What’s America's Real Goal in a Possible India–Pakistan War?We are nearing the end of the petro-dollar era. The power balance of the new world order will be defined not by oil, but by the strategic resources essential for AI, electric vehicles, and cutting-edge technology.
Throughout the 20th century, the U.S. maintained its global dominance by controlling access to oil. From the Middle East to Latin America and Africa, wherever oil was found, the U.S. was there.
But today, the focus has shifted to rare earth elements, lithium, copper, and other strategic minerals.
Trump’s 2025 move to buy Greenland wasn’t a diplomatic joke—it was a signal. Behind-the-scenes deals in Ukraine for rare earth deposits tell the same story: whoever controls these "white gold" assets will lead the tech-driven world.
Now enters Pakistan, with mineral-rich lands spanning over 600,000 km², nearly three times the size of the UK. Experts estimate its underground reserves to be worth $8 trillion.
In Balochistan's Rekodik field alone, there are 12 million tons of copper and 20 million ounces of gold, with a copper purity of 0.53%, well above global standards. In the north, newly discovered lithium reserves could be a game-changer for the EV revolution.
This is no longer just about resources—this is about deciding the future balance of global power.
Metals
Gold Price Drops: A Great Buying OpportunityFenzoFx—Gold formed a new bearish wave after the price dipped below $3,360. As of this writing, XAU/USD is testing the $3,323 support, which could potentially offer a favorable entry point into the bull market.
The price will likely rise toward $3,360 if this level holds. Please note that the market outlook remains bullish as long as the price stays above the $3,323 support.
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XAUUSD H4 Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 3267.47, a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3352.49, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 3202.42, a swing low support.
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XAU/USD - Fed warns of Economic UncertaintyThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3473
2nd Resistance – 3519
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Down nearly 2% on Wednesday, GOLD still rebounds quickly on riskOANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 2% on Wednesday (May 7), mainly due to a stronger US dollar and optimism from upcoming trade talks between the United States and China, while the Federal Reserve's "standstill" also added pressure on gold prices. However, it was supported by escalating geopolitical risks.
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, citing increasing uncertainty about the economic outlook and rising risks to both maximum employment and price stability. “Uncertainties about the economic outlook continue to increase,” the FOMC said in its post-meeting statement. “The Committee is concerned about bilateral risks to its dual mandate and sees increasing risks to unemployment and inflation.”
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell maintained a neutral tone, saying the current policy stance was appropriate and the Fed was in no rush to adjust interest rates. He stressed that the Fed was prepared to act “quickly as needed” if circumstances changed, but warned that the Fed’s goals would not be fully achieved if tariffs remained in place.
Powell added that if either side of the dual mandate deviates too much, the Fed will evaluate which policy tool to use to achieve rebalancing.
When asked which mandate, inflation or employment, should receive more attention, he said it was too early to tell.
The market consensus remains that the Fed will not cut rates before July. In a higher interest rate environment, non-interest-bearing gold is often under pressure.
Big news on China-US trade talks
China and the US announced that US Treasury Secretary Besant and US Trade Representative Greer will travel to Switzerland to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng.
The talks are the first since US President Donald Trump imposed comprehensive tariffs on China and have raised optimism that the two largest economies can reach a deal.
On Wednesday, a spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Commerce answered reporters' questions about the high-level economic and trade negotiations between China and the United States. The spokesperson said China has decided to cooperate with the United States. Vice Premier He Lifeng, as head of the China-US economic and trade negotiation delegation, will hold talks with his US counterpart, US Treasury Secretary Benson, during his visit to Switzerland. - Bloomberg -
India-Pakistan tensions spiral after attack, risk of further escalation fuels demand for safe havens
India's airstrike on Pakistan has stoked tensions, raising fears of a full-blown war between the two nuclear-armed nations.
India launched missiles at nine locations in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir early on May 7 in response to a shooting that killed 26 tourists in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, two weeks ago. The Indian Ministry of Defense said its forces struck facilities used by "terrorist groups" to carry out the Pahalgam attack.
The Indian Air Force has mobilized many modern weapons, including Rafale multi-role fighters carrying SCALP-EG stealth cruise missiles and AASM Hammer extended-range guided bombs and cruise missiles. The target coordinates were provided to the forces participating in the campaign by Indian intelligence agencies.
