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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 12-26-24 : Inside Breakaway PatternThis, being the day After Christmas, could be a very volatile trading day. I suggest traders sit back and let the morning volatility settle before attempting to make any big trades. I believe the markets will seek direction after Christmas and look to attempt to move into a Reversion phase (likely trending upward into the end of 2024). Overall, I believe the Anomaly event has completed - yet there is still risk for the markets to move lower before the end of Feb 2025. Follow my research and pay attention to how large the recent Daily price bars are compared to previous ranges. The current market volatility is MASSIVE. There is no reason skilled traders are not able to profit from some of these big price swings. Gold and Silver enter a CRUSH pattern. This could be a huge price move for Gold & Silver today. Bitcoin is sliding into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern. This could result in another breakdown towards $72k if the EPP pattern plays out. Buckle up. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
GOLD sell setup If you’re planning a **sell entry at 2630** for gold, here’s a detailed plan for your setup: --- ### **Sell Entry at 2630** #### **Rationale for 2630 Entry**: 1. **Resistance Zone**: - 2630 is a psychological and technical resistance level where sellers might dominate. 2. **Overextension**: - If gold reaches this level after a strong upward move, it could indicate overbought conditions and exhaustion. 3. **Market Sentiment**: - Failure to sustain above 2630 would confirm bearish sentiment and likely trigger selling pressure. --- ### **Trade Setup Details** #### **Entry**: - **Sell at 2630**, ideally after confirming a rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or strong wick rejections). #### **Stop Loss**: - Place the stop loss slightly above 2635 to protect against false breakouts. - Alternatively, use the ATR (Average True Range) to calculate a dynamic stop. #### **Take-Profit Targets**: 1. **Target 1**: 2620 - This is the next key support and provides a conservative risk-reward. 2. **Target 2**: 2608 - A strong support zone where buyers might re-enter. 3. **Target 3**: 2600 - If the bearish momentum is strong, this level could be reached. --- ### **Confirmation Signals Before Entry** 1. **Candlestick Patterns**: - Look for a rejection near 2630 with patterns such as: - Shooting Star - Evening Star - Bearish Engulfing 2. **Momentum Indicators**: - **RSI**: Overbought readings (above 70) near 2630 confirm exhaustion. - **MACD**: A bearish crossover or divergence around 2630 strengthens the sell case. 3. **Volume Analysis**: - Declining volume on the move up to 2630 indicates a weakening bullish trend. --- ### **Risk Management** - **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: Aim for at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure a favorable outcome. - Avoid entering immediately if price breaks above 2630 without signs of rejection. --- ### **Fundamental Watch** 1. **DXY Correlation**: - If the DXY strengthens (moving toward 108.100), it aligns with a bearish gold move. 2. **Economic Data**: - Monitor for any major data releases (e.g., U.S. GDP, inflation data, or Federal Reserve comments) that could influence gold prices. CAPITALCOM:GOLD -
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Analysis of gold on December 26 After experiencing five waves of daily level rise and reaching the top, gold formed a top at 2790 and pulled back. The gold price then accelerated to 2546 and then rebounded to 2720, but the price fluctuated widely at a high level. A double top fallback structure was formed at 2720. In the short term, it further fell to 2583 and then rebounded. The current price is around 2583, forming an ascending triangle consolidation structure. The upper resistance is 2635, which is in the short-term rebound repair stage. Overall, the trend of gold has changed from rising to sideways consolidation. The short-term trend is in the rebound repair stage after falling. In terms of operation, pay attention to the consolidation of the triangle structure before operating. Operation suggestions: Long order: If the price falls back to the bottom of the triangle structure 2610 without breaking, you can consider participating in the order. Target: 2625, 2635, 2664. Short order: If the price rebounds to the 2630-2625 area, you can consider participating in this range. Target: 2610, 2595, 2580. Steady operation: It is recommended to wait for the gold price to break through the triangle consolidation area before entering the market. If it breaks through the 2630-2635 area, you can consider long orders. Target: 2665, 2680, 2700. If it rebounds to the 2610-2600 area, you can consider short orders. Target: 2585, 2560, 2545. If you have any different views on the future of gold, please leave a message and like it. Thank you
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by RonPeter_Trading
