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What are your thoughts on Gold? Possible Rally??Could we see a rally back to Structure break or Area of Interest??? -Price has broken through and retested Bullish Trend line -Price has broken through Structure Swing Low - LH Created Thesis: Wait for price to pull back to 1)Structure break or 2) Area of interest Notes: bearish run is rejecting Daily lvl 2558 W/ Massive rejection wick. 1) Rally to Area of Interest would be around 50% prz. (Head & Shoulders R Pattern) 2) Rally to Structure low (MSS) would be a 23.6prz.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by brianfj
4
XAUUSD: 25/11 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of spot gold Daily resistance 2750, support below 2637 Four-hour resistance 2720, support below 2650-37 Gold operation suggestions: Gold rose sharply last week, recovering the sharp drop of the previous week. And it stood above the 2700 mark again. After a brief weekly retracement, it recovered in the third week. From the weekly pattern, it has stabilized and rebounded steadily since the low point of 2536. There was no high-high closing low last Friday. The daily line reversed and touched the high trend, and the K-line chart showed strong performance. Gold is currently rising strongly for five consecutive days. It just plunged more than 60 US dollars because of the agreement between Palestine and Israel on the ceasefire plan. From the current 4-hour gold trend, the important upper pressure is 2710, the short-term support below is 2650, and the support below is 2637. In terms of operation, we will do more operations with a retracement, and continue to be bullish. As long as the market is above 2637, we will continue to be bullish and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2660near SL:2655 BUY:2650near SL:2645 BUY:2637near SL:2634
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-25-24 - Carryover TrendToday's pattern is a Carryover in Trend mode. Obviously, this is a holiday week, and because of low liquidity, I expect to see moderately wild price volatility. Stay cautious, as price moves could be exaggerated this week. Gold and Silver are still attempting to break higher and trading in a consolidated sideways price channel. BTCUSD pauses into the holiday week. This would be a good week to pause, read a good book, and avoid the risks in the global markets. This shortened trading week will likely result in very wild price swings. Stay cautious. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SILJLong
by BradMatheny
Risk aversion fades, trend turns to sellGold risk aversion has been alleviated, and gold has broken down directly. The bullish trend of gold has been temporarily alleviated. After the decline of gold, the bulls have no strong counterattack. It is difficult for gold bulls to make great achievements for the time being. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. Gold broke down with the relief of risk aversion, and then the 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn around. The strength of the gold bullish rise has weakened. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to 2683. Gold rebounded to 2683 in the US market and was shorted at highs. It can be shorted near the rebound of 2680. SELL: 2680-2683
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD 25/11/24Following last week's shift into a bullish narrative, we remain bullish on the higher timeframe. This outcome was anticipated in our previous reports, where we noted that failing to interact with key areas appropriately would likely result in a bullish shift. As expected, the daily bias has also turned bullish, aligning with our forecast. We failed to engage with the liquid highs and areas of supply, resulting in a push upward and the establishment of a new upward trajectory. Currently, we have an unmitigated area of supply, representing a potential counter move. While this scenario is less likely, we are closely monitoring the area of demand at the base of the last major move. If the current upward trajectory breaks, this demand zone will be our focus. As always, if the price continues downward to the demand area and fails to hold, we will look for lower points within the current range. Our bias will remain bullish unless the daily timeframe bias shifts again. However, if there is no pullback—as previously mentioned—this will be a counter-trend move, increasing the likelihood of another upward expansion. This would target pre-established highs and potentially breach the area of supply. It’s also worth noting that there are several pockets of liquidity around the demand area, as well as liquidity above the major highs of our previous downward trade. Trade safely, stick to your plan, and always follow your risk management rules.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
GOLD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2716.3 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clearshort signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 2668.8 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
2
