Concerns about Trump's tariff policies are boosting gold demand
Gold prices have surged to an all-time high as demand for safe haven increased significantly, driven by the concerns of Trump's tariff policy. The 25% tariff threats on Mexico and Canada are creating significant uncertainty in the trade and foreign relations of the Trump administration. Investors are turning to gold as a reliable refuge from the DeepSeek shock and the tremendously high valuations of major US tech stocks, seeking a safe haven amid the current volatility. Furthermore, the US Q4 GDP growth of 2.3% fell short of the 2.7% market forecast, intensifying the demand for gold as a safe haven.
While sustaining a solid uptrend, XAUUSD recorded a historical high. Both EMAs continue to widen the gap, pointing to an extension of bullish momentum. If XAUUSD holds above the ascending trendline, the price could gain upward momentum toward a new high of 2850. Conversely, if XAUUSD fails to hold above the support at 2780 and EMA21, the price may retreat below the trendline.
Metals
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher within its range-bound market. On the daily chart, it faced resistance near the gap created on January 27. Even if the index continues to rise, it is likely to encounter strong resistance near the January 24 closing price of 21,911. Keep in mind the principle that gaps tend to get filled and that they often act as strong support or resistance levels once filled.
Since the MACD is still maintaining a buy signal on the daily chart, it is advantageous to adopt a buy-on-dip strategy. The recent move appears to be driven by dollar weakness, and similar to gold's strong rally yesterday, Nasdaq could also experience an additional upward rally. Therefore, short positions should be taken at the highest possible levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the zero line and is now pulling the signal line upward as well. If the index continues to rise and fills the gap, both the MACD and signal line will be above the zero line, and after consolidating at the gap resistance level, the next directional movement will likely be determined. It is best to focus on buying on dips while setting strict stop-loss levels for any short positions above the gap. Proper risk management is key.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed nearly flat but showed a meaningful breakout from the downward channel on the shorter time frames. It also created a gap-up on the daily chart and broke above the 5-day moving average. Previously, oil had been declining due to Trump's announcement regarding increased oil drilling, but this news is largely priced in now, making a technical rebound possible.
The key level to watch on the upside is $74.50, while buying opportunities exist below $73, with a stop-loss at $72.
On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence has formed at the bottom, leading to another buy signal. Since the price appears to be building a base, additional buying momentum could emerge. While the market is still range-bound, a buy-on-dip strategy remains favorable for now.
Gold
Gold surged to new all-time highs and closed with strong gains. The rally was driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets following Trump’s tariff imposition, boosting gold prices significantly. As mentioned yesterday, the MACD turned upward again, leading to another sharp rally on the daily chart.
Since gold strongly broke out of its previous range with a large bullish candlestick, today is a buy-on-dip day, particularly near the 3-day moving average. If the price retraces in the pre-market session, it could dip toward the 3-day moving average, so traders should be mindful of this possibility. However, if gold maintains its strength and closes with another bullish candlestick, the 3-day moving average will move higher, reinforcing the uptrend.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have diverged significantly, reflecting the strong uptrend. Buying on dips remains effective, while selling should be avoided since RSI indicates overbought conditions. As gold's volatility is increasing, traders should consider adjusting contract sizes, using micro contracts, or lowering leverage to allow for wider stop-loss levels and better trade management.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21680 / 21630 / 21580 / 21530 / 21465
-Sell Levels: 21770 / 21845 / 21890 / 22010 / 22055
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00 / 71.40
-Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.10 / 74.50 / 75.00
GOLD - Bullish Market(April)
-Buy Levels: 2845 / 2840 / 2831 / 2824
-Sell Levels: 2860 / 2866 / 2870
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 30.01.2025Gold has ONCE AGAIN created another new ATH. We seem to be creating a new all-time after all-time high. However Gold is now overbought & needs a serious correction.
Option 1: Gold pushes a little higher towards $2,800 before coming back down.