Images released by the media show the moment the series of missiles crashed into the target, creating large fire circles and violent explosions. Pakistan said at least 26 people were killed in this attack. -According to Vnexpress -
Gold is an asset that often benefits first when market risks appear, and India is also a leading gold-using country in the world.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After yesterday's decline, gold continues to receive support from the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement area with horizontal support at $3,350 as noted by readers in yesterday's edition and it is now also aiming for a target of $3,430.
Once gold breaks $3,430 it will be in a position to continue its rally with a target of around (all-time high) in the short term.
Technical factors are completely bullish, from the short-term trend noted by the rising price channel and the long-term trend from the rising price channel. On the other hand, the nearest support is also the EMA21.
The relative strength index RSI is still quite far from the 80 level and the overbought area, indicating that there is still room for growth ahead and gold is likely to continue to increase in terms of momentum in the coming time.
During the day, the main bullish outlook for gold prices in terms of technology will be noted again by the following levels.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD
Resistance: 3,430 – 3,500 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3440 - 3438⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3444
→Take Profit 1 3432
↨
→Take Profit 2 3426
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3364
Gold Should complete the Retrace before giving another DirectionWas expecting the pullback. Now I just need to wait for it to finish before trying to buy it. Price should give us a solid confirmation when its finally ready. want to see them take out some lower levels first. If price gives up a entry during Asia session we could see a nice short.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-7 : Post FOMC UpdateThis video highlights a number of factors why I believe the markets are stalling and are likely to REVERT back to the 515-525 area on the SPY.
Without any real economic driving component, while tariffs and other concerns continue to play out, I believe the SPY will continue to search for Ultimate Support over the next 5-7+ months, then move into an upward reversion phase.
Part of what I'm trying to teach my followers is to try to understand how price operates in structures and phases.
Price only does two things: TRENDS or FLAGS
Within those phases, price structures (EPP, Cradle, and others) take over to determine how and why price may or may not attempt to make certain price moves.
Additionally, without any bias, or economic impetus (driver), price tends to REVERT.
In this video, I show you how to use the STDDEV channels to identify possible target areas for the different phases of market trend.
Ultimately, IMO, trading is about being able to see the price structure, phases, and path of least resistance (in terms of bias/expectations). This helps us position for the highest probability outcome (and hopefully for successful trades).
Remember, all of these techniques can be applied to intra-day charts the same way I'm applying them to Daily and Weekly charts.
Remember, price only does two things: TREND or FLAG.
Once you understand that, applying price structures/phases to price while it TRENDS or FLAGS helps you to gain a keen understanding of where price may target/move in the immediate future.
Hope this helps.
Get Some.
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GOLD - Sell Setup📉 GOLD - Sell Setup
🔹 Date: 07 May 2025
🔹 Pattern: Double Top + Break of Trendline
🔹 Entry Zone: 3387 - 3397 (Strong Resistance Rejection)
🔹 Confirmation: Clear rejection from previous supply area (highlighted in red), with break below ascending trendline.
🔹 Target 1: 3350
🔹 Target 2: 3337
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 3400
🔹 Risk/Reward: Solid setup with favorable RRR.
Gold. Long-term Elliott Wave Structure.I'm showing this beautiful weekly chart since 1971 when president Richard Nixon ended the international convertibility of the US dollar to gold. The path followed by gold since that time, is a text-book Elliott wave structure where long term wave 3 has ended. Wave 4 resides at 900 dollars per ounce.
GOLD WILL GROW FURTHER|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend so we are bullish
Biased and the price already
Made a bullish rebound from
The horizontal support
Around 3360$ so we will
Be expecting Gold to
To go further up
LONG🚀
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Gold Rally Running Out of Steam? PRZ May Trigger Drop!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has hit the targets as I shared with you in yesterday's idae . Will this uptrend of the past 5-6 days continue?
Gold seems to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and has been moving in an Ascending Channel for the past 5 days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 . The end of the main wave 3 can be at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, expect to see a clear Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks at the Resistance zone($3,434-$3,406) .
I expect Gold to start declining from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least to the lower line of the ascending channel . This analysis is against the main trend, so pay more attention to money management .
