GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Strong start to the week for our chart setup. Despite initial bearish momentum, price action aligned well with our dip buying strategy.
The session began with the bearish target at 3307 being achieved, triggering a key price reaction. This was followed by a ema5 cross and lock, confirming the activation of the retracement zone, which was also tested and respected with precision. We have now observed a confirmed breakout from the retracement range, opening the swing range. This move delivered our textbook swing bounce, again supporting our dip buying strategy.
The full extent of the swing range remains active, indicating continued opportunity for strategic dip entries while the range structure holds.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3447
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3447 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3502
POTENTIALLY 3525
BEARISH TARGETS
3307 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3281 - DONE
3254 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233 - DONE
3201
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Metals
XAUUSD first time to hit the 4H MA200 in a month.Gold (XAUUSD) hit its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) today for the first time since April 08. That was a Higher Low at the bottom of the Bullish Megaphone pattern and produced its Aril 22 All Time High (ATH).
Since then, the market has been correcting under a Lower Highs trend-line, due to the de-escalation of the Trade War and today's 4H MA200 is so far a Double Bottom on a potential Descending Triangle.
Its last Bullish Leg peaked on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so we are now turning bullish targeting 3375 (current 0.786 Fib).
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GOLD D1 Chart Analysis Update for 12 - 16 May 25 Hello everyone,
As you can see some levels mentioned in GOLD Chart for upcoming main focus in GOLD For Longer Term Buying 3000 - 3200 is good buying zone for longer term
however you can still follow-up time to time for 1 candle retracement zone on D1
3400 level remains crucial for now
Main events for the upcoming week US CPI & US PPI
Gold is losing its shine as the US and China move closerGold price (XAU/USD) has dropped below $3,300 and is now trading around $3,275 in the Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and optimism from US-China trade talks. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of negotiations in Switzerland, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may still provide some support. While military activity between India and Pakistan has eased following a ceasefire, the risk of conflict remains.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario:
This week, gold (XAU/USD) may continue to face downward pressure due to positive expectations surrounding the US-China trade process, which reduces demand for safe-haven assets. If the US releases more favorable trade details, risk sentiment could improve, causing capital to flow out of gold. A stronger US Dollar also adds pressure to the metal.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• If the price rebounds to the $3,275–$3,300 zone but fails to break through, consider shorting with targets at $3,240 or $3,200.
• Conversely, if the price breaks above $3,300, wait for confirmation to open a long position.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone: $3,275 – $3,295
• TP1: $3,240
• TP2: $3,200
🚨 SL: $3,310
BUY XAU/USD Zone: $3,305 – $3,315
• TP1: $3,325
• TP2: $3,350
🚨 SL: $3,290
Gold Drops to Support – Bullish Structure Still Intact (For Now)Gold fell nearly 2.5%, retesting its rising trendline and the 50-day SMA near $3,180 after failing to hold above $3,400:
📉 RSI dipped to 49, showing fading momentum but not yet oversold
📊 MACD is crossing lower, suggesting weakening bullish pressure
🟦 Key support:
Rising trendline and 50-day SMA near $3,180
Further downside could target $3,050
📈 Bulls want to see a strong bounce from this area to maintain the uptrend structure. A daily close below $3,180 would shift near-term bias neutral to bearish.
-MW
Silver Surfers & Profit Pirates!Dive into the XAG/USD Silver Market with our slick Coastal Trader Blueprint! We’re blending razor-sharp technicals with juicy fundamentals to surf both bullish and bearish waves. Ready to ride the silver tide and stack those pips? Let’s make waves! 🌊📈
🏄♂️ The Silver Surf Strategy
Entry Signals 🚦:
🐬 Bullish Ride: Catch a dip to the Coastal Support Zone at 34.200—your ticket to ride the bullish swell!
🦈 Bearish Drop: Spot a break below 31.300—dive in for the bearish plunge!
Pro Tip: Set price alerts to nab these levels! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
Bullish Trade: Anchor SL at 31.300 (4H swing low, Coastal Support Zone).
Bearish Trade: Fix SL at 33.700 (4H swing high).
Tweak SL based on risk, lot size, and order count. Stay safe—this is your lifeline! ⚓
Take Profit (TP) 🏝️:
Bullish Surfers: Aim for 36.500 or bail if the tide turns.
Bearish Surfers: Target 28.800 or slip out before the market flips.
Exit Trick: Watch RSI for overbought/oversold signals to dodge wipeouts! 🚨
🌍 Why XAG/USD?
Silver’s riding a bearish current 🐻 as of May 12, 2025, fueled by:
Fundamentals: USD strength from Fed hawkishness, US economic growth, and tariff talks.
