Donald Trump is supporting gold prices more than any factor FedWorld gold prices increased in the context of the USD's decline. Recorded at 8:45 a.m. on March 10, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies, was at 103.632 points (down 0.17%).
This week, market sentiment has changed significantly compared to last week, especially from the Wall Street experts. In the previous survey, only 21% of experts predicted that gold prices would increase, while 64% said that prices would decrease.
However, this week, the percentage of experts expecting gold to increase jumped to 67%, while only 5% predicted a decrease - a significant change reflecting a reversal in analysts' views.
The percentage of investors predicting gold prices to rise has increased from 45% to 67%, while the number of those expecting prices to fall has decreased from 28% to 18%.
Notably, the number of participants in this week's survey reached 251 people - the highest level in 2025, showing greater investor interest in the gold market.
Jim Wyckoff - senior analyst at Kitco - affirmed that gold prices will continue to maintain an upward trend thanks to increasing geopolitical instability. "The gold price trend remains steady, thanks to positive technical indicators and increasing geopolitical uncertainties, especially the impact of the US President Donald Trump's administration."
Metals
XAU/USD 4H Analysis: Key Support, Resistance & Breakout TargetsKey Levels Identified:
Support Zone (~2,875-2,885) 🟣
This is a strong area where price previously bounced.
If price falls below this level, it could drop further toward the next support.
Resistance Zone (~2,915-2,925) 🟣
Price is currently consolidating around this level.
A breakout above resistance could push the price toward the target.
Target (~2,950) 🎯
If the price breaks above resistance, the next key level is around 2,950.
Potential Scenarios:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks above resistance, expect an upward move toward the target (2,950).
Confirmation would come with strong volume and bullish candlestick patterns.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold above support, a drop toward 2,825-2,835 is possible.
A strong bearish candle closing below support would confirm this move.
Current Trend:
The price has been moving in a sideways consolidation between support and resistance.
Watch for a breakout in either direction for the next big move.
Gold H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,893.52 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,875.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 2,927.81 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold is expected to break out of the current rangeThe daily chart shows that the international gold price has fallen into a high-level shock consolidation trend after rebounding from a one-month low. The current price is repeatedly sawing in the 2900-2930 range, and the market's long and short forces tend to be balanced. Technical indicators show subtle differentiation: the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a dead cross and then turn upward, suggesting that there are signs of stabilization in the short term; the momentum of the MACD indicator candle chart continues to shrink, but the dead cross rhythm has slowed down; the KDJ indicator forms a low-level golden cross, and the RSI indicator rebounds from the oversold area, indicating that market sentiment is turning from pessimism to cautious optimism. However, the upper 2930 area gathers multiple pressures-this position is both the rebound high last Friday and the key resistance level of the previous failed breakthrough, suppressing the further upward space of gold prices.
In terms of fundamentals, the US non-farm payrolls data in February was unexpectedly lower than expected, reinforcing the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates this year. Historical experience shows that interest rate cut cycles are often beneficial to interest-free assets such as gold, which provides medium- and long-term support for gold prices. But in the short term, the market still needs to wait for more economic data to verify the Fed's policy stance. During this period, gold prices are more susceptible to fluctuations in the US dollar index and changes in US bond yields.
Focus on the key support level of 2900 above $2930 as the primary pressure target. If US economic data continues to weaken, gold prices are expected to break through the current range of fluctuations and retest last year's highs. Operational advice: Go long near 2905-2910, target 2915-2920.
GC - Golden Rocketship To The U-MLHWe got on the Rocket-Ship earlier and took profit.
If you're still in with a position, or if you can manage to get in with a decent Risk/Reward, you may want to aim for the U-MLH.
The Stars look good and profits are twinkling §8-)
If the 1/4 line is cracked, we will see a follow-through.
GOLD falls slightly as Dollar recovers, news, main trendsOANDA:XAUUSD has just dropped to around $2,912/ounce, down nearly $10 from the intraday high of $2,918/ounce reached earlier in the session.
The recovery of the US Dollar can be seen as the current pressure causing gold prices to slightly decline from the intraday high.
Overview of data and event news
The Labor Department report showed the U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in February, compared with economists polled by Reuters who expected a gain of 160,000, and the unemployment rate was 4.1%, compared with expectations of 4%.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said early Friday that the Fed would take a cautious approach to easing monetary policy, adding that the economy “remains in good shape.”
While gold is a hedge against inflation, rising interest rates could reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion.