Note: If Gold touches $3,448(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold falls below $3,342, we can expect a deeper decline than expected.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our trading idea delivers the goods!!!
We got our target yesterday at 3382 and then followed with the cross and lock above 3382 leaving 3428 open.
- This played out perfectly with 3428 getting hit. No further cross and lock above 3428 confirmed the perfect rejection into the lower weighted Goldturn. The Goldturn gave the bounces, for 20 to 40 pips, just like we always state. This was once again a double bubble move for us!!
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Accumulation Before ExpansionPrice is currently consolidating in a tight range following a strong bullish move, indicating a classic accumulation phase. Below the range, we’ve identified a manipulation zone where liquidity has been swept—potentially trapping sellers and collecting orders for smart money.
This setup aligns with Wyckoff theory:
Accumulation is taking place within a tight range.
Manipulation (Spring) has occurred beneath the range to grab liquidity.
Anticipating a bullish breakout towards the distribution zone, with targets near 3522.
📌 Key Levels:
Accumulation Range: 3,370–3,390
Manipulation Zone: 3,308–3,286
Target (Distribution): 3,440–3,522
🎯 Waiting for a confirmed breakout with a strong bullish candle and volume surge. Monitoring lower timeframes (M5–M15) for optimal entries.
Gold fluctuates in a narrow range ahead of the Fed rate🗞News side:
1. The situation between India and Pakistan escalates
2. China is willing to engage with the US, and the situation has eased
📈Technical aspects:
The price of gold fell sharply after the market opened today, once falling to around 3360. Currently, gold is oscillating slightly between 3375-3390. The market has no clear trading direction for the time being. Gold is not expected to change much before the Federal Reserve interest rate is announced. Today, gold prices have continuously tested the lower support 3370-3360, and the upper short-term resistance is focused on the 3390-3400 line. We maintain shock treatment for short-term trading. The focus will be on today’s Fed interest rate issues and talks between China and the United States.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price has recently formed a narrowing wedge structure after a strong impulsive rally. The price reached a significant peak and then started consolidating, forming lower highs with fading bullish pressure. What we now see is a classic sign of price compression within a pennant pattern. Currently, the market is testing the key resistance zone between 3360 - 3380 points. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge, and the price has already reacted to it multiple times. Buyers were unable to break through convincingly, indicating a potential exhaustion of momentum. Meanwhile, the lower boundary is represented by a dynamic trend line. Given this structure, I expect Gold can decline toward the support trend line and possibly reach 3300 points, my goal. The combination of horizontal resistance, trend weakening, and pattern tightening supports a short bias. Given the recent lower high, the rejection near resistance, and the wedge formation, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold climbed higher, but very swiftly rejected our 0.365% zone, melting back down 740 PIPS. Should see a continuation to the downside.
But as I said yesterday, if we see a breach of $3,465 then we'll create an alternate analysis which'll show Gold leading towards a new ATH, creating a 'redistribution phase' at higher prices.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 5-7 : Breakaway In CounterToday's Breakaway In Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will likely attempt to break downward before the end of trading, today. Why do I state the downward trend direction?
Because the LT/ST trends are BULLISH and the general upward price trend in the SPY over the past 5-10+ days.
Counter-trend patterns are typically inverted compared to the general 5-8 day price trend. If we can't clearly identify a 5-8 day price trend, then the counter-trend patterns should be determined based on the ST/LT and BIAS trend information on the SPY Cycle Patterns data window.
Today, being a FOMC comment day, should stay rather muted/sideways in early trading. Normally, on FOMC days, the markets tend to stay paused ahead of the FOMC comments.
I believe the FED will not raise or lower rates - meaning NO CHANGE. I don't believe the US Fed has any reason to be concerned with US economic performance right now.
Gold and Silver should move into a rally phase today - but that will likely come near the end of the day as the FED comments drive the markets.
BTCUSD has moved into an early FLAGGING formation. This could be very interesting as BTCUSD has been leading the SPY/QQQ by about 4-6 trading days over the past few weeks.
If BTCUSD continues to lead the SPY/QQQ - that means the SPY/QQQ would be in the early breakdown phase right now - moving into a FLAGGING formation possibly next week.
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GOLD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,217.01
Target Level: 3,287.27
Stop Loss: 3,170.16
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,288.3.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,391.4 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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