XAU/USD : Gold will rise more? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price experienced a very slight correction before continuing its upward movement. In the past hours, gold reached $2710, which we previously identified as a supply zone. As a result, the price reacted to this level and corrected by over 100 pips, currently trading around $2700. After another minor correction, I believe gold could continue its upward trend. One of the key supply zones to watch is $2736 to $2738—keep an eye on it! 🚀 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
69
Gold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and DemandGold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and Demand Last week, gold continued its upward trajectory, closing at $2,716 per ounce. The positive momentum in the gold market was driven by several key factors related to geopolitics, the global economy, and structural demand for the metal. Geopolitics and Economic Uncertainty One of the primary drivers of gold prices remains geopolitical uncertainty. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has prompted investors to seek safe havens, with gold, as a traditional "safe haven" asset, attracting significant capital inflows. Additionally, economic uncertainty in the Eurozone and China is boosting demand for gold. In Europe, tensions stem from economic instability, while in China, concerns about a slowdown in key sectors of the economy weigh on market sentiment. Inflation Concerns The rising risk of a global inflation rebound also supports higher gold prices. The tariffs proposed by future President Donald Trump on goods imported into the U.S. could raise production costs and consumer prices, fueling inflation concerns. In such scenarios, gold becomes an attractive hedge against inflation. Monetary Policy and Central Bank Purchases Gold is also benefiting from the ongoing cycle of interest rate cuts around the world. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more appealing investment asset. Moreover, central banks continue to bolster their reserves by purchasing gold at a strong pace, a trend that supports the market amid increasing global uncertainties and inflation risks. Emerging Economies Driving Demand The economic growth of emerging markets, such as China and India, is another factor driving gold prices. These countries traditionally have high demand for gold, driven by cultural and investment preferences. As the wealth of these societies grows, demand for gold, both as an investment and in the form of jewelry, is likely to rise. Conclusion Gold remains a key beneficiary of global uncertainties, both geopolitical and economic. Factors such as escalating conflicts, inflation fears, loose monetary policy, and rising demand from emerging economies are bolstering its upward momentum. Will gold maintain its current growth trajectory? Much depends on the future course of geopolitical and economic developments. For now, gold stands out as an attractive asset for investors seeking safety and inflation protection. What are your forecasts for the gold market? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestMate
1
HelenP. I Gold will correct to trend line and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few moments ago price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and some time traded near this level. Then Gold turned around and started to grow to a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, making a gap as well. When the price reached the 2730 level, it tried to break it but failed, and then some time traded between this level. Later Gold finally broke this level and rose to 2790 points, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, it fell to the 2730 level, broke it, and then continued to fall. Price tried to return, but failed and dropped to the 2610 support level. Gold broke this level and then reached the trend line, after which turned around and started to move up near this line. Soon, the price broke the 2610 support level and rose almost the resistance level. At the moment, the price continues to grow, and I expect that XAUUSD will make a correction to the trend line and then rebound up to the resistance level. After this, the price can break it and continue to grow. That's why I set my goal at 2760 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
4
GOLD WHAT A BORING. PipGuard | THE GUIDE☀️ Good morning coffee to everyone! ☕ From where I’m writing, it’s morning—so, a real good morning to you all! How are you doing? I hope everything is great as always! 💖 Before we start... 📢 Let me ask you for a quick favor: give this a boost, a follow, and leave a comment! I share my market analyses for free, and as you know, they can be highly profitable 💸. Supporting my work takes just a moment, it’s simple, fast, and most importantly, free! Thank you, my friend! 🙏 Let’s talk about the market! 💹 For weeks, I’ve been calling for a gold correction, and guess what? BOOM ! Last night, the price dropped by a massive 600 pips . 🎯 Let me be upfront: I’m not a fan of this recent rally. 