XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff Event UPDATEWe await the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the distribution Phase. The price has fallen to SUPPORT as we predicted. Once a LOWER LOWER is formed, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish. Falling as low as 2815.
BULLS :
If the price can respect the support and bounce back above 2910 with strong bullish momentum, we can see the price rally back up to the 2950 area.
BEARS :
If the price creates the lower low as we are expecting around 2860-2880. Then look for the price to:
1. retest support as far back up to 2910.
2. dramatically fall and continue its pullback as low as 2800-2820
Metals
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY STOP )Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with price making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD is bullish, and RSI is at 62.67 (still below overbought territory).
• No major resistance above the current level, suggesting continuation.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Price is recovering from a recent pullback.
• MACD is turning positive, signaling a potential bullish move.
• RSI at 53.30 suggests room for upside.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Consolidation near 2916.88, indicating a possible breakout.
• MACD and RSI show signs of bullish momentum returning.
Trade Setup:
• Position: Long (Buy)
• Entry: 2920 (above recent consolidation)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2908 (recent minor support)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2944 (next key resistance)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
Fundamental Justification:
• Gold remains bullish due to inflation concerns and potential rate cut expectations from the Fed.
• No significant bearish catalyst, and momentum favors bulls. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Analysis of gold trend on 2.26th
Spot gold fell below $2,900 an ounce for the first time since February 18, after U.S. consumer confidence suffered its largest monthly decline in more than three years in February.
Interpretation of the news: With the Federal Reserve remaining cautious and the Trump administration increasing policy uncertainty, the U.S. dollar and gold markets have diverged. At present, the market's focus is still on the Federal Reserve's economic data in the next few months and the Trump administration's policy implementation. The trends of the US dollar and gold may continue to be dominated by these factors. This Friday, the United States will release the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is the inflation indicator that the Fed pays the most attention to. The market expects the data to fall to the lowest level since June last year. If the data meets expectations, it may further strengthen the Fed's reason for cutting interest rates and continue to support gold prices. However, if the inflation data is strong, the Fed may remain more cautious on the issue of interest rate cuts, which may put some pressure on the short-term trend of gold.
Analysis of gold trend: Gold fell all day on Tuesday, and the US market also ushered in a waterfall dive. It fell from 2944 and reached a low of 2888 as of the time of posting, with an overall decline of 56 points. Although there is a small rebound now, it is still fluctuating below 2900. Now the technical indicators are all in a bearish state and have no reference significance; now it mainly depends on the consolidation of the late trading, using time to exchange for space consolidation.
From the hourly level, the decline of gold prices in the US market directly broke through this week's low of 2921 and 2900. Now the low support is converted to a high suppression reference. Secondly, there is the psychological pressure of the 2900 mark. If the closing price of gold is still below this position today, then Wednesday will still be dominated by rebound shorting. If it effectively stands above 2900, then pay attention to the rebound repair of gold prices in the Asian market on Wednesday;
Specific operation suggestions:
1. If the gold price closes above 2900 on Tuesday, short and sell near 2915 with 2922 as protection in the Asian session on Wednesday, and then observe the break of 2900;
2. If the gold price closes below 2900 on Tuesday, then wait for the gold price to rebound and recover to around 2905 in the Asian market on Wednesday and go short and watch the breakout of the low of 2888;
3. As for the long operation, our team of professional and senior gold trading analysts recommends waiting for the gold price to break below 2888, then going long near 2880 to see a rebound, and focusing on the 2900 target above.
XAUUSD SHORT 4H (Results)Due to inattentive study of the rules of the tradingviews platform, the trading idea was blocked
I apologize to those who used this idea in their trading system due to the blocking, I will be more careful in the future.
Result : XAUUSD SHORT 4H reaches the 2 targets zone for taking profits.
I move my stop into profit and wait for new variables from the market .
Gold bulls pause witnessed around suggested resistance 2953/2958Gold bulls paused its bullish movement last week exactly by testing 2953 with high 2954.xx and during current week 2956.xx
We are now considering 2966/2967 is tough weekly resistance, gold bulls need to sustain above said level to target 3000/3022 else we may see a deep correction towards 2859/2791
Don't say it's impossible, everything is possible in trading and investing world :-)
$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
• Daily Chart:
• Strong bullish trend with price at all-time highs (2924.45).