The market is now expecting the Fed to continue cutting interest rates starting in June, with a total of 76 basis points of interest rate cuts over the rest of the year.
Market attention is focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. In addition, inflation reports and retail sales data will also provide additional guidance for market trends in general and the gold market in particular.
On the daily chart, gold is generally still in the accumulation phase with the positioning conditions tilted towards the upside.
The short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel, while the nearest support is the EMA21 and the technical level of 2,900 USD. At the raw price point of 2,900 USD, it also created significant price increases in the last 2 days of the weekend.
The relative strength index is facing some resistance from the 61 level noted in the previous issue, where once the RSI breaks this level it will continue to head towards the oversold zone which is a signal that will facilitate the possibility of gold price increasing in terms of momentum.
In the coming time, as long as gold remains above 2,900 USD, it will still tend to be bullish in the short term, and the target continues to be the all-time high or higher.
The notable technical price points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868 USD
Resistance: 2,929 – 2,942 – 2,956 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2956 - 2954⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2960
→Take Profit 1 2948
↨
→Take Profit 2 2942
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2877 - 2879⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2873
→Take Profit 1 2885
↨
→Take Profit 2 2891
Gold maintains box oscillation structureSpot gold fluctuated in a narrow range in early Asian trading on Monday, currently trading around $2,911 per ounce. Gold prices had fluctuated at high levels for three consecutive trading days, but still rose 1.85% on a weekly basis, helped by safe-haven inflows and a U.S. jobs report showing lower-than-expected job growth in February, suggesting that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates this year. In addition, the volatile tariff policy of U.S. President Trump has also increased market uncertainty.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said earlier on Friday that the Fed will be cautious about easing monetary policy, adding that the economy is "still in good shape" at the moment.
The easing of geopolitical tensions also limited the rise in gold prices, with some progress in a possible ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia. In the Middle East, U.S. President Trump continued to pressure Hamas to release hostages. Meanwhile, according to the World Gold Council, the People's Bank of China continued to buy gold. The People's Bank of China increased its holdings by 10 tons of gold in the first two months of 2025. However, the largest buyer was the Polish central bank, which added 29 tons of gold reserves, the largest purchase since it bought 95 tons of gold in June 2019.
Overall, the rise in gold prices last week once again highlighted its importance as a safe-haven asset. Although the market may face consolidation in the short term, geopolitical risks, inflation concerns and uncertainty about the Fed's policy will continue to support gold demand. The focus of the market is on the upcoming Fed meeting. In addition, inflation reports and retail sales data will also provide more clues to the market.
Gold maintains a wide range of shocks. The weekly line continues to maintain an upward trend structure, and the running price retreats above the MA7 daily moving average and closes higher. The daily chart continues to be cross-shaped. Gold rose sharply above the 2930 mark in the late trading and then formed a high-rise fall. It continues to maintain a wide range of shocks at a high level, and the long and short market will not continue to consolidate.
At present, the MA10/7 daily moving average of the daily chart is at 2902, and the Bollinger Bands are gradually shrinking, with the upper rail at 2956 and the lower rail at 2867. The gold price in the Asian session is at the Bollinger Band middle rail price at 2912. The short-term four-hour chart also shows that the Bollinger Bands continue to close the upper rail at 2927 and the lower rail at 2900. The RSI indicator is in the middle axis 50 value consolidation, and the K-line pattern is alternating between long and short cycles.
The Asian session gold price continues the rebound trend of the NFP market. There are only two operating points in the Asian session. One is to wait for the gold price to continue to rise and reach the pressure of the 2930 range to sell, and the other is to wait for the gold price to adjust and reach the 2900 range to buy. However, the rebound is expected to reach the pressure of the upper 2930 line first, so the opportunity for us to go short is greater than that for going long. At present, the gold price is at the middle level of the range and needs to continue to wait!
Key points:
First support: 2903, second support: 2892, third support: 2882
First resistance: 2920, second resistance: 2928, third resistance: 2940
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2903-2905, SL: 2894, TP: 2920-2930;
Sell: 2929-2931, SL: 2940, TP: 2910-2900;
Gold Intraday Expectations Long/BuyGold trading at 2904.xx when we were publishing the analysis.
Gold has challenged PDL 2894 moved below to 2892.xx and bounced sharply to 2905 by now. As per our readings we have 2 important levels today to watch, one is 2992 that is under the consideration that it may break down if gold remains below 2916 and fall towards 2877/2871 can open that can be considered a good buying range/level. On the upside we expect gold can challenge PDH at 2929.
