XAUUSD:26/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2950, support below 2892-2888
1-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2905
Gold operation suggestions: The moving average system of each period shows a short arrangement (suppression by the 30-minute and 4-hour moving averages), but the long-term moving averages at the daily level (100/200-day moving averages) are still upward, limiting the deep decline space.
The RSI indicator is close to the oversold area on the 4-hour chart, but has not yet formed a clear bottom divergence, so be alert to the demand for rebound correction.
Today's market is likely to run in the 2800-2936 range. If the gold price rebounds to around 2936 and encounters resistance, you can try to sell. You can buy after stabilizing near 2890, but be careful of the extreme decline after falling below 2888.
Buy: 2930~2936
Sell: 2890near
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Metals
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend.
After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation.
Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ.
It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends.
BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support.
This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support.
Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place.
Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom.
Get some today.
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GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2949.5 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 2954.4
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2940.5
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Copper is gonna to complete the 2nd leg??Hi all trading lovers and copper buyers...
Seems that after BREAKOUT from Descending Triangle and Pullback to breakout level, price is going to complete the 2nd BULLISH Leg in Weekly uptrend with a round level target (5.5555)...
(Pullback could be a bit deeper...)
PLEASE NOTE THAT IS ONLY AN ANALYSIS AND COULD BE WRONG...
MARKET IS BASED ON POSSIBILITIES AND UNCERTAINTIES...
MANAGE YOUR RISK...
#Forex #Trading #Analysis #Copper #Chart #Spike #Wedge #Uptrend
GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,912.567.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,929.572 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold breaks out of consolidation, facing bearish pressureGold has officially exited its previous consolidation phase, experiencing a sharp decline from the $2,950 region and reaching a low near $2,878. The breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has triggered increased selling pressure, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Currently, gold is making a slight recovery, trading around $2,919. However, the bearish trend remains dominant, leaving the price vulnerable to further downside moves. If gold fails to reclaim the $2,930 - $2,940 zone, the downward momentum may persist, targeting $2,905 as the first support level, with a potential extension toward $2,879.
Wishing you successful trades!
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (UPDATE)HUGE, HUGE drop of 650 PIPS today on Gold! Price action has been beautiful. Completion of Wave 5 of the EW Theory, followed by a much needed correction.
I’ll be keeping an eye as Gold has now rejected a minor support zone of $2,889. I’ll keep you updated if further upside can resume.
Intraday Setup, Resistance Holds! Will Gold Drop Further?🔹Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart
▪️ Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: 2,926.704 USD (Marked in red)
- 1st Target (Support Level): 2,899.780 USD
- 2nd Target (Support Level): 2,880.499 USD
▪️Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone & Potential Rejection:
- The red-shaded area highlights a strong resistance zone around 2,926.704 USD.
- Historically, price has struggled to break above this level, indicating a supply zone where sellers are active.
- The price attempted to break this area but faced rejection, signaling bearish pressure.
2. Projected Price Action:
- The chart suggests that if price retests the resistance zone and fails to break above it, a further downside move is expected.
- A lower high formation within this zone would confirm a continuation of the downtrend.
3. Bearish Targets:
- First target: 2,899.780 USD (Key support level)
- Second target: 2,880.499 USD (Stronger support, potential bounce zone)
4. Volume Analysis:
- The volume bars at the bottom indicate selling momentum is increasing, supporting the bearish outlook.
🔹Conclusion:
- Bearish Bias: If the price fails to break the 2,926.704 resistance, a drop towards 2,899.780 and potentially 2,880.499 is likely.
- Invalidation: A clear breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario, potentially leading to a bullish push towards higher levels.
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XAUUSD UPDATED VIDEO ANALYSIS XAU/USD Analysis for 21 February 2025
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the factors influencing Gold (XAU/USD) for tomorrow, based on technical and fundamental insights from recent market data and forecasts:
1. Technical Analysis & Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at 2,940–2,943 USD (record high observed on 19 February)
A breakout above this zone could target 2,970 USD (next psychological barrier) or even 3,030 USD (Triangle pattern completion)
Support Levels:
Critical support at 2,887–2,906 USD. A drop below this range might trigger a deeper correction toward 2,850 USD
Indicators:
RSI (54.58): Neutral but leaning bullish.
