Silver H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 30.83 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 32.20 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 28.80 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Metals
Silver Rebounds Sharply on Risk AversionSilver rebounded Monday, rising 2.3% to $30.22 an ounce after hitting a seven-month low. The recovery followed sharp market volatility and recession fears from rising U.S.-China trade tensions. While silver benefits from safe-haven demand, its industrial use remains a weakness. Broader market sell-offs could keep price action choppy, but intensified risk aversion and Fed easing could support silver demand.
If silver breaks above $30.90, resistance levels are at $31.40 and $32.50. Support stands at $29.00, followed by $28.40 and $27.50.
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the lower boundary of the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart is forming a descending structure and is holding under the 50% retracement level.
We expect the decline to continue.
-------------------
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Gold Stabilizes Near 3-Week LowGold steadied around $3,030 per ounce on Monday after falling over 1% to a three-week low. The drop sparked speculation that investors were taking profits or covering losses amid broader market declines driven by recession fears from escalating trade tensions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that tariffs could raise inflation and slow growth, underscoring challenges for policymakers.
Key resistance is at $3,050, followed by $3,085 and $3,105. Support stands at $2,980, then $2,930 and $2830.
GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Marke🟡 GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Market as Asian Sellers Hit Early
Gold kicked off the new week with a sharp drop during the early Asian session, falling over 40 points from last week’s highs into the 297x zone — a move that reflects lingering sell-side pressure from last Friday’s close.
However, price quickly rebounded nearly 40 points, showing clear buy-side interest at the 297x zone — which acts as a key structural support on the H4 and D1 timeframes.
📌 If price breaks below this level convincingly, it could trigger a deeper move toward 295x.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The overall structure on H4 and D1 remains bullish
But right now, investor sentiment is leading, not just technicals
On H1 and H2, price is reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone
If gold closes below 3030, we could see another leg down into the 295x area
🧠 Sentiment Is In Control (For Now)
So far, only Asia and Australia have shown their hand
We’re waiting on London and New York to step in before confirming trend direction
With price whipping around inside a broad range — only trade from key zones with clear price reaction
🧭 Key Technical Zones:
🔺 Resistance:
3055 – 3076 – 3107
🔻 Support:
3024 – 3005 – 2970 – 2952
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2980 – 2978
SL: 2974
TP: 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3076 – 3078
SL: 3082
TP: 3072 – 3068 – 3064 – 3060 – 3056 – 3050
📅 What To Watch This Week:
This week brings major market movers:
CPI → PPI → Fed speakers — all lined up midweek.
→ Be selective with your trades and keep tight risk control.
AD will continue updating intraday zones across sessions.
✅ Trade smart. Respect your risk. Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold D1 | Falling toward a pullback supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,954.81 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,828.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,134.30 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish MomentumXAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish Momentum in Play
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum, currently trading at $3037 after a powerful rejection from the supply zone at $3017. It has successfully broken the previously long-standing resistance at $3033, confirming a potential shift in market sentiment.
With this breakout, I expect gold to continue its upward movement toward the following targets:
TP1: $3065 – where a major trendline resistance is in play.
TP2: $3100 – upon a successful break and close above $3065.
Note: A short-term retracement toward $3026 is possible before the bullish rally resumes.
Stay alert and manage risk accordingly. Price action and structure are favoring the bulls for now.
We Have direction. We wait on confirmation! GOLD!Looking for price to give is a little more indication that it wants to continue bullish. We have areas to fill on larger time frames before it gives us a stronger play for bigger moves. Just have to be patient and wait for price to give us more solid indication. As Always #NOFOMO!
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [April 07 - April 11]This week, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,076 USD/oz to 3,168 USD/oz, then made a "reverse" move to 3,015 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,038 USD/oz.
