XAUUSD: 1/4 Today's Market AnalysisGold technical analysis
The resistance of the daily chart is 3160, and the support below is 3060
The resistance of the 4-hour chart is 3150, and the support below is 3110
The resistance of the 1-hour chart is 3150, and the support below is 3120
The surge in safe-haven demand has stimulated gold prices to break new highs every day. Trump plans to announce the details of auto tariffs on April 2 (without exemption clauses), global trade war concerns are heating up, and gold ETF holdings have increased to historical highs. MACD bullish momentum has weakened; RSI has entered the overbought zone, follow the trend and buy at the support level, but be wary of short-term corrections.
Please refer to the following two options for buying plans:
1. Wait for a breakthrough to buy: If it breaks through and stabilizes at 3150 US dollars again, the next target is 3160-3180 US dollars.
2. The safe strategy is to buy back at the support level: If it falls back to the 3110-3120 US dollar area and a stabilization signal appears, it is best to have a reversal signal on the 30-minute chart, and you can buy with a light position.
If you participate in counter-trend selling, please set a smaller SL to prevent the gold price from rising straight up due to the news!
Metals
GOLD Market Update: Pullback in Progress BUY DIPS TP 3200 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (April 1st, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️Bullish OUTLOOK
▪️Broke out and set new ATH
▪️Strong UPTREND: Sequence of Higher Lows
▪️Recommend to BUY DIPS at $3,050 USD
▪️Price Target BULLS: $3,150 USD - $3,200 USD
📈 Market Performance & Price Action
🚀 Gold Hits All-Time High: Surpassed $3,100 per ounce
📊 Driven by: Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty
🏦 Federal Reserve Impact
🛑 Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady: Maintained at 4.25%–4.50%
🔮 Signals: 2 rate cuts likely in 2025 due to slowing growth
📉 Lower rate outlook supports bullish gold sentiment
💹 Gold Investment Trends
📈 Gold ETFs Outperform Physical Gold
GDX (Gold Miners ETF): ↑ 32%
GLD (SPDR Gold Shares): ↑ 15.5%
📊 Investors leaning toward mining stocks & ETF exposure for higher returns
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)There's 2 options on how I think Gold will complete its ‘Ending Diagonal’ pattern of the EW Theory & drop.
Option 1: We see a move higher towards $3,162 - $3,174 as a final LQ grab, before sellers kick in.
Option 2: Sellers kick in from CMP & slowly drag price back down.
Either way, I’m NOT LOOKING TO SELL until a strong confirmation at $3,057.
GOLD - 1H UPDATEThere are 2 options on how I think Gold will complete its ‘Ending Diagonal’ pattern of the EW Theory & drop.
Option 1: We see a move higher towards $3,162 - $3,174 as a final LQ grab, before sellers kick in.
Option 2: Sellers kick in from CMP & slowly drag price back down.
Either way, I’m NOT LOOKING TO SELL until a strong confirmation at $3,057.
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3128.3
Sl - 3120.7
Tp - 3143.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that after the market opened today, a price gap appeared. Once gold filled this gap, it resumed its bullish move and recorded a new all-time high at $3,128. Currently, gold is trading around $3,119, and if the price stabilizes below $3,120, we may see a slight correction.
However, note that there’s been no new structural break on the higher timeframes, so for a more accurate outlook, we need to wait for the price to react to key levels.
This analysis will be updated with your continued support, as always!
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-1-25 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find temporary support near recent lows or a bit lower.
I'm not expecting much in terms of price trending today. I do believe the downward price trend will continue today with the SPY attempting to move down to the 548-550 level trying to find support.
The QQQ will likely attempt to move downward toward the 458-460 level trying to find the support/base/bottom level today.
Gold and Silver are in a moderate consolidation phase that I believe is transitioning through a Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend type of phase. Ultimately, the trend will continue to push higher through this phase as metals have moved into the broad Expansion phase. This phase should see gold attempt to move above $4500+ before the end of May/June 2025.