Option 2: Gold correct towards $2,780-70 before it pushes back up early next week, towards $2,816.
GOLD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend along the
Rising support line and the price
Is now making a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 2786$ which reinforces our
Bullish bias and makes us expect
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Our Gold sell analysis has been invalidated, as price decided to target the last major high & psychological price of $2,790. I did point out on my first sell analysis that this round number was a potential threat to our sell bias, as round numbers are always seen as a liquidity sweep.
HOWEVER, now that this high has been swiped I will still be remaining bearish on Gold in the MID TERM. Looking for price action to settle down in the next week & provide more clear market structure. Anywhere between $2,790 - $2,840 we can see bears take over again!
Meta, time to enter?Hi everyone!
Pattern: Meta formed an ascending triangle from Jan 2024 up to Sep 2024 where it broke out of the pattern. Currently retesting the breakout level and has potential for long entry.
Price target: The price target for ascending triangle breakout pattern is the measure of the height of the triangle from its base to the resistance line. Add this to the breakout point and we get the target price of 670$
Caution: If the price fall back to the triangle, this analysis is not valid anymore.
XAU/USD 4H Analysis: Bullish Momentum Towards $2,780?📊 XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Momentum 🚀💰
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Current Price: $2,754.16 (+0.19%)
🔹 Support Zone: $2,740 - $2,750 (Previous resistance turned support ✅)
🔹 Resistance Zone: $2,780 (Next potential target 🎯)
🔹 200 EMA: $2,687.43 (Price is above = Bullish signal 📈)
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken past a key level and might retest before moving higher 🔄📊
📉 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case: If price holds above $2,750, we could see a rally towards $2,780+ 🚀
❌ Bearish Case: If price drops below $2,740, we might see a correction back to $2,720 ⚠️
🔥 Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum and may continue its uptrend towards $2,780+ if it sustains above the breakout level! Keep an eye on support at $2,750 for confirmation. 👀💎
Would you like further indicators or a different timeframe analysis? ⏳📊
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy's dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold and of list ATH 2798😁 ready for Short 😀 list night 🌉 FOMC meeting 🤝 ) low carncy rates) technical fundamental analysis looking And of gold ATH (2798) now gold still moving to recover Short 😀
Key Resistance level 2798
Key Support level 2786 - 2772 - 2766 - 2766
Mr SMC Trading point
Plaes support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
SILVER | The longest timeframe cup & handle in history!SILVER has been forming a cup-and-handle pattern for the past 45 years. And even though SILVER has made some incredible moves during that time, its price has been blatantly manipulated by the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association), central banks around the world, and a completely fraudulent derivatives market that circulates fake paper silver at hundreds of times greater than the underlying asset. Prices have been artificially suppressed for decades to prop up the global fake fiat currency Ponzi scheme and tighten the grip of control over nearly every asset and human being—making these fake currencies appear legitimate when they are clearly instruments of debt and deception.
This artificial suppression of SILVER and many other commodities is coming to an end as the debt-and-death paradigm unravels before our very eyes.
The day is rapidly approaching when SILVER will enter true price discovery, and people will not believe the price points it will reach in the very near future. Silver is one of the most—if not the most—undervalued physical assets of all time.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC day on the chart smashing all our targets, just like we analysed.
We started the week completing our bearish targets into the retracement range for support. We then highlighted the weighted level rejection bounce for the push up into our Bullish targets, clearing 2778, followed with ema5 lock opening 2787, which was hit perfectly. We then finished off with our final lock above 2787 opening 2797, now complete!!! True level to level action!!!
Now we need to see ema5 lock above 2797 for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into Goldlturns below to find support. We are now siting in a new range and will need some play here to establish a blueprint to re-engage.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2787 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2787 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2797 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2808
BEARISH TARGETS
2768 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2757 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2757 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2746 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2746 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2732 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2732 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2707 - 2697
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold advancing to our profit target 2So far, everything played out wonderful.
PTG 1 is in the books and now Gold is moving towards our second PTG.