Our analysis suggests fall around 2877/2871 is possible that can be bearish target and from where bounce to 2916/2929 is possible that our Main Goal/Target for now.
Trade as per your plan and if you like our idea do share your feedback.
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (10.03.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2877
2nd Support – 2860
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Gold has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise from here?The price haas bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,859.06
1st Support: 2,790.01
1st Resistance: 2,989.91
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Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, forming a long lower wick as it rebounded. On continuous futures, the index bounced off the 60-week MA, while the daily chart shows a recovery after briefly dropping below the 240-day MA. Looking at the weekly chart, two weeks ago, a large bearish candle decisively broke below a key range, and last week, the Nasdaq failed to break above the 3-week MA, leading to further downside. This week, however, a rebound toward the 5-week MA near 21,050 remains possible.
On the daily chart, the Nasdaq successfully found support near 19,800, forming a potential range-bound structure. Although a technical target exists at the 60-day MA near 21,500, the downtrend remains strong, meaning that a full recovery may take time. Instead of an immediate rally, the Nasdaq may consolidate around the 240-day MA, making a range-trading strategy more effective.
On the 240-minute chart, the Nasdaq formed a bullish divergence, triggered a golden cross, and started to rebound. As long as price continues to base at the lows, further buying attempts may emerge, making chasing short positions risky. This week, traders should monitor Wednesday’s CPI report and Thursday’s PPI report, as both could increase market volatility.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, supported by potential sanctions on Russia. On the weekly chart, oil dropped to the 240-week MA before rebounding, but last week’s bearish close triggered a sell signal. Since this sell signal occurred near the zero line, further downside remains possible, making chasing long positions risky. A key upside level to watch is the 3-week MA at $68, while support is expected around the $66–67 range, where a short-term double-bottom formation could develop.
On the daily chart, if oil continues to rebound, traders should watch for resistance at $68, while stopping out below the $65 previous low remains essential. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, with momentum gradually shifting higher. However, since the gap between the MACD and the zero line remains large, selling pressure could reemerge on rallies. Traders should focus on buying dips at strong support levels while keeping strict stop-loss management in place.
Gold
Gold closed lower, remaining within a range-bound market structure. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report triggered significant volatility, but the daily MACD is now turning downward, increasing the risk of additional selling pressure.
On the weekly chart, gold is forming a long-term consolidation range. If this week’s candle closes lower, the weekly MACD may form a bearish crossover, increasing the likelihood of a negative divergence pattern. This makes chasing long positions riskier.
On the daily chart, despite short-term weakness, the MACD and signal line remain far from the zero line, meaning that intermittent rebound attempts are still possible. For now, the lower Bollinger Band serves as key support, reinforcing a range-bound strategy. On the 240-minute chart, $2,940 has become a strong resistance level, and a sell signal has been triggered. For now, traders should focus on selling into rallies while looking for buying opportunities at lower levels. If gold breaks above $2,940, a third wave of buying momentum could emerge, making it essential to adapt to market conditions dynamically. Gold is also likely to react to Wednesday’s CPI and Thursday’s PPI reports, increasing potential volatility.
U.S. market volatility is rising sharply, as seen in the VIX index, which surged above 22 last week. Using technical tools like VIX analysis, moving averages, and MACD strategies can help improve market navigation. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading week! 🚀
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GOLD → The calm before the NFP torm! What’s next?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within the 2926 - 2894 range, signaling a pause after its recent strong uptrend. If a false support breakdown occurs, the market could quickly revert, especially amid signs of a recovering USD.
However, a weaker dollar and expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift toward easing continue to support gold demand. Despite the temporary suspension of Trump’s tariff measures, the precious metal remains in focus as a safe-haven asset.
Traders are now closely watching the NFP report, which could dictate the dollar’s future trajectory and influence Fed policy decisions. In the short term, attention will be on Initial Jobless Claims data, which may provide early signals about the U.S. labor market.
Technical Outlook
-Gold remains within the 2926 - 2894 range, potentially testing liquidity near the 2894 support zone.
-An unfilled fair value gap (FVG) below 2894 could lead to a brief dip before a rebound.
-Given the bullish long-term trend in gold and the ongoing dollar weakness, the probability of a price recovery remains high.
In this scenario, gold may fake out a breakdown, grab liquidity near support, and then resume its broader uptrend.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD | XAUUSD Weekly Market Forecast: Mar 10-14 In this video, we will analyze the GOLD Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
Gold has consolidated for the last half of the previous week. Trading in a ranging market is not recommended! But waiting until there is an obvious sweep of the high or low liquidity pools can give us an indication which side the market will break the consolidation. Patience and a watchful eye will allow us to take advantage of the momentous opportunity.