• MACD is showing high bullish momentum.
• RSI is at 63.76, near overbought but still room for upside.
• 15-Minute Chart:
• Recent pullback to 2903.40 and strong bounce.
• MACD is crossing bullish from oversold levels.
• RSI at 64.92, confirming bullish strength.
• 3-Minute Chart:
• Bullish breakout forming.
• MACD and RSI support short-term continuation.
2. Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold is benefiting from inflation fears & rate cut expectations.
• Geopolitical tensions and central bank buying support further upside.
• U.S. dollar weakness & declining bond yields provide tailwinds.
Entry: 2920.00
• Stop Loss (SL): 2905.00 (15 pips below recent low)
• Take Profit (TP): 2950.00 (30 pips above entry)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAU/USD – Trendline Breakout Signals Sell!The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 period offers a potential selling opportunity due to the recent formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This indicates a shift in momentum to the downside in the coming hours.
For a short trade, consider entering around the pattern's trendline.
Target levels: 2904 (first support) and 2880 (second support).
:
🚨 XAU/USD – Trendline Breakout Signals Sell! 📉
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 30M Chart Breakdown
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Trendline Breakout: Price broke below the strong ascending trendline, confirming a bearish shift.
🔹 Resistance Zone: $2,942 - $2,954 acted as a rejection point, leading to a sharp sell-off.
🔹 Strong Bearish Momentum after breaking key support levels.
📉 Bearish Trade Setup:
📌 As long as price remains below $2,912, we expect further downside towards:
🎯 1st Support: $2,903
🎯 2nd Support: $2,880
📌 A break above $2,912 could lead to a short-term recovery, but overall bias remains bearish.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,942 - $2,954
✅ Support: $2,903 & $2,880
💬 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Let us know in the comments!👇🔥
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? ⚖️ Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? 🤔📉
Gold has almost hit the $3,000 mark—but not quite. 🚀 While many are ultra-bullish, let’s take a step back and consider the potential for a pullback before any new highs.
Gold is expensive, and even my jeweler friend admits it’s becoming more of a store of value than a commodity for luxury. That brings us to a key question: Is a drop coming first?
🔄 Two Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Pullback First (More Likely) – Gold could drop toward $2,794, or even deeper to $2,575, where the all-time trendline support sits. A cooling-off period makes sense, especially after such an extended rally. 📉
2️⃣ Breakout to New Highs – If buying pressure holds, a clean push above $3K could send gold toward $3,294 - $3,600, and even EUROTLX:4K later in the cycle. 🚀
🔍 The Fort Knox Question 🤯
There’s growing speculation about the $400 billion in gold reserves at Fort Knox. If something unexpected is uncovered, could that fuel a major gold rally? Or will Bitcoin, the digital gold, start to steal some of its shine?
It’s a fascinating time for gold traders. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, a dip before liftoff seems like the logical play. Let’s stay sharp. ⚡📊
P.S. Gold has risen even with the USD remaining expensive and interest rates still high—which is not the norm. Could it be that we see gold detach from its historical correlations and trade in a completely new paradigm? 🤔
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our route map is providing perfect level to level guidance for us on this chart idea.
Yesterday we stated that we got our first bullish target at 2950 and that we will need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2950 to open the range above or failure to lock above will see price reject for a test on the lower Goldturn at 2927 to complete the bearish gap.
- This played out perfectly with no ema5 cross and lock above 2950 confirming the rejection and into our bearish target 2927 just like we said. We were able to capitalise on the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips on all the weighted levels. We are now seeing price in the retracement range will need to see a lock below this level for a continuation into the swing range or failure to lock will see another push up.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2950 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2969
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2986
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3006
BEARISH TARGETS
2927 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2903 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2884 - 2861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2841 - 2820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD Pullback or Reversal? Key Support Zone in Focus!📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Feb 16, 2025
🔹 Current Price: $2,882.48 (-1.57%)
🔻 Recent High: $2,939.98
🔻 Recent Low: $2,877.03
🔴 200 EMA: $2,562.04 (Long-term support)
🧐 Key Observations:
✅ Strong Uptrend: Price has been in a bullish trend since late 2024.
✅ Support Zone: A key demand zone around $2,850 - $2,870 (highlighted in blue).