😑 It’s been driven by various factors—Trump’s election, global geopolitical tensions, and more. However, in my view, this correction isn’t over yet . And if it is? Don’t worry! PipGuard’s got your back, always offering comprehensive analyses for both directions. Technical Analysis: “Gold is boring!” 🤓 Yes, I know—it’s tedious. But it’s crucial! 💼 The market had the chance to correct as early as last Wednesday, but it chose to climb instead. Fair enough— let’s dig into the details: 📊 Timeframes analyzed: Weekly (WK), 24H, and 4H. 💥 Price action last night: a sharp drop. Last Friday, the market performed a liquidity grab at 2710 , just above my bearish entry (2712–2722). This was accompanied by: - A breaker block on the 24H timeframe - A bearish order block (30-minute timeframe) between 2715 and 2722. And voilà, the downward move materialized! What now? Here’s the breakdown. 📉 Bearish liquidity: spotted between 2676 and 2692 , close to our structural shift. This proximity makes further downside highly probable. But remember! We’re not wizards or fortune-tellers 🧙‍♂️—we operate based on statistical advantages, our true superpower. 💪 👉 Key level: 2650. - If the price stays above it, bullish continuation remains possible. - If it closes below (preferably with a full-body 24H or weekly candle), a further drop becomes likely, targeting 2525 , 2515 , and potentially 2480. 📈 Bullish scenario? Two possibilities: 1. The price reacts to the latest order block. 2. It pushes toward new highs. o wrap it up... If you found this analysis helpful, please boost, follow, and comment! 🚀 I dedicate a lot of time and effort to create these free insights for you—I don’t keep trades just for myself! 😉 Wishing you an amazing day and a great start to your week! 🌟 Best regards, PipGuard. 💼✨
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by PipGuard
Gold price analysis November 25Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell after hitting a near three-week high around $2,721-$2,722 in Asian trade on Monday and now appear to have snapped a five-day winning streak. US President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, removing a major source of uncertainty for the market. Additionally, reports that Israel is close to a ceasefire with the Hezbollah militant group in Lebanon have boosted investor confidence. This has translated into a bullish mood in the market and has pulled the safe-haven metal back to near the mid-$2,600 level. Furthermore, expectations that Trump’s proposed policies could spark inflation and limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have turned out to be another factor undermining the non-yielding gold price. Meanwhile, Bessent has been vocal about the need to control the deficit and his nomination brought some relief to bond investors. This led to a sharp drop in US Treasury yields, prompting some profit-taking in the US Dollar (USD) following the post-US election rally to its highest level since November 2022 and helping limit any further declines in XAU/USD. Technical Analysis After a strong decline in the price zone of 2658, the recovery is approaching the breakout zone of 2673. The European trading session will pay attention to the 2773 zone. When the price breaks this zone in the European session, it will return to the uptrend today with an important price of 2684. In case the price pushes down and cannot break the temporary bottom of 2658, the strategy will wait to BUY again when there is a price reaction. If it breaks 2658, 2645 will become the strategic support zone of today to prevent the price of Gold from sliding.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Timeframes and Correlations in Multi-Asset Markets1. Introduction Understanding correlations across timeframes is essential for traders and investors managing diverse portfolios. Correlations measure how closely the price movements of two assets align, revealing valuable insights into market relationships. However, these relationships often vary based on the timeframe analyzed, with daily, weekly, and monthly perspectives capturing unique dynamics. This article delves into how correlations evolve across timeframes, explores their underlying drivers, and examines real-world examples involving multi-asset instruments such as equities, bonds, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. By focusing on these key timeframes, traders can identify meaningful trends, manage risks, and make better-informed decisions. 2. Timeframe Aggregation Effect Correlations vary significantly depending on the aggregation level of data: Daily Timeframe: Reflects short-term price movements dominated by noise and intraday volatility. Daily correlations often show weaker relationships as asset prices react to idiosyncratic or local factors. Weekly Timeframe: Aggregates daily movements, smoothing out noise and capturing medium-term relationships. Correlations tend to increase as patterns emerge over several days. Monthly Timeframe: Represents long-term trends influenced by macroeconomic factors, smoothing out daily and weekly fluctuations. At this level, correlations reflect systemic relationships driven by broader forces like interest rates, inflation, or global risk sentiment. Example: The correlation between ES (S&P 500 Futures) and BTC (Bitcoin Futures) may appear weak on a daily timeframe due to high BTC volatility. However, their monthly correlation might strengthen, aligning during broader risk-on periods fueled by Federal Reserve easing cycles. 