BTCUSD is rolling within the 0.382 to 0.618 Fibonacci price levels related to the last price swing. I see this middle Fib level and the "battle ground" for price. I expect price to stall, consolidate, and roll around between these levels trying to establish a new trend.
Thus, I believe BTCUSD will move downward, attempting to move back down to the $78,000 level.
Nothing has really changed in my analysis except that we are experiencing a 48-96 hour consolidation phase before we move back into big trending.
Play smart. Position your trades so that you can profit from this rolling price trend and prepare for the bigger price move downward (targeting the bigger base/bottom near April 15, 2025).
Get some.
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GOLD - Price will make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached $2940 support level and broke it.
Then it some time traded near this level and then continued to grow in channel and soon reached resistance line of channel.
Soon, Gold reached the $3055 level and then corrected to the channel's support line, after which it turned around.
XAU reached $3055 level again and broke it, aftr which continued to grow and recently, it reached almost resistance line.
But soon, it turned around and started to decline, so, in my mind, Gold can continue to decline to $3055 level.
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Gold Miners Stocks Go 'The Rife Game' in Town. Here's WhyGold mining stocks have emerged as one of the top-performing asset classes in 2025, driven by a combination of surging gold prices, improved profitability, and shifting investor sentiment.
Here’s fundamental and technical analysis of the key factors behind this outperformance, by our @PandorraResearch Super-Duper Beloved Team :
Record-High Gold Prices Fuel Margins
Gold prices surpassed $3,000 per ounce in March 2025 for the first time in history, marking a 14% year-to-date increase. This rally stems from:
Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, economic and political uncertainty including U.S. trade policy volatility.
Central bank buying , particularly by China, India, Turkey, and Poland, to diversify away from the U.S. dollar.
Anticipated interest rate cuts , which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Higher gold prices directly boost miners’ revenues.
For example, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index NYSE:GDM returned nearly 30% YTD by early March, outpacing both physical gold OANDA:XAUUSD (+14.5%) and the S&P 500 SP:SPX (-3.8%). Companies like Agnico Eagle Mines NYSE:AEM and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM reached all-time highs, while ASX-listed miners such as Evolution Mining ASX:EVN (+39.5% YTD) and West African Resources ASX:WAF (+56.6% YTD) outperformed Australia’s broader market.
Margin Expansion and Shareholder Returns
Gold miners are leveraging rising prices to improve profitability:
Stabilized costs for labor, energy, and equipment have widened profit margins.
Free cash flow growth enabled dividend hikes and share buybacks. U.S. Global Investors, for instance, offers a 3.91% annualized dividend yield.
Undervalued stocks: Many miners traded at historically low valuations relative to gold prices, creating buying opportunities. Barrick Gold NYSE:GOLD (P/E 15.6) and Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM (P/E 15.5) remained attractively priced despite gains.
Royal Gold NASDAQ:RGLD , a streaming company with a 60.3% operating margin, exemplifies how non-traditional miners capitalize on gold’s rally without direct operational risks.
Sector-Specific Catalysts
Mergers and acquisitions. Consolidation activity has increased, with larger firms acquiring high-potential projects.
Copper exposure. Miners like Evolution Mining benefit from rising copper demand, diversifying revenue streams.
Institutional upgrades. Analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley endorsed Newmont and Evolution Mining, citing currency tailwinds and free cash flow potential.
Macroeconomic and Market Dynamics
Dollar weakness. A declining U.S. dollar enhances gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Equity market volatility. With the S&P 500 struggling, investors rotated into gold equities for diversification (0.3 correlation to broader markets).
Fiscal deficits. U.S. budget imbalances and inflationary pressures reinforced gold’s role as a store of value.
Outlook for 2025
Analysts project further gains, with gold potentially reaching $3,300 per ounce. Miners are expected to sustain momentum through:
Operational efficiency improvements to align with higher gold prices.
Continued capital discipline , avoiding overinvestment in new projects.
Dividend growth , as seen with U.S. Global Investors’ monthly payouts.
Technical Outlook
The main technical graph for Gold Miners ETF AMEX:GDX indicates on further Long-Term Bullish opportunity, to double the price over next several years, in a case of the epic $45 mark breakthrough.