✅ Trendline Retest: The price is testing the trendline, which could act as support.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Case: If buyers step in at the support zone, we could see a bounce towards $2,950 - $3,000 🚀.
🔹 Bearish Case: A breakdown below $2,850 may trigger a deeper pullback to $2,800 - $2,750 ❄️.
🎯 Trading Plan:
📌 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., reversal candles) in the support zone before entering long.
📌 Sell Setup: If the price closes below $2,850, short positions could be considered with targets near $2,750.
🔥 Final Thoughts: Despite today’s pullback, gold remains bullish unless key support levels break. Watching price action around the blue zone will be crucial!
📢 Traders, what’s your take? Are we bouncing or breaking down? Let’s discuss! 👇💬 #Gold #XAUUSD
GOLD Analysis | Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH 2954GOLD Analysis | February 25, 2025
🔸 Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH (2954) and 2935
Gold is exhibiting bearish momentum, having already stabilized below the all-time high (ATH) of 2954. The price is now trying to touch 2918.
📉 While below 2935 will touch 2918 and If a 4H or 1H candle closes below 2918, this could trigger a strong bearish continuation toward 2906 and 2895.
📌 However, if the price closes a 4H candle above 2918, the market is likely to remain volatile between 2918 and 2935 before confirming the next move. 4h candle above 2935 will be sensitive to 2945.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 2945, 2954, 2975
Pivot Point: 2935
Support Levels: 2918, 2906, 2895
✅ Bias: Bearish as long as the price trades below 2935, with confirmation needed below 2918 for further decline.
Gold Pulls Back After Parabolic Run – Trend Break or Buying OppoGold has been on a relentless tear, climbing within a well-defined rising channel since early January. But after touching $2,950, the rally has finally hit turbulence, with prices pulling back sharply to $2,895 (-1.94%).
Is this just a healthy correction, or is the yellow metal gearing up for a deeper decline?
🔍 The Setup – A Near-Perfect Rally Faces Resistance
For weeks, gold’s uptrend has been supported by:
✅ Strong bullish momentum – A nearly uninterrupted climb since mid-December.
✅ Consistent higher highs & higher lows – A textbook channel breakout pattern.
✅ Macroeconomic tailwinds – Expectations of rate cuts, inflation concerns, and geopolitical risks fueling demand.
However, today’s break below the rising channel is the first real test for bulls in 2024.
⚠️ Key Technical Developments:
📉 Break of the rising trendline – A potential early warning sign of trend exhaustion.
🟡 First major pullback since early Feb – A change in market behavior.
🔻 Bearish MACD crossover developing – Suggesting momentum may be fading.
🧐 What Comes Next?
Gold now sits just above initial support at $2,850-$2,860. A firm close below this zone could open the door for a deeper pullback toward:
🔹 $2,780-$2,750 – Near the 50-day EMA and a logical dip-buying region.
🔹 $2,700-$2,680 – The next major Fibonacci support if selling intensifies.
For bulls to reassert control, we need to see a strong bounce off $2,850, with a reclaim of $2,950 putting gold back on track toward $3,000.
💡 The Bottom Line
This pullback could simply be a shakeout before the next leg higher – but if momentum keeps fading, it may mark the beginning of a deeper retracement.
With inflation data & Fed commentary on deck this week, expect heightened volatility.
🔥 Buy the dip or step aside? What’s your play?
📌 Keep your eyes on that $2,850 level!
- MW
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 25.02.2025Analysis:
Support & Resistance Zones:
The price is moving within a range with strong resistance around 2,950 and a support zone around 2,922.
A major support level is visible at 2,898, which could act as the next target if the price breaks below 2,922.
Trendline & Breakout:
An ascending trendline was supporting the price, but it appears to have been broken at the Vital Point (highlighted in green).
This could indicate a bearish shift if the price fails to reclaim the trendline.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price bounces back above the trendline and holds above 2,940, it could retest 2,950 and break higher.
Bearish Case: If the price continues below 2,930 and breaks 2,922, a drop to 2,906 or even 2,898 could follow.
Signal:
📉 SELL BELOW 2,930
Entry: Below 2,930
Target 1: 2,922
Target 2: 2,906
Target 3: 2,898
Stop Loss: 2,945
📈 BUY ABOVE 2,940
Entry: Above 2,940
Target 1: 2,950
Target 2: 2,960
Stop Loss: 2,930
💡 Key Note: The price is currently at a critical level (Vital Point). Wait for a clear breakout before entering a trade.
