Metals
XAU/USD Trade Idea: Potential Long Setup📊 Pair: XAU/USD (Gold)
💡 Trade Bias: Bullish
• Buy Entry: Around 2,816.691
• Take Profit (TP): 2,882.344
• Key Level (IDM): 2,839.487
🎯 Plan:
Waiting for price to take out the IDM level before moving into my order flow for a refined entry. Will look for a CHoCH flip on the 5M timeframe within the order block to confirm bullish intent.
🚨 Note: Price action near the IDM level and 5M confirmation will dictate the actual entry. Staying cautious until all confirmations align.
Gold might revert to the trend line following a rising riseHello everyone, today I'm ready to provide you with Gold analytics. A few days ago, we saw a big upward movement in the market, but before that, Gold traded near support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then it rebounded and surged to 2727 points before correcting even below support 2, but then it reversed and began trading inside the wedge. Price plummeted below the trend line and immediately rebounded, shattering the second support level and continuing to climb higher along this line.Gold ascended for a long time along this line, but on the fourth touch, it rebounded and reached the first support level, which corresponded with another support zone. Then it corrected to practically the trend line before quickly rising back to the first support, breaking it, and exiting the wedge. It then retested and increased its score to 2880 points. Now, I expect XAUUSD to make a correction to the trend line, which is positioned within the support zone. That's why I set my target at 2800 points, which corresponds to them. If you appreciate my analytics, please support me with a like or remark.
XAU/USD: A Possible Correction? (Read the caption.)Analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timescale reveals that, as expected, the price corrected to $2858 following yesterday's study. However, it rapidly recovered, gaining 240 pips to set a new all-time high of $2882.
Today, we finally had a pullback from $2882 to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the market manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and is strongly rejected from this level, we may witness a fall down to depths under $2850.
With increasing market volatility and important macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should exercise caution. Price activity near these levels will be key in deciding the next move, as gold responds to fundamental variables such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price activity near support and resistance levels will be critical for spotting potential trading opportunities.
Please support me with your likes and comments to encourage me to share more analysis with you and share your thoughts on the potential trend of this chart with me!
By Nexus Trades Zone
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Key Support – short term targetsThe 1-hour chart for XAU/USD shows a potential bearish setup with a recent breakout below a key support level. The price is currently hovering around 2,857, with a strong downward move anticipated if the breakdown sustains. The marked "Breakout Below" indicates a possible continuation toward the first target around 2,850, and if further selling pressure persists, the second target near 2,835 may be reached.
The previous bullish structure saw multiple breakouts and changes in character (ChoCh), but the current price action suggests a shift in momentum. If price fails to reclaim previous levels, a deeper correction could be in play.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our plans to buy dips is playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday after completing all our Bullish targets we stated that we were now looking for a ema5 cross and lock above 2875 for a continuation above or failure to lock above will see a rejection into the lower Goldlturns for support and bounce.
- This played out perfectly with no lock above 2875 confirming the rejection into the lower Goldlturns, which gave the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will now see play between the Goldturns and will look for ema5 cross and lock above or below the Goldturns to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2800 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2800 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2826 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2826 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2852 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2852 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2875 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2875 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2898 -
BEARISH TARGETS
2772 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2772 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2744 - 2712
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2712 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2685 - 2655
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Palladium Bullish ContinuationPalladium price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish momentum (after a credible reversal on the 4HR timeframe) as the price action may form another credible Higher Low with multiple confluences of key Fibonacci and credible Support levels.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 984.25
Stop Loss @ 942
TP 1 @ 1026.5
TP 2 @ 1068.24
Move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP1 hits.
XAUUSD Buy Limit OrderHey guys
I think we have a CHoCH in 1H TF but still we're bullish in 4H TF. So this area is good to set a buy limit order.
Let's see how the price reacts to this area.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 06.02.2025Market Analysis: Incomplete Head and Shoulders Pattern with Breakout & Retest Strategy
Pattern Identified:
The chart presents an incomplete Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which suggests a potential reversal or continuation depending on price action at key levels. The neckline of the pattern aligns with the green support zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (Red Area - ~2,872): Price has tested this zone multiple times, making it a key level for a breakout.
Support Zone (Green Areas - ~2,860 and ~2,844): These zones act as crucial demand areas, where price could either bounce or break lower.
Possible Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks above the red resistance (~2,872) and successfully retests it as support, this would confirm a bullish continuation.
Entry Signal: Buy after a confirmed retest with bullish momentum.
Target: Next resistance levels around 2,884 - 2,890.
Stop-Loss: Below the previous structure (~2,864).
Bearish Breakdown:
If price fails at resistance and breaks below the green support (~2,860), a bearish move is likely.
Entry Signal: Sell after a successful retest of the broken support (~2,860) as new resistance.