MACD & Williams %R: Buy signals
Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought, suggesting short-term correction risks, though the broader uptrend remains intact
2. Fundamental Drivers
Fed Minutes Impact:
The release of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes (scheduled for 19–20 February) is critical. A hawkish tone (e.g., delays in rate cuts) could strengthen the USD, pressuring Gold. Conversely, dovish hints may fuel bullish momentum
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing US-Russia negotiations over Ukraine and Trump’s renewed tariff threats (e.g., 25%+ tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors) may sustain safe-haven demand for Gold
Dollar Dynamics:
The inverse correlation between XAU/USD and the USD remains pivotal. A weaker dollar (due to risk-off sentiment or Fed easing expectations) could propel Gold higher
3. Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Case:
A sustained break above 2,943 USD confirms the Triangle pattern breakout, targeting 3,030 USD
Continued safe-haven demand (geopolitical risks, tariffs) and dovish Fed signals may drive prices higher
Bearish Risks:
Failure to hold 2,900 USD support could trigger a correction toward 2,850 USD
Hawkish Fed rhetoric or USD strength (e.g., strong economic data) may cap gains
4. Strategic Takeaways
Entry Points:
Long positions: Consider buying on dips near 2,900–2,877 USD with a stop loss below 2,850 USD
Short-term traders: Target 2,970 USD if resistance at 2,943 USD breaks
Risk Management:
Monitor Fed Minutes and USD volatility. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically based on news flow
Conclusion
Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging. However, tomorrow’s Fed Minutes will be pivotal in determining short-term momentum. A breakout above 2,943 USD opens the door to new highs, while a breakdown below 2,900 USD signals profit-taking or a deeper correction. Traders should align positions with technical levels and news-driven volatility.
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GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next?
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery.
While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942
Support: 2,905 – 2,888
At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios:
A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound.
A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend.
If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum.
Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
Gold Price Update – Bearish BreakoutGold has broken out of its previous sideway range, falling sharply from the $2,950 zone and reaching a low near $2,878. The breakout from the ascending trendline has intensified selling pressure, confirming a bearish shift in momentum.
Currently, gold is attempting a slight recovery, trading around $2,919, but it remains vulnerable to further downside moves. If the price fails to reclaim the $2,930 - $2,940 zone, the bearish structure will likely persist, pushing the price towards Target 1 at $2,896 and possibly extending to Target 2 near $2,878.
Good luck to you <3
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 29.766 level.
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Gold short-term trading direction todayGold fell below the MA10-day moving average at 2923 for the first time since January 6. The gold price in the NY market plunged sharply, hitting a low of 2988 and closing with a big negative on the daily line. Currently, the gold price is running below the MA10/7-day moving average at 2923/2930. Although the price broke through the 10-day moving average for the first time, the daily line has not yet formed a dead cross. It is necessary to pay attention to the repeated shocks and consolidation of the price at a high level!
The daily RSI indicator turned downward after the top divergence, and the price fell back to the middle track of the Bollinger band at 2888. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average formed a dead cross at 2937 and opened downward. The RSI indicator returned to the bottom of the central axis, and the price was running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger band, and the Bollinger band opened downward. The main idea of gold is still to sell at a rebound high, supplemented by buying at a low price.
From the current market perspective, gold prices are still consolidating at high levels within the range, and the relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart remains above 70, suggesting that the market may be slightly overbought. This may make market participants cautious about long bets on gold in the short term, further continuing the current range-bound trend.
Gold has been consolidating strongly at high levels for two weeks, and the original operating range was between 2860 and 2940. Although the MACD is about to form a dead cross trend at a high level, this is not enough to clearly indicate that it will peak in the short term, because the first condition is to break the 10-day moving average, and the second is to lose 2860 before it can officially peak and end this round of strong unilateral pull-up. Pay attention to the 2900-2903 area for support below. If it stabilizes here, it will continue to look up to 2925 or continue higher. Secondly, focus on the vicinity of 2888 and continue to buy and participate.
