GOLD | Middle East calms down, what about Gold?I’m opening my long-awaited 11th position, and here’s what I think: I haven’t posted here for 4 days, I really didn’t know where Gold was headed. Now, after the latest news and announcements, things are much clearer.
All the current news indicates that the U.S. economy is in good condition, and Middle East conflicts seem to be winding down. The last two days have been incredibly uncertain, but with all the information now available, it’s time to make a decision.
Here’s my position, which is short:
Opening: 2630
Take Profit (TP): 2615
Stop Loss (SL): 2700
There’s still a chance that the bear run over the past two days has already finished and that the market is reversing. But we can clearly see a significant bear flag forming, so my position is based not only on the news but also on patterns right now.
Let’s see how this plays out!
Remember: Don’t risk your entire balance—trade carefully!
Metals
World gold prices recovered this morningWorld gold prices recovered this morning due to increased bottom-fishing demand after this commodity fell from 2,720 USD/ounce last week to near the important support level of 2,600 USD/ounce on the afternoon of November 26. .
Currently, investors are waiting for the minutes of the November FOMC meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) to get more information about the upcoming US monetary policy, thereby determining the direction of gold in the future. coming days.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart.com, said that gold prices may experience short-term downward adjustments. However, in terms of long-term vision, he believes that this precious metal will continue to increase in price.
Managing Director at Bannockburn Global Forex Marc Chandler also believes that it is likely that gold will continue to rise back to the record high set at the end of October and that a price increase to $3,000 by 2025 is inevitable. have basis.
🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2646 - 2648🔥
💵 TP1: 2630
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2656
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: 27/11 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2627-10
Gold operation suggestions: Gold quickly stepped down in the Asian session yesterday, pierced through the 2610 mark, stabilized, rebounded and repaired, stepped down again in the European session, stabilized at the 2610 line, ushered in a bottoming out and rebounded, and finally accelerated in the US session to break through the 2640 mark, suppressed and fell back and closed in shock, and the daily K-line chart closed in a shock pattern.
At present, from the perspective of the 4-hour trend, we pay attention to the 2627 line support below, the weekly level long-short dividing line 2637 line, and the upper focus is 2650/2658. We continue to sell high and buy low during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2627near SL:2623
BUY:2614near SL:2610
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD recovered from $2,606, before a series of key weekly dataIn the Asian market on Wednesday (November 27), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is trading around 2,638 USD/ounce. During this trading day, investors will receive many important data such as the US PCE inflation index, which is expected to create great fluctuations in the gold market in particular and the financial market in general.
The US will release some headline data ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday today (Wednesday).
On Wednesday, the US will release a series of important economic data, with US PCE inflation data expected to receive the most attention.
Today, US durable goods orders for October, last week's initial jobless claims and third-quarter real GDP data will be released.
Surveys showed the U.S. monthly initial durable goods ordering rate in October was expected to rise 0.5%, compared with a 0.7% decline the previous month.
The number of Americans filing seasonally adjusted unemployment claims for the week of November 23 is expected to be 217,000, compared with 213,000 the previous week.
Additionally, U.S. real gross domestic product (GDP) in the third quarter is expected to grow at an annualized quarterly rate of 2.8%.
On the same day, the United States will release the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation report for October. This is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.
Surveys show that the US PCE price index in October is expected to increase 0.2% monthly and 2.3% annually. Additionally, the US core PCE price index in October is expected to increase 0.3% monthly and 2.8% annually.
The core PCE price index could cause a short-term market reaction, with investors expecting core PCE to rise 0.3% month-over-month in October, in line with September's gain. Data Stronger-than-expected data could boost the US Dollar in its initial reaction and drag gold prices lower. On the other hand, a level of 0.2% or lower could have the opposite impact on gold price action.
Expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by 25bps in December are currently at 63.1%, according to CME group's FedWatch data.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold recovered from the initial support level noted by readers in yesterday's edition at 2,606 USD and is now close to reaching the initial target resistance at 2,644 USD.
The recent decline has created a medium-term trend price channel for gold. This price channel is inclined towards the possibility of a decrease in price. Along with that, gold will also be under the current main pressure with the 21-day moving average (EMA21).
In the interim, gold still has room to recover as long as it remains above its original price point of $2,600, on the other hand if gold breaks $2,644 it could continue to recover a bit further with a target then around $2,663 The price point of the Fibonacci 0.50% is confluent with the EMA21.
However, in case gold falls below the original price point of 2,600 USD, it will be eligible for a new short-term down cycle to open, with a target of 2,591 USD in the short term, more than 2,538 USD.
During the day, gold's technical outlook leans towards price reduction along with the above recovery levels, notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2661 - 2659⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2665
→Take Profit 1 2654
↨
→Take Profit 2 2649
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
4H BTC brief analyseBTC is taking a rest after fierce upward moving.
We will find out later where BTC will be heading to up or down, after a-b-c wave hit at 4hour.
This my trading scenario so that please always beware yourself not to get influenced too much.
Always plan before placing an position and setting up the stop loss.
World gold price decreasedDespite the decrease, world gold still maintains the level of 2,630 USD/ounce. Neils Christensen - an analyst at Kitco News commented that gold prices are anchored high as this precious metal continues to reflect uncertain geopolitical changes related to the upcoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump. .