The reason why the price of gold increased sharply to 3,168 USD/oz in the trading session on April 3 was because US President Donald Trump decided to impose reciprocal taxes from 10% to 49% on many trading partners. However, it was also because of the tariff issue that caused the gold price to break the upward trend right after the Trump administration announced a list of tariff exemptions for many goods.
Meanwhile, many countries have also proactively negotiated with the US to reduce import taxes on US goods, import more goods from the US to contribute to gradually balancing the trade balance with the US so that the Trump administration can remove tariffs.
In addition, the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for March unexpectedly jumped to 228,000 jobs, much higher than the forecast of 137,000 jobs. This shows that the US labor market is still positive, causing investors to believe that the FED may continue to delay cutting interest rates.
In addition, FED Chairman Powell also said that the Trump administration's recent reciprocal tariff policy will cause inflation to increase for a long time, risking pushing the US economy into recession. This implies that the FED will not cut interest rates in the upcoming meetings.
In particular, the stock market has fallen too sharply, causing investors to close profitable gold investment positions to add margin (cover losses) for stocks.
According to many experts, gold prices may continue to adjust next week, but will not fall too deeply. Because the Russia-Ukraine war and armed conflicts in the Middle East are still complicated. Moreover, China has just imposed an additional 34% tax on all US goods. Without hesitation, Canada also imposed a 25% import tax on all cars imported from the US that are not eligible for preferential treatment in the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). If more countries retaliate against the US like China and Canada, the trade war will become increasingly heated, pushing the world economy into instability, increasing the role of gold as a safe haven.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Inflation and the Fed will be back in the spotlight next week, with the release of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) March monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. This will be followed by the US consumer price index (CPI) report for March on Thursday, and the producer price index (PPI) on Friday. Friday morning will also see the latest preliminary survey of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan – a key indicator of how Americans feel about the outlook for the economy.
📌Technically, observing the H4 chart, it is necessary to pay attention to the important support level at 3,000 USD/oz. If next week the gold price trades above this level, it can re-enter the correction phase to 3085. In case the 3000 round resistance level is broken, the gold price will continue to be under selling pressure, causing the price to drop to around 2,900-2,950 USD/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,019 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,050 – 3,056 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3093 - 3091⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3097
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2988 - 2990⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2984
Bullish bounce off pullback suport?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identifed as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot; 2,954.94
1st Support: 2,790.01
1st Resistance: 3,132.12
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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XAUUSD breakdown?XAUUSD possibly break below as market opened with gap and the price started to drop from the most important level. Past week with NFP price has rejected with a head & shoulder formation and signaling possible change of trend. In a way price is moving it may respect 3051.00 level and may continue to drop for possible long term change of trend.
Silver is in the bullish trend after testing supportHello Traders
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3091.4
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3108.1
My Stop Loss - 3083.4
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Daily Outlook – XAUUSD | April 6, 2025📆 Daily Outlook – XAUUSD | April 6, 2025
Structure first. Setups later. Let’s map the battlefield. ⚔️
🚫 No buy/sell zones yet — this outlook is strictly focused on price structure, reaction zones, and the narrative building behind XAUUSD price.
🔹 Structure Context – Daily TF (OANDA feed)
🔹 Market structure:
Strong bullish structure still intact, but showing signs of exhaustion after the sharp impulse and rejection from premium levels. We’re currently in a pullback phase.
🔹 Key Zones & Levels to Watch:
Weekly High Zone (Premium Supply)
📍 3140–3168
▫️ Previous week’s high + extreme premium zone.
▫️ Strong rejection last time price touched it.
▫️ Watch for liquidity or reaction if price returns here.
FVG + FIB 50–61.8 Retracement
📍 3033–3060
▫️ Clear daily imbalance zone.
▫️ FVG overlaps with fib retracement zone of the last bullish impulse.
▫️ Could act as draw or reaction point if the correction deepens.
Trendline (from Jan 2025 lows)
📍 Currently tested and respected.
▫️ A break below might signal deeper retracement toward the next structure block.