Target: Lower support zone around 2,844.
Stop-Loss: Above the broken level (~2,868).
Neutral Range-Bound Scenario:
If price remains trapped between 2,860 and 2,872, traders should wait for a breakout before entering trades.
Trade Signal (Based on Breakout Confirmation)
Buy Signal: If price breaks and retests above 2,872, enter long with a target of 2,884+.
Sell Signal: If price breaks and retests below 2,860, enter short with a target of 2,844.
This strategy ensures safe trading by waiting for confirmation before taking positions.
Kindly follow, comment, and like to show support.
Gold reaches new highs every day, buy after stabilizationThere is no need to analyze the technical aspects too much. If it is strong and sideways, just buy directly. Once the correction is too deep and the stop loss is hit, continue to buy at low levels. The direction is more important than the position. The daily line has been rising continuously. Since mid-December 2024, gold has been like a wild horse running away. The gold price is completely out of control. There is no guessing the top of gold. Today's NY market continues to be bullish. There is no highest, only higher. The next target of 2900 and 3000 is no longer a dream.
In the short term, pay attention to the 2830-2840 area, which has become a new strong support. The bullish trend will be maintained in the short term. The idea is to continue to be bullish if it retraces close to the support band. If the retracement is limited, then look for opportunities to buy after the hourly line adjusts and retraces. If it stops falling and stabilizes, it is an opportunity to enter the market to buy. Use support as a defensive position to arrange a buying strategy. Currently, it touched the 2848 line in 1 hour and stopped falling slightly. Then pay attention to buying near 2848, including buying directly near the current price of 2856 and lower prices, with a stop loss below 2848. If the SL is hit, continue to buy at a lower price. The most worrying thing at the moment is missing the buying opportunity.
INTRA DAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE OF XAUUSDSupport Zone
2854-2859
Pivot
2854.00
CURRENT TREND
Long positions above 2854.00 with targets at 2879.00 & 2890.00 in extension.
BREAKOUT
Below 2854.00 look for further downside with 2840.00 & 2830.00 as targets.
The next resistances are at 2879.00 and then at 2894.00.
Supports and resistances
2900.00
2890.00
2879.00
2867.09
2854.00
2840.00
2830.00
Gold’s Price Action: New Highs or Correction Ahead?Yesterday, gold reached yet another all-time high, slightly above 2,880.
However, the price quickly dropped by 200 pips, finding support at 2,660.
Since then, gold has been consolidating, but a correction appears to be looming.
In the posted 30-minute chart, we can see a small head-and-shoulders pattern forming.
A break below the newly established support and the neckline of the pattern could lead to a further drop to 2,640.
Although trading at this stage is extremely risky, I believe gold is more likely to correct at this point rather than make a new ATH.
Trade Idea - Sell Limit Trade Idea for XAUUSD
Bias: Short Position
Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• XAUUSD is in an extended uptrend and nearing overbought conditions with RSI at 74.98, signaling a possible pullback.
• MACD is still bullish but reaching a peak.
• A rejection near 2865-2875 suggests a strong resistance zone.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Recent momentum is slowing down.
• RSI is at 47.65, indicating a neutral zone, with possible room for a move downward.
• MACD is weakly bullish but not showing strong continuation.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Clear lower highs forming.
• RSI is at 40.51, approaching bearish territory.
• MACD is negative, showing short-term selling pressure.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold has rallied significantly, but a correction is likely as traders take profits.
• US Dollar Strength: If any upcoming economic data favors USD, gold may decline.
• Interest Rate Expectations: No immediate dovish signals, keeping gold under pressure at highs.
Trade Setup (Short XAUUSD)
• Entry: 2865
• Stop Loss (SL): 2875 (10 pips above key resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): 2845 (2:1 RRR)
Rationale:
• Selling into resistance at 2865 where price action shows exhaustion.
• Stop placed above the last major swing high.
• Targeting a retracement to 2845, a logical support level based on price action and short-term trends.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-6-25: Counter-Trend RALLY Today's pattern is a counter-trend Rally pattern. I read this as a downward trending type of rally phase/bar.
Much like yesterday's rally in the markets. Today should be just the opposite - a downward trending bar.
I believe this is a move downward setting up the Deep-V pattern which should hit early next week.
I suggest traders prepare for a rollover-topping pattern near this upper resistance area and prepare for the markets to move downward - seeking support.
Gold and Silver will likely move downward as well if the market does roll over, as I suspect. Gold and Silver tend to move downward when the markets shift into a downward trend.
Bitcoin is trapped within a range (again), and it appears that over the next few days, it will attempt to move downward with the markets.
Again, the next four to five days will be a do-or-die type of move. I've been telling all of you this Deep-V breakdown will happen for more than thirty days, so I'm watching to see if it really does happen.
