Gold XAUUSD Price AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) has encountered a strong resistance zone between 2921 and 2924, leading to a rejection at this level. This area has proven to be a significant hurdle for buyers, indicating strong selling pressure. As a result, we may see a potential downside move unless gold manages to break above this resistance convincingly.
Key Levels and Market Outlook:
Bearish Scenario:
If the rejection holds, gold could move lower towards its immediate support levels.
The first downside target is 2906, which acts as a minor support.
If selling pressure continues and gold breaks below 2906, the next target is 2892, a stronger support level where buyers might step in.
Bullish Breakout Possibility:
If gold breaks above the 2924 resistance level, the next resistance to watch is at 2930.
A break above 2930 would indicate strong bullish momentum, potentially leading to a further rally in gold prices.
Market Sentiment and Trading Plan:
A bearish bias is favored as long as gold remains below 2924 and continues rejecting this level.
A bullish breakout scenario will be confirmed only if gold surpasses 2930, leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
Metals
Practical analysis of gold price technical indicatorsContinue to share real-time trading signals and lead brothers to achieve higher returns. Busy investors can pay attention here. I will continue to release some effective trading plans. If you want to get stable trading opportunities, you can leave me a message.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold near 2025-2935. The target is 2918-2908 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
At present, the price of gold fluctuates narrowly around 2923. There is no major news to boost or suppress the price of gold in the short term. From the trend, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the continuation of the rebound and breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of bullish power, the bears will regain control of the situation.
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XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000:
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025
🔹 Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
Immediate Support:
$2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
$2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA.
Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario):
$2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows.
$2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance:
$2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum.
$2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains.
Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario):
$2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel.
$3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target.
🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (Breakout):
Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness.
Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum.
Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension).
Bearish Case (Reversal):
Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment.
Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift.
Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low).
Neutral/Range-Bound:
Range: $2,835–$2,950.
Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950).
🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week:
U.S. Jobs Data (March 7):
Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000.
Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800.
Fed Commentary (March 5):
Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835.
Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+.
Geopolitical Surprises:
Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000.
De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800.
🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor:
RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound.
MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias.
Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume.
📈 Summary:
Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline).
Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological).
Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
Prepare for a sharp dropHello everyone, I am a senior gold analyst (trader) who is always confident and dedicated to fighting for you. As long as the market is not a straight line, I have the confidence to lead you to victory!
From the technical chart, the gold price has risen to the key pressure level of 2928. Yesterday, the gold price began to fall after touching 2928, and the resistance of the pressure level was obvious. Previously, gold was in an upward trend, but when it approached the 2928 pressure level, the K-line showed a long upper shadow line, which implied heavy selling pressure from above. Moreover, if combined with the moving average system, when the price rises to the vicinity of the pressure level, the short-term moving average fails to effectively cross the long-term moving average, forming a long arrangement, but instead shows signs of turning downward, which further indicates that the upward momentum is insufficient. Today, we should take the 2928 pressure level as a reference, decisively arrange short positions, and wait for the arrival of the gold price plunge. Gold 2925-2935 is directly short, and the target is 2918-2908.
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GOLD → Breaks 2881. Buyers are ready…OANDA:XAUUSD breaking through the resistance threshold of the downward trend and attempting to seek gains above the critical resistance zone of 2881. A consolidation before the breakout is forming relative to 2894, signaling potential growth on the dollar's correction foundation.
Previously, Trump confirmed the possibility of imposing 25% tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering retaliatory measures and increasing the risk of U.S. recession. Declining PMI and Atlanta Fed's GDP led to a sell-off on Wall Street and increased demand for gold as a protective asset.
Geopolitical tensions persist as Trump suspends military aid to Ukraine, sparking European discontent. Market focus will remain on the release of detailed U.S. monthly employment information - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday. This crucial data will impact both USD and gold metal.
Technically, the price surpassing the 2881 resistance level divides the market into two planes. A consolidation before breakthrough is forming relative to 2895. The resistance breakthrough and price consolidation above 2895 could reinforce growth. The buyers' main focus is maintaining defensive positions above 2885 - 2895.
In the context of increasing economic risks and declining dollar, gold has every opportunity to continue its growth following the local trend change. The targets in this scenario are 2915, 2921, 2929.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD TREND ANALYSIS: WEEK 11 (MARCH 5-7, 2025)GOLD TREND ANALYSIS: WEEK 11 (MARCH 5-7, 2025)
The remaining days of this week bring news with enough punch to drive smooth price action on the charts.