Conclusion
In summary, gold miners’ 2025 rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic uncertainty, disciplined capital management, and gold’s structural demand drivers. While risks like cost inflation persist, the sector’s fundamentals and valuation upside position it as a compelling component of diversified portfolios.
--
Best 'Golden Rife' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Gold in coming days ...Gold needs a price correction to $3100 for the continuation of its upward trend.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the boundary of the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is still rising and our previous target remains a matter of time.
The chart has already reached the upper boundary of the channel and resistance level.
Indicators are pointing to overbought.
We expect that after retesting the upper trend line and fixing under the resistance level, the price will go down.
-------------------
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Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions🟡 Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Quarter-End Volatility
Gold started April with a strong bullish gap, reaching another all-time high during the Asian session. Price is now trading near the upper bound of a multi-day structure, supported by ongoing geopolitical risks, macro uncertainty, and flight-to-safety flows.
European and UK traders should remain cautious today, as end-of-month volatility may lead to fake breakouts, stop hunts, and liquidity grabs – especially ahead of key U.S. economic data later this week.
🧠 Market Context:
Risk sentiment remains fragile as global equities faced pressure overnight.
Safe haven demand is elevated following weekend headlines tied to geopolitical conflict and natural disaster risks in Asia.
Traders are also watching the market’s reaction to Trump’s softened tone on tariffs — potentially shifting macro flows in risk assets.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price action remains bullish overall, but the pair is extended at current levels.
Expect high volatility today as monthly candles close — with a chance of both upside wicks and liquidation dips.
Scalping or reacting at well-defined zones is preferred over chasing.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3158 – 3166 – 3172 – 3180
🔻 Support: 3133 – 3122 – 3111 – 3100
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3122 – 3120
SL: 3116
TP: 3126 – 3130 – 3134 – 3138 – 3142 – 3146 – 3150
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3170 – 3172
SL: 3176
TP: 3166 – 3162 – 3158 – 3152 – 3148 – 3144 – 3140
⚠️ Final Note:
Today’s session could be chaotic with month-end flows and low liquidity pockets.
Stick to clean setups. Wait for confirmation. Always use SL/TP.
📌 If you found this plan helpful, like & follow for daily setups and institutional-level insights.
📊 Trade with structure, manage your risk, and let the market come to you.
Gold H1 | Potential bullish bounceGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,113.30 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,087.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,161.57 which is a level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection.
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4 consecutive days of increase, GOLD support from TrumpIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise, surpassing $3,145/ounce, up more than $24 on the day.
The global trade war has caused concerns in the market, continuing to push gold prices to new highs. Gold prices rose 8% in March and have increased for three consecutive months this year.
Gold prices have increased more than 18% this year, following a 27% increase last year, thanks to a favorable monetary policy environment, strong central bank buying and demand for exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Trump: Tariff details could be announced soon (Bloomberg)
US President Trump said on Monday local time that details of the tariffs could be announced either Tuesday night (April 1) or April 2.
Trump also said the US would be “very friendly” to other countries and that tariffs could be significantly reduced in some cases. Trump then talked about other issues before returning to the issue of tariffs, adding: “The tariff plan is already in place.”
White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said on Monday that US President Trump will announce a plan for reciprocal tariffs "country by country" in the White House Rose Garden on April 2 and that no tariff exemptions are currently being considered.
In the latest escalation in the trade war, Trump is set to impose broad “reciprocal” tariffs on all U.S. trading partners on Wednesday, a day he has called “Liberation Day.” Trump also plans to impose a 25 percent tariff on all non-U.S.-made cars this week.
Asked about the reciprocal tariffs and which countries would be affected, Leavitt declined to provide details. Asked whether lower tariffs would be applied to products used by U.S. farmers, Leavitt said “there are no exemptions at this time.”
Trump also said on Sunday that he would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on buyers of Russian oil if he finds Russia intends to obstruct US efforts to end the war in Ukraine.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
4 days of soaring, gold is heading for its 4th consecutive strong day of gains as it breaks the target at the 0.618% Fibonacci extension of $3,139, followed by the target at the 0.786% Fibonacci extension of $3,177.