Please follow, comment, like and share as well.
XAUUSD: Has peaked if this level breaks.Gold remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.836, MACD = 52.960, ADX = 50.322) despite its oversold status intraday due to the strong selloff. This is because it remains inside the 2month Channel Up. Despite this, the 1D RSI displays LH that in contrast to the HH of Gold, wave a bearish divergence flag. Last time this was observed was on the October 31st 2024 top. The sell trigger was given when the 4H MA100 was crossed, after which the price dipped aggressively to the 1D MA100 and 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently we will turn bearish if the price closes under the 4H MA100 and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 2,765).
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How Trumps Tariffs Are Affecting Bitcoin & Crypto MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on COINBASE:BTCUSD talking about how Trump Tariffs affect COINBASE:BTCUSD here. I also talk about the stock market SP:SPX at the end of the video and TVC:GOLD as the chart give us real insights .
Watch video for more details
Trump’s tariff policies have had a notable short‐term impact on Bitcoin’s price. When tariffs are announced—such as the recent ones imposed on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China—the resulting trade tensions and uncertainty tend to trigger a “risk-off” reaction in the markets. Investors, worried about higher inflation and potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, often sell off volatile assets like Bitcoin, which can lead to steep, albeit temporary, price declines. For instance, following tariff announcements, Bitcoin’s price has sometimes dropped significantly (even approaching multi‐week lows) before partially rebounding when there’s news of tariff pauses or negotiations easing the pressure.
In the longer term, however, the picture is less clear. While the immediate market reaction is one of volatility and decline, some analysts argue that if tariffs contribute to sustained economic uncertainty or inflation, Bitcoin could eventually be seen as a hedge—similar to digital gold—potentially restoring investor confidence over time. Ultimately, the overall effect on Bitcoin will depend on whether the trade policy uncertainty continues and how broader economic conditions evolve.
There is still lots of bullish news for BTC www.tradingview.com
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (21.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2904
2nd Support – 2880
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Targeting a new era peak, risks blanket the marketOANDA:XAUUSD hit another all-time high as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs increased market fears of a global trade war, boosting safe-haven demand.
Trump's tariff policy and global market reaction
Trump said on Wednesday that he would announce new tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals "next month or sooner."
Since taking office on January 20, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.
As trade risks increase, global central banks are likely to continue buying gold, which is one of the key supporting factors for gold prices.
Ukraine situation and the possibility of gold correction in the short term
Trump also criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned that Ukraine must quickly reach a peace deal with Russia or lose the country.
If a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is reached, geopolitical tensions could temporarily ease in the short term, which could put pressure on gold prices. However, gold still has enough fundamental support and the long-term uptrend could continue.
Fed policy and Swiss gold exports soar
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting released Wednesday showed that Trump's early economic policies have raised concerns about rising inflation. This reinforces the Fed's stance on maintaining the current interest rate policy.
According to foreign media, Swiss customs data showed that Swiss gold exports increased significantly year-on-year in January, with gold exports to the United States reaching their highest level in at least 13 years.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached the target level of 2,946 USD, readers noted in the previous issue that the price point of the Fibonacci extension was 0.382%, it broke this level to renew its all-time high.
With the current position, if gold takes price action above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level once again, it will have conditions to continue to increase with a target then around 2,971 USD in the short term, more than 2,996 – 3,000 USD.
The relative strength index also does not indicate any possibility of a downward correction in terms of momentum.
During the day, the short-term uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by trend, and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it still has a main bullish outlook, declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity.
Notable locations will also be noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,954 – 2,971 – 2,996USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
Minor correction, GOLD renewed its peakOANDA:XAUUSD spiked to a record high on Monday as concerns about Trump's tax plans fueled safe-haven demand, and inflows into the world's largest gold ETF also provided further support. Although there have been adjustments as of the time this article was completed, this price decrease is insignificant, currently gold is trading around 2,940USD/oz, equivalent to a decrease of 0.41% on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD hit an intraday high of $2,956.29 an ounce on Monday, a record high and the 11th all-time high refresh this year.
