SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-3-25 : Breakaway PatternOn a day like today, where the markets broke down with a huge GAP downward, what can I say except...
Just like I predicted.
For months I've been warning of the Jan 21-23 Inauguration peak/top that will lead to a Deep-V breakdown on Feb 9-12. And, like clockwork, the markets peaked just after January 23 and rolled downward into the breakdown phase - headed towards my Deep-V base/bottom setup near Feb 9-12.
At this point, I'm just going to sit back and collect my profits. You should be doing the same thing today - BOOK those profits.
Gold and Silver are moving into an upward CRUSH pattern. It could be very explosive.
Bitcoin has broken downward again - just like I predicted.
Over the next 30+ days, the markets will enter a very volatile and rotating price phase. Be prepared for wild price rotations.
This is a true trader's market. Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Metals
ETH/USDT : Get Ready for the next Bullish Move! (READ)By analyzing the weekly (logarithmic) chart of Ethereum, we can see that the price experienced a sharp crash last night, dropping to $2100. After reaching this key demand zone, Ethereum rebounded and is currently trading around $2600.
As long as the $2200 support holds, we can expect further bullish momentum. The mid-term targets for Ethereum are $3900, $4600, $5700, and $7400. 🚀
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Holds Firm as Safe-Haven Demand Rises Amid Tariff UncertainSafe-Haven Gold Rises Amid Tariff Concerns
Gold Technical Analysis
The price has reached our bullish target, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
Today, gold appears to be consolidating between 2,805 and 2,788 until a breakout occurs.
However, the overall trend on the Daily and Weekly timeframes remains bullish.
For a bullish continuation, gold must close a 4-hour or 1-hour candle above 2,805, which could push the price toward 2,822.
On the other hand, if the price closes below 2,788, it may trigger a bearish move toward 2,772 and 2,758.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2805
Resistance Levels: 2812, 2822, 2833
Support Levels: 2788, 2772, 2759
Trend Outlook
Consolidation Range: 2,805 - 2,788
Next Bullish Confirmation: A break above 2,805
Bearish Outlook: If the price breaks below 2,788
Previous idea:
XAUUSD Gold will keep rising within the upward channelHello everyone, I have Gold analytics ready for you today. The price in this chart dropped to support 2, which was also the support zone. It briefly traded close to this level before rising to support 1. Gold then reversed course and fell to support 2, which it shattered and fell slightly below when it got there. The price swiftly recovered to support 2 following this movement, and it then briefly traded in the support area. The price then corrected once more before beginning to rise inside an upward channel and breaking support 2 shortly after. The price in the channel dropped to the trend line, which also serves as the channel's support line and proceeded to ascend after that. Gold breached this level after rising to support 1, which also happened to be the location of another support zone. The price quickly climbed to the channel's resistance line before correcting to the trend line, but it recently bounced back and kept rising. I anticipate that XAUUSD will rise to 2800 points within an upward channel as a result.
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,801.13.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,788.28 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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XAUUSD WEEKLY TRADING PLAN & GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAPHello everyone,
View our most recent one-hour chart levels and goals for the upcoming week.
With a gap above at 2807 and a gap below at 2794, we are witnessing price movement between two weighted levels. To find the next range, we must watch for the ema5 to cross and lock on either weighted level.
Until one of the weighted levels breaks and locks to confirm direction for the next range, we will test levels side by side.
When making purchases from dips, we shall bear the aforementioned in mind. We will be able to trace the movement down and then catch bounces up thanks to our upgraded levels and weighted levels.
Taking 30 to 40 pip drops, we will keep buying dips using our support levels. Each of our level structures, as previously said, provides 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is plenty for a pleasant entry and exit. You may examine how well the levels we released each week for the previous 24 months were used to trade with or against short- and mid-term swings and trends by backtesting them.
The following bearish target, 2778, will be opened by an EMA5 cross and lock below 2794.
The following bearish target, 2764, will be opened by an EMA5 cross and lock below 2778.
The recovery range of 2753–2739 will open when the EMA5 cross and lock below 2764
The swing rage will be opened by an EMA5 cross and a lock below 2739.
RANGE OF SWINGS 2722–2707
XAGUSD Analysis: Bullish Trend Faces Resistance – What’s Next?👀 👉 In this video, we analyze XAGUSD (silver) in detail. While it has been in a bullish trend on the higher timeframe, it is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour timeframe, we can see a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break of the current high, followed by a retest and fail, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
XAUUSD Channel Up unfazed by Tariff War.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising today following the Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This rise is taking place just before the price touched the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been the absolute Support (hence buy entry) of January's Channel Up for the past month.
With the 4H RSI also making (so far) a V-shaped reversal, similar to all 4 previous Higher Lows of the Channel Up, we believe that this is once more a buy opportunity. All previous bottoms (Higher Lows) rebounded to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from High to Low). This gives us a 2845 Target for the next technical Higher High.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2,687.784 area.