3. Smoothing of Volatility Across Timeframes Shorter timeframes tend to exhibit lower correlations due to the dominance of short-term volatility and market noise. These random fluctuations often obscure deeper, more structural relationships. As the timeframe extends, volatility smooths out, revealing clearer correlations between assets. Example: ZN (10-Year Treasuries) and GC (Gold Futures) exhibit a weaker correlation on a daily basis because they react differently to intraday events. However, over monthly timeframes, their correlation strengthens due to shared drivers like inflation expectations and central bank policies. By aggregating data over weeks or months, traders can focus on meaningful relationships rather than being misled by short-term market randomness. 4. Market Dynamics at Different Frequencies Market drivers vary depending on the asset type and the timeframe analyzed. While short-term correlations often reflect immediate market reactions, longer-term correlations align with broader economic forces: Equities (ES - S&P 500 Futures): Correlations with other assets are driven by growth expectations, earnings reports, and investor sentiment. These factors fluctuate daily but align more strongly with macroeconomic trends over longer timeframes. Cryptocurrencies (BTC - Bitcoin Futures): Highly speculative and volatile in the short term, BTC exhibits weak daily correlations with traditional assets. However, its monthly correlations can strengthen with risk-on/risk-off sentiment, particularly in liquidity-driven environments. Safe-Havens (ZN - Treasuries and GC - Gold Futures): On daily timeframes, these assets may respond differently to specific events. Over weeks or months, correlations align more closely due to shared reactions to systemic risk factors like interest rates or geopolitical tensions. Example: During periods of market stress, ZN and GC may show stronger weekly or monthly correlations as investors seek safe-haven assets. Conversely, daily correlations might be weak as each asset responds to its unique set of triggers. 5. Case Studies To illustrate the impact of timeframes on correlations, let’s analyze a few key asset relationships: o BTC (Bitcoin Futures) and ES (S&P 500 Futures): Daily: The correlation is typically weak (around 0.28) due to BTC’s high volatility and idiosyncratic behavior. Weekly/Monthly: During periods of broad market optimism, BTC and ES may align more closely (0.41), reflecting shared exposure to investor risk appetite. o ZN (10-Year Treasuries) and GC (Gold Futures): Daily: These assets often show weak or moderate correlation (around 0.39), depending on intraday drivers. Weekly/Monthly: An improved correlation (0.41) emerges due to their mutual role as hedges against inflation and monetary uncertainty. o 6J (Japanese Yen Futures) and ZN (10-Year Treasuries): Daily: Correlation moderate (around 0.53). Weekly/Monthly: Correlation strengthens (0.74) as both assets reflect broader safe-haven sentiment, particularly during periods of global economic uncertainty. These case studies demonstrate how timeframe selection impacts the interpretation of correlations and highlights the importance of analyzing relationships within the appropriate context. 6. Conclusion Correlations are not static; they evolve based on the timeframe and underlying market drivers. Short-term correlations often reflect noise and idiosyncratic volatility, while longer-term correlations align with structural trends and macroeconomic factors. By understanding how correlations change across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes, traders can identify meaningful relationships and build more resilient strategies. The aggregation of timeframes also reveals diversification opportunities and risk factors that may not be apparent in shorter-term analyses. With this knowledge, market participants can better align their portfolios with prevailing market conditions, adapting their strategies to maximize performance and mitigate risk. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by traddictiv