Daily OB + Equilibrium Zone
📍 2920–2960
▫️ Strong bullish OB left unmitigated.
▫️ Also in line with daily equilibrium of the macro rally.
▫️ Deepest discount zone in case of larger correction.
🧠 Outlook Logic:
After the aggressive impulse above 3100, price rejected hard, forming a swing high.
We’re currently between 3140 (supply/last high) and 3030 (first imbalance draw zone).
If we hold structure at 3030–3060, price may consolidate and continue the macro uptrend.
If that zone fails, expect the trendline + 2960 OB to come into play as deeper pullback zones.
🎯 This outlook keeps you prepared for both possibilities — strength or weakness — without needing to guess direction.
💬 Let’s stay sharp and adapt as the structure unfolds. If you found this helpful, smash that ❤️, drop a comment and follow to stay updated.
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XAUUSD Weekly Plan (April 7–11, 2025)✨ | Smart Money Outlook
The higher timeframes have spoken loud and clear: XAUUSD is trading at extreme levels, brushing against historical highs. Here's a clean breakdown based on the monthly and weekly macrostructure for the week ahead:
🔢 Monthly Chart Overview (MN1)
Price just tapped into the premium zone and reacted from the monthly POI (around 3180).
Current candle shows a long upper wick, signaling potential exhaustion.
No clear supply mitigation above — price is exploring uncharted territory.
Weekly high now aligns with a possible reversal or liquidity grab.
🌍 Weekly Chart Structure (W1)
Massive BOS from the 2075 breakout now confirmed.
Price is forming a potential final HL before either continuation or reversal.
We are in a clear premium area, and weekly RSI is overstretched.
Strong confluences for a deeper pullback into the 2850–2920 region, which holds old unmitigated OBs and valid FVGs.
🔹 Key Weekly Levels to Watch:
⬆️ Supply Zone: 3180–3200 (tapped)
⬇️ Demand Zones:
3080–3054 (partially mitigated)
2920–2900 (clean FVG and OB zone)
2820–2780 (discount + major liquidity)
🔎 Macro Outlook
Until we get a clean break and hold above 3180, the market is in a liquidity hunting phase. Expect choppy behavior around current highs.
Any bearish reaction from here aligns with:
RSI divergence
Overextension from EMAs (price currently well above 21/50/100/200)
Imbalance-filled structure left behind
If bulls want higher, they need to hold above 3054 and reclaim 3135 with volume and conviction.
💪 This Week's Focus
No rush. We're in premium territory. Let the market show its hand.
Watch for retests of broken structures (like 3080 and 3135)
Monitor for liquidity sweeps above previous highs
Respect HTF imbalance and confluences
🤝 Let’s Trade Together!
If you found this outlook useful, don’t forget to leave a like, drop a comment, or hit follow — let’s connect with traders who value precision and patience. Stay sharp, stay kind. 🌟
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – April 2025🎯 Market Context: Gold is currently trading in uncharted territory — sitting at all-time highs, right inside a Monthly Premium zone, just above the previous BOS level from 2011. This is significant institutional terrain.
📌 Key Monthly Levels:
🧊 Major Resistance Zone: 3,135–3,168 → This is a premium zone where price is likely to face profit-taking or distribution.
🔵 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2,750–2,900 remains unfilled.
🪙 Last CHoCH and BOS: Confirmed bullish structure. Market has broken all historical ceilings.
⚖️ Equilibrium Zone: Around 2,400–2,500 → could act as a magnet in long-term pullbacks.
💎 Unmitigated OBs and Strong Lows: Still open way below 2,000 — long-term reversion zones if a macro bearish cycle begins.
🧠 Market Psychology:
We are clearly in the euphoria/distribution stage.
Monthly RSI is likely overbought (to be confirmed on chart), making bulls cautious for the first time in months.
Smart Money might be unloading positions subtly or looking to trap late longs.