Gold H2 Market Update Ongoing Accumulation BUY LOW SELL HIGH📊 Technical Outlook Update H4
🏆 Bull Market Overview
Gold is currently trading around $3,352.69 per ounce, up 1.9% today, reaching its highest level since May 23, driven by renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and a weaker dollar. The market remains range-bound, with key resistance levels at $3,410 and $3,460, and support levels at $3,160 and $3,240. Volatility is expected to remain moderate, with potential catalysts including upcoming U.S. employment data and central bank policy decisions.
⭐️ Recommended Strategy
Continue to buy on dips near support levels and sell near resistance levels, capitalizing on the current range-bound market conditions. Monitor for potential breakouts above resistance or breakdowns below support, which could signal a shift in market dynamics.
Latest Gold Market Updates:
📈 Gold prices have surged due to renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and escalating geopolitical tensions, prompting investors to seek safety in gold.
💰 Gold miners are largely avoiding hedging strategies to fully benefit from the current market, reflecting strong bullish sentiment in the industry.
🔮 Citibank projects gold prices could rally to $3,500 over the next three months, citing strong demand and macroeconomic factors.
📊 JP Morgan anticipates gold prices exceeding $4,000 per ounce by Q2 2026, with an average of $3,675 in Q4 2025, driven by continued investor and central bank demand.
⭐️ Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end 2025 forecast to $3,700, with a potential upside scenario reaching $4,500, based on strong Asian buying and central bank purchases.
💍 Record gold prices are prompting jewelry designers to shift toward 14-karat gold and alternative materials to control costs, while consumer demand remains robust.
🔮 Outlook Summary
Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. The market is currently range-bound, with key levels to watch at $3,160–$3,240 for support and $3,410–$3,460 for resistance. Upcoming economic data releases and central bank policy decisions could act as catalysts for a breakout from the current range. Analysts maintain a positive outlook, with forecasts suggesting potential for further price increases in the medium to long term.
Metals
GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS & DOLLAR FATIGUE SUPPORT GOLDMACRO CONTEXT – GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS & DOLLAR FATIGUE SUPPORT GOLD
US-China trade friction is heating up, and ongoing tax negotiations with the EU have stalled. Investors are growing wary of prolonged policy uncertainties.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has pulled back from recent highs, with market expectations cooling on aggressive Fed policy.
Gold is regaining safe-haven status amid rising geopolitical noise and weakening risk appetite early in June.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – STRUCTURE FLIP & RETEST POTENTIAL
A clear breakout above the descending trendline and multiple moving averages (EMA 13–34–89–200) confirms strong short-term bullish structure.
Institutional footprints likely evident from the Asian session impulse candle.
The next upside targets lie at 3,348 and 3,361, with high probability of a retest toward breakout zones.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES & STRATEGY
🟢 BUY ZONE ON RETEST:
Entry: 3,325 – 3,322
Stop-Loss: 3,317
Take-Profit: 3,330 → 3,340 → 3,348 → 3,361
🔴 SELL ZONE (OVEREXTENSION SCENARIO):
Entry: 3,361 – 3,364
Stop-Loss: 3,370
Take-Profit: 3,355 → 3,348 → 3,340 → 3,330
📌 STRATEGIC NOTES
As long as 3,322 holds as support, buyers remain in control.
A clean retest of this zone may present a prime long opportunity.
Failure to hold may lead to a drop toward the EMA confluence between 3,301 – 3,294, where buyers could reload.
✅ Conclusion: Gold has flipped bullish with a convincing breakout. Traders should favor buy-the-dip setups while monitoring resistance at 3,348 – 3,361 for potential profit-taking or short-term reversals.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Analysis – 30-Minute Chart. This chart shows a bullish breakout in Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. After breaking above key resistance levels around the 3,325.000 zone, price action has shown strong upward momentum. The chart suggests a potential short-term pullback (as illustrated by the blue retracement path) followed by a continuation toward the projected target zone near 3,400.000. Multiple support zones (highlighted in green) now provide a solid base for potential buying opportunities. This setup, marked by volume confirmation and structure breakout, aligns with a bullish market sentiment.
