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GOLD PRICES RETREAT AS STRONG DOLLAR PREVAILS AND ECONOMIC DATA Economic Data Impacting the Market On December 12, 2024, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released important economic data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4% in November, higher than the expected 0.2%, and showed a 3.0% increase over the year, marking the largest gain since February 2023. Additionally, the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, went up by 0.2% for the month and 3.5% annually. Initial jobless claims for the week ending December 7 reached 242,000, significantly above the expected 220,000, indicating rising unemployment. These mixed signals highlight ongoing inflation pressures alongside a weakening job market. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Shift According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has decreased to 96.70% from 97.50% a day ago, signalling changing market expectations.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DynamicCapital-FX
XAGUSD - Silver Awaiting Higher Numbers?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving within its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we could see the channel bottom. A consolidation above $31 will provide us with a path for silver to rise to the supply zone, where we can sell with a risk-reward ratio. South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd JV has announced plans to commence exploration for copper, gold, and silver in Block 22B in Oman. The company has signed a concession agreement for this block, which is believed to hold significant potential for further mineral discoveries. Despite some challenges, Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, holds a more optimistic view on silver due to its dual role as a monetary and industrial metal. He stated, “In 2024, increased industrial demand contributed to a physical deficit in the silver market. Sectors such as electronics and renewable energy, especially photovoltaic (solar) technologies, played a major role in driving this demand.” Hansen predicts that steady industrial demand will keep silver in a supply deficit heading into 2025. This deficit could be further exacerbated by rising financial or “paper demand” through financial instruments like exchange-traded funds (ETFs). (“Paper demand” refers to financial transactions without physical backing, such as futures, options, or ETFs, as opposed to physical commodity purchases.) Hansen also forecasts that silver will continue to outperform gold, expecting the gold-to-silver ratio to decline from the current level of 88 to around 75. His positive outlook on silver aligns with his broader perspective on the commodities market, where he sees greater potential for metals linked to the electrification of the global economy compared to those tied to construction. He elaborated: “Among industrial metals, we maintain our long-term positive outlook on those that support the energy transition, particularly copper and aluminum. These metals are crucial for investments in power grids and the rapid expansion of renewable energy installations, including electric vehicles, solar panels, and wind turbines. On the other hand, we see limited potential for metals like iron ore and steel, which are heavily reliant on construction sector demand.” Meanwhile, trade tensions between the United States and China, which escalated early in Trump’s presidency, appear to be easing. Many major companies, including Nike, Amazon, and Apple, stand to suffer significant losses if tariffs are increased. On the other hand, China has indicated that it is prepared to take retaliatory measures against any new tariffs, which could push Trump toward negotiation rather than confrontation. In response to Trump’s threat of imposing new tariffs on Chinese goods, China’s Ministry of Commerce stated: “China is willing to work with the United States to promote the sustainable and healthy development of economic and trade relations.”
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The NASDAQ closed higher on news of President Trump’s plans to expand AI investments. It surged strongly to the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart, lifting the MACD above the zero line. However, a gap formed due to Netflix's earnings report, and there is a possibility that this gap could be filled during future corrections. While the signal line remains below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating the potential for a pullback, strong buying momentum on the 240-minute chart suggests the NASDAQ could rise further to the 22200–22300 zone. A sell-off might emerge only if the MACD on the 240-minute chart dead crosses the signal line, signaling a shift to a bearish trend. There is also upside potential to 22250, the upper boundary of the weekly chart, so it's wise to keep this level in mind. For now, focus on buying dips, but keep an eye on the transition from an uptrend (positive alignment) to a downtrend (negative alignment) on the short-term charts. If the 240-minute MACD dead crosses, it could signal a correction, so monitor the price movements closely. CRUDE OIL Crude oil closed lower, consolidating in a box range near the $75 level. The large bullish candle from January 10 serves as a key reference point, with the midpoint of that candle acting as a support level. For a rebound on the daily chart, a bullish candle needs to form. Currently, the MACD is closely aligned with the signal line. If the MACD avoids a dead cross and turns upward, there’s a high chance of a third bullish wave. Keep an eye on the upcoming crude oil inventory data to see if it triggers a trend reversal. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting to cross above the signal line in the oversold zone, showing a potential for a rebound. With prolonged consolidation around $75, a strong upward move could follow any breakout. Avoid chasing shorts, and if the price drops to $74, it could provide a great buying opportunity. GOLD Gold closed higher, breaking above the 2760 resistance level. This breakout opens the possibility of further gains to the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, around 2780. However, the divergence between the MACD and the signal line on the weekly chart makes a further golden cross less likely, meaning a correction could occur in the next week or two. On the daily chart, the bullish trend remains strong, making it advisable to avoid short positions. The 240-minute chart shows a third bullish wave following a golden cross of the MACD, supporting further gains. Ideally, continued strength above 2780 would prevent a divergence from forming on the MACD, which could lead to a sharp decline if unaddressed. For now, use 2760 as support and focus on range-bound trading while monitoring for a potential breakout above key levels. Always be prepared for volatility and manage risk carefully. Positive market momentum is being driven by new government policies and plans, including tariffs, the Stargate Project, and expanded AI infrastructure investments. These developments could act as catalysts for further gains. Stay updated on these issues, and as always, manage your risks carefully. Best of luck with your trading today! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21920 / 21870 / 21790 / 21720 -Sell: 22035 / 22075 / 22135 / 22230 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy: 75.10 / 74.70 / 74.30 / 73.60 -Sell: 75.70 / 76.20 / 76.75 / 77.10 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy: 2759 / 2754 / 2748 / 2738 -Sell: 2771 / 2778 / 2783 / 2794 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly inline with our plans. After completing 2717 and 2737 bullish targets yesterday, we stated that we will now look for ema5 to lock above 2737 for a continuation into 2753. We got the lock confirmation giving us plenty of time to get in for the action and then BOOOOM!!! 2753 was hit completing this target. We now have a break above 2753 leaving 2768 open. However, we will not chase this from the top due to potential corrections and as always safer for us to buy from dips using our Goldturn support levels. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2717 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2737 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2753 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2768 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2786 BEARISH TARGETS 2696 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2675 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2675 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2661 - 2647 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2632 - 2618 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
22
Gold : Bullish Outlook with Potential Correction Below 2757Gold Technical Analysis The price has perfectly reached our target of 2757, as mentioned previously. As long as the price trades above 2757, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 2773 and then 2787 (ATH). A 4-hour candle close below 2757 would indicate a potential bearish correction toward 2739. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2757 Resistance Levels: 2773, 2787 (ATH) Support Levels: 2747, 2739, 2722 Trend Outlook: Bullish Trend while above 2757 Bearish Trend if a 4-hour candle closes below 2757 previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
Ascending Channel at Risk: Gold's Next Move!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,743-$2,700) , near the Upper line of the Ascending Channel and near the Important Resistance lines . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 5 of microwave c of the main wave Y . If the Uptrend lines break , we can confirm the end of wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks (Clear RD- in all indicators ). I expect Gold to drop at least $2,710 in the coming hours after the breaking of the Uptrend lines . The next target can be $2,701 , and if the lower line of the ascending channel breaks , we can hope for the breaking of the Support zone($2,697-$2,689) . If you want to see my analysis on the 4-hour time frame , take a look at the post I published on January 16, 2025 . Note: If Gold goes above $2,750, we should expect more Gold increase and a new All-Time High (ATH) for Gold. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
12
