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GOLD → False breakdown 3310. Consolidation ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of support at 3310, thereby confirming the boundaries of the trading range. The dollar is testing strong resistance within the global downtrend. And in the near future, we can expect more economic news... Gold is trading below the key resistance level of $3345, remaining in a narrow range ahead of the Fed's decision and US GDP data for Q2. Weak data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support gold, while strong data would strengthen the dollar. The Fed is likely to keep rates at 4.25–4.5%, with markets pricing in a 64% chance of a 25 bps cut in September. Investors are waiting for signals from Jerome Powell, with a possible split within the Fed: some members may support calls for easing, which would be a driver for gold. Technically, the situation on D1 is quite interesting. Gold is still below the previously broken trend resistance, but there is no continuation of the momentum. Buyers are reacting to support at 3310, but the market is stagnating due to uncertainty ahead of the news... Resistance levels: 3345, 3375 Support levels: 3320, 3310, 3287 Thus, from a technical analysis perspective, I expect a retest of 3345, followed by a pullback to support at 3320, from which gold could move higher (if the bulls take the initiative), but if 3320 breaks and 3310 comes under pressure, gold could test 3287. Again, the emphasis is on trend support (the upward line) in the 3335-33450 zone. If the price can consolidate in this zone, we will have confirmation that the price has returned to the boundaries of the upward trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
17
GOLD recovers after many days of declineOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered after several days of declines. Investors will focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday, which is expected to cause significant market volatility. Gold hit a three-week low of $3,301 an ounce on Monday, before recovering somewhat on Tuesday after falling for a fourth straight day as the dollar erased some of its earlier gains, boosting demand for the precious metal. Falling US Treasury yields and a weak US jobs report also prompted investors to buy gold. Data released by the U.S. Labor Department on Tuesday showed the number of jobs added fell in June after two straight months of gains. The number of jobs added in June fell to 7.44 million from a revised 7.71 million in May. The median forecast of economists in a survey was 7.5 million. Focus on the Federal Reserve's decision The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 01:00 IST on Thursday; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference on monetary policy at 01:30 IST on the same day. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, with the focus on whether Fed Chairman Powell's speech will provide any clues about the timing or pace of future rate cuts. The market sees a very low chance of a rate cut in July and a roughly 40% chance of another rate cut in September, up from about 10% last month, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool. Investors will be closely watching the statement and Fed Chairman Powell's remarks at his post-meeting press conference for fresh clues on the timing of the next rate cut. - If Powell opens the door to a rate cut in September, citing the recent trade deal as a reason to ease uncertainty, US Treasury yields could fall immediately, paving the way for gold prices to rise. - On the other hand, if Powell avoids committing to a rate cut at this meeting, citing recent rising inflation data, gold prices could fall. Gold typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments because it does not pay interest and its appeal increases when returns from other assets decline. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered from the key $3,300 price point and is holding above $3,310, which is also the nearest support. However, the current recovery is not technically enough to create a short-term uptrend, or conditions for a sustained price increase. In terms of position, gold is under pressure with the 21-day EMA as the nearest resistance at around $3,340 – $3,350. If gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to open a new downtrend with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. On the other hand, RSI is below 50, and the current 50 level acts as momentum resistance in the short term. If RSI slopes down, it will signal bearish momentum with more downside ahead. For gold to qualify for bullish expectations, it needs to at least push price action above EMA21, then retrace back to the price channels and finally break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level to confirm bullish conditions. The upside target could be towards $3,400 in the short term, more like $3,430 – $3,450. For the day, the technical outlook for gold prices tends to lean more towards the downside, with the following notable points listed. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,340 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3380 →Take Profit 1 3368 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3362 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3280 - 3282⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3276 →Take Profit 1 3288 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3294
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
2
