XAUUSD - Will the trendline HOLD? Gold has reached a critical juncture as prices have sharply retreated to test the major uptrend line that's been in place since late January. Currently trading at $3,038.98, the precious metal has experienced a significant pullback from its recent all-time highs above $3,160. This trendline has supported gold's impressive rally for months, making this test particularly important for determining the near-term direction. If buyers step in at these levels, we could see a bounce and continuation of the broader uptrend; however, a decisive break below this trendline could trigger a more substantial correction, potentially targeting previous support zones around $2,950-$3,000. The sharp nature of the recent decline suggests increased selling pressure, making the next few trading sessions crucial for determining whether this is merely a dip in an ongoing bull market or the beginning of a deeper retracement.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Metals
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Reversal Setup – FVG Entry to EMA 200 ResiThis chart shows a potential bullish setup for Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe, with some key technical elements and a projected trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
1. Current Market Overview
Price: Trading around $3,038.51.
Trend: Recent downtrend followed by a minor recovery.
Indicators:
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at $3,090.41, acting as a dynamic resistance.
EMA 30 (Red): Positioned below the EMA 200, indicating a still bearish trend but with potential for a pullback.
2. Key Zones & Labels
Limit Entry Zone: Highlighted around $3,025.72 (bottom purple zone)
Labeled as “LIMIT ENTRY”, indicating a potential buy entry.
This area corresponds with a fair value gap (fvg) — often used in smart money concepts as a sign of institutional interest.
Target Zone: Around $3,082.22 (top purple zone)
Labeled as “target point EA”.
Lies just below the EMA 200 resistance level, which is a likely take-profit area for a bullish move.
3. Projected Price Action
A possible bullish retracement is anticipated:
Dip into the limit entry/fvg zone at ~$3,025.
Then, a rally targeting the $3,082 zone, possibly extending toward the EMA 200 at ~$3,090.
4. Trade Setup (Based on the Chart)
Entry: Around $3,025.72 (limit buy)
Target: Between $3,082.22 - $3,090.41
Risk: Likely below the FVG zone (~$3,015–$3,020), depending on risk appetite.
Conclusion
This is a smart money concept-based setup anticipating a liquidity grab or fair value gap fill before a bullish move. The trade aims for a reversal at a key demand zone, with confirmation from EMA confluence above as a profit target.
Would you like help plotting stop-loss levels or analyzing the risk/reward ratio?
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3055 and a gap below at 3034. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3045 and 3078 due to ema5 lagging behind and a gap below at 3016. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3045
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3109
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3109 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3137
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3137 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3170
BEARISH TARGETS
3016
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3016 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2987
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2987 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2928
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2928 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2857 - 2894
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while now and finally completed last week. However, I wanted to continue to share an update on this, as its still playing out by falling back into the range on Fridays drop in price.
Historically, whenever we see a breakout outside of our unique Goldturn channels; I always state that, when price does a correction, we look for support outside of the channel top. This is playing out to perfection with Fridays drop finding support on the channel top, as highlighted by us on the chart with a circle. This was done with precision!!
We will now look for a test above at 3052 and a body close above this will follow with continuation to 3103 or a break below inside the channel top wall with ema5 will re-activate the levels below inside the channel, which we can then continue to track back up level to level, like we did before. I have also updated the levels above the channel to cover the new range.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is an update on our weekly chart ideas, which we have been tracking, as our long term route map.
After completing 3094 target no further body close or ema5 lock above this level. Therefore no further gaps left above and followed with a rejection. We are now looking for support and bounce on the channel half line or a cross and lock below the half line will open the lower range for the channel low Goldturns.
We expect the range play between the channel half-line and 3094 and will need a break on either of these levels to determine the next range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Blueprint for Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025🚀 Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025: Leveraging ICT, Automation, and Prop Funding
Here’s a detailed, actionable blueprint designed to position you for success by carefully navigating broker selection, adopting advanced trading strategies, obtaining prop funding, and integrating automation and AI technologies into your trading.