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XAUUSD: 3/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2850, support below 2746
Four-hour resistance 2817, support below 2790
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall technical side of gold prices continued the trend of strong bullish rise and breaking new highs. The Asian and European sessions fluctuated sideways above 2790. The European session accelerated the rise and broke through the 2800 integer mark to reach 2805 and continued to fluctuate strongly. The US session accelerated the high and pierced the 2817 mark and fell under pressure to close strongly. Today, Monday's opening continued the retracement adjustment before the close of last Friday. Below, we continue to pay attention to the first-line support near 2746. If the retracement does not break, we can find opportunities to enter long orders.
Today's Asian session opened with a deep retracement confirmation. If the intraday retracement to 2746 does not break, the bullish trend remains unchanged. On the contrary, if the gold price falls below 2746, it is expected to usher in a daily level turning adjustment. The upper strong resistance pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2818-20. The overall market continues to rely on this range to maintain high selling and low buying, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2765near SL:2760
BUY:2800near SL:2785
SELL:2818near SL:2823
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Tariffs Fail to Spark Gold RallyGold fell below $2,780 per ounce as the strengthening U.S. dollar outweighed safe-haven demand following the U.S. decision to impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods and a 10% levy on Chinese imports, set to take effect on Tuesday. Although such developments typically stimulate demand for gold, the appreciating dollar and interest rate outlook are limiting upward pressure. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers while the inflationary effects of tariffs could keep borrowing costs high, weighing on the appeal of non-yielding assets like bullion. Some investors also engaged in profit-taking after gold recently hit a record high, further contributing to its decline.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2817 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Levels to watch out I’ve exited my long positions and am staying on the sidelines for now. I won’t be selling into the current strength just yet, as there’s still room for exhaustion around the 2850 level. I’ll consider entering shorts if the market closes below 2725, with targets closer to 2000.
History is likely to repeat itself, with retailers jumping into the FOMO at 3000.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 03.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Trend Structure:
The chart shows a clear uptrend, forming a series of higher highs.
Price is currently near a trendline support, indicating a potential bounce.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: $2,770 - $2,775 (Trendline & previous resistance turned support)
Target (Resistance): $2,800 (Previous high & psychological level)
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765 (Below the trendline and key support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $2,770 - $2,775
Take Profit (TP): $2,800
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with a small risk and a decent upside.
Technical Indicators:
Price retesting support zone.
If it holds above support, the bullish trend could continue.
Conclusion:
If gold bounces from the support, it could head towards $2,800.
A break below $2,765 could indicate further downside.
Bullish bias remains unless the support breaks.
**Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Bearish Confirmation at Major ResisThis chart shows gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key resistance and support zones.
Key Observations:
1. All-Time High & Major Resistance:
- Price recently reached an all-time high and faced rejection from the major resistance zone.
- A pullback is currently in progress, and the chart suggests waiting for **bearish confirmation** before entering a short trade.
2. Bearish Expectation:**
- If the resistance holds and bearish confirmation appears, a sell-off toward the **1st target (2,772.32)** and then the 2nd target (2,750.15 - 2,750.43) is expected.
3. Major Support Zone:**
- If the decline continues, the **major support** area around **2,720** could be tested.
Trading Strategy:
- Wait for confirmation** before entering short positions.
- A strong **bearish rejection** from resistance will validate the short setup.
- If price breaks back above resistance, bearish bias would weaken.
Intraday plan: buy above 2765 and sell below 2806.The weekly chart of gold continues to be strong and the price continues to run in the bull trend channel. Gold hit a new historical high of 2817 on Friday. The further strengthening of the bulls has expanded the room for growth. The daily structure continues the upward trend. The latest MA10/7-day moving average has moved up to 2767/2775. After the price touched the upper track of the Bollinger Band, it fell back at the end of the week. The RSI indicator daily chart is above the 70 value.
The price of the short-term four-hour chart remains in the upper track of the Bollinger Band channel, and the moving average still remains open upward. However, after the RSI indicator is overbought at 80 values, it is necessary to pay attention to the price's high and fall and another wash adjustment. In view of this week's NFP data and a series of tariff policies of the Federal Reserve and the new government, the volatility of the gold market is expected to continue to expand this week, which is an opportunity and more risks. Participate cautiously and strictly manage risk control.
Pay attention to a few points in this trading day: In terms of the general trend, for bulls, the current support point of concern is around 2765, which is the point of bottoming out and stabilizing, that is, the starting point. According to the principle of strong retracement without breaking the starting point, as long as the market price remains above 2765, the market's bullish atmosphere will not change significantly.