Today: ADP and PMI data.
Thursday: Unemployment Claims.
Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls.
By mapping these events onto the chart, we focus on their timing and impact. Here’s how GOLD’s price is expected to play out for the rest of Week 11:
Weekly High: 2,925
Weekly Low 1: 2,868
Weekly Low 2: 2,840
Main Trend: SELL on D1; once the D1 bottom forms, a new upward peak will follow.
Current H4 Buy Trend: A corrective pullback wave.
This Week’s Move: GOLD will see an H1 uptick, peaking alongside H4, then both frames drop hard. This surge could hit around Friday’s Non-Farm news—or follow the attached chart’s path.
Stay sharp, bro—Friday’s drop could be the big one!
Gold price today: Strong rebound!Dear traders!
At around 6 AM on March 4, the spot gold price stood at $2,894 per ounce, marking a $36 increase from the previous day's opening price of $2,858 per ounce.
The primary reason for this rise is the increased risk aversion among investors, driving higher demand for safe-haven assets like gold amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, a heated exchange between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky raised concerns that efforts to end the Ukraine-Russia military conflict could reach an impasse.
Additionally, U.S. trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect today, March 4, sparking fears of potential financial market instability. This uncertainty has pushed many investors toward gold as a wealth preservation asset.
Meanwhile, a sudden decline in the U.S. dollar has made gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. As a result, today's gold price outlook remains positive. Keep an eye on the $2,892 resistance level, as a breakout above this point could signal further upside momentum.
What are your thoughts?
Gold price today: Extend the momentum!Gold prices continued their upward momentum today, hovering around the $2,910 level. The last recorded trade for gold stood at $2,928 per ounce, marking a 270-pip increase compared to early yesterday morning.
Accordingly, gold prices are currently experiencing strong impacts from USD fluctuations and US tariff policies. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump continues to raise concerns by threatening to impose tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada. These factors could determine whether gold can reach the $3,000 per ounce mark or not.
Currently, investors are awaiting the US payroll report, expected to be released at the end of this week. The report's results could influence the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve (FED).
On the technical chart, the precious metal has broken out of the descending price channel and made adjustments to create new highs. Bullish factors are driven by the crucial support level at 2885 and the two EMA lines at 34 and 89. All expectations are focused on gold's long-term price appreciation because any signs of US economic slowdown will support calls for Fed rate cuts and provide support for OANDA:XAUUSD .
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT ) Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• H1 Chart: The price was in an uptrend but has started to weaken. The MACD is losing bullish momentum, and RSI is below 50, indicating bearish pressure.
• M15 Chart: The price has recently made lower highs and lower lows, signaling a short-term downtrend. RSI is below 50, and MACD is negative.
• M3 Chart: The price is breaking support levels and showing increased selling momentum. The MACD is bearish, and RSI is below 50.
2. Key Levels:
• Support: $2895 (near recent lows)
• Resistance: $2910 (previous structure level)
3. Momentum & Indicators:
• RSI is below 50 on all timeframes, confirming bearish momentum.
• MACD is negative on M15 and M3, indicating continued selling pressure.
Fundamental Analysis:
• US Dollar Strength: If recent economic data favors the USD (strong labor market, inflation concerns), gold could continue lower.
• Risk Sentiment: If markets are stable or risk appetite increases, gold may decline further.
• Interest Rates: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, gold could weaken due to higher real yields.
⸻
Trade Setup:
• Entry: $2906 (near current price)
• Stop Loss (SL): $2913 (above resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): $2892 (previous support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
Execution Plan:
• Enter short at $2906.
• Stop-loss above resistance to avoid being stopped out by minor pullbacks.
• Take profit at $2892, ensuring a 2:1 RRR. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAGUSD Price Forecast: Key Levels & Trade Setups Explained👀 👉 XAGUSD (Silver) is currently trading at the upper boundary of its current range. On the weekly timeframe, it is positioned near the high of the previous week's range. Shifting to the daily timeframe, we observe that price is trading at the high of yesterday's session, suggesting it is testing this level and potentially targeting buy-side liquidity. While my overall bias remains bullish, I anticipate a pullback from this level. A counter-trend short could be considered in the short term, with the expectation of a retracement into equilibrium, as outlined in the accompanying video. Once we observe a bullish break of structure, this could signal an opportunity to go long on the pullback. As always, this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
From watching to taking action, it is time to short goldNon-farm payroll data continues to improve, and the unemployment rate remains at a historical low. This not only enhances the attractiveness of the US dollar, but also weakens the charm of gold as a safe-haven asset. Usually, the US dollar and gold have an inverse fluctuation relationship. The strong US dollar puts the price of gold denominated in US dollars under downward pressure.
