Gold & Silver Go Ballistic: The Fed Collides with Trump!Well, well, well… look who’s breaking records like a rockstar smashing guitars. Gold just hit an all-time high, blasting past $2,795 per ounce like it’s got a rocket strapped to its back. 🚀💰 Meanwhile, silver? Oh, she’s not just tagging along—she’s on a mission, up 60 cents to $31.65 per ounce. 🎯⚡
But wait… this isn’t just your average bull run. There’s blood in the water, and the sharks are circling. 🦈💸
🔎 Behind the Scenes: The COMEX Panic
Turns out, Trump’s tariff threats have thrown institutional traders into full-blown “Oh Sh*t” mode. 🏃💨 They’re scrambling to move gold and silver into the U.S. before any new taxes hit, and it’s causing absolute chaos in the background. The COMEX is feeling the squeeze, and some traders? They can’t even source the metal to cover their bets—so they’re bailing out of positions before they get steamrolled. 🚨📉
And if you think silver is done partying, think again. An analyst at TD Commodities just threw gasoline on the fire, warning that the market is severely underpricing a potential EXPLOSION in silver prices. 🔥💥 With tariffs on Mexico & Canada looming, this thing could go vertical any second now. 📈🤯
💀 Meanwhile, in Trump Land…
The Orange Man himself is out here taking shots at the real villain (in his eyes)—the Federal Reserve. 🎯💀 In a classic Trumpian mic drop moment, he blamed the Fed for wrecking the economy with inflation:
👉 “If the Fed had spent less time on DEI, gender ideology, 'green' energy, and fake climate change, Inflation would never have been a problem.” - Trump, straight from Truth Social. 🔥🎤
Love him or hate him, one thing’s for sure—markets are feeling the heat. And if these tariffs go live, this gold & silver rally could turn into an absolute face-melter. 🏆🔥
📢 Stay locked in. This ride’s just getting started. 🚀💰
Metals
New Quarterly Shift Analysis for XAUUSDThis post is based on my learnings from ICT Quarterly Shift Analysis teachings.
In September 2024, I published my quarterly shift analysis for #Gold. Back then, I estimated a shift in the market structure for Gold on or around the US Presidential Election date. It happened exactly as outlined. I estimated Gold to make a bear move or to create a large range, it did indeed created large range and has been moving within the range since then. The top of the range is 2790.10 and the bottom of the range is 2536.60.
For the new quarter, I expect Gold to make a new market structure shift during the week of President Trump's inauguration, specially on the Inauguration Date (20 January 2025).
During this critical period (from 20th to 31st January 2025), If Gold closes a strong bull candle above 2790.10, then I expect Gold to move towards new highs (2828, 2918 and 3000) in the next three-four months.
BUT, if Gold closes a strong bear candle below 2536.60, then I expect Gold to move towards 2480, 2340, and 2200 in the next three-four months.
Since US Elections, Gold has created more bearish indications compared to bullish indications, therefore, I am more in the favor of a bearish move, but I will wait for price confirmations to make up my final decision during the Inauguration Week.
Disclaimer: This is not a signal, just an analysis for your consideration and benefit. Please mix it with your own analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Jan 31 : GAP PotentialAs we move into the end of January 2025, I'm still watching for technical failure near these higher levels. On Monday, we saw a huge breakdown in the markets just days after my Jan 21-23 Top prediction. Now, as we are moving into the Feb 9-11 DeepV base/bottom pattern - I've been expecting the markets to move into a downward trending phase - which has not happened yet.
The way I see the markets right now and how I would offer a general interpretation of the trend is "struggling to find/set a new trend".
In other words, the markets are really congested in a wide range. I believe the markets will attempt to move downward after today's opening GAP higher.
I believe the markets are going to continue to struggle to find support and trade in a downward-sloping consolidated price range until Q3/Q4:2025.
I believe the markets are reacting to earnings and continued support right now, but that will ultimately resolve as a breakdown phase over the next 60+ days - leading to the multiple BASE/BOTTOM patterns my cycle research suggests will happen.
So, I continue to explain what I see in the context of the broader cycle phases.
Gold and Silver may rally a bit today - but we have a CRUSH pattern on Monday - so try not to carry any positions over the weekend.
BTCUSD is struggling to move away from very strong consolidation. It is also setting up multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns. I believe we need to be patient as BTCUSD struggles to find a new trend. Right now, I see more downside potential than upside potential.
I would offer one warning about today. Today's opening GAP will likely prompt a breakdown in price (moving downward) as we head into next week.
I believe next week will be very volatile. Buckle up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD at Critical Resistance – Reversal Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading at a key resistance zone, a level where sellers have previously taken control. If buyers fail to break through, we could see a rejection that sends the price lower toward $2,740.