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-22-25: BreakAway PatternToday's BreakAway pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move aggressively away from yesterday's closing price level. I do believe the markets are over-extended to the upside. Which is why I continue to warn traders that we may be nearing a top/peak price level and to prepare for a rollover type of top in the SPY/QQQ. My broad cycle patterns suggested the markets would top near Jan 20-21. I believe we are seeing a type of carryover momentum move to the upside as a result of optimism related to the Inauguration. Now that the Inauguration is complete, I believe the markets will start to "resettle" into reality. The SPY/QQQ should move into a rolling type of top pattern over the next 3-5+ days, then trend downward into my Feb 9-11 DEEP-V Base/Bottom. Gold and Silver are likely to move higher in an attempt to hedge against global risks and uncertainty. BTCUSD is moving through the current EPP pattern as the flagging breaks down. This should prompt a move back to the 92k level, then a brief pause before trending further downward. Remember, the markets are likely to stall out through H1:2025. Get ready for volatile price swings before we move back into trending near the end of 2025. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Analysis of the latest gold trend on January 21 Gold has been rising since the early Asian session today, and the high point of the European session has reached 2732. Combined with the current trend of the US dollar index, the rise of gold during the day is mainly due to the market's extreme bullish sentiment. However, this kind of extreme sentiment is not easy to control. In the future, a steady stream of bullish injections are needed for gold to remain strong. However, judging from the expectations of future fundamentals, this possibility is still relatively low, so for the current gold price If it is strong, you must still maintain a high degree of vigilance and do not blindly chase the rise. Combined with the daily and hourly chart structures, the current gold trend is still beyond the normal operating rules, but there is also a fight around 2733 today, so we must also be wary of this pressure. The lower part of the U.S. market focuses on the competition for the 5-day line of 2710. Technically, we still hope that the market will fall back to the 5-day line and conduct a regular technical correction. Otherwise, the current emotional trend will still have a great unconventional risk. For US market operations, it is recommended to sell short at 2730/2732, and look down to 2720 and 2712.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Caesar_Gorman01
XAUUSD - Gold will continue to rise?!Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the ceiling of the channel, you can look for positions to sell it towards the midline of the channel. Investments in commodities are expected to remain a reliable hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty in 2025. Specifically, gold and silver are predicted to outperform other commodities. Despite the optimistic outlook for 2025, Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, advises investors to be cautious when constructing a commodity portfolio. Gold and silver, which showed strong performance in 2024, remain his top picks. Hansen forecasts that gold prices will reach $2,900 per ounce this year, representing a 7% increase from current levels. However, he sees greater potential in silver, expecting prices to rise to $38 per ounce, a nearly 30% increase from current levels. He added that his outlook for the market remains bullish. He also highlighted that gold will continue to serve as a key safe-haven asset through 2025. Hansen stated, “Investment demand for metals is increasing due to growing geopolitical uncertainties and global economic shifts. This has driven investors to seek safer assets, a trend that shows no signs of slowing down. Additionally, concerns about rising global debt, particularly in the United States, have prompted investors to turn to precious metals to safeguard against economic instability.” However, Hansen urged investors to remain patient, as the Federal Reserve continues to unwind its accommodative monetary policies. Currently, markets anticipate only one rate cut this year, a significant shift from expectations just a few months ago. The Fed’s hawkish stance could support the U.S. dollar, potentially creating volatility in the precious metals market. Jenny Johnson, CEO of Franklin Templeton, stated that the Federal Reserve is likely to pause to assess the impact of Trump’s policies on the economy.She noted that Trump’s spending pressures could provide a short-term boost to the economy, and his stance on deregulation is favorable for businesses. Ron O’Hanley, CEO of State Street, remarked that he does not expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates more than twice this year. He also expressed heightened concerns about U.S. debt levels in the medium term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHello Everyone, Here’s the latest update on the GOLD weekly chart we’ve been monitoring and trading, offering a detailed overview of the current range. On the weekly timeframe, a strong resistance level is identified at 2790, which could trigger a reversal. As of now, we recommend holding off on trades since the price could reverse at any moment. Let’s wait for the NY session and keep our positions light. To streamline your trades, we’ve outlined ENTRY LEVELS and TAKE PROFIT (TP) targets (TP1, TP2, TP3) based on the EMA5. The EMA5 crossing and sustaining above these weighted levels will determine subsequent targets. Key Update: ENTRY LEVEL: 2735 If a candle closes above this level and the EMA5 crosses it for confirmation, we will consider bullish entries. First Target (TP1): 2877 To achieve the second target (TP2: 3018), wait for the EMA5 to close and lock above 2877. Use the same strategy to target TP3: 3160 Rejection Scenario: For ranging markets, focus on smaller timeframes (15M, 1H, 4H, 12H, Daily) to buy dips from weighted levels. Target 120–140 pip moves, which are effective in these conditions while minimizing the risks associated with longer-term positions. Dip-Buying Strategy: Continue buying dips at support levels, aiming for 120 - 140 pips per trade. Each level structure typically provides 60 - 80 pip bounces, making it ideal for accurate entries and exits. Keep an eye on the EMA5 crossing and locking above or below the ENTRY LEVEL to confirm the next directional range. Stay sharp and trade smart! TheQuantumTraders