From the trend point of view. Compared with long and short positions, shorting is still slightly stronger. At present, the price of gold fluctuates in a narrow range around 2917. There is no major news to boost or suppress the price of gold in the short term. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of long power, the shorts will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for shorting gold. Now we are long gold around 2920-2925. The target is 2910-2905 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
If you follow the trading strategy I mentioned above, you can easily make a profit of more than 200 pips today, which is a very good trading result. If there are brothers who want to make money as a part of life, welcome to follow my article at the bottom!
Gold futures intraday trading bibleAt present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2910, and the short-term rise is insufficient. The short-term fluctuates at a high level. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the strength was obviously insufficient. It fell again after being under pressure near 2930. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, it is likely to fluctuate around a high range. Even if it does not break through, it will only be a correction in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to fluctuate in a high range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
When others are fearful, I am greedyFrom the trend point of view. Comparing the long and short positions, the long position is still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2910. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. From the trend point of view, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the rebound and continuation of the breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2908-2913. The target is 2918-2928 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to go long on gold?
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GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2904.45
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2918.5
Safe Stop Loss - 2896.8
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAGUSD - Silver on the rise?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If a valid trendline break or bullish correction is observed, silver can be re-sold and followed to the specified support level.
Looking ahead, analysts predict that rising economic uncertainty will drive stronger investment demand in Western markets. In recent weeks, consumer sentiment has dropped to its lowest level in years, while concerns over inflation have intensified.
Experts argue that stagflation provides an ideal environment for gold, as the precious metal is widely regarded as a safe-haven asset during economic instability.Additionally, higher inflation leads to lower real yields, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not generate interest.
Major investment firms, including WisdomTree and Goldman Sachs, believe that despite the possibility of short-term corrections, gold remains on track to reach $3,000 per ounce this year.
In another indication of investor sentiment, analysts at BMO Capital Markets reported that gold and copper were the most discussed commodities at their exclusive mining industry conference. Interestingly, silver ranked as a “distant third” in terms of interest. While downside risks for gold still exist, focusing on the long-term outlook remains crucial.
Daniel Ghali, a senior commodities strategist at TD Securities, stated that gold is in a unique position where it can appreciate regardless of the U.S. dollar’s performance. Meanwhile, silver’s physical supply flows and structural deficit could make it a long-term winner in the market. Ghali also noted that even as Washington considers devaluing the U.S. dollar to enhance export competitiveness, the currency’s strength is actually supporting higher gold prices.
He remarked, “What’s fascinating about this gold rally is that, contrary to conventional wisdom, I genuinely believe a strong U.S. dollar has contributed to gold’s price increase.” He added, “One of my core beliefs is that market anomalies can teach us invaluable lessons.”
According to Ghali, gold’s exceptional performance last year was highly unusual. He explained, “Gold managed to rally even during periods of rising U.S. interest rates and a strong dollar.” He also pointed out that historically, gold has only twice exhibited such strong performance alongside a robust S&P 500 index. The first instance was in 1933, when the U.S. government revalued gold, and the second occurred in 2009, during the most significant round of quantitative easing (QE) policies.
He emphasized that gold has never sustained such a strong uptrend without a concurrent bearish market for the U.S. dollar. Ghali concluded, “Clearly, gold’s price strength represents a market anomaly, and I believe this sends a message to those willing to listen.”
Regarding silver, Ghali argued that the metal is no longer seen as a lesser counterpart to gold. He said, “Silver has a truly unique narrative. We are now entering the fifth consecutive year of a structural deficit. The imbalance between supply and demand is unprecedented, primarily driven by surging demand, particularly in the global solar energy sector.”
He continued, “Silver’s situation is different because we are transitioning from a demand surge to a liquidity crisis. The physical pull of silver from London to the U.S. has been so intense that it has placed enormous strain on the world’s largest bullion storage system, disrupting daily physical market trading.” He added, “We believe this situation could worsen, ultimately requiring higher silver prices to incentivize the return of supply from unconventional sources to London.”