Macroeconomics: US resilience outshines global slowdown.
COT Data (Latest Friday, May 9, 2025): Speculative net shorts on silver rise, favoring USD
Intermarket: Soaring US yields and equities lift USD, capping silver.
Quantitative: RSI (oversold hints) and Fibonacci (61.8% retracement) signal bearish bias.
📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 40% 😄 (Betting on silver’s safe-haven spark)
🔴 Bearish: 47% 😣 (USD rally and yield spikes dominate)
⚪ Neutral: 13% 🤷♂️
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 28% 💼 (Geopolitical hedges fuel demand)
🔴 Bearish: 62% ⚠️ (USD strength and high yields crush silver)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🧐
⚡ Market Movers: News & Risk Control 📰
Volatility’s our wave, but surf smart:
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (FOMC, NFP).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and cap losses.
Stay alert—ride the news, don’t wipe out! 🌪️
💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Forex (USD Pairs): USD Index (DXY) at 102.50, up 0.3% (source: Financial Juice).
Commodities CFD: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.850, down 1.2% daily.
Metals: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, down 0.8%; Copper at 4.20, flat.
Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.30, up 0.5%.
Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,400, down 0.4%.
Indices: S&P 500 at 5,820, up 0.2%; Nasdaq 100 at 20,100, flat.
🚀 Join the Coastal Trader Crew!
Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Coastal Trader Blueprint and make this silver surf legendary! 🌟 Every boost powers our squad to conquer the markets. Let’s dominate XAG/USD together! 🤙
Stay locked on your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, surfers! 🤑🎈
#CoastalTrader #XAGUSD #SilverSurf #TradingView #RideTheTide
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,242.86 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,268.10 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 4-12 : Rally In CountertrendIn today's video, I try to highlight the TREND features in the SPY CYcle Pattern data window for all of you to use.
Yesterday, I received a comment from a friend/client asking about the strength in the markets compared to my expectations.
My answer was simple. The SPY Cycle Pattern data window shows Short-Term (ST), Long-Term (LT) trending as well as the Daily/Weekly Bias trends.
Traders should use these to determine the primary trend/direction of price action.
Additionally, I try to add my own thoughts/context related to the market setup/structure. That is where I teach you about the EPP/Cradle patterns and more.
Ideally, my analysis and the SPY Cycle Patterns align with the future price moves in a way that everyone can profit from the highest probability outcomes.
There are times when news or outside forces drive the market trend beyond my expectations and, in some cases, beyond the SPY Cycle Pattern predictions. This recent Trump-Pump rally may be one of those cases.
Either way, I continue to try to deliver the best technical analysis and research I can offer for followers.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
[XAUUSD] Daily Analaysis 12 - 13 May 2025Continuing my mapping in the previous post, H4 GOLD turned out to be stronger and brought GOLD down to support 3195 - 3238. Of course, today's large decline will be followed by a fairly high correction as well. Anticipate GOLD which will correct to the previous low at 3282.
With the confirmed downtrend pattern, the SELL Area 3262 - 3290 is worthy of our SELL position again.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.455 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 32.035.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Selloff Continues as US–China 90-Day Deal Adds PressureGold did not respond well to the new 90-day deal between China and the U.S. On top of the India–Pakistan ceasefire, starting Ukraine–Russia ceasefire negotiations, Hamas–U.S. talks, and nuclear discussions with Iran, several developments are reducing global risk and weakening safe haven demand.
Many fundamental factors are starting to turn against gold. One of the key signs is the heavy profit-taking seen in the "managed money" positions in the COT report in the last several weeks. These developments are now starting to show in the price action.
The "weak double top" pattern, which is one of gold’s go-to reversal signals at major tops, gave the first warning. Since then, local support levels have been falling one by one. Gold is now testing the 3,200 level, which is expected to act as support. However, if this level breaks, the next target could be in the 3,145–3,170 range. The main medium-term target for a deeper correction remains around 3,000.
For any strong upward reaction, bulls should watch the 3,270–3,290 zone. If gold bounces from 3,200, this area could offer strong resistance and potentially cap further upside.
Gold falls after FED news, cautious buying powerWorld gold prices retreated to $3,370/ounce, down more than $25 from last night's peak. The H4 chart shows a sharp decline that broke through the EMA34, currently testing the EMA89 - a signal that profit-taking pressure is increasing after the previous strong bounce.
The FED kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25% - 4.5% range, as expected. However, Chairman Jerome Powell's "wait and see" statement made investors pause buying gold due to concerns that prolonged high interest rates will continue to put pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. In addition, the rise in international stocks and China's money pumping policy have reduced the attractiveness of this safe haven.