🏦 Broker Selection (Actionable Steps)
🔍 Choose brokers with true ECN/STP execution
⚡ Ensure brokers offer low spreads (0.0-0.2 pip average) and fast execution to maximize ICT precision entries.
🛡️ Prioritize brokers regulated by ASIC, FCA, or FSCA with verified Myfxbook execution reports.
📊 Confirm broker compatibility with MetaTrader 4 (MT4) to seamlessly integrate Expert Advisors (EAs).
💳 Check for flexible withdrawal/deposit methods and swift payouts (Crypto, Wise, Revolut).
🎯 Trading Strategy (ICT Concepts & Supply-Demand Zones)
🧠 Master ICT Concepts: Liquidity sweeps, Order Blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Breaks (MSB).
📍 Combine ICT with Supply-Demand: Identify institutional supply-demand zones aligning with ICT Order Blocks & liquidity areas.
📐 Execute High-Probability Setups: Trade only after liquidity grabs at key daily/weekly ICT points, avoiding retail traps.
📈 Time & Price Theory: Trade London Kill Zones and New York Open exclusively, exploiting predictable ICT volatility.
📆 Weekly Preparation: Annotate D1/H4 charts on weekends marking liquidity points, order blocks, and premium/discount zones clearly.
💰 Getting Prop Funding (Actionable Approach)
🥇 Target reputable prop firms (FTMO, MyForexFunds, The Funded Trader, 8cap, etc) with clear and attainable evaluation objectives.
📑 Use ICT trading style for evaluation: lower-frequency, high-probability trades with clearly defined risks.
🎯 Implement strict risk management rules: never exceed 1% risk per trade, aiming for steady account growth (5-10% monthly target).
📊 Monitor performance closely using provided analytics dashboards (e.g., FTMO Metrics App) and adapt accordingly.
📚 Diversify funded accounts across multiple firms, compounding total available trading capital while reducing firm-specific risk.
⚙️ Automating & Executing Trades (MT4 EA & Bots)
🛠️ Hire experienced MQL4 developers to code custom ICT-based MT4 Expert Advisors
🤖 Develop EAs specifically around ICT logic (Order Block detection, liquidity grabs, market structure shifts) and or supply/demand logic
🤖 use advanced algo based breakout EAs for automation
📌 Automate trade management: EAs should handle entry precision, partial exits, break-even stops, and trail stops.
📡 Set EAs on VPS Hosting (NY4, LD4) for optimal latency and consistent execution (ForexVPS, AccuWeb Hosting).
📈 Regularly perform forward-testing and optimization of EAs on demo accounts before live deployment (at least quarterly optimization).
📲 Integrating Advanced Bots and Technology in 2025
📊 Combine your MT4 EAs with third-party analytics platforms for detailed trade performance insights.
🔮 Incorporate AI-based forecasting tools to refine ICT setups and trade signals.
🔔 Use automated bots for real-time alerts on ICT-based setups via Telegram or Discord channels.
🧑💻 Maintain manual oversight for discretionary ICT decisions—use automation for entry efficiency, not blind reliance.
🔄 Continuously retrain and update your bot’s logic monthly using the most recent trade data, ensuring adaptive execution.
🗓️ Daily Routine for Success
🌅 Pre-session (30 mins): Review annotated charts, ICT concepts (liquidity, OB, FVG), and supply-demand levels.
💻 During trading session: Monitor EA execution, manually adjust positions based on real-time ICT setups.
📝 Post-session (15 mins): Journal trades meticulously in detail, noting ICT reasoning behind wins and losses.
📆 Weekly review: Assess overall ICT & EA performance—adjust EA parameters as needed to match evolving market conditions.
📚 Continuous learning: Keep updated on advanced ICT framework,
supply demand zone trading.
📌 Final Actionable Advice for 2025
🔍 Specialize intensely on ICT & supply-demand concepts rather than multiple strategies—depth over breadth.
🚩 Always adapt and evolve your trading algorithms to ICT methodology—market dynamics continually change.
🧘 Maintain emotional discipline and patience, relying on high-probability setups to steadily compound your account.