The US Dollar Index (Dxy) hit its lowest since December 10 last year in intraday trading on Monday, making gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies.
Another positive news for gold was that the US 10-year Treasury yield fell 1 basis point to 4.443%.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, announced its gold holdings rose to 904.38 tons last Friday, the highest level since August 2023.
Trump says tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be imposed on time
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that comprehensive US tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled after a one-month reprieve ends next week.
Trump signed an executive order on February 1 imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada. However, on February 3, Trump announced that new tariffs would be postponed for 30 days as Mexican President Sheinbaum and Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau both pledged to increase border enforcement.
According to Trump's announcement, tariffs on Canadian goods will be deferred for 30 days, while tariffs on Mexican imports will be deferred for one month.
Markets generally believe that these tariff plans will cause inflation and potentially trigger a trade war, thereby increasing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Although on the daily chart, the RSI shows that the buying force is "exhausted" with price activity in the overbought area, the corrections that have occurred are not significant because the RSI has not yet gone below the 80 level with its steep slope.
Looking at the technical chart, staying above $2,940 is a bullish factor and if gold continues to trade above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension it has a bullish outlook and a target then around $2,971 in the short term.
The trend will still act as a short-term trend, even in case it breaks below, the main outlook for gold is still bullish with the price channel and EMA21 as main support.
However, the market will not move in a straight line, so traders must always be ready for large downward corrections that can occur when RSI operates for a long time in the overbought area.
In terms of trading, trades should be trend-based with support and resistance positions noted again as follows.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,946 – 2,956 – 2,971USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
GOLD Short-term buy and sell signalsGold continues to maintain a wide range of high-level fluctuations. After setting a new high of 2956 yesterday, the NY market fell sharply to around 2930, and then rose strongly again in the late trading, bottoming out and rebounding in the fluctuation range. The price is still running in a bullish trend structure.
Today, the Asian session will first look at the continued rise of NY's late bottoming out and rebound, and pay attention to whether it can set a new intraday high. In terms of trading, keep buying at a low price, but only participate in short-term thinking. After the historical high or new high, pay attention to the indicator's top divergence and overbought, and there will be a fall and wash at any time.
Last week, gold was affected by the dual impact of escalating geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in the global economic recovery, and the spot gold price showed a fluctuating upward trend. The weekly line maintained an upward pattern. The gold price fell again to around 2930 during the day and stood firmly above this position.
At present, the short-term moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, which clearly shows that the bulls have a dominant advantage. The bulls maintain an upward trend of shocks, the Bollinger Bands open upward, and various indicators are running at high levels. From the perspective of short-term indicators, the gold price still has the momentum to rise.
However, it should be noted that the daily line has been oscillating in a high range for 4 consecutive trading days. This oscillating trend has both advantages and disadvantages for both long and short parties, and it is very likely to be a signal that the bulls have reached their peak. However, given that the gold price continued to rise after several pullbacks last week, there is also the possibility of a bull correction pattern. Therefore, it is recommended to start with intraday operations around the range oscillation, and once the market breaks through, it is necessary to leave the market in time.
Key points:
First support: 2942, second support: 2933, third support: 2920
First resistance: 2960, second resistance: 2968, third resistance: 2978
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2933-2936, SL: 2925, TP: 2948-2950;
SELL: 2968-2971, SL: 2980, TP: 2950-2940;
"Bullish Trend Continuation: Key Support Zones for Gold Buyers"Bullish Market Structure
The prevailing market structure remains bullish, indicating that selling gold at this stage may not be advisable. The price action continues to establish a sequence of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), reinforcing the overall uptrend.
Key Buying Areas
A critical support zone, identified as the Buying Area, aligns with a recent HL, suggesting a potential entry point for buyers. Additionally, a broader Buying Zone exists at a lower level, coinciding with the 200-period moving average (blue line), which may serve as a stronger support should the price retrace further.
Opportunity for Buyers
Given the bullish market conditions, any pullback into these key demand zones presents a buying opportunity, with the expectation of a continuation towards the Target Area at the upper resistance level. The presence of a break of structure (BOS) in the past further validates the strength of the ongoing trend.
Trader Caution and Strategy
Traders should remain cautious of any shifts in momentum while maintaining a bias toward long positions as long as the market structure remains intact.
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