Gold INTRADAY Bullish breakout continuationGold continues to exhibit a bullish overall sentiment, supported by a well-established rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action has transitioned into a consolidation phase, signalling temporary indecision following the latest bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3250 – Critical near-term support; also the previous consolidation zone. A successful retest here would reinforce bullish structure.
3220 – Secondary support; a break below 3250 may prompt a move towards this level.
3200 – Major downside support; a breach would suggest a broader corrective phase.
Resistance:
3345 – Initial upside target if bullish momentum resumes.
3367 – Intermediate resistance; a break here would strengthen the bullish breakout.
3410 – Longer-term resistance; a target for sustained bullish extension.
Technical Outlook:
A corrective pullback toward 3250, followed by a bullish reversal, would confirm a continuation pattern and open the way toward 3345/3367/3410 over a medium to longer-term horizon. Conversely, a daily close below 3250 would invalidate the bullish bias and expose the metal to further downside toward 3220 and 3200.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish overall, but near-term direction hinges on the 3250 level. A bounce from this support reaffirms the uptrend, while a break below it warns of deeper correction. Traders should monitor price action closely around 3250 for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD - Gold is on the verge of a very important week!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I predict the path ahead for gold to be upward and if the resistance level is broken, we can look for buying opportunities. If gold corrects, we can also buy it with a reward at an appropriate risk.
Gold prices experienced a mild decline over the past week, with market sentiment shaped less by fundamental shifts and more by mixed messages and scattered commentary around tariffs.Despite the noise, many traders chose to rely on data and technical charts rather than reacting emotionally—data that painted a more subdued picture than the headlines suggested.
Rich Checkan, CEO of Asset Strategies International, responded confidently in a recent survey, predicting further gains in gold. “The trajectory for gold is clearly upward. Prices have stabilized around the $3,300 level and appear ready for a new rally, especially if the appellate court’s ruling on tariffs is upheld,” he said.
Checkan also pointed to another macroeconomic factor that could support gold: “A new tax bill, described as large and costly, is set to be voted on in the Senate soon. If passed, it will likely widen the budget deficit, which historically leads to increased liquidity and rising inflation—a favorable environment for gold.”
On Friday, the PCE inflation report showed easing price pressures, though not enough to put the Federal Reserve at ease. Core PCE (excluding food and energy) rose by 0.1% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year in April—matching expectations and slightly down from 2.7% the previous month. The headline PCE also increased 2.1% annually, just below the forecast of 2.2%.
The key point: these data reflect the first month in which Trump’s new tariffs were active, yet there’s little evidence so far that they’ve caused inflation to rise. Still, the disinflationary trend remains sluggish and distant from the Fed’s 2% target. In its latest minutes, the Fed warned that inflation may prove more persistent than previously thought.
Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal, despite the seemingly positive PCE numbers, issued a cautionary note with four key insights:
• The inflationary impact of tariffs is expected to begin showing up from May and be fully reflected in June’s data. This could accelerate goods price increases and disrupt the path of disinflation.
• Last year’s monthly PCE figures were particularly weak (May: 0%, June: 0.1%, July: 0.2%). As these drop out of the annual calculation, even if monthly gains remain steady, YoY rates could rise mathematically.
• The three-month average for Core PCE from May to October 2024 was only 0.1%. If upcoming monthly figures hit 0.2%, annual disinflation could stall or even reverse.
• While the latest report is encouraging, the effects of tariffs and the removal of last year’s weak data could complicate the inflation trajectory.
Looking ahead, market attention will focus heavily on a suite of crucial U.S. labor market indicators. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) is due Tuesday, private sector employment data (ADP) on Wednesday, and jobless claims on Thursday. However, the most anticipated release will be Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for May—widely viewed as a key factor influencing rate expectations.
Alongside labor data, markets will also watch other critical economic reports. The ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday and the ISM Services PMI on Wednesday will offer broader insight into U.S. business activity. In the realm of monetary policy, interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada (Wednesday) and the European Central Bank (Thursday) are expected to trigger notable movements in the currency and gold markets.
Gold Looks Bullish. But need more confirmation! Looking for more supporting signs that gold is ready to go bullish. I think it will pull back first. But waiting to see where price is at inside of the killzone before making any decision on direction. Being that it is Monday price could end up acting flaky on action. So keeping expectations low.