Today we will first look at the operation of the 2608~2633 rangeGold continues to fluctuate and converges in a triangle range. The main reason is due to the early market impact of Christmas Eve. From the picture above, the price breaks through the downward trend line and forms a horizontal consolidation in the short term. The price has not completely escaped from the shock zone and is expected to repeat again. Pay attention to 2608/2633 during the day! Pay attention to 2608/2633 during the day! Gold rebounded first in the Asian session, but there is still suppression above 2632. Gold is still in a volatile market. The unilateral trend has not come yet, so the rebound of gold in the Asian session will continue to be short; gold is directly short near 2631 in the Asian session! Gold is still in a shock range in 1 hour. If gold is under pressure at 2632, it may still fall under pressure. Don’t chase the rise easily when gold rushes up quickly in the Asian session. It may fall under pressure at any time; only after gold breaks through and stabilizes at 2632, gold may reverse, and then consider falling back to long. First support: 2610, second support: 2600, third support: 2588 First resistance: 2632, second resistance: 2646, third resistance: 2658 Trading strategy: Sell ​​high and buy low according to resistance
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
GOLD - Price can correct to support line and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price made upward impulse and reached $2670 resistance level, which coincided with resistance zone. Next, price broke this level, and entered to triangle, where it declined to $2605 support level, breaking $2670 level. In triangle, price trades tried to back up, but failed and fell below support line, exiting from triangle pattern. Then Gold in a short time rose to $2726 points, breaking resistance level, after which started to decline inside pennant. Inside this pattern, price declined to $2583 points, breaking $2670 and $2605 levels, but recently broke $2605 level again. I think that Gold can decline to support line and then bounce up to $2660, leaving pennant pattern. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
3
12.26 Gold Trend Trading Strategy 🎈Currently, spot gold is trading sideways at a high level, and the current price is 2617 US dollars/ounce. The support and pressure levels are high selling short and low buying long. The pressure level is 2633 and the support level is 2600. On Monday, gold opened at a low level in the Asian morning, and tested the support of the 2608 area. On Tuesday, it opened again in the 2613 area, indicating that the support below is strong. The support area is still bullish. Focus on the upper 2626 and 2633 points. The retracement is also expected. Without the retracement, the bulls can't go far. Due to the Christmas holiday, the bulls have no strength during the day and return to the range of shocks.🔴 🎈There are two scenarios for tomorrow's opening: The first scenario is that the Asian morning session directly jumps up and opens above 2620, and then rises sharply in the morning session, breaking through 2626 and then trading sideways in the 2633 area. The European session exerts force again, directly breaking through 2633, and continues to rise to 2642. After the US session retests around 2633, the bulls exert force three times to directly probe above 2650. In terms of operation, hold the long orders in hand, break through 2626 and 2633 tomorrow and continue to go long. The first time it touches 2642, go short, and look at 2635-33. The US session retests around 2633 and directly goes long again, looking above 2650!🔴 🎈In the second case, the Asian market opened at a normal high in early trading. After a small retest of the 2613 area in the morning, it rose directly to the 2642 area in the early trading. The European market fluctuated and consolidated above 2633. The bulls in the US market made a second effort and broke through the 2650 area again.🔴 🎈Gold strategy: Go long when gold retests near 2613, target 2642, 2650, 2664; go short if 2642, 2650, 2664 are given for the first time; go long in batches if 2610, 2607, 2601 are given; more real-time layout is subject to the actual market;🔴 🎈The difference between these two situations is whether it opens with a gap or opens at a normal high, which determines the strength of the bulls and how far they can go. If it opens with a gap, the strength of the bulls basically stops at the 2650 area, and if it opens at a normal high, the expected limit of the bulls can be seen in the 2670 area!🔴
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Caesar_Gorman01
12.26 Gold Trend Trading Strategy 🎈Currently, spot gold is trading sideways at a high level, and the current price is 2617 US dollars/ounce. The support and pressure levels are high selling short and low buying long. The pressure level is 2633 and the support level is 2600. On Monday, gold opened at a low level in the Asian morning, and tested the support of the 2608 area. On Tuesday, it opened again in the 2613 area, indicating that the support below is strong. The support area is still bullish. Focus on the upper 2626 and 2633 points. The retracement is also expected. Without the retracement, the bulls can't go far. Due to the Christmas holiday, the bulls have no strength during the day and return to the range of shocks.🔴 🎈There are two scenarios for tomorrow's opening: The first scenario is that the Asian morning session directly jumps up and opens above 2620, and then rises sharply in the morning session, breaking through 2626 and then trading sideways in the 2633 area. The European session exerts force again, directly breaking through 2633, and continues to rise to 2642. After the US session retests around 2633, the bulls exert force three times to directly probe above 2650. In terms of operation, hold the long orders in hand, break through 2626 and 2633 tomorrow and continue to go long. The first time it touches 2642, go short, and look at 2635-33. The US session retests around 2633 and directly goes long again, looking above 2650!