XAUUSD - The rise of gold is over!?Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of a corrective movement with low momentum, we can witness the continued rise and see supply zones and sell within that range with a suitable risk reward. After enduring two weeks of sharp declines following Donald Trump's election victory, the gold market bounced back with a strong bounce last week. The price of this precious metal grew in all trading sessions of the week and by Friday afternoon, with an increase of nearly 150 dollars, it once again attracted the attention of investors. Commerzbank commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes that the Swiss Federal Customs Service released data on gold exports in October this week. "These data showed very different trends. Deliveries to China were significantly weaker at just 5 tonnes. Almost no gold was exported to Hong Kong. On the other hand, exports to India have increased. However, the export level in October was still relatively low at 11.7 tons. A little more gold than the previous month has been delivered to America. However, inflows of 30 tonnes into US-listed gold ETFs, reported by the World Gold Council (WGC), in October were higher than the 9.4 tonnes reported. The sharp increase in Swiss gold exports to the UK to 31.9 tonnes is surprising, although gold ETFs listed there recorded outflows in October, according to the World Gold Council. Darin Newsom, chief market analyst at Barchart.com, stated in his analysis of the future trend of gold: "The path of movement of gold is still upward. But due to the speed and intensity of the recent upward trend, there is a possibility of a sudden correction in the market. This risk increases due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States and the end of the month." He also emphasized: "Despite this, geopolitical factors continue to play a decisive role in the market. The current chaos has overwhelmed technical analysis and Russian President Putin has not backed down from his nuclear threats. These conditions will most likely lead investors to buy gold until the end of 2024." Next week, the US economic calendar will be shorter than usual due to the Thanksgiving holiday, but several key reports will continue to be in the focus of traders. On Tuesday, the Conference Board's consumer confidence index for November and new home sales for October will be released in early market hours. Next, the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) are published. On Wednesday, key data releases will be limited to the early hours of the day due to the Thanksgiving holiday. The market will watch the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) core inflation index for October, which is one of the key indicators considered by the Federal Reserve to assess inflation. At the same time, the statistics of durable goods orders and the weekly report of unemployment claimants will also be published. Then, pending home sales figures for October will be released, which will provide a clear picture of housing market trends.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Gold price continues to recoverLast week, gold posted an impressive gain of over $150 per ounce, recovering strongly across all trading sessions. This remarkable performance highlights the unwavering confidence of investors in the precious metal, particularly during times of economic and geopolitical turmoil. From a personal perspective, gold's upward momentum is expected to remain supported by safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate. Additionally, the "buy-the-dip" activity during minor corrections has helped sustain gold prices at elevated levels. In the short term, if gold holds above the critical $2,700/ounce mark, the likelihood of it advancing to $2,800/ounce increases significantly. Moreover, optimistic forecasts suggest that gold could reach $3,000/ounce by next year, despite the challenges posed by a strong US Dollar and rising US bond yields. Gold continues to solidify its role as a "safe harbor" during uncertain times. With its current upward trajectory, the precious metal remains a highly attractive asset, drawing robust interest from investors across the globe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Veda_Solomon
2
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2711.Dear colleagues, the price continues its upward movement and it means that wave “C” is definitely formed. I believe that the price is forming a five-wave movement and we have 2 options for the development of events 1) Wave “1” is not formed yet and will continue the upward movement - this is a more risky entry into a long position. 2) Wave “1” is formed and I expect a correction in wave “2” to the area of 38.2-50% Fibo lvl (2605.5) and then an upward movement to the resistance area 2711. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
21
Gold's (xauusd) perspective for starting the weekKey Observations: Ascending Channel: Gold is trading within a well-defined upward channel. The recent rejection near the upper boundary confirms resistance at higher levels. Pullback Underway: The price has shown a pullback from the highs and is approaching the internal trendline around $2,642, which could act as interim support. Major Support Zone: The key support zone lies between $2,500-$2,550, coinciding with the lower boundary of the channel. This area is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure. Expected Movement: The price may first retest $2,642, followed by another drop to the $2,500-$2,550 support zone. A bullish bounce from this zone would reaffirm the long-term uptrend. Bearish Scenario: A break below the $2,500 support zone could invalidate the ascending channel, exposing gold to deeper declines.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
1