I anticipate a move downward if we get bearish confirmation—such as rejection wicks, a bearish engulfing candle, or weakening buying pressure. However, a strong breakout and sustained hold above this zone could invalidate the setup, shifting momentum bullish and opening the door for new highs.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Gold can reach resistance line of channel and then start declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, broke the 2620 level and reached the resistance line of the channel. After this, Gold made a correction to the buyer zone and then turned around and quickly rose back. Then the price made a correction again and continued to move up inside the channel, and soon it reached the second support level (2700) which is located inside the support area and at once corrected to the support line of the channel. Next, the price some time traded near this line and soon reached the 2700 level and broke it, after which made a retest and continued to move up next. Later Gold rose to the current support level, which coincided with one more support area, and corrected the support line of the channel. Price some time traded near this line, again, and later rebounded up to the 2780 level and broke it too. At the moment, the price continues to move up and I think that Gold can reach the resistance line of the channel and then start to decline to the support line, breaking the support level. That's why I set my TP at 2770 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold looks weak short 📊 Analyzing **Gold (XAUUSD)** across multiple timeframes:
**22-day time frame**, **Weekly time frame**, **Daily time frame**, and **4-hour time frame**.
📉 Gold is likely to decline from **$2,797** to **$2,700**, forming a potential short setup.
Key resistance has been identified, and a downward move is expected in the short term.
🔒 Stop Loss can be set above resistance to manage risk effectively.
🔍 We are using key support and resistance levels to identify this trade setup.
Gold is approaching a crucial resistance zone, indicating a possible rejection.
**Bearish View:** Expecting a move from **$2,797** down to **$2,700**.
**Bullish View:** If Gold breaks above **$2,797**, further upside may follow.
🌟 This setup presents a very interesting opportunity! Watch price action near **$2,797** for confirmation. 📉
⚠️ **Note:** Further downside is expected if Gold breaks below **$2,700**. ⚠️
🔔 **Be sure to follow the updated ideas for real-time insights!** 🔔
⏰ **Analysis Time:** Gold (XAUUSD) across multiple timeframes.
⚖️ **Do not forget to set a Stop Loss** for risk management! Protect your capital! 🔒
💡 **Follow your trading plan; this is just my analysis. I’d love to see your thoughts in the comments!**
✅ **Don't forget to hit the 'Like' button** ✅ 🙏😊 & share it with your friends; thanks, and happy trading! 📉
GOLD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2796.6
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2772.5
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Platinum Approaching Key Resistance — Will It Drop to 1,010$?OANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, making it a key level to watch for potential rejection.
If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation—such as rejection wicks, a bearish engulfing candle, or weakening bullish momentum—I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,010 level. However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially opening the door for further upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
XAUUSD - Gold hits new ATH!Gold is trading above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
Donald Trump has announced his intention to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico due to the fentanyl issue, emphasizing that these tariffs will take effect starting Saturday. He also stated that China will eventually have to pay tariffs as well, and that the U.S. is already implementing trade restrictions against Beijing.
Trump further asserted that the era of passively watching BRICS nations attempt to distance themselves from the U.S. dollar is over. He declared that these countries must commit to neither creating a new BRICS currency nor supporting any alternative to the powerful U.S. dollar. Otherwise, they will face 100% tariffs and lose access to the thriving American economy. He insisted that BRICS has no chance of replacing the U.S. dollar in global trade, and any country attempting to do so will face severe economic consequences.
(Translation continues…)
Continuation of the English Translation:
Trump’s repeated tariff threats have raised concerns among American consumers and introduced economic risks for the United States. Even the mere discussion of such tariffs can have significant economic effects by influencing consumer behavior. Evidence suggests that many Americans are seriously worried about the potential consequences of these policies.
According to a survey conducted by economists from the University of Texas, the University of California, and the University of Chicago, Americans expect substantial tariffs to be imposed on all major trade partners—50% on Chinese imports and 35% on imports from Canada and Europe. Contrary to Trump’s claims, most citizens believe these tariffs will directly impact them by driving up prices. When asked about a hypothetical 20% tariff, half of the respondents stated that the majority of the costs would be passed directly to consumers.
Political differences are also evident in the perception of these tariffs. Democrats and Republicans disagree on the extent to which consumers will bear the costs. Democrats estimate that 68% of the tariff burden will fall on consumers, whereas Republicans believe it will be around 41%. Regardless of political stance, the financial strain from these tariffs is expected to be significant, particularly for consumers already weary of inflation.
Both the public and economists recognize that tariffs on imports can also raise prices for domestically produced goods. The economic impact of tariffs was clearly demonstrated during Trump’s first term. A study found that the tariffs imposed in 2018 on washing machines from South Korea and China led to a nearly equivalent price increase for washing machines in the U.S.—and even drove up the price of dryers as well.