🔴 🎈In the second case, the Asian market opened at a normal high in early trading. After a small retest of the 2613 area in the morning, it rose directly to the 2642 area in the early trading. The European market fluctuated and consolidated above 2633. The bulls in the US market made a second effort and broke through the 2650 area again.🔴 🎈Gold strategy: Go long when gold retests near 2613, target 2642, 2650, 2664; go short if 2642, 2650, 2664 are given for the first time; go long in batches if 2610, 2607, 2601 are given; more real-time layout is subject to the actual market;🔴 🎈The difference between these two situations is whether it opens with a gap or opens at a normal high, which determines the strength of the bulls and how far they can go. If it opens with a gap, the strength of the bulls basically stops at the 2650 area, and if it opens at a normal high, the expected limit of the bulls can be seen in the 2670 area!🔴
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Caesar_Gorman01
GOLD → A chance for growth or a trap?FX:XAUUSD continues to give hope to the bulls, trading inside a local rising channel resembling a flag on the background of a local bearish trend. Further upside for the gold price may remain limited as the US dollar remains underpinned by the Fed's hawkishness. This begs the question: what will happen to rates? Hold or rise? It is worth understanding that the rise in inflation expectations against the backdrop of Trump's protectionist policy requires an increase in interest rates. In addition, statistically, the dollar enjoys interest towards the end of the year, and because of the Christmas holidays Technically, I am still skeptical about a possible strong growth, as the fundamental background is weak. Technically, the price may bounce from any nearby strong level. Resistance levels: 2633, 2650 Support levels: sma, 2606 We may not expect strong moves at the end of the year, the market is already celebrating the end of 2024. But the probability is there. Emphasis on the nearest strong levels from which the fall may resume Regards R. Linda! Happy Holidays to all and a productive new year 2025!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 2,626.558. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,600.886 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
GOLD tries to recover after the holidayOn this trading day, gold traders OANDA:XAUUSD will need to focus on data on initial jobless claims in the US, which could have an impact on market trends in the short term. The seasonally adjusted number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week of December 21 will be released today (Thursday) and is expected to be 224,000. Data released last week showed initial jobless claims in the United States fell from 242,000 to 220,000 in the week ended December 14, below expectations of 230,000, showing signs that the labor market movement is still steady. If the latest initial unemployment claims turn out to be lower than expected, this will have a positive impact on the US Dollar and a negative impact on the price of gold and major non-US currencies. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has recovered from the technical level of $2,613, but the recovery is still limited by the upper edge of the price channel, along with the nearest resistance level noted at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement point. % and EMA21. Considering the current price position, gold still has a technical outlook of falling in price with the main trend being noticed by the price channel. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not yet surpassed the 50 level, the 50 level is considered resistance/support depending on the position of the RSI and on the current daily chart it is considered a resistance. In the short term, if gold falls below the technical level of $2,613 it will have room to fall a bit further with a target level then around $2,600 and more to the $2,592 price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement. . As long as gold does not break above the price channel, with price activity stabilizing above the EMA21, it remains biased to the downside, with notable levels listed below. Along with that, using POC Volume Profile, at 2,646USD there is also a large trading volume, this position should also be considered a technical resistance. Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,592USD Resistance: 2,634 – 2,646USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2655 →Take Profit 1 2644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2639 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2585 →Take Profit 1 2596 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2601
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