Gold Price Action (TRAP)Gold has been respecting a clear descending channel on the 1H timeframe. After a strong bullish impulse, price has been consolidating within this structured decline, showing lower highs and lower lows. But something interesting is happening now...
🔍 Current Observations:
Price remains within the lower boundary of the descending channel — showing signs of compression.
Volume spike detected near recent lows while candles remain relatively small in range.
This is a classic “Volume > Price” divergence, often associated with smart money absorption or hidden accumulation.
💡 What This May Mean:
Despite the bearish structure:
The increase in volume without new strong lows could indicate that institutional players (smart money) are absorbing sell orders from retail traders.
These setups can often lead to a sharp upward breakout, especially if the price closes above the channel midline or recent swing high.
📌 What to Watch:
A confirmed break above the channel (preferably with strong volume) would validate a potential reversal.
Support remains fragile around the lower boundary. Failure to hold may trigger a final flush or fake-out before reversal.
🔔 Strategy Ideas:
⚠️ Don't jump in early — wait for a clean breakout candle with follow-through.
✅ Look for confirmation like:
Bullish engulfing at key support
Volume spike + breakout of last 1–2 candle highs
Break of descending trendline with a close
🧠 Final Thought:
This may be a smart money trap setup — where institutions accumulate just before the trend turns. Keep your eyes on volume + structure for the clearest signals.
Weekly Market Forecast: Wait For BUYS! Stock Indices and GoldIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May12 - 16th.
The Stock Indices were sluggish last week, holding at support. Wait for a market structure shift to the upside to confirm buys.
Gold and Silver may move higher, as India and Pakistan, Gaza and Ukraine are increasingly troublesome.
CPI Data on Tuesday. This could be a strong market mover.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Rebound or reversal? Analysis of gold trend on Monday🗞News side:
1. The India-Pakistan conflict escalates again
2. The progress of China-US negotiations
📈Technical aspects:
On Friday, we judged that the gold price trend may form a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 line, while the 3450 level above constitutes a significant double-top structure resistance level. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through the important support platform. The K-line on the current day continues to adjust with a shadow line, and the oscillating rhythm of alternating yin and yang is in line with the characteristics of technical corrections. At the beginning of the week, it is recommended to maintain the operation idea of high altitude, low and long
1.🎁BUY 3320-3325, SL 3312, TP 3360-3380
2.🎁SELL 3355-3360, SL 3368, TP 3320-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold’s Showdown: Bulls vs. Bears at the Make or Break Level🚀 Gold on the Edge: Breakout or Fakeout?
Alright, gather around, folks. Gold’s approaching that ⚔️ Make or Break Level, and this is where things get spicy. It’s like watching two fighters square up—you know something big is about to happen.
💡 Why This Level Matters
We’re at the spot where bulls and bears are throwing shade and maybe a few punches. This level isn’t just another line on the chart; it’s the VIP zone where momentum either takes off or taps out.
Right now, we’re leaning bullish—especially if Gold punches through and holds above this zone. We’re looking for a breakout that could take us toward 3,380, maybe even 3,420 if the party keeps going.
But… if the bears win this round and push back, we’re eyeing 3,288 as a second chance for buyers. Think of it as a rebound opportunity—if Gold stabilizes there, it could still be game on for the bulls.
📝 Our Playbook:
Breakout confirmed? Ride the momentum.
Fakeout rejection? Watch for buys at 3,288—a possible second chance for the bulls.
Stay sharp and react—no hero moves. We’re letting the price action decide.
Your thoughts? Bullish or bearish on Gold at this level? 🐂🐻
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025🔍 Daily Structure Summary:
After rejecting from the ATH zone (3500), price formed a corrective wave, with a clean bullish reaction from 3284–3292, now confirmed on Daily.
Friday’s daily candle closed bullish, forming a strong wick rejection from demand, indicating buy-side interest around 3290.
EMAs show price still in a pullback phase, with EMA21 and EMA50 overhead acting as dynamic resistance (~3360–3380).
📌 Key Daily Zones & Levels
Zone / Level Description
3448–3500 🔺 Premium Supply Zone – major rejection area (same as Weekly top)
3380–3395 🔁 Daily FVG + EMA confluence – near-term resistance zone
3340–3360 🔁 Old support → new resistance – possible rejection if unconfirmed
3284–3292 ✅ Confirmed Demand – recent bounce and bullish PA
3250–3265 🔵 Last defense zone – if this breaks, 3220 may be exposed
3220–3235 🔵 Major Daily Demand – matches Weekly BOS and potential reversal zone
📈 Current Price Action Notes:
Price is pushing away from 3290, aiming toward 3340–3360, where we may see the first intraday test of resistance.