However, trailing the stop below structure is never a bad Idea. The worst that can happen is, that the trade gets stopped out in profit.
Check out the whole setup at the related publications.
Gold Trade Update – Jan 30📊 Gold Trade Update – Jan 27
Our last trade hit SL—unfortunate, but part of the game. Win some, lose some! 🔄
Gold is now at a critical ATH level , a strong resistance zone where the market must decide:
📌 Will it accept new all-time highs, or will bears pull it back down?
🚫 No active trades for now —we’re watching for a clear direction before making the next move.
🔻 Bearish Outlook:
- Expecting rejection of higher prices, leading to a pullback towards $2700 and below in the near term.
- This rally to $2800 seems short-lived, lacking solid fundamental backing—let’s see how it plays out.
- Stoch RSI is also overbought , signaling potential exhaustion in the current bullish push.
Stay patient, stay sharp! More updates soon. 📉🔥
GOLDEN HOUR - Central Bankers Are Buying Dear followers,
Recent data shows that gold purchases of central banks hit their all time high since 1967.
---- History doesn't repeat itself but often rhymes -----
The only difference this time is that there is a new player in town. A digital gold named Bitcoin.
However, having long exposure in physical gold TVC:GOLD won't harm you over the next couple months.
Stay tuned for updates and shares this message to support my channel!
Gold and GVZ 2025 JanGold usually trades with an upside bias
it's a go-to hedge against all sorts of risks
such as inflation,market crashes, geopolitical messes, you name it.
When gold rips higher, its volatility (GVZ) tends to spike
However, this latest rally has been strong without being crazy
So GVZ (Gold vol) hasn’t gone wild yet
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 30.01.2025The price is currently testing a well-defined descending trendline, which has acted as a strong resistance level. The analysis suggests two possible scenarios:
Bullish Breakout & Retest:
If the price successfully breaks above the trendline and confirms a retest as support, we could see bullish momentum leading to the 2,785.04 resistance level.
A clean breakout with strong volume would further validate the upside potential.
Bearish Rejection & Retest:
If the price fails to break above the trendline and gets rejected, we could see a retest of the trendline followed by a strong move downward.
The next major support level in this case would be 2,730.75, where price could find buying interest.
Traders should watch for confirmation on the breakout or rejection before taking a position. The reaction to the trendline will be the key factor in determining the next move.
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Gold Price Analysis: Bullish Reversal After Key Level Hunthello guys!
Gold recently broke out of a rising channel and experienced a sharp decline, hunting liquidity and touching a key flip area. This level acted as strong support, triggering a rebound.
Now, the price is attempting to form a higher low, and two bullish scenarios are in play:
A direct bounce from the current level leads to a retest of the 2,768 resistance.
A deeper pullback into the liquidity zone before pushing back up to the same resistance.
A break above 2,768 would confirm bullish continuation.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 1-30 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will attempt a minor rally in early trading, possibly targeting the 605 resistance level, then shift/rollover into a downward price trend (the TOP pattern) and being to move downward into the pre-DeepV low levels I've suggests (possibly near 585-588).
At that point, I suspect we'll get a few days of consolidation before we see the DeepV breakdown take place near Feb 11-13 (which may actually start on Friday the previous week).
Overall, I'm expecting the markets to roll into downward trending over the next 7 to 10+ days.
Gold and Silver are moving higher - which is great to see (finally). Maybe all Gold needed was to roll to the newer contract to finally break above the $2820 level. lol
Who knows.
This is the start of the BIG RALLY (Expansion Phase) in metals that should last almost all year. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will reach a peak level near July-October 2025.
Bitcoin has moved into an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern that may prompt a rally up to resistance near $108,450.
At this point, the inverted EPP pattern is in the consolidation phase and I'm watching for it to break above $105,500 (moving to the ultimate high), or below $100,270 (as an invalidation breakdown move).
The next 5+ trading days should be very interesting for everyone.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (30.01.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2785
2nd Resistance – 2794
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