💡 Stay ahead by embracing technology: automation, AI-driven forecasting, and custom ICT tools will provide a significant edge in 2025.
short 3145 with 2tp legit 3005 after trump tlk abou tarifffor me its clear here.
its a classic buy the rumour sell the news
so when Trump will talk about tariff psssssss it will back down a lot
also it go far up so fast and a legit good correction is welcome
also high price made many as electronic and other goods ewpansive
GOLD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOLD fell again to retest the support
But it is a strong key level of 3000$
So we are already seeing a rebound
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER got decimated
By the bears last week
And lost almost 15%
Of its value, which is
Clearly an overreaction
And an oversold situation
So after the potential retet
Of the strong horizontal
Support below around 28.97$
On Monday we are likely
To see a bullish correction
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD: First Long,Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $3122, and I expect the price to soon reach higher levels such as $3128, $3133, $3135, and $3143, and after reaching each of these important levels, we will probably see an initial negative reaction!
Ultimately, I expect a strong rejection from the price once gold reaches $3144!
The level of this analysis is very high, so make sure to study it carefully!
Don’t forget to support this analysis!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SILVER: Long Signal Explained
SILVER
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy SILVER
Entry - 29.598
Stop - 28.563
Take - 31.789
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Analysis for April 7, 2025 (1H)After a sharp drop, price reached the key demand zone around 3025-3030. This area forms a potential buy zone from which a rebound toward 3080–3100 may occur. The chart suggests a possible W-shaped recovery. A breakout above 3100 could unlock further upside toward 3127 and then resistance at 3167.
However, a breakdown below 3015–3020 could increase bearish pressure and lead to a decline toward 2997 support. Indicators are showing signs of local oversold conditions, hinting at potential technical recovery.
Main scenario – reversal from 3025-3030 with a move toward 3080–3100.
Alternative – breakdown to 2997.
Gold may break support level and continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price started to grow from the buyer zone between 2885–2905 points, forming a clean bullish impulse and entering a broadening wedge structure. During the uptrend, Gold made several rebounds from the support line and broke above the current support level at 3070, which later became a key point in the price structure. After reaching the resistance line of the wedge, the price turned around and began a downward correction. The decline brought it back into the support area between 3087–3070 points, but this zone has already failed to hold the momentum. Currently, XAU is trading below the upper boundary of the support area and showing clear signs of weakness. The breakout to the downside from the wedge structure has already taken place, and the price is starting to form a local pullback. I expect this pullback to be short-lived, followed by a continuation of the downward movement. My target for this move is the 2990 level, which aligns with the support line of the broadening wedge and serves as the next strong reaction zone. Given the failed rebound from resistance, the breakdown of the support area, and the structure of the broadening wedge, I remain bearish and expect Gold to continue declining toward TP 1 — 2990 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE🟡 GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE
A steep drop in gold just rattled the markets — but if you’ve been following the macro and technical setup closely, this was not only expected, but anticipated.
From the first week of April, we’ve been tracking signals of potential exhaustion in XAUUSD:
🕯️ Candlestick wicks on higher timeframes
📈 Overextended structure
🧠 Macro divergence
Now, all signs have converged — and we’re finally seeing the correction play out.
🔍 Why This Isn’t Just About Gold
What we’re seeing is a broader shift in global market sentiment:
U.S., European, and Asian equities are all under pressure
Crypto has stagnated with little to no fresh capital inflow
Gold — after months of aggressive buying — is now facing wave after wave of profit-taking
This is classic risk-off behaviour.
Investors are choosing cash, sitting tight, and waiting for clarity — not only in the charts but in the headlines too.
📉 DXY Building a Case for Recovery
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been heavily sold in recent months — but is now holding at a multi-year structural support zone that’s been tested multiple times since 2021.
With Trump returning to the spotlight and triggering a fresh round of global tariff negotiations, the USD is regaining narrative strength.
Trump’s stance has already prompted discussions among major economies, putting the U.S. in a dominant position — and the market is beginning to price that in.
🤔 What’s Holding the Fed Back?