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 3,306.31 1st Support: 3,239.07 1st Resistance: 3,357.09 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Gold price continues sharp declineHello everyone! Do you think gold will rise or fall? Let’s dive into the latest movements of this precious metal. Just as we anticipated in yesterday’s strategy , gold has extended its downward move, with the bears firmly in control. The precious metal is currently trading around 3,290 USD, clearly signaling a short-term downtrend after breaking the ascending trendline that started in early July. Although there was a slight bounce, price remains capped below the key resistance zone of 3,333 – 3,350 USD, which coincides with the confluence of the 0.618 – 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the EMA 34/89 — adding even more downside pressure. The main reason behind this recent drop lies in the easing of trade tensions following the US-EU tariff agreement, which has significantly weakened gold’s safe-haven appeal. At the same time, the FOMC meeting yesterday failed to provide any bullish catalyst for gold. Even though the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, a single hawkish remark from Chair Powell was enough to intensify short-term selling pressure. From a technical perspective, gold attempted to retest the broken trendline but failed, confirming the bearish structure. A new wave of correction could emerge soon, but the overall outlook remains tilted toward further downside. My personal view: Target 1 is at the 1.272 Fibonacci extension. Target 2 lies at the 1.618 Fibonacci level — which could be the next destination. And you — what do you think about this trendline break? Let’s discuss in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
12
How to maintain stable operations before NFP dataYesterday, gold closed the month with a long upper shadow doji candlestick, indicating strong upward pressure, with monthly resistance at 3439-3451. Today marks the beginning of the month, and with the release of numerous data indicators such as NFP, unemployment benefits, and PMI, there is considerable uncertainty, so intraday trading should proceed with caution. Judging from the daily chart, the current MACD indicator is dead cross with large volume, and the smart indicator is running oversold, indicating a low-level fluctuation trend during the day. At present, we need to pay attention to the SMA60 moving average and the daily middle track corresponding to 3327-3337 on the upper side, and pay attention to the intraday low around 3280 on the lower side. The lows of the previous two days at 3275-3268 cannot be ignored. There is a possibility that the low-level oscillation will touch the previous low again. From the 4H chart, technical indicators are currently flat, with no significant short-term fluctuations expected. Low-level volatility is expected to persist within the day. Then just focus on the support near 3275 below and the middle track pressure near 3307 above. Looking at the hourly chart, gold is currently oscillating below the mid-range band, with resistance at 3295-3307 to watch in the short term. Overall, the market is expected to remain volatile before the release of today's data. Based on Wednesday's ADP data, this round of data is also expected to be around $100,000. The contrast between ADP and NFP last time deserves our caution. The current market is basically optimistic about the short-selling situation, which is exactly what I am most worried about. If the gold price can stabilize above 3,300 before the NY data, the possibility of NFP data being bullish cannot be ruled out. Intraday European trading suggestion: if the current gold price falls back to 3285-3280 and stabilizes, you can consider short-term long positions, with the target at 3295-3305. If the gold price tests the low of 3275-3268 again and does not break through, you can consider a second chance to go long. After making a profit of $10-20, you can consider exiting the market with profits. The market is volatile and unstable, so be sure to bring SL with you and pay close attention to the impact of the NFP data. Conservative investors can enter the market after the data is released.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Min Chart Analysis – August 1, 2025Structure Summary: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed after price broke the previous lower high, signaling a potential trend reversal. Price has since formed a bullish falling wedge (blue trendlines), a classic continuation pattern after CHoCH. Volume spikes during reversal attempts suggest accumulation. Trade Setup: Entry: Breakout above wedge resistance. Stop Loss: Below recent swing low near 3280 area (red zone). Target: Around 3315–3320 zone (blue box), aligned with previous demand-turned-supply area. 📌 Outlook: Bullish breakout expected if momentum sustains. Watch for confirmation candle with volume above the wedge. Clean R:R setup with tight SL and wide TP potential. 📊 Technical Bias: Bullish ❗Risk Management: Adjust position size based on lot exposure and account size.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TradingbyTanveer