Even if these new tariffs are not implemented, their mere threat can lead to price hikes. Many consumers, anticipating higher costs, are choosing to make purchases in advance. In a survey, 43% of respondents stated that they would buy products before the tariffs take effect to avoid potential price increases.Another survey in January found that 20% of people believed that now was the right time to buy durable goods because prices were likely to rise.
Businesses are responding in a similar fashion. Many companies are stockpiling inventory ahead of potential tariff hikes or shifting their supply chains to countries that would not be affected. This behavior has contributed to a surge in exports from China to the U.S., with December marking the second-highest export level on record—at least partly driven by efforts to preempt new tariffs.
These strategies, however, come with additional costs, much of which will likely be passed on to consumers. The COVID-19 pandemic provided a clear example of how supply chain disruptions can lead to widespread cost increases. For instance, higher import costs for auto parts eventually resulted in more expensive vehicle repairs and insurance premiums.
Stimulating inflation under current economic conditions—even temporarily—would be costly. The Federal Reserve has paused further interest rate cuts, waiting for clearer signs of sustained inflation reduction. Rising prices for key goods, particularly automobiles, halted progress in lowering inflation in the fourth quarter of last year. Additional inflationary pressures caused by tariff expectations could delay the Fed’s next rate cut and keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. The uncertainty surrounding future tariffs reinforces the Fed’s cautious stance.
Inflation is not the only concern stemming from tariff threats. A third of survey respondents indicated that the likelihood of widespread tariffs would lead them to cut spending and increase savings. The greater the uncertainty surrounding trade policy, the stronger the incentive for precautionary savings.
American consumers have been the driving force behind the nation’s economic recovery. However, the recent wave of tariff threats has created deep concerns, potentially putting the U.S. economy—widely regarded as one of the strongest in the world—at risk.
DeGRAM | GOLD correction after the topGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
We expect a correction.
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PALLADIUM Strong buy signal on the Channel Up bottom.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up, which priced its most recent Higher Low exactly a month ago (Dec 31). This coincided with a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, a formation that was also present during the pattern's previous Higher Low on August 05 2024.
This resulted in a similar Channel rebound, that initiated the new Bullish Leg, which eventually peaked after a +49.28% rise. We expect a similar technical reaction, thus turning bullish on Palladium, targeting 1330.
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Gold Is Eyeing 2800 AreaGold remains in a strong intraday five-wave bullish impulse and the recent intraday three-wave a-b-c decline indicates for wave 4 correction that stopped perfectly at the former wave "iv" swing low and 38,2% Fibonacci retracement, which is a textbook pattern by Elliott wave theory. With the current bounce, be aware of a bullish resumption within wave 5 that can send the price towards 2800 area, especially if breaks above intraday channel resistance line.
DeGRAM | GOLD is holding in a rising trendGOLD is in an ascending channel.
The price has held the lower boundary of the channel and is now approaching its historical peak.
The chart is moving from the support level where a bullish takeover was formed.
We expect XAUUSD to conquer a new top.
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Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Surges to $31.7 on Fed Speculation and Supply Deficit
Silver jumped past $31.7 per ounce on Thursday, a six-week high, as Fed policy speculation boosted demand for non-yielding assets.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth straight annual supply deficit despite higher output from China, Canada, and Chile.
Investors also assessed industrial demand, particularly from Chinese solar panel manufacturers, a key driver of silver consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90 consequently. On the downside 30.90 will be the first support level. 29.80 and 29.30 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Gold Surges on Tariff Concerns and Global Central Bank Easing Gold neared $2,800 per ounce on Friday, hitting a record high as Trump’s renewed tariff threats fueled demand for safe-haven assets amid trade war fears.
The rally was also supported by dovish central bank policies. The ECB cut rates, the BoC ended quantitative tightening, and the Riksbank eased policy. The PBoC and RBI signaled looser monetary stances. Meanwhile, the Fed held rates steady, reinforcing expectations for two cuts later this year. Gold is on track for its biggest monthly gain since March 2024.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2800 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2820 and 2858 consequently. On the downside, 2730 will be the first support level. 2660 and 2630 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 161.8% Fibo lvl (2797.968).This month it is extremely difficult to predict the movement of gold, because there are too strong processes in the world, which no one expects.
But I will always try and will not give up drawing waves, because it brings profit and valuable experience.
In this case, I see a continuation of the upward movement to the area of 161.8% Fibonacci extension level. This is the area of 2797.968.
Of course, I would like the price to first descend on the correction in wave “2” and reach the support area 2724, after which limit pending orders will be activated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD GOLD NEXT EXPECTED MOVE ! Gold (XAUUSD) is currently in an uptrend, but we are waiting for a retracement before entering a buy position. A pullback to a key support zone will provide a better entry opportunity, allowing us to catch the next bullish move with lower risk.
If the price corrects and shows strong buying signals, we will look for confirmations to enter. This strategy helps in maximizing gains while managing risk effectively.
Stay patient and wait for the right setup before taking action! 🚀