Either way, it is now a bad idea to take some profits near these highs in preparation for any potential breakdown.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Could Silver's Price Soar to New Heights?In the realm of precious metals, silver has long captivated investors with its volatility and dual role as both an industrial staple and a safe-haven asset. Recent analyses suggest that the price of silver might skyrocket to unprecedented levels, potentially reaching $100 per ounce. This speculation isn't just idle talk; it's fueled by a complex interplay of market forces, geopolitical tensions, and industrial demand that could reshape the silver market landscape.
The historical performance of silver provides a backdrop for these predictions. After a notable surge in 2020 and a peak in May 2024, silver's price has been influenced by investor sentiment and fundamental market shifts. Keith Neumeyer of First Majestic Silver has been an outspoken advocate for silver's potential, citing historical cycles and current supply-demand dynamics as indicators of future price increases. His foresight, discussed across various platforms, underscores the metal's potential to break through traditional price ceilings.
Geopolitical risks add another layer of complexity to silver's valuation. The potential for an embargo due to escalating tensions between China and Taiwan could disrupt global supply chains, particularly in industries heavily reliant on silver like technology and manufacturing. Such disruptions might not only increase the price due to supply constraints but also elevate silver's status as a safe-haven investment during times of economic uncertainty. Moreover, the ongoing demand from sectors like renewable energy, electronics, and health applications continues to press against the available supply, setting the stage for a significant price rally if these trends intensify.
However, while the scenario of silver reaching $100 per ounce is enticing, it hinges on numerous variables aligning perfectly. Investors must consider not only the positive drivers but also factors like market manipulation, economic policies, and historical resistance levels that have previously capped silver's price growth. Thus, while the future of silver holds immense promise, it also demands a strategic approach from those looking to capitalize on its potential. This situation challenges investors to think critically about market dynamics, urging a blend of optimism with strategic caution.
Gold Retreat Slightly but Bullish Momentum Remains IntactGold Futures Slip but Stay Near Record Highs; Bull Market to Persist, Citi Says
Gold Technical Analysis
Gold reached an all-time high (ATH) of 2,882 yesterday before reversing.
Currently, Gold is expected to correct towards the breakout level near 2,809. Initially, the price may attempt to test 2,841, and a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closing below this level could lead to a drop toward 2,823.
On the other hand, if a 1-hour candle closes above 2,861, the price could reach 2,873. Furthermore, a 4-hour candle closing above 2,873 would confirm a bullish continuation toward 2,895 and 2,918.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2861
Resistance Levels: 2873, 2895, 2918
Support Levels: 2841, 2823, 2809
Trend Outlook
Bullish confirmation above 2873
Expected movement range: 2861 – 2841
Bearish scenario if the price remains below 2861
Gold Update: $3,000 Is Not the Final DestinationGold futures broke above minor consolidation, so the map should be updated.
Wave 3 becomes extended (blue small waves) and it is looking to test the trendline resistance near magic $3,000 level.
But that's not all as we didn't see wave 4 yet.
It should be complex to alternate wave 2, which was simple.
Wave 4 could hit the $2,500-2,550 area to complete correction.
We can measure it after wave 3 will be completed.
And finally, wave 5 is usually extended in commodities.
It could be huge, wave 3 already travelled over $1,000,
imagine where wave 5 could rocket then.
It will depend on how deep wave 4 would retrace first.
Stay tuned, share your thoughts below, lucky trades to all of you!
EUR/USD : More Fall Ahead? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price was rejected from the 1.053 level, as per our main analysis, leading to a decline of over 300 pips down to 1.021.
Currently, EUR/USD is trading around 1.036, and if the price stabilizes below 1.042, we can expect further downside movement. Keep an eye on the price reaction to the key levels marked on the chart!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD : Get Ready for the next Bearish move (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that after rising to the upper limit of the supply zone at 1.046 - 1.055, the price has finally corrected and is currently trading around 1.042. If the price stabilizes below this level, we can expect further declines in EURUSD.
However, keep in mind that in about 2.5 hours, we have the significant CB Consumer Confidence report, which could strongly impact the market!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD - Where will gold go?!US President Donald Trump has raised serious concerns among global economies and financial markets by threatening to impose punitive tariffs on the country’s largest trading partners. So far, he has imposed a 10% tariff on goods imported from China, delayed the implementation of 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, and indicated that the European Union will be the next target of his trade policies. However, beyond the political hype, tariffs have important practical and economic effects.
Tariffs are actually a type of tax on imported goods that, like other taxes, are a source of revenue for the government. Many countries impose these taxes to protect domestic production, as tariffs increase the price of foreign goods and therefore strengthen the competitiveness of domestic products. Trump, however, is using this tool not only to support domestic industries but also as leverage in his foreign policy. One example of this policy is his decision to postpone the imposition of new tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, which was made after the two countries agreed to implement stricter measures to control immigration and combat drug trafficking at their common borders.