XAUUSD – the calm before the next breakout?Hello traders, what’s your take on the current trend in OANDA:XAUUSD ? Looking back over the past 12 months, gold has delivered a truly impressive performance. From around $2,380 in August 2024, the precious metal surged to an all-time high of $3,432 by April this year — a gain of more than $1,000 in less than a year. But what’s more telling than the rise itself is how the market behaved afterward: instead of crashing, gold has maintained a high consolidation range, suggesting the uptrend is still very much alive. This powerful rally didn’t happen in isolation. In a world marked by uncertainty, gold has once again asserted its role as a safe-haven asset. Inflation remains persistent across major economies, geopolitical tensions continue to stretch from Eastern Europe to the Middle East and Asia, and de-dollarization efforts by countries like China and Russia are reshaping global capital flows. None of these events alone could shake the markets, but together, they have laid the groundwork for gold’s sustained relevance. From a technical standpoint, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. Following its peak at $3,432, gold has entered a modest correction phase — one that may well be a healthy consolidation before the next directional move. Interestingly, while many investors remain cautious, the chart paints a different story: a market that isn’t afraid, but simply catching its breath. The real question is no longer “Can gold hold above $3,400?” but rather “Is the market gearing up for a fresh breakout — or a deeper correction?” We may not be able to predict the future, but we can observe how price reacts at key levels. And sometimes, it’s in these seemingly quiet phases that the biggest turning points begin to form. What do you think — is gold preparing for another leg up? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
3
GOLD prep work to ATH retap has started. seed at 3270!First thing first. Diagram above is in reverse metrics (USDXAU) -------- GOLD, has been met with some well deserved respite on price growth after a series of parabolic highs this past few weeks. And this healthy trims are warranted in the grand scheme of things -- to sustain its upward trajectory. A price rest is definitely welcomed. Now based on our latest daily metrics, gold is showing some low key hints of shift -- it may not be visible to 99% of traders -- but it is there now to magnify. Diagram above is in reverse metrics (USDXAU). It is currently showing some pressure expansion for bears and hinting of prep work to reverse. This is a precursor of a massive structure change-- for that elusive upside continuation. On the daily metrics, we got some hop signals here as well from -- first one in a while. Price baselines detaching itself from the descending trend line. There maybe something here now. A good zone to seed on the most discounted bargain levels -- with safety. Spotted at 3260. Interim mid target: ATH at 3500 Long term. 4k++ Trade safely. TAYOR.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JSAL
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,311.57. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,369.04 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
Gold: final pullback or bull trap?On the 1H chart, gold (GOLD) is forming a bullish flag after a sharp decline, which may just be a corrective move within a broader downtrend. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3313–$3317 - this area holds the POC, broken trendline, and the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement from the last drop. This is the decision-making zone. If bulls fail to push above it, we expect a move down toward $3268 - the next strong support and potential buy zone, also confirmed by Fibonacci and local demand. Stochastic divergence and slowing volume suggest a possible rebound from that level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3317, this would indicate a local trend reversal, with targets at $3333 and $3374. Watch the $3317 zone closely - bulls have yet to prove this is more than just a bounce.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold Slipping Lower — 3250 and 3200 in Sight!✅ Gold & DXY Update – Post-FOMC Price Action Earlier today, before the U.S. interest rate decision, I released my outlook on both the Dollar Index and gold. In that analysis, I highlighted the DXY’s readiness to move toward the key level of 100 — and as of now, price is actively testing that exact zone, just as expected. As for gold, I repeatedly emphasized the visible weakness on the buy side. It was clear that there were very few remaining buy orders strong enough to hold price up in this region — and that’s exactly what played out. Price has started pushing lower, in line with our expectations. Looking ahead, I believe the first target is 3250, followed by a deeper move toward the liquidity zone and the marked box around 3200, which could act as a key target area in the coming days. 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mehrasfx
2
Gold price analysis July 31XAUUSD – Bearish pressure still prevails, watch for SELL in the direction of the trend Yesterday's session witnessed a strong decline when the D1 candle closed with selling pressure up to 60 prices, forming a key candle that shapes the trend. When the market forms a main candle, the 25% and 50% candle body areas are often important price areas to continue trading in the direction of the main trend. In the current context, the priority strategy will be to sell in the direction of the downtrend when the price rebounds to the resistance areas and there is a rejection signal. 🔹 Important resistance areas: 3301 – 3312 – 3333 🔸 Target support areas: 3285 – 3270 – 3250 🎯 Trading strategy: Prioritize SELLing at the resistance area of 3301–3312 when there is a price reaction (rejection). Target: 3250 BUY only considered when 3313 area is broken decisively. Staying disciplined and sticking to the reaction price zone will be key in the context of the market moving in a clear trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold breaks price channel, officially starts falling✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD price has officially broken the bullish wave structure and broken the bullish channel. A corrective downtrend has begun to form. If there is a pull back to the trendline today, it is considered a good opportunity for sell signals. The liquidity zone 3250 is the target of this corrective downtrend. The 3283 zone also has to wait for confirmation because when the market falls and the momentum of the decline, the number of FOMO sellers will be very strong. The opposite direction is when closing back above 3375, Gold will return to the uptrend. 📉 Key Levels SELL zone 3343-3345 Target: 3250 BUY trigger: Rejection candle 3285 Buy zone: 3251 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VHT_Trader