However, one market analyst still expects the gold bullish trend to continue until 2025. In a recent interview with Kitco News, Nitesh Shah - Head of Macroeconomics & Commodities Research Model at WisdomTree, said he expects the US dollar to fall by 2025, creating favorable conditions for gold prices to rise.
At the same time, Shah said that the Federal Reserve's (FED) easing cycle will help push bond yields lower, another positive factor for higher gold prices.
The newly released minutes of the FED's November meeting provide important information about the central bank's economic outlook. Fed officials expressed growing confidence in the economy's trajectory, especially regarding inflation and the labor market. The minutes showed policymakers believe inflation is gradually moving toward the Fed's 2% target and that the labor market is currently strong.
Don't expect seasonality to save gold's baconWe're at that time of the year that gold tends to outperform. Yet with bigger drivers behind the wheel, I doubt that gold's 5% rebound will extend through to December. In fact, I'm now looking for short entries. Using stats from seasonality, ETF flows and market positioning, I outline my base for bears before highlighting key levels for them to consider.
MS.
GOLD at Critical Levels: Breakout or Rejection Looms?The XAU/USD chart indicates consolidation near a supply zone. This indecision reflects a potential breakout or breakdown setup:
Upside Potential: A clean break above the consolidation zone could signal a bullish continuation, targeting the next resistance levels.
Downside Risk: A failure to sustain higher prices may trigger a sell-off back toward the demand zones.
A rejection at this resistance zone could result in a sell-off towards lower support levels around 2,619.65, 2,616.00, and potentially lower. Watch for bearish price action signals at the resistance zone to confirm this move.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,656.94
1st Support: 2,606.39
1st Resistance: 2,709.10
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Silver AnalysisThe chart is in a bearish phase on the daily timeframe. Given the price movement, support around the 29.140 level is not unexpected. With proper risk management, a buy position can be considered in this area.
This analysis is based on price action, multi-timeframe analysis, and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology.
This analysis is brought to you by the FXonbit Traders Team
Still sticking to long goldBros, as I said in the last article, gold still failed to fall below the 2605-2600 area, and even failed to fall below 2610, even in the process of falling, and the falling low point is gradually shifting upward, and there is still a certain buying support below. Now gold is still a bargain, so in terms of trading, I still advocate long gold.
And I have already longed gold near 2626 and 2618 according to my plan, and now I expect gold to rebound to around 2640. Of course, I still haven't given up my target of 2650-2660.
Bros, are you long gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold - This Will Be The Top!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is starting to reject the channel resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Gold perfectly retested the top of the rising channel after rallying more than +35% over the past couple of months. Just looking at this overextended rally alone, it is quite likely that Gold will correct even more and maybe, we will even see a retest of the previous breakout level.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.050
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Heading into overlap resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,659.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,713.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2,577.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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$GOLD BREAKING DOWN ?As we can see gold is struggling to pass the 2632.00$ key level which is now playing as a strong resistance in the 1h tf and i think we will see gold going down more into the bleu highlighted zone (FVG).
Key levels to watch : 2632.00 // 2603.00
Also the fundamentals suggest that gold is bearish
Gold Analysis: Straddling the Fence Amid Market UncertaintyIt’s pretty interesting to read comments and trading ideas on forums during these uncertain times. Right now, 9 out of 10 traders are saying to sell or hold short positions if they have them. They’re referencing MACD, EMA, charts, stars, the mood of their pets (just kidding, but hey, it’s a possibility) and other indicators.
I analyze the chart differently, always keeping an eye on my indicators, which I’m sure you’re aware of since I talk about them all the time.
So, looking at the Gold chart right now, the question is: who’s suffering more, the bulls or the bears? Honestly, it’s not clear-cut. If you ignore the chart and just look at the exchange data and positions, it’s pretty much 50/50. But there’s a solid call option for a rise with a strike at $3000 that popped up right after the drop to 2620, which is a positive sign.
Overall, I’m “sitting on the fence,” and I’d recommend you do the same. News is coming soon, and I have a feeling there might be some bloodshed in the market.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Ano0ther great day on the charts with our plans to buy dips playing out perfectly from our weighted levels.
Yesterday after completing the retracement range we got the lock below 2657 opening the swing range and completed the first level of the swing range. Today the full swing range was completed and gave the weighted bounce of more than 40 pips, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We are now patiently waiting for the full swing into 2657 but out of all positions, as we are keeping in mind the break below the swing range that may open the range below into 2598.
We will now also move onto our 4h chart idea shared Sunday to track the range below if needed for the 4h chart swing range
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2728
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2743
POTENTIALLY 2759
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2772
POTENTIALLY 2787
BEARISH TARGETS
2703 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2684 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2638 (DONE) - 2620 (DONE)
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bullish channel in to Imbalance (GOLD)price doesn't look great today, but I see a potential setup to go long. I need to see the price break above the 1-minute lower-high (LH) swing level. Once that happens, I can look for a Fair Value Gap (FVG), imbalance, or other indicators. I will only take a trade after the price retraces to a FVG, imbalance, or order block, and I will look for a bullish momentum candle in those areas of interest.