A clean break above 3360 would open space toward 3380–3395, where FVG and EMA50 could slow price.
If price fails to hold above 3290, it may revisit 3250–3265 for a deeper liquidity sweep.
🧠 Flow Outlook for Monday:
Bullish scenario:
Price holds above 3290 and forms higher low → potential to reach 3360–3380 intraday. If that breaks, we target 3395.
Bearish scenario:
If we reject below 3340 and lose 3290 again, price may head back toward 3250–3235 for stronger demand testing.
📌 Summary of Levels (For May 12):
Type Price Zones Notes
Resistance 3448–3500 Premium HTF rejection zone
3380–3395 FVG + EMA confluence
3340–3360 Near-term intraday resistance
Support 3284–3292 Daily demand, bullish reaction confirmed
3250–3265 Key intraday demand & bounce zone
3220–3235 HTF daily demand + structure base
Gold: Potential Bullish Reversal Setup on XAU/USD from QML ZoneHello guys!
What I see:
QML in Lower Time Frame:
Price is currently testing a QML zone from a lower timeframe (marked in light blue).
This area aligns with a significant reaction point, suggesting institutional interest.
QML in Higher Time Frame:
Below this lies a higher timeframe QML, acting as a secondary support.
This adds confluence for a potential strong bullish rejection if the price dips further.
Engulfed Level:
A previously engulfed resistance level has been marked, showing where sellers lost control.
Price returning toward this area with reduced momentum indicates possible accumulation.
Targets Identified:
Multiple target levels are projected with an ascending structure.
These align with liquidity pools above recent highs, suggesting buy-side liquidity engineering.
Market Structure:
Current price behavior suggests the formation of higher lows and potential bullish continuation.
A corrective move into the QML zone could spark a strong impulsive leg upward.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – May 12–17, 2025High Timeframe Bias: Bullish with active pullback under premium supply
🔍 Macro Structure Insight:
Market structure remains bullish on Weekly, with a recent ATH at ~3500.
Price showed a strong rejection from the 3448–3500 premium supply zone but found support near 3284–3292.
We are currently in a retracement phase, and the next few candles will determine if it’s a reload or deeper correction.
📌 Key Weekly Structural Zones
Zone / Level Description
3500 ✅ ATH – liquidity sweep & rejection
3448–3500 🔺 Premium Weekly Supply – key rejection zone
3380–3395 🔁 Weekly FVG – potential short-term resistance
3284–3292 🔵 Fresh Support – demand reaction after daily wick bounce
3220–3250 🔵 HTF Weekly Demand – equilibrium & previous BOS zone
3120–3150 ❗ Critical Support – losing this would break bullish structure
📈 Fibonacci Weekly Extension Zones (Above ATH – 2285 → 3500 Leg)
Extension Level Target Price Description
1.0 3500 Current ATH
1.12 3560 First minor extension
1.18 3590 Shallow breakout target
1.236 3620 Key fibo confluence zone
1.272 3645 Round-level + breakout magnet
1.33 3680 Sentiment shift potential
1.414 3720 Major HTF fibo extension
1.5 3760 Mid-range round milestone
1.618 3800–3820 Golden extension + HTF magnet zone
🔁 Scenarios for This Week:
Bullish Continuation:
If 3284–3250 holds as a higher low → market may aim for 3380–3395, then test 3448–3500 again.
Breaking above ATH could trigger targets toward 3560 → 3590 → 3645.
Bearish Retracement:
If price breaks below 3250, a deeper move toward 3120–3150 could begin. This would threaten the weekly bullish leg.
⚠️ Watch for:
Weekly close below 3250 = short-term bearish shift
Push and hold above 3360–3380 = signs of bullish continuation
Rejection from 3448–3500 again = potential double-top liquidity trap
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Confirmed – Bulls Eye Higher TargetHello guys!
Gold has successfully broken above the key resistance level marked as the breakout level, confirming bullish momentum. This breakout follows a clear bullish divergence, indicating a reversal from the recent downtrend. The strong upward movement suggests increased buyer interest and continuation potential.
Two bullish scenarios are in play:
Scenario 1: Price continues upward from the current breakout zone without a retest, targeting the next resistance area around $3,440–$3,470.
Scenario 2: A pullback to the breakout level or the demand zone near $3,325–$3,340, followed by a bullish continuation.
What I see:
✅ Bullish divergence identified at the recent low
✅ Breakout from a significant resistance level
📈 Momentum favors continued upside
GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role.
On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise.
However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution.
Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385
Support levels: 3319, 3269
The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319.
Best regards, R. Linda!