2632.80
Lets see what will happen. Gold moving crazy since last week its moving up and down.
ENTRY POINT : 2632.80 at the area of OB H1.
STOP LOSS : 2641.40 and Target is 2611.50
PLEASE USE STOP LOSS AND TP ON YOUR EVERY TRADE. DONT FORGET TO SHARE YOUR IDEAS ON THIS POST, PLEASE SHARE YOUR IDEAS.
STAY TUNE FOR EVERY UPDATE.
GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY.
XAUUSD:2/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2640, support below 2600-2580
Operational suggestions: The current price of gold on Thursday is around 2635. On Tuesday, the bulls bottomed out and rebounded strongly in the volatile trading. The US market stepped back and tested twice, and stabilized at the 2605 mark and continued to rebound. The US market accelerated to break through the 2620 mark and closed strongly. The daily chart rose strongly and engulfed. The overall gold price stabilized at the 2595 mark in the short term, continuing to fluctuate widely. In the short term, it still failed to break the recent oscillation pattern.
From the 4-hour analysis, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 2608-10 below, and pay attention to the important suppression of 2640 above. The operation is mainly to step back and do more, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2618near
SELL:2640near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAUUSD_1W_BuyAnalysis of gold in the long term In Time Weekly, the market is in an upward trend, and in terms of Elliot waves, we are in the correction wave of May 4. The price floor and the main support of 2025 is 2464, and by maintaining the high price of this number, we buy gold for the numbers and target of 3000 and 3300 dollars.
WHERE GOLD WOULD GO NOW?GOLD currently move higher in the first day of 2025, continuing the uptrend momentum from the end of last year and now traded at 2634. Fundamentally, CME FED Watch Tools still eyeing for two cut rate this year and this could boost GOLD a little bit higher or make a wide-range sideways movement. Technically, i see GOLD still in a sideways condition now with smaller range than before.
I use 2667 - 2671 level as a key level for GOLD to continue it's uptrend and 2605 as a key level to continue it's downtrend. I will give update if there's something different than my current technical analysis
GOLD maintains a narrow recovery rangeOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains a recovery trend and narrow range during the day. As of the time of writing, gold price is currently trading at about 2,633 USD/ounce. On this trading day, investors will pay attention to many important data such as the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, PMI and the housing market, which are expected to stimulate activate market conditions and create market volatility.
Today (Thursday), seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week of December 28 will be released, expected to be 224,000, compared to 219,000 the previous week.
If the latest initial unemployment claims are lower than expected, this will have a positive impact on the US Dollar and affect the price of gold and major non-US currencies.
On the same day, the final value of the US Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December will be announced, expected to be 48.3.
US construction spending in November will be released, with the monthly rate expected to increase 0.3%.
On the daily chart it's OANDA:XAUUSD is still trading in a very narrow operating range, with temporary short-term rallies still limited by pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. Note to readers in digital publications out first.
Temporarily, gold's trend is quite neutral with the possibility of accumulation depicted by the purple triangle. However, based on the current position, gold has more conditions to decrease in price with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) still below level 50, level 50 is considered resistance or support for RSI depending on conditions. RSI's lawsuit.
On the other hand, gold could open a new bearish cycle once it is sold below the 0.786% Fibonacci level and the subsequent target of $2,538 in the short term. Even if gold recovers above EMA21, it is still unable to create a concrete uptrend, with pressure from the upper edge of the purple price triangle.
Using the POC Volume Profile we will also see that the area around 2,634 – 2,640USD is an area where a lot of trading occurs, this should be considered a pressure area given gold's current position.
During the day, gold's trend is neutral with technical conditions tilted to the downside and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,604 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,640USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2595
→Take Profit 1 2606
↨
→Take Profit 2 2611
XAUUSD: Gold in 2025!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid break of the resistance range, we can witness the continuation of the rise of gold and see the supply zone. Correction of gold and pullback to the broken channel will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward.