Shoulder on Shoulder - Need a dump this Week😥 The past week was complicated, and I don't want to bore you with all the political goings-on, which I hope you're already aware of. I'm a bit short on time right now, but I still wanted to share this perspective with you all.
💁♂️ It is Shoulder on Shoulder H&S everywhere!
💡 My concept of a plan:
🧗 Let's climb the Pinky way down
3289 - Actual Price
3271 - 🏁 S1
3232 - 🚪 Pink Neckline entry
3245 - 🤞 S2 & Head of White reverse H&S
3204 - 👀 Pink Start from Left Shoulder
3184 - 🎯 TP 1 - Fibo 1.272
3163 - 🎯 TP 2 - Fibo 1.414 or 3166
3134 - 🎯 TP 3 - Fibo 1.618 or 3154
3120 - 👀 Head of Yellow reverse H&S
3079 - 🎯 TP 4 - Fibo 2
🗣️ Important: FED Chair Powell speaking June 02 Mon at 1 PM EDT
What are your toughts about this? Please write it in the comments.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead.
Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others.
This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets.
The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise.
Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
Analysis strategy for the latest gold trend on June 2:
The strengthening of the US dollar suppressed the gold price: the US dollar index rebounded, and gold fell under pressure.
Impact of tariff policy: The tariff policy during the Trump period was restored, and the market risk aversion fluctuated, but it did not significantly boost gold.
Expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut: Weak inflation data strengthened expectations of interest rate cuts, but short-term support for gold was limited.
Key event risks:
Powell's speech (next Tuesday): The market is paying attention to his statement on interest rate policy.
Fed officials have spoken intensively: This may affect the market's expectations of the pace of interest rate cuts.
1. Daily level
The closing price fell below 3300 (the middle track support of the Bollinger band), and the weekly decline exceeded 2.1%, with bears dominating.
Key support: 3250 (if it falls below, it may accelerate downward).
Key resistance: 3325 (if it breaks through, it may return to oscillating upward).
2. 1-hour level
The moving average is short-term, the 3325 resistance is strong, and the short-term rebound momentum is insufficient.
Friday's trend: The Asian and European sessions fluctuated downward, with the lowest at 3271. After rebounding, it fell again, indicating that the main force was washing the market.
Short-term trend: If it fails to break through the 3310-3313 resistance zone, it may continue to test 3250.
1. Short position layout (main strategy)
Entry range: 3308-3313 (rebound test resistance level)
Stop loss: above 3320 (prevent false breakthrough)
Target: 3295→3285→3250 (take profit in batches)
2. Long orders are carefully observed (counter-trend strategy)
Conditions: If it quickly drops to 3250 and stabilizes, you can go long with a light position (need to cooperate with oversold signals or US dollar pullback).
Stop loss: below 3240 (prevent further breakout).
Powell's speech: If a strong dovish signal is released (such as clarifying the time for interest rate cuts), the decline in gold may be reversed.
Geopolitical emergencies: If the situation escalates, safe-haven buying may push gold higher in the short term.
Dollar trend: If the dollar pulls back, gold may see a technical rebound.
Short-term trend: Bearish, pay attention to the pressure in the 3300-3313 resistance zone.
Trading strategy: Mainly short selling on rebound, strictly set stop loss, and avoid blindly buying at the bottom.
Medium- and long-term focus: Fed policy trends and economic data, if expectations of interest rate cuts heat up, gold may usher in a new round of gains.
(The market is changing rapidly, it is recommended to flexibly adjust strategies based on real-time data to control risks.)
SILVER Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 32.985 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 33.258
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Analysis
Last week's movement so far on the chart moved as expected. To continue this week's path, expect another step to correct to two support areas, first the 3264-3255 range, and if lost to the support area 3265-3232. It can be considered that from one of these two supports, the upward movement for the liquidity above it will continue. The resistance/support areas will change their nature if lost.
SILVER: Will Start Growing! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy SILVER.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD H4 Weekly Chart Update For 2-6 June 25Good day Traders,
as you can see that there are important zones mentioned
right now market is in sideways, key resistance zone for the upcoming week is 3350-70, market breaks resistance zone then it will move towards 3430
key support zone is 3240-50 for now, if market breaks support zone then it will move towards 3200 or even 3150
always Trade with SL
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold - Correction Phase Extended!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our latest Gold analysis, price rejected the $3,100 – $3,150 support zone and traded higher.