With the current technical conditions, there is no resistance or signal for a significant technical correction.
With the medium-term trend being highlighted by the price channel and a blue price channel as the short-term trend. As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it will remain technically bullish in the long-term.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not giving any signal of a possible downside correction.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold prices remains bullish, and any current downside correction should only be considered as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
With that, the notable positions for the uptrend will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,128 – 3,113 USD
Resistance: 3,177 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3157 - 3155⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3161
→Take Profit 1 3149
↨
→Take Profit 2 3143
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
Bearish Projection - XAUUSD📉Bearish Projection - XAUUSD
📌On the 4-hour timeframe, the recent bullish trend appears to have completed its fifth wave, reaching the upper boundary of the structure. Additionally, Fibonacci extensions have surpassed the 2.618% level, indicating a potential retracement or corrective phase. Given the strong rally from $2832 to $3146, we anticipate a pullback toward the $2990 - $2945 zone, aligning with the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
The recent surge in gold prices, driven by escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty, has led to significant resistance breakouts across multiple timeframes. With the US Jobs data release** scheduled this week, we could see increased momentum supporting a bearish correction for XAUUSD.
➡️Daily Support - 3010-3000
➡️Key Level - 3056-3044
➡️Expected Price Region - 2990-2945
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower with a gap-down amid growing recession fears. Although it did not reach the 20-month moving average (MA) on the monthly chart, last month’s long bearish candlestick has resulted in a sell signal on the monthly futures chart—the first time in three years since February 2022. From a monthly perspective, the 16,900–17,500 range appears to be a good buying zone, but it is important to monitor whether the index reaches this level within this month’s candle. The 20-month MA is likely to be briefly breached, even if a lower wick forms.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq is currently finding short-term support around 19,000, but given the large gap between the 3-week and 5-week MAs, a rebound remains a possibility. On the daily chart, a sell signal has not yet been confirmed. If further declines confirm a bearish crossover, the Nasdaq could enter a third wave of selling, with a target of 17,300. The key question is whether the market experiences another sharp drop.
However, given the significant distance from the 5-day MA, the more likely scenario is sideways movement for a few days, allowing the moving averages to catch up before a potential further decline. In this case, it is advisable to trade within the range but always use stop-losses. The 240-minute chart also shows strong downward movement. While the market is in oversold territory, making short-selling more favorable, there is also the possibility of a range-bound pattern forming on the daily chart. If taking buy positions at the lows, strict stop-loss management is essential.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher following news of tariffs imposed on Russian oil. The price successfully broke above the key resistance at $70, also surpassing the 240-day MA. On the monthly chart, oil has now entered a range where further upside potential exists, and there is a possibility that the MACD could attempt a bullish crossover with the signal line.
On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, pulling the signal line upward. If the price stays above the 240-day MA, it may form a strong trend reversal pattern with accelerated gains. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and is crossing above the signal line, indicating continued buying momentum.
Overall, it is best to focus on buying dips, as April’s first trading session could see the price gapping above the 240-day MA. Holding overnight short positions carries risk, so caution is advised.
Gold
Gold closed higher, driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets. On the monthly chart, gold formed a long bullish candlestick. However, given the large gap between the price and the 3-month & 5-month MAs, a pullback remains a possibility. The key question is whether gold will continue rising before a correction or correct first before resuming its uptrend. It is best to monitor the price action closely.
On the daily chart, the MACD is forming a third wave of buying pressure, opening the possibility for a price target around 3,216. Thus, it is advisable to focus on buying dips, while being cautious about chasing highs due to potential volatility. The 240-minute chart indicates that strong buying momentum continues, as gold remains in overbought territory.
Since this is the beginning of a new month, key economic reports—including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the U.S. Jobs Report—could significantly impact gold’s volatility. For both buy and sell positions, it is essential to set stop-loss levels, as increased volatility is expected.