This week's opening short-term suppression appeared near 2808, but it is difficult for the market to reverse quickly at this stage. In terms of trend operation, although callbacks occur from time to time during the session, there is no reason for a sharp drop or reversal of the trend, and the price retracement is still in line with the trend. The main trading idea is still to buy at a low price after a pullback
Key points:
First support: 2776, second support: 2765, third support: 2757
First resistance: 2795, second resistance: 2806, third resistance: 2818
Marginal price operation ideas:
BUY: 2765-2768, SL: 2757, TP: 2790-2800;
SELL: 2802-2805, SL: 2813, TP: 2770-2760;
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Key Catalysts:
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Island Gold Expansion – High-Grade Drilling Success 🔬
Ongoing resource expansion at Island Gold increases AGI’s future production potential.
Lynn Lake Project – Long-Term Growth Pipeline 🌎
The Lynn Lake gold project, set for 2028, strengthens AGI’s future development outlook.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on AGI above $15.50-$16.00, supported by rising production, strategic acquisitions, and exploration upside.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $32.00-$33.00, reflecting strong operational execution and an expanding resource base.
📢 Alamos Gold—Sustainable Growth in Precious Metals. #Gold #Mining #AGI #SustainableMining
GOLD corrected and recovered, as the US Dollar soaredOANDA:XAUUSD Spot prices fell below 2,780 USD/ounce and recovered slightly. As of the time this article was completed, gold prices were trading at around 2,783 USD/ounce, as the strong US Dollar overshadowed safe haven demand. after the United States announced tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China.
On February 1, US President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% tariff on goods imported from China. The United States will also impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from Mexico and Canada. On the evening of February 2 local time, Trump announced that he would "definitely" impose new tariffs on the European Union.
While these developments typically boost safe-haven demand for precious metals, the stronger dollar and interest rate outlook have offset those pressures. The inflationary impact of tariffs could cause borrowing costs to remain high, which could put pressure on gold as it does not pay interest, while a stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold expensive. red and less attractive.
However, the current price decline is not something to worry about for the uptrend of gold prices, and in terms of general fundamental assessment, it still has a positive outlook in the near future when there are too many risks. with the potential for a long-lasting trade war.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD recovered after approaching the 0.236% trendline Fibonacci extension and is currently trading around 2,783USD.
With its current position, gold still has conditions to increase in price with the price channel as the main trend and main support from the EMA21. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still in the green uptrend. Although the room for growth is not much, it does not mean it is over.
If gold breaks above the $2,785 technical level it will have upside conditions with a target then around $2,800 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci extension.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, above EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,774 – 2,762USD
Resistance: 2,785 – 2,800USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2827 - 2825⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2831
→Take Profit 1 2820
↨
→Take Profit 2 2815
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2767 - 2769⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2763
→Take Profit 1 2774
↨
→Take Profit 2 2779
XAU/USD Feb '25 OutlookJanuary we have Gold in Bull trend towards the Chinese New Year which is very common. I think it will be due for a pullback, as seen by a sell-off during Asian session.
We have a candle displacement, taking liquidity at $2790 and now a retracement back.
The first week of February will be full of economic news from PMI, NFP and England's Bank Rate. I expect some volatility and will take 1-2 setups, probably avoiding Thu and Fri.
XAUUSD N15 | Bearish DropBased on the M15 chart analysis, the price is rising toward our buy entry level at 2789.90, which is a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 2772, an overlap pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 12802.96, above the 61.8% Fibo retracement level.
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Trade Idea for XAUUSD ( SELL STOP )Trade Idea for XAUUSD
Position: Short (Sell)
Reasoning:
1. Technical Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Price is at a key resistance level near 2775-2780, showing signs of exhaustion.
• M15 Chart: Recent strong bullish momentum has met resistance, and price has started to reject lower.
• M3 Chart: Short-term trend reversal, showing lower highs and a loss of bullish momentum.
• Indicators:
• RSI (14) on M15 & M3: Shows overbought conditions.
• MACD: Weakening momentum, signaling potential for reversal.
2. Fundamental Analysis:
• If upcoming macroeconomic data (e.g., NFP, FOMC, CPI) favors USD strength, gold will likely decline.
• Higher U.S. bond yields or hawkish Fed sentiment can put downward pressure on XAUUSD.
Trade Setup
• Entry: 2775
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2785 (Above recent highs)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2755
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
This trade idea aligns with technical resistance, short-term reversal patterns, and fundamental factors favoring a potential gold decline.
Short Term Pain for Long Term GainAfter an amazing and wild week last week, I believe tomorrow will be the start of an even crazier one. Trump Tariffs, Oil and Gas up along with the US Dollar, while tech is on the verge of another break down. Will Bitcoin finally break below 89k, while Gold and Silver possibly break to the upside? Exciting times if you're ready for it.