World gold price increased slightlyLooking ahead to gold prices, John LaForge, head of physical asset strategy at Wells Fargo, said during his bank's annual outlook webinar that he won't be paying much attention to the Federal Reserve in 2025. Economists at the bank expect the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates only once next year. He also pays more attention to central bank demand than the opportunity cost of real yields, said the macro investment strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management. Analysts are also paying attention to emerging market consumer demand. In early 2024, gold prices were boosted by record central bank purchases and unprecedented demand from Asian consumers and investors, primarily China. World gold prices increased slightly as the USD decreased. Recorded at 9:35 a.m. on December 26, the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuations of the greenback against 6 major currencies, was at 107.940 points (down 0.08%). According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks' demand for gold has reached its highest level in more than ten years. This is a clear demonstration of gold's solid position as a safe haven asset, especially when the global geopolitical and economic situation continues to be unstable. At the same time, loose monetary policies and a slower pace of interest rate hikes from central banks have also contributed to creating positive momentum for gold prices. 🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2631 - 2629🔥 💵 TP1: 2620 💵 TP2: 2610 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2638
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → One final step remains before a drop. The target is 2587.Hello, dear friends! Let’s discuss and strategize today's gold trading opportunities with Ben! As predicted yesterday, gold prices dropped to $2,608, delivering a profit of approximately 200 pips. This decline was driven by pressure from Wall Street’s underperformance, which bolstered the strength of the US Dollar and Treasury yields. Investors are now eagerly awaiting clearer signals about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy for 2025. In reaction to these developments, the US Dollar Index rose by 0.4%, hovering near its highest level in over two years. This diminished gold's appeal for holders of other currencies. Additionally, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds increased, adding further weight to gold prices. Looking ahead, the market remains focused on the outcomes of last week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. A more gradual rate hike trajectory for 2025 is currently under discussion, with speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate changes in January or March. From a theoretical perspective, in the face of a strong US Dollar, gold has limited upside potential. If sellers maintain resistance below $2,620 and push to break the support level, the pair could target $2,587 in the medium term. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
$SLV Trade Analysis DarkPoolsChart Overview: Instrument: iShares Silver Trust (SLV) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Indicators on Chart: Moving Averages: Likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA for short-term trend analysis. Dark Pool Levels: Represented by white dashed lines at key levels. Trendlines: Red Line: Downtrend resistance. Green Lines: Support forming an ascending wedge after a potential trend reversal. Horizontal Resistance: Yellow Line at $29.00: Major psychological and technical resistance. White Dashed Lines near $28.20 and $26.53: Key dark pool levels. Key Observations: Descending Channel Reversal: SLV was previously in a clear downtrend marked by the red resistance and green support lines. The recent breakout above the green support line and consolidation near $27 indicates a potential shift in momentum. Ascending Triangle Formation: After the breakout from the previous downtrend, the price has formed a triangle pattern, with resistance near $27.08 and ascending support at $26.96. This formation is often a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout if the price can breach the resistance. Dark Pool Levels: $28.20: An immediate target, aligning with prior price action and a dark pool level. $26.53: A significant support level where institutional activity may provide a floor for the price. Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance: $27.08: Triangle resistance. $29.00 - $29.13: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone. Support: $26.96: Immediate ascending support line within the triangle. $26.53: Key dark pool support level and invalidation zone for a bullish outlook. Volume: A breakout above $27.08 should ideally be accompanied by a volume spike to confirm institutional buying and sustained bullish momentum. Trade Idea: Entry: Breakout Entry: Enter above $27.08 with confirmation (strong candle close and increased volume). Pullback Entry: Enter near $26.96, the lower support of the triangle, for a better risk-reward setup. Profit Targets: $28.20: First target aligning with the dark pool level. $29.00: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone. $29.13: Final target, slightly above the psychological resistance zone. Stop Loss: Close below $26.53: Invalidation of the bullish setup and indicates a likely continuation of the downtrend. Risk Management: Position size should be calculated based on risk tolerance. Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, considering the entry near $27.08, stop loss at $26.53, and first target at $28.20. Additional Notes: Volume Confirmation: A breakout above $27.08 should be accompanied by a surge in volume to validate the move. Dark Pool Influence: Watch price behavior near $28.20 and $26.53 to gauge institutional activity. Caution: If the price consolidates too long near the triangle resistance without breaking out, it may signal weakness and increase the probability of a breakdown.