With Trump’s tariff policies increasing the risk of a global recession, liquidity in global equity markets is drying up, reducing the attractiveness of stocks. The clear contrast between Nasdaq and gold’s performance is likely to persist for some time.
As we enter April’s first trading session, trade cautiously and adapt to market conditions.
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GOLD surges above $3,100 as April 2 approachesThe international OANDA:XAUUSD has jumped above 3,100 USD for the first time in this trading day, as concerns about US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and its possible economic consequences, along with geopolitical uncertainties, have prompted a new round of safe-haven investment.
As of press time, spot OANDA:XAUUSD was up 0.86% at $3,111/oz, having earlier hit an all-time high of $3,111.55, surpassing the all-time high set last Friday.
Trump signed a proclamation last week imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars, and markets are bracing for so-called “reciprocal tariffs” that the White House is expected to announce on Wednesday.
Gold has hit a record high and is up more than 18% this year, cementing its status as a hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Earlier this month, gold prices broke through the psychological $3,000 mark for the first time, a milestone that reflects growing market concerns about economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and inflation that will continue to drive gold higher.
Since taking office, Trump has pushed through a series of new tariffs to protect U.S. industry and reduce the trade deficit, including a 25% tariff on imported cars and parts and an additional 10% tariff on all imports from China. He plans to announce a new round of reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
In addition to trade tensions, strong central bank demand for gold and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will continue to support the incredible rally in gold prices this year.
In short, until there is a resolution to this back-and-forth tariff war, the tariff issue will continue to push prices higher in the near term.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has achieved a key bullish target at the confluence of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension with the upper edge of the price channel. Once gold breaks this level (3,113 USD), it will be eligible for further upside with the next target around 3,139 USD in the short term, which is the price point of the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
In the meantime, the steep RSI remains active in the 80-100 area but shows no signs of weakening or correction, so in terms of momentum, the bullish momentum remains very strong.
As long as gold remains within the channel, it has a medium-term bullish outlook, otherwise the channel will become a short-term bullish trend channel.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following technical levels.
Support: 3,086 – 3,057 – 3,113 USD
Resistance: 3,139 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3140 - 3138⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3144
→Take Profit 1 3132
↨
→Take Profit 2 3126
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 31 - April 04]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,003 USD/oz to 3,087 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,085 USD/oz.
The reason for the sharp increase in gold prices is that US President Donald Trump decided to impose a 25% tax on imported cars into the US. This seems to go against Mr. Trump's previous statement about "easing" tariffs, causing investors to worry that US partner countries will retaliate, making the global trade war more intense.
Some countries, such as the UK and Japan, have taken some steps to appease and actively negotiate to avoid US tariffs, while many other countries have announced their readiness to retaliate against US tariffs. Therefore, many experts believe that the tariff policy announced by Mr. Trump on April 2 will be very unpredictable.
If Mr. Trump still decides to impose tariffs on many countries, the gold price next week may continue to increase sharply, far exceeding 3,100 USD/oz. However, if Mr. Trump narrows the scale of tariffs as announced and does not impose additional industry-specific tariffs on lumber, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, the gold price next week is at risk of facing strong profit-taking pressure, especially when the gold price is already deep in the overbought zone.
In addition to the Trump administration's tax policy, investors also need to pay close attention to the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report to be released next weekend, because this index will directly impact the Fed's interest rate policy.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
The most notable economic news in the coming week will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payrolls report due Friday morning. Experts warn that both events could increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, a number of other important US economic data will be released, including the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job vacancies on Tuesday, the ADP employment report on Wednesday, along with the ISM services PMI and weekly jobless claims on Thursday.
📌Technically, short-term perspective on the H1 chart, gold price next week may continue to surpass the 3100 round resistance level, approaching the Fibonacci 261.8 level around the price of 3,123 USD/oz. The current support level is established around the 3057 level, if next week gold price trades below this level, gold price is at risk of falling to around the 3,000 USD/oz round resistance level.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,057 – 3,051USD
Resistance: 3,100 – 3,113USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3133 - 3131⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3137
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2995