According to a recent report by UBS, the price of gold is expected to reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. UBS highlights that one of the main drivers of this price increase is the continued demand for gold by central banks. These institutions are motivated by a desire to reduce reliance on the dollar and diversify their reserves, and they are expected to maintain their purchasing momentum in 2025, supporting high gold prices.
In addition, investor demand for gold as a safeguard against geopolitical and policy-related uncertainties will also play a critical role in sustaining elevated prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, tensions in the Middle East, and uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal and trade policies under President Donald Trump as factors that could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Furthermore, declining interest rates and a weakening U.S. dollar are other key factors contributing to gold’s rise. UBS anticipates that interest rates will continue to drop and that a weaker dollar will drive higher demand for gold.
Beyond gold, UBS also highlights opportunities in copper and other energy-transition metals. The bank identifies global investments in electricity generation, energy storage, and electric transportation as long-term drivers of demand for these metals.
Meanwhile, according to surveys conducted by the Financial Times, Trump’s economic policies, known as “Maganomics,” could pose risks to economic growth. The findings suggest that many economists believe Trump’s protectionist measures might overshadow the benefits of his other policies.
More than half of the 220 economists surveyed across the U.S., UK, and Eurozone believe Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates. However, most analysts, including those from the IMF, OECD, and European Commission, forecast that U.S. economic growth in 2025 will outpace that of Europe.
Gold H4 | Potential bearish reversalGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 2,636.57 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,670.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 2,585.26 which is a swing-low support.
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Competition for gold longs and shorts intensifies
The current gold market has entered a wide consolidation stage after many fluctuations. Judging from the hourly line, the price has rebounded and risen, but the resistance above the 2637 line is obvious. If this level is exceeded, gold may return to its previous upward channel. In terms of form, gold shows a head-and-shoulders bottom breakout structure. If it successfully breaks through, the market outlook may test the 2655-2660 area.
The lower support is at the 2625 line. If the price falls below this support, the short-term rebound will come to an end, and gold may once again enter the downward adjustment stage.
Overall, the general trend of gold is still in the downward adjustment stage, and long-short games will still be frequent in the short term. There are certain risks in both long and short operations in the current market.
If there is no significant retracement before the US market, you can do short-term lows in the 2625-2630 area. But looking at the overall shape, individuals tend to go short, especially if the price does not stabilize above 2645 and return to the upward channel, or form a triangle convergence breakthrough. Aggressive investors can try short operations in the 2638-2640 area.
Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold (XAU/USD)**:
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance Zone:** Around 2,640-2,645 (gray area in the chart).
- **First Support Level:** 2,620.
- **Second Support Level:** 2,610.
- **Deeper Target:** Below 2,610, likely toward 2,600.
---
**Trade Setup (Sell):**
1. **Entry:**
- Wait for a bearish rejection near the 2,640-2,645 resistance zone. Look for signs like a bearish engulfing candle or wicks rejecting the resistance.
2. **Stop Loss:**
- Place your stop loss slightly above the resistance zone at around 2,650 to protect against false breakouts.
3. **Take Profit Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 2,620 (Support zone).
- **2nd Target:** 2,610 (Deeper support).
- **3rd Target (Optional):** 2,600 if the price breaks below 2,610 with strong momentum.
---
Alternate Scenario (If Resistance Breaks):**
- If gold breaks and closes above 2,645 on the 1-hour chart, this would invalidate the sell setup.
- Look for a potential **buy opportunity** on a pullback to 2,640 with a target of 2,660.
---
**Tips for Execution:**
- **Confirmation:** Wait for confirmation (candlestick patterns or momentum indicators like RSI divergence) before entering.
- **Risk Management:** Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability.
- **Monitor News:** Be aware of economic news that could impact gold (e.g., USD strength or weakness).
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Could the Gold drop from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support level.
Pivot: 2,636.83
1st Support: 2,608.00
1st Resistance: 2,657.44
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PLATINUM Weekly Forecast: Bearish! Look for SHORTS!Keep an eye on this one, as it makes its way down to 911.7.
I'm looking for the highlighted lows to be swept this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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