AMEX:SLV
by thedarkpooltrader
Gold is Ready to PUMP Again!!!As expected, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) hit the Targets I identified last week and started falling again . Gold is moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines . According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to form an Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) . I expect Gold to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . ⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of the ascending channel, it will likely lose the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584).⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
30
GOLD - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price reached resistance line and then at once declined to support line, after which started to grow. A short time later, Gold rose to $2685 level, broke it, and then rose to resistance line one more time. After this movement, price turned around and started to decline inside falling channel, where it broke support line with $2685 level. Gold continued to fall, but later it reached resistance line, after which made downward impulse. Price broke $2615 level and fell to support line of channel, after which bounced up, exiting from channel. Now it trades close $2615 level and possible that Gold can little grow and then fall to $2570, breaking support level again. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
8
HelenP. I Gold can correct to support level and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support level and started to grow to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price reached this level, it broke it and then continued to move up to the trend line. After Gold reached the trend line, it turned around and started to decline inside the triangle pattern, where it soon broke the resistance level one more time. Next, the price tried to back up but failed and fell until to 2536 points, breaking the support level too, after which it quickly rose higher level, and broke this level again. After this movement, price rose to the resistance zone, after which at once rebounded down and some traded almost near the 2605 support level. Some time later price rose to the resistance zone again, where it reached the trend line and then dropped to the support zone. Recently price rebounded from this area and started to trades near the support level. So, I think that XAUUSD will fall to the support level and then start to grow inside the triangle. That's why I set my goal at 2660 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
1
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates. In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency. Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe. Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633 Support levels: 2606, 2590 Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
10
12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance 🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴 🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴 Gold operation strategy: 1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593; 2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Caesar_Gorman01
12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance 🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴 🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴 Gold operation strategy: 1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593; 2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Caesar_Gorman01
Year 2025 and Beyond: Where to Place Your Bets?S&P 500: US indices may continue their upward trend until the first quarter of 2025. The ultimate target appears to be above 6300, where they may peak and begin a significant correction. A global stock sell-off could potentially trigger a stock market crash similar to that of 2008. India's Nifty 50: India's Nifty 50 may find support around the 23,000–22,700 range and resume its upward movement in the final fifth wave, targeting a peak near 29,000. The Nifty 50 is likely to follow a trend similar to the S&P 500. The bullish cycle that began in 2009 is expected to conclude near the 29,000 level. Subsequently, a significant sell-off in Indian indices could trigger a major bear market, potentially erasing up to 50% of market capitalization from its peak. Gold: Gold may continue its consolidation for another month or two. A final surge toward the $3,000–$3,100 range is expected to mark the end of the rally that began in December 2015 at the $1,050 level. However, the bear market in equities is unlikely to spare even the perceived safe haven, leading to a pullback in gold prices as well. Brent Crude: Since March 2020, Brent crude experienced a remarkable rise, surging from $15 per barrel to $139 per barrel by March 2022. Over the past 33 months, it has already corrected by more than 47%. Brent crude is still expected to decline further, potentially reaching $50 per barrel within the next 3 to 6 months. However, the current inflationary trend could drive Brent prices beyond $160 per barrel later in 2025, before eventually succumbing to a deflationary trend that may persist for several years. US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index peaked at around 114 in September 2022. Since then, it declined to 100 by July 2023 before starting to rise again in a corrective A-B-C pattern, forming part of a larger (A)-(B)-(C) decline. The Wave C of (B) is expected to conclude near 109, followed by another decline toward 98 by the first half of 2025. However, a renewed bullish trend in the US Dollar Index could reinforce the "Cash is King" narrative during a global equity market downturn. USD/INR: The bullish trend in USD/INR, which began in January 2008 at the 39 level, has seen the Indian Rupee weaken by over 60% against the US Dollar over the past 17 years. In the short term, USD/INR may peak around 86. However, the Rupee is likely to weaken further, reaching 90 against the US Dollar by the second quarter of 2025. US Govt. 10 years bond yield: The long-term yield on U.S. Government 10-year bond's yield indicates rising interest rates for this decade. In the short term, the yield may ease to 3%-2.6% by the second quarter of 2025. However, fears of a U.S. Government default could push the yield to 10% or higher over the next couple of years. The "Bond Ghost," along with a global equity rout, may haunt investors again in 2025-2026. Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin's bullish trend may continue until the first quarter of 2025, albeit at a slower pace. BTC still has the potential to reach around $115k-$120k, concluding the bullish run that began in November 2022 from the level of $15,500. Over the past decade and a half, BTC has significantly outpaced any other asset class globally. However, global risk aversion, which may start with an initial global equity market sell-off, could pause Bitcoin's bullish journey for the rest of 2025. Before the end of 2025, BTC might lose up to 50% of its value from its peak. In the longer run, however, BTC has the potential to become the most valuable asset class globally, even after experiencing a 50% erosion in its value.
SP:SPX
by BISHNU_P_BASYAL