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THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would wait for the 2847-50 level to confirm support, and if it did the opportunity to long the market following KOG’s bias level targets would be available to traders. This worked well during the early part of the week as we managed to complete all targets by Tuesday! Once price confirmed encroaching the resistance we decided not to attempt the swing short, instead, trade the choppy range on the indicators which also worked well for traders.
Pre-NFP we released the KOG Report giving the idea to watch the support level 2910, if given the opportunity to long could be available into the higher levels on the boxes. Although we got the pinpoint long, the move did not complete after a 200pip+ capture, not a bad week at all, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot hitting a phenomenal 32 Take profit levels.
Well done again to the community.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
It’s a difficult one to decipher this week with the previous weeks range holding into the close on Friday. We have support below at the 2895 with extension into 2885 and resistance at 2930-35 with extension into the 2945 region. We also have the range high and low which you can see on the chart with a slight incline! For that reason, we would suggest best practice for market open is to wait, wait for price to break out of the range with the key levels here being 2920 which needs to break upside to start the move into the 2935 level and above that 2950-55 which is where we may get that potential swing short opportunity from. Please note, here we need to see a daily close above the 2935 region to continue the move upside, ideally, we want to see tap and bounces from these higher levels.
On the flip, if we see resistance at that 2920 level and get a close below our red box support level 2907-10, we can consider the level to level short trades downside targeting the 2885 and potentially below that 2970-75 for now.
As above we'll keep it simple for now, we can’t magic up an idea and hope for the best, when price accumulates like this, we have a fair idea of what it can do, but we need that set up to pull the trigger. Until that comes we can we'll just simply play the range.
You can see from past KOG Reports how extremely powerful the red boxes we share for free are, they almost play price to perfection. So, lets stick with them and let Excalibur lead the way for this week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2898 with targets above 2920, 2934 and above that 2945
Bearish on break of 2898 with targets below 2895, 2880, 2874 and below that 2868
RED BOXES:
Break above 2916 for 2920, 2925, 2929, 2933 and 2941 in extension of the move
Break below 2900 for 2885, 2876, 2870 and 2868 in extension of the move
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop!
That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend.
We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe
- You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point
- When entered, put stops above subwave B.
- Target: 91 (750pips)
4Week Chart
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
XAG/USD: Dual Paths to Bullish ResolutionSilver's 4-hour chart presents two potential scenarios for price action in the near term. In the first scenario, price could break above the current consolidation around $3,254 and move directly toward the red resistance line at approximately $3,278, as indicated. Alternatively, the second scenario suggests we may first see a deeper retracement toward the lower blue box support zone (around $3,160-$3,180) before finding buyers and resuming the upward movement, as illustrated by the zigzag pattern and second arrow. Both scenarios ultimately project bullish outcomes, with price expected to challenge the upper resistance after completing either path. The recent recovery from the late February lows around $3,080 provides the foundation for this bullish bias, though traders should monitor which scenario unfolds to adjust their entry strategies accordingly.
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SILVER: Short Trading Opportunity
SILVER
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell SILVER
Entry - 3254.1
Stop - 3289.5
Take - 3186.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold strategy layout and operation suggestions for next weekAt present, the international gold price is in a range of fluctuations, and the game between long and short forces in the market has intensified. Technically, the gold price has formed a key suppression at the 2930 line. This position is the starting point of the previous decline. After several unsuccessful attacks, this resistance level has put obvious pressure on the short-term gold price. If it can break through effectively, it may launch an attack on the 2955 mark; on the contrary, if it encounters resistance and falls back, the lower support level will move to the 2900-2895 US dollar area.
Technical indicators release bearish signals:
From the daily chart, the gold price has ended the previous two days of continuous positive rebound and turned into a weak oscillation pattern. The price fluctuation has narrowed to near the middle track of Bollinger, indicating that the market direction is temporarily unclear. However, multiple indicators at the 4-hour level show consistent bearish signals: the KDJ indicator is blunted at a low level to form a clear downward momentum, and the MACD fast and slow lines turn downward and are accompanied by the release of bearish energy, suggesting that the gold price may continue the correction trend. In addition, MA5 and MA10 in the moving average system form a dead cross, further strengthening the short-term bearish expectations.
Gold operation suggestions for next week: short near rebound 2925-2930, stop loss 2938, target 2905