Shorting gold, a precise hit yielded a handsome profitBrothers, as a professional trader, my rich trading concepts and strategies have been widely praised by my friends. Have you followed my trading strategies and ideas to short gold? As I wrote in my previous post, I shorted gold as soon as the price hit the 2925-2930 area and made a profit of more than 200pips. Presumably, as long as the brothers who follow my strategy to short gold, they will definitely gain a lot of profits.
I always believe that profit is the standard for measuring strength. I want to tell you that I never talk in vain. Everything is based on trading data. The cake is only so big. When others have started to taste it with me, are you still hesitating? Remember, as long as you follow my trading strategy and ideas, wealth will inevitably come to you. There is still a lot of time today. Let's keep working hard. I believe we will gain more profits.
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Gold price falls back and continues to go long!Gold price breaks low and rises, breaks high and falls, 2920-2893 breaks through to determine the right to speak
Overnight, we went long at 2900 for gold, there are many layouts at this position, the big positive line went straight up to the sky, directly reached above 2920, and realized the harvest of long orders. At present, it is still in the form of longs. We still choose to go long at 2900, and low long is inevitable. The upper side is still looking at the historical high of 2956
GOLD RALLIES STRONGLY – WILL THE BULLS MAINTAIN CONTROL?💠 GOLD ANALYSIS – 03/05/2025
📌 Market Overview
Gold continues its strong upward trajectory, holding firm above key resistance levels. Following the release of ADP Nonfarm employment data, the market responded with increased demand, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
🔥 Macroeconomic Factors at Play
The U.S. dollar (USD) has weakened due to ongoing tariff uncertainties and mixed economic data from the U.S. While there was a short-lived recovery in the dollar late last week, the overall sentiment suggests further strength in gold. Given this outlook, buying opportunities remain attractive as the price action aligns with technical confirmations.
💡 Strategic Focus for Today
During the Asian and European trading sessions, traders should closely monitor resistance levels to assess potential early BUY entries. If gold reaches the 2928 - 2926 zone, this could present an ideal setup for short-term SELL scalping, similar to yesterday’s move, which yielded a 150-pip profit.
🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Levels:
2928 - 2942 - 2954
🔻 Support Levels:
2904 - 2894 - 2886 - 2874
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2886 - 2884
Stop Loss (SL): 2880
Take Profit (TP): 2890 - 2894 - 2898 - 2905
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2942 - 2944
Stop Loss (SL): 2948
Take Profit (TP): 2938 - 2934 - 2930 - 2925 - 2920
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2954 - 2956
Stop Loss (SL): 2960
Take Profit (TP): 2950 - 2946 - 2942 - 2938 - 2934 - 2930
📌 Key Considerations & Risk Management
✔ Risk Control: Strictly adhere to Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels to protect capital.
✔ Market Behavior: Prices may consolidate before tomorrow’s Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) data release, requiring patience and a disciplined approach.
✔ Confirmation Before Execution: Avoid premature entries—wait for clear signals to maximize trade efficiency.
📢 Will gold continue its bullish momentum or face a pullback? Drop your insights below! 🚀🔥
XAG/USD Silver Price Analysis: Bullish Continuation or Rejection📉 Current Price: 32.3715
📊 Key Levels:
Support Zone (~32.00 - 32.20): Price recently bounced from this level.
Resistance Zone (~33.20 - 33.50): A potential target for an upward move.
📈 Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a bullish breakout after retesting the lower support zone.
If the price successfully retests and holds above 32.00, it could continue towards 33.50.
A break below 32.00 could invalidate this bullish move and lead to further downside.
🎯 Trading Outlook:
Bullish Bias above 32.00, aiming for 33.50.
Bearish Risk below 32.00, which could lead to further declines.
Precious Metals Gain as U.S. and China Exchange New TariffsSilver surged past $32.5 per ounce in early March, fueled by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and an additional 10% on Chinese goods, raising China's total tariff to 20%. In response, Canada levied a 25% tariff on $155 billion of U.S. imports, while China announced 10%-15% tariffs on U.S. goods starting March 10 and new export restrictions. Traders now await Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
If Silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Amid US Tariff UncertaintyGold rose above $2,920 per ounce, nearing record highs, as a weaker dollar and trade uncertainty drove safe-haven demand. Trump granted US automakers a one-month exemption from 25% Canada-Mexico tariffs and hinted at more changes. A US official suggested lifting the 10% tariff on Canadian energy if trade conditions are met. Meanwhile, China filed a revised WTO complaint in response to new US tariffs. Investors await the non-farm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.