Gold Faces Strong Rejection Below $3,365 – Bearish Wave Ahead?Gold is currently trading around $3,359, showing signs of exhaustion after climbing from the $3,248 low. The chart illustrates a textbook scenario of channel rejection after testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge and failing to break above the $3,365–$3,392 resistance zone. Price is now hovering just below the diagonal black trendline, indicating a potential lower high formation and setting up for another bearish wave. 📌 Key Technical Highlights Resistance Zone: $3,365–$3,392 This area marks the confluence of the black long-term trendline, the top of the descending purple channel, and the previous high at $3,392. Price attempted a "Possible Retest" as annotated on the chart and is now starting to pull back—showing signs of bearish rejection. Bearish Scenario (Blue Arrows): Multiple downward arrows show likely bearish paths if the current resistance holds. Key short-term targets: $3,337, $3,320, $3,303, Strong support at $3,293–$3,248 Further downside may test extension levels toward $3,220–$3,200 by early August if momentum builds. ⚠️ Bearish Confirmation Criteria Failure to close above $3,365 (black trendline) Breakdown below $3,337 followed by $3,320 Strong selling pressure supported by fundamentals (e.g. USD strength, Fed hawkish stance) ✅ Invalidation / Bullish Outlook A decisive breakout and close above $3,392.73 would invalidate the bearish structure. In that case, targets would shift toward: $3,412, $3,434, $3,490 (long-term trendline intersection) However, today's U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) release adds a layer of volatility and potential trend disruption, making this a high-risk trading day. 📊 CPI News Impact – What to Watch High CPI (Stronger than forecast): - Increases expectations of further Fed tightening → strengthens USD → bearish for gold - Likely scenario: sharp drop toward $3,337 → $3,320 → $3,293 Low CPI (Weaker than forecast): - Signals disinflation → weakens USD → bullish for gold - Possible breakout above $3,365 → retest of $3,392 → if broken, target $3,412 and $3,434 Neutral or as expected CPI: - Likely leads to whipsaw — fakeout on both sides - Caution advised — wait for candle close confirmations post-news Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold’s Biggest Day of 2025: Collapse or New High Incoming?🟡 Gold Pre-FOMC Update | Patience Paid Off In my previous analysis released on Monday, we highlighted the significance of the 3310 key red level on gold. I mentioned that if we got a daily candle close below this zone, it could trigger further downside. That scenario didn’t play out — price closed above 3310, and that’s exactly why we stayed out of any short positions. No guessing, no forcing. Just patience. On the flip side, I also said we need a daily close above 3350 to even consider going long. And as you can see, for the past two days, price has been ranging tightly between 3310 and 3330 — with relatively low trading volume across the board. After 9 years of optimizing this strategy, one core principle remains unchanged: 🛡️ Capital protection and maximum risk control always come first. And I can confidently say — those filters are working beautifully. I hope you’re benefiting from this approach too. Now technically speaking, everything is lining up for a bullish DXY and bearish gold — But tonight’s FOMC meeting and Powell vs. Trump drama will be the final trigger. Let’s watch closely. Smart trading is patient trading. 🧠⚖️ 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer:This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mehrasfx
Short selling remains the main themeGold hit a low of around 3267 yesterday and fluctuated until closing at 3274. Gold fluctuated upward at the opening today. Currently, gold is fluctuating around yesterday's rebound point of 3305. This is the resistance we need to pay attention to in the short term. From the 4H analysis, today's short-term resistance is around 3305-3315. If gold wants to rise, it needs to stabilize above 3315. Focus on the 3335 first-line pressure, and rebound to the 3305-3315 resistance area during the day. You can consider shorting and follow the trend to see the decline unchanged, looking towards 3290-3280. Rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
Roadmap to 3982: Key Long Entries and Profit ZonesThe initial long entry zone is between 3290 and 3275 . From this range, an uptrend is expected to begin, targeting 3416 , which is our first exit point to close the initial long position. After that, we wait for the next long entry , ideally around 3333 to 3319 . A new upward movement from this range is expected to reach 3455 . At this level, we continue to hold the position while placing the stop loss at the entry level to protect profits. The next take profit target is 3650 , which may be reached by the end of 2025 or in 2026. The final target is 3982 , which is likely to be hit in 2026, as the market may not have enough strength to reach it in 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,337.68. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,280.02 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1