Key points:
First support: 2912, second support: 2903, third support: 2891
First resistance: 2930, second resistance: 2943, third resistance: 2950
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2900-2903, stop: 2892, target: 2920-2930;
Sell: 2937-2940, stop: 2948, target: 2920-2910;
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2911.0 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 2925.4
Recommended Stop Loss - 2903.3
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
MASSIVE Bull Run Pending for Gold!!!Been looking for this drop! Waiting for a great entry for a bullish swing. Price looks like it might have made lows right at a H4 Gap but there is a larger one lower that I want to wait and see if they go for. I'm just not interested in a Long until I see price sweep the recent lows first.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower, continuing its selling pressure. The index quickly dropped to the lower boundary of a large range, touching the 120-day moving average. The daily MACD has formed a bearish crossover with the signal line, confirming the downtrend, and the index has now reached a potential support zone near previous lows. Yesterday provided a short opportunity at the 5-day moving average, and since there was no meaningful rebound, the gap between price and the 5-day MA has widened significantly. This suggests that a short-term technical bounce could occur based on intraday movements.
However, given the strong selling momentum on the daily chart, even if the market consolidates for a few days, further downside remains likely. If considering long positions, strict stop-loss management is essential. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues to dominate, with both the MACD and signal line dropping sharply below the zero line. Comparing this to past price action near 20,763, the current MACD decline is even steeper, meaning that even if a short-term bounce occurs, the MACD is unlikely to recover back above zero easily. Overall, selling into rallies remains the preferred strategy, but traders should watch for intraday bottoming signals, as a bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, weighed down by concerns over slowing consumer demand. On the daily chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the break below $70 has now confirmed a potential breakdown. Since $70 had been a key support/resistance level, the break below it suggests further downside risk. Today, a shorting opportunity may arise at the 3-day moving average, in line with technical retracement principles. However, the $66–67 range remains a strong support zone, so traders should monitor whether selling pressure is strong enough to push prices below this area. Since the MACD is turning sharply downward, and price action is forming a large bearish candle, the best strategy remains shorting into rallies near the 3-day MA.
On the 240-minute chart, a third bearish wave has developed, leading to an accelerated decline. Aside from potential buying at key support levels on the daily chart, selling into rallies remains the most favorable approach. Given that inventory data will be released today, traders should be cautious of increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle as the Consumer Confidence Index fell. Yesterday, gold was at a crossroads between a buy and sell signal, and with this bearish breakout, the sell signal is now confirmed. For now, gold is likely to trade within a broad range, as the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated from the zero line. This suggests that while further downside is possible, periodic rebounds should also be expected.
Since gold has now fallen below the 10-day moving average and reached the 20-day MA, traders should treat the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day MAs as key resistance levels, while the 20-day, 30-day, and 60-day MAs serve as support levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below zero, with the signal line following downward. This reinforces a range-bound trading strategy, focusing on buying at major support levels while keeping in mind potential rebounds.
By analyzing the daily candles, traders can identify potential future scenarios for Nasdaq, oil, and gold. This is why daily and intraday technical analysis is essential. Additionally, NVIDIA’s earnings report will be released tonight, which could introduce further market volatility. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day!
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For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakdown from Flat Range? Hello traders
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 2H Chart Analysis
🔍 Market Insights:
🔹 Uptrend Channel Breakout: Gold was trending in a bullish channel but broke out and transitioned into a flat consolidation.
🔹 Flat Price Action: After multiple rejections at the top, price has failed to continue the bullish momentum.
🔹 Potential Breakdown: The price is now showing bearish momentum and could test the $2,880 support level.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960 (Flat Range Top)
✅ Support: $2,880 (Key Support) & $2,760 (Major Support)
📊 Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to reclaim $2,925, we may see a drop to $2,880, and potentially $2,760 if bearish pressure continues.
📌 Reversal Opportunity: A bounce from $2,880 could lead to a retest of the upper range near $2,950.
💬 Will gold break down further or find support for another push higher? Let me know in the comments! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback?Hello, Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on gold?
Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with each downturn providing a buying opportunity inside the trend.
The ideal strategy at this point is to wait patiently for a price pullback to support levels before starting a buy position.
Another method is to wait for a break above the most recent high before buying on a pullback to the broken level.
The bullish trend continues, but trades must be performed with correct risk management and confirmation indications.
What is your opinion on gold? Do you anticipate further growth?
🚀 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback? 🔥
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis
🔍 Market Insights:
🔹 Strong Uptrend: Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, respecting the ascending trendline.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone: The $2,945 - $2,960 area has been acting as a supply zone (black box).
🔹 Fibonacci Support: Price recently tested the 0.236 Fib levels ($2,902 & $2,871), which align with a key demand zone (yellow box).