However, Gold is still in a correction phase, moving within a falling red channel.
This week, it has been rejecting the upper bound of the channel, reinforcing bearish pressure.
⛔ As long as the upper red trendline holds, the bears remain in control.
✅ For momentum to shift back in favor of the bulls, a clear break above the upper red trendline is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD Consolidation not over but long term still bullish.Gold / XAUUSD hasn't changed it's long term trend, which remains bullish inside a Channel Up since October 2023.
However, it is more likely than not, to extend the consolidation it is having since April 21st, which is no different than the 3 previous consolidation phases this Channel Up had.
After they got completed, strong rallies followed, the less strong of which was +18.51%.
Stay bullish, target 3700.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Latest gold trend trading strategy on May 30:
Core driving factors
Trump tariff revocation: US court ruled that "Liberation Day tariffs" were overreaching, trade policy uncertainty decreased, market risk aversion cooled, and gold was under pressure.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts weakened: The Fed was cautious about rate cuts, the US dollar strengthened briefly, but weak economic data (such as employment and PMI) limited the dollar's gains, and gold bottomed out and rebounded.
Technical oversold rebound: Gold prices fell to 3245 support and then quickly rebounded. Short-term bullish momentum is strong, but we need to be wary of overbought callback risks.
Key points
Resistance:
3335-3340 (key pressure zone, breaking through will open upside space)
3350-3360 (previous high resistance, strong pressure level)
Support:
3305-3310 (short-term long-short boundary, long position if stable)
3280-3270 (strong support if callback, weak if broken)
Technical signal analysis
Bollinger channel: 1-hour level opens upward, price runs along the upper track, short-term strong, but overbought risk increases.
Moving average system:
Short-term moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, supporting gold prices.
If it pulls back to 3305-3310 (near the 20-day moving average), it can be regarded as a low-long opportunity.
RSI indicator: close to the 70 overbought area, if there is a top divergence, be alert to the callback.
Operation strategy
1. Long strategy (main idea)
Entry conditions:
Price falls back to 3305-3310 and stabilizes (combined with K-line patterns such as hammer lines).
Or break through 3340 and then step back to confirm (light position to chase long).
Target: 3335-3340 (first target), 3350-3360 (second target).
Stop loss: below 3295 (to prevent false breakthrough).
2. Short strategy (auxiliary idea)
Entry conditions:
Price touches 3340-3350 stagflation (such as long upper shadow, RSI overbought).
Target: 3320, 3305.
Stop loss: above 3355.
Breakthrough response:
If it breaks through 3350 strongly, stop loss for short orders and wait and see whether the trend reverses.
If it falls below 3270, long orders will leave the market and look down to 3245 support.
Summary
Short-term trend: oversold rebound continues, but facing strong pressure at 3340, be wary of highs and falls.
Operation priority:
Mainly long at low levels (3305-3310 support area).
Short selling at high levels is auxiliary (3340-3350 pressure zone).
Position management: single transaction ≤5%, stop loss is strictly enforced to avoid chasing up and selling down.
Gold Forming a Bulllish Flag- Wacthing for Breakout ConfirmationThis chart shows a potential bullish flag pattern forming on the daily timeframe for Gold Spot (XAU/USD). The pattern is composed of a strong flagpole (an impulsive upward move), followed by a descending consolidation channel, which represents a correction phase.
The price is currently moving within the flag’s range. A breakout above the flag’s resistance trendline would confirm the bullish continuation pattern, potentially targeting levels above 3,500 USD. Until a confirmed breakout occurs, price action may continue to consolidate within the flag structure.
Flagpole: Sharp upward rally from mid-March to mid-April 2025
Correction: Downward sloping parallel channel
Breakout Level: Around 3,300–3,320 USD
Volume: Decreasing during the correction, which aligns with bullish flag behavior
Suggested Action: Monitor for breakout confirmation before entering long positions
This chart is for educational and technical analysis purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,292.92 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,284.27 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.984 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.109.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️