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Learn High Impact Fundamental News in GOLD XAUUSD Trading Before you open any trade on Gold, always check the economic calendar first. In this article, you will learn the best free economic calendar and high impact fundamental news that can influence Gold prices. I will teach the important actions to take and a trading strategy to follow both before and after news releases to improve your Gold trading strategy. Free Economic Calendar The economic calendar that I use for Gold trading is on Tradingview. The news that influence Gold prices are high impact US news. To display only such news, you should set the filters . You should click "Only High Importance" and in the list of countries choose only the United States. All 3 star US news may influence Gold prices dramatically. Real Impact In Gold trading, the release of high impact fundamental news is one of the major causes of trading positions being closed in a loss . Because such news may make the market completely irrational, increasing the volatility. Look how strongly Gold prices dropped, immediately after US personal spending news were posted. Remember, though, that there is no guarantee that Gold will react to this news. Quite often, the market will not be affected at all. The release of US GDP did not influence Gold at all and the market continued consolidating. Beware of False Signals In order to protect your trading account from unexpected losses, I recommend not opening any trading position 3 hours ahead of the news. Usually, during that period, the markets start slowing down , preparing for the news. Most of the breakouts, signals that you will see in such a period will be false . 3 hours before the US Durable Orders fundamental news, Gold broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support. From a technical analysis standpoint, it was a strong bearish signal. However, that signal was false, and the price went up rapidly after the news. Safest Strategy If you have an active trade, 10 minutes ahead of the release of the fundamentals, protect your position. Simply take a stop loss and move it to entry level. If the price rapidly reverses after a news release, you will close the position with a 0 loss. Here is a long trade on Gold that we took with my trading academy members. 10 minutes ahead of US unemployment data, we moved stop loss to entry level. Fundamental news made the market bearish, and the price went down. Our decision to protect a trading position helped us to avoid losses. Alternatively, you can close your active trade 10 minutes ahead of the news. Be Patient After the release of the news, I suggest waiting for the close of an hourly candle before you take any trade. With the first hourly candle close after the news, you will see how the market participants price in its impact, letting you make a better decision. That is how Gold reacted to US Inflation data. Any trade should be opened at least after the hourly candle close to let the market price in its real effect. These 3 simple rules will help you to cut losses cause by the fundamental news. Integrate them in your trading strategy to increase your profits. Never forget to monitor the economic calendar and good luck in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
XAUUSD ( GOLD ) | 1 DAY | SWING TRADING | ICT STRATEGY Hey there, friends! 👋 I’ve prepared a gold analysis for you using the swing trading style. 📊 Currently, the daily analysis aligns with the ICT market maker sell model. However, for these models to work, we need to see some sort of reaction in the market. Patience is key, so hang tight and wait for my analysis to be updated. ⏳ Once I spot a reaction, I'll share a golden target with you! 🎯 Don’t forget to hit the like button to stay tuned for updates! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
Gold prices continue to increase from the level 2675OANDA:XAUUSD continuing the uptrend in local and medium-term timeframes. The price is once again testing strong resistance levels on the H4 chart, with prospects for a breakout toward the 2700–2750 range. The US Dollar remains near weekly lows, touched after weaker-than-expected US PPI data on Tuesday, providing key support for the market, including gold. Attention now shifts to the upcoming CPI report, a critical release that could reshape market expectations for Fed rate cuts this year. A stronger-than-expected CPI could increase pressure on gold, while a weaker report would bolster buying momentum. Additionally, the Fed’s hawkish stance is supported by the premise that Trump, beginning his second term next week, may drive inflation higher with protectionist policies. From a technical perspective, significant volume lies ahead, which could trigger a minor pullback toward support before the uptrend resumes. Key short-term levels to watch: Support: 2678, 2670 Resistance: 2690, 2697 However, in both the short and medium term, everything hinges on the upcoming scheduled news. Stay focused on these critical levels, traders! Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
GOLD Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,750.653. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,660.281 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1