Despite rising trade tensions, the Federal Reserve has remained cautious — choosing not to act until the dust settles from geopolitical and policy developments.
This creates a window of opportunity:
If the Fed holds rates while global central banks soften
And if the USD holds this major support
→ We could see strong dollar flows return in Q2.
🔮 Gold Outlook – Where Next?
In the short term:
Expect continued volatility
Potential for gold to slide further toward 308x – 305x range
Any bounce is likely to be technical rather than fundamental
In the medium term:
Once political noise fades, gold may find support again
Especially if inflation expectations persist or the Fed pivots dovish later in Q2
💡 Takeaways for UK Traders
✅ Don't trade the news — trade the reaction
✅ Macro structure matters more than the daily headlines
✅ Capital preservation beats chasing euphoria
We’re not guessing.
We’re reading the story and planning with structure.
Golden Momentum to Short the goldWe already know what FED powell talked about on the 4th and trump's tariffs which have a very big effect on the global economy.
exchanges have fallen, this pattern is very similar where during the crisis the price of gold also fell sharply because there was no demand from the world and they saw the USD as a safe heaven because the price of gold was also too high.
Price between 3040 -3070 is a entry price to short
Price rocketing above 3110 = bull resisting (very small chance, only below 5%)
Good luck for your trade, lets win this trade.
Skeptic | Gold Gears Up: Battle Between 3075.66 & 3128Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we're diving deep into XAU/USD (Gold) , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍
📊 Daily Structure:
The major trend remains bullish , with Gold showing strong upward momentum. If you've been following my previous breakdowns, you’ll remember I gave long triggers at 2955.31 , 3004.48 , and recently 3057.26 —all of which have played out well. Even if you entered based on your own signals in line with the trend, you should be sitting comfortably in profit.
🕒 1H Structure – What’s Next?
After that strong uptrend, Gold has entered a correction phase on the 1H chart.
📰 News Impact:
The recent announcement from President Trump imposing sweeping tariffs (10% baseline and up to 54% on China) has created major volatility across markets, including Gold. This geopolitical tension has added momentum to the asset, and we’re seeing it clearly on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
• Trigger: Break & close above 3128
• Since this aligns with the trend, larger targets and longer hold times are justified.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
• Trigger: Break & hold below 3075.66
• Manage risk carefully here—use tighter stop-losses and secure profits quickly since this is counter-trend.
⚠️ Key Notes:
🔹 Fundamentals: Heavy economic news flow today = High volatility expected.
🔹 Risk Management: Don’t overleverage. Only enter on confirmed breaks.
Stay skeptical, trade smart, and I’ll catch you in the next analysis! 👽📈
Ethereum TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you are doing well. Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe got rejected after hitting a strong order block and started forming new lows. Given the current chart conditions, we have two order blocks in the high price area and we expect the price to return to these levels. If we see a short setup, we will enter a short position with a target of 1750. For now, I am not suggesting a long position and will wait until the pullback on the chart is complete.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.5
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Assignment for GOLD next weekBase on what happened this week. My idea for GOLD is simple and straight forward next week. After that strong expansion to the downside, i am expecting to see a retracement towards .5 or .62 of fib level before price will continue to go down and mitigate that big weekly imbalance below. Base on the structure of next weeks high impact news, my idea would be a simple consolidation for Monday till Wednesday since we got no high impact news on those given days. Then Thursday and Friday would be the expansion since we got FOMC,CPI and PPI for those 2 remaining days of the week... My entry would still be the same. Top down analysis using my multi timeframe strategy and wait for all timeframes to align and enter in 5m timeframe once it aligns with the overall higher timeframe. Good luck to us all and Happy trading...
XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣
✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution
The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly:
Premium zone + valid OB
FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH)
Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054
Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫
🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025
📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected
📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%)
📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number
💬 Market Reaction?
Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market
Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG
Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly
🔁 What Got Mitigated:
✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145
✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped
✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled
✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance
🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated:
🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance
🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone)
🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched
🧠 Summary:
✅ Plan respected
✅ NFP added fuel
✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip
🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”