Tariffs were once a major source of revenue for the US government, but their share has declined significantly over the past century. According to an analysis of official data by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, as of last year, tariffs accounted for less than 3 percent of total federal revenue.
If the tariffs were to be permanently imposed, as Trump initially proposed, the total additional costs to American importers over the next decade could reach $1.1 trillion. The nonpartisan Tax Foundation estimates that the policy could lead to tax increases of up to $110 billion by 2025 alone. The think tank also estimates that tariffs on China, which began under Trump and expanded under Biden, currently generate $77 billion in revenue for the U.S. government annually.
Economic studies show that ultimately, American consumers and businesses will bear the brunt of these tariffs. While some foreign producers may lower their prices or accept some of the costs from American importers, in many cases, companies will raise the prices of their goods to compensate for the additional costs, and those costs will be passed on to consumers.
A look at recent U.S.-China trade relations provides a clear example of the impact of tariffs. During Trump’s first term, he imposed a series of tariffs on Chinese imports, including steel, aluminum, and industrial engines. The policy has reduced China’s share of U.S. imports from about 20 percent in 2018 to 14 percent by 2023.
Meanwhile, official demand for gold continues to play a major role in the precious metal’s market, keeping prices near record levels. It’s not just emerging market central banks buying gold to protect their currencies.
Krishan Gopal, senior analyst for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa at the World Gold Council, pointed to data released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in a social media post that showed Taiwan’s central bank increased its gold reserves in October. According to the report, the official gold reserves of the Central Bank of Taiwan reached 424 tons three months ago.
Despite the recent volatility in the gold market, analysts believe that the continued purchases of central banks will continue to be the main factor in maintaining the bullish trend of the precious metal. Joy Yang, global head of index product management at MarketVector Indexes, said that with the increasing geopolitical uncertainties caused by Trump’s economic policies and the slogan of “America First”, central banks are looking for more neutral assets to preserve the value of their reserves. According to him, these policies of the Trump administration have made gold a more attractive option for countries that want to protect themselves against economic risks and reduce their dependence on the US dollar and Treasuries.
Katie Kriski, commodity market strategist at Invesco, also believes that the high demand for gold by central banks continues to create significant value for retail investors. He also predicted that this trend will not stop in the near future, citing the People’s Bank of China as one of the most prominent examples of this behavior in the global gold market.
Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone for gold will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we can see a demand range. We can buy in that range with an appropriate reward to risk.
Gold demand in China is showing signs of a strong rebound, even as the physical flow of gold from the UK to the United States continues. Meanwhile, analysts at Heraeus Precious Metals have indicated that there is evidence suggesting that the growing demand for silver in the solar industry may have peaked.
Last week, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank acted in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, while the European Central Bank implemented a 25-basis-point rate cut.
Regarding silver, Heraeus analysts questioned whether China could sustain its rapid growth in the solar energy sector. They reported, “The total installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) panels in China reached 886.66 gigawatts in 2024, marking a 46% increase compared to the previous year.
This 277-gigawatt expansion exceeded industry forecasts and surpassed China’s own 2024 capacity projections by 17 gigawatts. However, while this growth is remarkable, it falls short of the record 54% increase seen in 2023, following a 28% rise in 2021. This trend suggests that China may be approaching its peak photovoltaic capacity growth.”
The analysts also noted that, over the past two years, rapid solar energy growth has been driven by unprecedentedly low photovoltaic module prices, largely due to intense competition among manufacturers. They explained, “However, in 2025, polysilicon producers (GCL and Tongwei) have agreed to limit their production, while solar module manufacturers (Jinko, JA Solar, and Canadian Solar) have reached a minimum pricing consensus to restore profitability. This could drive up the price of solar modules, leading to higher capital costs for projects.”
They added, “Projections indicate that 232 million ounces of silver were used in 495 gigawatts of photovoltaic applications in 2024. If installation rates remain steady year-over-year, solar demand for silver could reach a record 270 million ounces in 2025, an increase of 39 million ounces.”
Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett announced that the Trump administration is focusing on reducing the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds rather than the Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rate cuts. Over the weekend, Trump remarked that the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision not to cut interest rates was a “good” move, indicating his emphasis on 10-year yields.
This policy could contribute to financial stability and help control inflation. However, some analysts have warned that Trump’s measures, along with spending cuts by his ally Elon Musk, may not have a significant impact, as a large portion of U.S. government expenditures remains allocated to healthcare, social security, and defense.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, economists at Morgan Stanley no longer anticipate that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in March. They now predict only one rate cut in 2025, expected in June. As Morgan Stanley stated, “The implementation of tariffs earlier than expected is likely to halt the downward inflation trend at a higher level, making any short-term rate cuts impossible.”