📈 Two Potential Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Breakout: If price holds above the trendline & reclaims resistance, we may see a breakout towards $2,980 - $3,000 🚀.
📌 Deeper Pullback: If support breaks, we could see a correction to $2,875 - $2,850 before a stronger reversal.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: $2,902 - $2,871 (Fib Levels & Trendline)
✅ Resistance: $2,945 - $2,960 (Supply Zone)
💬 Do you think gold will break out or dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
4 reasons that Gold may have peaked: Gold can thrive on uncertainty, and for the past three years, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been a key driver. However, recent developments hopefully suggest a possible shift toward peace. While a complete resolution is uncertain, the beginning of peace talks, no matter how flawed they appear, could weaken gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold benefits from lower interest rates, as it competes with yield-bearing assets like bonds. Earlier in the year, markets expected the Federal Reserve to cut rates aggressively. However, recent economic data and Trump’s economic policies mean inflation could be a greater concern than initially thought. This has led to doubts about how quickly the Fed will ease policy. If rate cuts are delayed or scaled back, gold’s upside could be limited.
Gold and Bitcoin are seen as alternative stores of value. Bitcoin has recently fallen about 20% from its highs. This could suggest a broader shift in risk sentiment, potentially impacting gold if investors move back into the U.S. dollar or other assets.
Markets initially expected Trump to push aggressive tariffs, which would have fueled inflation and boosted gold. However, so far, his rhetoric has been more meandering than expected, with only a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. If markets believe that Trump’s trade policies will be less disruptive than previously thought, gold loses a key bullish narrative.
2.28 Gold Trading Strategy Analysis
On Thursday (February 27), gold accelerated its decline and once lost the 2870 mark, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while investors awaited key inflation reports to assess the Fed's policy path. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.6%, further away from the recent 11-week low, after U.S. President Trump's vague promise to impose tariffs on the European Union and further postponement of tariffs on Canada and Mexico caused market volatility. Trump said on Tuesday that "the 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico will take effect as planned on March 4", and on Wednesday he changed his words and said "it may be postponed to April 2", while threatening to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. The dollar rose slightly as U.S. President Trump's recent remarks on his trade policy plans have increased market uncertainty.
Despite the rebound in the dollar, the market is still betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year (the first in July and the second in October) due to increasing concerns about economic slowdown. The U.S. consumer confidence index plummeted to 98.3 on Tuesday (expected 102.5), the biggest drop since August 2021. The rebound in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has reduced the appeal of non-yielding gold. A slight recovery in the dollar and Treasury yields has weighed on gold to some extent, but the overall uptrend in gold remains intact. Several Fed officials will speak later in the day to provide the market with more insights into possible rate cuts by the Fed this year. The market will next focus on the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, which will be released on Friday. According to a Reuters poll, the market generally expects the monthly PCE index to be 0.3%, the same as in December 2024. The market is currently very sensitive to growth concerns, especially after last week's dismal U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. If the PCE result is stronger than expected and suggests that the Fed will not cut interest rates in the near future, it may have a negative impact on gold. Gold is seen as a safe haven against political risks and inflation, but higher interest rates will reduce the appeal of this non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, Russian and American diplomats will hold talks in Istanbul aimed at resuming their respective diplomatic missions, which is seen as a step towards ending the war in Ukraine.
Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: Gold finally fell. From the trading strategy of last weekend, our team has been reminding people to pay attention to this week's big waterfall. Traders who follow our trading strategy have made enough profits. The whole day has been emphasizing that the top structure of gold has been built. Today, gold fell like a waterfall, breaking through the 2870 support line, and the top pattern was officially established. Gold is getting weaker and weaker, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward to form a dead cross. Gold has refreshed its low again. Gold's downward space has opened up again. Gold shorts have just begun, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebound shorting as the main strategy for short-term gold operations today, and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2888-2890 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2830-2834 support line.
Platinum at Key Support Zone – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant support zone, marked by prior price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in.
If the price confirms support within this zone through bullish price action—such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles—we could see a reversal toward 978.700, a logical target based on previous market structure and price behavior.
However, if the price breaks below this support zone and sustains, the bullish outlook would be invalidated, potentially leading to further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 2888.5
Stop Loss - 2882.1
Take Profit - 2904.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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